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MedChemica | Jan 2017
Automated Extraction of Actionable
Knowledge from Large Scale in-vitro
pharmacology data:
the importance of stereochemistry in
life science research
Dr Al Dossetter
MedChemica Limited
Sheffield Stereochemistry – January 2017
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Overview
•  Stereochemistry in real Drugs
– Not just chirality but stereochemistry
matters
•  What is important in drug designing?
•  Effects in chirality in Key in-vitro
•  Why do drugs fail in the clinic and the
staggering rise in R&D cost?
– Better rules for Medicinal Chemistry
•  How do we reduce the costs?
– Mining Actionable knowledge
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Chiral Drug Molecules
Atazanavir	
  
Atorvasta+n	
   Esomeprazole	
   Escitalopram	
  
Sertraline	
   Topiramate	
   Eze+mibe	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Confirm	
  tumour	
  supression	
  with	
  in-­‐Vivo	
  Xenograph	
  
model	
  in	
  Nude	
  mouse	
  
Inspira:on	
  –	
  A	
  Modern	
  Drug	
  
Black	
  Box	
  Screening	
  
Natural	
  Products	
  
Halichondrin	
  B	
  
Marine	
  natural	
  Product	
  
Phenotypic	
  screening	
  –	
  	
  
	
  arrested	
  cancer	
  cell	
  growth	
   Eribulin	
  	
  (Halaven)	
  Approved	
  Nov	
  2010	
  
Metasta:c	
  Breast	
  Cancer	
  
Inhibitor	
  of	
  microtubule	
  dynamics	
  
Inspiring	
  Med	
  Chem	
  
Inspiring	
  synthesis	
  
Cancer	
  Res.	
  2001,	
  61(3),	
  1013	
  
Addressing	
  EFFICACY	
  
DU-­‐145	
  tumour	
  cell	
  line	
  –	
  growth	
  inhibited	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
rod
sphere
disc
Commercial fragments
access this space
N
N
H
F
O
H H
More interesting
Fragment?
Fragment needs
to be useful!
Shape Diversity Analysis of Commercial Fragment Libraries
Represents 14000+ fragments, from 4 vendors
includes random selection of compounds from
Chemonaut db
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Nutlin	
  example	
  –	
  MDM2	
  binder	
  that	
  disrupts	
  interac:on	
  with	
  P53	
  
The	
  inspira:onal	
  drug	
  discovery	
  program	
  in	
  ‘Protein	
  Protein	
  Interac:on’	
  world	
  
Directed	
  
Screening	
  
Use	
  knowledge	
  to	
  	
  
Select	
  compounds	
  
Nutlin-­‐3	
   Ro-­‐7112	
  –	
  18nM	
  	
  	
  
Structure	
  based	
  design	
  played	
  a	
  
key	
  part	
  in	
  compound	
  
op:misa:on	
  
Vu	
  et	
  al,	
  ACS	
  Med	
  Chem	
  Le_,	
  2013.	
  
	
  
This	
  and	
  other	
  compounds	
  have	
  
‘sparked	
  an	
  understanding’	
  that	
  
(Fragment)	
  libraries	
  for	
  PPIs	
  
need	
  to	
  be	
  different	
  
Morelli,	
  Roche	
  et	
  al	
  MedChemComm,	
  
2013,	
  DOI:	
  10.1039/c3md00018d	
  	
  
	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Cathepsin	
  K	
  –	
  Di-­‐methoxy	
  surprise	
  –	
  Man	
  and	
  Machine	
  
pIC50 7.95
LogD 0.67
HLM <2.0
Solubility 280μM
DTM ~1.0 mg/kg UID
Potent
Too polar / Renal Cl
PDB	
  -­‐	
  97%	
  of	
  structures	
  	
  
Crawford,	
  J.J.;	
  Dosse_er,	
  A.G	
  J	
  Med	
  Chem.	
  2012,	
  55,	
  8827.	
  
Dosse_er,	
  A.	
  G.	
  Bioorg.	
  Med.	
  Chem.	
  2010,	
  4405	
  
Lewis	
  et	
  al,	
  J	
  Comput	
  Aided	
  Mol	
  Des,	
  2009,	
  23,	
  97–103	
  	
  
	
  
pIC50 8.2
LogD 2.8
HLM <1.0
Solubility >1400μM
DTM 0.01 mg/kg UID
High F% / stability
maximised
Increase in LogP,
Properties improved
Solubility	
  
ΔpIC50 - 0.1
ΔLogD +1.4
ΔpSol +1.2
ΔHLM + 0.25
No renal Cl
low F%
ΔpIC50 +0.1
ΔLogD - 0.7
ΔpSol ~0.0
ΔHLM - 0.25
High F%
rat/Dog
Electrosta:c	
  poten:al	
  minima	
  between	
  oxygens	
  
Approx	
  like	
  N	
  from	
  5-­‐het,	
  new	
  compound	
  can	
  not	
  
form	
  a	
  quinoline	
  
Incr.	
  selec:vity	
  
ΔpIC50 +0.1
ΔLogD - 0.7
ΔpSol ~0.0
ΔHLM - 0.25
High F%
rat/Dog
MedChemica | Jan 2017
liver
kidneys
bladder
Dissolve (SOLUBILITY)
Cross
Membranes
(PERMEABILITY)
Metabolism
(Human Liver Microsomal,
Cytochrome P450 oxidation
and Inhibition)
Avoid
Excretion
Oral Dosing of Drugs
BBB (Blood Brain Barrier)
Brain difficult
Target Tissue
Survive pH range 1.5-8
Absorption
Distribution
Metabolism
Excretion
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Effect of Chriality on Properties Effecting Drug Design - 1
S	
  -­‐	
  omeprazole	
   R	
  -­‐	
  omeprazole	
  
Find all the known chirally pure enantiomers PAIRS with measured
biological ADMET properties.
Can we see a biological difference? How does is compare to physical
properties like aqueous solubility?
MedChemica | Jan 2017
If physical properties
drove ADMET then
enantiomeric pairs
should have
equivalent ADMET
properties:
Enantiomeric pairs reveal that key medicinal chemistry parameters
vary more than simple physical property based models can explain
Andrew G. Leach et al, Med. Chem. Commun., 2012,3, 528-540.
1x	
  difference	
  between	
  
matched	
  ena:omeric	
  pairs	
  
=	
  whole	
  molecule	
  
proper:es	
  will	
  be	
  enough.	
  
Some:mes	
  true	
  but	
  not	
  useful	
  enough……	
  
Effect of Chriality on Properties Effecting Drug Design - 2
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Company	

 Ticker	

 Number of drugs
approved	

R&D Spending
Per Drug ($Mil)	

Total R&D
Spending
1997-2011 ($Mil)	

AstraZeneca	

 AZN	

 5	

 11,790.93	

 58,955	

GlaxoSmithKline	

 GSK	

 10	

 8,170.81	

 81,708	

Sanofi	

 SNY	

 8	

 7,909.26	

 63,274	

Pfizer Inc.	

 PFE	

 14	

 7,727.03	

 108,178	

Roche Holding AG	

 RHHBY	

 11	

 7,803.77	

 85,841	

Johnson & Johnson	

 JNJ	

 15	

 5,885.65	

 88,285	

Eli Lilly & Co.	

 LLY	

 11	

 4,577.04	

 50,347	

Abbott Laboratories	

 ABT	

 8	

 4,496.21	

 35,970	

Merck & Co Inc	

 MRK	

 16	

 4,209.99	

 67,360	

Bristol-Myers
Squibb Co.	

