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Financing Urban Transport Policies and Programs

Darío Hidalgo, PhD
Director Research and Practice EMBARQ
We Insist in a Paradigm Shift

Moving Cars

Moving People
Global Report
on Human
Settlements
2013
http://www.unhabitat.
org/content.asp?type
id=19&catid=555&cid
=12336
We think we have it clear how

Avoid

Shift

Improve

Quantity and length
of motorized trips

To the most efficient
modes

Technology and
operations
But not enough change is happening
Why?
Dispersed
single land
use

Provision of
Road
Capacity

[Predicton of
Vehicular Flows]

Increased
urban area

Inncreased
Motorization
Wrong solution!
Eating

Expanding
the Size of
The Pants

Lack of
Exercise

Obesity

Lewis Mumford, October 19, 1895 – January 26, 1990
“Lock-in” effect

Government

Industry

People

http://www.flickr.com/photos/nayukim/5704132134/
Keys to “Unlock”

Re-allocating Finance
Building Capacity
Capturing the trends
http://thecityfix.com/blog/on-the-movepushing-sustainable-transport-concepttipping-point-dario-hidalgo-heshuangzeng/
Re-allocating finance

Source: Sakamoto et al. (2010)
Public finance in the transport sector

Source: Sakamoto et al. (2010)
National Governments are Central
International Organizations

Projects

Transport Policy

Transport Finance

National Governments

City and Local Projects
National Programs
Financing Sustainable Urban
Transport – International
Review of National Urban
Transport Policies and
Programmes

http://sustainabletransport.org/f
inancing-sustainable-urbantransport-international-reviewof-national-urban-transportpolicies-and-programmes/
National Programs
Evaluate, Enable, Engage:
Principles to Support
Effective Decision Making
in Mass Transit
Investment Programs
http://www.embarq.org/en/e
valuate-enable-engageprinciples-support-effectivedecision-making-masstransit-investment-programs
Some Examples: Brazil
National Urban Policy
Comprehensive Mobility
Plan (1,600 cities 20,000+)
Growth Acceleration
Program (PAC) USD 9.5
billion for BRT, LRT, Metro
Infrastructure – co-funding
from state and local levels
Additional loans for
vehicles and rolling stock
BNDES
Some examples: Colombia
National mass transit policy
Up to 70% support for
infrastructure
USD 2.5 billion for BRT in
seven cities
Integrated public transport in
intermediate cities
Technical assistance
Encourages private
participation
Metro in Bogotá (expected)
Some examples: México
Mass transit program (PROTRAM) USD 2.4 billion
50% of project capital cost for Rail and BRT
5 Cities in operation/final construction; 34 cities identified
Requires private participation
Some Examples: India
National Renewal Mission
JnNURM USD 20 billion
Requires comprehensive
mobility plan and co-funding
from the state and local
levels
Resulted in implementation
of Metro in 6 cities and BRT
in 7 cities
Encourgaes private
participation

Bhopal BRTS Mybus
http://sustainablecitiescollective.com/sites/sustainablecitiesco
llective.com/files/Picture3.jpg
Some examples: China
“Transit City” project 30 cities
Requires co-finance of
provincial governments
In 2012 Beijing Metro
reached 16-lines 442km 1,050km expected by 2020
Other 16 Chinese cities
expanding Metro; 18 cities
with Metro and LRT systems
under construction; 22 cities
with construction planned.
15 cities with BRT; 11 under
construction or planning
Continued Funding - National
International Fuel Prices Series
http://www.giz.de/expertise/html/4317.html
Continued Funding - Local
Land
Development

User and
Property
Taxes

• Property taxes
• Value capture
• Transit Oriented
Development
• Registration/licence
(property)
• Taxes to inputs (fuels)
• Parking managment
• Urban tolls
Land Development (along public transport)

http://www.tramz.com/co/bg/t/ts.html
Desarrollo InmobiliarioKong
Hong

HK$4 billion (US$506 million) in property sales on top of stations 32% of the
income of the Mass Transit Agency in 2010 (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-03/mtr-sfull-year-underlying-profit-advanced-19-on-home-sales-fare-revenue.html)

Photo: Courtesy of Oren Tatcher
Singapore
Ørestad City, Copenhague

http://www10.aeccafe.com/blogs/arch-showcase/files/2011/12/Wing-House_1.jpg
Bogotá
Central Station
Urban Renewal
Project (under
construction)

