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Resonant
An Approach to Modeling in Nemetics
                                                   Nemetics




      Lead thru Nemetics (Modeling)
   Leveraging ‘Wicked’ Problems to Improve Performance




                      dibyendu de
                     @TheDesignKata

09/30/08                www.rapid-innovation.com              1
             Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Modeling
                                              Nemetics




    Modeling of ‘Wicked’ Problems




           Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Nemetics for Serious Play
                                                       Nemetics




           Nemetics (Based On Complexity Science)

   1. Science
   2. Engineering
                                   Why?
   3. Organization
   4. Social Systems
   Explain First; Predict Later

09/30/08                    www.rapid-innovation.com              3
                Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Nemetics for Serious Play
                                                       Nemetics

                        Nemetics

    Leadership Decision Process of
   Explanation of Emergence  Adapt,
    Create & Exchange new values to
    change collective consciousness



09/30/08                    www.rapid-innovation.com              4
              Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Neme/Nemetics Simplified
                                                Nemetics

                                   Linear  Non-Linear
                                   Reductionism  Holistic
                                   Abstract  Detailed
                                   One, Two  Many
                                   Deterministic  Random
                                   Homogeneous  Composite
                                   Predictive  Explanatory
                                   Centralized  Decentralized
                                   Analysis  Computation
                                   Design  Search
                                   Aristotle  Godel
                                   Probability  Bayesian
09/30/08
             Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
 Nemetics: What is Complexity Science?
                                                 Nemetics

                1. Many diverse elements

                         2. Interactions

                     3. Interdependence

                         4. Adaptation

    5. Simple Generative Rules create Emergence
Complexity Science – Maths + Science + Model

 09/30/08
              Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
    Nemetics: What is Emergence?
                                                     Nemetics

Products & Failures:
So many interconnected, interdependent
& diverse elements in a production
system produce both products and the
failures = Emergences.

These are produced by the intricacies of
innumerable interactions with underlying
rules and the paradoxes against which we
are constantly adapting.

Hence from the viewpoint of Emergence
there is hardly any difference between
Maintenance & Operation or any Other
Functions in the Organization. Embracing
unpredictability is the only option.


    09/30/08
                  Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Kick The Ball
                                                   Nemetics




                                                   Thanks to @JenniferSertl
09/30/08
                Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Why Models?
                                                  Nemetics


1. Intelligent Citizen
   of the World
2. Clear Thinking
3. Understand & Use
   Data
4. Decide, Strategize
   & Design




09/30/08
               Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Why Models?
                                                   Nemetics


1. Initial States Does
   Not Matter
2. History Does Not
   Matter
3. Intervention to
   Change States
   Does not Matter
4. States are in
   dynamic
   equilibrium
   (statistically)




09/30/08
                Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
What Models?
                                                  Nemetics


1. Collective Actions
2. Wisdom of the
   Crowd
3. Tipping Point
4. Markov Processes
5. Bayesian Model
6. Lyapunov Model
7. Graph Theory Model
8. Non-Linear Model
9. Fourier Transforms
10. Learning Model


09/30/08
               Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
How Models?
                                                 Nemetics




09/30/08
              Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
How Models Are Used?
                                                 Nemetics


1. Understand Class of
   Outcomes




2. Work Through Logic




3. Connections, Relationships &
Probability



09/30/08
              Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Example: Markov Model
                                                  Nemetics


1. Understand possible
   States




2. Find Transition Probabilities




3. Work out the statistically
Equilibrium positions



09/30/08
               Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Example: Markov Model
                                                  Nemetics


1. Understand possible
   States




2. Find Transition Probabilities




3. Work out the statistically
Equilibrium positions



09/30/08
               Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Markov Model – What is possible?
                                                  Nemetics


1. Changing State is a
   temporary measure




2. Changing Transition
Probabilities -> Leads to
permanent change



3. Done by Adaptation, Creation,
Destruction and Building up



09/30/08
               Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Example: Use of Bayesian Model
                                                   Nemetics


  1. Decision
  2. Design
  3. Strategy
  4. Algorithms




09/30/08
                Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Software Used to model Complexity in Nemetics
                                                  Nemetics


  1. Netlogo
  2. Python
  3. Octave
  4. Matlab




09/30/08
               Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
The Approach in Nemetics to address Complexity
                                                   Nemetics



                                   •   Notice Emergence
                                   •   Engage in Understanding
                                   •   Mull & Explain through Models
                                   •   Exchange value through Design
                                       Thinking
                                   •   Initiate Dialogues & Document
                                   •   Create Resonance & Resilience