BMY	

 11	

 4,152.26	

 45,675	

Novartis AG	

 NVS	

 21	

 3,983.13	

 83,646	

Amgen Inc.	

 AMGN	

 9	

 3,692.14	

 33,229	

Sources: InnoThink Center For Research In Biomedical Innovation;
Thomson Reuters Fundamentals via FactSet Research Systems
The Truly Staggering Cost Of Inventing New Drugs
Matthew Herper - Forbes	

Drug failures later in development are mainly due to EFFICACY and SAFETY
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Actual spending / Chemistry everywhere
Paul, S. M. et al How to improve R&D productivity: the pharmaceutical
industry’s grand challenge, Nat. Rev. Drug Discovery 2010, 9, 203
Snap-Shot of a medium sized
companies R&D spend in one
year - $1.7 billion
For a period large pharma set targets at each stage of the process
– this was an “attrition model”
– this was unsuccessful and very wasteful
Better chemistry
Reduce the
number of
projects
Chemistry influences the
success and speed
MedChemica | Jan 2017
What Causes Attrition in Development?
PK
7%
Lack	
  of	
  
efficacy	
  in	
  
man
46%
Adverse	
  
effects	
  in	
  man
17%
Animal	
  toxicity
16%
Commercial	
  
reasons
7%
Miscellaneous
7%
• Many	
  compounds	
  fail	
  in	
  development	
  through	
  inadequate	
  
pharmacokineCcs	
  /	
  bioavailability	
  and	
  unacceptable	
  toxicological	
  
profiles	
  in	
  addi:on	
  to	
  lack	
  of	
  efficacy	
  in	
  man	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Big Data - Knowledge Based Design
The Life Science industry has woken
up to Big Data
•  Human Genome
•  Biological systems
•  Kinome
•  Metabolomics
•  Proteomics
•  3D structural information (CDC /
Protein Data Bank)
•  Literature and Patents (GVK Bio,
ChEMBL, Pubmed, PubChem)
•  Reaction informatics – what works,
what doesn’t
•  Document management
•  Regulatory submissions
Huge Opportunity in this area
MedChemica | Jan 2017
What	
  about	
  research	
  data?	
  
SAFE	
  DRUGS	
  
‘Potency’	
  
Do	
  not	
  sacrifice	
  
The	
  be_er	
  it	
  is	
  	
  
the	
  lower	
  the	
  dose	
  
Improved	
  tes+ng	
  
	
  in-­‐vivo	
  
with	
  fewer	
  animals	
  
Clinical	
  linkage	
  
to	
  protein	
  target	
  
Can	
  test	
  In-­‐Vivo	
  
An:	
  SAR	
  
e.g.	
  hERG,	
  Nav1.5,	
  5-­‐HT2a…	
  
	
  
Analysis	
  of	
  In-­‐Vivo	
  data	
  
Pfizer	
  –	
  rat	
  data	
  
<0.2mg/Kg	
  
Dose	
  
Metabolism	
  &	
  
Pharmacokine+cs	
  
Be_er	
  design	
  so	
  	
  
dose	
  is	
  lower	
  	
  
Grand Rule
Database
Hughes	
  et	
  al,	
  Bioorg	
  Med	
  Chem	
  
LeK.	
  2008,	
  18(17),	
  4872	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Key	
  findings:	
  
•  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting
•  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med
chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs
How?
•  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between
large Pharma is possible
•  The collaboration generated great synergy
•  Many findings are highly significant
•  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for
idea generation 
•  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and
generated meaningful results
•  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract
pharmacophores 	
  	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Fewer	
  compounds	
  designed	
  from	
  be_er	
  rules	
  
from	
  data	
  analysis	
  
•  Improved compounds quicker
•  Applicable ideas
•  Confident design decisions
•  Help when stuck
•  Clearly describable plans
•  Maximizing value from ADMET testing
•  Pursuing dead-end series
•  Pursuing dead-end projects
•  Running out of time or $
Essentials
Gains
Pains
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Grand Rule database
Better medicinal chemistry by sharing knowledge not data & structures
MMP
finder
MCPairs=	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Barriers	
  Broken	
  to	
  Sharing	
  Knowledge	
  
Data
Integrity and
curation
Knowledge
extraction
algorithms
Consortium
building to
share
knowledge Into the minds of
chemists
✓	
  
✓	
  
✓	
  
✓	
  
Grand Rule
Database
MCPairs
MedChemica | Jan 2017
MCPairs	
  Plarorm	
  
•  Extract	
  rules	
  using	
  Advanced	
  Matched	
  Molecular	
  Pair	
  Analysis	
  
•  Knowledge	
  is	
  captured	
  as	
  transforma:ons	
  
–  divorced	
  from	
  structures	
  =>	
  sharable	
  
Measured
Data
rule
finder Exploitable
Knowledge
MC Expert
Enumerator
System
Problem molecule
Solution molecules
Pharmacophores
& toxophores
SMARTS
matching
Alerts	
  
Virtual	
  screening	
  
Library	
  design	
  
Protect	
  the	
  IP	
  jewels	
  
MCPairs
MedChemica | Jan 2017
•  Matched Molecular Pairs – Molecules
that differ only by a particular, well-
defined structural transformation
•  Transformation with environment capture –
MMPs can be recorded as transformations
from A B
•  Environment is essential to understand
chemistry
Statistical analysis
•  Learn what effect the transformation has had on ADMET properties in
the past
Griffen,	
  E.	
  et	
  al.	
  Matched	
  Molecular	
  Pairs	
  as	
  a	
  Medicinal	
  Chemistry	
  Tool.	
  Journal	
  of	
  Medicinal	
  Chemistry.	
  2011,	
  54(22),	
  pp.7739-­‐7750.	
  	
  
	
  
Advanced	
  MMPA	
  
Δ Data
A-B1
2
2
3
3
3
4
4
4
12
23
3
34
4
4
A 	
   	
   	
   	
  B 	
  	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Magic	
  Methyl	
  –	
  Big	
  Potency	
  and	
  Property	
  improvements	
  
Example	
  from	
  Leung,	
  C.S.;	
  Leung,	
  S.S.F.;	
  Tirado-­‐Rives,	
  J.;	
  Jorgensen,	
  W.L.	
  J.	
  Med.	
  Chem.	
  2012,	
  55,	
  4489	
  
Changing H to CH3 can bring big improvement even through this increases lipophilicity
Methyl group changes the shape of the molecule (often bringing ‘twists’ to rings)
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Environment	
  really	
  ma_ers	
  
HMe:	
  	
  
•  Median	
  Δlog(Solubility)	
  
•  225	
  different	
  environments	
  
	
  
2.5log	
  
1.5log	
  
HMe:	
  
•  Median Δlog(Clint)
Human microsomal
clearance
•  278 different
environments
We	
  can	
  see	
  in	
  the	
  context	
  the	
  
shape	
  changes	
  that	
  bring	
  about	
  
improved	
  proper:es	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
More	
  environment	
  =	
  right	
  detail	
  
HMe Solubility:
•  225 different environments
MedChemica | Jan 2017
HF	
  What	
  effect	
  on	
  Clearance?	
  
