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Understanding the Front End:
     A Common Language and
        Structured Picture

                                                   Idea
                                                 Genesis
                                                    and
                                                Enrichment
                                                                Idea
                                                              Selection

                                       Opportunity ENGINE
                                        Analysis

                                                              Concept
                                                             Definition
                                                                      C
                                             Opportunity            Se onc
                                                                      le ep           NP
                                            Identification              ct t
                                                                          io
                                                                                        D
                                                                             n

                                                                      Te
                                                                         c   h
                                                                                 SG


Peter A. Koen, Ph.D
Stevens Institute of Technology
E-mail: pkoen@stevens.edu
www.frontendinnovation.com
                                  An            &                                      Co-Sponsored Best Practice Event
May 25, 2004
Agenda

 T   What is the Front End?

 T   NCD Model
     S What it is?

 T   Most Effective Practices
     S Most important part of Front End – macro
        perspective
      S Elements of Best Projects


                                                  2
What is the “Front End of Innovation?”

 T      “Front End of Innovation” is defined by:
         S Activities that come before the “formal and well
           structured” New Product Development (NPD) Portion
                                                         Structured with a
                                New Product                formalized and
                                Development               prescribed set of
        Front End of              Portion
         Innovation                                   activities and questions

                                                      Commercialization
       FEI activities are
     less structured and             New product
       less predictable         development portion
                                 includes BOTH new
                                product and process

We prefer NOT use the term “Fuzzy Front End” since it implies that
 the FEI is mysterious, uncontrollable and cannot be managed.              3
What is the “Front End of Innovation?”

                                Front End of
                                 Innovation       New Product
                                                  Development
  Highly Innovative and
                                                     Stage
    Profitable Platform
Strategies Leveraging Core
Competencies/Capabilities                                         Commercial-
                                                                    ization

                      Size of Bubble is
                      related to Profit
                          Potential
  Platform Strategies
  Leveraging Existing                          Traditional Stage Gate
 Customer Value Chain


                             Idea Selection Process
                                for Incremental
                                    Products                            4
Breakthrough

Definition
     Breakthrough products* (i.e. new to the company or new the
    world) offer a 5-10 times or greater improvement in performance
         combined with a 30-50% or greater reduction in costs




*Leifer, R., McDermott, C.M., O’Connor, G.C., Peters, L.S., Rice, M. and R. W. Veryzer. Radical Innovation. Massachusetts:
Harvard Business Press, (2000)                                                                                          5
Platform

Definition
Platform products* establish a basic architecture for a next
generation product or process and are substantially larger in
      scope and resources than incremental projects.

                                                                                 Incremental Extension:
                                                                                   Underwater version


                                                                 Incremental Extension:
                                                                    Addition of flash


                                             New Platform: Kodak’s development of
                                             disposable single use 35 mm camera

**Meyer, M.H. and Lehnerd, L., The Power of Product Platforms, New York: The Free Press, 1997             6
Why Focus on the Front End?

  T Differences
                        Front End Innovation            New Product Development Stage
                      Experimental, often chaotic.       Disciplined and goal oriented with a
      Work              “Eureka” moments. Can                        project plan
                        schedule work – but not
                               invention
Commercialization            Unpredictable                     High degree of certainty
     Date
                       Depends. In the beginning
    Funding          stages many projects may be                      Budgeted
                             “bootlegged”
    Revenue         Often uncertain with a great deal   Believable with increasing certainty as
   Expectation               of speculation                  the release date gets closer

     Activity        Individual or team emphasis in        Multi-function product/process
                          areas to minimize risk                 development team

   Measure of            Strengthened Concept                  Milestone Achievement
                                                                                          7
    Progress
Agenda


     What is the Front End?

 T   NCD Model
     S What it is?

