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Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




                      Woodside Capital Partners
                  Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

                  Introduction and Market Overview


                                      Kelly Porter
                                   Managing Director
                                 Woodside Capital Partners
                                    January 13, 2011
                                     650-559-7700
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011


                                   Agenda

         2:00pm – 2:30pm   Arrival and Registration
         2:30pm – 2:45pm   Introduction & Market Context
         2:45pm – 4:15pm   Roundtable: Acquisition and Deal Making Strategy
                            Moderator: Kelly Porter, Woodside Capital Partners
                            Andrew Siegel, Advance Publications (former Yahoo!)
                            Dave Sobota, Google
                            Eli Mendoza, IBM
                            Zander Lurie, CBS


         4:15pm – 5:00pm   Break
         5:00pm – 6:30pm   Roundtable: Integration Strategy
                            Moderator: Jonathan Dillon, Heystaks / Woodside Capital Partners
                            Amy Banse, Comcast
                            Lorraine McDonough, eBay
                            Chris Wormald, Research in Motion
                            Mike Foley, Electronic Arts
                            Robby Kwok, LinkedIn


         6:30pm – 7:45pm   Cocktails
         7:45pm – 9:30pm   Dinner and Keynote
                            Jed York, CEO, San Francisco 49ers
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011



   Welcome.

   We’ve come together today to discuss that point in the arc of a company’s lifespan
   when its shareholders decide to become part of a larger organization; conversely,
   when a larger organization decides a smaller company should be made part of its
   operating portfolio and strategic roadmap. In that moment, possibilities and
   expectations loom large … and so do hurdles to success. Our Gathering addresses the
   M&A ecosystem, bringing together some of the finest minds to discuss, simply, how
   to undertake Better Acquisitions.

   This presentation’s focus, and our discussion this afternoon, will cover some of the
   challenges that exist in M&A today. The second part of the presentation provides an
   overview and outlook of the M&A market in the internet / mobile / software / IT
   industry sectors.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011


                             The Dow Industrials in 1911

            Amalgamated
                                     Central Leather        U.S. Rubber
            Copper
            American Car &           General Electric
                                                            U.S. Steel
            Foundry                  Company
            American Smelting
                                     National Lead
            & Refining
            American Sugar           Peoples Gas



        Virtually all of us have seen this illustration of the Dow Industrials from
        100 years ago versus the Dow today. Only one company – General Electric
        - survives as a leader 100 years later. This table illustrates how difficult it is
        to maintain leadership in any business.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




  For example, 10-15 years ago Microsoft was the predominant player in multiple sectors. Microsoft
  looked invincible – they controlled the desktop, Office Suite, had the largest internet browser, and
  had a huge hand in the downfall of Netscape. Microsoft is still a big and profound company that
  deserves enormous respect – however few would have anticipated Microsoft’s struggle in key
  strategic areas - like mobile, social and search … and that Microsoft would have a market cap that
  is 25% less than Apple, which was on the fringe of the market in 1995.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




     Leadership is strongly rooted in continued innovation. Typically, large companies are not
     well equipped to innovate or create new, market-defining products. Therefore it is
     essential for the majority of large companies to acquire emerging-growth start-ups, and
     especially important where change is rapid and innovation intense, as it is in the
     technology industry.

     Because of this, in our view, people who do acquisitions in large companies play the
     most important role in inventing the future of their companies, and determining the
     company’s long-term strategic future.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




                                          August 2005   Oct 2006      Nov 2009
                                           Est $50M      $1.65B        $750M



 Acquire well – as, for
 example, Google has
 done with Keyhole             Oct 2004
 (Google maps),                Est $15M
 Android, YouTube or
 AdMob – and you
 grow your company in
 new and significant
 ways.

                                             Market Cap: From $23B to $197B
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




 Acquire poorly - as Time
 Warner did with AOL –
 and you burden the
 company’s balance sheet
 with debt or dilute
 shareholder equity, and
 even more important, the
 company’s strategic
 importance can decline
 precipitously.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




                Most Acquisitions Fail.