•  Median	
  Δlog(Clint)	
  Human	
  microsomal	
  clearance	
  
•  37	
  	
  different	
  environments	
  
2	
  fold	
  improvement	
   2	
  fold	
  worse	
  
Increase	
  
clearance	
  
decrease	
  
clearance	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Rule	
  Example	
  1	
  
Endpoint 	
   	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  mean±SD 	
   	
   	
  count	
  
LogD7.4	
   	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  
Solubility	
  –log(μM) 	
   	
  	
  
Cyp3A4	
  pIC50 	
   	
  	
  
- 0.880±0.542 n = 19
- 0.003±0.861 n = 14
- 0.111±0.431 n = 14
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Rule Example 2
Endpoint mean±SD count
LogD7.4	
   	
  	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  	
  
Human	
  Liver	
  Microsomal	
  Clint 	
   	
  	
  
	
   	
  	
  
0.1±0.65 n = 14
- 0.39±0.12 n = 14
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Rule Example 3
Endpoint mean±SD count
Human	
  Liver	
  Microsomal	
  Clint	
  
Hepatocyte	
  Cells	
  Clint 	
   	
   	
  	
  
	
   	
  	
  
- 0.35±0.25 n = 12
- 1.0 ±0.3 n = 9
MMPA can tell us occasions to make our molecules chiral and times not to….	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Pharma 1 100k rules
Pharma 2 92k rules
Pharma 3 37k rules
5.8k rules in common (pre-merge) ~ 2%
New Rules 88k
~26% of total
Merge	
  
Combining	
  data	
  yields	
  brand	
  new	
  rules	
  
Gains:	
  	
  300	
  -­‐	
  900%	
  
Merging knowledge – GRDv1
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Key	
  findings:	
  
•  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting
•  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med
chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs
How?
•  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between
large Pharma is possible
•  The collaboration generated great synergy
•  Many findings are highly significant
•  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for
idea generation 
•  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and
generated meaningful results
•  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract
pharmacophores 	
  	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Early successes
From GRDv1 May 2014
31
J.	
  Med.	
  Chem.,	
  2015,	
  58	
  (23),	
  pp	
  9309–9333	
  
DOI:	
  10.1021/acs.jmedchem.5b01312	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
- Fix hERG problem whilst maintaining potency
Waring et al, Med. Chem. Commun., (2011), 2, 775
Glucokinase Activators
MMPA
∆pEC50: -0.1 ∆logD: -0.6 ∆hERG pIC50 :-0.5
n=33 n=32 n=22
MMPA
∆pEC50: +0.3 ∆logD: +0.3 ∆hERG pIC50 :-0.3
n=20 n=23 n=19
MMPA
∆pEC50: -0.1 ∆logD: -0.6 ∆hERG pIC50 :-0.5
n=27 n=27 n=7
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Knowledge Based Design – MPO
–  Novel more efficient core required, improve hERG for CD
–  CNS penetration, good potency and deliver tool for in vivo testing
McCoull, Dossetter et al, Med. Chem. Commun., (2013), 4, 456
ΔpIC50 -0.4
ΔlogD -1.8
ΔhERG pIC50 +0.4
Ghrelin Inverse agonists
MMPA
Cores
pIC50 9.9
logD 5.0
hERG pIC5 5.0
LLE 4.9
very potent
very lipophilic
ΔpIC50 +0.9
ΔlogD +0.2
ΔhERG pIC50 -0.3
pIC50 8.2
logD 1.3
hERG pIC50 4.4
LLE 6.9
ΔpIC50 -2.2
ΔlogD -2.2
ΔhERG pIC50 -0.7
100
compounds
made
LLE = lipophilic ligand efficiency:
LLE=pIC50-logD
LLE
6.4
LLE
6.9
MedChemica | Jan 2017
A	
  Less	
  Simple	
  Example	
  
Increase logD and gain solubility
Property	
   Number	
  of	
  
Observa+ons	
  
Direc+on	
   Mean	
  Change	
   Probability	
  
logD	
   8	
   Increase	
   1.2	
   100%	
  
Log(Solubility)	
   14	
   Increase	
   1.4	
   92%	
  
What	
  is	
  the	
  effect	
  on	
  lipophilicity	
  and	
  
solubility?	
  
Roche	
  data	
  is	
  inconclusive!	
  (2	
  pairs	
  
for	
  logD,	
  1	
  pair	
  for	
  solubility)	
  
logD	
  =	
  2.65	
  
Kine:c	
  solubility	
  =	
  84	
  µg/ml	
  
IC50	
  SST5	
  =	
  0.8	
  µM	
  
logD	
  =	
  3.63	
  
Kine:c	
  solubility	
  =	
  >452	
  µg/ml	
  
IC50	
  SST5	
  =	
  0.19	
  µM	
  
Ques+on:	
  
Available	
  
Sta+s+cs:	
  
Roche	
  
Example:	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
The application helped lead optimization in
project
•  193	
  compounds	
  
•  Enumerated	
  
Objective: improve metabolic stability
MMP
Enumeration
Calculated Property
Docking
8 compounds
synthesized
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Solving	
  a	
  tBu	
  metabolism	
  issue	
  
Benchmark	
  
compound	
  
Predicted	
  to	
  offer	
  most	
  improvement	
  in	
  microsomal	
  stability	
  (in	
  at	
  least	
  1	
  species	
  /	
  assay)	
  
	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  R2	
  
	
  
R1	
  
tBu	
   Me	
   Et	
   iPr	
  
99	
  
392	
  
16	
  
64	
  
78	
  
410	
  
53	
  
550	
  
99	
  
288	
  
78	
  
515	
  
41	
  
35	
  
98	
  
327	
  
92	
  
372	
  
24	
  
247	
  
35	
  
128	
  
24	
  
62	
  
60	
  
395	
  
39	
  
445	
  
3	
  
21	
  
20	
  
27	
  
57	
  
89	
  
54	
  
89	
  
•  Data shown are Clint for HLM and MLM (top and bottom, respectively)
R1	
   R2	
  R1	
  tBu	
  
Roger Butlin
Rebecca Newton
Allan Jordan
MedChemica | Jan 2017
…so	
  what	
  are	
  you	
  
going	
  to	
  make	
  
next…?	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Comparison	
  of	
  Merck	
  in-­‐house	
  MMPA	
  with	
  SALTMinerTM	
  
Structure:
ADMET Issue: hERG
Lead A2A receptor antagonist
compound in Merck Parkinson's
project
138 suggestion molecules with
predicted improvement in hERG
binding
How many match the results of
Merck?
•  Also shows potent binding
to the hERG ion channel
•  Deng et al performed in-
house MMPA on hERG
binding compound data
and have published 18
resulting fluorobenzene
transformations, which they
have synthesized and
tested for hERG activity
Deng	
  et	
  al,	
  	
  
Bioorg.	
  &	
  Med	
  Chem	
  Let	
  (2015),	
  
doi:	
  h_p://dx.doi.org/10.1016/
j.bmcl.2015.05.036	
  	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
R	
  group:	
  
Measured	
  hERG	
  
pIC50	
  change	
  
-­‐1.187	
   -­‐1.149	
   -­‐1.038	
   -­‐1.215	
   -­‐1.157	
   -­‐0.149	
   -­‐1.487	
   -­‐1.133	
  
GRD	
  median	
  
historic	
  pIC50	
  
change	
  
0	
   -­‐0.171	
   -­‐0.1	
   -­‐0.283	
   -­‐0.219	
   -­‐0.318	
   -­‐0.159	
   -­‐0.103	
  