 T   Most Effective Practices
     S Most important part of Front End – macro
        perspective
      S Elements of Best Projects

                                                  8
New Concept Development Model (NCD)


       Provides a common language and terminology
     necessary to optimize the “Front End of Innovation”

                         Engine                                            Idea
                      “Controllable”                                    Generation
                                                                            and                                             Influencing
                                                                        Enrichment                                            Factors
                                                                                                                          “Uncontrollable”
                                                                                          Idea
                                                                                        Selection
                                                          Opportunity
                                                           Analysis        ENGINE

                                                                                        Concept
                                                                                       Definition
                                                                                                   C
                                                                                                 Se onc
                 Core Front End                                     Opportunity                    le ep
                                                                                                     ct t
                                                                                                                 NP
                                                                                                                      D
                                                                   Identification                      io
               “Activity” Elements                                                                        n
                                                                                                    Te
                                                                                                      ch
                                                                                                           SG


Koen, et. al., “Providing Clarity and a Common Language to the “Fuzzy Front End,” , Research-Technology Management, (March-April 2001): pp 46-55.

Koen, et. al., ““Fuzzy-Front End: Effective Methods, Tools and Techniques,” In P. Belliveau, A Griffen and S. Sorermeyer, eds. PDMA Toolbook for New
Product Development. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 2 -35, 2002.                                                                               9
Definitions

T           Opportunity
             S A business or technical need that the company or
               individual realizes by design or default they might
               want to pursue to capture competitive advantage,
               respond to a threat or solve a problem

    T       Idea
             S Most embryonic form of a new product, service or
               envisioned solution

        T   Concept
             S Has a defined form (i.e. written and visual) with
               features and customer benefits combined with a
               broad understanding of the technology needed
                                                                     10
Agenda


     What is the Front End?

     NCD Model
       What it is?

 T   Most Effective Practices
     S Most important part of Front End – macro
        perspective
      S Elements of Best Projects

                                                  11
Quiz

What elements of the NCD Model are highly innovative (i.e. lots of new
products every year) companies very proficient in?



                                        20
                                   Idea Generation
                                   and Enrichment


                                                            38
                                                        Idea
                                                      Selection

                     30
                     Opportunity
                      Analysis
                                           68
                                        ENGINE



                                                          36
                                                      Concept
                                                     Definition           Yesterday’s class
                               Opportunity
                                    73
                              Identification
                                                              Te
                                                                ch   8
                                                                     SG

                                                                                       12
1st Front End of Innovation Conference




                                    13
Agenda


     What is the Front End?

     NCD Model
       What it is?

 T   Most Effective Practices
      Most important part of Front End – macro
        perspective
      S Elements of Best Projects

                                                  14
Elements of Effective Projects

T    Early senior management
     involvement and commitment
                                                         Idea
                                                       Genesis
                                                          and
                                                      Enrichment

                                                                       Idea
                                                                     Selection
                                              Opportunity ENGINE
                                               Analysis
                                                                     Concept
                                                                    Definition
                                                                              C
                                                                            Se onc       NP
                                                    Opportunity               le ep           D
                                                   Identification               ct t
                                                                                  io
                                                                                     n
                                                                             Te
                                                                               ch
                                                                                    SG




       Front End Maturity Model                The prime imperative for
         Adopted from PRTM’s model for    breakthrough projects in the Front
          the entire innovation process   End is NOT picking the winners, but
                                                 killing the losers early. 15
Elements of Effective Projects

T   Early involvement of business
    executive champion
T   Collaborative culture which                    Idea
                                                 Genesis
    encourages knowledge                            and
                                                Enrichment
    creation
                                                                 Idea
     S Communities of Practice                                 Selection

      S IT Tools which enable people-   Opportunity ENGINE
                                         Analysis
         to-people contacts                                    Concept
                                                              Definition
       S Collaborative Work Space
                                                                        C
                                              Opportunity             Se onc
T   Constancy of purpose                     Identification             le ep
                                                                          ct t
                                                                                   NP
                                                                                        D
                                                                            io
                                                                               n
T   Aggressive Goals                                                   Te
                                                                         ch
                                                                              SG