      Despite the essential importance of acquiring well, the majority of acquisitions
      fail. This is particularly interesting because of the way that acquisitions work
      … only the best companies are chosen, significant diligence is undertaken,
      teams of people analyze and dissect the acquisition, huge sums of shareholder
      capital are spent, and more often than not, the people that come in via new
      acquisitions come in with the best intentions …
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




    The impact of better acquisitions.

   The reason that failed acquisitions are an important issue is that the problem affects
   everyone in the technology food chain. Not just the acquiring companies, but also
   entrepreneurs, investors, bankers, attorneys, employees, suppliers, customers –
   everyone. And in a world where M&A is the exit of choice nowadays - 90% of
   positive exits are M&A – it is especially important. If more acquisitions succeeded,
   perhaps companies would acquire more, and the logjam of private venture backed
   companies seeking exits – numbering 8,000-9,000 by our estimate – might break.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




         M&A in key technology markets

   To set the stage for the rest of our Gathering, let’s take a look at where the tech
   M&A market is today. We started by surveying the acquisition activity of the 75
   most active acquirers in the key technology markets of internet, software, mobile
   and IT. The specific list of companies is on the next slide. We looked at their
   acquisition activity over the past five years – a good representative time when we
   had both good markets and a severe downturn, and what looks like a budding
   recovery.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

                    75 most active acquirers in key technology markets

 Activision Blizzard, Inc.                E-Commerce China Dangdang Inc.          Oracle Corp.
 Adobe Systems Inc.                       eBay Inc.                               priceline.com Incorporated
 Akamai Technologies Inc.                 Electronic Arts Inc.                    Qwest Communications International Inc.
 Alibaba.com Limited                      EMC Corporation                         Research In Motion Limited
 Amazon.com Inc.                          Expedia Inc.                            Rovi Corporation
 AOL, Inc.                                Facebook, Inc.                          Sage Group plc
 Apple Inc.                               Gannett Co., Inc.                       Salesforce.com
 Ariba Inc.                               Google Inc.                             SAP AG
 Autodesk, Inc.                           Hewlett-Packard Company                 Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc.
 Baidu, Inc.                              IAC/InterActiveCorp.                    SOFTBANK Corp.
 BMC Software Inc.                        Intel Corporation                       Sprint Nextel Corp.
 CA Technologies                          International Business Machines Corp.   Symantec Corporation
 Cap Gemini S.A.                          Intuit Inc.                             Tencent Holdings Ltd.
 CBS Corporation                          Lenovo Group Ltd.                       The New York Times Company
 Check Point Software Technologies Ltd.   Liberty Capital Group                   Time Warner Inc.
 China Mobile Limited                     Liberty Interactive, Inc.               Trend Micro Inc.
 Cisco Systems, Inc.                      Live Nation Entertainment, Inc.         VeriSign Inc.
 Citrix Systems, Inc.                     McAfee, Inc.                            Verizon Communications Inc.
 Clearwire Corporation                    Microsoft Corporation                   Viacom, Inc.
 Comcast Corporation                      NetApp, Inc.                            Vivendi
 Dassault Systemes SA                     Netflix, Inc.                           VMware, Inc.
 Dell Inc.                                News Corp.                              Vodafone Group plc
 DIRECTV                                  NHN Corp.                               Walt Disney Co.
 Discovery Communications, Inc.           Nintendo Co. Ltd.                       Western Digital Corp.
 DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc.            Nuance Communications, Inc.             Yahoo! Inc.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

                     75 most active acquirers in key technology markets
        Five year acquisition summary – 1,154 acquisitions, $278B announced values

           Number of Transactions                         Announced Value of Transactions $B
  350                                              $100
         301                                                $88
                                                    $90
  300           265
                       247                          $80
                                                                             $68
  250                                               $70
                                     203
  200                                               $60             $52
                                                    $50
                                                                                                        $46
                              138
  150                                               $40
  100                                               $30                                   $24
                                                    $20
   50
                                                    $10
    0                                                $-
         2006   2007   2008   2009   2010                  2006     2007    2008         2009           2010