Results:
8 out of the 18 fluorobenzene transformations produced by Merck were also suggested
by MCExpert to decrease hERG binding:
Searching the GRD for transformations that increase hERG there were none that
matched the remaining 10 of 18 transformations in the paper.
MCExpert also suggested an additional 50 fluorobenzene replacements to decrease
hERG binding NOT mentioned in the publication.
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Fast building block access from CRO
collaboration
40
MCExpert
suggests
improved
building blocks
Specialist
synthesis CROs
access unique
chemistries
Rapid access to building
blocks that address
metabolism and solubility
issues
Mono & disubstituted
chiral piperidines
and pyrollidines
Chiral α methyl
aryl amines and
alcohols
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Collaborators	
  and	
  Users	
  -­‐	
  experience	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Key	
  findings:	
  
•  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting
•  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med
chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs
How?
•  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between
large Pharma is possible
•  The collaboration generated great synergy
•  Many findings are highly significant
•  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for
idea generation 
•  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and
generated meaningful results
•  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract
pharmacophores 	
  	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Pharmacophores	
  and	
  Toxophores	
  
by	
  extended	
  analysis	
  from	
  the	
  MMPA	
  
PharmacophoresBigData Stats
Matched
Pairs
Finding
Public and in-
house potency
data
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Mining	
  transform	
  sets	
  to	
  find	
  influen:al	
  fragments	
  	
  
Identify the ‘Z’ fragments associated with a
significant number of potency increasing changes –
irrespective of what they are replaced with
‘Z’ is ‘worse than anything you replace it with’
Fragment A Fragment B	
  
Change in binding
measurement
Public
Data
Find
Matched
Pairs
Find Potent
Fragments
+2.7	
  
+3.2	
  
+0.6	
  
+0.6	
  
Identify the ‘A’ fragments associated with a
significant number of potency decreasing changes
– irrespective of what they are replaced with
‘A’ is ‘better than anything you replace it with’
A	
  
+2.1	
  +2.2	
  
+1.4	
  
+0.4	
  
+1.8	
  
Z	
  
pKi/
pIC50
Compounds with
destructive fragment
Compounds with
constructive fragments
Generate	
  Pharmacophore	
  dyads	
  by	
  
permuta:ng	
  all	
  the	
  fragments	
  with	
  
the	
  shortest	
  path	
  between	
  them	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Toxophores - Detailed, specific & transparent
Dopamine D2 receptor human
Actual: 9.5
Predicted: 9.1
Mean with: 8.0
Mean without: 6.6
Odds Ratio: 340
Dopamine Transporter
Actual: 9.1
Predicted: 8.6
Mean with: 8.3
Mean without: 6.7
Odds Ratio: 407
GABA-A
Actual: 9.0
Predicted: 8.7
Mean with: 8.0
Mean without: 6.8
Odds Ratio: 1506
β1 adrenergic receptor
Actual: 7.8
Predicted: 7.7
Mean with: 6.5
Mean without: 5.7
Odds Ratio: 1501
Find Potent
Fragments
Matched
Pairs
Finding
Find
Pharmacophore
Dyads
Public and in-
house potency
data
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Prediction of unseen new molecules
The acid test…
•  Vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2 tyrosine kinase (KDR)
•  Inhibitors have oncology and ophthalmic indications
•  Large dataset in CHEMBL
•  10 fold cross validated PLS model
•  Selected model by minimised RMSEP
46
Compounds 4466
Matched Pairs 288100
Fragments 678
Pharmacophore dyads 787
RMSEP 0.8
R2 0.64
Y-scrambled R2 0.0
ROC 0.95
Geomean odds ratio 80
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4
6
8
10
5 7 9
pIC50_pred
pIC50
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Novartis Predictions From Our Model
Domain of Applicability….
Actual: 8.4[1]
Predicted: 7.5
47
Actual: 7.6[1]
Predicted: 7.5
1. J MedChem(2016), Bold et al.
2. MedChem Lett (2016), Mainolfi et al.
Actual: 7.7[2]
Predicted: 7.1
Actual: 9.0[2]
Predicted: Out of Domain
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Target
Number	
  of	
  
compounds	
  
Number	
  of	
  
compound	
  
pairs	
  
Number	
  of	
  
Fragments	
  
Number	
  of	
  
Pharmacophore	
  
dyads	
  a|er	
  
filtering	
  
R2	
   RMSEP	
   ROC	
  
odds_ra:o	
  
(geomean)	
  
Acetylcholine esterase - human 383	
   27755	
   44	
   10	
   0.43	
   1.57	
   0.80	
   4	
  
β 1 adrenergic receptor 505	
   145447	
   276	
   313	
   0.64	
   0.70	
   0.96	
   833	
  
Androgen receptor 1064	
   113163	
   186	
   46	
   0.47	
   0.77	
   0.86	
   140	
  
CB1 canabinnoid receptor 1104	
   88091	
   165	
   90	
   0.61	
   1.02	
   0.87	
   96	
  
CB2 canabinnoid receptor 1112	
   82130	
   194	
   158	
   0.19	
   0.85	
   0.64	
   5.7	
  
Dopamine D2 receptor - human 3873	
   230962	
   483	
   602	
   0.42	
   0.88	
   0.69	
   110	
  
Dopamine D2 receptor - rat 1807	
   118736	
   267	
   377	
   0.29	
   0.85	
   0.78	
   125	
  
Dopamine Transporter 1470	
   106969	
   282	
   336	
   0.58	
   0.73	
   0.88	
   141	
  
GABA A receptor 848	
   39494	
   106	
   167	
   0.70	
   0.76	
   0.97	
   560	
  
hERG ion channel 4189	
   242261	
   392	
   76	
   0.61	
   0.96	
   0.92	
   55	
  
5HT2a receptor 642	
   50870	
   197	
   267	
   0.61	
   0.59	
   0.83	
   600	
  
Monoamine oxidase 264	
   15439	
   44	
   11	
   0.12	
   1.25	
   0.48	
   181	
  
Muscarinic acetylcholine receptor
M1
628	
   48200	
   97	
   510	
   0.62	
   0.94	
   0.89	
   48	
  
µ opioid receptor 1128	
   37184	
   33	
   11	
   0.69	
   1.30	
   0.87	
   81	
  
Critical safety target analysis
•  Build models using 10-fold cross validated PLS
•  Assess using ROC / BEDROC, R2 vs 100 fold y-scrambled R2 and geomean odds ratio
48
Public
Data
Find
Matche
d Pairs
Pharmacophores
Find
Pharmacophore
dyads
Find Potent
Fragments
MedChemica | Jan 2017
MCBiophore GUI screenshot
Assay Image Mean_with Mean_without PLS_coeff Path SMARTS1 SMARTS2 n_examples odds_ratio
2
VEGFR 8.3 6.4 0.71 [c]c[c][c] Cc1ccc[c]c1[n] [c]/C(=N/O)/C 18 259.8
3
VEGFR 8.2 6.4 0.17 [c] [c]c1cc(cc[c]1)/C(=N/OC)/CCc1ccc[c]c1[n] 17 257.6
0
VEGFR 8.1 6.4 -0.01 [CH3] [cH]c([cH])/C(=N/OC)/C[c]/C(=N/OCC)/C 8 20.2
1
VEGFR 8.1 6.4 -0.01 [CH3] [c]c1cc(cc[c]1)/C(=N/OC)/C[c]/C(=N/OCC)/C 8 151.2
Detailed
results in
excel
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Matched Molecular Pair
data A data B
data C data D
data E data F
Chemical Transformations
Δ data A B
Δ data C D
Δ data E F
Chemical Transformations
Δ data A B
Δ data C D
Δ data E F
Δ data G H
Δ data I J
Δ data K L
Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) enables SAR sharing
Without sharing underlying structures and data
Grand
Rule
Database
Enumeration
Rate-My-Idea
GRD-Browser
ChEMBL Tox database Toxophores
MC-
Biophore
MCPairs
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Key	
  findings:	
  
