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Monetary Policy

the expected effects of the FED’s
utilization of Monetary Policy to
 facilitate the economy’s growth

                                    1
The Price Level is determined by:
The relationship between
the amount of money in
circulation and the amount
of goods and services in the
economy. Remember:

                MV = PQ
                                2
the Equation of Exchange
                          MV = PQ
where: M is defined to be the money supply ~ currency +
demand deposits + travelers’ checks = money since these items are
used as a means of payment for purchases.
where: V is defined to be the velocity of money ~ the
average number of times a dollar is used to purchase a final
product or service during the year. [= (GNP) / (M) ]
where: P is the (general) price level
where: Q is the quantity of goods and services produced

                                                               3
Banks lend $5 with which Borrowers
will buy a basket of goods and services




                $5



                                     4
At a later time ~ Borrowers repay the $5 which
no longer buys the same basket of goods and
services.




               $500
                                                 5
This is why ~ Lenders hate inflation!




                             Borrow
                             w/IOU =
                               $5


          now a Comparable
            basket = $500          6
How does “Soft Money” affect prices?
 • the supply of silver or greenbacks is greater
   than the supply of gold
 • the greater the money supply the less the
   price or value of each dollar
 • if the supply of money increases then prices
   go up and each dollar buys less
 • with inflation ~ lenders are nominally
   repaid in less valuable dollars. They lose.

                                                 7
Winners & Losers
 Lenders lose purchasing           Borrowers gain
    power because the            purchasing power
dollars they are repaid (at     because the dollars
 some later point in time)      they repay (at some
   are less powerful (of      later point in time) are
     lower value) than            less powerful (of
                               lower value) than the
the dollars they originally   dollars they originally
           loaned                     borrowed

                                                     8
The Money Supply

• “M1” is includes coins, currency,
  demand deposits and other negotiable
  accounts in the hands of the NON-
  BANK public.




                                         9
the “FED” actions
to recall and summarize ~

•To stimulate the economy the FED engages in
actions to increase the money supply

•To contract the economy the FED engages in
actions to decrease the money supply



                                               10
Three Tools of Monetary Policy
• the Discount Rate is an interest rate a central bank
  charges depository institutions borrowing reserves. For example
  the Federal Reserve's discount window

• the Reserve Requirement (or cash reserve ratio) is
  a central bank regulation setting the minimum fraction of
  customer deposits and notes each commercial bank must hold as
  reserves. These required reserves are in the form of cash stored
  physically in a bank vault or deposits made with a central bank

• Open Market Operations is an activity by a central
  bank to buy or sell government bonds on the open market. A
  central bank uses the government bonds as the primary means of
  implementing monetary policy


                                                                     11
How the FED influences the Money Supply
• to Increase the Money • to Decrease the Money
  Supply                    Supply
  – the FED can lower the   – the FED can raise the
    discount rate             discount rate
  – the FED can lower the   – the FED can raise the
    reserve requirement       reserve requirement
  – the FED can buy bonds   – the FED can sell bonds




                                                   12
Jefferson versus Hamilton
• Jefferson’s political philosophy
• Hamilton’s political philosophy
• Why would Jefferson be against
  a central bank?
• Why would Hamilton be for
  a central bank?



                                     13
Oz and the Election of 1896




                              14
1896
                    Bryan versus
                     McKinley
William J. Bryan                             William
                   • The Cross of Gold      McKinley
                   • Greenbacks or Silver




                                              15
Hard Money versus Soft Money
• Hard Money             • Soft Money
  – based upon gold        – based upon silver or
                             greenbacks
  – prevents inflation     – causes inflation
  – benefits lenders       – benefits borrowers
  – do the Republicans     – do the Democrats favor
    favor Hard Money…?       Soft Money...?

                                                  16
The Logic
• Soft Money (based upon greenbacks or
  silver) causes inflation
• Hard money (gold) causes price stability
  or deflation
• Borrowers (e.g. farmers and workers)
  like Soft Money
• Lenders (e.g. bankers) like Hard Money


                                         17
Who is Helped and Hurt by
 Unanticipated Inflation

  • The eastern bankers ~ lenders

  • Western farmers ~ borrowers

  • Industrial workers ~ borrowers


                                     18
what are the
        Measurements of Inflation
      • the Consumer Price (the “CPI”) measures
      changes in the price level of consumer goods and
      services purchased by households
      • the Producer Price Index (the “PPI”)
      measures average changes in prices received by
      domestic producers for their output
      • the Implicit Price Deflator is an indicator
      of the average increase in prices for all domestic
      personal consumption


                                                           19
Main Points
• The price level is determined by the relationship
  between the amount of goods and services in the
  economy and the amount of money
• Unanticipated inflation helps debtors and hurts
  creditors
• The FED influences the money supply through the
  discount rate, the reserve requirement and open
  market operations
• Changes in the money supply influence aggregate
  demand.

