Future of education late 2016
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Materials for a presentation to Tecnológico de Monterrey.
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Future of education late 2016
- 1. EducationEducation andand technology:technology: stories ofstories of the futurethe future 3er. Congreso Internacional de Innovació n Educativa
- 3. Greetings from AmericaGreetings from America
- 4. Choices are before usChoices are before us The US context is… chaotic, maybe dire
- 5. How can we grapple with the future? •Trends •Futures •Choices
- 6. Monthly environmental scan report Trends identified, tested, projected TrendlinesTrendlines
- 9. Technology trendsTechnology trends Rise of the stacks Yet hardware + networks = multiple ecosystems
- 12. Screening Flowing Accessing Sharing Cognifying Filtering Remixing Interacting
- 13. Screening Flowing Accessing Sharing Cognifying Filtering Remixing Interacting
- 14. Automation on the rise
- 15. Automation on the rise http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/
- 18. Design for mobile *first *
- 19. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
- 20. VR
- 23. VR + AR = MR
- 24. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem Android battles iOS Disintegrated computing: Wearables Very small cameras and computers…
- 25. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem Android battles iOS Disintegrated computing: Wearables Very small cameras and computers Leading to… Leading to…
- 28. Globalization of higher educationGlobalization of higher education International higher ed systems building up More international students heading to other nations US campuses expanding overseas presence
- 29. Education trendsEducation trends Reform movements Alternative certification pilots Alternative business models and schools
- 30. DemographicsDemographics Youth population shrinkage Expanding senior population…
- 31. 31
- 32. 32
- 34. MEXICOMEXICO
- 36. Labor transformations •manufacturing->service •1 job/career->many gigs •declining participation •automation
- 37. Student populationStudent population changeschanges Near-majority adult Increasing first- generation students Veterans Learning disabilities 12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
- 39. Defunding public universitiesDefunding public universities
- 40. A new finance modelA new finance model
- 41. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
- 43. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech distance learning grows generational gaps gaming in education
- 44. Changes in the LMS world? http://i0.wp.com/mfeldstein.com/wp- content/uploads/2014/09/walledgarden5.jpg
- 45. Uses of social media Uses of Web video OER The rise of the Maker movement
- 46. MOOCs on the moveMOOCs on the move
- 47. Credit for MOOCs? STEM vs humanities Sustainability? New forms Multinational
- 49. Computational * • Computational genomics • Computational life sciences • Bioinformatics • Computational molecular science • New media practice and studies • Predictive policing • High frequency trading (finance)
- 52. The new community of scholars* *Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation
- 53. What happens to the library? •Shift from collection development to digital literacy consultation •Open scholarship •Transforms to research entrepreneurship National Science Library at the Chinese Academy of
- 54. Which of these trends are the most powerful?
- 55. Which of these trends are the most unpredicatble?
- 56. All of these are in the present.
- 57. So what’s next?So what’s next?
- 58. Extrapolations: Transnational campuses Average student age: 40 Hourly faculty Privatizing public universities Hogwarts vs poor campuses What comes next?What comes next?
- 59. • Rich multimedia environment • Some gamification • Student as producer Disintegrated computing as a service Extensive data analysis, surveillance, creativity Campus of networked things
- 60. A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble?
- 61. A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble? Continued cost/quality anxiety Student and parent anxieties about debt Grad school crises Political pressure
- 63. Yet the college premiumYet the college premium persistspersists
- 64. Will universities fight Trump?Will universities fight Trump? Campuses defending immigrants
- 65. https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2 016/12/02/outlining-commitments- undocumented-immigrant-students-some- presidents-avoid-term What do campuses do during civil unrest?
- 66. We’re so not sustainable Political dysfunction “ unrest Failure of the elites Resentment “ “ “ https://www.flickr.com/photos/suxsie_q/27261718274 /
- 67. We’re not sustainable What happens when these combine? • Environmental stresses trigger political unrest • Political unrest meets tottering leadership • Distrust and friction escalate • Repeat, reiterate: vicious cycle
- 68. Taking automation seriouslyTaking automation seriously
- 69. Curriculum and life: is school for unemployment or working with AIs? Post-AI educationPost-AI education
- 70. Curriculum and life: what does it mean to be human when machines exceed us? Post-AI educationPost-AI education
- 71. Pedagogy: • Apps instead of classes • Computer-assisted creativity • Cyborg teaching and becoming Post-AI educationPost-AI education
- 72. What if we take digital literacy seriously?What if we take digital literacy seriously?
- 74. It might be insurgent https://www.flickr.com/photos/77688862@N02/20014884218/
- 75. The best digital literacy storytelling https://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=W6yVCgoBn-I
- 76. What comes next?What comes next?
- 77. Choices: • Reinvest in public academics or privatize further? What comes next?What comes next?
- 78. Choices: • Reinvest in public academics or privatize further? • Turn away the world or embrace increasing globalism What comes next?What comes next?
- 79. Choices: • Reinvest in public academics or privatize further? • Turn away the world or embrace increasing globalism • Become open or erect walled gardens What comes next?What comes next?
- 80. Choices: • Embrace social media or retreat to silos? What comes next?What comes next?
- 81. Choices: • Embrace social media or retreat to silos • Rebuild authorities or encourage democratic digital literacy? What comes next?What comes next?
- 82. Choices: • Embrace social media or retreat to silos? • Rebuild authorities or encourage democratic digital literacy? • Prepare for automation now or be caught by surprise? What comes next?What comes next?
- 83. Collaborate with each other, across institutions, sectors, nations, populations, professions What can we do now?What can we do now?
- 84. Use social media
- 85. Use social media Use and be open
- 86. Rethink everything in terms of automation’s possibilities
- 87. Imagine different worlds and inhabiting them - yourselves, your institution, your children and the generation to come
Editor's Notes
- An honor to address an organization - a community - that has meant so much to me for more than a decade. NMC is a source of inspiration, learning, challenges, and many friendships.
- One way of describing this world of small, embedded, invisible, and environmental hardware is the IoT. This is already occurring through an enormous infrastructure build out: Expanding into the IPv6 internet protocol Developing new middleware, OSes Building out data ownership and control systems
- You. Help. Make. The. Future. It isn’t something just done to you, delivered like gifts from a cargo cult. You help make the future. Every decision you make contributes. When you craft a creative work, or teach in a certain way, or nudge a campus in one direction, or support a political candidate, or tell a story, or dream out loud, or influence younger folks, you help co-create what is coming next. Don’t be passive - it’s too late! You’re already making it happen. You are all - each of you - practicing futurists and world-makers. Do so with open eyes, and the flame of creative possibility roaring in your heart.