•  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting
•  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med
chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs
How?
•  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between
large Pharma is possible
•  The collaboration generated great synergy
•  Many findings are highly significant
•  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for
idea generation 
•  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and
generated meaningful results
•  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract
pharmacophores 	
  	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
A Collaboration of the willing
Craig Bruce OE
John Cumming Roche
David Cosgrove C4XD
Andy Grant★
Martin Harrison Elixir
Huw Jones Base360
Al Rabow Consulting
David Riley AZ
Graeme Robb AZ
Attilla Ting AZ
Howard Tucker retired
Dan Warner Myjar
Steve St-Galley Syngenta
David Wood JDR
Lauren Reid MedChemica
Shane Monague MedChemica
Jessica Stacey MedChemica
Andy Barker Consulting
Pat Barton AZ
Andy Davis AZ
Andrew Griffin Elixir
Phil Jewsbury AZ
Mike Snowden AZ
Peter Sjo AZ
Martin Packer AZ
Manos Perros Entasis Therapeutics
Nick Tomkinson AZ
Martin Stahl Roche
Jerome Hert Roche
Martin Blapp Roche
Torsten Schindler Roche
Paula Petrone Roche
Christian Kramer Roche
Jeff Blaney Genentech
Hao Zheng Genentech
Slaton Lipscomb Genentech
Alberto Gobbi Genentech
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Appendix
MedChemica | Jan 2017
References on Lean in R&D
Sewing, A Drug Disco. Techno, 2009, DOI, 10.1016/j.ddtec,2008,12.002
Andersson S et al, Making medicinal chemistry more effective--application of Lean Sigma to improve processes, speed and quality.
Drug Discov Today. 2009 Jun;14(11-12):598-604.
Johnstone, C.; Pairaudeau, G.;Pettersson, J. A.; Creativity, innovation and lean sigma: a controversial combination? Drug Discov
Today. 2011 Jan;16(1-2):50-7
Robb, G.R.; McKerrecher, D.;Newcombe, N.J.;Waring, M.J. A chemistry wiki to facilitate and enhance compound design in drug
discovery. Drug Discov Today. 2013 Feb;18(3-4):141-7.
Plowright, A.T.; Johnstone, C.; Kihlberg, J.; Pettersson, J.; Robb, G.; Thompson, R.A.; Hypothesis driven drug design: improving quality
and effectiveness of the design-make-test-analyse cycle. Drug Discov Today. 2012 Jan;17(1-2):56-62
Baldwin, E.T., Metrics and the effective computational scientist: process, quality and communication. Drug Discov Today. 2012 Sep;
17(17-18):935-41.
Cumming, J.G.; Winter, J.P.; Poirrette, A. Better compounds faster: the development and exploitation of a desktop predictive chemistry
toolkit. Drug Discov Today. 2012 Sep;17(17-18):923-7.
Baede, E.J.; Bekker, E.J.W.; Cronin, D.;Integrated project views: decision support platform for drug discovery project teams. J Chem Inf
Model. 2012 Jun 25;52(6):1438-49.
Contrast to:-
MacDonald, J. F.; Smith, P. W. Lead Optimization in 12 months? True confession of a chemistry Team Drug Discovery Today, 2001, 6, 18,
947
•  Parallel Screening was an important outcome of the application of Lean
Manufacturing
•  Reducing the work in progress to avoid spreading chemistry effort was
important
•  The best results were achieved by encouraging team work and increasing
CLARITY through effective COMMUNICATION
MedChemica | Jan 2017
Human	
  Element	
  -­‐	
  Chemists	
  like	
  their	
  own	
  ideas…….	
  
They	
  like	
  the	
  look	
  of	
  it	
  
• 	
  Asked	
  19	
  chemists	
  to	
  look	
  
through	
  a	
  set	
  of	
  fragments	
  and	
  
choose	
  what	
  they	
  considered	
  the	
  
‘best	
  ones’	
  to	
  follow	
  up	
  
	
  
• 	
  When	
  asked	
  how	
  they	
  choose	
  
them	
  they	
  self	
  report	
  that	
  it	
  was	
  
mul:-­‐factorial	
  
	
  
• 	
  Analysis	
  shows	
  they	
  were	
  
chosen	
  on	
  Ring	
  topology	
  and	
  
Func:onal	
  groups	
  (not	
  really	
  on	
  
size	
  or	
  lipophilicity)	
  
	
  
Kutchukian,	
  P.S.	
  et	
  al	
  ‘Inside	
  the	
  mind	
  of	
  the	
  Medicinal	
  Chemist’	
  PLOS	
  one	
  2012,	
  doi:	
  10.1371/journal.pone.0048476	
  
See	
  also	
  Cheshire,	
  D.	
  R.	
  ‘How	
  well	
  do	
  Medicinal	
  Chemists	
  learn	
  from	
  Experience,	
  Drug	
  Discov.	
  Today,	
  2011,	
  16,	
  (17/18),	
  
817.	
  Leeson,	
  P.D.;	
  Springthorpe,	
  B.	
  The	
  influence	
  of	
  drug-­‐like	
  concepts	
  on	
  decision-­‐making	
  in	
  med.	
  Chem.	
  
	
   	
   	
   	
   	
  Nat.	
  Rev.	
  Drug	
  Discov.	
  2007,	
  6,	
  881.	
  	
  
MedChemica | Jan 2017
But the literature says it’s lipophilicity
Does it? 	
  
‘The	
  focus	
  on	
  Ro5	
  is	
  oral	
  
absorp:on	
  and	
  the	
  rule	
  
neither	
  quan:fies	
  the	
  risk	
  of	
  
failure	
  associated	
  with	
  non-­‐
compliance	
  nor	
  provides	
  
guidance	
  as	
  to	
  how	
  sub-­‐
op:mal	
  characteris:cs	
  of	
  
compliant	
  compounds	
  might	
  
be	
  improved’	
  
	
  
Kenny,	
  P.	
  W.;	
  Montanari,	
  C.	
  A.	
  
J.	
  Comput	
  Aided	
  Mol	
  Des,	
  
2013,	
  27,	
  1-­‐13.	
  	
  
	
  
See	
  also:	
  
Carlson,	
  H.	
  A.	
  J.	
  Chem.Inf.Model,	
  2013,	
  
dx.doi.org/10.1021/ci4004249	
  
	
  

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Automated Extraction of Actionable Knowledge from Large Scale in-vitro pharmacology data