                                                                                    16
Elements of Effective Projects

    Collaborative Environment
T   What is a collaborative culture?
     S Mutual Trust
            R Trust in the individual that you share tacit
                  knowledge with
      S Active Empathy
             R To be able to share pain and frailties
       S Access to help
              R Experts in the organization are will to provide
                  help
        S Lenience in Judgment
               R Harsh judgment, laughter and criticism will           Collaborative culture
                  prevent the sharing of ones own true beliefs           means that the
         S Courage                                                      organization cares
                R Individuals should not be afraid of exposing their
                  concepts to fierce judgment                                          17
Elements of Effective Practices

Communities of Practice




                                              Diversity


T   Creates new knowledge within the community
T   Connects, acquires, exchanges and builds new knowledge
T   New science occurs through the process of building upon
    internal and external knowledge communities

Breakthrough Knowledge Usually Occurs at the Boundaries of
                the Old” McDermott, 1999                  18
Elements of Effective Practices

Communities of Practice - an example
T   Production and Reservoir Engineering Community at
    Schlumberger
     S Goal is to better optimize the value of each well
      S Consists of 536 members around the world
       S Focused on Schlumberger’s core competence in production and
           reservoir engineering
        S Developed a series of web based case histories
         S Catalog industry practices into “good idea,” “Local Best Practice”
           and “Schlumberger Best Practice”


              Community creates a support network for
                 Schlumberger’s technical experts
                                                                           19
Elements of Effective Practices

       Communities of Practice
T        Best Practices:
          S Focus of on the core competencies of the corporation
           S Leader should be well respected member of the community and
                 be able to commit at least 25% time
                  R Experts need not apply
            S Initially the thought leaders need to be part of the community
             S Community of Practice should NOT become another project
              S Create passion and real dialogue since the COP is voluntary
               S Make connections between community members seamless

     McDermott, R., “Knowing in Community: Ten Critical Factors for Community Success,” IHRIM Journal, March, 2000.

    Koen, P.A. McDermott, R., Olsen, R. and Prather, C. , “Enhancing Knowledge Creation for Breakthrough Innovation: Tools and Techniques,” to be
    published in PDMA Toolbook for New Product Development. 2nd edition, John Wiley and Sons, New York: 2004.                                  20
Elements of Effective Projects



T       Projects get started based on:                 Idea
                                                     Genesis
         S Customer Trend Analysis (Clear               and
                                                    Enrichment
               Opportunity)
                                                                     Idea
          S Technology Trend Analysis                              Selection

           S Technology Road Mapping        Opportunity ENGINE
                                             Analysis
            S Competitive Intelligence                             Concept
               Analysis                                           Definition
                                                                            C
             S Scenario Planning                  Opportunity
                                                 Identification
                                                                          Se onc
                                                                            le ep
                                                                              ct t
                                                                                       NP
                                                                                            D
                                                                                io
    T   These efforts create many                                                  n
                                                                           Te
        triggers                                                             ch
                                                                                  SG

    T   Need to envision the future


                                                                                        21
Market Attack Team

            A process for rapidly developing actionable
               plans for large market opportunities
                                                           3 months
                                                                         Experts
                                                                         Meeting

                    Phase 1
 Effort ideally    (Charter)
                                        Phase 2              Phase 3              Phase 4
 includes 3 -5                        (Market and
                                      Technology
                                                            (Business
                                                             Concept
                                                                               (Business Case
                                                                                Generation)
full time people                       Analysis)           Generation)




                                                                                 Challenge   TR1
                                                                         Select
                                                  Select broad                   Workshop  Business
                                                                          best
                                                  concepts to                                Plan
                           Project Scope                                concepts
                                                    focus on




                   Preparing           1st Deep              2nd Deep              Race to the        22
                    to Dive              Dive                  Dive                  Finish
Why Attack Team?