 Looking at the two charts, you can see that a lot of transactions happened at the end of the credit
 bubble – by the way, the end of a big up-cycle is usually when the mega-deals happen, then
 volume dropped by more than half in 2009, and 2010 is starting to pick up again. Although both
 charts above contain meaningful data, the graph on the left is more representative of overall M&A
 activity – especially in transactions of below $100 million - since the valuations of nearly 2/3 of
 transactions are not announced.
                                                                                   Source: CapitaI IQ
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

  75 most active acquirers in key technology markets                    57 deals, $217b total
          Transaction sizes – last five years
                                                                     $1b+               85 deals, $41b total
If you are an investor or                                                    $250m-1b
entrepreneur, you should pay close
attention to the slices on this pie for                                                          75 deals, $12b total
deals that are below $100 million or
                                                                                   $100m-250m
that are unannounced (and therefore
are likely also under $100 million) –
because this is where you are most
likely going to find liquidity for
your companies. It’s important to                                                       $20m-100m         149 deals,
consider this when deciding to raise                                                                      $7b total
new capital with big valuations –
the fact is, very few companies are
acquired for more than $100M. The
top two slices - red and green –
show where 93% of the dollar                           Unannounced                   <$20M
volume is. Those are big
transactions which – if you’re the                                                               126 deals, $1.3b total
acquirer – are either intended to
significantly augment the company
like Oracle did with Sun, or reinvent     662 Deals
the company.
                                                                                          Source: CapitaI IQ
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011


                   75 most active acquirers in key technology markets
                 The 10 most active acquirers - number of transactions last five years

                                      100
                                       90   86
                                       80         74
                                                        70
These 10 companies did about           70                     65
                                                                   60
                                       60
half of the acquisitions over the                                        50
                                       50                                      44
past five years. Again, as an
                                       40
investor or entrepreneur, these                                                        30
                                       30                                                      25     24
are the companies that are most        20
likely to acquire you. And if          10
you are doing acquisitions, you         0
probably have competed against
these companies in transactions.




                                                                                 Source: CapitaI IQ
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

                        Announced dollar volume ($b) overlaid number of deals
                                      The 10-Most Active Acquirers – Last Five Years

This slide provides directional     100
information, since so many
deals have unannounced               90    86             $37.9
valuations. You can see that
                                     80            74
IBM, Oracle, HP, Cisco and
                                                           70
SAP have undertaken more             70                           65
mega-transactions, and                                                   60
companies like Google,               60
Microsoft, EMC, Autodesk and                      $21.3                         50
                                     50                                                 44
Yahoo! are tending to invest in                                                        $18.5
smaller companies. This points       40   $16.7
to how these companies put                                                                     $14.2
                                                                                                30
together their acquisition           30                                                                   25        24
portfolios in terms of size, risk                                        $9.0   $9.3
                                     20
and financial diversification.                                    $5.0
                                     10
                                                                                                         $0.7       $1.8
                                      0




                                                                                               Source: CapitaI IQ
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011


          Key acquirers that have decelerated M&A activity – last five years

         Market Composite                                 Oracle                                 Microsoft
  300                                      30                                        30
  250                                      25                                        25
  200                                      20                                        20
  150                                      15                                        15
  100                                      10                                        10
   50                                       5                                         5
    0                                       0                                         0
        2006   2007   2008   2009   2010        2006   2007   2008   2009    2010         2006   2007    2008    2009   2010



                                                          Cisco                                     Yahoo!
                                           20                                        10

                                           15                                        8
                                                                                     6
                                           10
                                                                                     4
                                            5                                        2
                                            0                                        0
                                                2006   2007   2008    2009    2010        2006    2007    2008     2009    2010




                                                                                                  Source: CapitaI IQ
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011


          Key acquirers that have accelerated M&A activity – last five years

         Market Composite                              IBM                                        Google
  300                                      25                                      30
  250                                      20                                      25
  200                                                                              20
                                           15
  150                                                                              15
                                           10
  100                                                                              10
   50                                      5                                        5
    0                                      0                                        0
        2006   2007   2008   2009   2010        2006 2007 2008 2009 2010                 2006   2007   2008   2009   2010



                                                                           Facebook

                                                               10


                                                                5


                                                                0
                                                                    2006   2007   2008   2009   2010




                                                                                                Source: CapitaI IQ
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

                       Current M&A market: key themes

     1. Opportunity to build great companies is as strong as ever.

     2. Hot companies staying private longer – access to capital for liquidity and
        growth, maintain control, hassles of being public. Need for new
        acquisition model?

