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Rebooting Operational Excellence In the Automotive
Paint Shop
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 2
ABHISHEK TANDON
Business Insights Manager
Why are we discussing this today
v The paint shop corresponds to nearly third of the time taken in the automotive build process.
v Automation and Manual Processes:The process of paint application involves a large number of steps with a
high degree of automation along with manual processes and inspections.
v As per research, 40% of the cars that exit a paint shop are likely to undergo some sort of rework (either on a
part or in total).
v Environmental Impact: Paint is one of the highest waste generating process with a major environmental
impact.
v Capital Intensive: Setting up and changes to the paint shop is a capital intensive process (almost a third of the
total cost).
v Automation is generating large amount of data which is unused for asset analysis
3
Henry Ford Once Famously Said
4
“Any customer can have a car painted any colour that he wants so long as it is black.”
Customer Preferences Have Changed Over Time
Car Colors have always reflected the mindset of the era and hence have a huge impact on the customer purchase mindset
Customer tastes have transformed over time and car manufacturers have to match up to their requirements with no tolerance in
drop of quality
5
All Blacks 1920’s
Wacky 1960’s
Apple Effect of 2000’s
Paint Application Process Has Adopted to Change
6
Paint Shop Process
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 7
Observations
• Entire Paint Shop Process is a 7+ hour multi-step process with a number of manual and
automated steps
• Defects in the paint process can occur due to:
• External	Influencers	like	temperature, dirt, particles, paint quality, mix etc
• Production	Line	Influencers	like	fault in the robotic arms
• Manual	Influencers	like	lindt particles, hair, PVC particles from	workers
• There are multiple inspections done on the quality of the paint of the car both manually and
through automated techniques to diagnose defects
• In case a defect is observed, it is recorded in the system and the car is sent back for rework
• On average, each manufacturer could spend >£76,000 in re-work costs for every 10,000
cars produced.
***Based on 63 million manufactured cars produced globally in 2012***
8
Issues Are Many But Solutions Are Few
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 9
The	number	of	observed	defects	and	associated	factors	in	the	
paint	shop	are	extremely	high.	
Most	of	the	analysis	is	done	after the	defect	is	observed.	
This	causes	line disruptions and rework.
Most	of	the	factors	are	attributed	to	some	external
influence but	the	true root cause is	not	determined	
with	certainty.
Changes	in	multiple	factors	which	may	have	happened	together	are	
not taken	into	consideration	due	to	the	manual	approach	of	analysis.
Applying Preventive Maintenance
10
Man Machine Method Material
Identify	the	Possible	Cause	Across	the	Entire	Process
Conduct	an	
Asset	Level	
Analysis	for	
each	Robotic	
Arm
Predict	Working	
States	of	all	the	
assets	
independently
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 11
Change in Scale requires a Change in Approach
Analyze	Root	Cause	of	the	
Errors
Detect	Anomalies	in	
machine	data
Analyze	Root	Cause	of	
Within	Machine	Error
Create	a	Prediction	Model	
for	Every	Machine
Recommend	Actionables
Apply	Feature	Engineering	
to	enhance	machine	data
Segregate	
Machine	and	
Method
Transform
Enhance
Time	to	Frequency	Domain
Mean,	Skewness,	Kurtosis	
Unsupervised	Learning
Intrinsic	Factors
Extrinsic	Factors
Predict	possible	
failures	in	advance
Reduce	Downtime	and	
improve	quality
Improve	System	Settings
Adjust	Temperature	
Range
Increase	Paint	Density
Process Level Analysis - Root Cause Analysis
12
Apply	Data	Science	Techniques	which	work	on	large	amount	of	data,	use	machine	learning	to	learn	and	correlate	multiple	data	
patterns	and	finally	create	asset	level	predictive	models	are	the	need	of	the	hour.
