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© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved
About Critical Mass


             16                                      Years
            700                                  +
                                                     Employees
              8                                      Offices
             25                                  +
                                                     Clients



© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved                   2
It’s no surprise
         Mobile is exploding


© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   3
Smartphone penetration is growing

Overall - US Smartphone Penetration 55% in July 2012

70% of new phones are smartphones


                                                 Smartphone & Feature Phone Penetration, US
                                                            Mobile Subscribers Ages 18+




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved                                                4
Web traffic is going mobile

With tablets, mobile page views are 20% of total views

Mobile installed devices will overtake Desktop in 2013

Desktop search declined in Sept. for the first time since 2006




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved                   5
Search is going mobile (and immediate)

Paid mobile and tablet search clicks are now 21%
in the consumer goods category

On mobile, action is taken within the hour




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved     6
Transactions are going mobile

Buying everything and anything on the phone is
going mainstream. It started with virtual content
inside apps…


§     Half of smartphone users use
       shopping apps
§     Average of 41 apps on each
       phone - up 28% y/y




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved      7
Retailers are going mobile

Buy.com - 5% of revenue from mobile



ebay - $10B in mobile sales
§  180,000 cars per year
§  3 purchases/sec. on mobile
§  >70% of 350M items are “new”




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   8
Mobile and web – overall growth

Web commerce 2011
§  7% of retail sales



Web commerce 2012
§  16% of retail sales


Mobile commerce continues
To grow 10X faster than web




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   9
Building Your Strategy



                                                 4 Mobile Pillars for Retail




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved                                 10
Web vs App



© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   11
Web vs App

73% of mobile users prefer web over apps for shopping

Apps work – providing native utility value
§       Repeat use
§       Scanning
§       List making
§       Easier Geotargeting




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved          12
Mobile shoppers love the web

Mobile web is not just for shopping
§  Store finding
§  Store hours
§  Finding “deals”


Cyber Monday shoppers - 2011
§  11% visit a retailer site via mobile
§  3x over 2010
§  this year – 30%???




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   13
Mobile web experience - search

Consumers are transferring
desktop behaviors to mobile -
but with immediacy

Mobile search is evolving:
§  Voice
§  In-app
§  Context
§  Connected search




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   14
Multiple apps for retailers and brands?

More than 1 = Major hurdle

Secondary apps need a clear
purpose and use case

Consumers think “web or app?”
not “web or which app?”




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   15
Digital
         Couponing


© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   16
The state of the mobile coupon

A digital coupon is…
§       Passbook
§       SMS
§       Groupon
§       a picture of a coupon
§       a code off the web
§       simply showing up


Any way you slice it –
Consumers love them!

Discovery and retention are challenges

© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   17
Mobile coupons – optical vs NFC

Passbook is now leading the way

Optical will win near term
Example – Starbucks, Target, Walgreens, airlines


NFC is fragmented and evolving more slowly




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved     18
Mobile coupons – retailers vs brands

Retailers control the systems today: POS and apps

Traditional brand/mfr. coupons aren’t ready for mobile

Retailers are extending their advantage
with loyalty programs




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved           19
Showrooming



© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   20
Showrooming is reality

Showrooming is…



56% of all shoppers say they
will “showroom” this holiday

27% say they will likely
buy online while in the store




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   21
Guitar Center led the way

Music stores heard the music…

Savvy musicians forced
total price matching early
for e-commerce



Bottom line:
Commodities compete on price!




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   22
Best Buy has come around

The electronics giant revealed
plans to match online prices
(including Amazon)




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   23
Mobile POS



© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   24
New apps and new POS models

Square and Uber apps
are training mobile users
§       Fast
§       New interfaces
§       Personalized
§       Paper-free


Startups, Pay-Pal and even
POS incumbents are building
mobile capabilities



© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   25
Retail is moving to mobile POS

Smartphones are replacing POS
and more (inventory, kiosks, etc.)

