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CrossborderINFORMA
                                                                           Research :: Analysis :: Insights
                                                             A review of recent business, industry & policy research
                                                  by CrossborderBusiness.com, a division of Crossborder Group
                                                                                                                                                       August 2010


            After Recession Pitstop, Is Mexico's Auto Industry Racing Ahead?
Since peaking in late-2008, the auto industry in Mexico has been just one of the casualties in the global
economic crisis: by January of 2009, production of passenger vehicles and light trucks at Mexican
manufacturing facilities had dropped by more than half – a situation that continued throughout much of
2009. As the crisis has abated, however, and
consumer demand has returned, a number of
indications exist that Mexico’s automotive industry
has not only largely recovered, but may accelerate
in 2011 and beyond:

   •   As seen at right, during the first six months
       of 2010, Mexico’s production of passenger
       vehicles and light trucks has turned around –
       averaging nearly 180,000 vehicles per
       month, and over 1 million vehicles so far
       this year;

   •   Also, despite recent negative reports about
       foreign investment generally, investors have
       actually brought more than US$15.7 billion
       in auto industry investments to Mexico
       between 2000 and 2009 – 86% of which
       flowed into just eight states of Mexico
       (including DF), making for a highly-
       concentrated market of OEMs and their                                       Distrito Federal                                         $3,704.8
       suppliers.
                                                                                         Chihuahua                               $2,831.8
More encouraging are new numbers that have                                                   Puebla                 $1,866.0
significant implications for Mexico’s automotive
                                                                                 Estado de México               $1,506.6
future: OEMs like Chrysler, Ford, GM, Nissan and
Volkswagen have all announced increased capacity                                        Nuevo León             $1,442.4
expansions and/or retrofits in Mexico during 2010 –
                                                                                        Guanajuato       $862.5
leading some industry analysts to estimate that                                                                            Top 8 States for
Mexico’s share of auto production will grow to                                             Coahuila      $712.1          Foreign Investment
nearly one-fifth of all North American vehicles by                                                                     in Automotive Industry
                                                                                    Aguascalientes       $676.9           (2000-2009, US$ millions)
the end of this decade.

Two examples of this future growth: Volkswagen’s mid-July announcement of a three-year, US$1
billion expansion of their Puebla manufacturing site (one that may also gain even more investment:
North America’s newest engine plant); and BMW’s announcement in June to increase auto supply
purchases from approximately US$615 million in 2009 to US$2.4 billion by 2012 – a high-octane boost to
suppliers (and industry stabilization) in Mexico.

Look for Crossborder’s more-detailed Mexico auto industry report available online September 1, 2010. For more
information or assistance with Mexico’s industries and opportunities, contact the binational research and
consulting staff of Crossborder Group at Answers@CrossborderBusiness.com
       Crossborder Research :: Strategies :: Market Entry Solutions :: 1.888.4XBORDER :: Answers@CrossborderBusiness.com
         Crossborder Group Inc.:
             Crossborder NS, S de RL de CV: Paseo de los Heroes 10289, Primer Piso 107-A, Zona Rio, Tijuana, Baja California 22010 MEXICO

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2010 - Crossborder Informa: Mexico Auto Industry Racing Ahead?

  • 1. CrossborderINFORMA Research :: Analysis :: Insights A review of recent business, industry & policy research by CrossborderBusiness.com, a division of Crossborder Group August 2010 After Recession Pitstop, Is Mexico's Auto Industry Racing Ahead? Since peaking in late-2008, the auto industry in Mexico has been just one of the casualties in the global economic crisis: by January of 2009, production of passenger vehicles and light trucks at Mexican manufacturing facilities had dropped by more than half – a situation that continued throughout much of 2009. As the crisis has abated, however, and consumer demand has returned, a number of indications exist that Mexico’s automotive industry has not only largely recovered, but may accelerate in 2011 and beyond: • As seen at right, during the first six months of 2010, Mexico’s production of passenger vehicles and light trucks has turned around – averaging nearly 180,000 vehicles per month, and over 1 million vehicles so far this year; • Also, despite recent negative reports about foreign investment generally, investors have actually brought more than US$15.7 billion in auto industry investments to Mexico between 2000 and 2009 – 86% of which flowed into just eight states of Mexico (including DF), making for a highly- concentrated market of OEMs and their Distrito Federal $3,704.8 suppliers. Chihuahua $2,831.8 More encouraging are new numbers that have Puebla $1,866.0 significant implications for Mexico’s automotive Estado de México $1,506.6 future: OEMs like Chrysler, Ford, GM, Nissan and Volkswagen have all announced increased capacity Nuevo León $1,442.4 expansions and/or retrofits in Mexico during 2010 – Guanajuato $862.5 leading some industry analysts to estimate that Top 8 States for Mexico’s share of auto production will grow to Coahuila $712.1 Foreign Investment nearly one-fifth of all North American vehicles by in Automotive Industry Aguascalientes $676.9 (2000-2009, US$ millions) the end of this decade. Two examples of this future growth: Volkswagen’s mid-July announcement of a three-year, US$1 billion expansion of their Puebla manufacturing site (one that may also gain even more investment: North America’s newest engine plant); and BMW’s announcement in June to increase auto supply purchases from approximately US$615 million in 2009 to US$2.4 billion by 2012 – a high-octane boost to suppliers (and industry stabilization) in Mexico. Look for Crossborder’s more-detailed Mexico auto industry report available online September 1, 2010. For more information or assistance with Mexico’s industries and opportunities, contact the binational research and consulting staff of Crossborder Group at Answers@CrossborderBusiness.com Crossborder Research :: Strategies :: Market Entry Solutions :: 1.888.4XBORDER :: Answers@CrossborderBusiness.com Crossborder Group Inc.: Crossborder NS, S de RL de CV: Paseo de los Heroes 10289, Primer Piso 107-A, Zona Rio, Tijuana, Baja California 22010 MEXICO