1. “Building with nature – Building design in a changing environment”. April 2011, Novotel Barossa Valley Resort, SA Darren Bilsborough, Managing Director Adjunct Professor of Sustainability, Curtin University

3. Global Population and Consumption

4. Leading to Resource Depletion and;-

5. Peak Oil

6. Peak Water

7. Peak Food

8. Pollution (air, water and soil)

9. Health and Well Being (future liabilities)

11. Future Health Liability Future Health Liability – Unfunded Health Budgets

12. Peak Oil

13. Sprawling Places Are More Expensive

14. How Much Time Have We Got? Some future scenarios have petrol prices at up to $8/litre in Australia. Even modest scenarios foresee $2 a litre within a few years Surveys by Budget Direct suggest 30% of motorists in Australian cities will stop using their car to commute if petrol reaches $1.75 a litre Watch the arctic this September – the canary in the mine. We may only be three-four years from an ice free arctic in summer

15. Courtesy of Professor Peter Newman

17. Climate Code Red

18. PB-CUSP Alliance Research Costs to government $86 million (or approximately $80,000 per block) – or the cost to provide power, water, sewerage, schools, hospitals and local government services for fringe developments. Road infrastructure is the most significant cost. Cost to people $250 million in transport costs over 50 years – people in fringe developments drive more frequently and own more cars $ 4.23 million in health costs – people in fringe developments have higher risk of obesity related to lower levels of physical activity for people. Cost to the planet 4,400 tons of greenhouse gas is saved for 1,000 urban dwellings, which is roughly equal to the amount emitted from 200 homes – an estimated dollar value of approximately $19.32 million. Productivity Opportunity A 6% improvement in productivity due to active travel Lifestyle.

19. The Biggest Problem? Climate Change Adaptation

23. Ecological Debt

24. Housing and Household Affordability

25. Climate Change Adaptation

28. Where do Australian emissions come from? 62%of all emissions from TransportandEnergy Transport(vehicles) Stationary energy(power plants, etc) AGO, figures for 1999

29. Energy Options: Peak Oil and Mitigating GHG’s Mitigation Strategies - Energy Nuclear Fission CO2 Capture and Storage Energy Efficiency and Conservation 14 BtC/y Stabilization Fuel Switching Biosequestration Forests & Soils Triangle 7 BtC/y 2005 2055 Renewable Electricity and Distributed Energy

30. Energy Options: Peak Oil and Mitigating GHG’s Mitigation Strategies - Energy Energy Efficiency and Conservation 14 BtC/y Stabilization Biosequestration Forests & Soils Triangle 7 BtC/y 2005 2055 Renewable Electricity and Distributed Energy

31. Energy Efficiency a Key Differentiator in the Short Term (for holders of property assets)? As a result of required investment in green and renewable electricity generation and new carbon pricing mechanisms, it is certain that electricity prices will rise. It is certain that under any carbon pricing mechanism super energy efficient green buildings will not only have lower operating costs (by a much greater margin than available to-day due to the future rise in energy costs) but may also be able to economically benefit from either avoiding carbon tax or by trading available credits. A key initiative raised at the Prime Minister’s 2020 summit was “ carbon neutrality for all new buildings constructed beyond 2020”.

32. But the problem is even bigger…

33. Building Integrated PV

34. European leadership…Vauban Frieburg100% renewable

36. Roof mounted wind systems eg Windpods

37. Destiny of all life lies within technology

38. Vehicle Options: Peak Oil and Mitigating GHG’s Vehicle Options: Peak Oil and Mitigating GHG’s Alternate Fuels electric cars electric-assist bike electric motor-scooter electric gopher

39. Availability? Availability?.......and Capacity? What if we replaced all of the cars in Australia with EV’s? We would have 3 times (300%) the current power generation capacity for the nation........

40. Smart Grids: An Alternative Renewables Enabler

41. Effects on Housing design EVs, Distributed Energy and Smart Grids Courtesy of EPRI

42. EVs and Renewable Communities EVs in Toyota’s Dream House, Japan MASDAR City, United Arab Emirates

44. Ecological Debt

46. Consumption of Non-Renewable ResourcesWhat does this mean? No More New Buildings?......Probably the “right” answer but this is just not practical We must encourage the market to Refurbish and Reuse and if new buildings are required (and they will be required due to increasing population and growth demands in the short to medium term) we need them to be developed using a high proportion of renewable resources and to operate on zero waste principals including carbon neutrality.

47. ....and more Affordable

49. Ecological Debt

50. Housing and Household Affordability

51. Climate Change Adaptation

57. Vertical Farms

59. Introduction of Urban Farming (including Vertical Farms) Catering for Local Food Requirements and Reduction in Food Miles

60. Improvement in Water Management, Efficiency and Recycling

61. Decreased Energy Intensity through Reduced Heat Island Effect – Consideration of Climate Change Adaptation due to ▲ ºC into the Future

62. Improved Health and Well Being (Biophilia and Reduced Pollution) and Associated Productivity Improvements

66. Urban growth containment

67. Higher density residential development with 1st class public transport access nearby (TOD’s)

68. Resource Efficient Housing (not just Energy)

69. Urban farming, local food supply

71. “Building with nature – Building design in a changing environment”. April 2011, Novotel Barossa Valley Resort, SA Darren Bilsborough, Managing Director Adjunct Professor of Sustainability, Curtin University