     3. Valuations are high, particularly in social segment – Twitter @ $4b, Zynga
        @ $5b, Groupon @ $6b – bubble?

     4. Hurdle to IPO is higher.
        1980s:              32 tech IPO’s per year
        Early 1990s:        100+ tech IPO’s per year
        Late 1990s:         240 tech IPO’s per year              Fewer IPO’s
        1999-2000:          400 tech IPO’s per year
                                                                 than in 1980’s
        2001-2007:          62 tech IPO’s per year
        2008-2010:          22 tech IPO’s per year
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

        Current M&A market – key factors – top acquirers have plenty of cash
                              Motivator to acquire?

           Rank   Company           Cash + STI              Rank Company Name           Cash + STI

              1   Cisco                $38,925               14   Vodafone Group            $7,300
              2   China Mobile         $38,719               15   EMC                       $6,695
              3   Microsoft            $36,559               16   Kyocera                   $5,619
              4   Apple                $25,620               17   eBay Inc.                 $4,944
              5   Google               $24,485               18   Time Warner               $4,800
              6   Intel                $20,750               19   Sprint Nextel             $3,924
              7   Oracle               $18,469               20   Clearwire                 $3,805
              8   IBM                  $14,017               21   NetApp, Inc.              $3,724
              9   Nintendo             $13,399               22   Yahoo! Inc.               $3,291
             10   Dell                 $11,008               23   Activision Blizzard       $3,245
             11   Hewlett-Packard      $10,934               24   Western Digital           $2,734
             12   News Corp.            $8,709               25   Walt Disney               $2,722
             13   Softbank              $7,430

   Analysts suggest that the high amount of cash on companies’ balance sheets will translate to increased
   M&A activity in 2011. It is true that companies have significant cash - the last time companies had this
   much cash on their balance sheets was in 1958. However cash is not necessarily a key driver to increased
   M&A activity. Cash is important, but the most important component is confidence (for the CEO of the
   acquiring company – in his market, in his own business, visibility) and a strategic emphasis on growth by
   the acquirer, as opposed to defensiveness. Because we are still in a nascent recovery, confidence is
   returning gradually.
                                                                                           Source: CapitaI IQ
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011


                 Current M&A market – key factors – stock prices back up
                          Key to confidence of acquiring CEO’s




                                                               Source: Yahoo! Finance
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011


                               2011 market projections


    • Expect overall volume of deals to increase as recovery
      continues. Pent-up demand.

    • Expect few blockbuster deals – these usually come at end of
      boom cycle.

    • Expect disproportionally large increase in deal activity in the
      <$100M segment.

    • Comment: Longer term concern due to relative fragility of
      U.S. economy – now may be the time to exit.
Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011




                      Woodside Capital Partners
                  Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011

                  Introduction and Market Overview


                                      Kelly Porter
                                   Managing Director
                                 Woodside Capital Partners
                                    January 13, 2011
                                     650-559-7700

