SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 94
Welcome
2020 Strategic Outlook
David Sung, President
• Ebola
• SARS
• Coronavirus
• Terrorism
• Fear Politics
• Climate
Change
• Bitcoin
• Cannabis
• Tesla
“I could
calculate the
motions of the
heavenly bodies,
but not the
madness of the
people.”
- Sir Isaac Newton
Bubbles and The Madness of Crowds
• The Roaring
20’s Bubble
• Dot-Com
Bubble
• 2008 Global
Housing
Bubble
HAVE
A PLAN
Where You
Are Now
Where You
Are Trying
To Go
The “All Weather” Portfolio
^ This is a blended benchmark of 4 indices minus 1% management fee: Citi World Government Bond, FTSE TMX DEX Universe Bond, MSCI World, S&P TSX Composite
$0.00
$500,000.00
$1,000,000.00
$1,500,000.00
$2,000,000.00
$2,500,000.00
$3,000,000.00
$3,500,000.00
$4,000,000.00
$4,500,000.00
Dec-99
Dec-00
Dec-01
Dec-02
Dec-03
Dec-04
Dec-05
Dec-06
Dec-07
Dec-08
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Dec-14
Dec-15
Dec-16
Dec-17
Dec-18
Dec-19
Nicola Wealth vs. The Marketplace
Nicola Core
Performance (net of
fees)
S&P 500 (CAD)
60/40 Model Portfolio
(minus 1%
management fee)
MSCI World (CAD)
6.97%
4.19%
5.56%
4.57%
^
Past 20 Years
• Tech Bubble
• Sept 911 Attack
• Iraq Invasion
• Mad Cow
• SARS
• 2008 Credit
• Ebola Outbreak
• Brexit Vote
-2.78%
Last Week: The Numbers
Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri 1 Week Drop% Year-To-Date
The Dow Jones
Nicola Wealth
Core Portfolio
1000, 900, 125, 1200, 350 = 3,500 - 10.76% $CAD - 7.43% $CAD
- 2.82% $CAD - 0.77% $CAD
SENSATIONALIST
2020 Strategic Outlook
Rob Edel, Chief Investment Officer
Our
Agenda
2021 and Beyond
2020 Outlook2019 in Review
Investment Lineup
2019 in Review – Global Markets 2019 vs 2018
S&P 500
31.5%
22.8%
27.7%
19.8%
18.6%
2.3%
7.1%
3.0%
13.3%
14.5%
14.3%
8.6%
13.1%
6.1%
0.3%
34.5%
18.3%
-0.9%
-5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0%
U.S.
Canada
Europe
Asia-Pacific
Emerging Markets
Treasury bills
Treasuries
German Bunds
EM sovereign dollar
U.S. investment-grade
U.S. high-yield
U.S. leveraged loans
EM dollar bonds
European i-grade
European high-yield
WTI crude
Gold
Industrial metals
-8.9%
-4.4%
-10.3%
-13.1%
-14.3%
1.9%
0.9%
2.4%
-4.2%
-2.5%
-2.1%
0.4%
-1.9%
-6.3%
-8.2%
-24.8%
-1.6%
-18.1%
-30.0% -25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0%
World
U.S.
Europe
Asia-Pacific
Emerging Markets
Treasury bills
Treasuries
German Bunds
EM sovereign dollar
U.S. investment-grade
U.S. high-yield
U.S. leveraged loans
EM dollar bonds
European i-grade
European high-yield
WTI crude
Gold
Industrial metals
2019 in Review – 10 Year Global Markets vs Luxury Index (Knight Frank)
S&P 500
13.5%
6.9%
8.7%
6.6%
4.0%
0.6%
3.1%
3.6%
6.7%
5.5%
7.6%
5.0%
6.3%
2.3%
5.4%
-2.1%
3.3%
-1.8%
-5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0%
U.S.
Canada
Europe
Asia-Pacific
Emerging Markets
Treasury bills
Treasuries
German Bunds
EM sovereign dollar
U.S. investment-grade
U.S. high-yield
U.S. leveraged loans
EM dollar bonds
European i-grade
European high-yield
WTI crude
Gold
Industrial metals
-3.5%
5.0%
5.1%
7.2%
7.4%
9.2%
9.4%
11.2%
11.3%
20.4%
-5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
2019 in Review – S&P 500
S&P 500
Monetary
policy
Trade War
S&P 500
East
16 Teams
Duke #1
West
16 Teams
Gonzaga #1
South
16 Teams
Virginia #1
Midwest
16 Teams
North Carolina
#1
F
I
N
A
L
F
O
U
R
F
I
N
A
L
F
O
U
R
National
Championship
Virginia
??? ???
1. Phase One Holds
4. Phase One Falters
2. Tariffs Lowered
3. Trade War Europe
1. Trump Re-Elected
4. Biden Elected
2. Bernie Elected
3. Bloomberg Elected
1. Slow Recovery
4. Strong Growth
2. China Recession
3. Recession
1. On Hold
???
4. Negative Rates
2. More Cuts
3. Raises Rates
Trade War
US Election
Global
Growth
The Fed
S&P 500
US
China
Trade
War
2020 Outlook – US/China Trade Deal
WSJ – Jan 17, 2020
Tariff Relief
• Cut in half 15% on $120 B
• Postpone 15% on $160 B
Tariffs still in effect
• 7.5% on $120 B
• 25% on $250 B
1. Phase One Holds
4. Phase One Falters
2. Tariffs Lowered
3. Trade War Europe
1. Phase One Holds
1. Phase One Holds
2. Tariffs Lowered
Evaluation Phase One
- After US election
Phase Two
Industrial Subsidies
- After US Election
S&P 500
From 2017
 US increases from 9%
to 17% Share of
Chinese imports
WSJ – Jan 16, 2020
2020 Outlook – US/China Trade Deal
+$78 billion
+$32 billion
+$52 billion
+$38 billion
2020
US
Election
RBC Capital Markets
The Mood of the Market
Dec 17, 2019
Do you think Trump will win
the White House in the 2020
election?
2020 Outlook – US Election
March2019Survey
June2019Survey
September2019Survey
December2019Survey
1. Trump Re-Elected
1. Trump Re-Elected
1. Trump Re-Elected
4. Biden Elected
2. Bernie Elected
3. Bloomberg Elected
2. Bernie Elected
Since 1900 only three incumbent presidents have lost re-election in past
100 years: Herbert Hoover, Jimmy Carter, HW Bush
All 10 who have sought re-election without recession have won
Gallup Feb 2020 poll: 63% back Trump’s handling of the economy.
Highest in 20 years.
However, in past 30 years only 2 presidents have won by more than 4%
2020 Outlook – US Election
The RBC Macroscope – Jan 6, 2020 Strategas – Feb 19, 2020
Washington Post
Sanders spending plan, $51 trillion over 10 years
• WSJ, up to $97.5 trillion
S&P 500
2020 Outlook – Global Economy
RBC Capital Market 2020New Year Preview Global Macro - Jan 20, 2020
1. Slow Recovery
1. Slow Recovery
1. Slow Recovery
4. Strong Growth
2. China Recession
3. Recession
Global
Economy
2. China Recession
S&P 500
McKinsey – China Brief: The State of the Economy
Intentional reduction in Credit Growth
Credit Growth Less than Nominal GDP GrowthWSJ – Jan 17, 2020
2020 Outlook – Global Economy
Credit growing faster than GDP
3. Raises Rates
2020 Outlook – The Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy
U.S. M2 Money Stock (YoY%, LHS)
U.S. Fed Funds Target Rate (YoY, RHS)
Fed Raised
9 times
4 times in 2018
2019
Cut
3 times
Money Supply rises
Powell
Pivot
1. On Hold
1. On Hold
1. On Hold
4. Negative Rates
2. More Cuts
3. Raises Rates
The Fed
2. More Cuts
2020 Outlook – The Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy
U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Core Price
2020 Outlook – The Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy
U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Core Price
PCE Core Price Index
1. Phase One Holds 1. Fed On Hold
1. Phase One Holds
4. Phase One Falters
2. Tariffs Lowered
3. Trade War Europe
1. Phase One Holds
1. Trump Re-Elected
1. Trump Re-Elected
1. Phase One Holds
1. Trump Re-Elected
4. Biden Elected
2. Bernie Elected
3. Bloomberg Elected
1. Slow Recovery
1. Slow Recovery
1. Slow Recovery
4. Strong Growth
2. China Recession
3. Recession
1. On Hold
1. On Hold
1. On Hold
1. Fed On Hold
4. Negative Rates
2. More Cuts
3. Raises Rates
Trade War
US Election
Global
Growth
The Fed
2. Tariffs Lowered
2. Bernie Elected 2. More Cuts
2. China Recession
2. Bernie Elected