Source:
Empresa de
Renovación
Urbana, Bogotá
Vehicle Registration Fees (Quotas)

Singapur
Shanghái
Guanzhou, China
Beijing (lotería)

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-04/singapore-family-sedanmatches-cost-of-a-u-s-home.html
Vehicle Registration Fees (Quotas)
Singapore (1990)
Auction: USD 67,000 per vehicle
Quota 1% increase in fleet per year
~ 6,000 new cars, ~US 400+ million per year (for SUT)

Shanghai (1994)
Auction: USD 9,000 por auto
~ 96,000 new vehicles per year
~US 900+ million per year (for SUT)

Gunagzhou (2012)
120,000 new vehicles per year (12,000 clean vehciles
lottery, 60,000 rest lottery, 48,000 auciton)
Adminsitración de Estacionamiento
Parking Management

http://www.baycitizen.org/transportation/story/clog-streets-pay-premium/
Parking income in San Francisco
US $187 million per year (for SUT)
US $87,263,867 Parking violation fines
US $47,119,999 Parking-meters
US $43,354,632 Garages
US $9,747,900 Residential permits
29,058 spaces with parking meters
79,000 residential permits
263 enforcement officilas
Fuente: Autoridad Metropolitana de Transporte de San Francisco SFMTA, 2011
Congestion Pricing
London, Sweden, Valetta, Singapore

http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/london-congestion-charging-zone-525x350.jpg
Climate/Environmental Funds for Transport

http://www.transport2020.org/p
ublicationitem/7/accessingclimate-finance-for-sustainabletransport-updated
The idea is to leverage funding
Govmt +
Private
ODA
NGOs
Millions

Climate
Hundreds
of Millions

Billions

Trillions
The challange 23% reduction in VKT in 2050

Road Travel (Billion Veh-Km)

50,000
42,971

45,000
40,000

33,194

35,000
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000

5,000

22,8% reduction in
vehicle-km
USD 20 Trillion Savings

0
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050
4 Degree Scenario
2 Degree Scenario
Source: IEA (2012) Energy Technology Perspectives
The impact: 1,3 million people not killed in traffic
Worldwide annual traffic fatalities

6,000,000
5,098,418
5,000,000
3,783,009

4,000,000
3,000,000
2,000,000

1.315.409 lives/year
saved due to the
reduction in VKT

1,000,000
0

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

2 Degree Scenario

4 Degree Scenario

Source: EMBARQ Analysis, Duduta and Hidalgo (2013)
Thank You!

¡Muchas Gracias!

धन्यवाद

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Dario Hidalgo: Financing urban transport policies and programs

