SlideShare ist ein Scribd-Unternehmen logo
1 von 9
Downloaden Sie, um offline zu lesen
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.21, 2014
54
Effects of Inflation Targeting Policy on Inflation Rates and Gross
Domestic Product in Ghana
Albert Puni
Department of Administration, University of Professional Studies, Accra, P.O. Box LG 149, Legon
Bright Addiyiah Osei
Research Centre, University of Professional Studies, Accra, P.O.Box LG 149, Legon
Email:bright.osei@upsamail.edu.gh
Charles Barnor
Department of Banking and Finance, University of Professional Studies, Accra, P.O. Box LG 149, Legon
Abstract
Inflation targeting has been widely adopted in both developed and developing economies. The Bank of Ghana
(BOG) formally adopted an inflation targeting regime as a major monetary policy framework in May 2007,
becoming the second African country to do so after South Africa. This research paper sought to investigate the
effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic product. The research adopted the
quantitative method by comparing the effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic
product in the pre inflation targeting period (2000-2006) and the post inflation targeting period (2007-2013). The
resultsrevealed that there was a significant difference between the mean inflation rates for the two periods. The
inflation rate for the post inflation targeting period is significantly less than the pre-inflation targeting period. It
was also revealed that inflation targeting did not have a statistically significant effect on economic growth in
Ghana. The study concluded that policy makers are encouraged to explore other policy alternative including
inflation targeting regime to maximize production in the economy.
Keywords: Inflation Targeting Policy, Inflation Rates, Gross Domestic Product
1.0 Introduction
One of the primary responsibilities of Central Banks is to use various monetary policies to achieve some degree
of price stability in an economy. This is true because whether central banks are governed by Monetarist or by
Keynesian economists, price stability enable planners and policy makers plan within long time horizon. The
price stability responsibility drive of central banks have been revealed in the works of Volcker (1983),
Greenspan (1996, p.1), and Blinder (1994, p.7).Greenspan (1996, p.1), believes that the objective of central
banks is to achieve price stability; a situation in which the economic agents no longer take account of the
prospective change in the general price level in their economic decision making.
Many economists believe that, inflation arises when the money in circulation in an economy is more than the
supply of goods and service.According to Lovoie (1996, p.535), “inflation is mainly an excess demand
phenomenon, induced by an excess supply of money”. In other words, inflation can be termed as a situation
where too much money is following too few goods. The root causes of inflation are largely attributed to fiscal
deficit-financing by government through the printing of money. To arrest the above situation, policy makers in
recent times have resorted to monetary inflation targeting strategy, which is a departure from the previous fiscal
policy inflation targeting regime. To affirm the above departure by central banks, Debelle, Masson, Savastano,
and Sharma (1998, p.2) have reiterated that “if fiscal dominance exists, inflationary pressures of a fiscal origin
will undermine the effectiveness of monetary policy by obliging the central bank to accommodate the demands
of the government, say, by easing interest rates to achieve fiscal goals”.
The term inflation targeting entered into mainstream economics when in 1990 New Zealand embarked on a
wide-range economic and governmental reforms that sought to define performance measures and systems of
accountability for all government departments. The reforms initiated under the Reserve Bank Act of 1989
established three policy frameworks dubbed inflation targeting.
The first framework established dialogue between the central bank and the government concerning criteria of
measuring the central bank’s performance. The main yardstick established under the first framework was price
stability or inflation targeting. The second framework granted the Reserve Bank power to pursue its assigned
goal without government interference (that is the Reserve Bank must be independent). The last framework
established means of accountability whereby the goal is made public and the Governor of the Reserve Bank is
held accountable for the bank’s performance.
According to Rochon and Rossi (2006) since the adoption of inflation targeting in New Zealand in 1990 and
Canada in 1991, a number of countries have now adopted an inflation targeting regime.In fact the Keynesian
economists believe that inflation targeting is the best alternative when it comes to influencing inflation
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.21, 2014
55
expectations.As the name suggests,inflation targeting puts price stability as the primary objective of the central
bank, and the inflation target provides what is known as the nominal anchor for monetary policy
framework.Because the policy framework clearly specifies the inflation objectives and a clear commitment to
achieving them, it helps to anchor the public’s inflation expectations,as well as the expectations of future
inflation to influence prices and wages thereby improving the general economy.The above situation leads many
Central Banks to believe that the best contribution that monetary policy can make to growth is to provide a low
and stable inflation environment that is conducive to sustainable long-term growth.
Inflation targeting regime proponents have argue that, the policy strategy leads to more credible, transparent,
accountable and a better management of inflation. Kydland and Prescott (1977) and Gordon (1983) have all
attested to the above assertion by saying that, the more independent central banks are the more they are able to
reduce the rate of inflation. Contrary to the above, inflation targeting policy strategy is not universally shared as
more central banks have not moved to adopt the strategy. In the United States, the debate over the adoption of
inflation targeting policy option has resulted in many economists like Friedman (2004) and Mishkin (2004)
saying that, inflation targeting places too much emphasis oninflation rates to the detriment of other monetary
goals. Stigliz (2008) has also stated that, inflation targeting is being put to the test, and it will almost certainly
fail.
According to Epstein (2002) during the last decade, central banks in developing countries have also increasingly
adopted monetary policy approaches that focus on lowering the rate of inflation with little regard to their impact
on "real factors" such as poverty, employment, investment or economic growth. The reason for the adoption of
inflation targeting in developing countries is that, over time, as inflation rises the cost of goods and services
increase, and the value of the local currency falls because consumers are not able to purchase the same quantity of
goods and services they previously could. Drawing from this, it is relevant to control inflation in order to reduce
the unit of a currency that is used to purchase fewer goods as time progresses.
The Bank of Ghana (BOG) formally adopted an inflation target in May 2007, becoming the second African
country to do so after South Africa. The adoption of inflation targeting policy regime has therefore increased
transparency and accountability of the BOG, which has now resorted to publishing inflation reports. It must
however be noted that almost seven (7) years after the adoption of inflation targeting by the BOG little research
has been conducted to review the effectiveness of this policy in stabilizing the general price level. However as
the policy of inflation targeting spreads, many policy makers are asking, is inflation targeting the best policy
option for Ghana? On several forums, the BOG has justified the inflation targeting policy regime, saying that it
is the best policy option towards tackling Ghana’s two decades inflation challenges. This assertion is however
not surprising since the BOG is the custodian of the policy. Based on the above arguments, conducting research
into Ghana’s inflation targeting policy is the only justifiable option that can reveal scientifically, the effects of
inflation targeting policy on inflation rates, and how significantly it has affected GDP growth.
In addition, the authors also believe that many researches on inflation targeting policy regime have tended to be
concentrated in the industrialized economies. Among these researches are Walsh (2009), Mishkin and Schmidt-
Hebbel (2007), Sheridan (2005), Vega and Winkelried (2005) and Wu (2004). Though other studies have given
evidence from developing countries perspectives, these have been concentrated in the Latin American regions.
Little evidence has however been obtained from an African perspective. Moreover, many of this empirical
evidence have focused on the effects of inflation targeting policy regime on inflation rates and inflation
expectations. Hardly have most researches relate the effects of inflation targeting policy regime on GDP growth.
The authors believethat, by researching into the effects of inflation targeting policy regime on inflation rates and
GDP growth in a specific environment (Ghana) will bridge the gap in knowledge between evidence in the
industrialized world, and other developing countries. This will therefore contribute to the existing knowledge in
the field of inflation targeting. This study has been organized into six sections, this include the introduction,
theoretical and empirical literature review, methodology, results, discussion, and finally recommendation and
conclusion.
2.0 Literature Review
Inflation is the condition of generalized excess demand, in which too much money chases too few goods.
Similarly Lovoie (1996) defined “inflation as mainly an excess demand phenomenon, induced by an excess
supply of money”(p.535).
Both definitions above are causal. In the first case inflation is traced to demand in the goods market; in the
second inflation is explained as the result of a change in the money supply. In recent discussions Friedman (1970)
has popularized the monetarist causal definition as follows;“Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary
phenomenon… and can be produced only by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output”
(p.24).
It can be deduced from the definitions above that inflation occurs in an economy when too much money is
chasing too few goods and services over a period of time.
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.21, 2014
56
2.1Theories of Inflation
2.1.1 Monetarist View
According to Johnson (1982, p.239) the monetarist view of inflation is associated with and ultimately causally
dependent on a rate of increase of money supply significantly in excess of the rate of growth of real output; the
difference between the two rates being the rate of inflation. The theory, it should be noted, does not assert that
inflation is attributable to monetary ignorance or mismanagement; monetary expansion and the consequential is
a method of taxing the holder of money to which may well be driven by political circumstances, in full
