3. Analysis of industry transactions and potential for
synergies along with continued strong market
conditions points to a recommendation of
pursuing a sale to a strategic buyer
Sell-Side Advisory
Compelling Story
Patterson Education Group is a scalable education
platform delivering exceptional student outcomes
for students who seek a more individualized
school experience
Maintains market position with the only nationally
accredited educational platform, a talented
executive team, individually tailored curriculums,
and an emphasis on company culture
Valuation analysis places PEG’s enterprise value
between $157mm - $177mm
2017E Revenue: $195.8mm
2017E EBITDA $17.1mm
Potential Buyers
Valuation Overview
Attractive Investment in an Emerging Company
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 3
100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240
Leveraged Buyout (8.1x - 9.1x)
DCF - Exit Multiple (11.8x -
13.3x)
DCF - Perpetuity (7.5x - 8.6x)
Comparable Analysis (6.8x -
8.0x)
Precedent Analysis (7.7x - 9.5x)
Enterprise Value ($mm)
4. Executive Summary
Industry Overview
Company Overview
3
4
8
Valuation Analysis 13
Strategic Options 19
Final Thoughts 25
Appendix 27
Agenda
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 4
5. Commentary
Projected Growth in Households Earning Over $100,000 (US)
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017P
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Increase in birth rates coupled with an
improvement in high school retention
rates is forecasted over the next five
years to 2022
Growth in the number of K-12 students
is anticipated at an annualized rate of
0.2% from 2017 to 2022
Supplemented by population
growth
Percentage of high-earning households
will continue to grow steadily
Forecasted to reach 28% in 2022
Private Schools Revenue Growth
Domestic Growth Potential
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 5
$Millions
6. Egypt
Indonesia
China
India
Saudi Arabia
Vietnam
Turkey
Morocco
Brazil
South Africa
Mexico
Hungary
Russia
Poland
-20 0 20 6040 80
Real Period Growth Over 2010-2015, %
Growth in Consumer Expenditure on Education in EMES
Higher education standards are vital to
emerging countries as economies are
shifting towards value-added sectors
Better education contributes to rising
incomes which fuel middleclass
expansion and consumption
52% of the population aged 15+ will
have secondary education while 11.7%
of them will attain higher education by
2030
Rising Demand for Skilled Labor
International Industry Landscape
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 6
7. 7
Students are under immense pressure
All energy is devoted to test preparation
Very little time for play, lack of individualized
learning plans, or teacher attention
Not every student continues their education to
the next level as acceptance rates lower
English is required for all students to learn and is
often the determinate of salary and job
advancement
K-12
Pre-K and K Education
Fierce competition drives parents to start early as
possible to give kids an advantage, driving growth
in private school and after-school training services
Pre-K-K education is focused on improving
chances for admittance to best primary school
Public Kindergartens are 3-6x cheaper than private
ones, teachers and paid less but get government
benefits- quality varies widely
China’s Education Environment
Chinese Education Acceptance Rates
Primary to middle school
99%
Middle to high school
74%
College entrance exam
23%
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 7
8. Executive Summary
Industry Overview
Company Overview
3
4
8
Valuation Analysis 13
Strategic Options 19
Final Thoughts 25
Appendix 27
Agenda
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 8
9. EBITDA Growth and Margins ($ in millions)
35%
52%
13%
Direct Costs
Indirect Costs
Corporate
Overhead
2017E Cost Breakdown
Patterson Education Group is a
revolutionary community of
learning that combines positive
relationships and personalized
learning solutions to unlock
academic and individual potential
The Company’s model utilizes a
small classroom setting with a high
level of direct teacher interaction,
flexible scheduling options, and its
proprietary online platform to
tailor curriculum to each student
Offers an attractive alternative to
students who have not fit well in a
traditional classroom setting while
commanding a premium price
point with an average tuition of
$25,000 per year
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
$-
$10.00
$20.00
$30.00
$40.00
$50.00
$60.00
$70.00
2015A 2016A 2017E 2018P 2019P 2020P 2021P 2022P
EBITDA EBITDA Margin
PEG’s Profile
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 9
10. 11795
4841
3423
2470
2455India
United Kingdom
Germany
Japan
China
2017E Top 5 GDP Outside US ($ in billions)
Commentary
Because of the premium price point and
reliance on technology, growth into
countries with top GDP’s would be ideal
Existing and New Market Entry
Current domestic markets include
Ohio, New York, New Jersey,
Maryland, Pennsylvania,
Connecticut, Washington D.C.,
Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin,
Washington and Oregon
The Company has
planned expansion into
Florida and Colorado
with more states soon to
follow
Evolution into New Markets
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts 10
11. WS
O T
Growth Potential
11
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts
Proprietary platform is positioned for
superior growth and value generation
Accredited by 5 of 6 major regional
accrediting groups Dedication to individual education
