Challenges continue to accumulate on the international scene: health crisis, exacerbation of the Sino-American rivalry, tensions in Asia, affirmation of a significant threat of war, ecological and climatic imperatives, explosion of the world population, increase in inequalities and exclusion, uprooting of human beings fleeing persecution, conflict and violence. A new foreign policy is needed, both in the West and in Europe. It is essential to define a modern doctrine, an innovative conceptual whole, while determining in this context, real solutions. Dead ends are multiplying for Western influence, which is no longer able to trigger a creative moment.
4. 2
FLORIAN BRUNNER
PhD student in Political Science/International Relations
President-Founder of the Think Tank Europe & Democracy
Program Director
Florian Brunner is a PhD student in Political
Science/International Relations and is writing a thesis on The
political role of the High Representative, during the mandate of
Federica Mogherini, within the institutions of the European Union,
under the supervision of Michel Mangenot (Paris VIII), Director
of the Institute of European Studies (IEE), Secretary General of
the French Association of Political Science (AFSP).
As part of his doctoral training, Florian Brunner conducts a work
of expertise and analysis, but also an empirical approach. The
construction of the EU's foreign policy, from the European
Security Strategy of 2003 to the Global Strategy of the Union of
2016, is the main focus of his research. The issues of strategic
autonomy, the progress of a European Defense, hard and soft
power, conflict management, Euro-American relations are
studied in particular. In this context, the French Presidency of the
Council of the European Union is proving to be a fundamental
moment.
5. 3
Florian Brunner conducts numerous interviews with high-level
actors in the diplomacy of the Union, Western, Central and
Eastern Europe. It is in direct contact with the decision-makers,
officials and teams that develop and carry out European foreign
policy. Florian Brunner is therefore in a unique position, which
leads him to conduct rich exchanges, to address the main projects
in progress, as well as to carry out a process of intense reflection
on the reality of the Union's international action in the twenty-
first century. Florian Brunner has also established strong
connections with leading European Think Tanks.
6. 4
NEW FOREIGN
POLICY
06 Define a modern doctrine
07 The powerlessness of the West
08 Conduct a conceptual and empirical
refoundation
09 Create the foreign policy of the twenty-
first century
10 Strategic creativity beyond limits, at the
hearth of the Union’s international action
8. NEW FOREIGN POLICY 2022-2024
6
DEFINE A MODERN DOCTRINE
THE CHALLENGES CONTINUE TO
ACCUMULATE ON THE INTERNATIONAL
SCENE: HEALTH CRISIS, EXACERBATION OF
SINO-AMERICAN RIVALRY, TENSIONS IN
ASIA, AFFIRMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT
THREAT OF WAR, ECOLOGICAL AND
CLIMATIC IMPERATIVES, EXPLOSION OF THE
WORLD POPULATION, INCREASE IN
INEQUALITY AS WELL AS EXCLUSION,
ROOTING OF HUMAN BEINGS FLEEING
PERSECUTION, CONFLICTS AND VIOLENCE. A
NEW FOREIGN POLICY IS NEEDED, BOTH IN
THE WEST AND IN EUROPE. IT IS ESSENTIAL
TO DEFINE A MODERN DOCTRINE, AN
INNOVATIVE CONCEPTUAL WHOLE, WHILE
DETERMINING IN THIS CONTEXT, REAL
SOLUTIONS. DEAD ENDS ARE MULTIPLYING
FOR WESTERN INFLUENCE, WHICH IS NO
LONGER ABLE TO TRIGGER A CREATIVE
MOMENT.
9. NEW FOREIGN POLICY 2022-2024
7
THE POWERLESSNESS OF THE WEST
Since the fall of the USSR, the United States and the European
Union, after an excessively optimistic sequence, have shifted into
the geopolitical realities of the early twenty-first century and
have had to face increasingly deployed and diversified threats.
