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A Workshop on
“Rankometrics”: or What’s
good and what’s downright
  dangerous about using
      Bibliometrics
           Les Oxley
    University of Canterbury
Rankometrics Workshop: A Roadmap


  Discussion of rankings
  Some definitions
    Old
    New
  Some examples from economics (we have
   others for management and sciences and we
   present some results on neuroscience
   journals) and analysis
  Some suggestions
Joint work with Chialin Chang & Michael
                     McAleer
1. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) Great Expectatrics: Great
   Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics. Econometric Reviews,
   30(6):583–619,

2. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What makes a great journal
   great in economics? The singer not the song. Journal of Economic
   Surveys, 25, 2, 326-361.

3. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What Makes a Great Journal
   Great in the Sciences? Which Came First, the Chicken or the Egg?
   Scientometrics, 87, 17-40.

4. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) How are Journal Impact,
   Prestige and Article Influence Related? An Application to Neuroscience
   Jnl. Applied Statistics, (to appear)
   http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2011.559212

5. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011). Article Influence Score =
   5YIF divided by 2. Revise and resubmit, Journal of the American Society for
   Information Science and Technology
„All this is obvious I know all
this‟...‟or I don‟t care anyway...‟

   Research Assessment Exercises
      Suggestions to move to a full set of metrics-based
       assessments.
      It doesn't matter whether you use Scopus, Google or
       ISI, a simple algorithm to assess research is dangerous
      PBRF avoided metrics and encouraged peer-review –
       good idea, but...
      Currently halo-effect of a journal is „HUGE‟ and we
       hope to show dominated by a few great papers
   Hiring and firing decisions
      Typically use (somewhere in process) simple
       (simplistic) metrics-based assessments
What do you know about rankings
       and rankometrics?


 Who has heard of Thomson Reuters ISI Web
  of Science?
 Who has heard of “Impact Factor”
 Who has heard of “Eigenfactor Score”?
 Who has heard of “Article Influence”?
 Who has heard of “h-index”?
 Who has heard of “Immediacy”?
What do you know about rankings
and rankometrics?


  Who has heard of “ Impact Factor Inflation
   (IFI) score”?
  Who has heard of “C3PO (Citation
   Performance Per Paper Online)”
  Who has heard of “PI-BETA” as a measure of
   Zinfluence?
  Who has heard of “Selfcitation Threshold
   Approval Rating (STAR) score”? Close
   cousins are H-STAR and 2YSTAR.
Thomson Reuters ISI


  ISI Web of Science (2010): “Authoritative,
   multidisciplinary content covers over 10,000 of
   the highest impact journals worldwide,
   including Open Access journals and over
   110,000 conference proceedings.”
  Institute for Scientific Information (ISI)
   was founded by Eugene Garfield in 1960. It
   was acquired by Thomson Scientific &
   Healthcare in 1992, became known
   as Thomson ISI and now as Thomson
   Scientific.
Impact Factor

  2-year impact factor (2YIF):
  The classic 2-year impact factor (2YIF) of an ISI journal
   is typically referred to as “THE impact factor”, and is
   calculated annually.
  As is widely known, impact factors are journal impact
   factors, and are intended to evaluate journals
   rather than papers published in journals.
  For a JCR year, the 2YIF of an ISI journal is defined as
     ” Total citations in a JCR year to papers published in an ISI
      journal in the previous 2 years/Total papers published in an ISI
      journal in the previous 2 years”.
     For the JCR year 2008, total citations are for papers published in
      years 2006 and 2007, as are the total papers published in an ISI
      journal.
Eigenfactor score

  The Eigenfactor score (Bergstrom (2007), Bergstrom,
   West and Wiseman (2008)) is a modified 5YIF, and is
   calculated annually.
  For a JCR year, the Eigenfactor algorithm (see
   www.eigenfactor.org/methods.htm) ranks journals
   according to the amount of time researchers are logged
   on to a journal‟s website.
  It “Weights each reference according to a
   stochastic measure of the amount of time
   researchers spend reading the journal” (ISI
   (2010)).
h-index
    The h-index (Hirsch, 2005)) was proposed to assess the
     scientific research productivity and citations impact of
     individual researchers.
    Although the h-index can also be calculated for journals,. it should
     be interpreted as assessing the impact or influence of highly
     cited publications in ISI journals
    The h-index of an ISI journal on any given day is based on cited and
     citing papers, including self citations of ISI journals, and is defined
     as
    “h-index = each of h papers in an ISI journal has been cited at
     least h times in ISI journals.” The h-index for 4 June 2010 is
     based on total citations and total papers up to and including 3 June
     2010.
    There are now a number of modification to the „h‟ index to
         „g‟ index (Egghe 2006)
         ‘m’ index and ‘m quotient’
Article Influence

