8. trend extrapolation size of data 5 exabytes of data online in 2002 281 exabytes in 2009 call it 11240 in 2015 broadband increases social media content, diversity increase
11. trend extrapolation campus-related trends cyberinfrastructuregrows: sciences, humanities digitization continues: scanning, imaging CMS platforms …assume all of these for today's scenarios
12. Scenarios Stories about futures Event and response Creativity Roles and times Emergent practices and patterns
13. Scenarios JamaisCascio: thinking is the important good open up multiple outcomes intersections of trends can power new stuff not Black Swans, but flexible enough thinking to better enable us to think through BSes
14. Caveats Overlap and interconnection Lots of gaps – that’s part of the plan No value judgments No probability assessments
17. Exabytes growing, Marisa Mayer, http://www.slideshare.net/PARCInc/innovation-at-google-the-physics-of-data Tanagrammilitary AR, http://spill.tanagram.com/2010/05/24/precise-overlay-registration-within-augmented-reality-a-glimpse-into-the-technology/ Connexions, http://cnx.org/ Black Swans: Field Museum Library, gnuckxcc0, http://www.flickr.com/photos/34409164@N06/3209135920/ Great California Shakeout, http://www.shakeout.org/media/index.html Uncredited photos: mine
19. Jesse Schell, Is Your Life Just One Big RPG? http://e3.g4tv.com/thefeed/blog/post/702668/dice-2010-video-design-outside-the-box.html HP CeNSE: Sensor Networks and the Pulse of the Planet, http://www.slideshare.net/hewlettpackard/hp-cense-sensor-networks-and-the-pulse-of-the-planet
20. Twitterati: Joanne Golas, Owen Kelly, Chris Seller, David E. Robinson Other humans: Mike Sellers, NITLE staff, Todd Bryant, Ed Webb, Robert Renaud, Howard Rheingold …and thanks to CLAC for the opportunity.