knowledge of what they are doing. The theory rests on the proposition that there is a stable relation between real
income and the amount of real purchasing power the public wants to hold in monetary form; that this money-to-
income relation is inversely related to the expected rate of inflation, the erosion of the purchasing power of
money through inflation constituting an important element of the cost of holding money; and that in the long run
people will come to expect the rate of inflation induced by the authorities through their policy respect to
monetary expansion.
The assumption that the public form expectations about inflation, adjust them in the light of experience and acts
on these expectations in its behavior, is a crucial difference between the quantity approach to inflation and the
currently dominant Keynesian approach.
2.1.2Keynes’ view of the functions of a central bank
According to Keynes’s General Theory (1936, p.159) money is neither in the short run nor the long run, neutral.
Keynes general theory, therefore, suggested that any monetary policy framework that dictated the quantity of
money or the rate of interest in a system will impact directly on real economic outcome. Consistent with the
above therefore, Keynes suggested that central banks have two primary functions. The first function is the
provision of liquidity in the system, and the second function is the determination of inflation rate.
With the above suggestions in mind, Keynes (1930) stated that “bank credit is the pavement along which
production travels, and the bankers if they knew their duty, would provide the transport facilities to just the
extent that is required in order that the production powers of the community can be employed at their full
capacity” (p. 220).
The above view implies that central banks are expected to extend credit into the economic system as cheaply as
possible so long as the economy has significant idle resources. The second function of the central bank suggested
by Keynes (1930) is that, the central bank must ensure financial stability and orderliness in the nation’s financial
markets thereby ensuring that money and output are in equilibrium both in the short and long runs.
2.1.3 Elements of Inflation Targeting
“Inflation targeting is a recent monetary policy strategy that encompasses five mainelements; a public
announcement of medium-term numerical targets for inflation,an institutional commitment to price
stability as the primary goal of monetary policy, to which other goals are subordinated, an information
inclusive strategy in which many variables, and not just monetary aggregates or the exchange rate, are
used for deciding the setting of policy instruments, increased transparency of the monetary policy
strategy through communication with the public and markets about the plans, objectives, and decisions
of the monetary authorities, and increased accountability of the central bank for attaining its inflation
objectives”. (Mishkin 2001, pp.117-27)
The advantages associated with inflation targeting is that, the concept is considered to be transparent and the
cooperation among stakeholder eliminates uncertainties concerning future inflation rates. Another advantage
associated with inflation targeting is that the system is flexible and the central bank can act well before any
incidence of inflation happens. Lastly the policy framework increases accountability on the part of the central
bank since all stakeholders are aware of the central bank’s goals. Among the inflation targeting participants,
inflation rate of zero and two percent is considered appropriate.
2.2 Empirical Literature Review
In various studies, Vega and Winkelried (2005), Batini and Laxton (2007) and Schmidt-Hebbel (2007) all
revealed that there were significant and positive effects of inflation targeting among inflation targeting samples
that included developing countries. For example in their study, Vega and Winkelried (2005), sampled 109
inflation targeting countries of which 23 are developing countries, using the propensity scoring methodology
they revealed lower inflation rates when inflation targeting policies were implemented. This is however
consistent with earlier conclusions of Corbo et al. (2000), Neumann and von Hagen (2002), and Petursson (2004).
In a recent study, Goncalvas and Salles (2008), revealed that inflation lowered from 17% to 6.55% among
inflation targeting developing countries between the pre and post inflation era. Consistent with the above Ball
and Sheridan (2005) concluded that there were statistically and economically significant reductions in inflation
among sampled inflation targeting countries surveyed.
3.0 Methodology
This study uses the quantitative research method and the nature of the research design is causal. Secondary data
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.21, 2014
57
was collected from the Bank of Ghana (BOG) on monthly inflation rates from 2000 to 2007(April), representing
the pre-inflation targeting policy era; and 2007 (May) to 2013 representing the post-inflation targeting policy era.
The choice of the particular months is as result of the Bank of Ghana announcing officially in May 2007 that it
was now practicing inflation targeting. Annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was also collecting for the pre
and post inflation targeting policy era.
3.1 Population and Sampling
The study population was all monthly inflation rates and annual GDP at purchase value from 2000 to 2013.The
total sample size of the study is eight years (2003-2010). Since inflation targeting policy started in 2007, a seven
year sample (2000 -2006) was taken for the pre-inflation era, and corresponding seven years (2007-2013) was
also sample for the post inflation.
3.2 Data Analysis
The data obtained was analyzed using tests of mean differences and regression. The first analytical technique of
t-test was employed to ascertain the differences in mean inflation between the pre and post-inflation targeting
period. Regression was used to ascertain the effect of pre-inflation on GDP as well as the effect of post-inflation
on GDP. A dummy variable was used to capture the effect of inflation targeting on economic growth. Thus, the
model specified to capture the effect of inflation targeting on economic growth for this study is of the form:
1 2 (1)t tY Inf ITα β β ε= + + +
Where Y represents economic growth, inf represents annual inflation rate. IT represents the dummy variable
for the inflation targeting. It takes a value of 0 from 200-2006 and a value of one from 2007 to 2013. All the
results are assessed at the 5% level of significance.
4.0 Presentation of Results
This section presents the results from the t-tests and the regressions from the data collected.
To achieve the research objective of whether there is significant difference between the inflation rate for the pre
and post inflation targeting policy periods, table 5.1 revealed there is significant difference between the mean
inflation rates for the two periods at the 5% level of significance. The inflation rate for the post inflation
targeting period is significantly less than the pre-inflation targeting period.
Table 5.1Paired Samples Test of Pre and Post Inflation Targeting
Mean Std Dev Std Error T-value(p-value)
Pre IT –Post IT 2.05 0.2989 0.08291 24.77(0.000)
This is supported by inflation figures over the period which had consistent decline in inflation to the point of the
consistently witnessing single digit inflation over a period of over fourteen (14) months. It must be noted that
single-digit inflation was never achieved during the period of the post inflation targeting.
Table 5.2:Effect of Inflation Targeting on GDP
Dependent Variable: GDP_GROWTH
Method: Least Squares
Sample: 2000 2013
Included observations: 14
Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob.
INFLATION -0.110813 0.087699 -1.263565 0.2325
IT 2.115329 1.528880 1.383581 0.1939
C 7.437998 2.104813 3.533805 0.0047
R-squared 0.405453 Mean dependent var 6.615010
Adjusted R-squared 0.297353 S.D. dependent var 2.887917
S.E. of regression 2.420768 Akaike info criterion 4.793456
Sum squared resid 64.46128 Schwarz criterion 4.930397
Log likelihood -30.55419 Hannan-Quinn criter. 4.780779
F-statistic 4.750740 Durbin-Watson stat 2.344252
Prob(F-statistic) 0.027283
To determine the inflation rate after the inflation targeting policy and its effects on GDP from 2000 to 2013, a
test of hypothesis was conducted using the model specified in the methodology. Even though the results
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.21, 2014
58
indicated that a reduction in inflation will lead to an increase in economic growth, inflation did not contribute
significantly to the GDP. In addition, the dummy variable introduced to capture the effect of inflation targeting
on economic growth, did not statitistically affect economic.
5.0 Discussion of Results
The specific objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and its
effect on GDP growth. From the results above, it can be said that inflation targeting policy has positive effect on
inflation rates in Ghana. Since during the inflation targeting policy regime, inflation reduced substantially.
Though inflation did not reduce to the ranges between zero and two percent as prescribe by proponents of
inflation targeting regime, in the Ghanaian situation the reduction was statistically significant.
The above scenario is however consistent with the very objective of inflation targeting policy which suggests
that, inflation targeting puts price stability as the primary objective of the central bank, and the inflation target
provides what is known as the nominal anchor for monetary policy framework.Because the policy framework
clearly specifies the inflation objectives and a clear commitment to achieving them, it helps to anchor the
public’s inflation expectations,as well as the expectations of future inflation to influence prices and wages
thereby improving the general economy. The above situation leads many Central Banks to believe that the best
contribution that monetary policy can make to growth is to provide a low and stable inflation environment that is
conducive to sustainable long-term growth. The Ghanaian results is also consistent which research conducted by
Walsh (2009) which revealed that inflation was lower among inflation targeting countries than for their
counterparts in the non-inflation targeting countries.
Similarly the study compared GDP growth in pre and post inflation targeting policy periods. In the Ghanaian
situation the reduction in inflation rates associated with inflation targeting did not have a significant effect on
GDP growth for both periods. This therefore suggests that a reduction in inflation does not necessarily translate
into economic growth.
6.0 Conclusion and Policy Implication
The study investigated the effect of inflation targeting on inflation rates and gross domestic product in Ghana
using seven (7) years pre-inflation period (2000-2006) and seven (7) years post inflation period (2007-2013) data.
Using a quantitative method the study investigated the causal effects of inflation targeting policy on gross
domestic product. The study assessed the effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic
product. The study found that inflation targeting policy has an effect on inflation rates since the reduction in
inflation rate during the post inflation period is statistically significant. In the case of inflation targeting and
