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A model oriented interlink
among platforms of
IoT, AI, and Delft-FEWS
HPC
Big Data
Cloud
Network
Che-Hao Chang,
Associate Professor, National Taipei University of Technology
chchang@ntut.edu.tw
Chih-Tsung Hsu, Shiang-Jen Wu, Researcher, NCHC
Jhih-Cyuan Shen, CEO, FondUs Inc.
DSD-INT 2019 in Delft, 2019/11/07
Uncertainties in Hydrosytem
3
Max 7mm/hr
Rainfall center not presented by gauges
Max 22.5mm/hr in 10min
19.21mm/hr in an hour
Drainage block
Radar Observation
Gauge Tainan
2018 0906 Tainan City
High Spatial Uncertainty
4
Limited Gauges Distribution
4
1.3 km resolution of radar rainfall 2017
2016
2015
Unit :mm/10min
17km
High Intensity in
Short Duration
C1V410
C1V430
C1V440
C1V420
EXTREME RAINFALL IN KAOHSIUNG
TYPHOON FANAPI 20100919
5 hour : 539mm
Max rainfall:124mm/hr
5 hour : 289.5mm
Max rainfall:87mm/hr
5 hour : 280mm
Max rainfall:78mm/hr
5 hour : 477mm
Max rainfall :124.5mm/hr
C1V410
C1V430
C1V440
C1V420
岡山
左營
鳳山
鳳雄
NCDR watch
Drought And
Water Distribution
Hsinchu Science Park: 2016 Revenu over 30,000 million USD
Boston Red Sox 2016 payroll : 208 million USD
Sensors & Model Simulation
Deal with Uncertainty:
Sensors, sensors, and sensors
From points to area
Flood Grid at An-Jhong
0 2
0
40
m
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
Depth(m)
Simulated and observed flood height at An-Jhong
Observed Simulated
Flood Grid at Chao-Huang-Gong Station
0 20 40
m
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
0,4
0,5
Depth(m)
Simulated and observed flood height at Chao-Huang-Gong
Observed Simulated
IoT Techs bring us..
▪ Energy Harvesting technology
▪ Low power chip
▪ Low power WAN
▪ New Battery technology
▪ Industrial standard chip but consumer
product price.
• https://www.theweathernetwor
k.com/us/news/articles/app-
and-volunteer-army-improving-
tidal-forecasts/90256
三崁店
Microwave + LoRa Relay
北安
Microwave + LoRa Relay
鯤鯓
Microwave + LoRa Relay
鹿耳門
Microwave
NB-IoT/3G/4G
Cell Tower
Sensors
(Within LoRa Range)
安污Control Center
Sensors
(Outside LoRa Range)
Only Channel
 Every 1 hr provide next 3
hrs flood nowcast
 Every 2 hr provide next
6-8 hrs flood nowcast .
OPERATIONAL
FLOOD EARLY
WARNING SYSTEM
FEWS_TAIWAN
Interlink among Platforms
Model update: Smart Model Management
Quick response: AI assist
• > 1000 rain gauges
• > 400 water level gauges
• >1000 flood sensors and
even more
– (x,y,depth,t) from voice,
video, messages
• Smart water meters
28/35
Radar Rainfall
Storm
Generator
29/35
Event Select
Extract Radar Rainfall
By data and location
Radar Rainfall historical DB
2006~2018
Radar Rainfall
Storm
Generator
30/35
Historical Storm Events
Event Select
Radar Rainfall
Storm
Generator
31/35
r
Radar Rainfall
Event Select
Historical Events Spatiotemporal Randomess
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rainfall(mm)
No of study gird
EV2
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Cumulativedimensionlessrainfall
Dimensionless time
PT1
PT2
PT3
PT4
PT5
PT6
PT7
PT8
PT9
PT10
Areal average
Bias
Simulatedareal average of cumulative
dimensionlessrainfall Simulated bias of cumulative dimensionless rainfall
Simulated rainfall depthat 10 studygrids Simulated storm patternsat 10 studygrids Simulated hyetographsat 10 studygrids
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Cumulativedimensionlessrainfall
Dimensionless time
-0.2
-0.15
-0.1
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1
Biasofdimensionlessrainfall
Dimensionless time
PT1
PT2
PT3
PT4
PT5
PT6
PT7
PT8
PT9
PT10
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
1
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1
Cumulativedimensionless
rainfall
Dimensionlesstime
RT1
RT2
RT3
RT4
RT5
RT6
RT7
RT8
RT9
RT10
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Rainfall(mm)
No of study grid
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
1 7 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 55 61 67 7379 85 91
Rainfall(mm)
Time (hour)
數列2
數列3
數列4
數列5
數列6
數列7
數列8
數列9
數列10
數列11
…
…
…
…
Multi-Scenario Generation
Storm
Generator
Multi_Scenario
storms DB
32/35
TWCC
Database of multi-
spatiotemporal storms
Arrange the VM for simulations
…
…
…
…
Database of inundation
simulations
2D rainfall-runoff-inundation simulation
…
…
…
…
Framework
34/35
Storm
Generator