Analyze	Root	Cause	of	the	
Errors
• Simultaneously	observe	the	changes	in	the	Vital	X’s	across	the	entire	
production	line	to	differentiate between	normal	and	abnormal	
working	conditions
• Using	Associative	Mining	Rules,	determine	correlations	between	
defects	and	observed	behavior	in	order	to	determine	candidates
of causality
• This	may	be	linked	to	occurrence of	a	certain	operator,	a	particular	time	of	day,	line	temperature,	number	of	units	
processed	before	the	defect,	a	particular	part	of	the	car,	robotic	arm	settings	etc.	
• The	factors	need	to	be	observed	independently and in combination to	determine	the	effect	of	
interaction	across	the	candidate	X’s
Asset Level Analysis – Engineering Features on Sensor Data
13
• From	the	previous	analysis,	there	are	likely	to	be	certain machines and processes which	will	get	highlighted	as	Vital	
X	candidates.
• Owing	to	high	degree	of	automation,	the	machine	arms	are	fitted	with	machine sensor data.	These	data	points	need	to	
be	captured	and	analyzed	for	potential	deviations.
• Building	a	Predictive	Maintenance	Pipeline	will	allow	you	to	ensure	that	deviations	in	those	machine	and	processes	can	be	
captured	early in the cycle and	do	not	lead	to	quality	disruptions.
Apply	Feature	Engineering	
to	enhance	machine	data
Time	to	Frequency	Domain
Mean,	Skewness,	Kurtosis	
• Feature Engineering is	essential	to	understand	the	events	that	
preceded	the	sensor	value	at	a	given	time	as	well	as	deviations	in	the	
readings.
• These	feature	are	critical	to	differentiate	normal	working	conditions	to	
anomalies	
Choice	of	features	will	vary from	asset	to	asset.	Hence,	it	is	imperative	that	multiple	features	are	created	and	
the	algorithms	determine	which	features	need	to	be	selected	for	the	final	model.
Asset Level Analysis – Determining the Anomaly State
14
Detect	Anomalies	in	
Machine	Data
Analyze	Root	Cause	of	
Within	Machine	Error
Unsupervised	Learning
Intrinsic	Factors
Extrinsic	Factors
• Based	on	the	Features	created	in	the	previous	step,	we	need	to	
differentiate	between	the	normal	and	abnormal	working	conditions	of	
the	machine.	
• The	right	operating	criteria	can	be	influenced	by	manual	rules	but	the	
unsupervised	learning	algorithm	will	determine	the	various	operating	
states	within	the	Machine
• Associated	Conditions	in	these	states	will	highlight	various	intrinsic	and	
extrinsic	factors	which	are	causing	the	machine	to	be	in	that	state
• This	will	further	help	determine	the	root	cause	of	deterioration	of	the	
machine	health
Asset Level Analysis - Preparing for the Future
15
Create	a	Prediction	Model	
for	Every	Machine
Predict	possible	
failures	in	advance
Reduce	Downtime	and	
improve	quality
• All	this	analysis	culminates	with	an	asset	level	prediction	model	
which	determines	the	likely	machine	state	in	the	near	future.
• The	model	is	regularly	tweaked	by	a	feedback	loop	which	tunes	it	
based	on	the	changing	working	conditions	of	the	machine.
• Rather	than	post-mortem	monitoring,	the	floor	managers	can	be	
better	prepared	to	tweak	processes	if	they	observe	any	significant	
deviation	in	the	machine.
Recommend	Actionables
Improve	System	
Settings
Adjust	Temperature	
Range
Increase	Paint	Density
• Further,	basis	the	strength	of	the	model	variables,	various	
recommendations	can	be	made	to	the	line	manager	around	
improving	the	process.
• These	too	are	driven	by	machine	observed	patterns	and	basis	the	
asset	conditions
The Solution: Meta-Learning on Machine-Learning
Teaching Machines to automate Machine Learning
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 16
DataRPM is the first Enterprise-Grade application of
Meta-Learning for Machine Learning &
Data Science Automation.
Massive Economic Value is thus delivered via our
Cognitive Predictive Maintenance (CPdM)
software platform for Industrial IoT & Manufacturing
applications.