gross domestic product, inflation targeting does not have substantial effect on gross domestic product, since the
result is not statistically significant.
Policy makers are encouraged to critically consider the issue of inflation targeting in Ghana. Though inflation
targeting is able to stabilize prices to some extent, it does not fully translate into economic growth. Policy
makers are encouraged to explore other policy option including the current inflation targeting policy option
currently pursed.
References
Addison, E.K. (2001). Monetary Management in Ghana, a Paper presented at the Conference on Monetary
policy Frameworks in Africa, September, 2001.
Allsopp, C. and Vines, D. (2000). The Assessment: Macroeconomic Policy. Oxford Review of Economic Policy
16 (4): 1-32
Amoah, B., and Mumuni, Z., (2008) Choice of Monetary Regime in Ghana, A working paper series for the
Monetary Policy Committee. July
Aryeetey, E., and Harrigan, J., (2000) “Macroeconomics and Sectoral developments since 1970”. Economics
Reforms in Ghana. Africa World Press, pp 5-31.
Ball, L., and N. Sheridan (2005). Does Inflation Targeting Matter, in B.S. Bernanke and M. Woodford (eds), The
Inflation-Targeting Debate. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 249-76
Batini, N., and D. Laxton (2007). Under What Conditions can Inflation Targeting be Adopted?, in F.s. Mishkin
and K. Schmidt-Hebbel (eds), Monetary Policy Under Inflation Targeting. Santiago: Banco Central de
Chile, 467-506
Blanchard, Oliver J. (1999). What do we know about Macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell did not?
Http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty /blanchar/papers.htm.
Blinder, A., (1994). The Region Review of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Interview with Alan
Blinder. December.
http://www.minneapolisfed.org/pubs/region/94-12/int9412.cfm
Carare, A. and Stone, M.R., (2003). “Inflation Targeting Regimes”. IMF Working Paper, WP/03/9,
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.21, 2014
59
January.
Corbo, C., C. Landarretche and K. Schmidt-Hebbel (2002). Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference?, in
N.Loayza and R.Soto (eds), Inflation Targeting: Design, Performance, Challenges. Santiago: Central
Bank of Chile, 221-69
Debelle G., Masson, P., Savastano, M., and Sharma S. (1998), Inflation Targeting as a Framework for Monetary
Policy. International Monetary Fund Economic Issues. No. 15, Washington DC
Duerker, M.J. and A.M. Fischer (2006). Do Inflation Targeters Outperform Non-Targerters, Federal
Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 88(5), 431-50
Epstein, Gerald (2000). Myth, Mendacity and Mischief in the Theory and Practice of Central Banking.
Ewusi, K., (1997). The Determinants of Price Fluctuations in Ghana, ISSER Discussion Paper, University of
Ghana, Legon.
Friedman, B.M. (2004). Why the Federal Reserve Should not Adopt Inflation Targeting, International Finance,
7 (1), 129-36
Greenspan, A., (1996). Opening Remarks on the Federal Reserves Bank of Kansas City Symposium. “Achieving
Price Stability” The Federal Reverses of Kansas City Symposium Proceedings August, P. 1
Goncalvas, C.E.S. and J.M. Salles (2008). Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies: What do the Data Say?,
Journal of Development Economics, 85(1), 312-18
Gurkaynak, R.S., A.T Levin, and E.T. Swanson (2006). Does Inflation Targeting Anchor Long Run Inflation
Expectations? Evidence from Long Term Bond Yields in the U.S., U.K., and Sweden, Working paper
series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
Gurkaynak, R.S., A.T Levin, A.N. Marder, and E.T. Swanson (2007). Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of
Inflation Expectations in the Western Hemisphere, in f.S. Mishkin and K. Schmidt-Hebbel (eds),
Monetary Policy Uner Inflation Targeting. Santiago: Banco Central de Chile
Heintz, J., and Ndikumana, L., (2010) Is There a Case for Formal Inflation Targeting in Sub-Saharan Africa?
Political Economy Research Institute. Working Paper Series No. 218.
Johnson, H. G., (1982) On Economics and Society, The University of Chicago Press 2nd
ed. London P. 239
Johnson, D.R. (2002). The Effect of Inflation Targeting on the Behaviour of Expected Inflation: Evidence from
an 11 Country Panel, Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(8), 1521-38
Keynes, J.M. (1930). A Treatise on Money, Vol. 2. London: Macmillan
Keynes, J.M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. London: Macmillan.
Kwakye, J.K., Addison, E.K.Y., and Wampah, H.A.K. (1996). Inflation Management by Bank of Ghana: The
Strategies, The Difficulties and the Way Foorward. A paper presented at the inflation management
roundtable ad Akosombo, Research Dept., Bank of Ghana.
Kydland, F., Prescott, E., (1977) Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optional Plans. Journal of
Political Economy Vol. 85, 473-479
Lavoie, M. (1996). Monetary Policy in an Economy with Endogenous Credit Money. In E. Nell and G.
Deleplace (eds.), Money in Motion. London: Macmillan, pp. 532-545.
Lawsons, R.M. (1996). Inflation in the Consumer Market in Ghana. Economic Bulletin of Ghana, Vol X, No. I.
Lin, S. and Ye, H. (2007). Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference? Evaluating the Treatment Effect of
Inflation Targeting in Seven Industrial Countries, Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(8), 2521-33
Mishkin, F.S. (2004). Why the Ferderal Reserve Should Adopt Inflation Targeting, International Finance, 7 (1),
117-27
Mishkin, F.S. and Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does Inflation Targeting make a Difference? In Mishkin, F.S. and
Schmidt-Hebbel, K (eds.), Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting. Santiago: Banco Central De
Chile, 291-372
Neumann, M.J.M., and Von Hagen J. (2002). Does Inflation Targeting Matter? Federal Reserve Bank of St.
Louis Review, 84(4), 127-48
Ocran, M.K., (2007) A modeling of Ghana’s Inflation Experience: 1960-2003. The African Research
Consortium. August.
Petursson, T. (2004). The Effects of Inflation Targeting on Macroeconomic Performance, Central Bank of
Iceland, Working paper No. 23, June
Rochon L.P., and Rossi, S. (2006). Inflation Targeting, Economic Performance and Income Distribution: A
Monetary Macroeconomics Analysis. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 28 (4), 615-638
Stigliz, J.E. (2008). The Failure of Inflation Targeting, Project Syndicate. Available at http://www.project-
syndicate.org/print_commentary/stiglitz99/English (accessed 30th May, 2008)
Svensson, Lars E.O. (1999). How Should Monetary Policy be conducted in an Era of Price Stability? In New
Challenges for Monetary Policy: A symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City.
Jackson Hole. Wy. (August 26-28): 195-259.
Vega, M. and Winkelried, D. (2005). Inflation Targeting and Inflation Behaviour: A Successful Story,
European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org
ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online)
Vol.6, No.21, 2014
60
International Journal of Central Banking, 1 (3), 153-75
Volcker, P., (1983) Can we Survive Prosperity? December 28.
http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/historicaldocs/830/download/28424/volcker_19831228.pdf
Walsh, Carl E. (2001b). Teaching Inflation Targeting: An analysis for Intermediate Macro, http://econ.ucsc.edu/-
walshc.
Walsh, Carl E. (2009). Inflation Targeting: What Have We Learned? International Finance, 195-233
Wu, T. (2004). Does Inflation Targeting Reduce Inflation? An? Analyses for the OECD Industrial Countries,
Banco Central do Brazil Working Paper No. 83
The IISTE is a pioneer in the Open-Access hosting service and academic event
management. The aim of the firm is Accelerating Global Knowledge Sharing.
More information about the firm can be found on the homepage:
http://www.iiste.org
CALL FOR JOURNAL PAPERS
There are more than 30 peer-reviewed academic journals hosted under the hosting
platform.
Prospective authors of journals can find the submission instruction on the
following page: http://www.iiste.org/journals/ All the journals articles are available
online to the readers all over the world without financial, legal, or technical barriers
other than those inseparable from gaining access to the internet itself. Paper version
of the journals is also available upon request of readers and authors.
MORE RESOURCES
Book publication information: http://www.iiste.org/book/
IISTE Knowledge Sharing Partners
EBSCO, Index Copernicus, Ulrich's Periodicals Directory, JournalTOCS, PKP Open
Archives Harvester, Bielefeld Academic Search Engine, Elektronische
Zeitschriftenbibliothek EZB, Open J-Gate, OCLC WorldCat, Universe Digtial
Library , NewJour, Google Scholar
Business, Economics, Finance and Management Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL
European Journal of Business and Management EJBM@iiste.org
Research Journal of Finance and Accounting RJFA@iiste.org
Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development JESD@iiste.org
Information and Knowledge Management IKM@iiste.org
Journal of Developing Country Studies DCS@iiste.org
Industrial Engineering Letters IEL@iiste.org
Physical Sciences, Mathematics and Chemistry Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL
Journal of Natural Sciences Research JNSR@iiste.org
Journal of Chemistry and Materials Research CMR@iiste.org
Journal of Mathematical Theory and Modeling MTM@iiste.org
Advances in Physics Theories and Applications APTA@iiste.org
Chemical and Process Engineering Research CPER@iiste.org
Engineering, Technology and Systems Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL
Computer Engineering and Intelligent Systems CEIS@iiste.org
Innovative Systems Design and Engineering ISDE@iiste.org
Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy JETP@iiste.org
Information and Knowledge Management IKM@iiste.org
Journal of Control Theory and Informatics CTI@iiste.org
Journal of Information Engineering and Applications JIEA@iiste.org
Industrial Engineering Letters IEL@iiste.org
Journal of Network and Complex Systems NCS@iiste.org
Environment, Civil, Materials Sciences Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL
Journal of Environment and Earth Science JEES@iiste.org
Journal of Civil and Environmental Research CER@iiste.org
Journal of Natural Sciences Research JNSR@iiste.org
Life Science, Food and Medical Sciences PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL
Advances in Life Science and Technology ALST@iiste.org
Journal of Natural Sciences Research JNSR@iiste.org
Journal of Biology, Agriculture and Healthcare JBAH@iiste.org
Journal of Food Science and Quality Management FSQM@iiste.org
Journal of Chemistry and Materials Research CMR@iiste.org
Education, and other Social Sciences PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL
Journal of Education and Practice JEP@iiste.org
Journal of Law, Policy and Globalization JLPG@iiste.org
Journal of New Media and Mass Communication NMMC@iiste.org
Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy JETP@iiste.org
Historical Research Letter HRL@iiste.org
Public Policy and Administration Research PPAR@iiste.org
International Affairs and Global Strategy IAGS@iiste.org
Research on Humanities and Social Sciences RHSS@iiste.org
Journal of Developing Country Studies DCS@iiste.org
Journal of Arts and Design Studies ADS@iiste.org