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DSD-INT 2019 A model-oriented interlink among platforms of IoT, AI, and Delft-FEWS - Chang

  • 1. A model oriented interlink among platforms of IoT, AI, and Delft-FEWS HPC Big Data Cloud Network Che-Hao Chang, Associate Professor, National Taipei University of Technology chchang@ntut.edu.tw Chih-Tsung Hsu, Shiang-Jen Wu, Researcher, NCHC Jhih-Cyuan Shen, CEO, FondUs Inc. DSD-INT 2019 in Delft, 2019/11/07
  • 3. 3 Max 7mm/hr Rainfall center not presented by gauges Max 22.5mm/hr in 10min 19.21mm/hr in an hour Drainage block Radar Observation Gauge Tainan 2018 0906 Tainan City High Spatial Uncertainty
  • 4. 4 Limited Gauges Distribution 4 1.3 km resolution of radar rainfall 2017 2016 2015
  • 5. Unit :mm/10min 17km High Intensity in Short Duration C1V410 C1V430 C1V440 C1V420
  • 6. EXTREME RAINFALL IN KAOHSIUNG TYPHOON FANAPI 20100919 5 hour : 539mm Max rainfall:124mm/hr 5 hour : 289.5mm Max rainfall:87mm/hr 5 hour : 280mm Max rainfall:78mm/hr 5 hour : 477mm Max rainfall :124.5mm/hr C1V410 C1V430 C1V440 C1V420 岡山 左營 鳳山 鳳雄
  • 7. NCDR watch Drought And Water Distribution Hsinchu Science Park: 2016 Revenu over 30,000 million USD Boston Red Sox 2016 payroll : 208 million USD
  • 8. Sensors & Model Simulation Deal with Uncertainty: Sensors, sensors, and sensors From points to area
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. Flood Grid at An-Jhong 0 2 0 40 m
  • 12. 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 Depth(m) Simulated and observed flood height at An-Jhong Observed Simulated
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15. Flood Grid at Chao-Huang-Gong Station 0 20 40 m
  • 16. 0 0,1 0,2 0,3 0,4 0,5 Depth(m) Simulated and observed flood height at Chao-Huang-Gong Observed Simulated
  • 17.
  • 18. IoT Techs bring us.. ▪ Energy Harvesting technology ▪ Low power chip ▪ Low power WAN ▪ New Battery technology ▪ Industrial standard chip but consumer product price.
  • 19.
  • 21. 三崁店 Microwave + LoRa Relay 北安 Microwave + LoRa Relay 鯤鯓 Microwave + LoRa Relay 鹿耳門 Microwave NB-IoT/3G/4G Cell Tower Sensors (Within LoRa Range) 安污Control Center Sensors (Outside LoRa Range) Only Channel
  • 22.  Every 1 hr provide next 3 hrs flood nowcast  Every 2 hr provide next 6-8 hrs flood nowcast . OPERATIONAL FLOOD EARLY WARNING SYSTEM FEWS_TAIWAN
  • 23. Interlink among Platforms Model update: Smart Model Management Quick response: AI assist
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26. • > 1000 rain gauges • > 400 water level gauges • >1000 flood sensors and even more – (x,y,depth,t) from voice, video, messages • Smart water meters
  • 27.
  • 29. 29/35 Event Select Extract Radar Rainfall By data and location Radar Rainfall historical DB 2006~2018 Radar Rainfall Storm Generator
  • 30. 30/35 Historical Storm Events Event Select Radar Rainfall Storm Generator
  • 31. 31/35 r Radar Rainfall Event Select Historical Events Spatiotemporal Randomess 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 1800 2000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Rainfall(mm) No of study gird EV2 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Cumulativedimensionlessrainfall Dimensionless time PT1 PT2 PT3 PT4 PT5 PT6 PT7 PT8 PT9 PT10 Areal average Bias Simulatedareal average of cumulative dimensionlessrainfall Simulated bias of cumulative dimensionless rainfall Simulated rainfall depthat 10 studygrids Simulated storm patternsat 10 studygrids Simulated hyetographsat 10 studygrids 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Cumulativedimensionlessrainfall Dimensionless time -0.2 -0.15 -0.1 -0.05 0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 Biasofdimensionlessrainfall Dimensionless time PT1 PT2 PT3 PT4 PT5 PT6 PT7 PT8 PT9 PT10 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 Cumulativedimensionless rainfall Dimensionlesstime RT1 RT2 RT3 RT4 RT5 RT6 RT7 RT8 RT9 RT10 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Rainfall(mm) No of study grid 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 1 7 13 19 25 31 37 43 49 55 61 67 7379 85 91 Rainfall(mm) Time (hour) 數列2 數列3 數列4 數列5 數列6 數列7 數列8 數列9 數列10 數列11 … … … … Multi-Scenario Generation Storm Generator Multi_Scenario storms DB
  • 32. 32/35 TWCC Database of multi- spatiotemporal storms Arrange the VM for simulations … … … … Database of inundation simulations 2D rainfall-runoff-inundation simulation … … … …