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Better Acquisitions

  • 1. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Woodside Capital Partners Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Introduction and Market Overview Kelly Porter Managing Director Woodside Capital Partners January 13, 2011 650-559-7700
  • 2. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Agenda 2:00pm – 2:30pm Arrival and Registration 2:30pm – 2:45pm Introduction & Market Context 2:45pm – 4:15pm Roundtable: Acquisition and Deal Making Strategy Moderator: Kelly Porter, Woodside Capital Partners Andrew Siegel, Advance Publications (former Yahoo!) Dave Sobota, Google Eli Mendoza, IBM Zander Lurie, CBS 4:15pm – 5:00pm Break 5:00pm – 6:30pm Roundtable: Integration Strategy Moderator: Jonathan Dillon, Heystaks / Woodside Capital Partners Amy Banse, Comcast Lorraine McDonough, eBay Chris Wormald, Research in Motion Mike Foley, Electronic Arts Robby Kwok, LinkedIn 6:30pm – 7:45pm Cocktails 7:45pm – 9:30pm Dinner and Keynote Jed York, CEO, San Francisco 49ers
  • 3. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Welcome. We’ve come together today to discuss that point in the arc of a company’s lifespan when its shareholders decide to become part of a larger organization; conversely, when a larger organization decides a smaller company should be made part of its operating portfolio and strategic roadmap. In that moment, possibilities and expectations loom large … and so do hurdles to success. Our Gathering addresses the M&A ecosystem, bringing together some of the finest minds to discuss, simply, how to undertake Better Acquisitions. This presentation’s focus, and our discussion this afternoon, will cover some of the challenges that exist in M&A today. The second part of the presentation provides an overview and outlook of the M&A market in the internet / mobile / software / IT industry sectors.
  • 4. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 The Dow Industrials in 1911 Amalgamated Central Leather U.S. Rubber Copper American Car & General Electric U.S. Steel Foundry Company American Smelting National Lead & Refining American Sugar Peoples Gas Virtually all of us have seen this illustration of the Dow Industrials from 100 years ago versus the Dow today. Only one company – General Electric - survives as a leader 100 years later. This table illustrates how difficult it is to maintain leadership in any business.
  • 5. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 For example, 10-15 years ago Microsoft was the predominant player in multiple sectors. Microsoft looked invincible – they controlled the desktop, Office Suite, had the largest internet browser, and had a huge hand in the downfall of Netscape. Microsoft is still a big and profound company that deserves enormous respect – however few would have anticipated Microsoft’s struggle in key strategic areas - like mobile, social and search … and that Microsoft would have a market cap that is 25% less than Apple, which was on the fringe of the market in 1995.
  • 6. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Leadership is strongly rooted in continued innovation. Typically, large companies are not well equipped to innovate or create new, market-defining products. Therefore it is essential for the majority of large companies to acquire emerging-growth start-ups, and especially important where change is rapid and innovation intense, as it is in the technology industry. Because of this, in our view, people who do acquisitions in large companies play the most important role in inventing the future of their companies, and determining the company’s long-term strategic future.
  • 7. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 August 2005 Oct 2006 Nov 2009 Est $50M $1.65B $750M Acquire well – as, for example, Google has done with Keyhole Oct 2004 (Google maps), Est $15M Android, YouTube or AdMob – and you grow your company in new and significant ways. Market Cap: From $23B to $197B
  • 8. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Acquire poorly - as Time Warner did with AOL – and you burden the company’s balance sheet with debt or dilute shareholder equity, and even more important, the company’s strategic importance can decline precipitously.
  • 9. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Most Acquisitions Fail. Despite the essential importance of acquiring well, the majority of acquisitions fail. This is particularly interesting because of the way that acquisitions work … only the best companies are chosen, significant diligence is undertaken, teams of people analyze and dissect the acquisition, huge sums of shareholder capital are spent, and more often than not, the people that come in via new acquisitions come in with the best intentions …
