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Special report by epic research 31 january 2014
1. DAILY REPORT
31st JANUARY. 2014
Global markets at a glance
S&P 500 e-mini futures climbed about 0.2 percent, after
the S&P 500 .SPX, the Dow Jones industrial average .DJI
and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC all ended with solid gains
on Thursday .But MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific
shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was wavering between positive and negative territory. Japan's Nikkei stock
average .N225 outperformed the region, adding 0.5 percent after economic data suggested the government and
Bank of Japan are making progress toward their goal of
sparking sustainable growth and defeating deflation.
World Indices
Index
Value
% Change
15848.61
+0.70
S&P 500
1794.19
+1.13
NASDAQ
EURO STO
FTSE 100
4123.13
3027.30
6538.45
+1.77
+0.53
-0.09
Nikkei 225
Hong Kong
15029.36
22035.42
+0.15
-1.14
DJl
Top Gainers
Wall Street Update
Wall Street rallied on Thursday after solid U.S. economic
growth data coupled with better-than-expected earnings
sparked demand for equities. At the close of U.S. trading,
the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.70%, the S&P 500
index rose 1.13%, while the Nasdaq Composite index rose
1.77%. Solid earnings from social networking icon Facebook and credit-card company Visa, among others, sent
broader indices gaining on Thursday as did reports that
Google is selling its Motorola mobile phone unit to Lenovo
for USD2.91 billion
Previous day Roundup
Reeling under US Federal Reserve's tapering measures, the
market closed on a feeble note after struggling with the
bears. The Nifty ended the January series at 6073.70,
down 46.55 points. The Sensex closed down 149.05 points
at 20498.25. Banking, metals and realty stocks were
smashed on Dalal Street. SBI , Hero Motocorp, Sesa Sterlite, Hindalco and Tata Steel were major laggards in the
Sensex.
Index stats
The Market was down in yesterday session where Bankex
and Bank Nifty both closed almost flat (down-2.67and
down-2.73 respectively). Among the sartorial indices the
sectors which were up are;],Auto [ up 31.27 pts], Durables
[up 94.12 pts] the index down were Capital Good [down68.79 pts], Healthcare [down –17.16pts], PSU [down –
80.36 pts], TECK [ down-9.42 pts] , IT [ down –13.13 pts ]
Consumer FMCG [down-60.81pts] Metals [down —233.30
pts], Realty [down -Pts], Realty [down -Pts], Oil& Gas
[down –91.01pts].power [down –5.02 pts].
Company
CMP
Change
% Chg
TATAMOTORS
363.20
11.45
3.26
BHARTIARTL
308.60
6.70
2.22
GAIL
351.00
5.00
1.45
1440.00
17.70
1.24
871.10
9.15
1.06
CMP
Change
% Chg
517.25
532.35
135.25
1518.05
2002.00
-23.20
-23.45
-5.85
-55.60
-69.50
-4.29
-4.22
-4.15
-3.53
-3.36
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
ALPHAGEO
90.50
2.75
3.04
AUROPHARMA
438.85
15.70
3.58
1215.50
0.50
0.04
93.75
-0.05
-0.05
Prev. Close
Change
%Chg
941.90
55.70
-13.90
-1.20
-1.48
-2.15
CMP
Change
% Chg
6073.70
20498.25
-46.55
-149.05
0.76
-0.72
HCLTECH
M&M
Top Losers
Company
PNB
BANKBARODA
DLF
SBIN
HEROMOTOCO
Stocks at 52 Week’s high
Symbol
ECLERX
PHOENIXLL
Stocks at 52 Week’s Low
Symbol
BEL
ESSARPORTS
Indian Indices
Company
NIFTY
SENSEX
YOUR MINTVISORY
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2. DAILY REPORT
31st JANUARY. 2014
EQUITY CASH & FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS [FUTURE]
1.HCL TECH FUTURE
STOCK RECOMMENDATION [CASH]
.
1.EXCEL CROP CARE
HCL TECH FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
1450 levels. We advise buying around 1440-1450 levels
with strict stop loss 1420 for the targets of 1470-1490 levels
EXCEL CROP CARE is looking strong on charts. We advice
buying above 442 levels with strict stop loss of 425 for the
targets of 452-465 levels.
MACRO NEWS
2.VOLTAS FUTURE
YOUR MINTVISORY
India has overtaken Japan as the world's third-biggest
crude oil importer in 2013, data showed on Thursday.
India imported 3.86 million barrels-per-day of crude oil
last year, tanker arrival data compiled by Reuters from
trade sources showed on Thursday. India's imports were nearly 6 percent higher than Japan's customs-cleared
imports of 3,648,372 bpd (211,716,710 kilolitres).