  • 1. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Automated Extraction of Actionable Knowledge from Large Scale in-vitro pharmacology data: the importance of stereochemistry in life science research Dr Al Dossetter MedChemica Limited Sheffield Stereochemistry – January 2017
  • 2. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Overview •  Stereochemistry in real Drugs – Not just chirality but stereochemistry matters •  What is important in drug designing? •  Effects in chirality in Key in-vitro •  Why do drugs fail in the clinic and the staggering rise in R&D cost? – Better rules for Medicinal Chemistry •  How do we reduce the costs? – Mining Actionable knowledge
  • 3. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Chiral Drug Molecules Atazanavir   Atorvasta+n   Esomeprazole   Escitalopram   Sertraline   Topiramate   Eze+mibe  
  • 4. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Confirm  tumour  supression  with  in-­‐Vivo  Xenograph   model  in  Nude  mouse   Inspira:on  –  A  Modern  Drug   Black  Box  Screening   Natural  Products   Halichondrin  B   Marine  natural  Product   Phenotypic  screening  –      arrested  cancer  cell  growth   Eribulin    (Halaven)  Approved  Nov  2010   Metasta:c  Breast  Cancer   Inhibitor  of  microtubule  dynamics   Inspiring  Med  Chem   Inspiring  synthesis   Cancer  Res.  2001,  61(3),  1013   Addressing  EFFICACY   DU-­‐145  tumour  cell  line  –  growth  inhibited  
  • 5. MedChemica | Jan 2017 rod sphere disc Commercial fragments access this space N N H F O H H More interesting Fragment? Fragment needs to be useful! Shape Diversity Analysis of Commercial Fragment Libraries Represents 14000+ fragments, from 4 vendors includes random selection of compounds from Chemonaut db
  • 6. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Nutlin  example  –  MDM2  binder  that  disrupts  interac:on  with  P53   The  inspira:onal  drug  discovery  program  in  ‘Protein  Protein  Interac:on’  world   Directed   Screening   Use  knowledge  to     Select  compounds   Nutlin-­‐3   Ro-­‐7112  –  18nM       Structure  based  design  played  a   key  part  in  compound   op:misa:on   Vu  et  al,  ACS  Med  Chem  Le_,  2013.     This  and  other  compounds  have   ‘sparked  an  understanding’  that   (Fragment)  libraries  for  PPIs   need  to  be  different   Morelli,  Roche  et  al  MedChemComm,   2013,  DOI:  10.1039/c3md00018d      
  • 7. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Cathepsin  K  –  Di-­‐methoxy  surprise  –  Man  and  Machine   pIC50 7.95 LogD 0.67 HLM <2.0 Solubility 280μM DTM ~1.0 mg/kg UID Potent Too polar / Renal Cl PDB  -­‐  97%  of  structures     Crawford,  J.J.;  Dosse_er,  A.G  J  Med  Chem.  2012,  55,  8827.   Dosse_er,  A.  G.  Bioorg.  Med.  Chem.  2010,  4405   Lewis  et  al,  J  Comput  Aided  Mol  Des,  2009,  23,  97–103       pIC50 8.2 LogD 2.8 HLM <1.0 Solubility >1400μM DTM 0.01 mg/kg UID High F% / stability maximised Increase in LogP, Properties improved Solubility   ΔpIC50 - 0.1 ΔLogD +1.4 ΔpSol +1.2 ΔHLM + 0.25 No renal Cl low F% ΔpIC50 +0.1 ΔLogD - 0.7 ΔpSol ~0.0 ΔHLM - 0.25 High F% rat/Dog Electrosta:c  poten:al  minima  between  oxygens   Approx  like  N  from  5-­‐het,  new  compound  can  not   form  a  quinoline   Incr.  selec:vity   ΔpIC50 +0.1 ΔLogD - 0.7 ΔpSol ~0.0 ΔHLM - 0.25 High F% rat/Dog
  • 8. MedChemica | Jan 2017 liver kidneys bladder Dissolve (SOLUBILITY) Cross Membranes (PERMEABILITY) Metabolism (Human Liver Microsomal, Cytochrome P450 oxidation and Inhibition) Avoid Excretion Oral Dosing of Drugs BBB (Blood Brain Barrier) Brain difficult Target Tissue Survive pH range 1.5-8 Absorption Distribution Metabolism Excretion
  • 9. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Effect of Chriality on Properties Effecting Drug Design - 1 S  -­‐  omeprazole   R  -­‐  omeprazole   Find all the known chirally pure enantiomers PAIRS with measured biological ADMET properties. Can we see a biological difference? How does is compare to physical properties like aqueous solubility?
  • 10. MedChemica | Jan 2017 If physical properties drove ADMET then enantiomeric pairs should have equivalent ADMET properties: Enantiomeric pairs reveal that key medicinal chemistry parameters vary more than simple physical property based models can explain Andrew G. Leach et al, Med. Chem. Commun., 2012,3, 528-540. 1x  difference  between   matched  ena:omeric  pairs   =  whole  molecule   proper:es  will  be  enough.   Some:mes  true  but  not  useful  enough……   Effect of Chriality on Properties Effecting Drug Design - 2
  • 11. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Company Ticker Number of drugs approved R&D Spending Per Drug ($Mil) Total R&D Spending 1997-2011 ($Mil) AstraZeneca AZN 5 11,790.93 58,955 GlaxoSmithKline GSK 10 8,170.81 81,708 Sanofi SNY 8 7,909.26 63,274 Pfizer Inc. PFE 14 7,727.03 108,178 Roche Holding AG RHHBY 11 7,803.77 85,841 Johnson & Johnson JNJ 15 5,885.65 88,285 Eli Lilly & Co. LLY 11 4,577.04 50,347 Abbott Laboratories ABT 8 4,496.21 35,970 Merck & Co Inc MRK 16 4,209.99 67,360 Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. BMY 11 4,152.26 45,675 Novartis AG NVS 21 3,983.13 83,646 Amgen Inc. AMGN 9 3,692.14 33,229 Sources: InnoThink Center For Research In Biomedical Innovation; Thomson Reuters Fundamentals via FactSet Research Systems The Truly Staggering Cost Of Inventing New Drugs Matthew Herper - Forbes Drug failures later in development are mainly due to EFFICACY and SAFETY
  • 12. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Actual spending / Chemistry everywhere Paul, S. M. et al How to improve R&D productivity: the pharmaceutical industry’s grand challenge, Nat. Rev. Drug Discovery 2010, 9, 203 Snap-Shot of a medium sized companies R&D spend in one year - $1.7 billion For a period large pharma set targets at each stage of the process – this was an “attrition model” – this was unsuccessful and very wasteful Better chemistry Reduce the number of projects Chemistry influences the success and speed
  • 13. MedChemica | Jan 2017 What Causes Attrition in Development? PK 7% Lack  of   efficacy  in   man 46% Adverse   effects  in  man 17% Animal  toxicity 16% Commercial   reasons 7% Miscellaneous 7% • Many  compounds  fail  in  development  through  inadequate   pharmacokineCcs  /  bioavailability  and  unacceptable  toxicological   profiles  in  addi:on  to  lack  of  efficacy  in  man  
  • 14. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Big Data - Knowledge Based Design The Life Science industry has woken up to Big Data •  Human Genome •  Biological systems •  Kinome •  Metabolomics •  Proteomics •  3D structural information (CDC / Protein Data Bank) •  Literature and Patents (GVK Bio, ChEMBL, Pubmed, PubChem) •  Reaction informatics – what works, what doesn’t •  Document management •  Regulatory submissions Huge Opportunity in this area
  • 15. MedChemica | Jan 2017 What  about  research  data?   SAFE  DRUGS   ‘Potency’   Do  not  sacrifice   The  be_er  it  is     the  lower  the  dose   Improved  tes+ng    in-­‐vivo   with  fewer  animals   Clinical  linkage   to  protein  target   Can  test  In-­‐Vivo   An:  SAR   e.g.  hERG,  Nav1.5,  5-­‐HT2a…     Analysis  of  In-­‐Vivo  data   Pfizer  –  rat  data   <0.2mg/Kg   Dose   Metabolism  &   Pharmacokine+cs   Be_er  design  so     dose  is  lower     Grand Rule Database Hughes  et  al,  Bioorg  Med  Chem   LeK.  2008,  18(17),  4872  