2. Tariffs Lowered 2. China Recession
2. More Cuts
2. Bernie
Elected
2. Global
Recession
2020 Outlook – COVID–19 & Global Growth (Morgan Stanley)
Containment by March
China normalizes by end of March
Global GDP: 2.5% Q1(from 2.9%)
US GDP: Q1 Weakens relative to 1.7%
China: Q1 4.2% but Q2 6.0%
Fed - On Hold
New Geographies & into Q2
Peaks in Q2, production disruption Q2
Global GDP: 2.4% 1H2020
US GDP: 1H2020 near stall speed
China: Q1 3.8% but Q4 6.4%
Fed – 25 bps cut 2Q 2020
Persisting into Q3, rising recession risk
All large economies impacted
Global GDP: 1Q-3Q20 weak
US GDP: 1H20 close to zero, Q3 soft p/u
China: Q1 3.5% but Q4 6.1%
Fed – 125 bps cuts by Q320
Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3
RBC Strategy Spotlight (Feb 27, 2020)
Correction
(SARS, 9/11)
– 10% from 2020 High
Recession
– 24-32% from 2020 High
Growth Scare
(2H 2018)
– 14-20% from 2020 High
Inequality Fiscal & Monetary Policy
US / China
Decoupling
Climate Change
S&P 500Business Insider – Dec 4, 2019
WSJ – Aug 29, 2019
2021 & Beyond – US China Decoupling
Bloomberg – Feb 14, 2020
Nancy Pelosi agrees with Trump on threat posed by
Huawei technology “I tell you, unequivocally and
without hesitation, be very careful when you go down
this path unless you want to end up with a society like
China.”
S&P 500
Franklin Templeton – Rising Global Risks, Excessive Risk-Taking and Exhaustive Policies – Jan 2020
China building own
supply chain &
customers
$1 trillion in
infrastructure
spanning more than
60 countries
2021 & Beyond – US China Decoupling
5G
WSJ – Huawei
benefited from as
much as $75 billion
in state-backed
financial assistance
Helped charge 30%
less for equipment
US looking at
preventing GE JV
from selling jet
engines
US looking at
preventing China
access to Chip
technology
S&P 500
NY Times – Jan 28, 2019
2021 & Beyond – Inequality
NY Times – Feb 24, 2019
GDP per capita
Income
Growth of
the 1.0%
Income
growth of
the .01%
Top marginal tax
rate has been high
But average effective
tax rate constant
Income of top 10%
the “upper middle class”
S&P 500
NY Times – Jan 27, 2019
2021 & Beyond – Inequality
Millennials
Zero cumulative
increase in income
since 1975
Fat Cat Boomers!
S&P 500
Threat of Climate Change
• Economic cost of climate change
• Cost of mitigating global warming
• Implications for capital markets
2021 & Beyond – Climate Change
“You say you love your children
above all else, and yet you are
stealing their future in front of
their very eyes.”
S&P 500
2021 & Beyond – Climate Change (Economic Cost)
Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas – Long term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis
Percent Loss in GDP per capita by 2100 Abiding by the Paris Agreement Percent Loss in GDP per capita by 2100 - No Climate Change Policies
~ +1.0 °C over 85 years
GDP per capita -1.07%
-1.68%
-1.88%
-0.45 °C
-13.08%
-10.52%
-4.35%
~+3.5 °C over 85 years
GDP per capita -7.22%
S&P 500
2021 & Beyond – Climate Change (Cost to Mitigate)
Electrical
System
€2.4 tn
Heating
€3.20 tn
Electric
Mobility
€1.40 tn
New
Technologies
€1.20 tn
€7.1tn
The European Green Deal
• Zero net emission by 2050
• €7.1 trillion over for 30 years
Goldman Sachs – Top of Mind – Investing in Climate Change – Jan 30, 2020
US Green New Deal
• 100% renewable in 10 years
• ClearView Energy Partners:
• $2.9 trillion to make US 100% renewable power
• Nearly one year’s tax revenue
UBS:
OECD estimates more than
$90 trillion needed for
infrastructure alone to meet
Paris Climate Agreement
Global Energy Challenge
Balance the need for cheap
and reliable energy needed for
economic growth with the
damage and contribution to
climate change
S&P 500
2021 & Beyond – Climate Change (Implications for Capital Markets)
Goldman Sachs Credit Strategy – Bonds go green:
Benefits for issuers, no harm for investors Feb 11, 2020
Global Sustainable Investment Alliance:
Jan 2018 - More than $30 trillion invested in
sustainable
+34% Jan 2016
Jefferies White Paper – Nov, 2019
Growth of ESG investment “could” define
the next decade for Western fund
management industry
Sustainable Investing Goal:
Companies rated on their carbon emissions
Increase the cost of capital for companies
with high CO2 emissions
S&P 500
WSJ – Dec 9, 2019WSJ – Dec 9, 2019
Normal recession
Cut rates 500 bps
Deficit/GDP
12 months ending
Jan 2020 -4.9%
Already at
recessionary levels
2021 & Beyond – Fiscal & Monetary
Now at 175 bps
Modern Monetary Policy
• Combining monetary and fiscal policy
• Can’t go bankrupt if issue debt in your own currency
• No limit to how much debt you can issue
• Social needs determine government spending not budget
• Won’t interest rates go up? Not if Fed buys bonds (QE)
• Won’t the Fed’s money printing result in inflation? Not if economy running below capacity
• When economy running beyond capacity (inflation) – Increase taxes
S&P 500
WSJ – Jan 11, 2020
When will we start to feel the Bern?
BCA Research – US is moving to the left
• Led by Millennials
Green New Deal
Medicare For All
Free College Tuition
Questions:
Can politician efficiently allocate capital?
When we get inflation, will politicians react quickly?
If taxes have to increase, who will pay more?
2021 & Beyond – Fiscal & Monetary
REAL ESTATE
Canadian
US
Development
Global
PRIVATE MARKETS
Private Equity
Private Debt
Infrastructure
Mortgages
ALTERNATIVE
Hedge Funds
Precious Metals
FIXED INCOME
Bonds
Global Bonds
Pref. Shares
High Yield
EQUITIES
Canadian
US
Foreign
Alt Energy
Power Forward
Centre
Small Forward
Point
Guard
Shooting
Guard
S&P 500
Bridgewater
Associates
Ray Dalio 1975
$160 billion AUM
Build models to
systematically allocate
capital based on their
timeless view of world
and asset flows
Barron’s – No one
was better prepared
for the global
market crash
Investment Strategy– Lineup
Three Iconic Case Studies
1. US 2007-2011
2. US 1928-1937
3. Germany 1918-1924
48 other case studies over
the last 100 years
S&P 500
Renaissance Technologies
• Jim Simons 1982
• $75 billion AUM
• Mathematician & Cold War Code breaker
• Widely regarded as the “most secretive and
successful hedge fund of all time”
• Market inefficiencies are so complex they are in
a sense hidden in the market code
• Build computer models to identify and profit
from patterns in the market
Investment Strategy– Lineup
S&P 500
Fed and easy monetary
policy to dominate 2020
Equities over Bonds
Returns more moderate
Global assets over US Asset
Look to build defensive
positions
Investment Strategy– Lineup (the 6th Man)
2020 Strategic Outlook
John Nicola, Chairman & CEO
BC Budget 2020
Tax Rate Changes for 2020
• Personal from 49.7% to 53.5% > $220,000 taxable income
• Eligible Dividends from 31.4% to 36.4%
• Ineligible dividends from 43% to 49%
• Capital gains from 24.85% to 26.75%
49.8%
31.4%
24.9%
44.6%
53.5%
36.5%
26.8%
48.8%
43.7%
25.8%
21.9%
33.7%
22.4%
41.5%
22.4%
44.9%
Salary/Bonus Eligible Dividends Capital Gains Ineligible dividends