and small classroom settings increases
the need for additional staffing
Varying intra year seasonality
produces inconsistent cash flows
Expand domestic school spaces
and penetrate international markets
Grow enrollment and utilize flexibility
via more open hours and enlarged
summer offerings
Increase tuition across markets to
further ancillary offerings and maintain
premium pricing
Expert senior management team
with a desire to remain with the
company to oversee growth
Development into international
markets may be restricted by
the lengthy accreditation
process
Limited current enrichment and
ancillary offerings may deter
prospective students
18. 2.3 million students in 42 cities all over china and more than 18 million
students partaking in online education resources
Internet education platform supports 31 million monthly active users
Offers comprehensive tutoring services to K-12 students
Technology collects and analyzes student data to create a personalized
education tailored to the individual
Over half a million current learners across 8 countries
Offers educational programs and services at ground locations throughout
the United States
LTM sales of 4.8B
Operates in more than 80 countries
Focus on high-growth countries, like China, Brazil, India, and South
Africa creates opportunity for PEG's international expansion
LTM sales of 1.2B
LTM sales of 2B
Metrics Rationale
Leading provider of personal tutoring services for primary and
secondary students in China
Gives The Company an international presence in education
N/A
Strategic Buyer Synopsis
18
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts
19. Focus on personalized learning is consistent with PEG’s model
Offer a wide variety of summer programs
46 International schools in 17 different countries coupled with the
Global Campus, connects students around the world
LTM sales of 1.6B
Has a presence both globally and in attractive, high-worth locations
Purchase will enable Adtalem to diversify their product offerings and
upsell their undergraduate programs
LTM sales of 631M
Footprint coast to coast in high value markets
Aims to facilitate growth inorganically through K12 education
services to complement their undergraduate programs
LTM sales of 156M
Similar business model in serving K12 students
Strong technological applications will compliment PEG’s aim to gain a
stronger presence online
Can diversify their offerings with the implementation of a brick and
mortar presence
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts
Strategic Buyer Synopsis
19
LTM sales of 908.8M
RationaleMetrics
20. N/A but recently
invested $91mm in equity
Largest private equity firm with an exclusive focus on the Knowledge Sector
Advisory board includes leaders in education, business, and public service
Works closely with senior management to increase operational efficiency, drive
growth and profitability and create long-term business value
Equity value of $5 -
30mm but is able to
partner for more equity
Partners with companies’ management teams to help systematize, professionalize,
and scale the existing company
Provides an expansive view of the education ecosystem
Equity value between
$10 - 25mm
Offers capital to distinctive companies that have reached proof of concept and
commercial adoption, and are ready for scale
Invests in growing companies that are transforming American education
N/A
Sector-focused approach that includes media, communications, education and
information industries
Employs experienced operating partners to implement efficient capital structures
Investments in educational companies including Blackboard, NACE Schools and
Study Group
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts
Financial Sponsor Synopsis
20
RationaleMetrics
21. Equity value
of $5 - 15mm
Invests in companies with quality products and services which improve
the K-12 and post secondary systems
Works to build new programs, access new customer groups, develop
new sales channels, optimize cost, broaden product portfolios, make
acquisitions, and pursue other value creation initiatives
Equity value of
$15 - 50mm
Focuses on sectors including technology business services, media,
education and communications
Works hand-in-hand with management teams to achieve operational
and strategic goals
Equity value
of $5-15mm
Equity value of
$10 - 30mm
Invests in companies with compelling customer value proposition
and meaningful growth opportunities
Current investments; Cooperative Strategies and Atomic Learning
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts
Financial Sponsor Synopsis
21
RationaleMetrics
Pursues a tenured team of owners or managers who seek a partner
focused on long-term value creation
Invests in companies with competitive advantages and potential to buy
and build
22. TAL Education Group is a leading education and
technology enterprise in China, which prides itself
of being technology driven, talent-centered, and
quality-focused. In China, education is a top priority
for families and TAL Education Group offers
specialized tutoring, with a focus on small class sizes.
As one of the largest private equity firms operating in
the Knowledge Sector, LEEDS Equity Partners has
experience in the education industry. Recent
acquisitions fueled by online course evaluation
software positions the company to expand PEG’s
proprietary online platform. With their dedication to
retaining executive teams and supplemental education
programs, LEEDS Equity Partners is situated to
create greater synergies through the expansion of
their educational portfolio.