                Attack Team approach enables World Class
                   Innovation - Wisdom of the “Sages”
T               Business-Technology Interspersing
T               Based on Market and Technology Trend Analysis
                 S Where the future opportunities come from
    T           Science Based Core Competencies
    T           Aggressive Goals
    T           (External) Scientific Peer Review
    T           Focusing (in contrast to spreading too thin)
                  S Constancy of Purpose
        T       Process Optimization which include:
                   S Complete Business Case, Management Oversight and involvement
                     and fact based fast kills and metrics
            T   Full time project team populated with members with
                demonstrated track record and company credibility
                                                                              23
Elements of Effective Projects

T   Customer
     S Ethnography approaches
      S Lead User Methodology                             Idea
                                                        Genesis
       S Early involvement of customer                     and
                                                       Enrichment
            champion
                                                                        Idea
        S Discovering the Archetype of your                           Selection

            customer                           Opportunity ENGINE
                                                Analysis
T   Business-Technology Interspersing                                 Concept
                                                                     Definition
T   Technology                                                                 C
                                                     Opportunity             Se onc
         S Increasing linkages both internal        Identification             le ep
                                                                                 ct t
                                                                                   io
                                                                                          NP
                                                                                               D

            and external (Technology Flow)                                            n
                                                                              Te
                                                                                ch
          S Partnering                                                               SG

T   Diversity of cognitive styles on
    idea enrichment team

                                                                                           24
Elements of Effective Projects

                                                     T   Portfolio methodologies based on
                                                         multiple factors of:
                                                          S Technical Success Probability
                                                           S Commercial Success Probability
            Idea                                            S Reward
          Genesis
             and                                             S Strategic Fit
         Enrichment                                           S Strategic Leverage
                          Idea                                     R Using Anchored Scales
                        Selection
                                                     T   NOT just financial justification
 Opportunity ENGINE
  Analysis                                           T   Use of “Options Theory” to
                        Concept                          evaluate projects
                       Definition                    T   Screening methodologies are not
       Opportunity               C
                               Se onc
                                                         used on “breakthrough” projects
                                            NP
      Identification             le ep
                                   ct t
                                     io
                                        n
                                                 D             S “Holy Grail”
                                Te
                                                                S Obvious
                                  ch
                                       SG



                                                     T   RIGOROUS use of the Technology
                                                         Stage Gate for high risk projects
                                                                                      25
Technology Stage Gate

         Technology Stage Gate is an effective technology
         development process with management overview,
           business and scientific rigor which creates an
                   environment of fast failures.

   T     Traditional Project Management
          S Assumes that there is little uncertainty associated
             with the technologies
   T     Starting product development before technology
         is known
           S Results in canceled or delayed projects, and wasted
             product development effort
Ajamian, G. and Koen, P.A., “Technology Stage Gate: A Structured Process for Managing High Risk, New Technology Projects,” In P. Belliveau, A
Griffen and S. Sorermeyer, eds. PDMA Toolbook for New Product Development. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 267 - 295, 2002.                 26
Where it fits

    Front End of
    Innovation         New Product
                       Development
                          Stage

                                        Commercialization




                         Traditional Project
                            Management

          Technology
          Stage Gate
                                                      27
Traditional Project Management


T               Repeatable Process
                 S 85% repeatable                     V

                  S Leverage from past
                       experiences                        IV



    T           Predictable procedures                         III


                   S Detailed project plan of what
                       to do and when                                II



                    S Can estimate cycle time
                                                                           I
        T       Structure and discipline are
                critical
                     S Creativity is less important
            T   Project management skills
                are required

                                                                          28
Technology Stage Gate

                                             Technology Milestones
T Difficult to capture and leverage              are “opaque”
      past experiences for future efforts
       S Cycle time difficult to estimate
 T Range of experimental outcomes
                                                 TRN



      is vast                                          TRN-1


        S Detailed overall project plan is
           impractical
  T Do not know how many gates
                                                               TR1