Westerners have been forced to confront terrorism, the assertion
of authoritarian powers, the environmental emergency, as well
as the considerable impact of the health crisis. The Western
world has extracted itself from the illusion of an irrevocable
victory of Wilsonian idealism, from the advent of a definitive and
perpetual Kantian peace signifying the end of History, to plunge
back into the violence of ideological and identity conflicts, into
the inexorable reaffirmation of power rivalries. The planetary
configuration remains frozen in the stagnation of the
powerlessness of foreign policies, which cancel each other out,
without any creative force succeeding in generating itself,
imposing itself and transforming the institutional, economic,
social and political realities that govern International Relations.
The status quo of strategic desolation reigns. A major project is
essential to determine the necessary achievements and avoid
collateral breaks. Neoconservative theses have dragged the
United States into major strategic routs. There are no longer
strong geopolitical doctrines, such as the Truman, De Gaulle or
Nixon/Kissinger doctrines. The United Nations remains stuck in
an organization that cannot reform itself. NATO monopolizes
Western and especially European thinking, without new
institutions being considered and established. The transatlantic
relationship is being exhausted and no new dynamics are
emerging. On 12 November 2021, the High Representative of the
Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, Josep Borrell,
issued a very direct warning: “Our overall threat analysis shows
clearly that Europe is in danger. The EU risks what I have called a
'strategic shrinkage'." Strategic and diplomatic creativity seems
to have died out in western space since the end of the Cold War.
10. NEW FOREIGN POLICY 2022-2024
8
CONDUCT A CONCEPTUAL AND EMPIRICAL
REFOUNDATION
Peace and humanity are in peril. Our goal is to design new ideas,
to propose new actions and operating processes, in order to
respond to a dazzling mutation in International Relations. Noting
the conceptual vacuum of the Western political space, we wish to
revitalize strategic thinking and carry out a project, devoted to
the efficiency of foreign policy, to the foundation of a creative
power, capable of transforming reality and finally organizing an
egalitarian, sustainable and peaceful future for all humanity. In
the particularly unstable and demanding context that is required
at the heart of International Relations, this work is essential
today, if we want to avoid strategic mistakes, out-of-control
situations and the return of large-scale wars. A conceptual and
empirical refoundation is therefore essential, if we are driven by
the resolution to prevent the explosion of Western cohesion, the
weakening of our model and our vital interests, the aggravation
of threats in the Middle East, as well as the deflagrative outcome
of Sino-American pressures. The History of International
Relations can help us, as demonstrated by the works of the
theorist and practitioner Henry Kissinger, but the parameters
have been extremely fluid since the end of the Cold War and
require solidity such as flexibility of analysis and a real capacity
for innovation. Joseph Nye modernized the thinking of
International Relations, including the development of soft power.
Today, most of the conceptual innovations come from the United
States and we are only debating around American concepts. It is
time to bring out a new European expertise. We have ample
means to do so.
11. 9
CREATE FOREIGN POLICY
OF THE TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY
OUR PRIORITIES FOR GENRATING
A NEW
INTERNATIONAL CREATIVITY
1.
⎯
A STABILIZATION OF
INTERNATIONAL
RELATIONS
Avoid world war III,
forge peace,
renew international institutions.
2.
⎯
A REINFORCEMENT
OF SUPRANATIONAL
REALITY
Refond Western power,
accomplishing a new
supranational dynamic.
3.
⎯
A STRONG PROTECTION
OF HUMANITY
AND THE WORLD
Overcoming hegemony, building
equality,
to build a sustainable planet.
4.
⎯
A EUROPEAN
POWER
Achieving European strategic
convergence,
building foreign policy
of the Union.
12. NEW FOREIGN POLICY 2022-2024
10
Our work and recommendations will address European citizens
and leaders, generate debates, mobilise experts, create
movements of ideas and projects across Europe. Establishing
bridges of proposals to the leaders of the Union and the Member
States is today a crucial step in reviving the European conceptual
approach and international action. This research project, if it is
based on theoretical foundations, will also be devoted to an
empirical study. We want to create the foreign policy of the
twenty-first century, targeting the strategic imperatives, dangers
and priorities of our time, as well as designing an innovation of
practices and policies in International Relations.
