These are some of the things I spend my time thinking about. I am concerned about the long term effects (benefits and problems) of automation and how ownership can change to support everyone in a new retirement paradigm and future.
20240314 Calibre March 2024 Investor Presentation (FINAL).pdf
Our Really Big Problems Mind Map By David Lipschitz
1. Our really big problems
By David Lipschitz
21 April 2018
Electricity
3.6% growth means 40GW
becomes 80GW in 20 years
Doubling population means the
80GW should be 160GW
Eskom needs to be the Grid Owner or
someone else will do it: millions of
people in their garages
Eskom doesn’t understand that the importance of
power stations isn’t in the number of people who
build or maintain them, but in the number who have a
livelihood because of them
Water
Shortages lead to rapidly rising prices until the
supplier is expunged from the market either by
small systems or by war
Earth has an abundance of
water, and energy
Food
Prices are rocketing and
quality is deteriorating
Eg water quality is reducing and standards
are being widened so that poor quality water
still meets the “standard”
Yet today food can be grown in buildings
and quality can be increased
Education
The third world
population is exploding
The world’s ability to educate
these people using the current
paradigm is decreasing
The opportunity is to find a way to “educate” people
without them needing to be literate. Writing and reading
are relatively new features in our lives, only 6,000 years
old, and hence why The Old Testament says that the world
is only 6,000 years old
Even with MOOCs
Online education
Massive open
online course
Transport
A massive disruption is on the cards with electric vehicles
and driverless technology being ubiquitous within 20 years.
Petrol stations and their attendants, and taxi and bus drivers
will be a thing of the past
Jobs
All jobs are at risk
Even jobs which need to be
on site will disappear
Electricians
Plumbers
Doctors
Law enforcement
Camera technology will make a
lot of on the street law
enforcement redundant
And driverless vehicles will never
get any kind of violation
They will never speed, never park illegally, never be
without an appropriate license disk (there won’t be
license disks),and if they need to speed to a hospital
in an emergency there will be some sort of
mechanism to do this
Mining
Is being automated and transport of mined
products to refineries and power stations
happens on conveyor belts
Off site jobs
Computer
programmers
Design patterns and other reusable
technologies will mean that
Programming is simplified
But the people who
understand how it all fits
together will be in demand
At the moment Programming is
becoming more complex
Accountants
CaseWare and DraftWorx will disrupt the
auditing industry. Already 90% of the
work is done by “clients”
Call centre jobs
Fiber technology will mean
that call centres will run
from peoples homes
Or AI will run
the call centre
Transport jobs
As driverless vehicles
become the norm
And all the employees who are
involved in making the system
work will be automated
Airport luggage handling is already
automated inside the buildings
Farmers and food
production jobs
Farming is remote and in
South Africa it is unsafe
Farmers are moving into
buildings in cities
Office buildings
CBD type Office
buildings might
disappear
Traffic is already
a nightmare
Pod offices and Coworking spaces
are expanding exponentially
Many people are already
working from home
Shopping centres
Online shopping
is taking over
People often try something on in a
shop and then buy it online
I think that this is the reason we
see that generalist shops are
becoming specific shops
Eg we have specific clothes shops likes Levi’s, specific
computer shops like Apple, specific car shops like Tesla.
Because then people can go to the Levi shop, and try on a
pair of jeans and then go home and find the cheapest
source of these jeans
Will become amusement arcades
where people hang out
Parking garages
Will disappear
And possibly
become flats
Tax
Tax depends on
jobs and profits
In a world of exponential growth and especially
exponential growth of free resources the tax base will
decrease dramatically and quickly
So
Why we need places like Ratanga
Junction to remain
The jobs will be in
entertainment
$45 billion spent annually by
corporations sponsoring
sports and athletes DSTV etc will disappear, as micro
entertainment takes over
Things becoming smaller and “Minituralisation” will mean that
Electricity, water, food, education, will be made and consumed
at the point it is needed
Producers and Consumers
will become Prosumers
Plus see The King and The Peasant (mind map) for things poor
people have that even the President of the United
States did not have 15 years ago
And $900,000 of free apps on your
SmartPhone. see Abundance by
Diamandis and Kotler
The main point
I want to be
alive next week
And predict the future
Garbage
Eg plastic in the ocean
One garbage truck of plastic dumped
into the ocean every minuteAnd
pharmaceutical
waste