         S Can’t schedule invention                                   TR0

   T Too much structure can inhibit
      creativity
    T Project leaders need ability to
      manage uncertainty while focusing
      on project goals

                                                                     29
Technology Feasibility Point


                   Technology Feasibility Point                      Technology Feasibility Point                      Technology Feasibility Point
                                                                                                                       A
Confidence Level




                                                                                                                           B




                                                  Confidence Level




                                                                                                    Confidence Level
                                                                                                                                   D       F
                                                                                   D   E     F

                                                                           B   C                                                       E
                                                                                                                               C
                                D
                        B           E
                            C
                    A                   F                            A


                    Technology Factor                                    Technology Factor                                 Technology Factor

                                                                                                                       Some may be difficult
                   Usually MULTIPLE                                        Need to                                          to move
                     technologies                                    concentrate on the
                     are involved                                     “ problem child “                                Some may even FALL
                                                                                                                             back !




                                                                                                                                               30
Conclusions

T   Front End of Innovation can be studied, evaluated
    and managed – BUT only if there exists a common
    language
     S Is NOT “Fuzzy”
      S Should be thought of in a holistic manner
       S Different for incremental, platform and breakthrough

T   NCD Model Created
    S Engine
     S Five Front End Elements
      S Influencing Factors


                                                            31
Conclusions

T   Greatest weakness of FEI
     S Engine
      S Opportunity Identification
       S Technology Stage Gate

T   “Effective” Practices for FEI are being better
    understood
     S Technology and Market Trend Analysis
      S Providing a collaborative environment for enhancing
          Knowledge Creation
       S Really understanding unmet customer needs
        S Managing high risk projects
                                                              32
Conclusions

T       Breakthrough Projects
         S Require senior management involvement, commitment and
              stomach
          S Expect only 20-25% to be winners
                R The key issue is NOT picking the winners – but killing the
                  losers early
           S Discuss option cost to the next risk reduction milestone – rather
              than total valuation
            S Expect that the project will morph into something else

    T   Disruptive Businesses
           S Sustaining Businesses need to embrace the disruptive Business
             Model
         S Set up as a separate business unit
          S Aggressively look for acquisition targets that are potentially
             disruptive                                                   33

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Front End Innovation - Peter Koen