MLML
Meta-Learning
on Machine-Learning
Automating how Machines learn to do Meta Learning:
“Algorithmic Survival-of-Fittest”
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 17
1
3
4
5
2
Run many live automated
ML Experiments in parallel
for each Asset
Extract Meta-Data from
every Experiment:
• Dataset Characteristics
• Selected Features
• Selected Algorithm
• Selected Hyper-Parameters
• Resultant Value of
Objective Function
Train an Ensemble
of models via our
Meta-Data Repository
Apply Models to Predict the best
Algorithms & Hyper-Parameters
for each asset
Build Machine-Generated
& Human-Verified Models
for each & every Asset
DataRPM End-to-End Workflow
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 18
Consumption
APIs
Micro Apps
Framework
Security
Data
Management
Data Sync
Data Lake
Metadata
Machine Learning
& Analytics
Spark Engine
Workflow Builder
Data Science Recipes
Meta Learning
Natural Language
Visualization
IIoT Sensors
Data
Enterprise
Asset
Management
Systems
RDBMS
Datasources
Hadoop
Insights App
Discovery
App
Admin App
PdM Apps
DataRPM Key Differentiators
© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 19
Natural Language
Search
Distributed
Computing
API
Driven+ + + + +Digital
Twin
Meta
Learning
Open-box
Solution
Cognitive
Automation+
$250M+ in Annual Cost Savings identified
20
Average
> 80%+
increase in Prediction Power
Go Live in
Days - Weeks
Average
30%
Cost Savings
DataRPM End-to-End Full Tech Stack
21© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential
Pluggable App Container
Citizen
Data
Scientists
NaturalLanguage(NLQA)Search&DiscoveryEngine
OAuthBasedAPIAuthentication
Hadoop Data Lake
Spark
(ML &
MLLIB)
Adaptive
Indexing
Cheetah
(Powered
by ES)
Meta Data Store
(MongoDB)
SAP HANA, Teradata,
Hadoop/Hive, HBase,
MongoDB, Oracle, MySQL,
PostgreSQL, SQL Server,
DB2, Redshift, CSV,
Salesforce, Google
Spreadsheet…
Business
Analysts
Data
Scientists
Data
Engineers /
BI Architects
ApplicationIntegrationRESTConsumption
INSIGHTS App
DISCOVERY App
ETL App
APILayer
Functional&DataSecurity
Meta Learning
Engine
Data Science
Recipes
Recipe Builder
Workflow Builder
Visualization
Library
Recipe Building
Framework
DataRPMAnalyticsEngineREPLEngine(Zeppelin)
EYWA DATA
CONNECTOR &
LOADING
MANGER
TASK ENGINE
EVENT LOADER
UNI
OSGI BUNDLE
MICRO
WORKFLOW
EXECUTION
ENGINE
DataRPMUnifiedDataAccessLayer
DataRPM ProprietaryDataRPM Secret Sauce Open Source Multitude of Data Sources & Connectors

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Rebooting Operational Excellence in Automotive Paint Shops Using Analytics

  • 1. 1 Rebooting Operational Excellence In the Automotive Paint Shop
  • 2. © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 2 ABHISHEK TANDON Business Insights Manager
  • 3. Why are we discussing this today v The paint shop corresponds to nearly third of the time taken in the automotive build process. v Automation and Manual Processes:The process of paint application involves a large number of steps with a high degree of automation along with manual processes and inspections. v As per research, 40% of the cars that exit a paint shop are likely to undergo some sort of rework (either on a part or in total). v Environmental Impact: Paint is one of the highest waste generating process with a major environmental impact. v Capital Intensive: Setting up and changes to the paint shop is a capital intensive process (almost a third of the total cost). v Automation is generating large amount of data which is unused for asset analysis 3
  • 4. Henry Ford Once Famously Said 4 “Any customer can have a car painted any colour that he wants so long as it is black.”