  The Article Influence score measures the relative
   importance of an ISI journal on a per-article basis, and
   is a standardized Eigenfactor score.
  Like the Eigenfactor score, Article Influence is
   calculated annually.
  For a JCR year, Article Influence of an ISI journal is
   defined as “Eigenfactor score divided by the
   fraction of all ISI articles published by the ISI
   journal.”
Immediacy:


  Immediacy is a zero-year impact factor
   (0YIF) of an ISI journal, and is calculated
   annually.
  For a JCR year, Immediacy of an ISI journal is
   defined as
  “Total citations to papers published in an
   ISI journal in a JCR year/Total papers
   published in an ISI journal in a JCR year.”
  For the JCR year 2008, total citations are for
   papers published in year 2008, as are the total
   papers published in an ISI journal.
Some new RAM (Research
Assessment Measures)


  2-year impact factor without self citations
   (2YIF*):
  ISI also reports a 2-year impact factor that
   excludes journal self citations (that is,
   citations to a journal in which a citing paper is
   published). We will refer to this RAM measure
   as 2YIF*.
Some new RAM (Research
Assessment Measures)


  IFI: The ratio of 2YIF to 2YIF* is intended to
   capture how journal self citations inflate the
   impact factor of a journal. The Impact Factor
   Inflation (IFI) score is defined for a JCR
   year as:
    Definition: “IFI score = 2YIF/2YIF*”.
     The minimum value for IFI is 1, with any
     value above the minimum capturing the effect
     of journal self citations on the 2-year impact
     factor.
Some new RAM (Research
Assessment Measures)


  STAR: ISI has implicitly recognized the inflation in
     journal self citations by calculating an impact factor that
     excludes self citations, and provides data on journal self
     citations, both historically and for the preceding two
     years in calculating 2YIF.
  We suggest a new RAM, namely the Self-citation
   Threshold Approval Rating (STAR) score, which is
   the difference between citations in other journals and
   journal self citations. If S = journal self citations (in per
   cent), the STAR score is defined as:
    Definition: “STAR score = [(100-S) - S]
     = (100-2S)”.
Some new RAM (Research
Assessment Measures)

  PI-BETA: Measures the proportion of
   papers in a journal that has NEVER been
   cited, which is, in effect, a rejection rate
   after journal publication.
  Chang et al. (2010) argue that lack of
   citations of a published paper, especially over
   an extended period, may detract from the
   quality of a journal by exposing:
  (i) what might be considered as incorrect
   decisions by the editorial board of a journal;
   and (ii) the lost opportunities of papers that
   might have been cited had they not been
   rejected by the journal.
RAM – summary of definitions
Economics #1
Rankings of RAMs
In words....

   (1) 2YIF ranges from (1.369, 5.048), with a mean of
    2.243 (median of 1.843).
   (2) The lower 2YIF* range is (0.708, 4.763), with a
    mean of 2.002 (median of 1.717).
   (3) These two sets of RAM lead to the IFI score, which
    has a range of (1.000, 1.999), and mean 1.169 (median
    of 1.087).
   Thus, on average, journal self citations inflate 2YIF* to
    2YIF by a factor of 1.169.
      Journal of Business & Economic Statistics and Journal of Law,
       Economics & Organization have IFI scores of 1, which involves no
       journal self citations, while three journals have IFI scores of
       1.846, 1.925 and 1.999, which might seem a little
       excessive.
In words...

   Immediacy (or 0YIF) ranges from (0, 0.842),
    with a mean of 0.386 (median of 0.333),
    which is much smaller than for their two-year
    counterparts.
   (6) Journal h-index ranges from (10, 149) for
    Journal of Common Market Studies and
    American Economic Review, respectively, with
    a mean of 61 (median of 57).
   Each of the first six most highly cited journals
    (based on 2YIF) also has an h-index that
    exceeds 100, indicating their influence on the
    profession.
In words....