JCPenney promises to replace
all POS by end of 2013

Expect to see “line busters” with
mobile checkout this holiday




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   26
Mobile self checkout in happening

Using your own mobile device
is the new self checkout lane

§       Apple
§       Wal-Mart
§       Sears
§       Tesco (EU)




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   27
Other Key
         Considerations


© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   28
In-aisle promotions

Embracing the mobile shopper in action
§  QR will continue to have slow growth
§  NFC is early, developing and expensive
§  Gathering shopper info is key




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   29
User reviews

Reviews are the number two
mobile action

Reviews on the mobile site
will draw traffic

Expect to see more effort in
gathering legitimate reviews




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   30
Social and mobile shopping

Social sharing is actually happening
§       Coupons
§       Purchases
§       Wants
§       Advice


Hashtag is the new URL…

Social is driving traffic to even
small stores that embrace mobile



© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   31
What about mobile payments?

It’s really early in the game!

A solution in search of a problem?

The Digital ID dilemma…

A fight over fees




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   32
Retail and Internet sales tax

Sales tax is the showrooming secret trigger – for
  consumers!

3 bills currently in front of Congress to charge national
  online sales tax




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved              33
Amazon plans on Internet taxes

Added 18 Distribution Centers in 2012
§       40 total in the US


Stopped fighting and agreed to pay
  taxes in several states already

The bet is on same day delivery vs.
  same day pickup




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   34
An old dog learns new tricks

Event the USPS is testing same day delivery
(starting this month in San Francisco)




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   35
What now?
         Steps you should take today




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   36
Be Transparent

It’s impossible to fight smartphones and search
Consumers are looking at prices – Stores must also




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved       37
Price Match

Price matching is evolving
as the dominant strategy

Match now to keep the sale

Build out unique offerings




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   38
Leverage Mobile Communication

Communication is king:
SMS, email, PUSH

Talk to the customer
outside the store




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   39
Experiment with Digital Coupons and Payments

Invest in digital coupon experiments now

Developing real integration takes time




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   40
The future is now



© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   41
Search




The search starts here…




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   42
Context

Mobile meets the store…




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   43
App

Mobile enhances the store…




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   44
Coupon

Sealing the deal…




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   45
Payments

Closing the loop…




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   46
In Conclusion

Bottom line – this is all possible today!

§       Growth continues - differently
§       Consumers have the power
§       Integrate strategy across channels
§       Keep a big picture view of mobile
§       Build a mobile and tablet strategy




© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved   47
© 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved
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                                                 Questions?

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The Future of Retail: Shopping Mobilized

