CCXG global forum, April 2024, Marta Torres-Gunfaus
The State of Jurisdictional Sustainability: Synthesis for Practitioners and Policymakers
1. THE STATE OF JURISDICTIONAL SUSTAINABILITY :
Synthesis for practitioners and policymakers
Mella Komalasari
New Step in Environmental Sustainability Through Low Carbon Development
(LCD): the path of LCD in Indonesia and its result
Chemistry Fair UI 2021
November 13, 2021
2. REDD+
Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and forest Degradation in developing
countries, plus the role of conservation, sustainable management of forests, and
enhancement of forest carbon stock.
• Reducing emissions from deforestation
• Reducing emissions from forest degradation
• Conservation of forest carbon stocks
• Sustainable management of forests
• Enhancement of forest carbon stocks
(UNFCCC 2011, FCCC/CP/2010/7/Add.1)
3. • ID-RECCO: International Database of REDD+ projects and programs, linking Economic, Carbon and
Communities data - https://www.reddprojectsdatabase.org/
1 project
2-4 projects
5-8-projects
9-15 projects
16-44 projects
REDD+
More than 300 REDD+ projects around the world (53 countries)
(Source: Simonet et al., 2018)
4. CIFOR’s Global Comparative Study (GCS) on
REDD+
www.cifor.org/gcs
https://data.cifor.org/dataverse/gcs
Comparison
(Control)
REDD+ site
(Intervention)
Before After
IMPACT
Intervention
After
Control
After
Intervention
Before
Control
Before
Sampled 150 communities and
~4,000 households
Combined measures of tree cover
change (Global Forest Change
2000-2014) and socio-economic
variables (collected through field
surveys in 2010, 2014 and 2018)
using BACI approach
5. Indonesia Commitments
To limit global warming to well below 2, preferably to 1.5 degrees
Celsius, compared to pre-industrial levels.
• NDC (Nationally Determined Contribution):
• Reducing emission 29% unconditional and 41% conditional in 2030
• UU no 16 Tahun 2016: Ratification of the Paris Agreement to the UNFCCC
• Integration of National Low Carbon Development Plan (PPRKN) into
the 2020-2024 National Medium-Term Development Plan (RPJMN).
• National Action Plan for Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions (RAN-GRK) as
stipulated in Presidential Regulation No. 61 of 2011
6. Green Economy – Low Carbon Development
RAN-GRK as the forerunner
• Development pathway that could result in “improved human
wellbeing and social equity, while significantly reducing
environmental risks and ecological scarcities” (UNEP 2011)
• A green economy reform is typically orchestrated by national
government agencies, has multiple objectives (e.g., poverty
reduction, building climatic resilience, improving the economy), and
employs a mixture of command-and-control and market-based
instruments. Indonesia’s Low Carbon Development strategy (LCDI) is
one example (Bappenas 2019) (Noviyanza et al. 2021)
Intensitas Emisi =
𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸𝐸
𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃𝑃 (source: Bappenas)
Emisi
Ekonomi
7. CIFOR and EII global survey in GCF
Task Force member jurisdictions
• Overview of jurisdictional low emissions rural
development (LED-R) strategies across the tropics –
subnational REDD+, sustainable land-use policies,
sustainable private sector initiatives to reduce
deforestation and forest degradation, and enhance
forest carbon stock
• Assess each jurisdiction’s potential for and progress in
designing and implementing LED-R strategies to
achieve the transition to jurisdictional sustainability –
Key challenges and opportunities
• Analyze relationship: subnational REDD+, sustainable
private sector initiatives and other LED-R related
policies and programs
• Provide guidance to GCF Task Force members on the
ways in which they can launch or strengthen their LED-
R strategies
9. 39
Jurisdictions
Tropical forest
28%
19 of 39
Reduction
relative to
FREL
38 of 39
Formal
commitments
6.8GtC02e
Avoided emissions
Key Statistics–Global Summary
69.2GtC
Total carbon stock
10. 7 of 7
Considers above- & below-ground
biomass of forest areas
7
GCF member provinces (34
Indonesian provinces total)
Tropical forest
28%
4 of 7
Reduction
relative to
FREL
Formal
commitments
0.28GtC02e
Avoided emissions
Key Statistics–Indonesia Summary
7.2 GtC
Total carbon stock
3%
11. Sustainable Landscape Rating Tools
• Themes
• Land use planning and management
• Land and resource tenure
• Biodiversity and other ecosystem services
• Stakeholder coordination and participation
• Commodity production systems
• Institutional learning and development
• Formats
• Scorecard: summary of rating for each criterion
• A = high/full/clear; B = medium/partial; C = low/not
addressed; ID = Insufficient data
• Assessment: detailed evidence for rating with links to
supporting information strategies, laws, reports, data etc.
14. Feeds into GCF Impact Platform
• Developed by Earth Innovation Institute
• Aim to allow jurisdictions to show progress; promote transparency;
connect investors and markets to jurisdictions
gcfimpact.org https://forestchampions.org/
16. Deforestation trends
346,000 km2
2000-2017
2001 2005 2010 2015 2017
Regional annual
deforestation
7 Indonesian
GCF provinces
1000
2000
3000
Km2
4000
58,800 km2
2001-2017
Source: yearly data published by the MoEF of Indonesia
http://webgis.menlhk.go.id:8080/pl/pl.htm
http://webgis.dephut.go.id:8080/kemenhut/index.php/en/feature/download
17. Decrease
2008-2017
Aceh
Central Kalimantan, North Kalimantan,
Papua
East Kalimantan, West Kalimantan,
West Papua
Stable
Increase
Annual deforestation 2001-2017 km²
Source: yearly data published by the MoEF of Indonesia.
Trends calculated using the 10-year period 2008-2017.
All observations refer to gross deforestation.
http://webgis.menlhk.go.id:8080/pl/pl.htm
http://webgis.dephut.go.id:8080/kemenhut/index.php/en/feature/download
18. What commitments have jurisdictions made toward
reducing deforestation/emissions (and other targets)?
2
Synthesis: Central Questions
19. Rio Branco
Declaration
Under2 MOU
Bonn
Challenge
New York
Declaration on
Forests
35 27 31 18
Deforestation
Livelihoods
Poverty Emissions
Reforestation
Restoration
Deforestation
Sustainable
agriculture
International commitments
Indonesia: 7
provinces (GCF
members)
Indonesia: 5 provinces
(4 from GCF)
Indonesia: 3 provinces (GCF
members) + national
endorsement
20. What progress have jurisdictions made toward
low-emission development?
3
Synthesis: Central Questions
21. Progress to jurisdictional sustainability
Summary of evaluations of Aceh, Central Kalimantan, East Kalimantan, North Kalimantan, West Kalimantan, West Papua
2
1
3
6
2
3
2
2
6
4
5
3
4
3
4
4
Integrated LED-R Strategy
Spatial Plan
Performance Targets
MRV
Policies & Incentives
Multi-stakeholder governance
Sustainable agriculture
IP & LC
LED-R Finance
Early Intermediate
Data as of 2019
23. Finance & Partnerships
27 of the 39 jurisdictions have received (or are scheduled
to receive) approximately USD 2.3B
4 jurisdictions have received pay-for-performance funding
Partnerships: General agreements in 16 jurisdictions, but
only more concrete/contracted in 5
Climate finance: too low, too slow, too much like aid...
Readiness (11)
Pay-for-performance (4)
Contracted Partnership (11)
Declared Partnership (5)
24. The global disconnect:
471 corporate commitments
39 jurisdictional pledges
471 Companies
39
jurisdictions
5
… but only 5 formal partnerships
25. What is the way forward for jurisdictions?
5
Synthesis: Central Questions
26. Key Recommendations
• Develop broadly-shared definitions of success in addressing tropical
deforestation
• Enhance coordination (across levels and between sectors)
- Improve cooperation & alignment between levels of govt.
- Integrate development plans & spatial plans into LED-R strategy
with clear actions for achieving targets
- Ensure that spatial plans address zoning of activities that threaten
forests (e.g., infrastructure, mining) towards mitigating impacts &
facilitate achievement of targets
- Maintain multi-stakeholder forums to govern overall LED-R strategy
27. Key Recommendations
• Provide support for partnerships between government & indigenous
peoples/local communities
- Prioritize formal recognition of IP/LC rights
- Ensure IP/LC participation in multi-stakeholder forums
- Develop benefit-sharing mechanisms to ensure finance reaches IP/LC
• Foster company-government partnerships that are aligned with LED-R
strategy made more commercially attractive by verifying already
achieved emissions reductions
- Strengthen regulations that facilitate sustainable practices
- Encourage companies to directly engage with national policy agendas
28. Key Recommendations
• Provide technical support to jurisdictions as needed
- Strengthen provincial MRV capacities
• Recognize efforts of aspiring jurisdictions in earlier stages of progress
(i.e., not only high performers) through purposeful investments
- Diversify sources of finance & improve allocation of financial
resources toward implementing/monitoring LED-R policies &
programs
- Support implementation of incentives for producers at
jurisdictional scales