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts
Selected Buyers
22
24. We recommend that Patterson Education Group engages in a
sale to Tomorrow Advancing Life (TAL)
2.3 million in-school students in 42 cities across China
18 million student users partake in online platform
Provides expansion into international markets and
offers services different from those provided by
PEG’s current model
Strategic vs. Sponsored
A Strategic Sale positions Patterson Education
Group to capitalize on advantages within the
industry
Low capital expenditure requirements for
building new schools allow for rapid
international expansion
Realized synergies through the
conglomeration of their proprietary online
platform
Allows executive team to maintain structure
Valuation Overview
Final RecommendationAcquisition Recommendation
Promotes educational
progress through cutting-
edge technologies
Maintains large market
share in emerging
international economies
Conclusion
24
Executive
Summary
Industry
Overview
Company
Overview
Valuation
Analysis
Strategic
Options
Final
Thoughts
100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240
Leveraged Buyout (8.1x - 9.1x)
DCF - Exit Multiple (11.8x -
13.3x)
DCF - Perpetuity (7.5x - 8.6x)
Comparable Analysis (6.8x - 8.0x)
Precedent Analysis (7.7x - 9.5x)
Enterprise Value ($mm)
26. 26
Pro Forma Income Statement (Base Case No Schools)
($ in thousands)
Estimated
2015 2016 2017 2018P 2019P 2020P 2021P 2022P
New School Revenue 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Revenue $118.5 $156.4 $195.8 $231.1 $254.2 $272.0 $285.6 $297.0
Total Revenue $118.5 $156.4 $195.8 $231.1 $254.2 $272.0 $285.6 $297.0
Direct Cost (39.8) (53.6) (64.6) (87.8) (101.7) (111.5) (117.1) (121.8)
Indirect Costs (58.3) (77.9) (96.3) (97.0) (94.0) (100.6) (105.7) (109.9)
Corporate Overhead (18.1) (21.8) (25.3) (31.0) (34.1) (36.4) (38.3) (39.8)
EBITDA 2.3 3.1 9.6 15.2 24.4 23.4 24.6 25.5
New School Development Addback 3.8 5.0 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other Addbacks 4.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4
Adjusted EBITDA 10.2 11.2 17.0 18.3 27.3 26.5 27.8 29.0
Depreciation & Amortization (6.3) (8.8) (11.1) (11.6) (12.5) (12.0) (10.9) (11.3)
Adjusted EBIT 3.9 2.4 5.9 6.7 14.9 14.6 17.0 17.7
Interest Expense (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3)
Taxes (1.3) (0.7) (2.0) (2.2) (5.1) (5.0) (5.8) (6.1)
Net Income 2.3 1.4 3.6 4.2 9.5 9.3 10.8 11.3
Income Statement
Historical Projected
Growth Analysis
Revenue 32.0% 25.2% 18.0% 10.0% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0%
Adjusted EBITDA 9.8% 51.7% 7.5% 49.6% -3.0% 5.0% 4.0%
EBITDA Margin 7% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 10%
Assumptions (Base case)
Revenue 32.0% 25.2% 18.0% 10.0% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0%
Direct Cost (as a % of Revenue) 33.6% 34.3% 33.0% 38.0% 40.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0%
Indirect Cost (as a % of Revenue) 49.2% 49.8% 49.2% 42.0% 37.0% 37.0% 37.0% 37.0%
Corporate Overhead (as a % of Revenue) 15.3% 13.9% 12.9% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4%
New School Addbacks (as a % of new school Capex) 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88
Other Addback (as a % of Indrect Cost 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
($ in millions)
27. Pro Forma Income Statement (Base Case 5 Schools)
($ in thousands)
Estimated
2015 2016 2017 2018P 2019P 2020P 2021P 2022P
New School Revenue 0.0 6.0 15.1 27.1 41.3
Revenue $118.5 $156.4 $195.8 $231.1 $254.2 $278.4 $308.2 $348.7
Total Revenue $118.5 $156.4 $195.8 $231.1 $260.2 $293.5 $335.3 $390.0
Direct Cost (39.8) (53.6) (64.6) (87.9) (103.5) (119.3) (137.7) (160.8)
Indirect Costs (58.3) (77.9) (96.3) (98.2) (99.9) (114.0) (130.2) (150.6)
Corporate Overhead (18.1) (21.8) (25.3) (31.0) (34.1) (37.3) (41.3) (46.7)
EBITDA 2.3 3.1 9.6 14.0 22.7 22.9 26.0 31.9