Weitere ähnliche Inhalte

Was ist angesagt?

Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1
Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1
Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1Arslan Ishaq
 
132 article text-185-1-10-20210523
132 article text-185-1-10-20210523132 article text-185-1-10-20210523
132 article text-185-1-10-20210523Arslan Ishaq
 
Adopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for Nigeria
Adopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for NigeriaAdopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for Nigeria
Adopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for Nigeriaiosrjce
 
The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.
The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.
The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.Alexander Decker
 
B321024
B321024B321024
B321024aijbm
 
3.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 38
3.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 383.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 38
3.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 38Alexander Decker
 
Does Inflation Targeting matter?
Does Inflation Targeting matter?Does Inflation Targeting matter?
Does Inflation Targeting matter?Eesti Pank
 
A post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeria
A post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeriaA post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeria
A post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeriaAlexander Decker
 
Monetary policy and_gdp
Monetary policy and_gdpMonetary policy and_gdp
Monetary policy and_gdpSyed Ali
 
EFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIA
EFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIAEFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIA
EFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIApaperpublications3
 
Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...
Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...
Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...AJHSSR Journal
 
Inflation targeting group 7 section f_bc
Inflation targeting group 7 section f_bcInflation targeting group 7 section f_bc
Inflation targeting group 7 section f_bcSHASHANK SHARMA
 
Central Banking Report
Central Banking ReportCentral Banking Report
Central Banking Reportruponti ray
 

Was ist angesagt? (20)

Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1
Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1
Choudhri et-al-2015-working-paper-1
 
Paper (2)
Paper (2)Paper (2)
Paper (2)
 
132 article text-185-1-10-20210523
132 article text-185-1-10-20210523132 article text-185-1-10-20210523
132 article text-185-1-10-20210523
 
Adopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for Nigeria
Adopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for NigeriaAdopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for Nigeria
Adopting Inflation Targeting for Monetary Policy: Practical Issues for Nigeria
 
The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.
The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.
The effects of monetary policy on inflation in ghana.
 
B321024
B321024B321024
B321024
 
Vol7no2 6
Vol7no2 6Vol7no2 6
Vol7no2 6
 
3.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 38
3.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 383.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 38
3.impact of inflation and monetary p 26 38
 
Examining the Relationship between Term Structure of Interest Rates and Econo...
Examining the Relationship between Term Structure of Interest Rates and Econo...Examining the Relationship between Term Structure of Interest Rates and Econo...
Examining the Relationship between Term Structure of Interest Rates and Econo...
 
Does Inflation Targeting matter?
Does Inflation Targeting matter?Does Inflation Targeting matter?
Does Inflation Targeting matter?
 
A post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeria
A post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeriaA post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeria
A post market reform analysis of monetary conditions index for nigeria
 
Monetary policy and_gdp
Monetary policy and_gdpMonetary policy and_gdp
Monetary policy and_gdp
 
EFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIA
EFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIAEFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIA
EFFECTIVE MONETARY POLICY AS A RECIPE FOR MACROECONOMIC STABILITY IN NIGERIA
 
Econ Term Paper
Econ Term PaperEcon Term Paper
Econ Term Paper
 
Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...
Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...
Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Dominance and the Conduct of Monetary Policy in ...
 
monetory policy
monetory policymonetory policy
monetory policy
 
Inflation targeting group 7 section f_bc
Inflation targeting group 7 section f_bcInflation targeting group 7 section f_bc
Inflation targeting group 7 section f_bc
 
The Determinants of Inflation in West Africa
The Determinants of Inflation in West AfricaThe Determinants of Inflation in West Africa
The Determinants of Inflation in West Africa
 
Central Banking Report
Central Banking ReportCentral Banking Report
Central Banking Report
 
Monetary policy
Monetary policyMonetary policy
Monetary policy
 

Andere mochten auch

Miguelangelramis.doc
Miguelangelramis.docMiguelangelramis.doc
Miguelangelramis.docmrs1984
 
La Cultura del Slow Down
La Cultura del Slow DownLa Cultura del Slow Down
La Cultura del Slow Downguest7334c0
 
Facilities Plan - Lindblad
Facilities Plan - LindbladFacilities Plan - Lindblad
Facilities Plan - Lindbladbookat
 
6096
60966096
6096UPLA
 
Volkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und Jugendarmut
Volkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und JugendarmutVolkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und Jugendarmut
Volkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und JugendarmutVolkshilfe Österreich
 

Andere mochten auch (6)

Miguelangelramis.doc
Miguelangelramis.docMiguelangelramis.doc
Miguelangelramis.doc
 
La Cultura del Slow Down
La Cultura del Slow DownLa Cultura del Slow Down
La Cultura del Slow Down
 
Pandemia de influenza
Pandemia de influenzaPandemia de influenza
Pandemia de influenza
 
Facilities Plan - Lindblad
Facilities Plan - LindbladFacilities Plan - Lindblad
Facilities Plan - Lindblad
 
6096
60966096
6096
 
Volkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und Jugendarmut
Volkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und JugendarmutVolkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und Jugendarmut
Volkshilfe Sozialbarometer: Kinder- und Jugendarmut
 

Ähnlich wie Effects of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic product in ghana

Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member States
Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member StatesDynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member States
Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member Statesiosrjce
 
Effect of Government Policies on Price Stability in Nigeria
Effect of Government Policies on Price Stability in NigeriaEffect of Government Policies on Price Stability in Nigeria
Effect of Government Policies on Price Stability in Nigeriaijtsrd
 
Monetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in Nigeria
Monetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in NigeriaMonetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in Nigeria
Monetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in NigeriaAJHSSR Journal
 
QUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUES
QUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUESQUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUES
QUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUESIJDKP
 
Financialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank Policy
Financialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank PolicyFinancialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank Policy
Financialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank PolicyConor McCabe
 
Implications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeria
Implications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeriaImplications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeria
Implications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeriaAlexander Decker
 
Dissertation final1
Dissertation final1Dissertation final1
Dissertation final1Arinze Nwoye
 
Inflation and Its Effect on Bangladesh
Inflation and Its Effect on BangladeshInflation and Its Effect on Bangladesh
Inflation and Its Effect on BangladeshIktiham Bin Taher
 
C431017
C431017C431017
C431017aijbm
 
Dynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghana
Dynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghanaDynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghana
Dynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghanaAlexander Decker
 
A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”
A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”
A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”Economic Research Forum
 
Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate
Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate
Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate University of Abuja, Abuja, Nigeria
 
MACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS .docx
MACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS                         .docxMACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS                         .docx
MACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS .docxsmile790243
 
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docxRethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docxzmark3
 
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docxRethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docxaudeleypearl
 
Monetary Policy ppt.pptx
Monetary Policy ppt.pptxMonetary Policy ppt.pptx
Monetary Policy ppt.pptxZiyad Zaidi
 

Ähnlich wie Effects of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic product in ghana (20)

D282638
D282638D282638
D282638
 
Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member States
Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member StatesDynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member States
Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Inflation: Evidence from ECOWAS Member States
 
Monetary Policy and Private Sector Credit Interaction in Ghana
Monetary Policy and Private Sector Credit Interaction in GhanaMonetary Policy and Private Sector Credit Interaction in Ghana
Monetary Policy and Private Sector Credit Interaction in Ghana
 
Effect of Government Policies on Price Stability in Nigeria
Effect of Government Policies on Price Stability in NigeriaEffect of Government Policies on Price Stability in Nigeria
Effect of Government Policies on Price Stability in Nigeria
 
Monetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in Nigeria
Monetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in NigeriaMonetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in Nigeria
Monetary Policy Variables and Agricultural Development in Nigeria
 
QUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUES
QUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUESQUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUES
QUALITY ASSURANCE FOR ECONOMY CLASSIFICATION BASED ON DATA MINING TECHNIQUES
 
Eco project
Eco projectEco project
Eco project
 
Financialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank Policy
Financialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank PolicyFinancialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank Policy
Financialization, Rentier Interests, and Central Bank Policy
 
sdn1609
sdn1609sdn1609
sdn1609
 
Implications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeria
Implications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeriaImplications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeria
Implications of monetary policy for banks’ assets in nigeria
 
Dissertation final1
Dissertation final1Dissertation final1
Dissertation final1
 
Inflation and Its Effect on Bangladesh
Inflation and Its Effect on BangladeshInflation and Its Effect on Bangladesh
Inflation and Its Effect on Bangladesh
 
C431017
C431017C431017
C431017
 
Dynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghana
Dynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghanaDynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghana
Dynamics of inflation and financial development empirical evidence from ghana
 
A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”
A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”
A Macroeconomic Framework for Growth Under “The New Normal”
 
Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate
Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate
Economic Impact of Some Determinant Factors of Nigerian Inflation Rate
 
MACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS .docx
MACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS                         .docxMACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS                         .docx
MACROECONOMIC FOCUS AND INDUSTRY ANALYSIS .docx
 
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docxRethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
 
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docxRethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
Rethinking The Current Inflation Target Range In South Afric.docx
 
Monetary Policy ppt.pptx
Monetary Policy ppt.pptxMonetary Policy ppt.pptx
Monetary Policy ppt.pptx
 