  • 10. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 The impact of better acquisitions. The reason that failed acquisitions are an important issue is that the problem affects everyone in the technology food chain. Not just the acquiring companies, but also entrepreneurs, investors, bankers, attorneys, employees, suppliers, customers – everyone. And in a world where M&A is the exit of choice nowadays - 90% of positive exits are M&A – it is especially important. If more acquisitions succeeded, perhaps companies would acquire more, and the logjam of private venture backed companies seeking exits – numbering 8,000-9,000 by our estimate – might break.
  • 11. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 M&A in key technology markets To set the stage for the rest of our Gathering, let’s take a look at where the tech M&A market is today. We started by surveying the acquisition activity of the 75 most active acquirers in the key technology markets of internet, software, mobile and IT. The specific list of companies is on the next slide. We looked at their acquisition activity over the past five years – a good representative time when we had both good markets and a severe downturn, and what looks like a budding recovery.
  • 12. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 75 most active acquirers in key technology markets Activision Blizzard, Inc. E-Commerce China Dangdang Inc. Oracle Corp. Adobe Systems Inc. eBay Inc. priceline.com Incorporated Akamai Technologies Inc. Electronic Arts Inc. Qwest Communications International Inc. Alibaba.com Limited EMC Corporation Research In Motion Limited Amazon.com Inc. Expedia Inc. Rovi Corporation AOL, Inc. Facebook, Inc. Sage Group plc Apple Inc. Gannett Co., Inc. Salesforce.com Ariba Inc. Google Inc. SAP AG Autodesk, Inc. Hewlett-Packard Company Scripps Networks Interactive, Inc. Baidu, Inc. IAC/InterActiveCorp. SOFTBANK Corp. BMC Software Inc. Intel Corporation Sprint Nextel Corp. CA Technologies International Business Machines Corp. Symantec Corporation Cap Gemini S.A. Intuit Inc. Tencent Holdings Ltd. CBS Corporation Lenovo Group Ltd. The New York Times Company Check Point Software Technologies Ltd. Liberty Capital Group Time Warner Inc. China Mobile Limited Liberty Interactive, Inc. Trend Micro Inc. Cisco Systems, Inc. Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. VeriSign Inc. Citrix Systems, Inc. McAfee, Inc. Verizon Communications Inc. Clearwire Corporation Microsoft Corporation Viacom, Inc. Comcast Corporation NetApp, Inc. Vivendi Dassault Systemes SA Netflix, Inc. VMware, Inc. Dell Inc. News Corp. Vodafone Group plc DIRECTV NHN Corp. Walt Disney Co. Discovery Communications, Inc. Nintendo Co. Ltd. Western Digital Corp. DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. Nuance Communications, Inc. Yahoo! Inc.
  • 13. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 75 most active acquirers in key technology markets Five year acquisition summary – 1,154 acquisitions, $278B announced values Number of Transactions Announced Value of Transactions $B 350 $100 301 $88 $90 300 265 247 $80 $68 250 $70 203 200 $60 $52 $50 $46 138 150 $40 100 $30 $24 $20 50 $10 0 $- 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Looking at the two charts, you can see that a lot of transactions happened at the end of the credit bubble – by the way, the end of a big up-cycle is usually when the mega-deals happen, then volume dropped by more than half in 2009, and 2010 is starting to pick up again. Although both charts above contain meaningful data, the graph on the left is more representative of overall M&A activity – especially in transactions of below $100 million - since the valuations of nearly 2/3 of transactions are not announced. Source: CapitaI IQ
  • 14. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 75 most active acquirers in key technology markets 57 deals, $217b total Transaction sizes – last five years $1b+ 85 deals, $41b total If you are an investor or $250m-1b entrepreneur, you should pay close attention to the slices on this pie for 75 deals, $12b total deals that are below $100 million or $100m-250m that are unannounced (and therefore are likely also under $100 million) – because this is where you are most likely going to find liquidity for your companies. It’s important to $20m-100m 149 deals, consider this when deciding to raise $7b total new capital with big valuations – the fact is, very few companies are acquired for more than $100M. The top two slices - red and green – show where 93% of the dollar Unannounced <$20M volume is. Those are big transactions which – if you’re the 126 deals, $1.3b total acquirer – are either intended to significantly augment the company like Oracle did with Sun, or reinvent 662 Deals the company. Source: CapitaI IQ
