2. Reasons of conflict : Military Causes of the war
Ukrainian wants DONBAS to remain part of
Ukraine and Russia want it to secede. History of
Russia annexation of “Crimea" in 2014 makes
them insecure
Ukraine’s insecurity pushes them towards help
from European union(EU) and NATO(North
Atlantic Treaty Organization)
Member country of NATO will be eligible for
collective support by all members in case of any
external attack. This makes Russia insecure.
Nuclear weapon removal
3. Reasons of conflict : Economic Causes of the war
Russia supplies 30% of Oil and Natural
Gas to Europe and 66% of supply
pipeline passes through Ukraine.
Ukraine can claim his ownership on this
line.
New natural gas sources are found in
west Ukraine and Poland
If they sign on the deal to exploit these
fields which would make EU independent
of Russia
4. Role of nato and USA
USA want to encircle the Russia using NATO as a tool
and deploy her armies around the Russia. NATO’s
eastward expansion corroborates the fact.
Since Russia’s illegal and illegitimate annexation of
Crimea in 2014, NATO has helped to train, fund and
reform Ukraine’s armed forces and defense institutions
against
NATO condemns in the strongest possible terms
Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
NATO including USA never helped Ukraine and they
remained helpless during Putin’s aggression
Remember, NATO’s actions are defensive, designed
not to provoke a conflict but to prevent a conflict.
Hence they tied economic sections against Russia.
5. How this can affect Russia & Ukraine?
Russian success
can make Europe dependent on them for oil and natural gas
Ukrainian success
European NATO will be independent on natural gas from Russia
can make Ukraine a big player in the Oil market and can lead to
economic rise
War always leads to destruction. War will result in the weakening of
both Countries.
6. Global Impacts
World peace is danger and can trigger to WW-3
Food shortage
UN chief Antonio Guterres has warned that the conflict could reverberate far beyond Ukraine,
causing a "hurricane of hunger and a meltdown of the global food system".
Russia and Ukraine are breadbaskets for the world, accounting together for 30 percent of
global wheat exports.
Prices of cereals and cooking oils have risen.
Slower Growth
The war threatens to be a drag on the global economic recovery from the COVID pandemic
The OECD has warned that the conflict could inflict a one-percentage-point hit on global
growth.
The IMF is expected to lower its growth forecast, which currently stands at 4.4 percent for
2022.
7. Global Impacts… continued
Volatile Stock market
Stock markets had started off 2022 on a good note as economies
recovered from the Covid pandemic and companies posted healthy
results.
But the war has brought volatility to the markets while Moscow's stock
exchange closed for three weeks
Others
The war will weaken the edifice of the United nations
Oil prices will be destabilized
8. Possible solutions
Some Possible Solutions To Prevent The War Are-
NATO, especially USA shall come out of “cold war” mindset and stop interfering in the
Russian territories
To reintroduce military restraint along the Russia/NATO frontier, the two countries can
begin by resurrecting aspects of Cold War agreements that have fallen into abeyance in
recent years as one or the other side lost interest in adhering to them
NATO’s expansion eastward is the crux of the current dispute.
9. Personal opinion
I Think That-
War can result in-
Violation of human rights
Crimes Committed in war
Economic Crisis
Global Poverty
The nations should-
Sit down and solve the problem amicably
NATO should not interfere in Russia’s problems.
“There is no instance of a nation benefitting from prolonged
warfare.”-Sun Tzu-Art Of War