  • 1. Understanding the Front End: A Common Language and Structured Picture Idea Genesis and Enrichment Idea Selection Opportunity ENGINE Analysis Concept Definition C Opportunity Se onc le ep NP Identification ct t io D n Te c h SG Peter A. Koen, Ph.D Stevens Institute of Technology E-mail: pkoen@stevens.edu www.frontendinnovation.com An & Co-Sponsored Best Practice Event May 25, 2004
  • 2. Agenda T What is the Front End? T NCD Model S What it is? T Most Effective Practices S Most important part of Front End – macro perspective S Elements of Best Projects 2
  • 3. What is the “Front End of Innovation?” T “Front End of Innovation” is defined by: S Activities that come before the “formal and well structured” New Product Development (NPD) Portion Structured with a New Product formalized and Development prescribed set of Front End of Portion Innovation activities and questions Commercialization FEI activities are less structured and New product less predictable development portion includes BOTH new product and process We prefer NOT use the term “Fuzzy Front End” since it implies that the FEI is mysterious, uncontrollable and cannot be managed. 3
  • 4. What is the “Front End of Innovation?” Front End of Innovation New Product Development Highly Innovative and Stage Profitable Platform Strategies Leveraging Core Competencies/Capabilities Commercial- ization Size of Bubble is related to Profit Potential Platform Strategies Leveraging Existing Traditional Stage Gate Customer Value Chain Idea Selection Process for Incremental Products 4
  • 5. Breakthrough Definition Breakthrough products* (i.e. new to the company or new the world) offer a 5-10 times or greater improvement in performance combined with a 30-50% or greater reduction in costs *Leifer, R., McDermott, C.M., O’Connor, G.C., Peters, L.S., Rice, M. and R. W. Veryzer. Radical Innovation. Massachusetts: Harvard Business Press, (2000) 5
  • 6. Platform Definition Platform products* establish a basic architecture for a next generation product or process and are substantially larger in scope and resources than incremental projects. Incremental Extension: Underwater version Incremental Extension: Addition of flash New Platform: Kodak’s development of disposable single use 35 mm camera **Meyer, M.H. and Lehnerd, L., The Power of Product Platforms, New York: The Free Press, 1997 6
  • 7. Why Focus on the Front End? T Differences Front End Innovation New Product Development Stage Experimental, often chaotic. Disciplined and goal oriented with a Work “Eureka” moments. Can project plan schedule work – but not invention Commercialization Unpredictable High degree of certainty Date Depends. In the beginning Funding stages many projects may be Budgeted “bootlegged” Revenue Often uncertain with a great deal Believable with increasing certainty as Expectation of speculation the release date gets closer Activity Individual or team emphasis in Multi-function product/process areas to minimize risk development team Measure of Strengthened Concept Milestone Achievement 7 Progress
  • 8. Agenda What is the Front End? T NCD Model S What it is? T Most Effective Practices S Most important part of Front End – macro perspective S Elements of Best Projects 8
  • 9. New Concept Development Model (NCD) Provides a common language and terminology necessary to optimize the “Front End of Innovation” Engine Idea “Controllable” Generation and Influencing Enrichment Factors “Uncontrollable” Idea Selection Opportunity Analysis ENGINE Concept Definition C Se onc Core Front End Opportunity le ep ct t NP D Identification io “Activity” Elements n Te ch SG Koen, et. al., “Providing Clarity and a Common Language to the “Fuzzy Front End,” , Research-Technology Management, (March-April 2001): pp 46-55. Koen, et. al., ““Fuzzy-Front End: Effective Methods, Tools and Techniques,” In P. Belliveau, A Griffen and S. Sorermeyer, eds. PDMA Toolbook for New Product Development. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 2 -35, 2002. 9
  • 10. Definitions T Opportunity S A business or technical need that the company or individual realizes by design or default they might want to pursue to capture competitive advantage, respond to a threat or solve a problem T Idea S Most embryonic form of a new product, service or envisioned solution T Concept S Has a defined form (i.e. written and visual) with features and customer benefits combined with a broad understanding of the technology needed 10
  • 11. Agenda What is the Front End? NCD Model What it is? T Most Effective Practices S Most important part of Front End – macro perspective S Elements of Best Projects 11
  • 12. Quiz What elements of the NCD Model are highly innovative (i.e. lots of new products every year) companies very proficient in? 20 Idea Generation and Enrichment 38 Idea Selection 30 Opportunity Analysis 68 ENGINE 36 Concept Definition Yesterday’s class Opportunity 73 Identification Te ch 8 SG 12