   (8) PI-BETA scores are revealing in that the range
    is (0.055, 0.856) for Quarterly Journal of
    Economics and Journal of Economic Literature,
    respectively, with a mean of 0.262 (median of
    0.212).
   Thus, on average, 26.2% of published articles are
    not cited (even by the author), with one journal
    having 85.6% of articles not cited, and six
    journals with more than one-half of all articles not
    cited.
Some things to be aware of...


  MIA: Missing in Action (citations)
     It is also important to note that correct ISI citations
      can be affected by misspellings of the titles of
      journals and names of authors; incorrect use of
      author‟s initials; and incorrect year of publication,
      volume number, and/or the starting page number of
      the ISI journal article.
     Two examples:
Some things to be aware of...
  The specification test of J.A. Hausman (Econometrica,
   1978, 46(6), 1251-1271), has citations variously
   recorded under J. Hausman and J.A. Hausman, and with
   numerous variations in the year, volume, and starting
   page number, leading to an additional 118 citations
   relative to 2,495 correct citations, with an error rate of
   almost 5%
  The cointegration analysis paper of R.F. Engle and
   C.W.J. Granger (Econometrica, 1987, 55(2), 251-
   276), has citations variously recorded under R. Engle
   and R.F. Engle, and with numerous variations in the
   year, volume, and starting page number, leading to an
   additional 205 citations relative to 4,252 correct
   citations, with an error rate of almost 5%
    We did not check for spelling variations on the names of any
     authors, otherwise the permutations would be never-ending
What about Scopus?
What about Scopus?
What about other disciplines?
What about other disciplines?
Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
Some References

1. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) Great Expectatrics: Great
   Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics. Econometric Reviews,
   30(6):583–619,

2. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What makes a great journal
   great in economics? The singer not the song. Journal of Economic
   Surveys, 25, 2, 326-361.

3. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What Makes a Great Journal
   Great in the Sciences? Which Came First, the Chicken or the Egg?
   Scientometrics, 87, 17-40.

4. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) How are Journal Impact,
   Prestige and Article Influence Related? An Application to Neuroscience
   Jnl. Applied Statistics, (to appear)
   http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2011.559212

5. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011). Article Influence Score =
   5YIF divided by 2. Revise and resubmit, Journal of the American Society for
   Information Science and Technology

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Rankometrics / Bibliometrics - Les Oxley