STRATEGIC CREATIVITY BEYOND LIMITS, AT THE
HEART OF THE UNION'S INTERNATIONAL
ACTION
The first phase of the New Foreign Policy program will take place
over two full years and six months, from January 2022 to July
2024. It will start in the context of the French presidential
election, in parallel with the French Presidency of the Council of
the European Union and will end in the European elections. An
assessment can then be drawn up and the modalities of the
second phase can be defined. The President-Founder of the Think
Tank and Director of the program, Florian Brunner, is at the
heart of the process of developing and carrying out the Union's
international action. His doctoral research opened the doors of
European diplomacy and generated many exchanges with high-
level actors. The many ongoing interviews allow Florian Brunner
to define the exact parameters of the Union's influence in the
world and to model the progress, limits and evolutions of a
European power. Florian Brunner is the designer of the New
Foreign Policy program; he is an expert in international strategic
thinking.
13. NEW FOREIGN POLICY 2022-2024
11
Florian Brunner seeks to liberate reasoning, to engage in an out-
of-bounds strategic creativity, a new conceptualization,
generating original and bold combinations, in the continuity of
the concepts of Qiao Liang and Wang Xiangsui exposed in
Unrestricted Warfare. Based in Paris, Florian Brunner directs the
Think Tank Europe and Democracy, leads the initiatives and leads
the reflection. Florian Brunner's team is made up of persevering
volunteers. This group forms a commando of ideas and projects,
reactive and resolute, fully invested in European and global
issues. A requirement for parity constantly maintained,
structures the organization of this dynamic and enterprising
staff.
Engaged citizens will be able to join the program, express their
ideas, contribute to exchanges, organise events or write analyses.
The Think Tank's website will publish all articles that have been
approved. The project management will supervise the various
works. Meetings in video-conference and/or face-to-face format
will be organized in order to optimize the evolution of the
program. Citizens will be mobilised more widely, in cycles of
online and face-to-face conferences in Paris and Strasbourg,
which will be dedicated to the study of Europe's place in the
world. Experts and actors will express themselves by being
connected to an audience, which will have the opportunity to
intervene and ask questions. The Europe and Democracy Think
Tank has forged several strong partnerships, with institutions
and other Think Tanks, which will be indispensable in the
deployment of symposia and seminars.
The final objective is to constitute an efficient, creative and
coherent project, which will be presented by the Think Tank, in
two main stages. A first contribution will be published at the end
of 2022 and a second document will be published during 2024,
on the occasion of the European elections. The drafting of the
reports will be carried out directly by Florian Brunner's team.
The staff will synthesize and organize the different concepts,
approaches and ideas that have emerged both from Florian
Brunner's expertise, from the writings and initiatives of actors of
the program and from the Conferences that have been realized.
14. NEW FOREIGN POLICY 2022-2024
12
Various components are already being developed and Florian
Brunner will propose several articles and Tribunes, which will be
published during the years 2022, 2023 and 2024, on different
media (Internet, media ...), on an international scale. The
ambition of the program is not only to achieve a European
dimension but to acquire a global reach. Florian Brunner will
write analyses mainly in French and English, which will be
reread by his team.
15. Europe and Democracy - 1a Place des Orphelins - 67000 Strasbourg - France
www.europeanddemocracy.com
Photographs
Cover: Louvre Museum, Paris, Florian Brunner – p. 2 : Portrait of Florian Brunner, Musée du Louvre, Paris, Axelle Jehl – p. 3 : Louvre Museum, Paris,
Florian Brunner – p.5 : Louvre Museum, Paris, Florian Brunner – p.9 : Louvre Museum, Paris, Florian Brunner – p.12 : Louvre Museum, Paris, Florian
Brunner