  • 5. Customer Preferences Have Changed Over Time Car Colors have always reflected the mindset of the era and hence have a huge impact on the customer purchase mindset Customer tastes have transformed over time and car manufacturers have to match up to their requirements with no tolerance in drop of quality 5 All Blacks 1920’s Wacky 1960’s Apple Effect of 2000’s
  • 6. Paint Application Process Has Adopted to Change 6
  • 7. Paint Shop Process © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 7
  • 8. Observations • Entire Paint Shop Process is a 7+ hour multi-step process with a number of manual and automated steps • Defects in the paint process can occur due to: • External Influencers like temperature, dirt, particles, paint quality, mix etc • Production Line Influencers like fault in the robotic arms • Manual Influencers like lindt particles, hair, PVC particles from workers • There are multiple inspections done on the quality of the paint of the car both manually and through automated techniques to diagnose defects • In case a defect is observed, it is recorded in the system and the car is sent back for rework • On average, each manufacturer could spend >£76,000 in re-work costs for every 10,000 cars produced. ***Based on 63 million manufactured cars produced globally in 2012*** 8
  • 9. Issues Are Many But Solutions Are Few © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 9 The number of observed defects and associated factors in the paint shop are extremely high. Most of the analysis is done after the defect is observed. This causes line disruptions and rework. Most of the factors are attributed to some external influence but the true root cause is not determined with certainty. Changes in multiple factors which may have happened together are not taken into consideration due to the manual approach of analysis.
  • 10. Applying Preventive Maintenance 10 Man Machine Method Material Identify the Possible Cause Across the Entire Process Conduct an Asset Level Analysis for each Robotic Arm Predict Working States of all the assets independently
  • 11. © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 11 Change in Scale requires a Change in Approach Analyze Root Cause of the Errors Detect Anomalies in machine data Analyze Root Cause of Within Machine Error Create a Prediction Model for Every Machine Recommend Actionables Apply Feature Engineering to enhance machine data Segregate Machine and Method Transform Enhance Time to Frequency Domain Mean, Skewness, Kurtosis Unsupervised Learning Intrinsic Factors Extrinsic Factors Predict possible failures in advance Reduce Downtime and improve quality Improve System Settings Adjust Temperature Range Increase Paint Density
  • 12. Process Level Analysis - Root Cause Analysis 12 Apply Data Science Techniques which work on large amount of data, use machine learning to learn and correlate multiple data patterns and finally create asset level predictive models are the need of the hour. Analyze Root Cause of the Errors • Simultaneously observe the changes in the Vital X’s across the entire production line to differentiate between normal and abnormal working conditions • Using Associative Mining Rules, determine correlations between defects and observed behavior in order to determine candidates of causality • This may be linked to occurrence of a certain operator, a particular time of day, line temperature, number of units processed before the defect, a particular part of the car, robotic arm settings etc. • The factors need to be observed independently and in combination to determine the effect of interaction across the candidate X’s
  • 13. Asset Level Analysis – Engineering Features on Sensor Data 13 • From the previous analysis, there are likely to be certain machines and processes which will get highlighted as Vital X candidates. • Owing to high degree of automation, the machine arms are fitted with machine sensor data. These data points need to be captured and analyzed for potential deviations. • Building a Predictive Maintenance Pipeline will allow you to ensure that deviations in those machine and processes can be captured early in the cycle and do not lead to quality disruptions. Apply Feature Engineering to enhance machine data Time to Frequency Domain Mean, Skewness, Kurtosis • Feature Engineering is essential to understand the events that preceded the sensor value at a given time as well as deviations in the readings. • These feature are critical to differentiate normal working conditions to anomalies Choice of features will vary from asset to asset. Hence, it is imperative that multiple features are created and the algorithms determine which features need to be selected for the final model.
