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PrEP and ChemSex: Looking forward
1. PrEP and ChemSex
– looking forward
Sheena McCormack
MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL
56 Dean Street
2. What is PrEP?
Drug given to HIV uninfected
individuals before exposure to
HIV
Currently tenofovir or Truvada
Currently tablets taken daily or
before and after sex
3. The plan
Scene setting
PrEP works, but we needed 2
more trials in Europe
PrEP and ChemSex
4.
5. HIV infections diagnosed among MSM in Europe have
increased during the last decade
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
10000
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Numberofdiagnosedcases
Year of diagnosis
Men who have sex with men
Heterosexual cases,
excluding cases from
countries with generalised
HIV epidemics
Heterosexual cases from
countries with generalised
HIV epidemics
Injecting drug use
+33%
-61%
-36%
ECDC/WHO (2014). HIV/AIDS Surveillance in Europe, 2013.
-14%
6. Hughes and Field, Future Microbiol, (2015) 10(1), 35-51
STI diagnoses in MSM in England
7. STIs by HIV status in MSM in England
Malek, Mitchell et al Euro Surveill. 2015;20(15):pii=21093.
http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=21093
8. 2010: iPrEX reports modest benefit
with daily Truvada for gay men and
transgender women
2011: Partners PrEP report large
benefit with daily tenofovir or Truvada
in heterosexuals
2012: IPERGAY and PROUD start
PrEP timeline
9. PROUD Pilot
GMSM reporting AI no condom last/next 90days; 18+;
and willing to take a pill every day
Risk reduction includes
Truvada AFTER 12M
Randomize HIV negative MSM
(exclude if treatment for HBV/Truvada contra-indicated)
McCormack, Dunn et al, Lancet, 09 September 2015
Follow 3 monthly for HIV and STIs up to 24 months
Risk reduction includes
Truvada NOW
10. Study Design
•HIV negative high risk MSM
•Condomless anal sex
with > 2 partners within 6 m
•eGFR > 60 mL/mn
Full prevention services*
TDF/FTC before and after sex
Full prevention services*
Placebo before and after sex
* Counseling, condoms and gels, testing and treatment for STIs, vaccination for HBV and HAV, PEP
End-point driven study : with 64 HIV-1 infections, 80% power to detect a 50% relative
decrease in HIV-1 incidence with TDF/FTC (expected incidence: 3/100 PY with placebo)
Follow-up visits: month 1, 2 and every two months thereafter
Double-Blinded Randomized Placebo-Controlled Trial
www.ipergay.fr
11. Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
Ipergay : Event-Driven iPrEP
2 tablets (TDF/FTC or placebo)
2-24 hours before sex
1 tablet (TDF/FTC or placebo)
24 hours later
1 tablet (TDF/FTC or placebo)
48 hours after first intake
12. HIV Incidence
Group No. of
infections
Follow-up
(PY)
Incidence
(per 100 PY)
90% CI
Overall 23 465.6 4.9 3.4–6.8
Immediate 3 243.5 1.2 0.4–2.9
Deferred 20 222.1 9.0 6.1–12.8
Effectiveness =86% (90% CI: 64 – 96%)
P value =0.0001
Rate Difference =7.8 (90% CI: 4.3 – 11.3)
Number Needed to Treat =13 (90% CI: 9 – 23)
13. KM Estimates of Time to
HIV-1 Infection (mITT Population)
Mean follow-up of 13 months: 16 subjects infected
14 in placebo arm (incidence: 6.6 per 100 PY), 2 in TDF/FTC arm (incidence: 0.94 per 100 PY)
86% relative reduction in the incidence of HIV-1 (95% CI: 40-99, p=0.002)
NNT for one year to prevent one infection : 18
14. Conclusions
HIV incidence – was much higher than
expected in both trials
Despite extensive use of PEP in PROUD (174
courses for 85(31%) of DEF participants)
Effectiveness – was greater in the real world
than preceding placebo controlled trials, and the
IPERGAY instruction worked just as well as daily
Other STIs – were no greater in those on PrEP
or not on PrEP in PROUD; very common in both
study populations
15. Europe’s response to 2 trials
ECDC updated statement
Cost-effectiveness and
Appropriate models of care and access to be
addressed in Member States
EACS draft guidelines
Daily for MSM and others
Event-based for MSM
Demonstration projects/national policies
Amsterdam, then Antwerp started
Several countries working on national policy
France approved a programme (January 2016);
NHS England has not
16.
17. January 2015, 182 PEPSE scripts
76/182 (42%) reported ChemSex
49/182 (27%) reported group sex (≥2)
ChemSex and group sex
37/76 (49%) on Chems reported group sex
37/49 (76%) having group sex on Chems
PEP and ChemSex in Dean St1
1Nektarios Antoniou (personal communication)
18. Rectal sexually transmitted infections
(gonorrhoea and chlamydia)
≥2 partners in the last 3 months
Explain majority of HIV seroconversions
ChemSex in the last 3 months
Explain all HIV seroconversions
PEP in the last year
Drivers of HIV in PROUD1
1Lancet letters, 08 April 2016
19. G/meph/crystal before starting PrEP
231(44%)/525 Nov12-Apr141
G/meph/crystal during PrEP
187(46%)/408 – 56(14%)/408 injecting
Sep2015 extract2
212(51%)/417 - 74(18%)/417 injecting
Mar2016 extract2
PrEP and ChemSex in PROUD
1Dolling D et al Trials, Mar2016
2Ellen White (personal communication)
22. Adherence Assessed by CASIs
PrEP use during the last sexual intercourse
1212 sexual intercourses assessed in 319 participants
% PrEP Use
(min-max)
TDF/FTC
n = 649 acts
Placebo
n = 563 acts
Total
% (min-max)
Correct use* 45 (36-57) 40 (22-49) 43 (35-51)
Suboptimal use 27 (14-35) 31 (18-44) 29 (20-38)
No PrEP 27 (15-37) 29 (24-44) 28 (20-38)
* According to the protocol, or at least one pill before and one pill after sex
23. Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Saturday Sunday
Ipergay : Event-Driven iPrEP
2 tablets (TDF/FTC or placebo)
2-24 hours before sex
1 tablet (TDF/FTC or placebo)
24 hours later
1 tablet (TDF/FTC or placebo)
48 hours after first intake
24. Concluding thoughts
Overwhelming evidence that PrEP adds benefit -
even to a very high standard of prevention
Overwhelming evidence of need in a sub-
population of MSM in Europe
We need to better understand ChemSex motivations
and behaviours to identify those that need
additional support – it’s certainly not all
HIV prevalence is >5% in 12 EU countries; sub-populations of MSM have higher risk as do some other groups.
9
10
86% reduction is greater than seen in placebo-controlled HIV prevention trials prior to Ipergay.
The 90% confidence interval gives us 95% confidence around the lower bound of 58% reduction. The 95% lower bound is 52% - both exceed the 50% reduction we considered would make a useful impact on our epidemic.
Rate difference is important for public health as it informs the number who would need to be treated. The number of gay men who need to be treated for one year to avert one infection is very low – only 13.