2019 2020 2013 Increase 2013-2020
48%
47.5%
All other provinces
between 50.4% and 54%
54.2%
42.6% 40.6%
53.5%
36.5%
26.8%
Salary/Bonus Eligible
Dividends
Capital Gains
1998 2020
Customized approach based on your situation
$477,000/yr.
Not Public or Private,
but Public and Private
The Tyranny of the ‘Or’
Vs.
The Genius of the ‘And’
December 2000 to June 2019
Return Value of $1M Invested
S&P500TR: 6.7% $3,540,000
R3000TR: 7.0% $3,740,000
PRIVATE EQUITY: 9.1% $5,460,000
-56% decline in 20 years
$700 Billion in share buybacks in 2019. Where is this money going?
+$4.5 Trillion
Share Buybacks
2009-2019 = $5 Trillion
Private = 7.5%
of public markets
40% more since 2009
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2000.01
2000.05
2000.09
2001.01
2001.05
2001.09
2002.01
2002.05
2002.09
2003.01
2003.05
2003.09
2004.01
2004.05
2004.09
2005.01
2005.05
2005.09
2006.01
2006.05
2006.09
2007.01
2007.05
2007.09
2008.01
2008.05
2008.09
2009.01
2009.05
2009.09
2010.01
2010.05
2010.09
2011.01
2011.05
2011.09
2012.01
2012.05
2012.09
2013.01
2013.05
2013.09
2014.01
2014.05
2014.09
2015.01
2015.05
2015.09
2016.01
2016.05
2016.09
2017.01
2017.05
2017.09
2018.01
2018.05
2018.09
2019.01
2019.05
2019.09
2020.01
Cape Shiller Index 2000-2020
130% more since 2009
PE Ratio = 14
PE Ratio = 32
41%
• 6M business with employees
• 98% with fewer than 100
• 120,000 with more than 100
employees
• Less than 3% publicly traded
By The Numbers in the U.S.
Publicly Traded
Less than 25% of
global stock buybacks
Average approx.$200B/year
• Patient capital
• Simpler compliance
• Partial liquidity events
• Strategic partners
+50%
6%/year since 2000
-40% Twice
Liquidity: Show Me The Money
World’s Largest Private Companies
Home Sweet Home The Smile
 Diversify
 Manage Costs
 Evergreen
 Waterfalls
Managing Private Asset Risk
• 2% on committed capital for five
years
• If 80% of committed funds
invested average fee is >5% /year
• Performance fees of 20%
• 1.5% on invested capital for five
years
• Offer co-invest opportunities
• Blended fee can be under 1%/yr.
• Performance fees 15%
• About 75% lower overall first five
years
Fees: Committed vs. Invested Capital
 Managers
 Vintages
 Geography
 Industries
 Asset Classes
(equity, debt, infrastructure,
real estate)
Nicola Wealth Private Equity
 $275M AUM – 21 Funds
 12 managers assets
 Global companies
 14 direct / co-invest
Diversification
 Significant minimum investment
 5-year funding period 10-14 year
fund
 Liquidity when assets sold
 Investor responsible for “Dry
Powder”
 Small minimums
 No other capital commitment
 1-3 year minimum hold
 Liquidity periodically (monthly /
quarterly, annually)
 Add new capital when available
Closed End vs. Evergreen Funds
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
CapitalInvested
Time in Years
No distributions
Fewer assets
Diversified and
Cash Income
High diversification
Income – less risk
Co-Investments
• Much lower fees than traditional funds
• Review each investment for suitability
• Decide on amount to be invested
$3400
$770
Equity ($Billions) Debt ($Billions )
 Less Risk
 Lower Returns
 Shorter Duration
 Current Income
 RRSP/ TFSA and
Foundation Eligible
US Private Asset Markets 2018 (Preqin)
43%
Private
Core Portfolio Asset Allocation (December 2019)
Public Equities
32%
Public Fixed
Income
21%
Private
Debt/Mort.,
13%
Private Equity
4%
Real Estate
21%
Alternatives
9%
57%
Public
Less
Taxable
Annually
Private Equity
10.5%
Mortgages
23.0%
Private Debt
10.5%
CDN Real Estate
12.5%
US Real Estate
23.0%
Value Add
Real Estate
7.5%
Global
Real Estate
8.0%
Infra.
5.0%
100% Taxable
RRSP / IPP /
TFSA
Foundations
Core Portfolio Asset Allocation (December 2019)
Private
Equity
15.3%
Cdn. Real
Estate
19.5%
US Real
Estate
34.5%
Value
Add Real
Estate
11.6%
Infra.
6.7%
Global
Real
Estate
12.4%
$1,000,000
$1,658,000
$658,000
$156,450
$10,070
Starting
Capital
Ending Capital
(before fees)
Gain
(before fees)
Taxable
Income
(gross )
Tax Paid
(after fees /
RDTOH)
Private Assets
How Is This Possible?
• RDTOH reduces corporate tax by 60%
• Low turnover of assets
• Depreciation creates return of capital
• Planning fees deductible
5 Year Results (2014-2019)
• Gross return before fees = 10.7%/yr
• Net return after fees = 9.7%
• Net return after taxes = 9.6%
Private Fixed Income
Private
Debt
32%
Mortgages6
8%
• Lower risk
• Shorter duration
• Higher liquidity
• 100% taxable income
• RRSP / IPP / TFSA / Donor
Advised Funds
• 5 year returns net of fees 4.4%
• Low rates may last a long time
Rates have fallen
since Nov 2019
Take My Money – Please
10 years with no interest
1,000,000 Swiss Francs
921,000 Swiss Francs
Private
Equity
10.5%
Mortgage
23.0%
Private
Debt
10.5%
CDN Real
Estate
12.5%
US Real
Estate
23.0%
Value Add
Real Estate
7.5%
Global
Real Estate
8.0%
Infra.
5.0%
$1,000,000
$1,579,000
$579,000
$116,000
$-
Starting
Capital
Ending
Capital
(before fees)
Gain
(before fees)
Taxable
Income
(gross)
Tax Paid
(after fees /
RDTOH)
Private Assets
How Is This Possible?
• Interest income paid into registered plans
• Other private assets have low tax turnover
• Portfolio is balanced within private assets
• Weighted cash flow 4%+ annually
5 Year Results (2014-2019)
• Gross return before fees = 9.6%/yr.
• Net return after fees = 8.6%
• Net return after taxes = 8.6%
Therefore, it could be somewhat misleading and biased to translate "机"
(jī) in the context of the word "危机" (wēijī) to "opportunity" instead of "a
changing point" or "a confidential event"
Are we at a changing point?
Lessons From This
• Planning first: portfolio design
and financial planning
• Diversify
• Cash flow matters
• Private does not = higher risk
but it does = less liquidity
• How much of your returns are
taxable?
• What can you do about that?
THANK YOU
This material contains the current opinions of the author and such opinions are subject to change without notice. This material is distributed for informational
purposes only. Forecasts, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary research and should not be considered as investment
advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Information presented here has been obtained from sources believed to
be reliable, but not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value.
Please speak to your Nicola Wealth advisor for advice based on your unique circumstances. Nicola Wealth is registered as a Portfolio Manager, Exempt Market
Dealer and Investment Fund Manager with the required provincial securities’ commissions. This is not a sales solicitation. This investment is generally intended
for tax residents of Canada who are accredited investors. Some residency restrictions may apply. Please read the relevant documentation for additional details
and important disclosure information, including terms of redemption and limited liquidity. Effective January 1, 2019 all funds branded NWM were changed to
the fund family name Nicola.

