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CSCMP 2014 supply chain innovation us manf boom
- 1. Supply Chain Innovation: US Manufacturing Boom By Curtis Spencer President, IMS Worldwide Inc.
- 2. How Much RE-Shoring is Occurring? • Boston Consulting Group’s report in 2012 had everyone expecting “25% Re-Shoring to the USA in the next 5 years” Not going to happen! • However, we are seeing a resurgence in Mexican Manufacturing in auto, home goods and other “heavy products” for US consumption. • AND…we are seeing a huge ‘boom’ in basic, heavy manufacturing being started up in the USA-plastics, chemicals, steel, basic metals – all based around Cheap Natural Gas for the next 100 years.
- 3. Chemical, Resin and Plastics MFG. • 191 new or expansions in petrochemical processing • This is $117 billion in the US petrochemical industry • By 2020, the cumulative impact will boost real GDP by 2.0% to 3.3% • Creating from 2.7 million to as high as 3.6 million new jobs. • Representing cumulative capital investments totaling $117.0 billion in the United States, fully 62% of this is foreign direct investment. • 62% of this investment is foreign direct investment Source: American Chemical Council, 2014
- 4. Here is a look at the Evidence for Mexico! www.imsw.com Foreign Trade Zone, Logistics and Supply Chain Consulting
- 5. www.imsw.com Foreign Trade Zone, Logistics and Supply Chain Consulting
- 6. Since 2003, wages in Mexico have risen only 25% compared to 218% in China 5 SOURCE: International Labour Organization, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics U.S. Dollar www.imsw.com Foreign Trade Zone, Logistics and Supply Chain Consulting 2011-2013 WSJ
- 7. Supply Chain Innovation: Intermodal Routing New Options By Curtis Spencer President, IMS Worldwide Inc.
- 8. Shanghai to North American Ports: Slow Steaming Effects –2000 & 2014 Pricing as of June 20, 2014 From China, it takes about 2 wSoeuerckes: Stohi pbmrienngtL icnka.rcgomo (toEv e trhgree ewn)e Ssati ling Schedules coast and about 4 weeks to bring it in on the east coast. (2000) 35 17 34 36 36 17 $1,720 $3,214 $3,165 $1,200 $800
- 9. Seattle/ Tacoma Los Angeles / Long Beach Intermodal Routes to Major Inland Ports Lazaro Cardenas Oakland Chicago Dallas/ FW Atlanta Houston Cent. PA Norfolk Columbus Savannah / Charleston Prince Rupert Mexico City Memphis Kansas City NY/NJ Jacksonville Vancouver
- 10. East Coast-West Coast TEU Cost Line Equilibrium-September 2014 z Megapolitans Sources: Population, employment, and real estate growth forecasts by Robert Lang and Arthur Nelson of the Metropolitan Institute at Virginia Tech and Phil Hopkins of Global Insight; Business 2.0, November 2005 I-35 Corridor +40% Gulf Coast Belt +31% Cascadia +38% Norcal +35% Southland +35% Valley of the Sun +81% Great Lakes Horseshoe +10% Atlantic Seaboard +12% Southern Florida +52% Equilibrium Line Q2 2014 I-85 Corridor +35%
- 11. About IMS Worldwide Inc. • IMSW has completed over 325 FTZ Projects during 45 years. We have conducted 36 Logistics/Drayage studies for Industrial RE firms, RRs and land-owners. • We work with Large Gateway Zones (Houston, LA, Miami, Dallas, Chicago, PHX, El Paso and NJ) • We work with Fortune 1000 companies: Target, The Limited, Dell, Home Depot, Abbott Labs, TJX, Dicks Sporting Goods, CEVA, FedEx, UPS, Yusen, NFI, Nippon Express, etc. • We work with the largest REITs in the USA: LPT Prologis, Duke, Majestic, Clarion, USAA, IIT, etc. www.imsw.com Foreign Trade Zone, Logistics and Supply Chain Consulting
- 12. IMSW Overview of National FTZ and Strategic Development Projects 1977- 2014 www.imsw.com Foreign Trade Zone, Logistics and Supply Chain Consulting