  • 16. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Key  findings:   •  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting •  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs How? •  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between large Pharma is possible •  The collaboration generated great synergy •  Many findings are highly significant •  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for idea generation  •  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and generated meaningful results •  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract pharmacophores    
  • 17. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Fewer  compounds  designed  from  be_er  rules   from  data  analysis   •  Improved compounds quicker •  Applicable ideas •  Confident design decisions •  Help when stuck •  Clearly describable plans •  Maximizing value from ADMET testing •  Pursuing dead-end series •  Pursuing dead-end projects •  Running out of time or $ Essentials Gains Pains
  • 18. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Grand Rule database Better medicinal chemistry by sharing knowledge not data & structures MMP finder MCPairs=  
  • 19. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Barriers  Broken  to  Sharing  Knowledge   Data Integrity and curation Knowledge extraction algorithms Consortium building to share knowledge Into the minds of chemists ✓   ✓   ✓   ✓   Grand Rule Database MCPairs
  • 20. MedChemica | Jan 2017 MCPairs  Plarorm   •  Extract  rules  using  Advanced  Matched  Molecular  Pair  Analysis   •  Knowledge  is  captured  as  transforma:ons   –  divorced  from  structures  =>  sharable   Measured Data rule finder Exploitable Knowledge MC Expert Enumerator System Problem molecule Solution molecules Pharmacophores & toxophores SMARTS matching Alerts   Virtual  screening   Library  design   Protect  the  IP  jewels   MCPairs
  • 21. MedChemica | Jan 2017 •  Matched Molecular Pairs – Molecules that differ only by a particular, well- defined structural transformation •  Transformation with environment capture – MMPs can be recorded as transformations from A B •  Environment is essential to understand chemistry Statistical analysis •  Learn what effect the transformation has had on ADMET properties in the past Griffen,  E.  et  al.  Matched  Molecular  Pairs  as  a  Medicinal  Chemistry  Tool.  Journal  of  Medicinal  Chemistry.  2011,  54(22),  pp.7739-­‐7750.       Advanced  MMPA   Δ Data A-B1 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 12 23 3 34 4 4 A        B    
  • 22. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Magic  Methyl  –  Big  Potency  and  Property  improvements   Example  from  Leung,  C.S.;  Leung,  S.S.F.;  Tirado-­‐Rives,  J.;  Jorgensen,  W.L.  J.  Med.  Chem.  2012,  55,  4489   Changing H to CH3 can bring big improvement even through this increases lipophilicity Methyl group changes the shape of the molecule (often bringing ‘twists’ to rings)
  • 23. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Environment  really  ma_ers   HMe:     •  Median  Δlog(Solubility)   •  225  different  environments     2.5log   1.5log   HMe:   •  Median Δlog(Clint) Human microsomal clearance •  278 different environments We  can  see  in  the  context  the   shape  changes  that  bring  about   improved  proper:es  
  • 24. MedChemica | Jan 2017 More  environment  =  right  detail   HMe Solubility: •  225 different environments
  • 25. MedChemica | Jan 2017 HF  What  effect  on  Clearance?   •  Median  Δlog(Clint)  Human  microsomal  clearance   •  37    different  environments   2  fold  improvement   2  fold  worse   Increase   clearance   decrease   clearance  
  • 26. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Rule  Example  1   Endpoint            mean±SD      count   LogD7.4                 Solubility  –log(μM)       Cyp3A4  pIC50       - 0.880±0.542 n = 19 - 0.003±0.861 n = 14 - 0.111±0.431 n = 14
  • 27. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Rule Example 2 Endpoint mean±SD count LogD7.4                 Human  Liver  Microsomal  Clint             0.1±0.65 n = 14 - 0.39±0.12 n = 14
  • 28. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Rule Example 3 Endpoint mean±SD count Human  Liver  Microsomal  Clint   Hepatocyte  Cells  Clint               - 0.35±0.25 n = 12 - 1.0 ±0.3 n = 9 MMPA can tell us occasions to make our molecules chiral and times not to….  
  • 29. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Pharma 1 100k rules Pharma 2 92k rules Pharma 3 37k rules 5.8k rules in common (pre-merge) ~ 2% New Rules 88k ~26% of total Merge   Combining  data  yields  brand  new  rules   Gains:    300  -­‐  900%   Merging knowledge – GRDv1
  • 30. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Key  findings:   •  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting •  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs How? •  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between large Pharma is possible •  The collaboration generated great synergy •  Many findings are highly significant •  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for idea generation  •  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and generated meaningful results •  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract pharmacophores    
  • 31. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Early successes From GRDv1 May 2014 31 J.  Med.  Chem.,  2015,  58  (23),  pp  9309–9333   DOI:  10.1021/acs.jmedchem.5b01312  
  • 32. MedChemica | Jan 2017 - Fix hERG problem whilst maintaining potency Waring et al, Med. Chem. Commun., (2011), 2, 775 Glucokinase Activators MMPA ∆pEC50: -0.1 ∆logD: -0.6 ∆hERG pIC50 :-0.5 n=33 n=32 n=22 MMPA ∆pEC50: +0.3 ∆logD: +0.3 ∆hERG pIC50 :-0.3 n=20 n=23 n=19 MMPA ∆pEC50: -0.1 ∆logD: -0.6 ∆hERG pIC50 :-0.5 n=27 n=27 n=7
  • 33. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Knowledge Based Design – MPO –  Novel more efficient core required, improve hERG for CD –  CNS penetration, good potency and deliver tool for in vivo testing McCoull, Dossetter et al, Med. Chem. Commun., (2013), 4, 456 ΔpIC50 -0.4 ΔlogD -1.8 ΔhERG pIC50 +0.4 Ghrelin Inverse agonists MMPA Cores pIC50 9.9 logD 5.0 hERG pIC5 5.0 LLE 4.9 very potent very lipophilic ΔpIC50 +0.9 ΔlogD +0.2 ΔhERG pIC50 -0.3 pIC50 8.2 logD 1.3 hERG pIC50 4.4 LLE 6.9 ΔpIC50 -2.2 ΔlogD -2.2 ΔhERG pIC50 -0.7 100 compounds made LLE = lipophilic ligand efficiency: LLE=pIC50-logD LLE 6.4 LLE 6.9
  • 34. MedChemica | Jan 2017 A  Less  Simple  Example   Increase logD and gain solubility Property   Number  of   Observa+ons   Direc+on   Mean  Change   Probability   logD   8   Increase   1.2   100%   Log(Solubility)   14   Increase   1.4   92%   What  is  the  effect  on  lipophilicity  and   solubility?   Roche  data  is  inconclusive!  (2  pairs   for  logD,  1  pair  for  solubility)   logD  =  2.65   Kine:c  solubility  =  84  µg/ml   IC50  SST5  =  0.8  µM   logD  =  3.63   Kine:c  solubility  =  >452  µg/ml   IC50  SST5  =  0.19  µM   Ques+on:   Available   Sta+s+cs:   Roche   Example:  
  • 35. MedChemica | Jan 2017 The application helped lead optimization in project •  193  compounds   •  Enumerated   Objective: improve metabolic stability MMP Enumeration Calculated Property Docking 8 compounds synthesized
  • 36. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Solving  a  tBu  metabolism  issue   Benchmark   compound   Predicted  to  offer  most  improvement  in  microsomal  stability  (in  at  least  1  species  /  assay)                        R2     R1   tBu   Me   Et   iPr   99   392   16   64   78   410   53   550   99   288   78   515   41   35   98   327   92   372   24   247   35   128   24   62   60   395   39   445   3   21   20   27   57   89   54   89   •  Data shown are Clint for HLM and MLM (top and bottom, respectively) R1   R2  R1  tBu   Roger Butlin Rebecca Newton Allan Jordan