  • 15. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 75 most active acquirers in key technology markets The 10 most active acquirers - number of transactions last five years 100 90 86 80 74 70 These 10 companies did about 70 65 60 60 half of the acquisitions over the 50 50 44 past five years. Again, as an 40 investor or entrepreneur, these 30 30 25 24 are the companies that are most 20 likely to acquire you. And if 10 you are doing acquisitions, you 0 probably have competed against these companies in transactions. Source: CapitaI IQ
  • 16. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Announced dollar volume ($b) overlaid number of deals The 10-Most Active Acquirers – Last Five Years This slide provides directional 100 information, since so many deals have unannounced 90 86 $37.9 valuations. You can see that 80 74 IBM, Oracle, HP, Cisco and 70 SAP have undertaken more 70 65 mega-transactions, and 60 companies like Google, 60 Microsoft, EMC, Autodesk and $21.3 50 50 44 Yahoo! are tending to invest in $18.5 smaller companies. This points 40 $16.7 to how these companies put $14.2 30 together their acquisition 30 25 24 portfolios in terms of size, risk $9.0 $9.3 20 and financial diversification. $5.0 10 $0.7 $1.8 0 Source: CapitaI IQ
  • 17. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Key acquirers that have decelerated M&A activity – last five years Market Composite Oracle Microsoft 300 30 30 250 25 25 200 20 20 150 15 15 100 10 10 50 5 5 0 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Cisco Yahoo! 20 10 15 8 6 10 4 5 2 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: CapitaI IQ
  • 18. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Key acquirers that have accelerated M&A activity – last five years Market Composite IBM Google 300 25 30 250 20 25 200 20 15 150 15 10 100 10 50 5 5 0 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Facebook 10 5 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: CapitaI IQ
  • 19. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Current M&A market: key themes 1. Opportunity to build great companies is as strong as ever. 2. Hot companies staying private longer – access to capital for liquidity and growth, maintain control, hassles of being public. Need for new acquisition model? 3. Valuations are high, particularly in social segment – Twitter @ $4b, Zynga @ $5b, Groupon @ $6b – bubble? 4. Hurdle to IPO is higher. 1980s: 32 tech IPO’s per year Early 1990s: 100+ tech IPO’s per year Late 1990s: 240 tech IPO’s per year Fewer IPO’s 1999-2000: 400 tech IPO’s per year than in 1980’s 2001-2007: 62 tech IPO’s per year 2008-2010: 22 tech IPO’s per year
  • 20. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Current M&A market – key factors – top acquirers have plenty of cash Motivator to acquire? Rank Company Cash + STI Rank Company Name Cash + STI 1 Cisco $38,925 14 Vodafone Group $7,300 2 China Mobile $38,719 15 EMC $6,695 3 Microsoft $36,559 16 Kyocera $5,619 4 Apple $25,620 17 eBay Inc. $4,944 5 Google $24,485 18 Time Warner $4,800 6 Intel $20,750 19 Sprint Nextel $3,924 7 Oracle $18,469 20 Clearwire $3,805 8 IBM $14,017 21 NetApp, Inc. $3,724 9 Nintendo $13,399 22 Yahoo! Inc. $3,291 10 Dell $11,008 23 Activision Blizzard $3,245 11 Hewlett-Packard $10,934 24 Western Digital $2,734 12 News Corp. $8,709 25 Walt Disney $2,722 13 Softbank $7,430 Analysts suggest that the high amount of cash on companies’ balance sheets will translate to increased M&A activity in 2011. It is true that companies have significant cash - the last time companies had this much cash on their balance sheets was in 1958. However cash is not necessarily a key driver to increased M&A activity. Cash is important, but the most important component is confidence (for the CEO of the acquiring company – in his market, in his own business, visibility) and a strategic emphasis on growth by the acquirer, as opposed to defensiveness. Because we are still in a nascent recovery, confidence is returning gradually. Source: CapitaI IQ
  • 21. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Current M&A market – key factors – stock prices back up Key to confidence of acquiring CEO’s Source: Yahoo! Finance
  • 22. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 2011 market projections • Expect overall volume of deals to increase as recovery continues. Pent-up demand. • Expect few blockbuster deals – these usually come at end of boom cycle. • Expect disproportionally large increase in deal activity in the <$100M segment. • Comment: Longer term concern due to relative fragility of U.S. economy – now may be the time to exit.
  • 23. Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Woodside Capital Partners Better Acquisitions Gathering 2011 Introduction and Market Overview Kelly Porter Managing Director Woodside Capital Partners January 13, 2011 650-559-7700