                                                      20

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Mpp#020+monetary.policy.(20)

  • 1. Monetary Policy the expected effects of the FED’s utilization of Monetary Policy to facilitate the economy’s growth 1
  • 2. The Price Level is determined by: The relationship between the amount of money in circulation and the amount of goods and services in the economy. Remember: MV = PQ 2
  • 3. the Equation of Exchange MV = PQ where: M is defined to be the money supply ~ currency + demand deposits + travelers’ checks = money since these items are used as a means of payment for purchases. where: V is defined to be the velocity of money ~ the average number of times a dollar is used to purchase a final product or service during the year. [= (GNP) / (M) ] where: P is the (general) price level where: Q is the quantity of goods and services produced 3
  • 4. Banks lend $5 with which Borrowers will buy a basket of goods and services $5 4
  • 5. At a later time ~ Borrowers repay the $5 which no longer buys the same basket of goods and services. $500 5
  • 6. This is why ~ Lenders hate inflation! Borrow w/IOU = $5 now a Comparable basket = $500 6
  • 7. How does “Soft Money” affect prices? • the supply of silver or greenbacks is greater than the supply of gold • the greater the money supply the less the price or value of each dollar • if the supply of money increases then prices go up and each dollar buys less • with inflation ~ lenders are nominally repaid in less valuable dollars. They lose. 7
  • 8. Winners & Losers Lenders lose purchasing Borrowers gain power because the purchasing power dollars they are repaid (at because the dollars some later point in time) they repay (at some are less powerful (of later point in time) are lower value) than less powerful (of lower value) than the the dollars they originally dollars they originally loaned borrowed 8
  • 9. The Money Supply • “M1” is includes coins, currency, demand deposits and other negotiable accounts in the hands of the NON- BANK public. 9
  • 10. the “FED” actions to recall and summarize ~ •To stimulate the economy the FED engages in actions to increase the money supply •To contract the economy the FED engages in actions to decrease the money supply 10
  • 11. Three Tools of Monetary Policy • the Discount Rate is an interest rate a central bank charges depository institutions borrowing reserves. For example the Federal Reserve's discount window • the Reserve Requirement (or cash reserve ratio) is a central bank regulation setting the minimum fraction of customer deposits and notes each commercial bank must hold as reserves. These required reserves are in the form of cash stored physically in a bank vault or deposits made with a central bank • Open Market Operations is an activity by a central bank to buy or sell government bonds on the open market. A central bank uses the government bonds as the primary means of implementing monetary policy 11
  • 12. How the FED influences the Money Supply • to Increase the Money • to Decrease the Money Supply Supply – the FED can lower the – the FED can raise the discount rate discount rate – the FED can lower the – the FED can raise the reserve requirement reserve requirement – the FED can buy bonds – the FED can sell bonds 12
  • 13. Jefferson versus Hamilton • Jefferson’s political philosophy • Hamilton’s political philosophy • Why would Jefferson be against a central bank? • Why would Hamilton be for a central bank? 13
  • 14. Oz and the Election of 1896 14
  • 15. 1896 Bryan versus McKinley William J. Bryan William • The Cross of Gold McKinley • Greenbacks or Silver 15
  • 16. Hard Money versus Soft Money • Hard Money • Soft Money – based upon gold – based upon silver or greenbacks – prevents inflation – causes inflation – benefits lenders – benefits borrowers – do the Republicans – do the Democrats favor favor Hard Money…? Soft Money...? 16
  • 17. The Logic • Soft Money (based upon greenbacks or silver) causes inflation • Hard money (gold) causes price stability or deflation • Borrowers (e.g. farmers and workers) like Soft Money • Lenders (e.g. bankers) like Hard Money 17
  • 18. Who is Helped and Hurt by Unanticipated Inflation • The eastern bankers ~ lenders • Western farmers ~ borrowers • Industrial workers ~ borrowers 18
  • 19. what are the Measurements of Inflation • the Consumer Price (the “CPI”) measures changes in the price level of consumer goods and services purchased by households • the Producer Price Index (the “PPI”) measures average changes in prices received by domestic producers for their output • the Implicit Price Deflator is an indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption 19
  • 20. Main Points • The price level is determined by the relationship between the amount of goods and services in the economy and the amount of money • Unanticipated inflation helps debtors and hurts creditors • The FED influences the money supply through the discount rate, the reserve requirement and open market operations • Changes in the money supply influence aggregate demand. 20