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Yuri van Geest
- Co-Author Exponential Organizations
- Dutch Ambassador of SU
- Initiator of SU in NL for EU
Exponential Technologies
Declining Costs
Increasing
Capabilities
“The average half life of a
business competency has
dropped from 30 years in
1984 to 5 years today.”
“89% of the Fortune 500
companies from 1955 are
not on the list today.”
“In the next 10 years
40% of all S&P 500
companies will
disappear from this list”
Market Cap to a Billion
An Exponential Organization (ExO) is one whose
impact (or output) is disproportionally large — at
least 10x better (speed,...
Software is eating the
world, in all sectors
In the future every
company will become a
software company
Mark Andreessen
fo...
ExOs: Everything will become digital
• social, mobile & online for
front-end functions
• nanotech, robotics, 3D
printing, ...
Why are there ExOs?
Linear vs. Exponential
While the information-based world is now moving
exponentially, our organizational structures are
still very linear (especi...
We’ve learned how to scale technology (mainly cloud
computing since 2006)
Now it’s time to scale the organization (strateg...
Our organizational structures have evolved mainly to
manage scarcity of people, money and assets /
resources.
The concept ...
What are ExOs?
Attributes
Attributes
I-D-E-A-S
Promote
Non-Political,
More Human
Organizations
How to create ExOs?
1. Select an MTP
2. Join or create relevant MTP Communities
3. Compose a Team
4. Breakthrough Idea
5. Build a Business Mod...
TED: “Ideas worth spreading.”
Google: “Organize the world’s information.”
Quirky: “Make invention accessible.”
SU: “Impact...
1. Gather data through sensors, people and datasets
2. Organize data (ETL: extract, transform & load)
3. Apply machine lea...
Strategies for Corporates
Examples of ExOs
Best ExOs
MTP
Staff on Demand Interfaces
Community & Crowd Dashboards
Algorithms Experimentation
Leveraged Assets Autonomy
Engagemen...
Rent, don’t own assets, people & resources
Marginal cost of supply is dropping exponentially
for the first time ever (besi...
Impact of ExOs
ExO performance improvement
ExO Market Cap improvement
Age
(years)
2011
valuation
Current
valuation
Increase
Haier 30 $19 billion $60 billion 3x
Valve...
Future Outlook
Future Organizations
• Leverage Blockchain
• Distributed Autonomous Organizations (DAOs/DACs)
• Algorithmic Corporations
•...
Final Takeaway
You will experience many failures and hit a lot of
walls, but in the end it’s worth it if you’re passionate...
“Exponential Organizations is the most pivotal book in its
class.” - John Hagel
“The most transformational business book I...
In 2015:
Translations in
12 languages
Yuri van Geest
Co-Author Exponential Organizations
+31 6 113 19 290 @vangeest
Yuri.vangeest@singularityu.org
www.exponenti...
Yuri van Geest at WebTomorrow talking about Why new organizations are 10 times better, faster, cheaper than yours and What...
Yuri van Geest at WebTomorrow talking about Why new organizations are 10 times better, faster, cheaper than yours and What...
Yuri van Geest at WebTomorrow talking about Why new organizations are 10 times better, faster, cheaper than yours and What...
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Yuri van Geest at WebTomorrow talking about Why new organizations are 10 times better, faster, cheaper than yours and What You can Learn From Them

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Why new organizations are 10 times better, faster, cheaper than yours and What You can Learn From Them

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Yuri van Geest at WebTomorrow talking about Why new organizations are 10 times better, faster, cheaper than yours and What You can Learn From Them