Mehr von Alexander Decker

Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...
Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...
Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...Alexander Decker
 
A validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale in
A validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale inA validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale in
A validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale inAlexander Decker
 
A usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websites
A usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websitesA usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websites
A usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websitesAlexander Decker
 
A universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banksA universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banksAlexander Decker
 
A unique common fixed point theorems in generalized d
A unique common fixed point theorems in generalized dA unique common fixed point theorems in generalized d
A unique common fixed point theorems in generalized dAlexander Decker
 
A trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistance
A trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistanceA trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistance
A trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistanceAlexander Decker
 
A transformational generative approach towards understanding al-istifham
A transformational  generative approach towards understanding al-istifhamA transformational  generative approach towards understanding al-istifham
A transformational generative approach towards understanding al-istifhamAlexander Decker
 
A time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibia
A time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibiaA time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibia
A time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibiaAlexander Decker
 
A therapy for physical and mental fitness of school children
A therapy for physical and mental fitness of school childrenA therapy for physical and mental fitness of school children
A therapy for physical and mental fitness of school childrenAlexander Decker
 
A theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banksA theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banksAlexander Decker
 
A systematic evaluation of link budget for
A systematic evaluation of link budget forA systematic evaluation of link budget for
A systematic evaluation of link budget forAlexander Decker
 
A synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjab
A synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjabA synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjab
A synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjabAlexander Decker
 
A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...
A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...
A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...Alexander Decker
 
A survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incremental
A survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incrementalA survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incremental
A survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incrementalAlexander Decker
 
A survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniques
A survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniquesA survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniques
A survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniquesAlexander Decker
 
A survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo db
A survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo dbA survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo db
A survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo dbAlexander Decker
 
A survey on challenges to the media cloud
A survey on challenges to the media cloudA survey on challenges to the media cloud
A survey on challenges to the media cloudAlexander Decker
 
A survey of provenance leveraged
A survey of provenance leveragedA survey of provenance leveraged
A survey of provenance leveragedAlexander Decker
 
A survey of private equity investments in kenya
A survey of private equity investments in kenyaA survey of private equity investments in kenya
A survey of private equity investments in kenyaAlexander Decker
 
A study to measures the financial health of
A study to measures the financial health ofA study to measures the financial health of
A study to measures the financial health ofAlexander Decker
 

Mehr von Alexander Decker (20)

Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...
Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...
Abnormalities of hormones and inflammatory cytokines in women affected with p...
 
A validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale in
A validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale inA validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale in
A validation of the adverse childhood experiences scale in
 
A usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websites
A usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websitesA usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websites
A usability evaluation framework for b2 c e commerce websites
 
A universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banksA universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A universal model for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
 
A unique common fixed point theorems in generalized d
A unique common fixed point theorems in generalized dA unique common fixed point theorems in generalized d
A unique common fixed point theorems in generalized d
 
A trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistance
A trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistanceA trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistance
A trends of salmonella and antibiotic resistance
 
A transformational generative approach towards understanding al-istifham
A transformational  generative approach towards understanding al-istifhamA transformational  generative approach towards understanding al-istifham
A transformational generative approach towards understanding al-istifham
 
A time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibia
A time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibiaA time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibia
A time series analysis of the determinants of savings in namibia
 
A therapy for physical and mental fitness of school children
A therapy for physical and mental fitness of school childrenA therapy for physical and mental fitness of school children
A therapy for physical and mental fitness of school children
 
A theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banksA theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
A theory of efficiency for managing the marketing executives in nigerian banks
 
A systematic evaluation of link budget for
A systematic evaluation of link budget forA systematic evaluation of link budget for
A systematic evaluation of link budget for
 
A synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjab
A synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjabA synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjab
A synthetic review of contraceptive supplies in punjab
 
A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...
A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...
A synthesis of taylor’s and fayol’s management approaches for managing market...
 
A survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incremental
A survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incrementalA survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incremental
A survey paper on sequence pattern mining with incremental
 
A survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniques
A survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniquesA survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniques
A survey on live virtual machine migrations and its techniques
 
A survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo db
A survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo dbA survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo db
A survey on data mining and analysis in hadoop and mongo db
 
A survey on challenges to the media cloud
A survey on challenges to the media cloudA survey on challenges to the media cloud
A survey on challenges to the media cloud
 
A survey of provenance leveraged
A survey of provenance leveragedA survey of provenance leveraged
A survey of provenance leveraged
 
A survey of private equity investments in kenya
A survey of private equity investments in kenyaA survey of private equity investments in kenya
A survey of private equity investments in kenya
 
A study to measures the financial health of
A study to measures the financial health ofA study to measures the financial health of
A study to measures the financial health of
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen

Learn How Data Science Changes Our World
Learn How Data Science Changes Our WorldLearn How Data Science Changes Our World
Learn How Data Science Changes Our WorldEduminds Learning
 
Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 2
Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 2Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 2
Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 217djon017
 
FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024
FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024
FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024Susanna-Assunta Sansone
 
Advanced Machine Learning for Business Professionals
Advanced Machine Learning for Business ProfessionalsAdvanced Machine Learning for Business Professionals
Advanced Machine Learning for Business ProfessionalsVICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ
 
Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...
Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...
Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...Boston Institute of Analytics
 
Bank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis Project
Bank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis ProjectBank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis Project
Bank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis ProjectBoston Institute of Analytics
 
Semantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptx
Semantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptxSemantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptx
Semantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptxMike Bennett
 
English-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdf
English-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdfEnglish-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdf
English-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdfblazblazml
 
Predictive Analysis for Loan Default Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPT
Predictive Analysis for Loan Default  Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPTPredictive Analysis for Loan Default  Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPT
Predictive Analysis for Loan Default Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPTBoston Institute of Analytics
 
Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)
Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)
Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)Cathrine Wilhelmsen
 
SMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptx
SMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptxSMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptx
SMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptxHaritikaChhatwal1
 
wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...
wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...
wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...KarteekMane1
 
Decoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
Decoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis ProjectDecoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
Decoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis ProjectBoston Institute of Analytics
 
The Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptx
The Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptxThe Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptx
The Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptxTasha Penwell
 
modul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptx
modul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptxmodul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptx
modul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptxaleedritatuxx
 
Principles and Practices of Data Visualization
Principles and Practices of Data VisualizationPrinciples and Practices of Data Visualization
Principles and Practices of Data VisualizationKianJazayeri1
 
Networking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptx
Networking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptxNetworking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptx
Networking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptxHimangsuNath
 
Cyber awareness ppt on the recorded data
Cyber awareness ppt on the recorded dataCyber awareness ppt on the recorded data
Cyber awareness ppt on the recorded dataTecnoIncentive
 
Digital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing works
Digital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing worksDigital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing works
Digital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing worksdeepakthakur548787
 

Kürzlich hochgeladen (20)

Learn How Data Science Changes Our World
Learn How Data Science Changes Our WorldLearn How Data Science Changes Our World
Learn How Data Science Changes Our World
 
Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 2
Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 2Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 2
Easter Eggs From Star Wars and in cars 1 and 2
 
FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024
FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024
FAIR, FAIRsharing, FAIR Cookbook and ELIXIR - Sansone SA - Boston 2024
 
Advanced Machine Learning for Business Professionals
Advanced Machine Learning for Business ProfessionalsAdvanced Machine Learning for Business Professionals
Advanced Machine Learning for Business Professionals
 
Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...
Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...
Data Analysis Project : Targeting the Right Customers, Presentation on Bank M...
 
Bank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis Project
Bank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis ProjectBank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis Project
Bank Loan Approval Analysis: A Comprehensive Data Analysis Project
 
Semantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptx
Semantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptxSemantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptx
Semantic Shed - Squashing and Squeezing.pptx
 
English-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdf
English-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdfEnglish-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdf
English-8-Q4-W3-Synthesizing-Essential-Information-From-Various-Sources-1.pdf
 
Predictive Analysis for Loan Default Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPT
Predictive Analysis for Loan Default  Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPTPredictive Analysis for Loan Default  Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPT
Predictive Analysis for Loan Default Presentation : Data Analysis Project PPT
 
Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)
Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)
Data Factory in Microsoft Fabric (MsBIP #82)
 
SMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptx
SMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptxSMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptx
SMOTE and K-Fold Cross Validation-Presentation.pptx
 
wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...
wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...
wepik-insightful-infographics-a-data-visualization-overview-20240401133220kwr...
 
Decoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
Decoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis ProjectDecoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
Decoding Patterns: Customer Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
 
The Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptx
The Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptxThe Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptx
The Power of Data-Driven Storytelling_ Unveiling the Layers of Insight.pptx
 
modul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptx
modul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptxmodul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptx
modul pembelajaran robotic Workshop _ by Slidesgo.pptx
 
Principles and Practices of Data Visualization
Principles and Practices of Data VisualizationPrinciples and Practices of Data Visualization
Principles and Practices of Data Visualization
 
Networking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptx
Networking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptxNetworking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptx
Networking Case Study prepared by teacher.pptx
 
Insurance Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
Insurance Churn Prediction Data Analysis ProjectInsurance Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
Insurance Churn Prediction Data Analysis Project
 
Cyber awareness ppt on the recorded data
Cyber awareness ppt on the recorded dataCyber awareness ppt on the recorded data
Cyber awareness ppt on the recorded data
 
Digital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing works
Digital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing worksDigital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing works
Digital Marketing Plan, how digital marketing works
 

Effects of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic product in ghana

  • 1. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.21, 2014 54 Effects of Inflation Targeting Policy on Inflation Rates and Gross Domestic Product in Ghana Albert Puni Department of Administration, University of Professional Studies, Accra, P.O. Box LG 149, Legon Bright Addiyiah Osei Research Centre, University of Professional Studies, Accra, P.O.Box LG 149, Legon Email:bright.osei@upsamail.edu.gh Charles Barnor Department of Banking and Finance, University of Professional Studies, Accra, P.O. Box LG 149, Legon Abstract Inflation targeting has been widely adopted in both developed and developing economies. The Bank of Ghana (BOG) formally adopted an inflation targeting regime as a major monetary policy framework in May 2007, becoming the second African country to do so after South Africa. This research paper sought to investigate the effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic product. The research adopted the quantitative method by comparing the effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic product in the pre inflation targeting period (2000-2006) and the post inflation targeting period (2007-2013). The resultsrevealed that there was a significant difference between the mean inflation rates for the two periods. The inflation rate for the post inflation targeting period is significantly less than the pre-inflation targeting period. It was also revealed that inflation targeting did not have a statistically significant effect on economic growth in Ghana. The study concluded that policy makers are encouraged to explore other policy alternative including inflation targeting regime to maximize production in the economy. Keywords: Inflation Targeting Policy, Inflation Rates, Gross Domestic Product 1.0 Introduction One of the primary responsibilities of Central Banks is to use various monetary policies to achieve some degree of price stability in an economy. This is true because whether central banks are governed by Monetarist or by Keynesian economists, price stability enable planners and policy makers plan within long time horizon. The price stability responsibility drive of central banks have been revealed in the works of Volcker (1983), Greenspan (1996, p.1), and Blinder (1994, p.7).Greenspan (1996, p.1), believes that the objective of central banks is to achieve price stability; a situation in which the economic agents no longer take account of the prospective change in the general price level in their economic decision making. Many economists believe that, inflation arises when the money in circulation in an economy is more than the supply of goods and service.According to Lovoie (1996, p.535), “inflation is mainly an excess demand phenomenon, induced by an excess supply of money”. In other words, inflation can be termed as a situation where too much money is following too few goods. The root causes of inflation are largely attributed to fiscal deficit-financing by government through the printing of money. To arrest the above situation, policy makers in recent times have resorted to monetary inflation targeting strategy, which is a departure from the previous fiscal policy inflation targeting regime. To affirm the above departure by central banks, Debelle, Masson, Savastano, and Sharma (1998, p.2) have reiterated that “if fiscal dominance exists, inflationary pressures of a fiscal origin will undermine the effectiveness of monetary policy by obliging the central bank to accommodate the demands of the government, say, by easing interest rates to achieve fiscal goals”. The term inflation targeting entered into mainstream economics when in 1990 New Zealand embarked on a wide-range economic and governmental reforms that sought to define performance measures and systems of accountability for all government departments. The reforms initiated under the Reserve Bank Act of 1989 established three policy frameworks dubbed inflation targeting. The first framework established dialogue between the central bank and the government concerning criteria of measuring the central bank’s performance. The main yardstick established under the first framework was price stability or inflation targeting. The second framework granted the Reserve Bank power to pursue its assigned goal without government interference (that is the Reserve Bank must be independent). The last framework established means of accountability whereby the goal is made public and the Governor of the Reserve Bank is held accountable for the bank’s performance. According to Rochon and Rossi (2006) since the adoption of inflation targeting in New Zealand in 1990 and Canada in 1991, a number of countries have now adopted an inflation targeting regime.In fact the Keynesian economists believe that inflation targeting is the best alternative when it comes to influencing inflation
  • 2. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.21, 2014 55 expectations.As the name suggests,inflation targeting puts price stability as the primary objective of the central bank, and the inflation target provides what is known as the nominal anchor for monetary policy framework.Because the policy framework clearly specifies the inflation objectives and a clear commitment to achieving them, it helps to anchor the public’s inflation expectations,as well as the expectations of future inflation to influence prices and wages thereby improving the general economy.The above situation leads many Central Banks to believe that the best contribution that monetary policy can make to growth is to provide a low and stable inflation environment that is conducive to sustainable long-term growth. Inflation targeting regime proponents have argue that, the policy strategy leads to more credible, transparent, accountable and a better management of inflation. Kydland and Prescott (1977) and Gordon (1983) have all attested to the above assertion by saying that, the more independent central banks are the more they are able to reduce the rate of inflation. Contrary to the above, inflation targeting policy strategy is not universally shared as more central banks have not moved to adopt the strategy. In the United States, the debate over the adoption of inflation targeting policy option has resulted in many economists like Friedman (2004) and Mishkin (2004) saying that, inflation targeting places too much emphasis oninflation rates to the detriment of other monetary goals. Stigliz (2008) has also stated that, inflation targeting is being put to the test, and it will almost certainly fail. According to Epstein (2002) during the last decade, central banks in developing countries have also increasingly adopted monetary policy approaches that focus on lowering the rate of inflation with little regard to their impact on "real factors" such as poverty, employment, investment or economic growth. The reason for the adoption of inflation targeting in developing countries is that, over time, as inflation rises the cost of goods and services increase, and the value of the local currency falls because consumers are not able to purchase the same quantity of goods and services they previously could. Drawing from this, it is relevant to control inflation in order to reduce the unit of a currency that is used to purchase fewer goods as time progresses. The Bank of Ghana (BOG) formally adopted an inflation target in May 2007, becoming the second African country to do so after South Africa. The adoption of inflation targeting policy regime has therefore increased transparency and accountability of the BOG, which has now resorted to publishing inflation reports. It must however be noted that almost seven (7) years after the adoption of inflation targeting by the BOG little research has been conducted to review the effectiveness of this policy in stabilizing the general price level. However as the policy of inflation targeting spreads, many policy makers are asking, is inflation targeting the best policy option for Ghana? On several forums, the BOG has justified the inflation targeting policy regime, saying that it is the best policy option towards tackling Ghana’s two decades inflation challenges. This assertion is however not surprising since the BOG is the custodian of the policy. Based on the above arguments, conducting research into Ghana’s inflation targeting policy is the only justifiable option that can reveal scientifically, the effects of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates, and how significantly it has affected GDP growth. In addition, the authors also believe that many researches on inflation targeting policy regime have tended to be concentrated in the industrialized economies. Among these researches are Walsh (2009), Mishkin and Schmidt- Hebbel (2007), Sheridan (2005), Vega and Winkelried (2005) and Wu (2004). Though other studies have given evidence from developing countries perspectives, these have been concentrated in the Latin American regions. Little evidence has however been obtained from an African perspective. Moreover, many of this empirical evidence have focused on the effects of inflation targeting policy regime on inflation rates and inflation expectations. Hardly have most researches relate the effects of inflation targeting policy regime on GDP growth. The authors believethat, by researching into the effects of inflation targeting policy regime on inflation rates and GDP growth in a specific environment (Ghana) will bridge the gap in knowledge between evidence in the industrialized world, and other developing countries. This will therefore contribute to the existing knowledge in the field of inflation targeting. This study has been organized into six sections, this include the introduction, theoretical and empirical literature review, methodology, results, discussion, and finally recommendation and conclusion. 2.0 Literature Review Inflation is the condition of generalized excess demand, in which too much money chases too few goods. Similarly Lovoie (1996) defined “inflation as mainly an excess demand phenomenon, induced by an excess supply of money”(p.535). Both definitions above are causal. In the first case inflation is traced to demand in the goods market; in the second inflation is explained as the result of a change in the money supply. In recent discussions Friedman (1970) has popularized the monetarist causal definition as follows;“Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon… and can be produced only by a more rapid increase in the quantity of money than in output” (p.24). It can be deduced from the definitions above that inflation occurs in an economy when too much money is chasing too few goods and services over a period of time.