  • 13. 1st Front End of Innovation Conference 13
  • 14. Agenda What is the Front End? NCD Model What it is? T Most Effective Practices Most important part of Front End – macro perspective S Elements of Best Projects 14
  • 15. Elements of Effective Projects T Early senior management involvement and commitment Idea Genesis and Enrichment Idea Selection Opportunity ENGINE Analysis Concept Definition C Se onc NP Opportunity le ep D Identification ct t io n Te ch SG Front End Maturity Model The prime imperative for Adopted from PRTM’s model for breakthrough projects in the Front the entire innovation process End is NOT picking the winners, but killing the losers early. 15
  • 16. Elements of Effective Projects T Early involvement of business executive champion T Collaborative culture which Idea Genesis encourages knowledge and Enrichment creation Idea S Communities of Practice Selection S IT Tools which enable people- Opportunity ENGINE Analysis to-people contacts Concept Definition S Collaborative Work Space C Opportunity Se onc T Constancy of purpose Identification le ep ct t NP D io n T Aggressive Goals Te ch SG 16
  • 17. Elements of Effective Projects Collaborative Environment T What is a collaborative culture? S Mutual Trust R Trust in the individual that you share tacit knowledge with S Active Empathy R To be able to share pain and frailties S Access to help R Experts in the organization are will to provide help S Lenience in Judgment R Harsh judgment, laughter and criticism will Collaborative culture prevent the sharing of ones own true beliefs means that the S Courage organization cares R Individuals should not be afraid of exposing their concepts to fierce judgment 17
  • 18. Elements of Effective Practices Communities of Practice Diversity T Creates new knowledge within the community T Connects, acquires, exchanges and builds new knowledge T New science occurs through the process of building upon internal and external knowledge communities Breakthrough Knowledge Usually Occurs at the Boundaries of the Old” McDermott, 1999 18
  • 19. Elements of Effective Practices Communities of Practice - an example T Production and Reservoir Engineering Community at Schlumberger S Goal is to better optimize the value of each well S Consists of 536 members around the world S Focused on Schlumberger’s core competence in production and reservoir engineering S Developed a series of web based case histories S Catalog industry practices into “good idea,” “Local Best Practice” and “Schlumberger Best Practice” Community creates a support network for Schlumberger’s technical experts 19
  • 20. Elements of Effective Practices Communities of Practice T Best Practices: S Focus of on the core competencies of the corporation S Leader should be well respected member of the community and be able to commit at least 25% time R Experts need not apply S Initially the thought leaders need to be part of the community S Community of Practice should NOT become another project S Create passion and real dialogue since the COP is voluntary S Make connections between community members seamless McDermott, R., “Knowing in Community: Ten Critical Factors for Community Success,” IHRIM Journal, March, 2000. Koen, P.A. McDermott, R., Olsen, R. and Prather, C. , “Enhancing Knowledge Creation for Breakthrough Innovation: Tools and Techniques,” to be published in PDMA Toolbook for New Product Development. 2nd edition, John Wiley and Sons, New York: 2004. 20
  • 21. Elements of Effective Projects T Projects get started based on: Idea Genesis S Customer Trend Analysis (Clear and Enrichment Opportunity) Idea S Technology Trend Analysis Selection S Technology Road Mapping Opportunity ENGINE Analysis S Competitive Intelligence Concept Analysis Definition C S Scenario Planning Opportunity Identification Se onc le ep ct t NP D io T These efforts create many n Te triggers ch SG T Need to envision the future 21
  • 22. Market Attack Team A process for rapidly developing actionable plans for large market opportunities 3 months Experts Meeting Phase 1 Effort ideally (Charter) Phase 2 Phase 3 Phase 4 includes 3 -5 (Market and Technology (Business Concept (Business Case Generation) full time people Analysis) Generation) Challenge TR1 Select Select broad Workshop Business best concepts to Plan Project Scope concepts focus on Preparing 1st Deep 2nd Deep Race to the 22 to Dive Dive Dive Finish