  1. 1. Yuri van Geest - Co-Author Exponential Organizations - Dutch Ambassador of SU - Initiator of SU in NL for EU
  2. 2. Exponential Technologies Declining Costs Increasing Capabilities
  3. 3. “The average half life of a business competency has dropped from 30 years in 1984 to 5 years today.”
  4. 4. “89% of the Fortune 500 companies from 1955 are not on the list today.”
  5. 5. “In the next 10 years 40% of all S&P 500 companies will disappear from this list”
  6. 6. Market Cap to a Billion
  7. 7. An Exponential Organization (ExO) is one whose impact (or output) is disproportionally large — at least 10x better (speed, efficiency, productivity and/or effectiveness) — compared to its peers because of the use of new organizational techniques that leverage exponential technologies. Definition
  8. 8. Software is eating the world, in all sectors In the future every company will become a software company Mark Andreessen founder of Netscape, renowned Venture Capitalist Andreessen-Horowitz
  9. 9. ExOs: Everything will become digital • social, mobile & online for front-end functions • nanotech, robotics, 3D printing, sensors, AI • crowdsourcing (leveraging the crowd), DIY*, P2P**, crowd companies, AI, Nanofactories• *Do-It-Yourself: Movement of people who create things without the help of experts or professionals •**:Peer-to-Peer: a decentralized network leveraging direct interactions between people
  10. 10. Why are there ExOs?
  11. 11. Linear vs. Exponential
  12. 12. While the information-based world is now moving exponentially, our organizational structures are still very linear (especially larger and older ones) Reason 1
  13. 13. We’ve learned how to scale technology (mainly cloud computing since 2006) Now it’s time to scale the organization (strategy, structure, processes, culture, KPIs, people & systems) Reason 2
  14. 14. Our organizational structures have evolved mainly to manage scarcity of people, money and assets / resources. The concept of ownership works well for scarcity Accessing or sharing works better in an abundant, information-based world. Reason 3
  15. 15. What are ExOs?
  16. 16. Attributes
  17. 17. Attributes
  18. 18. I-D-E-A-S Promote Non-Political, More Human Organizations
  19. 19. How to create ExOs?
  20. 20. 1. Select an MTP 2. Join or create relevant MTP Communities 3. Compose a Team 4. Breakthrough Idea 5. Build a Business Model Canvas 6. Find a Business Model 7. Build the MVP 8. Validate Marketing & Sales 9. Implement SCALE & IDEAS 10. Establish the Culture 11. Ask Key Questions periodically 12. Build and maintain a Platform Strategy for Startups
  21. 21. TED: “Ideas worth spreading.” Google: “Organize the world’s information.” Quirky: “Make invention accessible.” SU: “Impact a billion people positively.” Key Question: What is the biggest problem I’d like to see solved? Selecting an MTP
  22. 22. 1. Gather data through sensors, people and datasets 2. Organize data (ETL: extract, transform & load) 3. Apply machine learning & deep learning algorithms 4. Expose data via an open platform (open APIs) Building a Platform
  23. 23. Strategies for Corporates
  24. 24. Examples of ExOs
  25. 25. Best ExOs
  26. 26. MTP Staff on Demand Interfaces Community & Crowd Dashboards Algorithms Experimentation Leveraged Assets Autonomy Engagement Social Xiaomi - Chinese smartphone company, focusing on performance, quality and customer experience. Has a flat organization consisting of 5.000 employees and leverages a Community of 100 million fans for product ideation & iteration. Best ExOs
  27. 27. Rent, don’t own assets, people & resources Marginal cost of supply is dropping exponentially for the first time ever (besides marginal costs of demand) >>> double viral loops or network effects Takeaways
  28. 28. Impact of ExOs
  29. 29. ExO performance improvement
  30. 30. ExO Market Cap improvement Age (years) 2011 valuation Current valuation Increase Haier 30 $19 billion $60 billion 3x Valve 18 $1.5 billion $4.5 billion 3x Google 17 $150 billion $400 billion 2.5x Airbnb 7 $2 billion $20 billion 10x Uber 6 $2 billion $41.2 billion 20.5x Github 6 $500 million (est.) $7 billion 14x Waze 6 $25 million $1 billion (in 2013) 50x Quirky 5 $50 million $2 billion 40x Xiaomi 4 $1 billion $46 billion 46x Snapchat 3 0 $19 billion 19,000x +
  31. 31. Future Outlook
  32. 32. Future Organizations • Leverage Blockchain • Distributed Autonomous Organizations (DAOs/DACs) • Algorithmic Corporations • RoboCorps
  33. 33. Final Takeaway You will experience many failures and hit a lot of walls, but in the end it’s worth it if you’re passionate enough and want to achieve a 10x improvement.
  34. 34. “Exponential Organizations is the most pivotal book in its class.” - John Hagel “The most transformational business book I’ve ever read” - Ken Losch “Exponential Organizations should be required reading for anyone interested in the ways exponential technologies are reinventing best practices in business.” - Ray Kurzweil “Exponential Organizations is a must read business book this fall” – Om Malik
  35. 35. In 2015: Translations in 12 languages
  36. 36. Yuri van Geest Co-Author Exponential Organizations +31 6 113 19 290 @vangeest Yuri.vangeest@singularityu.org www.exponentialorgs.com

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