  • 3. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.21, 2014 56 2.1Theories of Inflation 2.1.1 Monetarist View According to Johnson (1982, p.239) the monetarist view of inflation is associated with and ultimately causally dependent on a rate of increase of money supply significantly in excess of the rate of growth of real output; the difference between the two rates being the rate of inflation. The theory, it should be noted, does not assert that inflation is attributable to monetary ignorance or mismanagement; monetary expansion and the consequential is a method of taxing the holder of money to which may well be driven by political circumstances, in full knowledge of what they are doing. The theory rests on the proposition that there is a stable relation between real income and the amount of real purchasing power the public wants to hold in monetary form; that this money-to- income relation is inversely related to the expected rate of inflation, the erosion of the purchasing power of money through inflation constituting an important element of the cost of holding money; and that in the long run people will come to expect the rate of inflation induced by the authorities through their policy respect to monetary expansion. The assumption that the public form expectations about inflation, adjust them in the light of experience and acts on these expectations in its behavior, is a crucial difference between the quantity approach to inflation and the currently dominant Keynesian approach. 2.1.2Keynes’ view of the functions of a central bank According to Keynes’s General Theory (1936, p.159) money is neither in the short run nor the long run, neutral. Keynes general theory, therefore, suggested that any monetary policy framework that dictated the quantity of money or the rate of interest in a system will impact directly on real economic outcome. Consistent with the above therefore, Keynes suggested that central banks have two primary functions. The first function is the provision of liquidity in the system, and the second function is the determination of inflation rate. With the above suggestions in mind, Keynes (1930) stated that “bank credit is the pavement along which production travels, and the bankers if they knew their duty, would provide the transport facilities to just the extent that is required in order that the production powers of the community can be employed at their full capacity” (p. 220). The above view implies that central banks are expected to extend credit into the economic system as cheaply as possible so long as the economy has significant idle resources. The second function of the central bank suggested by Keynes (1930) is that, the central bank must ensure financial stability and orderliness in the nation’s financial markets thereby ensuring that money and output are in equilibrium both in the short and long runs. 2.1.3 Elements of Inflation Targeting “Inflation targeting is a recent monetary policy strategy that encompasses five mainelements; a public announcement of medium-term numerical targets for inflation,an institutional commitment to price stability as the primary goal of monetary policy, to which other goals are subordinated, an information inclusive strategy in which many variables, and not just monetary aggregates or the exchange rate, are used for deciding the setting of policy instruments, increased transparency of the monetary policy strategy through communication with the public and markets about the plans, objectives, and decisions of the monetary authorities, and increased accountability of the central bank for attaining its inflation objectives”. (Mishkin 2001, pp.117-27) The advantages associated with inflation targeting is that, the concept is considered to be transparent and the cooperation among stakeholder eliminates uncertainties concerning future inflation rates. Another advantage associated with inflation targeting is that the system is flexible and the central bank can act well before any incidence of inflation happens. Lastly the policy framework increases accountability on the part of the central bank since all stakeholders are aware of the central bank’s goals. Among the inflation targeting participants, inflation rate of zero and two percent is considered appropriate. 2.2 Empirical Literature Review In various studies, Vega and Winkelried (2005), Batini and Laxton (2007) and Schmidt-Hebbel (2007) all revealed that there were significant and positive effects of inflation targeting among inflation targeting samples that included developing countries. For example in their study, Vega and Winkelried (2005), sampled 109 inflation targeting countries of which 23 are developing countries, using the propensity scoring methodology they revealed lower inflation rates when inflation targeting policies were implemented. This is however consistent with earlier conclusions of Corbo et al. (2000), Neumann and von Hagen (2002), and Petursson (2004). In a recent study, Goncalvas and Salles (2008), revealed that inflation lowered from 17% to 6.55% among inflation targeting developing countries between the pre and post inflation era. Consistent with the above Ball and Sheridan (2005) concluded that there were statistically and economically significant reductions in inflation among sampled inflation targeting countries surveyed. 3.0 Methodology This study uses the quantitative research method and the nature of the research design is causal. Secondary data
  • 4. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.21, 2014 57 was collected from the Bank of Ghana (BOG) on monthly inflation rates from 2000 to 2007(April), representing the pre-inflation targeting policy era; and 2007 (May) to 2013 representing the post-inflation targeting policy era. The choice of the particular months is as result of the Bank of Ghana announcing officially in May 2007 that it was now practicing inflation targeting. Annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was also collecting for the pre and post inflation targeting policy era. 3.1 Population and Sampling The study population was all monthly inflation rates and annual GDP at purchase value from 2000 to 2013.The total sample size of the study is eight years (2003-2010). Since inflation targeting policy started in 2007, a seven year sample (2000 -2006) was taken for the pre-inflation era, and corresponding seven years (2007-2013) was also sample for the post inflation. 3.2 Data Analysis The data obtained was analyzed using tests of mean differences and regression. The first analytical technique of t-test was employed to ascertain the differences in mean inflation between the pre and post-inflation targeting period. Regression was used to ascertain the effect of pre-inflation on GDP as well as the effect of post-inflation on GDP. A dummy variable was used to capture the effect of inflation targeting on economic growth. Thus, the model specified to capture the effect of inflation targeting on economic growth for this study is of the form: 1 2 (1)t tY Inf ITα β β ε= + + + Where Y represents economic growth, inf represents annual inflation rate. IT represents the dummy variable for the inflation targeting. It takes a value of 0 from 200-2006 and a value of one from 2007 to 2013. All the results are assessed at the 5% level of significance. 4.0 Presentation of Results This section presents the results from the t-tests and the regressions from the data collected. To achieve the research objective of whether there is significant difference between the inflation rate for the pre and post inflation targeting policy periods, table 5.1 revealed there is significant difference between the mean inflation rates for the two periods at the 5% level of significance. The inflation rate for the post inflation targeting period is significantly less than the pre-inflation targeting period. Table 5.1Paired Samples Test of Pre and Post Inflation Targeting Mean Std Dev Std Error T-value(p-value) Pre IT –Post IT 2.05 0.2989 0.08291 24.77(0.000) This is supported by inflation figures over the period which had consistent decline in inflation to the point of the consistently witnessing single digit inflation over a period of over fourteen (14) months. It must be noted that single-digit inflation was never achieved during the period of the post inflation targeting. Table 5.2:Effect of Inflation Targeting on GDP Dependent Variable: GDP_GROWTH Method: Least Squares Sample: 2000 2013 Included observations: 14 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. INFLATION -0.110813 0.087699 -1.263565 0.2325 IT 2.115329 1.528880 1.383581 0.1939 C 7.437998 2.104813 3.533805 0.0047 R-squared 0.405453 Mean dependent var 6.615010 Adjusted R-squared 0.297353 S.D. dependent var 2.887917 S.E. of regression 2.420768 Akaike info criterion 4.793456 Sum squared resid 64.46128 Schwarz criterion 4.930397 Log likelihood -30.55419 Hannan-Quinn criter. 4.780779 F-statistic 4.750740 Durbin-Watson stat 2.344252 Prob(F-statistic) 0.027283 To determine the inflation rate after the inflation targeting policy and its effects on GDP from 2000 to 2013, a test of hypothesis was conducted using the model specified in the methodology. Even though the results
  • 5. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.21, 2014 58 indicated that a reduction in inflation will lead to an increase in economic growth, inflation did not contribute significantly to the GDP. In addition, the dummy variable introduced to capture the effect of inflation targeting on economic growth, did not statitistically affect economic. 5.0 Discussion of Results The specific objective of this study is to evaluate the effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and its effect on GDP growth. From the results above, it can be said that inflation targeting policy has positive effect on inflation rates in Ghana. Since during the inflation targeting policy regime, inflation reduced substantially. Though inflation did not reduce to the ranges between zero and two percent as prescribe by proponents of inflation targeting regime, in the Ghanaian situation the reduction was statistically significant. The above scenario is however consistent with the very objective of inflation targeting policy which suggests that, inflation targeting puts price stability as the primary objective of the central bank, and the inflation target provides what is known as the nominal anchor for monetary policy framework.Because the policy framework clearly specifies the inflation objectives and a clear commitment to achieving them, it helps to anchor the public’s inflation expectations,as well as the expectations of future inflation to influence prices and wages thereby improving the general economy. The above situation leads many Central Banks to believe that the best contribution that monetary policy can make to growth is to provide a low and stable inflation environment that is conducive to sustainable long-term growth. The Ghanaian results is also consistent which research conducted by Walsh (2009) which revealed that inflation was lower among inflation targeting countries than for their counterparts in the non-inflation targeting countries. Similarly the study compared GDP growth in pre and post inflation targeting policy periods. In the Ghanaian situation the reduction in inflation rates associated with inflation targeting did not have a significant effect on GDP growth for both periods. This therefore suggests that a reduction in inflation does not necessarily translate into economic growth. 