  • 1. Financing Urban Transport Policies and Programs Darío Hidalgo, PhD Director Research and Practice EMBARQ
  • 2. We Insist in a Paradigm Shift Moving Cars Moving People
  • 4. We think we have it clear how Avoid Shift Improve Quantity and length of motorized trips To the most efficient modes Technology and operations
  • 5. But not enough change is happening
  • 6. Why? Dispersed single land use Provision of Road Capacity [Predicton of Vehicular Flows] Increased urban area Inncreased Motorization
  • 7. Wrong solution! Eating Expanding the Size of The Pants Lack of Exercise Obesity Lewis Mumford, October 19, 1895 – January 26, 1990
  • 9. Keys to “Unlock” Re-allocating Finance Building Capacity Capturing the trends http://thecityfix.com/blog/on-the-movepushing-sustainable-transport-concepttipping-point-dario-hidalgo-heshuangzeng/
  • 11. Public finance in the transport sector Source: Sakamoto et al. (2010)
  • 12. National Governments are Central International Organizations Projects Transport Policy Transport Finance National Governments City and Local Projects
  • 13. National Programs Financing Sustainable Urban Transport – International Review of National Urban Transport Policies and Programmes http://sustainabletransport.org/f inancing-sustainable-urbantransport-international-reviewof-national-urban-transportpolicies-and-programmes/
  • 14. National Programs Evaluate, Enable, Engage: Principles to Support Effective Decision Making in Mass Transit Investment Programs http://www.embarq.org/en/e valuate-enable-engageprinciples-support-effectivedecision-making-masstransit-investment-programs
  • 15. Some Examples: Brazil National Urban Policy Comprehensive Mobility Plan (1,600 cities 20,000+) Growth Acceleration Program (PAC) USD 9.5 billion for BRT, LRT, Metro Infrastructure – co-funding from state and local levels Additional loans for vehicles and rolling stock BNDES
  • 16. Some examples: Colombia National mass transit policy Up to 70% support for infrastructure USD 2.5 billion for BRT in seven cities Integrated public transport in intermediate cities Technical assistance Encourages private participation Metro in Bogotá (expected)
  • 17. Some examples: México Mass transit program (PROTRAM) USD 2.4 billion 50% of project capital cost for Rail and BRT 5 Cities in operation/final construction; 34 cities identified Requires private participation
  • 18. Some Examples: India National Renewal Mission JnNURM USD 20 billion Requires comprehensive mobility plan and co-funding from the state and local levels Resulted in implementation of Metro in 6 cities and BRT in 7 cities Encourgaes private participation Bhopal BRTS Mybus http://sustainablecitiescollective.com/sites/sustainablecitiesco llective.com/files/Picture3.jpg
  • 19. Some examples: China “Transit City” project 30 cities Requires co-finance of provincial governments In 2012 Beijing Metro reached 16-lines 442km 1,050km expected by 2020 Other 16 Chinese cities expanding Metro; 18 cities with Metro and LRT systems under construction; 22 cities with construction planned. 15 cities with BRT; 11 under construction or planning
  • 20. Continued Funding - National International Fuel Prices Series http://www.giz.de/expertise/html/4317.html
  • 21. Continued Funding - Local Land Development User and Property Taxes • Property taxes • Value capture • Transit Oriented Development • Registration/licence (property) • Taxes to inputs (fuels) • Parking managment • Urban tolls
  • 22. Land Development (along public transport) http://www.tramz.com/co/bg/t/ts.html
  • 23. Desarrollo InmobiliarioKong Hong HK$4 billion (US$506 million) in property sales on top of stations 32% of the income of the Mass Transit Agency in 2010 (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-03-03/mtr-sfull-year-underlying-profit-advanced-19-on-home-sales-fare-revenue.html) Photo: Courtesy of Oren Tatcher
  • 26. Bogotá Central Station Urban Renewal Project (under construction) Source: Empresa de Renovación Urbana, Bogotá
  • 27. Vehicle Registration Fees (Quotas) Singapur Shanghái Guanzhou, China Beijing (lotería) http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-06-04/singapore-family-sedanmatches-cost-of-a-u-s-home.html
  • 28. Vehicle Registration Fees (Quotas) Singapore (1990) Auction: USD 67,000 per vehicle Quota 1% increase in fleet per year ~ 6,000 new cars, ~US 400+ million per year (for SUT) Shanghai (1994) Auction: USD 9,000 por auto ~ 96,000 new vehicles per year ~US 900+ million per year (for SUT) Gunagzhou (2012) 120,000 new vehicles per year (12,000 clean vehciles lottery, 60,000 rest lottery, 48,000 auciton)
  • 29. Adminsitración de Estacionamiento Parking Management http://www.baycitizen.org/transportation/story/clog-streets-pay-premium/
  • 30. Parking income in San Francisco US $187 million per year (for SUT) US $87,263,867 Parking violation fines US $47,119,999 Parking-meters US $43,354,632 Garages US $9,747,900 Residential permits 29,058 spaces with parking meters 79,000 residential permits 263 enforcement officilas Fuente: Autoridad Metropolitana de Transporte de San Francisco SFMTA, 2011
  • 31. Congestion Pricing London, Sweden, Valetta, Singapore http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/london-congestion-charging-zone-525x350.jpg
  • 32. Climate/Environmental Funds for Transport http://www.transport2020.org/p ublicationitem/7/accessingclimate-finance-for-sustainabletransport-updated
  • 33. The idea is to leverage funding Govmt + Private ODA NGOs Millions Climate Hundreds of Millions Billions Trillions
  • 34. The challange 23% reduction in VKT in 2050 Road Travel (Billion Veh-Km) 50,000 42,971 45,000 40,000 33,194 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 22,8% reduction in vehicle-km USD 20 Trillion Savings 0 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 4 Degree Scenario 2 Degree Scenario Source: IEA (2012) Energy Technology Perspectives
  • 35. The impact: 1,3 million people not killed in traffic Worldwide annual traffic fatalities 6,000,000 5,098,418 5,000,000 3,783,009 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1.315.409 lives/year saved due to the reduction in VKT 1,000,000 0 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 2 Degree Scenario 4 Degree Scenario Source: EMBARQ Analysis, Duduta and Hidalgo (2013)