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Five Ways of Looking at the Liberal Arts Campus in 2015 CLAC Conference 2010 Dickinson College
Looking back, looking ahead
Futuresresearch Pew/Elon reports Horizon Report Prediction markets Also: ,[object Object]
Educause Evolving Technologies Committee
sf: VernorVinge
NITLE Network
Environmental scanning,[object Object]
trend extrapolation size of data 5 exabytes of data online in 2002 281 exabytes in 2009 call it 11240 in 2015		 broadband increases social media content, diversity increase
trend extrapolation continuing trendlines for ubicomp # of mobile devices internet of things ,[object Object],AR 3d, non-keyboard interfaces growing steadily
trend extrapolation campus-related trends ebooks grow
trend extrapolation campus-related trends cyberinfrastructuregrows: sciences, humanities digitization continues: scanning, imaging CMS platforms …assume all of these for today's scenarios
Scenarios   Stories about futures  Event and response Creativity Roles and times Emergent practices and patterns
Scenarios  JamaisCascio: thinking is the important good open up multiple outcomes intersections of trends can power new stuff not Black Swans, but flexible enough thinking to better enable us to think through BSes
Caveats Overlap and interconnection Lots of gaps – that’s part of the plan No value judgments No probability assessments
over to http://prezi.com/egocbx3gha-y/liberal-education-in-2015/ or http://tinyurl.com/39zeqyd
Credits Pew/ElonImagining the Internet, http://www.elon.edu/predictions/ Future of Everything, NERCOMP/AC, http://www.academiccommons.org/futureofeverything NMC/ELI Horizon Report, http://www.nmc.org/horizon NITLE Prediction Markets, http://markets.nitle.org/ Graphene developments, http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/25547/?nlid=3120&a=f
Exabytes growing, Marisa Mayer, http://www.slideshare.net/PARCInc/innovation-at-google-the-physics-of-data Tanagrammilitary AR, http://spill.tanagram.com/2010/05/24/precise-overlay-registration-within-augmented-reality-a-glimpse-into-the-technology/ Connexions, http://cnx.org/ Black Swans: Field Museum Library, gnuckxcc0, http://www.flickr.com/photos/34409164@N06/3209135920/ Great California Shakeout, http://www.shakeout.org/media/index.html Uncredited photos: mine

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CLAC 2010: Five Futures for Higher Education

  • 1. Five Ways of Looking at the Liberal Arts Campus in 2015 CLAC Conference 2010 Dickinson College
  • 3.
  • 7.
  • 8. trend extrapolation size of data 5 exabytes of data online in 2002 281 exabytes in 2009 call it 11240 in 2015 broadband increases social media content, diversity increase
  • 9.
  • 11. trend extrapolation campus-related trends cyberinfrastructuregrows: sciences, humanities digitization continues: scanning, imaging CMS platforms …assume all of these for today's scenarios
  • 12. Scenarios Stories about futures Event and response Creativity Roles and times Emergent practices and patterns
  • 13. Scenarios JamaisCascio: thinking is the important good open up multiple outcomes intersections of trends can power new stuff not Black Swans, but flexible enough thinking to better enable us to think through BSes
  • 14. Caveats Overlap and interconnection Lots of gaps – that’s part of the plan No value judgments No probability assessments
  • 16. Credits Pew/ElonImagining the Internet, http://www.elon.edu/predictions/ Future of Everything, NERCOMP/AC, http://www.academiccommons.org/futureofeverything NMC/ELI Horizon Report, http://www.nmc.org/horizon NITLE Prediction Markets, http://markets.nitle.org/ Graphene developments, http://www.technologyreview.com/computing/25547/?nlid=3120&a=f
  • 17. Exabytes growing, Marisa Mayer, http://www.slideshare.net/PARCInc/innovation-at-google-the-physics-of-data Tanagrammilitary AR, http://spill.tanagram.com/2010/05/24/precise-overlay-registration-within-augmented-reality-a-glimpse-into-the-technology/ Connexions, http://cnx.org/ Black Swans: Field Museum Library, gnuckxcc0, http://www.flickr.com/photos/34409164@N06/3209135920/ Great California Shakeout, http://www.shakeout.org/media/index.html Uncredited photos: mine
  • 18. Credits for Prezi XKCD, http://xkcd.com/750/ Democratized curation, http://www.hyperorg.com/blogger/2010/06/06/democratized-curation/ ebooks outselling print by 2015, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/sony/7798340/Sony-ebooks-to-overtake-print-within-five-years.html Beloit Mindset list: http://www.beloit.edu/mindset/ FacebookQuora: http://mediamemo.allthingsd.com/20100531/facebook-moving-to-answer-the-quora-question/ EpisilonAurigaecrowdsourcing, http://mysite.du.edu/~rstencel/epsaurnews.htm
  • 19. Jesse Schell, Is Your Life Just One Big RPG? http://e3.g4tv.com/thefeed/blog/post/702668/dice-2010-video-design-outside-the-box.html HP CeNSE: Sensor Networks and the Pulse of the Planet, http://www.slideshare.net/hewlettpackard/hp-cense-sensor-networks-and-the-pulse-of-the-planet
  • 20. Twitterati: Joanne Golas, Owen Kelly, Chris Seller, David E. Robinson Other humans: Mike Sellers, NITLE staff, Todd Bryant, Ed Webb, Robert Renaud, Howard Rheingold …and thanks to CLAC for the opportunity.