  • 23. Why Attack Team? Attack Team approach enables World Class Innovation - Wisdom of the “Sages” T Business-Technology Interspersing T Based on Market and Technology Trend Analysis S Where the future opportunities come from T Science Based Core Competencies T Aggressive Goals T (External) Scientific Peer Review T Focusing (in contrast to spreading too thin) S Constancy of Purpose T Process Optimization which include: S Complete Business Case, Management Oversight and involvement and fact based fast kills and metrics T Full time project team populated with members with demonstrated track record and company credibility 23
  • 24. Elements of Effective Projects T Customer S Ethnography approaches S Lead User Methodology Idea Genesis S Early involvement of customer and Enrichment champion Idea S Discovering the Archetype of your Selection customer Opportunity ENGINE Analysis T Business-Technology Interspersing Concept Definition T Technology C Opportunity Se onc S Increasing linkages both internal Identification le ep ct t io NP D and external (Technology Flow) n Te ch S Partnering SG T Diversity of cognitive styles on idea enrichment team 24
  • 25. Elements of Effective Projects T Portfolio methodologies based on multiple factors of: S Technical Success Probability S Commercial Success Probability Idea S Reward Genesis and S Strategic Fit Enrichment S Strategic Leverage Idea R Using Anchored Scales Selection T NOT just financial justification Opportunity ENGINE Analysis T Use of “Options Theory” to Concept evaluate projects Definition T Screening methodologies are not Opportunity C Se onc used on “breakthrough” projects NP Identification le ep ct t io n D S “Holy Grail” Te S Obvious ch SG T RIGOROUS use of the Technology Stage Gate for high risk projects 25
  • 26. Technology Stage Gate Technology Stage Gate is an effective technology development process with management overview, business and scientific rigor which creates an environment of fast failures. T Traditional Project Management S Assumes that there is little uncertainty associated with the technologies T Starting product development before technology is known S Results in canceled or delayed projects, and wasted product development effort Ajamian, G. and Koen, P.A., “Technology Stage Gate: A Structured Process for Managing High Risk, New Technology Projects,” In P. Belliveau, A Griffen and S. Sorermeyer, eds. PDMA Toolbook for New Product Development. New York: John Wiley and Sons, 267 - 295, 2002. 26
  • 27. Where it fits Front End of Innovation New Product Development Stage Commercialization Traditional Project Management Technology Stage Gate 27
  • 28. Traditional Project Management T Repeatable Process S 85% repeatable V S Leverage from past experiences IV T Predictable procedures III S Detailed project plan of what to do and when II S Can estimate cycle time I T Structure and discipline are critical S Creativity is less important T Project management skills are required 28
  • 29. Technology Stage Gate Technology Milestones T Difficult to capture and leverage are “opaque” past experiences for future efforts S Cycle time difficult to estimate T Range of experimental outcomes TRN is vast TRN-1 S Detailed overall project plan is impractical T Do not know how many gates TR1 S Can’t schedule invention TR0 T Too much structure can inhibit creativity T Project leaders need ability to manage uncertainty while focusing on project goals 29
  • 30. Technology Feasibility Point Technology Feasibility Point Technology Feasibility Point Technology Feasibility Point A Confidence Level B Confidence Level Confidence Level D F D E F B C E C D B E C A F A Technology Factor Technology Factor Technology Factor Some may be difficult Usually MULTIPLE Need to to move technologies concentrate on the are involved “ problem child “ Some may even FALL back ! 30
  • 31. Conclusions T Front End of Innovation can be studied, evaluated and managed – BUT only if there exists a common language S Is NOT “Fuzzy” S Should be thought of in a holistic manner S Different for incremental, platform and breakthrough T NCD Model Created S Engine S Five Front End Elements S Influencing Factors 31
  • 32. Conclusions T Greatest weakness of FEI S Engine S Opportunity Identification S Technology Stage Gate T “Effective” Practices for FEI are being better understood S Technology and Market Trend Analysis S Providing a collaborative environment for enhancing Knowledge Creation S Really understanding unmet customer needs S Managing high risk projects 32
  • 33. Conclusions T Breakthrough Projects S Require senior management involvement, commitment and stomach S Expect only 20-25% to be winners R The key issue is NOT picking the winners – but killing the losers early S Discuss option cost to the next risk reduction milestone – rather than total valuation S Expect that the project will morph into something else T Disruptive Businesses S Sustaining Businesses need to embrace the disruptive Business Model S Set up as a separate business unit S Aggressively look for acquisition targets that are potentially disruptive 33