New School Development Addback 3.8 5.0 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.4
Other Addbacks 4.1 3.1 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.5 4.1 4.7
Adjusted EBITDA 10.2 11.2 17.0 21.5 30.2 30.9 34.5 40.9
Depreciation & Amortization (6.3) (8.8) (11.1) (11.6) (12.5) (12.2) (11.7) (13.2)
Adjusted EBIT 3.9 2.4 5.9 9.9 17.7 18.6 22.7 27.7
Interest Expense (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3)
Taxes (1.3) (0.7) (2.0) (3.4) (6.1) (6.4) (7.8) (9.6)
Net Income 2.3 1.4 3.6 6.2 11.3 11.9 14.6 17.8
Income Statement
Historical Projected
Growth Analysis
Revenue 32.0% 25.2% 18.0% 12.6% 12.8% 14.2% 16.3%
Adjusted EBITDA 9.8% 51.7% 26.3% 40.7% 2.3% 11.6% 18.8%
EBITDA Margin 7% 9% 9% 12% 11% 10% 11%
Assumptions (Base case)
Revenue 32.0% 25.2% 18.0% 10.0% 7.0% 5.0% 4.0%
Direct Cost (as a % of Revenue) 33.6% 34.3% 33.0% 38.0% 40.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0%
Indirect Cost (as a % of Revenue) 49.2% 49.8% 49.2% 42.0% 37.0% 37.0% 37.0% 37.0%
Corporate Overhead (as a % of Revenue) 15.3% 13.9% 12.9% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4%
New School Addbacks (as a % of new school Capex) 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88
Other Addback (as a % of Indrect Cost 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
27
($ in millions)
28. LBO Income Statement (LBO Case 0 Schools)
($ in thousands)
Estimated
2015 2016 2017 2018P 2019P 2020P 2021P 2022P
New School Revenue 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Revenue $118.5 $156.4 $195.8 $231.1 $254.2 $274.5 $293.7 $314.3
Total Revenue $118.5 $156.4 $195.8 $231.1 $254.2 $274.5 $293.7 $314.3
Direct Cost (39.8) (53.6) (64.6) (87.8) (101.7) (112.5) (120.4) (128.9)
Indirect Costs (58.3) (77.9) (96.3) (97.0) (94.0) (101.6) (108.7) (116.3)
Corporate Overhead (18.1) (21.8) (25.3) (31.0) (34.1) (36.8) (39.4) (42.1)
EBITDA 2.3 3.1 9.6 15.2 24.4 23.6 25.3 27.0
New School Development Addback 3.8 5.0 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Other Addbacks 4.1 3.1 3.0 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.6
Adjusted EBITDA 10.2 11.2 17.0 18.3 27.3 26.8 28.6 30.6
Depreciation & Amortization (6.3) (8.8) (11.1) (11.6) (12.5) (12.1) (11.2) (11.9)
Adjusted EBIT 3.9 2.4 5.9 6.7 14.9 14.7 17.5 18.7
Interest Expense (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3) (0.3)
Taxes (1.3) (0.7) (2.0) (2.2) (5.1) (5.0) (6.0) (6.4)
Net Income 2.3 1.4 3.6 4.2 9.5 9.3 11.2 12.0
Income Statement
Historical Projected
Growth Analysis
Revenue 32.0% 25.2% 18.0% 10.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0%
Adjusted EBITDA 9.8% 51.7% 7.5% 49.6% -2.0% 7.0% 7.0%
EBITDA Margin 7% 9% 8% 11% 10% 10% 10%
Assumptions (Base case)
Revenue 32.0% 25.2% 18.0% 10.0% 8.0% 7.0% 7.0%
Direct Cost (as a % of Revenue) 33.6% 34.3% 33.0% 38.0% 40.0% 41.0% 41.0% 41.0%
Indirect Cost (as a % of Revenue) 49.2% 49.8% 49.2% 42.0% 37.0% 37.0% 37.0% 37.0%
Corporate Overhead (as a % of Revenue) 15.3% 13.9% 12.9% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4% 13.4%
New School Addbacks (as a % of new school Capex) 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88 0.88
Other Addback (as a % of Indrect Cost 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Organic Revenue Growth (Excluding New Schools)
28
($ in millions)
Hinweis der Redaktion
Fix formatting
Take out decimals in bottom right graph
Possibly add porters 5 forces points to this slide
Delly, toggle through the derived valuation on comps and precedents…they are different. Fix derived valuation size of table
Comment on why we chose international vs domestic companies in presentation
Comment on why we chose international vs domestic companies in presentation
Fix derived valuation size of table
Make font larger in comps
Fix metrics
Give a good rationale for why PEG should look international for a strategic buyer and why TAL would be interested in acquiring them as an international company