6.0 Conclusion and Policy Implication The study investigated the effect of inflation targeting on inflation rates and gross domestic product in Ghana using seven (7) years pre-inflation period (2000-2006) and seven (7) years post inflation period (2007-2013) data. Using a quantitative method the study investigated the causal effects of inflation targeting policy on gross domestic product. The study assessed the effect of inflation targeting policy on inflation rates and gross domestic product. The study found that inflation targeting policy has an effect on inflation rates since the reduction in inflation rate during the post inflation period is statistically significant. In the case of inflation targeting and gross domestic product, inflation targeting does not have substantial effect on gross domestic product, since the result is not statistically significant. Policy makers are encouraged to critically consider the issue of inflation targeting in Ghana. Though inflation targeting is able to stabilize prices to some extent, it does not fully translate into economic growth. Policy makers are encouraged to explore other policy option including the current inflation targeting policy option currently pursed. References Addison, E.K. (2001). Monetary Management in Ghana, a Paper presented at the Conference on Monetary policy Frameworks in Africa, September, 2001. Allsopp, C. and Vines, D. (2000). The Assessment: Macroeconomic Policy. Oxford Review of Economic Policy 16 (4): 1-32 Amoah, B., and Mumuni, Z., (2008) Choice of Monetary Regime in Ghana, A working paper series for the Monetary Policy Committee. July Aryeetey, E., and Harrigan, J., (2000) “Macroeconomics and Sectoral developments since 1970”. Economics Reforms in Ghana. Africa World Press, pp 5-31. Ball, L., and N. Sheridan (2005). Does Inflation Targeting Matter, in B.S. Bernanke and M. Woodford (eds), The Inflation-Targeting Debate. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 249-76 Batini, N., and D. Laxton (2007). Under What Conditions can Inflation Targeting be Adopted?, in F.s. Mishkin and K. Schmidt-Hebbel (eds), Monetary Policy Under Inflation Targeting. Santiago: Banco Central de Chile, 467-506 Blanchard, Oliver J. (1999). What do we know about Macroeconomics that Fisher and Wicksell did not? Http://econ-www.mit.edu/faculty /blanchar/papers.htm. Blinder, A., (1994). The Region Review of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Interview with Alan Blinder. December. http://www.minneapolisfed.org/pubs/region/94-12/int9412.cfm Carare, A. and Stone, M.R., (2003). “Inflation Targeting Regimes”. IMF Working Paper, WP/03/9,
  • 6. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.21, 2014 59 January. Corbo, C., C. Landarretche and K. Schmidt-Hebbel (2002). Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference?, in N.Loayza and R.Soto (eds), Inflation Targeting: Design, Performance, Challenges. Santiago: Central Bank of Chile, 221-69 Debelle G., Masson, P., Savastano, M., and Sharma S. (1998), Inflation Targeting as a Framework for Monetary Policy. International Monetary Fund Economic Issues. No. 15, Washington DC Duerker, M.J. and A.M. Fischer (2006). Do Inflation Targeters Outperform Non-Targerters, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 88(5), 431-50 Epstein, Gerald (2000). Myth, Mendacity and Mischief in the Theory and Practice of Central Banking. Ewusi, K., (1997). The Determinants of Price Fluctuations in Ghana, ISSER Discussion Paper, University of Ghana, Legon. Friedman, B.M. (2004). Why the Federal Reserve Should not Adopt Inflation Targeting, International Finance, 7 (1), 129-36 Greenspan, A., (1996). Opening Remarks on the Federal Reserves Bank of Kansas City Symposium. “Achieving Price Stability” The Federal Reverses of Kansas City Symposium Proceedings August, P. 1 Goncalvas, C.E.S. and J.M. Salles (2008). Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies: What do the Data Say?, Journal of Development Economics, 85(1), 312-18 Gurkaynak, R.S., A.T Levin, and E.T. Swanson (2006). Does Inflation Targeting Anchor Long Run Inflation Expectations? Evidence from Long Term Bond Yields in the U.S., U.K., and Sweden, Working paper series, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. Gurkaynak, R.S., A.T Levin, A.N. Marder, and E.T. Swanson (2007). Inflation Targeting and the Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in the Western Hemisphere, in f.S. Mishkin and K. Schmidt-Hebbel (eds), Monetary Policy Uner Inflation Targeting. Santiago: Banco Central de Chile Heintz, J., and Ndikumana, L., (2010) Is There a Case for Formal Inflation Targeting in Sub-Saharan Africa? Political Economy Research Institute. Working Paper Series No. 218. Johnson, H. G., (1982) On Economics and Society, The University of Chicago Press 2nd ed. London P. 239 Johnson, D.R. (2002). The Effect of Inflation Targeting on the Behaviour of Expected Inflation: Evidence from an 11 Country Panel, Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(8), 1521-38 Keynes, J.M. (1930). A Treatise on Money, Vol. 2. London: Macmillan Keynes, J.M. (1936). The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. London: Macmillan. Kwakye, J.K., Addison, E.K.Y., and Wampah, H.A.K. (1996). Inflation Management by Bank of Ghana: The Strategies, The Difficulties and the Way Foorward. A paper presented at the inflation management roundtable ad Akosombo, Research Dept., Bank of Ghana. Kydland, F., Prescott, E., (1977) Rules Rather than Discretion: The Inconsistency of Optional Plans. Journal of Political Economy Vol. 85, 473-479 Lavoie, M. (1996). Monetary Policy in an Economy with Endogenous Credit Money. In E. Nell and G. Deleplace (eds.), Money in Motion. London: Macmillan, pp. 532-545. Lawsons, R.M. (1996). Inflation in the Consumer Market in Ghana. Economic Bulletin of Ghana, Vol X, No. I. Lin, S. and Ye, H. (2007). Does Inflation Targeting Make a Difference? Evaluating the Treatment Effect of Inflation Targeting in Seven Industrial Countries, Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(8), 2521-33 Mishkin, F.S. (2004). Why the Ferderal Reserve Should Adopt Inflation Targeting, International Finance, 7 (1), 117-27 Mishkin, F.S. and Schmidt-Hebbel, K. (2007). Does Inflation Targeting make a Difference? In Mishkin, F.S. and Schmidt-Hebbel, K (eds.), Monetary Policy under Inflation Targeting. Santiago: Banco Central De Chile, 291-372 Neumann, M.J.M., and Von Hagen J. (2002). Does Inflation Targeting Matter? Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 84(4), 127-48 Ocran, M.K., (2007) A modeling of Ghana’s Inflation Experience: 1960-2003. The African Research Consortium. August. Petursson, T. (2004). The Effects of Inflation Targeting on Macroeconomic Performance, Central Bank of Iceland, Working paper No. 23, June Rochon L.P., and Rossi, S. (2006). Inflation Targeting, Economic Performance and Income Distribution: A Monetary Macroeconomics Analysis. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, 28 (4), 615-638 Stigliz, J.E. (2008). The Failure of Inflation Targeting, Project Syndicate. Available at http://www.project- syndicate.org/print_commentary/stiglitz99/English (accessed 30th May, 2008) Svensson, Lars E.O. (1999). How Should Monetary Policy be conducted in an Era of Price Stability? In New Challenges for Monetary Policy: A symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Jackson Hole. Wy. (August 26-28): 195-259. Vega, M. and Winkelried, D. (2005). Inflation Targeting and Inflation Behaviour: A Successful Story,
  • 7. European Journal of Business and Management www.iiste.org ISSN 2222-1905 (Paper) ISSN 2222-2839 (Online) Vol.6, No.21, 2014 60 International Journal of Central Banking, 1 (3), 153-75 Volcker, P., (1983) Can we Survive Prosperity? December 28. http://fraser.stlouisfed.org/historicaldocs/830/download/28424/volcker_19831228.pdf Walsh, Carl E. (2001b). Teaching Inflation Targeting: An analysis for Intermediate Macro, http://econ.ucsc.edu/- walshc. Walsh, Carl E. (2009). Inflation Targeting: What Have We Learned? International Finance, 195-233 Wu, T. (2004). Does Inflation Targeting Reduce Inflation? An? Analyses for the OECD Industrial Countries, Banco Central do Brazil Working Paper No. 83
  • 8. The IISTE is a pioneer in the Open-Access hosting service and academic event management. The aim of the firm is Accelerating Global Knowledge Sharing. More information about the firm can be found on the homepage: http://www.iiste.org CALL FOR JOURNAL PAPERS There are more than 30 peer-reviewed academic journals hosted under the hosting platform. Prospective authors of journals can find the submission instruction on the following page: http://www.iiste.org/journals/ All the journals articles are available online to the readers all over the world without financial, legal, or technical barriers other than those inseparable from gaining access to the internet itself. Paper version of the journals is also available upon request of readers and authors. MORE RESOURCES Book publication information: http://www.iiste.org/book/ IISTE Knowledge Sharing Partners EBSCO, Index Copernicus, Ulrich's Periodicals Directory, JournalTOCS, PKP Open Archives Harvester, Bielefeld Academic Search Engine, Elektronische Zeitschriftenbibliothek EZB, Open J-Gate, OCLC WorldCat, Universe Digtial Library , NewJour, Google Scholar
  • 9. Business, Economics, Finance and Management Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL European Journal of Business and Management EJBM@iiste.org Research Journal of Finance and Accounting RJFA@iiste.org Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development JESD@iiste.org Information and Knowledge Management IKM@iiste.org Journal of Developing Country Studies DCS@iiste.org Industrial Engineering Letters IEL@iiste.org Physical Sciences, Mathematics and Chemistry Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL Journal of Natural Sciences Research JNSR@iiste.org Journal of Chemistry and Materials Research CMR@iiste.org Journal of Mathematical Theory and Modeling MTM@iiste.org Advances in Physics Theories and Applications APTA@iiste.org Chemical and Process Engineering Research CPER@iiste.org Engineering, Technology and Systems Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL Computer Engineering and Intelligent Systems CEIS@iiste.org Innovative Systems Design and Engineering ISDE@iiste.org Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy JETP@iiste.org Information and Knowledge Management IKM@iiste.org Journal of Control Theory and Informatics CTI@iiste.org Journal of Information Engineering and Applications JIEA@iiste.org Industrial Engineering Letters IEL@iiste.org Journal of Network and Complex Systems NCS@iiste.org Environment, Civil, Materials Sciences Journals PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL Journal of Environment and Earth Science JEES@iiste.org Journal of Civil and Environmental Research CER@iiste.org Journal of Natural Sciences Research JNSR@iiste.org Life Science, Food and Medical Sciences PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL Advances in Life Science and Technology ALST@iiste.org Journal of Natural Sciences Research JNSR@iiste.org Journal of Biology, Agriculture and Healthcare JBAH@iiste.org Journal of Food Science and Quality Management FSQM@iiste.org Journal of Chemistry and Materials Research CMR@iiste.org Education, and other Social Sciences PAPER SUBMISSION EMAIL Journal of Education and Practice JEP@iiste.org Journal of Law, Policy and Globalization JLPG@iiste.org Journal of New Media and Mass Communication NMMC@iiste.org Journal of Energy Technologies and Policy JETP@iiste.org Historical Research Letter HRL@iiste.org Public Policy and Administration Research PPAR@iiste.org International Affairs and Global Strategy IAGS@iiste.org Research on Humanities and Social Sciences RHSS@iiste.org Journal of Developing Country Studies DCS@iiste.org Journal of Arts and Design Studies ADS@iiste.org