  • 14. Asset Level Analysis – Determining the Anomaly State 14 Detect Anomalies in Machine Data Analyze Root Cause of Within Machine Error Unsupervised Learning Intrinsic Factors Extrinsic Factors • Based on the Features created in the previous step, we need to differentiate between the normal and abnormal working conditions of the machine. • The right operating criteria can be influenced by manual rules but the unsupervised learning algorithm will determine the various operating states within the Machine • Associated Conditions in these states will highlight various intrinsic and extrinsic factors which are causing the machine to be in that state • This will further help determine the root cause of deterioration of the machine health
  • 15. Asset Level Analysis - Preparing for the Future 15 Create a Prediction Model for Every Machine Predict possible failures in advance Reduce Downtime and improve quality • All this analysis culminates with an asset level prediction model which determines the likely machine state in the near future. • The model is regularly tweaked by a feedback loop which tunes it based on the changing working conditions of the machine. • Rather than post-mortem monitoring, the floor managers can be better prepared to tweak processes if they observe any significant deviation in the machine. Recommend Actionables Improve System Settings Adjust Temperature Range Increase Paint Density • Further, basis the strength of the model variables, various recommendations can be made to the line manager around improving the process. • These too are driven by machine observed patterns and basis the asset conditions
  • 16. The Solution: Meta-Learning on Machine-Learning Teaching Machines to automate Machine Learning © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 16 DataRPM is the first Enterprise-Grade application of Meta-Learning for Machine Learning & Data Science Automation. Massive Economic Value is thus delivered via our Cognitive Predictive Maintenance (CPdM) software platform for Industrial IoT & Manufacturing applications. MLML Meta-Learning on Machine-Learning
  • 17. Automating how Machines learn to do Meta Learning: “Algorithmic Survival-of-Fittest” © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 17 1 3 4 5 2 Run many live automated ML Experiments in parallel for each Asset Extract Meta-Data from every Experiment: • Dataset Characteristics • Selected Features • Selected Algorithm • Selected Hyper-Parameters • Resultant Value of Objective Function Train an Ensemble of models via our Meta-Data Repository Apply Models to Predict the best Algorithms & Hyper-Parameters for each asset Build Machine-Generated & Human-Verified Models for each & every Asset
  • 18. DataRPM End-to-End Workflow © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 18 Consumption APIs Micro Apps Framework Security Data Management Data Sync Data Lake Metadata Machine Learning & Analytics Spark Engine Workflow Builder Data Science Recipes Meta Learning Natural Language Visualization IIoT Sensors Data Enterprise Asset Management Systems RDBMS Datasources Hadoop Insights App Discovery App Admin App PdM Apps
  • 19. DataRPM Key Differentiators © 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential 19 Natural Language Search Distributed Computing API Driven+ + + + +Digital Twin Meta Learning Open-box Solution Cognitive Automation+
  • 20. $250M+ in Annual Cost Savings identified 20 Average > 80%+ increase in Prediction Power Go Live in Days - Weeks Average 30% Cost Savings
  • 21. DataRPM End-to-End Full Tech Stack 21© 2016 DataRPM – Proprietary and Confidential Pluggable App Container Citizen Data Scientists NaturalLanguage(NLQA)Search&DiscoveryEngine OAuthBasedAPIAuthentication Hadoop Data Lake Spark (ML & MLLIB) Adaptive Indexing Cheetah (Powered by ES) Meta Data Store (MongoDB) SAP HANA, Teradata, Hadoop/Hive, HBase, MongoDB, Oracle, MySQL, PostgreSQL, SQL Server, DB2, Redshift, CSV, Salesforce, Google Spreadsheet… Business Analysts Data Scientists Data Engineers / BI Architects ApplicationIntegrationRESTConsumption INSIGHTS App DISCOVERY App ETL App APILayer Functional&DataSecurity Meta Learning Engine Data Science Recipes Recipe Builder Workflow Builder Visualization Library Recipe Building Framework DataRPMAnalyticsEngineREPLEngine(Zeppelin) EYWA DATA CONNECTOR & LOADING MANGER TASK ENGINE EVENT LOADER UNI OSGI BUNDLE MICRO WORKFLOW EXECUTION ENGINE DataRPMUnifiedDataAccessLayer DataRPM ProprietaryDataRPM Secret Sauce Open Source Multitude of Data Sources & Connectors