  • 1. A Workshop on “Rankometrics”: or What’s good and what’s downright dangerous about using Bibliometrics Les Oxley University of Canterbury
  • 2. Rankometrics Workshop: A Roadmap  Discussion of rankings  Some definitions  Old  New  Some examples from economics (we have others for management and sciences and we present some results on neuroscience journals) and analysis  Some suggestions
  • 3. Joint work with Chialin Chang & Michael McAleer 1. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics. Econometric Reviews, 30(6):583–619, 2. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What makes a great journal great in economics? The singer not the song. Journal of Economic Surveys, 25, 2, 326-361. 3. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What Makes a Great Journal Great in the Sciences? Which Came First, the Chicken or the Egg? Scientometrics, 87, 17-40. 4. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) How are Journal Impact, Prestige and Article Influence Related? An Application to Neuroscience Jnl. Applied Statistics, (to appear) http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2011.559212 5. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011). Article Influence Score = 5YIF divided by 2. Revise and resubmit, Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology
  • 4. „All this is obvious I know all this‟...‟or I don‟t care anyway...‟  Research Assessment Exercises  Suggestions to move to a full set of metrics-based assessments.  It doesn't matter whether you use Scopus, Google or ISI, a simple algorithm to assess research is dangerous  PBRF avoided metrics and encouraged peer-review – good idea, but...  Currently halo-effect of a journal is „HUGE‟ and we hope to show dominated by a few great papers  Hiring and firing decisions  Typically use (somewhere in process) simple (simplistic) metrics-based assessments
  • 5. What do you know about rankings and rankometrics?  Who has heard of Thomson Reuters ISI Web of Science?  Who has heard of “Impact Factor”  Who has heard of “Eigenfactor Score”?  Who has heard of “Article Influence”?  Who has heard of “h-index”?  Who has heard of “Immediacy”?
  • 6. What do you know about rankings and rankometrics?  Who has heard of “ Impact Factor Inflation (IFI) score”?  Who has heard of “C3PO (Citation Performance Per Paper Online)”  Who has heard of “PI-BETA” as a measure of Zinfluence?  Who has heard of “Selfcitation Threshold Approval Rating (STAR) score”? Close cousins are H-STAR and 2YSTAR.
  • 7. Thomson Reuters ISI  ISI Web of Science (2010): “Authoritative, multidisciplinary content covers over 10,000 of the highest impact journals worldwide, including Open Access journals and over 110,000 conference proceedings.”  Institute for Scientific Information (ISI) was founded by Eugene Garfield in 1960. It was acquired by Thomson Scientific & Healthcare in 1992, became known as Thomson ISI and now as Thomson Scientific.
  • 8. Impact Factor  2-year impact factor (2YIF):  The classic 2-year impact factor (2YIF) of an ISI journal is typically referred to as “THE impact factor”, and is calculated annually.  As is widely known, impact factors are journal impact factors, and are intended to evaluate journals rather than papers published in journals.  For a JCR year, the 2YIF of an ISI journal is defined as  ” Total citations in a JCR year to papers published in an ISI journal in the previous 2 years/Total papers published in an ISI journal in the previous 2 years”.  For the JCR year 2008, total citations are for papers published in years 2006 and 2007, as are the total papers published in an ISI journal.
  • 9. Eigenfactor score  The Eigenfactor score (Bergstrom (2007), Bergstrom, West and Wiseman (2008)) is a modified 5YIF, and is calculated annually.  For a JCR year, the Eigenfactor algorithm (see www.eigenfactor.org/methods.htm) ranks journals according to the amount of time researchers are logged on to a journal‟s website.  It “Weights each reference according to a stochastic measure of the amount of time researchers spend reading the journal” (ISI (2010)).
  • 10. h-index  The h-index (Hirsch, 2005)) was proposed to assess the scientific research productivity and citations impact of individual researchers.  Although the h-index can also be calculated for journals,. it should be interpreted as assessing the impact or influence of highly cited publications in ISI journals  The h-index of an ISI journal on any given day is based on cited and citing papers, including self citations of ISI journals, and is defined as  “h-index = each of h papers in an ISI journal has been cited at least h times in ISI journals.” The h-index for 4 June 2010 is based on total citations and total papers up to and including 3 June 2010.  There are now a number of modification to the „h‟ index to  „g‟ index (Egghe 2006)  ‘m’ index and ‘m quotient’
  • 11. Article Influence  The Article Influence score measures the relative importance of an ISI journal on a per-article basis, and is a standardized Eigenfactor score.  Like the Eigenfactor score, Article Influence is calculated annually.  For a JCR year, Article Influence of an ISI journal is defined as “Eigenfactor score divided by the fraction of all ISI articles published by the ISI journal.”
  • 12. Immediacy:  Immediacy is a zero-year impact factor (0YIF) of an ISI journal, and is calculated annually.  For a JCR year, Immediacy of an ISI journal is defined as  “Total citations to papers published in an ISI journal in a JCR year/Total papers published in an ISI journal in a JCR year.”  For the JCR year 2008, total citations are for papers published in year 2008, as are the total papers published in an ISI journal.