  • 1. © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved
  • 2. About Critical Mass 16 Years 700 + Employees 8 Offices 25 + Clients © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 2
  • 3. It’s no surprise Mobile is exploding © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 3
  • 4. Smartphone penetration is growing Overall - US Smartphone Penetration 55% in July 2012 70% of new phones are smartphones Smartphone & Feature Phone Penetration, US Mobile Subscribers Ages 18+ © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 4
  • 5. Web traffic is going mobile With tablets, mobile page views are 20% of total views Mobile installed devices will overtake Desktop in 2013 Desktop search declined in Sept. for the first time since 2006 © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 5
  • 6. Search is going mobile (and immediate) Paid mobile and tablet search clicks are now 21% in the consumer goods category On mobile, action is taken within the hour © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 6
  • 7. Transactions are going mobile Buying everything and anything on the phone is going mainstream. It started with virtual content inside apps… §  Half of smartphone users use shopping apps §  Average of 41 apps on each phone - up 28% y/y © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 7
  • 8. Retailers are going mobile Buy.com - 5% of revenue from mobile ebay - $10B in mobile sales §  180,000 cars per year §  3 purchases/sec. on mobile §  >70% of 350M items are “new” © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 8
  • 9. Mobile and web – overall growth Web commerce 2011 §  7% of retail sales Web commerce 2012 §  16% of retail sales Mobile commerce continues To grow 10X faster than web © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 9
  • 10. Building Your Strategy 4 Mobile Pillars for Retail © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 10
  • 11. Web vs App © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 11
  • 12. Web vs App 73% of mobile users prefer web over apps for shopping Apps work – providing native utility value §  Repeat use §  Scanning §  List making §  Easier Geotargeting © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 12
  • 13. Mobile shoppers love the web Mobile web is not just for shopping §  Store finding §  Store hours §  Finding “deals” Cyber Monday shoppers - 2011 §  11% visit a retailer site via mobile §  3x over 2010 §  this year – 30%??? © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 13
  • 14. Mobile web experience - search Consumers are transferring desktop behaviors to mobile - but with immediacy Mobile search is evolving: §  Voice §  In-app §  Context §  Connected search © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 14
  • 15. Multiple apps for retailers and brands? More than 1 = Major hurdle Secondary apps need a clear purpose and use case Consumers think “web or app?” not “web or which app?” © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 15
  • 16. Digital Couponing © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 16
  • 17. The state of the mobile coupon A digital coupon is… §  Passbook §  SMS §  Groupon §  a picture of a coupon §  a code off the web §  simply showing up Any way you slice it – Consumers love them! Discovery and retention are challenges © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 17
  • 18. Mobile coupons – optical vs NFC Passbook is now leading the way Optical will win near term Example – Starbucks, Target, Walgreens, airlines NFC is fragmented and evolving more slowly © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 18
  • 19. Mobile coupons – retailers vs brands Retailers control the systems today: POS and apps Traditional brand/mfr. coupons aren’t ready for mobile Retailers are extending their advantage with loyalty programs © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 19
  • 20. Showrooming © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 20
  • 21. Showrooming is reality Showrooming is… 56% of all shoppers say they will “showroom” this holiday 27% say they will likely buy online while in the store © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 21
  • 22. Guitar Center led the way Music stores heard the music… Savvy musicians forced total price matching early for e-commerce Bottom line: Commodities compete on price! © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 22
  • 23. Best Buy has come around The electronics giant revealed plans to match online prices (including Amazon) © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 23
  • 24. Mobile POS © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 24
  • 25. New apps and new POS models Square and Uber apps are training mobile users §  Fast §  New interfaces §  Personalized §  Paper-free Startups, Pay-Pal and even POS incumbents are building mobile capabilities © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 25
  • 26. Retail is moving to mobile POS Smartphones are replacing POS and more (inventory, kiosks, etc.) JCPenney promises to replace all POS by end of 2013 Expect to see “line busters” with mobile checkout this holiday © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 26
  • 27. Mobile self checkout in happening Using your own mobile device is the new self checkout lane §  Apple §  Wal-Mart §  Sears §  Tesco (EU) © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 27
  • 28. Other Key Considerations © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 28
  • 29. In-aisle promotions Embracing the mobile shopper in action §  QR will continue to have slow growth §  NFC is early, developing and expensive §  Gathering shopper info is key © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 29
  • 30. User reviews Reviews are the number two mobile action Reviews on the mobile site will draw traffic Expect to see more effort in gathering legitimate reviews © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 30
  • 31. Social and mobile shopping Social sharing is actually happening §  Coupons §  Purchases §  Wants §  Advice Hashtag is the new URL… Social is driving traffic to even small stores that embrace mobile © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 31
  • 32. What about mobile payments? It’s really early in the game! A solution in search of a problem? The Digital ID dilemma… A fight over fees © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 32
  • 33. Retail and Internet sales tax Sales tax is the showrooming secret trigger – for consumers! 3 bills currently in front of Congress to charge national online sales tax © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 33
  • 34. Amazon plans on Internet taxes Added 18 Distribution Centers in 2012 §  40 total in the US Stopped fighting and agreed to pay taxes in several states already The bet is on same day delivery vs. same day pickup © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 34
  • 35. An old dog learns new tricks Event the USPS is testing same day delivery (starting this month in San Francisco) © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 35
  • 36. What now? Steps you should take today © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 36
  • 37. Be Transparent It’s impossible to fight smartphones and search Consumers are looking at prices – Stores must also © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 37
  • 38. Price Match Price matching is evolving as the dominant strategy Match now to keep the sale Build out unique offerings © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 38
  • 39. Leverage Mobile Communication Communication is king: SMS, email, PUSH Talk to the customer outside the store © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 39
  • 40. Experiment with Digital Coupons and Payments Invest in digital coupon experiments now Developing real integration takes time © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 40
  • 41. The future is now © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 41
  • 42. Search The search starts here… © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 42
  • 43. Context Mobile meets the store… © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 43
  • 44. App Mobile enhances the store… © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 44
  • 45. Coupon Sealing the deal… © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 45
  • 46. Payments Closing the loop… © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 46
  • 47. In Conclusion Bottom line – this is all possible today! §  Growth continues - differently §  Consumers have the power §  Integrate strategy across channels §  Keep a big picture view of mobile §  Build a mobile and tablet strategy © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved 47
  • 48. © 2012 Critical Mass, Inc. All Rights Reserved ? Questions? 48