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

What North America’s top finance executives are thinking - and doing
What North America’s top finance  executives are thinking - and doingWhat North America’s top finance  executives are thinking - and doing
What North America’s top finance executives are thinking - and doingΔρ. Γιώργος K. Κασάπης
 
Q4 2018 Quarterly Market Commentary
Q4 2018 Quarterly Market CommentaryQ4 2018 Quarterly Market Commentary
Q4 2018 Quarterly Market CommentarySusan Langdon
 
Q2 2020 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2020 Quarterly Market ReviewQ2 2020 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2020 Quarterly Market ReviewSusan Langdon
 
Investment outlook 2022
Investment outlook 2022 Investment outlook 2022
Investment outlook 2022 LaThoa
 
2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market Review
2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market Review2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market Review
2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market ReviewSusan Langdon
 
Q2 2019 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2019 Quarterly Market ReviewQ2 2019 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2019 Quarterly Market ReviewSusan Langdon
 
Emerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The World
Emerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The WorldEmerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The World
Emerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The Worldvivek_sharma
 
Quarterly market review - Q2 2019
Quarterly market review - Q2 2019Quarterly market review - Q2 2019
Quarterly market review - Q2 2019Mark Beal, CFP®
 
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & Bradstreet
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & Bradstreet2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & Bradstreet
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & BradstreetDun & Bradstreet
 
Asset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market Scenario
Asset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market ScenarioAsset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market Scenario
Asset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market ScenarioQuantum Mutual Fund
 
Investing for Physicians | Q2 Market Review
Investing for Physicians | Q2 Market ReviewInvesting for Physicians | Q2 Market Review
Investing for Physicians | Q2 Market ReviewLFGmarketing
 
The next 200 years and beyond
The next 200 years and beyondThe next 200 years and beyond
The next 200 years and beyondGaetan Lion
 
Elevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In Review
Elevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In ReviewElevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In Review
Elevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In ReviewBarry Mendelson
 
Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010
Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010
Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010pospime
 
June 2011 Commentary
June 2011 CommentaryJune 2011 Commentary
June 2011 CommentaryMartin Leduc
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

What North America’s top finance executives are thinking - and doing
What North America’s top finance  executives are thinking - and doingWhat North America’s top finance  executives are thinking - and doing
What North America’s top finance executives are thinking - and doing
 
Economy matters june 2013
Economy matters june 2013Economy matters june 2013
Economy matters june 2013
 
Q2-2019 Market Review | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q2-2019 Market Review | Financial Synergies Wealth AdvisorsQ2-2019 Market Review | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
Q2-2019 Market Review | Financial Synergies Wealth Advisors
 
Weekly Market Review - August 30, 2013
Weekly Market Review - August 30, 2013Weekly Market Review - August 30, 2013
Weekly Market Review - August 30, 2013
 
Q4 2018 Quarterly Market Commentary
Q4 2018 Quarterly Market CommentaryQ4 2018 Quarterly Market Commentary
Q4 2018 Quarterly Market Commentary
 
Q2 2020 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2020 Quarterly Market ReviewQ2 2020 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2020 Quarterly Market Review
 
Investment outlook 2022
Investment outlook 2022 Investment outlook 2022
Investment outlook 2022
 
2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market Review
2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market Review2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market Review
2017 Q3 ASI Wealth Management Quarterly Market Review
 
Q2 2019 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2019 Quarterly Market ReviewQ2 2019 Quarterly Market Review
Q2 2019 Quarterly Market Review
 
Emerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The World
Emerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The WorldEmerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The World
Emerging Markets Have The Really Decoupled From The Rest Of The World
 
Quarterly market review - Q2 2019
Quarterly market review - Q2 2019Quarterly market review - Q2 2019
Quarterly market review - Q2 2019
 
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & Bradstreet
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & Bradstreet2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & Bradstreet
2017 Global Economic Outlook by Dun & Bradstreet
 
Asset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market Scenario
Asset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market ScenarioAsset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market Scenario
Asset Outlook and Economic View in the Current Market Scenario
 
Investing for Physicians | Q2 Market Review
Investing for Physicians | Q2 Market ReviewInvesting for Physicians | Q2 Market Review
Investing for Physicians | Q2 Market Review
 
The next 200 years and beyond
The next 200 years and beyondThe next 200 years and beyond
The next 200 years and beyond
 
Elevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In Review
Elevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In ReviewElevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In Review
Elevation Wealth Management - 2nd Quarter In Review
 
India Economic Outlook - 2014
India Economic Outlook - 2014India Economic Outlook - 2014
India Economic Outlook - 2014
 
Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010
Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010
Capital Market 1st Quarter 2010
 
June 2011 Commentary
June 2011 CommentaryJune 2011 Commentary
June 2011 Commentary
 
MTBiz January 2015
MTBiz January 2015MTBiz January 2015
MTBiz January 2015
 

Ähnlich wie 2020 Vancouver Strategic Outlook Presentation

2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook 2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook Charis Whitbourne
 
2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic Outlook2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic OutlookCharis Whitbourne
 
Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019
Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019
Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019Stephen Tapp
 
CRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptx
CRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptxCRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptx
CRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptxCRFBGraphics
 
2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook 2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook Charis Whitbourne
 
February 2016 - Municipal Market Report
February 2016 - Municipal Market ReportFebruary 2016 - Municipal Market Report
February 2016 - Municipal Market ReportJoshua Moews
 
The Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 Crisis
The Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 CrisisThe Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 Crisis
The Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 CrisisEdouardLotz
 
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic OutlookNicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic OutlookCharis Whitbourne
 
Strategic Outlook 2022
Strategic Outlook 2022Strategic Outlook 2022
Strategic Outlook 2022Nicola Wealth
 
603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.ppt
603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.ppt603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.ppt
603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.pptdanial287696
 
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic OutlookNicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic OutlookCharis Whitbourne
 
2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic Outlook
2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic Outlook2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic Outlook
2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic OutlookCharis Whitbourne
 
Macro themes 2020
Macro themes 2020Macro themes 2020
Macro themes 2020Amir Khan
 
Perspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de Empresarios
Perspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de EmpresariosPerspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de Empresarios
Perspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de EmpresariosCírculo de Empresarios
 