  • 13. Some new RAM (Research Assessment Measures)  2-year impact factor without self citations (2YIF*):  ISI also reports a 2-year impact factor that excludes journal self citations (that is, citations to a journal in which a citing paper is published). We will refer to this RAM measure as 2YIF*.
  • 14. Some new RAM (Research Assessment Measures)  IFI: The ratio of 2YIF to 2YIF* is intended to capture how journal self citations inflate the impact factor of a journal. The Impact Factor Inflation (IFI) score is defined for a JCR year as:  Definition: “IFI score = 2YIF/2YIF*”.  The minimum value for IFI is 1, with any value above the minimum capturing the effect of journal self citations on the 2-year impact factor.
  • 15. Some new RAM (Research Assessment Measures)  STAR: ISI has implicitly recognized the inflation in journal self citations by calculating an impact factor that excludes self citations, and provides data on journal self citations, both historically and for the preceding two years in calculating 2YIF.  We suggest a new RAM, namely the Self-citation Threshold Approval Rating (STAR) score, which is the difference between citations in other journals and journal self citations. If S = journal self citations (in per cent), the STAR score is defined as:  Definition: “STAR score = [(100-S) - S] = (100-2S)”.
  • 16. Some new RAM (Research Assessment Measures)  PI-BETA: Measures the proportion of papers in a journal that has NEVER been cited, which is, in effect, a rejection rate after journal publication.  Chang et al. (2010) argue that lack of citations of a published paper, especially over an extended period, may detract from the quality of a journal by exposing:  (i) what might be considered as incorrect decisions by the editorial board of a journal; and (ii) the lost opportunities of papers that might have been cited had they not been rejected by the journal.
  • 17. RAM – summary of definitions
  • 20. In words....  (1) 2YIF ranges from (1.369, 5.048), with a mean of 2.243 (median of 1.843).  (2) The lower 2YIF* range is (0.708, 4.763), with a mean of 2.002 (median of 1.717).  (3) These two sets of RAM lead to the IFI score, which has a range of (1.000, 1.999), and mean 1.169 (median of 1.087).  Thus, on average, journal self citations inflate 2YIF* to 2YIF by a factor of 1.169.  Journal of Business & Economic Statistics and Journal of Law, Economics & Organization have IFI scores of 1, which involves no journal self citations, while three journals have IFI scores of 1.846, 1.925 and 1.999, which might seem a little excessive.
  • 21. In words...  Immediacy (or 0YIF) ranges from (0, 0.842), with a mean of 0.386 (median of 0.333), which is much smaller than for their two-year counterparts.  (6) Journal h-index ranges from (10, 149) for Journal of Common Market Studies and American Economic Review, respectively, with a mean of 61 (median of 57).  Each of the first six most highly cited journals (based on 2YIF) also has an h-index that exceeds 100, indicating their influence on the profession.
  • 22. In words....  (8) PI-BETA scores are revealing in that the range is (0.055, 0.856) for Quarterly Journal of Economics and Journal of Economic Literature, respectively, with a mean of 0.262 (median of 0.212).  Thus, on average, 26.2% of published articles are not cited (even by the author), with one journal having 85.6% of articles not cited, and six journals with more than one-half of all articles not cited.
  • 23. Some things to be aware of...  MIA: Missing in Action (citations)  It is also important to note that correct ISI citations can be affected by misspellings of the titles of journals and names of authors; incorrect use of author‟s initials; and incorrect year of publication, volume number, and/or the starting page number of the ISI journal article.  Two examples:
  • 24. Some things to be aware of...  The specification test of J.A. Hausman (Econometrica, 1978, 46(6), 1251-1271), has citations variously recorded under J. Hausman and J.A. Hausman, and with numerous variations in the year, volume, and starting page number, leading to an additional 118 citations relative to 2,495 correct citations, with an error rate of almost 5%  The cointegration analysis paper of R.F. Engle and C.W.J. Granger (Econometrica, 1987, 55(2), 251- 276), has citations variously recorded under R. Engle and R.F. Engle, and with numerous variations in the year, volume, and starting page number, leading to an additional 205 citations relative to 4,252 correct citations, with an error rate of almost 5%  We did not check for spelling variations on the names of any authors, otherwise the permutations would be never-ending
  • 27. What about other disciplines?
  • 28. What about other disciplines?
  • 29. Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
  • 30. Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
  • 31. Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
  • 32. Some simple metrics: Neuroscience
  • 33. Some References 1. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) Great Expectatrics: Great Papers, Great Journals, Great Econometrics. Econometric Reviews, 30(6):583–619, 2. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What makes a great journal great in economics? The singer not the song. Journal of Economic Surveys, 25, 2, 326-361. 3. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) What Makes a Great Journal Great in the Sciences? Which Came First, the Chicken or the Egg? Scientometrics, 87, 17-40. 4. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011) How are Journal Impact, Prestige and Article Influence Related? An Application to Neuroscience Jnl. Applied Statistics, (to appear) http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/02664763.2011.559212 5. Chang, C-L, McAleer, M., and Oxley, L., (2011). Article Influence Score = 5YIF divided by 2. Revise and resubmit, Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology