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Construction Vital Statistics November 2018

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The November CVS has arrived. Learn about all of the Construction trends from Unemployment to Housing Starts and Permits during nNovember.

Veröffentlicht in: Wirtschaft & Finanzen
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Construction Vital Statistics November 2018

  1. 1. Construction Vital Statistics (Bureau of Labor Statistics) Overall Construction 10.0 8.0 4.0 2.0 6.0 0 70.0 60.0 Sales Expectations Profit Margin Expectations Staffing Level Intentions 50.0 40.0 (Associated Builders & Contractors/3rd Quarter of 2018) Readings above 50 indicate growth PreviousCurrent Current 1 Yr. Earlier CONTRACTOR CONFIDENCE INDEX UNEMPLOYMENT RATE CONSTRUCTION BACKLOG INDICATOR HOUSING PERMITS AND STARTS BY THE NUMBERS change in Nonresidential Material Prices (Producer Price Index) change in Nonresidential Spending (U.S. Census Bureau) (U.S. Census Bureau & Dept. of Housing and Urban Dev.) change in Total Permits Previous Year Year Over Year Previous Year Year Over Year Previous Month Previous Month Previous Month Previous Month change in Total Starts (Associated Builders & Contractors/3rd Quarter 2018) Current 1 Yr. Earlier $ 3.7% 3.9%4.1% 5.0% 68.6 63.6 68.6 72.2 63.4 70.2 0.4%5.0% -3.6%3.2% 9.0 9.5 5.8%-1.7% 7.3%0.1% November 2018 at a Glance
  2. 2. 1-800-ASK-CBIZ | www.cbiz.com/constructionMHM (Mayer Hoffman McCann P.C.) is an independent CPA firm that provides audit, review and attest services, and works closely with CBIZ, a business consulting, tax and financial services provider. CBIZ and MHM are members of Kreston International Limited, a global network of independent accounting firms. November 2018 at a Glance 1. Readings above 50 indicate growth, while readings below 50 are unfavorable. 2. Any Architecture Billing Index Score above 50 signifies growth - it is a leading economic indicator that provides an approximately nine to 12 month glimpse into the future of nonresidential construction spending activity. 3. It is a monthly measure of the first (or initial) report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which has been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. Since reaching bottom in July 2011 at a level of 77.1 (2000=100), the index has been trending up. 4. Rates as of mid month. Construction Backlog Indicator (Months) Current Backlog Q1 ‘18 8.8 Q2 ‘18 9.9 Q3 ‘18 9.0 Backlog from a year ago 9.0 14.0 9.5 (Associated Builders & Contractors) Construction Contractors Confidence Index1 Sales Expectations Q1 ‘18 72.2 Q2 ‘18 72.6% Q3 ‘18 68.6% Profit Margin Expectations 63.4 64.5% 63.6% Staffing Level Intentions 70.2 69.5% 68.6% (Associated Builders & Contractors) National Unemployment Rate Overall current month 4.0% 3.9% 3.9% 3.7% 3.7% 3.7% Overall from twelve months earlier 4.3% 4.3% 4.4% 4.2% 4.1% 4.1% Construction current month 4.7% 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 3.6% 3.9% Construction from twelve months earlier 4.5% 4.9% 4.7% 4.7% 4.5% 5.0% (Bureau of Labor Statistics - BLS) Housing Permits and Starts National Permits - Total -2.2% 1.5% -5.7% -0.6% -0.6% 5.0% Permits - Total from twelve months earlier -3.0% 4.2% -5.5% -1.0% -6.0% 0.4% 1 - Family - change from previous month 0.8% 1.9% -6.1% 2.9% -0.6% 0.1% 1 - Family - change year over year 4.6% 6.4% 2.1% 2.4% -0.6% -1.9% 5 + Units - change from previous month -8.7% 1.7% -8.0% -9.3% 0.0% 15.4% 5 + Units - change year over year -16.2% 2.8% -19.7% -9.3% -17.2% 5.5% Starts - Total -12.3% 0.9% 9.2% -5.3% 1.5% 3.2% Starts - Total from twelve months earlier -4.2% -1.4% 9.4% 3.7% -2.9% -3.6% 1 - Family - change from previous month -9.1% 0.9% 1.9% -0.9% -1.8% -4.6% 1 - Family - change year over year -0.2% 2.7% -0.2% 4.8% -2.6% -13.1% 5 + Units - change from previous month -20.2% 3.1% 27.3% -12.9% 6.2% 24.9% 5 + Units - change year over year -15.3% -9.6% 37.1% 4.5% -4.5% 20.2% (U.S. Census Bureau & Dept. of Housing and Urban Dev.) Nonresidential Construction Material Prices Current Month 0.9% -0.3% -0.4% 0.4% 0.5% -1.7% Change year over year 9.8% 9.6% 8.3% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% (Producer Price Index - PPI) Nonresidential Construction Spending Previous Month 0.8% -1.6% -0.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% Change year over year 9.6% 4.2% 5.3% 8.4% 8.9% 7.3% (U.S. Census Bureau) AIA - Architecture Billing Index2 51.3 50.7 54.2 51.1 50.4 54.7 Dodge Momentum Index- Commercial Building3 165.5 169.8 164.1 159.5 159.9 159.7 Interest Rates4 I-Month LIBOR 2.0684% 2.0790% 2.0741% 2.1755% 2.2857% 2.3193% WSJ Prime Rate 5.00% 5.00% 5.00% 5.25% 5.25% 5.50% 5 Year US Treasury Rate 2.81% 2.75% 2.90% 3.01% 2.94% 2.73% 10 Year US Treasury Rate 2.93% 2.85% 2.99% 3.16% 3.11% 3.14% Jun. ’18 Jul. ’18 Aug. ’18 Sept. ’18 Oct. ’18 Nov. ‘18

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