09/30/08
             Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
Resonant
Nemetics for Serious Play
                                                       Nemetics




               Lead thru Nemetics
   Leveraging ‘Wicked’ Problems to Improve Performance




                   By Design

                    Follow us @TheDesignKata


09/30/08                    www.rapid-innovation.com              20
              Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis

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Nemetics modeling

  • 1. Resonant An Approach to Modeling in Nemetics Nemetics Lead thru Nemetics (Modeling) Leveraging ‘Wicked’ Problems to Improve Performance dibyendu de @TheDesignKata 09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 1 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 2. Resonant Modeling Nemetics Modeling of ‘Wicked’ Problems Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 3. Resonant Nemetics for Serious Play Nemetics Nemetics (Based On Complexity Science) 1. Science 2. Engineering Why? 3. Organization 4. Social Systems Explain First; Predict Later 09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 3 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 4. Resonant Nemetics for Serious Play Nemetics Nemetics Leadership Decision Process of Explanation of Emergence  Adapt, Create & Exchange new values to change collective consciousness 09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 4 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 5. Resonant Neme/Nemetics Simplified Nemetics Linear  Non-Linear Reductionism  Holistic Abstract  Detailed One, Two  Many Deterministic  Random Homogeneous  Composite Predictive  Explanatory Centralized  Decentralized Analysis  Computation Design  Search Aristotle  Godel Probability  Bayesian 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 6. Resonant Nemetics: What is Complexity Science? Nemetics 1. Many diverse elements 2. Interactions 3. Interdependence 4. Adaptation 5. Simple Generative Rules create Emergence Complexity Science – Maths + Science + Model 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 7. Resonant Nemetics: What is Emergence? Nemetics Products & Failures: So many interconnected, interdependent & diverse elements in a production system produce both products and the failures = Emergences. These are produced by the intricacies of innumerable interactions with underlying rules and the paradoxes against which we are constantly adapting. Hence from the viewpoint of Emergence there is hardly any difference between Maintenance & Operation or any Other Functions in the Organization. Embracing unpredictability is the only option. 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 8. Resonant Kick The Ball Nemetics Thanks to @JenniferSertl 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 9. Resonant Why Models? Nemetics 1. Intelligent Citizen of the World 2. Clear Thinking 3. Understand & Use Data 4. Decide, Strategize & Design 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 10. Resonant Why Models? Nemetics 1. Initial States Does Not Matter 2. History Does Not Matter 3. Intervention to Change States Does not Matter 4. States are in dynamic equilibrium (statistically) 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 11. Resonant What Models? Nemetics 1. Collective Actions 2. Wisdom of the Crowd 3. Tipping Point 4. Markov Processes 5. Bayesian Model 6. Lyapunov Model 7. Graph Theory Model 8. Non-Linear Model 9. Fourier Transforms 10. Learning Model 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 12. Resonant How Models? Nemetics 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 13. Resonant How Models Are Used? Nemetics 1. Understand Class of Outcomes 2. Work Through Logic 3. Connections, Relationships & Probability 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 14. Resonant Example: Markov Model Nemetics 1. Understand possible States 2. Find Transition Probabilities 3. Work out the statistically Equilibrium positions 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 15. Resonant Example: Markov Model Nemetics 1. Understand possible States 2. Find Transition Probabilities 3. Work out the statistically Equilibrium positions 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 16. Resonant Markov Model – What is possible? Nemetics 1. Changing State is a temporary measure 2. Changing Transition Probabilities -> Leads to permanent change 3. Done by Adaptation, Creation, Destruction and Building up 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 17. Resonant Example: Use of Bayesian Model Nemetics 1. Decision 2. Design 3. Strategy 4. Algorithms 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 18. Resonant Software Used to model Complexity in Nemetics Nemetics 1. Netlogo 2. Python 3. Octave 4. Matlab 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 19. Resonant The Approach in Nemetics to address Complexity Nemetics • Notice Emergence • Engage in Understanding • Mull & Explain through Models • Exchange value through Design Thinking • Initiate Dialogues & Document • Create Resonance & Resilience 09/30/08 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis
  • 20. Resonant Nemetics for Serious Play Nemetics Lead thru Nemetics Leveraging ‘Wicked’ Problems to Improve Performance By Design Follow us @TheDesignKata 09/30/08 www.rapid-innovation.com 20 Inclusive Leadership: Emergent Praxis