VOLTAS FUTURE is looking strong on charts, long build up
has been seen, we may see more upside, if it sustains above
105 levels. We advise buying around 105-106 levels with
strict stop loss 103 for the targets of 109-112 levels.
The Cabinet yesterday hiked the subsidised LPG cylinder cap from nine to 12 cylinders. The move comes after All India Congress Committee vice president Rahul
Gandhi pitched strongly for the hike while addressing
the AICC meet earlier this month,
Food Ministry has proposed cash incentive of Rs 2,000
per tonne for the beleaguered sugar industry for exporting 4 million tonne raw sugar. The total subsidy outgo
has been pegged at Rs 800 crore spread over two years
to be adjusted from the Sugar Development Fund
(SDF).
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3. DAILY REPORT
FUTURE & OPTION
31st JANUARY. 2014
STOCKS IN NEWS
Sun Pharma receives US FDA nod for Desvenlafaxine
oral tablets
Titan's Q3 net profit fell 18% to Rs 166 Crore Versus
Rs 204 Crore (YoY)
SJVN signs MoU with government for 4000MW solar
project in Rajasthan
VIP Industries' Q3 net profit jumped to Rs 10.1 Crore
Versus Rs 3.5 Crore
NIFTY FUTURE
MOST ACTIVE PUT OPTION
Symbol
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
NIFTY
PE
6,000
0.05
10,33,573 69,67,900
NIFTY
PE
6,050
0.05
7,50,497 46,60,500
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,100
0.05
1,03,680
2,61,525
BANKNIFTY
PE
10,200
43
86,704
51,100
SBIN
PE
1,550
33
5,346
57,750
MCDOWELLN
PE
2,500
55
3,931
70,375
MCDOWELLN
PE
2,400
0.05
3,224
85,625
MOST ACTIVE PE OPTION 0.05
CALL 1,100
AXISBANK
3,159
3,81,750
Symbol
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
Option
Type
Strike
Price
LTP
Traded
Volume
(Contracts)
Open
Interest
NIFTY
CE
6,100
0.05
NIFTY
CE
6,050
24.8
8,69,007
3,27,550
BANKNIFTY
CE
10,300
0.1
82,421
3,38,450
BANKNIFTY
CE
10,200
0.05
80,842
3,82,225
INFY
CE
3,700
3.5
9,487
2,44,875
SBIN
CE
1,550
0.05
7,248
MCDOWELLN
CE
2,500
0.05
5,262
Nifty Future closed in the red in the last trading session.
2,11,625 We advice selling around 6150-6140 levels with strict
stop loss of 6180 for the targets of 6110-6080 levels.
1,15,125
SBIN
CE
1,600
FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS
0.05
4,872
5,34,875
12,85,344 65,89,000
BUY
SELL
OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of Amount in
No. of Amount in
No. of
Contracts
Crores Contracts
Crores Contracts
Amount in
Crores
NET AMOUNT
INDEX FUTURES
132073
3963.92
162492
4852.89
378379
11356.18
-888.97
INDEX OPTIONS
618000
18258.96
532450
15779.03
978254
29650.92
2479.94
STOCK FUTURES
236676
7048.32
237175
6929.78
984353
29087.95
118.54
STOCK OPTIONS
18091
557.51
18086
564.26
3582
109.98
-6.75
TOTAL
1702.75
INDICES
NIFTY
S2
S1
PIVOT
R1
R2
6005.66
6039.68
6061.26
6095.28
6116.86
NIFTYJUNIOR
11613.85
11671.75
11762.15
11820.05
11910.45
BANK NIFTY
9976.48
10064.81
10189.53
10277.86
10402.58
YOUR MINTVISORY
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4. DAILY REPORT
31st JANUARY. 2014
COMMODITY MCX
RECOMMENDATIONS
SILVER
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY SILVER ABOVE 43550 TGTS 43750/44050 SL 43150
SELL SILVER BELOW 43050 TGTS 42850/42550 SL 43400
GOLD
COMMODITY ROUNDUP
Gold fell more than 2 per cent on Thursday as robust US
growth data and news of a $10 billion cut to the Federal
Reserve's monetary stimulus programme boosted the dollar, prompting traders to cash in gains in the metal. The dollar index, measuring the greenback's performance against a
basket of currencies, rose 0.6 per cent in European early
afternoon trade, also reflecting a sell-off in emerging market assets. The US central bank on Wednesday stuck to its
plan to wind down its extraordinary economic stimulus despite recent turmoil in emerging markets.
That further weighed on gold, which benefited from the
Fed's stimulus measures after the financial crisis. The
scheme kept interest rates low while stoking fears of inflation. Spot gold was down 2.1 per cent at $1,242.60 an
ounce at 1503 GMT, while US gold futures for February delivery were down $20 an ounce at $1,242.20. Selling accelerated as the metal broke support at $1,250 an ounce,
"Orders were triggered below $1,250," .The Federal Reserve
reducing QE3 (third programme of quantitative easing) and
US Q4 GDP were positive for the dollar and the US economy
in general."
Wall Street also rebounded at the open on Thursday after
data showed robust household spending and rising exports
helped the US economy to grow 3.2 per cent in the fourth
quarter. (Read more) While that was a slowdown from the
third quarter's 4.1 per cent pace, it was a far stronger performance than earlier anticipated and was welcome news in
light of a 0.3 percentage point drag from October's partial
government shutdown.
TRADING STRATEGY:
BUY GOLD ABOVE 29460 TGTS 29540/29640 SL 29340
SELL GOLD BELOW 29240 TGTS 29160/29060 SL 29360
YOUR MINTVISORY
Support for gold prices from Chinese buying was likely to
weaken with the Lunar New Year holiday starting on January 31, analysts said. Volumes traded on the Shanghai Gold
Exchange were just 1.5 tonnes on Thursday, compared with
Wednesday's 8.4 tonnes and Tuesday's 14 tonnes. And premiums for 99.99 per cent purity gold fell to $4 an ounce on
very thin volumes. They were as high as $20 earlier this
month. Bullion purchases from the mainland were strong in
the run up to the holiday as gold is often bought for good
fortune. "With the Chinese New Year looming, activity in
China has been winding down.
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5. DAILY REPORT
31st JANUARY. 2014
NCDEX
RECOMMENDATIONS
CASTORSEED
NCDEX INDICES
Index
Value
% Change
Castor Seed
4177
1.21
Chana
2891
-2.10
Coriander
8327
-1.43
Cotton Seed Oilcake
1546
0.06
12170
-1.56
Maize– Feed/Industrial
Grade
1197
-0.25
Mustard seed
3353
-0.47
Soy Bean
3890
1.46
Turmeric
7346
-0.05
Jeera
BUY CASTORSEED FEB ABOVE 4200 TGTS 4230,4280 SL 4150
SELL CASTORSEEED FEB BELOW 4140 TGTS 4110,4060 SL 4190
DHANIYA
NCDEX ROUNDUP
Cardamom prices rose 1.54 per cent to Rs 768.90 per kg in
futures trade yesdterday as speculators engaged in enlarging positions driven by strong demand in spot markets amid
restricted arrivals. At the Multi Commodity Exchange, cardamom for delivery in February gained Rs 11.70, or 1.54 per
cent, to Rs 768.90 per kg, with a business turnover of 468
lots. The March contract edged up by Rs 10, or 1.27 per
cent, to Rs 796.80 per kg in 328 lots.
Soybean prices rose by Rs 42 to Rs 3,378 per quintal in futures trading yesterday on low levels buying amid firm
physical sentiment. apart from increased buying by traders,
limited supplies in spot markets mainly pushed up soybean
prices. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange, soybean prices for April month rose by Rs 42, or
1.14%, to Rs 3,378 per quintal, clocking an open interest of
1,04,000 lots.
BUY DHANIYA FEB ABOVE 8390 TGTS 8420,8470 SL 8340
SELL DHANIYA FEB BELOW 8300 TGTS 8270,8220 SL 8350
YOUR MINTVISORY
Castor seed prices firmed up by Rs 43 to Rs 4,240 per quintal in futures trading yesterday due to speculators buying,
driven by spot and global markets demand. rising demand
in spot and overseas markets mainly advised speculators to
enlarge their positions. At the National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange,
Call us at +91-731-6642300
6. DAILY REPORT
31st JANUARY. 2014
CURRENCY
RBI Reference Rate
Currency
Rate Currency
Rupee- $
62.7335 Yen-100
Euro
85.6075 GBP
EUR/INR
Rate
61.2200
103.8679
CURRENCY ROUNDUP
Dollar index firms, backed by solid U.S. GDP data By Lisa
Twaronite TOKYO, Jan 31 - Asian stocks struggled to push
higher on Friday, but did get some momentum from data
showing strong U.S. growth and calming emerging market
nerves after several days of turmoil. The dollar regained the
upper hand as solid GDP growth supported the view.
The U.S. dollar traded at one-week highs against a basket of
major currencies early on Friday, having been swept higher
as investors took aim at the euro in a volatile end to a very
choppy month. The dollar index rose as far as 81.135 from
Thursday's low of 80.545, on track to end the week up 0.7
percent. It was up 1.3 percent so far this month. U.S. dollar
bulls welcomed data
SELL EUR /INR BELOW 85.50 TGTS 85.37, 85.23 SL
85.79.
BUY EUR/INR ABOVE 86.21 TGTS 86.35, 86.49 SL 85.91.
USD/INR
SELL USD/INR BELOW 62.85 TGTS 62.72, 62.58 SL
63.14.
BUY USD/INR ABOVE 63.29 TGTS 63.43, 63.57 SL
63.00.
YOUR MINTVISORY
on Thursday showing the world's biggest economy grew at a
solid 3.2 percent annualised rate in the fourth quarter.
enogh to support the view that the Federal Reserve can
continue to wind down its stimulus program. All 70 economists in the latest Reuters poll expect the Fed to maintain
the pace of the taper and reduce by $10 billion at each of
the seven remaining FOMC meetings this year. Against the
yen, the dollar drifted back up to 102.78 , reversing some of
Wednesday's 0.7 percent fall. Volumes were light with large
parts of Asia on holiday.
The euro, meanwhile, skidded to a one-week low of
$1.3543 and also lost ground on the Japanese currency,
touching an eight-week trough of 138.90. Soft German inflation data ahead of a euro zone reading later on Friday, kept
alive market speculation the European Central Bank could
come under more pressure to act to stave off the risk of
deflation. The single currency may weaken further in February should the European Central Bank show a greater willingness to further embark on its easing cycle," said David
Song, analyst at DailyFX. Investors also bought back some
beaten-down commodity currencies as stress in emerging
markets eased off a little.
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7. DAILY REPORT
31st JANUARY. 2014
CALL REPORT
PERFORMANCE UPDATES
Date
Commodity/ Currency
Pairs
Contract
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
30/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
BUY
29880
29960-30060
29760
NOT EXECUTED
30/01/14
MCX GOLD
FEB.
SELL
29600
29520-29420
29720
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
30/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
BUY
44750
44950-45250
44350
NOT EXECUTED
30/01/14
MCX SILVER
MAR.
SELL
44100
43900-43600
44450
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
30/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
FEB.
BUY
4150
4180-4230
4100
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
30/01/14
NCDEX CASTOR SEED
FEB.
SELL
4080
4050-4000
4130
NOT EXECUTED
30/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB.
BUY
8495
8525-8575
8445
NOT EXECUTED
30/01/14
NCDEX DHANIYA
FEB
SELL
8390
8360-8310
8440
BOOKED FULL PROFIT
30/01/14
EUR/INR
JAN.
SELL
84.41
85.27-85.12
85.71
NOT EXECUTED
30/01/14
EUR/INR
JAN.
BUY
86.06
86.20-86.34
85.76
SL TRIGGERED
30/01/14
GBP/INR
JAN.
SELL
103.56
103.41-103.25
103.86
NO PROFIT NO LOSS
30/01/14
GBP/INR
JAN.
BUY
104.26
104.40-104.55
103.96
BOOKED PROFIT
Date
Scrip
CASH/
FUTURE/
OPTION
Strategy
Entry Level
Target
Stop Loss
Remark
30/01/14
NIFTY
FUTURE
SELL
6160
6120-6080
6180
NOT EXECUTED
30/01/14
SESA STER
FUTURE
SELL
194
192-190
198
NOT EXECUTED
30/01/14
ADANI ENT
FUTURE
BUY
252
258-262
248
SL TRIGGERED
30/01/14
JUST DAIL
CASH
BUY
1480
1525-1600
1450
NOT EXECUTED
29/01/14
GLENMARPHARMA
CASH
BUY
550
580-585
560
SL TRIGGERED
20/01/14
BJAAJ AUTO
FUTURE
BUY
1950
1900-2040
1890
SL TRIGGERED
YOUR MINTVISORY
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8. DAILY REPORT
31st JANUARY. 2014
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
NEXT WEEK'S U.S. ECONOMIC REPORTS
TIME (ET)
REPORT
PERIOD
ACTUAL
CONSENSUS FORECAST
PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JAN. 27
10 am
New home sales
Dec.
469,000
464,000
TUESDAY, JAN. 28
8:30 am
Durable good orders
Dec.
1.5%
3.4%
10 am
Consumer confidence index
Jan.
77.9
78.1
N/A
N/A
3.0%
4.1%
WEDNESDAY, JAN,29
NONE SCHEDULED
THURSDAY, JAN. 30
8:30 am
Weekly jobless claims
1/25
8:30 am
GDP
1Q
FRIDAY ,JAN 31
8:30 am
Employment cost index
1Q
0.5%
0.4%
8:30 am
Personal income
Dec.
0.2%
0.2%
8:30 am
Consumer spending
Dec.
0.2%
0.5%
9:45 am
Chicago PMI
Jan.
61.2
60.8
9:55 am
UMich consumer sentiment index
Jan.
83.0
82.5
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