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19Uri Goren
 
The New Normal (with Covid-19) from here on
The New Normal (with Covid-19) from here onThe New Normal (with Covid-19) from here on
The New Normal (with Covid-19) from here onAmalist Client Services
 
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020Ivan Kaufman
 
200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdf
200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdf200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdf
200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdfNurulKhairiahMohamed
 

Ähnlich wie 2020 Vancouver Strategic Outlook Presentation (20)

2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook 2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Calgary Strategic Outlook
 
2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic Outlook2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Kelowna Strategic Outlook
 
Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019
Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019
Export Development Canada's Global Economic Outlook, Fall 2019
 
Apresentacao SAI - 2010
Apresentacao SAI - 2010Apresentacao SAI - 2010
Apresentacao SAI - 2010
 
CRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptx
CRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptxCRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptx
CRFB_Fiscal Policy in High Inflation.pptx
 
2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook 2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook
2019 Nicola Wealth Toronto Strategic Outlook
 
February 2016 - Municipal Market Report
February 2016 - Municipal Market ReportFebruary 2016 - Municipal Market Report
February 2016 - Municipal Market Report
 
The Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 Crisis
The Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 CrisisThe Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 Crisis
The Global Oil Market and the Covid-19 Crisis
 
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic OutlookNicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Toronto Strategic Outlook
 
Strategic Outlook 2022
Strategic Outlook 2022Strategic Outlook 2022
Strategic Outlook 2022
 
603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.ppt
603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.ppt603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.ppt
603fafc95abf73a62ea02cf6_e-rossi_global_24nov2015.ppt
 
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic OutlookNicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic Outlook
Nicola Wealth - 2019 Vancouver Strategic Outlook
 
2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic Outlook
2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic Outlook2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic Outlook
2021 Nicola Wealth Strategic Outlook
 
Macro themes 2020
Macro themes 2020Macro themes 2020
Macro themes 2020
 
Perspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de Empresarios
Perspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de EmpresariosPerspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de Empresarios
Perspectives on Global and Spanish Economy Q3-2018 Circulo de Empresarios
 
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
Our new-world - Mary Meeker and BOND report on COVID19
 
The New Normal (with Covid-19) from here on
The New Normal (with Covid-19) from here onThe New Normal (with Covid-19) from here on
The New Normal (with Covid-19) from here on
 
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
U.S. Economic Overview | Q2 2020
 
200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdf
200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdf200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdf
200217 wva market outlook 2020.pdf.pdf
 
MEDA 2016 Annual Confernece: The Economist Who Loved Me
MEDA 2016 Annual Confernece: The Economist Who Loved MeMEDA 2016 Annual Confernece: The Economist Who Loved Me
MEDA 2016 Annual Confernece: The Economist Who Loved Me
 

Mehr von Charis Whitbourne

NWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the Downs
NWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the DownsNWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the Downs
NWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the DownsCharis Whitbourne
 
WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...
WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...
WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...Charis Whitbourne
 
ELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation Slides
ELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation SlidesELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation Slides
ELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation SlidesCharis Whitbourne
 
Nicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to Transition
Nicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to TransitionNicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to Transition
Nicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to TransitionCharis Whitbourne
 
Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola
Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola
Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola Charis Whitbourne
 
2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate Event
2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate Event2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate Event
2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate EventCharis Whitbourne
 

Mehr von Charis Whitbourne (6)

NWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the Downs
NWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the DownsNWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the Downs
NWRE 2020 Review: Making the Best of the Ups and the Downs
 
WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...
WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...
WEBINAR REPLAY: One Year On: COVID-19, Rapid Testing, Vaccines, and a Return ...
 
ELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation Slides
ELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation SlidesELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation Slides
ELO Market Outlook Webinar - Presentation Slides
 
Nicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to Transition
Nicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to TransitionNicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to Transition
Nicola Wealth Specialty Series: The Business Owner's Path to Transition
 
Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola
Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola
Nicola Wealth - Pacific Dental Conference - John Nicola
 
2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate Event
2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate Event2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate Event
2018 Nicola Wealth Toronto Real Estate Event
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...
Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...
Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...ssuserf63bd7
 
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFGuide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFChandresh Chudasama
 
Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...
Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...
Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...ssuserf63bd7
 
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptxGo for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptxRakhi Bazaar
 
digital marketing , introduction of digital marketing
digital marketing , introduction of digital marketingdigital marketing , introduction of digital marketing
digital marketing , introduction of digital marketingrajputmeenakshi733
 
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdfShaun Heinrichs
 
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw CompressorsEnvironmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressorselgieurope
 
EUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exporters
EUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exportersEUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exporters
EUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exportersPeter Horsten
 
trending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdf
trending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdftrending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdf
trending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdfMintel Group
 
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdfChris Skinner
 
20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdf
20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdf20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdf
20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdfChris Skinner
 
Cyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office EnvironmentCyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office Environmentelijahj01012
 
Planetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in Life
Planetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in LifePlanetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in Life
Planetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in LifeBhavana Pujan Kendra
 
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...SOFTTECHHUB
 
Effective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold Jewelry
Effective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold JewelryEffective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold Jewelry
Effective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold JewelryWhittensFineJewelry1
 
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdfGUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdfDanny Diep To
 
Types of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdf
Types of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdfTypes of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdf
Types of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdfASGITConsulting
 
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic ExperiencesUnveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic ExperiencesDoe Paoro
 
Data Analytics Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Data Analytics Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesData Analytics Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Data Analytics Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesAurelien Domont, MBA
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...
Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...
Intermediate Accounting, Volume 2, 13th Canadian Edition by Donald E. Kieso t...
 
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDFGuide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
Guide Complete Set of Residential Architectural Drawings PDF
 
Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...
Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...
Horngren’s Financial & Managerial Accounting, 7th edition by Miller-Nobles so...
 
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptxGo for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
Go for Rakhi Bazaar and Pick the Latest Bhaiya Bhabhi Rakhi.pptx
 
digital marketing , introduction of digital marketing
digital marketing , introduction of digital marketingdigital marketing , introduction of digital marketing
digital marketing , introduction of digital marketing
 
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
1911 Gold Corporate Presentation Apr 2024.pdf
 
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw CompressorsEnvironmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
Environmental Impact Of Rotary Screw Compressors
 
EUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exporters
EUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exportersEUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exporters
EUDR Info Meeting Ethiopian coffee exporters
 
trending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdf
trending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdftrending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdf
trending-flavors-and-ingredients-in-salty-snacks-us-2024_Redacted-V2.pdf
 
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
20220816-EthicsGrade_Scorecard-JP_Morgan_Chase-Q2-63_57.pdf
 
20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdf
20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdf20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdf
20200128 Ethical by Design - Whitepaper.pdf
 
Cyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office EnvironmentCyber Security Training in Office Environment
Cyber Security Training in Office Environment
 
Planetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in Life
Planetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in LifePlanetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in Life
Planetary and Vedic Yagyas Bring Positive Impacts in Life
 
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
How To Simplify Your Scheduling with AI Calendarfly The Hassle-Free Online Bo...
 
Effective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold Jewelry
Effective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold JewelryEffective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold Jewelry
Effective Strategies for Maximizing Your Profit When Selling Gold Jewelry
 
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdfGUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
GUIDELINES ON USEFUL FORMS IN FREIGHT FORWARDING (F) Danny Diep Toh MBA.pdf
 
The Bizz Quiz-E-Summit-E-Cell-IITPatna.pptx
The Bizz Quiz-E-Summit-E-Cell-IITPatna.pptxThe Bizz Quiz-E-Summit-E-Cell-IITPatna.pptx
The Bizz Quiz-E-Summit-E-Cell-IITPatna.pptx
 
Types of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdf
Types of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdfTypes of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdf
Types of Cyberattacks - ASG I.T. Consulting.pdf
 
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic ExperiencesUnveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
Unveiling the Soundscape Music for Psychedelic Experiences
 
Data Analytics Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Data Analytics Strategy Toolkit and TemplatesData Analytics Strategy Toolkit and Templates
Data Analytics Strategy Toolkit and Templates
 

2020 Vancouver Strategic Outlook Presentation

  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10. • Ebola • SARS • Coronavirus • Terrorism • Fear Politics • Climate Change
  • 12. “I could calculate the motions of the heavenly bodies, but not the madness of the people.” - Sir Isaac Newton
  • 13. Bubbles and The Madness of Crowds • The Roaring 20’s Bubble • Dot-Com Bubble • 2008 Global Housing Bubble
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. HAVE A PLAN Where You Are Now Where You Are Trying To Go
  • 18. ^ This is a blended benchmark of 4 indices minus 1% management fee: Citi World Government Bond, FTSE TMX DEX Universe Bond, MSCI World, S&P TSX Composite $0.00 $500,000.00 $1,000,000.00 $1,500,000.00 $2,000,000.00 $2,500,000.00 $3,000,000.00 $3,500,000.00 $4,000,000.00 $4,500,000.00 Dec-99 Dec-00 Dec-01 Dec-02 Dec-03 Dec-04 Dec-05 Dec-06 Dec-07 Dec-08 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Nicola Wealth vs. The Marketplace Nicola Core Performance (net of fees) S&P 500 (CAD) 60/40 Model Portfolio (minus 1% management fee) MSCI World (CAD) 6.97% 4.19% 5.56% 4.57% ^ Past 20 Years • Tech Bubble • Sept 911 Attack • Iraq Invasion • Mad Cow • SARS • 2008 Credit • Ebola Outbreak • Brexit Vote -2.78%
  • 19. Last Week: The Numbers Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri 1 Week Drop% Year-To-Date The Dow Jones Nicola Wealth Core Portfolio 1000, 900, 125, 1200, 350 = 3,500 - 10.76% $CAD - 7.43% $CAD - 2.82% $CAD - 0.77% $CAD
  • 21. 2020 Strategic Outlook Rob Edel, Chief Investment Officer
  • 22. Our Agenda 2021 and Beyond 2020 Outlook2019 in Review Investment Lineup
  • 23. 2019 in Review – Global Markets 2019 vs 2018 S&P 500 31.5% 22.8% 27.7% 19.8% 18.6% 2.3% 7.1% 3.0% 13.3% 14.5% 14.3% 8.6% 13.1% 6.1% 0.3% 34.5% 18.3% -0.9% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0% 30.0% 35.0% 40.0% U.S. Canada Europe Asia-Pacific Emerging Markets Treasury bills Treasuries German Bunds EM sovereign dollar U.S. investment-grade U.S. high-yield U.S. leveraged loans EM dollar bonds European i-grade European high-yield WTI crude Gold Industrial metals -8.9% -4.4% -10.3% -13.1% -14.3% 1.9% 0.9% 2.4% -4.2% -2.5% -2.1% 0.4% -1.9% -6.3% -8.2% -24.8% -1.6% -18.1% -30.0% -25.0% -20.0% -15.0% -10.0% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% World U.S. Europe Asia-Pacific Emerging Markets Treasury bills Treasuries German Bunds EM sovereign dollar U.S. investment-grade U.S. high-yield U.S. leveraged loans EM dollar bonds European i-grade European high-yield WTI crude Gold Industrial metals
  • 24. 2019 in Review – 10 Year Global Markets vs Luxury Index (Knight Frank) S&P 500 13.5% 6.9% 8.7% 6.6% 4.0% 0.6% 3.1% 3.6% 6.7% 5.5% 7.6% 5.0% 6.3% 2.3% 5.4% -2.1% 3.3% -1.8% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% U.S. Canada Europe Asia-Pacific Emerging Markets Treasury bills Treasuries German Bunds EM sovereign dollar U.S. investment-grade U.S. high-yield U.S. leveraged loans EM dollar bonds European i-grade European high-yield WTI crude Gold Industrial metals -3.5% 5.0% 5.1% 7.2% 7.4% 9.2% 9.4% 11.2% 11.3% 20.4% -5.0% 0.0% 5.0% 10.0% 15.0% 20.0% 25.0%
  • 25. 2019 in Review – S&P 500 S&P 500 Monetary policy Trade War
  • 26. S&P 500 East 16 Teams Duke #1 West 16 Teams Gonzaga #1 South 16 Teams Virginia #1 Midwest 16 Teams North Carolina #1 F I N A L F O U R F I N A L F O U R National Championship Virginia
  • 27. ??? ??? 1. Phase One Holds 4. Phase One Falters 2. Tariffs Lowered 3. Trade War Europe 1. Trump Re-Elected 4. Biden Elected 2. Bernie Elected 3. Bloomberg Elected 1. Slow Recovery 4. Strong Growth 2. China Recession 3. Recession 1. On Hold ??? 4. Negative Rates 2. More Cuts 3. Raises Rates Trade War US Election Global Growth The Fed
  • 28. S&P 500 US China Trade War 2020 Outlook – US/China Trade Deal WSJ – Jan 17, 2020 Tariff Relief • Cut in half 15% on $120 B • Postpone 15% on $160 B Tariffs still in effect • 7.5% on $120 B • 25% on $250 B 1. Phase One Holds 4. Phase One Falters 2. Tariffs Lowered 3. Trade War Europe 1. Phase One Holds 1. Phase One Holds 2. Tariffs Lowered
  • 29. Evaluation Phase One - After US election Phase Two Industrial Subsidies - After US Election S&P 500 From 2017  US increases from 9% to 17% Share of Chinese imports WSJ – Jan 16, 2020 2020 Outlook – US/China Trade Deal +$78 billion +$32 billion +$52 billion +$38 billion
  • 30. 2020 US Election RBC Capital Markets The Mood of the Market Dec 17, 2019 Do you think Trump will win the White House in the 2020 election? 2020 Outlook – US Election March2019Survey June2019Survey September2019Survey December2019Survey 1. Trump Re-Elected 1. Trump Re-Elected 1. Trump Re-Elected 4. Biden Elected 2. Bernie Elected 3. Bloomberg Elected 2. Bernie Elected Since 1900 only three incumbent presidents have lost re-election in past 100 years: Herbert Hoover, Jimmy Carter, HW Bush All 10 who have sought re-election without recession have won Gallup Feb 2020 poll: 63% back Trump’s handling of the economy. Highest in 20 years. However, in past 30 years only 2 presidents have won by more than 4%
  • 31. 2020 Outlook – US Election The RBC Macroscope – Jan 6, 2020 Strategas – Feb 19, 2020 Washington Post Sanders spending plan, $51 trillion over 10 years • WSJ, up to $97.5 trillion
  • 32. S&P 500 2020 Outlook – Global Economy RBC Capital Market 2020New Year Preview Global Macro - Jan 20, 2020 1. Slow Recovery 1. Slow Recovery 1. Slow Recovery 4. Strong Growth 2. China Recession 3. Recession Global Economy 2. China Recession
  • 33. S&P 500 McKinsey – China Brief: The State of the Economy Intentional reduction in Credit Growth Credit Growth Less than Nominal GDP GrowthWSJ – Jan 17, 2020 2020 Outlook – Global Economy Credit growing faster than GDP
  • 34. 3. Raises Rates 2020 Outlook – The Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy U.S. M2 Money Stock (YoY%, LHS) U.S. Fed Funds Target Rate (YoY, RHS) Fed Raised 9 times 4 times in 2018 2019 Cut 3 times Money Supply rises Powell Pivot 1. On Hold 1. On Hold 1. On Hold 4. Negative Rates 2. More Cuts 3. Raises Rates The Fed 2. More Cuts
  • 35. 2020 Outlook – The Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Core Price
  • 36. 2020 Outlook – The Federal Reserve & Monetary Policy U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Core Price PCE Core Price Index
  • 37. 1. Phase One Holds 1. Fed On Hold 1. Phase One Holds 4. Phase One Falters 2. Tariffs Lowered 3. Trade War Europe 1. Phase One Holds 1. Trump Re-Elected 1. Trump Re-Elected 1. Phase One Holds 1. Trump Re-Elected 4. Biden Elected 2. Bernie Elected 3. Bloomberg Elected 1. Slow Recovery 1. Slow Recovery 1. Slow Recovery 4. Strong Growth 2. China Recession 3. Recession 1. On Hold 1. On Hold 1. On Hold 1. Fed On Hold 4. Negative Rates 2. More Cuts 3. Raises Rates Trade War US Election Global Growth The Fed 2. Tariffs Lowered 2. Bernie Elected 2. More Cuts 2. China Recession 2. Bernie Elected 2. Tariffs Lowered 2. China Recession 2. More Cuts 2. Bernie Elected 2. Global Recession
  • 38. 2020 Outlook – COVID–19 & Global Growth (Morgan Stanley) Containment by March China normalizes by end of March Global GDP: 2.5% Q1(from 2.9%) US GDP: Q1 Weakens relative to 1.7% China: Q1 4.2% but Q2 6.0% Fed - On Hold New Geographies & into Q2 Peaks in Q2, production disruption Q2 Global GDP: 2.4% 1H2020 US GDP: 1H2020 near stall speed China: Q1 3.8% but Q4 6.4% Fed – 25 bps cut 2Q 2020 Persisting into Q3, rising recession risk All large economies impacted Global GDP: 1Q-3Q20 weak US GDP: 1H20 close to zero, Q3 soft p/u China: Q1 3.5% but Q4 6.1% Fed – 125 bps cuts by Q320 Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 RBC Strategy Spotlight (Feb 27, 2020) Correction (SARS, 9/11) – 10% from 2020 High Recession – 24-32% from 2020 High Growth Scare (2H 2018) – 14-20% from 2020 High
  • 39. Inequality Fiscal & Monetary Policy US / China Decoupling Climate Change
  • 40. S&P 500Business Insider – Dec 4, 2019 WSJ – Aug 29, 2019 2021 & Beyond – US China Decoupling Bloomberg – Feb 14, 2020 Nancy Pelosi agrees with Trump on threat posed by Huawei technology “I tell you, unequivocally and without hesitation, be very careful when you go down this path unless you want to end up with a society like China.”
  • 41. S&P 500 Franklin Templeton – Rising Global Risks, Excessive Risk-Taking and Exhaustive Policies – Jan 2020 China building own supply chain & customers $1 trillion in infrastructure spanning more than 60 countries 2021 & Beyond – US China Decoupling 5G WSJ – Huawei benefited from as much as $75 billion in state-backed financial assistance Helped charge 30% less for equipment US looking at preventing GE JV from selling jet engines US looking at preventing China access to Chip technology
  • 42. S&P 500 NY Times – Jan 28, 2019 2021 & Beyond – Inequality NY Times – Feb 24, 2019 GDP per capita Income Growth of the 1.0% Income growth of the .01% Top marginal tax rate has been high But average effective tax rate constant Income of top 10% the “upper middle class”
  • 43. S&P 500 NY Times – Jan 27, 2019 2021 & Beyond – Inequality Millennials Zero cumulative increase in income since 1975 Fat Cat Boomers!
  • 44. S&P 500 Threat of Climate Change • Economic cost of climate change • Cost of mitigating global warming • Implications for capital markets 2021 & Beyond – Climate Change “You say you love your children above all else, and yet you are stealing their future in front of their very eyes.”
  • 45. S&P 500 2021 & Beyond – Climate Change (Economic Cost) Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas – Long term Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Change: A Cross-Country Analysis Percent Loss in GDP per capita by 2100 Abiding by the Paris Agreement Percent Loss in GDP per capita by 2100 - No Climate Change Policies ~ +1.0 °C over 85 years GDP per capita -1.07% -1.68% -1.88% -0.45 °C -13.08% -10.52% -4.35% ~+3.5 °C over 85 years GDP per capita -7.22%
  • 46. S&P 500 2021 & Beyond – Climate Change (Cost to Mitigate) Electrical System €2.4 tn Heating €3.20 tn Electric Mobility €1.40 tn New Technologies €1.20 tn €7.1tn The European Green Deal • Zero net emission by 2050 • €7.1 trillion over for 30 years Goldman Sachs – Top of Mind – Investing in Climate Change – Jan 30, 2020 US Green New Deal • 100% renewable in 10 years • ClearView Energy Partners: • $2.9 trillion to make US 100% renewable power • Nearly one year’s tax revenue UBS: OECD estimates more than $90 trillion needed for infrastructure alone to meet Paris Climate Agreement Global Energy Challenge Balance the need for cheap and reliable energy needed for economic growth with the damage and contribution to climate change
  • 47. S&P 500 2021 & Beyond – Climate Change (Implications for Capital Markets) Goldman Sachs Credit Strategy – Bonds go green: Benefits for issuers, no harm for investors Feb 11, 2020 Global Sustainable Investment Alliance: Jan 2018 - More than $30 trillion invested in sustainable +34% Jan 2016 Jefferies White Paper – Nov, 2019 Growth of ESG investment “could” define the next decade for Western fund management industry Sustainable Investing Goal: Companies rated on their carbon emissions Increase the cost of capital for companies with high CO2 emissions
  • 48. S&P 500 WSJ – Dec 9, 2019WSJ – Dec 9, 2019 Normal recession Cut rates 500 bps Deficit/GDP 12 months ending Jan 2020 -4.9% Already at recessionary levels 2021 & Beyond – Fiscal & Monetary Now at 175 bps Modern Monetary Policy • Combining monetary and fiscal policy • Can’t go bankrupt if issue debt in your own currency • No limit to how much debt you can issue • Social needs determine government spending not budget • Won’t interest rates go up? Not if Fed buys bonds (QE) • Won’t the Fed’s money printing result in inflation? Not if economy running below capacity • When economy running beyond capacity (inflation) – Increase taxes
  • 49. S&P 500 WSJ – Jan 11, 2020 When will we start to feel the Bern? BCA Research – US is moving to the left • Led by Millennials Green New Deal Medicare For All Free College Tuition Questions: Can politician efficiently allocate capital? When we get inflation, will politicians react quickly? If taxes have to increase, who will pay more? 2021 & Beyond – Fiscal & Monetary
  • 50. REAL ESTATE Canadian US Development Global PRIVATE MARKETS Private Equity Private Debt Infrastructure Mortgages ALTERNATIVE Hedge Funds Precious Metals FIXED INCOME Bonds Global Bonds Pref. Shares High Yield EQUITIES Canadian US Foreign Alt Energy Power Forward Centre Small Forward Point Guard Shooting Guard
  • 51. S&P 500 Bridgewater Associates Ray Dalio 1975 $160 billion AUM Build models to systematically allocate capital based on their timeless view of world and asset flows Barron’s – No one was better prepared for the global market crash Investment Strategy– Lineup Three Iconic Case Studies 1. US 2007-2011 2. US 1928-1937 3. Germany 1918-1924 48 other case studies over the last 100 years
  • 52. S&P 500 Renaissance Technologies • Jim Simons 1982 • $75 billion AUM • Mathematician & Cold War Code breaker • Widely regarded as the “most secretive and successful hedge fund of all time” • Market inefficiencies are so complex they are in a sense hidden in the market code • Build computer models to identify and profit from patterns in the market Investment Strategy– Lineup
  • 53. S&P 500 Fed and easy monetary policy to dominate 2020 Equities over Bonds Returns more moderate Global assets over US Asset Look to build defensive positions Investment Strategy– Lineup (the 6th Man)
  • 54. 2020 Strategic Outlook John Nicola, Chairman & CEO
  • 55. BC Budget 2020 Tax Rate Changes for 2020 • Personal from 49.7% to 53.5% > $220,000 taxable income • Eligible Dividends from 31.4% to 36.4% • Ineligible dividends from 43% to 49% • Capital gains from 24.85% to 26.75%
  • 57. 48% 47.5% All other provinces between 50.4% and 54% 54.2% 42.6% 40.6% 53.5% 36.5% 26.8% Salary/Bonus Eligible Dividends Capital Gains 1998 2020
  • 58. Customized approach based on your situation
  • 60. Not Public or Private, but Public and Private The Tyranny of the ‘Or’ Vs. The Genius of the ‘And’
  • 61. December 2000 to June 2019 Return Value of $1M Invested S&P500TR: 6.7% $3,540,000 R3000TR: 7.0% $3,740,000 PRIVATE EQUITY: 9.1% $5,460,000
  • 62. -56% decline in 20 years
  • 63. $700 Billion in share buybacks in 2019. Where is this money going?
  • 64.
  • 66. Private = 7.5% of public markets
  • 69. 41%
  • 70. • 6M business with employees • 98% with fewer than 100 • 120,000 with more than 100 employees • Less than 3% publicly traded By The Numbers in the U.S. Publicly Traded
  • 71. Less than 25% of global stock buybacks Average approx.$200B/year • Patient capital • Simpler compliance • Partial liquidity events • Strategic partners
  • 72. +50%
  • 74. Liquidity: Show Me The Money
  • 75. World’s Largest Private Companies Home Sweet Home The Smile
  • 76.
  • 77.  Diversify  Manage Costs  Evergreen  Waterfalls Managing Private Asset Risk
  • 78. • 2% on committed capital for five years • If 80% of committed funds invested average fee is >5% /year • Performance fees of 20% • 1.5% on invested capital for five years • Offer co-invest opportunities • Blended fee can be under 1%/yr. • Performance fees 15% • About 75% lower overall first five years Fees: Committed vs. Invested Capital
  • 79.  Managers  Vintages  Geography  Industries  Asset Classes (equity, debt, infrastructure, real estate) Nicola Wealth Private Equity  $275M AUM – 21 Funds  12 managers assets  Global companies  14 direct / co-invest Diversification
  • 80.  Significant minimum investment  5-year funding period 10-14 year fund  Liquidity when assets sold  Investor responsible for “Dry Powder”  Small minimums  No other capital commitment  1-3 year minimum hold  Liquidity periodically (monthly / quarterly, annually)  Add new capital when available Closed End vs. Evergreen Funds
  • 81.
  • 82. 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 CapitalInvested Time in Years No distributions Fewer assets Diversified and Cash Income High diversification Income – less risk
  • 83. Co-Investments • Much lower fees than traditional funds • Review each investment for suitability • Decide on amount to be invested
  • 84. $3400 $770 Equity ($Billions) Debt ($Billions )  Less Risk  Lower Returns  Shorter Duration  Current Income  RRSP/ TFSA and Foundation Eligible US Private Asset Markets 2018 (Preqin)
  • 85. 43% Private Core Portfolio Asset Allocation (December 2019) Public Equities 32% Public Fixed Income 21% Private Debt/Mort., 13% Private Equity 4% Real Estate 21% Alternatives 9% 57% Public
  • 86. Less Taxable Annually Private Equity 10.5% Mortgages 23.0% Private Debt 10.5% CDN Real Estate 12.5% US Real Estate 23.0% Value Add Real Estate 7.5% Global Real Estate 8.0% Infra. 5.0% 100% Taxable RRSP / IPP / TFSA Foundations Core Portfolio Asset Allocation (December 2019)
  • 87. Private Equity 15.3% Cdn. Real Estate 19.5% US Real Estate 34.5% Value Add Real Estate 11.6% Infra. 6.7% Global Real Estate 12.4% $1,000,000 $1,658,000 $658,000 $156,450 $10,070 Starting Capital Ending Capital (before fees) Gain (before fees) Taxable Income (gross ) Tax Paid (after fees / RDTOH) Private Assets How Is This Possible? • RDTOH reduces corporate tax by 60% • Low turnover of assets • Depreciation creates return of capital • Planning fees deductible 5 Year Results (2014-2019) • Gross return before fees = 10.7%/yr • Net return after fees = 9.7% • Net return after taxes = 9.6%
  • 88. Private Fixed Income Private Debt 32% Mortgages6 8% • Lower risk • Shorter duration • Higher liquidity • 100% taxable income • RRSP / IPP / TFSA / Donor Advised Funds • 5 year returns net of fees 4.4% • Low rates may last a long time Rates have fallen since Nov 2019
  • 89. Take My Money – Please 10 years with no interest 1,000,000 Swiss Francs 921,000 Swiss Francs
  • 90. Private Equity 10.5% Mortgage 23.0% Private Debt 10.5% CDN Real Estate 12.5% US Real Estate 23.0% Value Add Real Estate 7.5% Global Real Estate 8.0% Infra. 5.0% $1,000,000 $1,579,000 $579,000 $116,000 $- Starting Capital Ending Capital (before fees) Gain (before fees) Taxable Income (gross) Tax Paid (after fees / RDTOH) Private Assets How Is This Possible? • Interest income paid into registered plans • Other private assets have low tax turnover • Portfolio is balanced within private assets • Weighted cash flow 4%+ annually 5 Year Results (2014-2019) • Gross return before fees = 9.6%/yr. • Net return after fees = 8.6% • Net return after taxes = 8.6%
  • 91. Therefore, it could be somewhat misleading and biased to translate "机" (jī) in the context of the word "危机" (wēijī) to "opportunity" instead of "a changing point" or "a confidential event" Are we at a changing point?
  • 92. Lessons From This • Planning first: portfolio design and financial planning • Diversify • Cash flow matters • Private does not = higher risk but it does = less liquidity • How much of your returns are taxable? • What can you do about that?
  • 94. This material contains the current opinions of the author and such opinions are subject to change without notice. This material is distributed for informational purposes only. Forecasts, estimates, and certain information contained herein are based upon proprietary research and should not be considered as investment advice or a recommendation of any particular security, strategy or investment product. Information presented here has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee or a reliable indicator of future results. All investments contain risk and may lose value. Please speak to your Nicola Wealth advisor for advice based on your unique circumstances. Nicola Wealth is registered as a Portfolio Manager, Exempt Market Dealer and Investment Fund Manager with the required provincial securities’ commissions. This is not a sales solicitation. This investment is generally intended for tax residents of Canada who are accredited investors. Some residency restrictions may apply. Please read the relevant documentation for additional details and important disclosure information, including terms of redemption and limited liquidity. Effective January 1, 2019 all funds branded NWM were changed to the fund family name Nicola.