  • 37. MedChemica | Jan 2017 …so  what  are  you   going  to  make   next…?  
  • 38. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Comparison  of  Merck  in-­‐house  MMPA  with  SALTMinerTM   Structure: ADMET Issue: hERG Lead A2A receptor antagonist compound in Merck Parkinson's project 138 suggestion molecules with predicted improvement in hERG binding How many match the results of Merck? •  Also shows potent binding to the hERG ion channel •  Deng et al performed in- house MMPA on hERG binding compound data and have published 18 resulting fluorobenzene transformations, which they have synthesized and tested for hERG activity Deng  et  al,     Bioorg.  &  Med  Chem  Let  (2015),   doi:  h_p://dx.doi.org/10.1016/ j.bmcl.2015.05.036    
  • 39. MedChemica | Jan 2017 R  group:   Measured  hERG   pIC50  change   -­‐1.187   -­‐1.149   -­‐1.038   -­‐1.215   -­‐1.157   -­‐0.149   -­‐1.487   -­‐1.133   GRD  median   historic  pIC50   change   0   -­‐0.171   -­‐0.1   -­‐0.283   -­‐0.219   -­‐0.318   -­‐0.159   -­‐0.103   Results: 8 out of the 18 fluorobenzene transformations produced by Merck were also suggested by MCExpert to decrease hERG binding: Searching the GRD for transformations that increase hERG there were none that matched the remaining 10 of 18 transformations in the paper. MCExpert also suggested an additional 50 fluorobenzene replacements to decrease hERG binding NOT mentioned in the publication.
  • 40. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Fast building block access from CRO collaboration 40 MCExpert suggests improved building blocks Specialist synthesis CROs access unique chemistries Rapid access to building blocks that address metabolism and solubility issues Mono & disubstituted chiral piperidines and pyrollidines Chiral α methyl aryl amines and alcohols
  • 41. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Collaborators  and  Users  -­‐  experience  
  • 42. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Key  findings:   •  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting •  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs How? •  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between large Pharma is possible •  The collaboration generated great synergy •  Many findings are highly significant •  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for idea generation  •  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and generated meaningful results •  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract pharmacophores    
  • 43. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Pharmacophores  and  Toxophores   by  extended  analysis  from  the  MMPA   PharmacophoresBigData Stats Matched Pairs Finding Public and in- house potency data
  • 44. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Mining  transform  sets  to  find  influen:al  fragments     Identify the ‘Z’ fragments associated with a significant number of potency increasing changes – irrespective of what they are replaced with ‘Z’ is ‘worse than anything you replace it with’ Fragment A Fragment B   Change in binding measurement Public Data Find Matched Pairs Find Potent Fragments +2.7   +3.2   +0.6   +0.6   Identify the ‘A’ fragments associated with a significant number of potency decreasing changes – irrespective of what they are replaced with ‘A’ is ‘better than anything you replace it with’ A   +2.1  +2.2   +1.4   +0.4   +1.8   Z   pKi/ pIC50 Compounds with destructive fragment Compounds with constructive fragments Generate  Pharmacophore  dyads  by   permuta:ng  all  the  fragments  with   the  shortest  path  between  them  
  • 45. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Toxophores - Detailed, specific & transparent Dopamine D2 receptor human Actual: 9.5 Predicted: 9.1 Mean with: 8.0 Mean without: 6.6 Odds Ratio: 340 Dopamine Transporter Actual: 9.1 Predicted: 8.6 Mean with: 8.3 Mean without: 6.7 Odds Ratio: 407 GABA-A Actual: 9.0 Predicted: 8.7 Mean with: 8.0 Mean without: 6.8 Odds Ratio: 1506 β1 adrenergic receptor Actual: 7.8 Predicted: 7.7 Mean with: 6.5 Mean without: 5.7 Odds Ratio: 1501 Find Potent Fragments Matched Pairs Finding Find Pharmacophore Dyads Public and in- house potency data
  • 46. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Prediction of unseen new molecules The acid test… •  Vascular endothelial growth factor receptor 2 tyrosine kinase (KDR) •  Inhibitors have oncology and ophthalmic indications •  Large dataset in CHEMBL •  10 fold cross validated PLS model •  Selected model by minimised RMSEP 46 Compounds 4466 Matched Pairs 288100 Fragments 678 Pharmacophore dyads 787 RMSEP 0.8 R2 0.64 Y-scrambled R2 0.0 ROC 0.95 Geomean odds ratio 80 ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ●●● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ●●●● ● ● ●● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ●●● ● ●● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ●● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● ● 4 6 8 10 5 7 9 pIC50_pred pIC50
  • 47. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Novartis Predictions From Our Model Domain of Applicability…. Actual: 8.4[1] Predicted: 7.5 47 Actual: 7.6[1] Predicted: 7.5 1. J MedChem(2016), Bold et al. 2. MedChem Lett (2016), Mainolfi et al. Actual: 7.7[2] Predicted: 7.1 Actual: 9.0[2] Predicted: Out of Domain
  • 48. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Target Number  of   compounds   Number  of   compound   pairs   Number  of   Fragments   Number  of   Pharmacophore   dyads  a|er   filtering   R2   RMSEP   ROC   odds_ra:o   (geomean)   Acetylcholine esterase - human 383   27755   44   10   0.43   1.57   0.80   4   β 1 adrenergic receptor 505   145447   276   313   0.64   0.70   0.96   833   Androgen receptor 1064   113163   186   46   0.47   0.77   0.86   140   CB1 canabinnoid receptor 1104   88091   165   90   0.61   1.02   0.87   96   CB2 canabinnoid receptor 1112   82130   194   158   0.19   0.85   0.64   5.7   Dopamine D2 receptor - human 3873   230962   483   602   0.42   0.88   0.69   110   Dopamine D2 receptor - rat 1807   118736   267   377   0.29   0.85   0.78   125   Dopamine Transporter 1470   106969   282   336   0.58   0.73   0.88   141   GABA A receptor 848   39494   106   167   0.70   0.76   0.97   560   hERG ion channel 4189   242261   392   76   0.61   0.96   0.92   55   5HT2a receptor 642   50870   197   267   0.61   0.59   0.83   600   Monoamine oxidase 264   15439   44   11   0.12   1.25   0.48   181   Muscarinic acetylcholine receptor M1 628   48200   97   510   0.62   0.94   0.89   48   µ opioid receptor 1128   37184   33   11   0.69   1.30   0.87   81   Critical safety target analysis •  Build models using 10-fold cross validated PLS •  Assess using ROC / BEDROC, R2 vs 100 fold y-scrambled R2 and geomean odds ratio 48 Public Data Find Matche d Pairs Pharmacophores Find Pharmacophore dyads Find Potent Fragments
  • 49. MedChemica | Jan 2017 MCBiophore GUI screenshot Assay Image Mean_with Mean_without PLS_coeff Path SMARTS1 SMARTS2 n_examples odds_ratio 2 VEGFR 8.3 6.4 0.71 [c]c[c][c] Cc1ccc[c]c1[n] [c]/C(=N/O)/C 18 259.8 3 VEGFR 8.2 6.4 0.17 [c] [c]c1cc(cc[c]1)/C(=N/OC)/CCc1ccc[c]c1[n] 17 257.6 0 VEGFR 8.1 6.4 -0.01 [CH3] [cH]c([cH])/C(=N/OC)/C[c]/C(=N/OCC)/C 8 20.2 1 VEGFR 8.1 6.4 -0.01 [CH3] [c]c1cc(cc[c]1)/C(=N/OC)/C[c]/C(=N/OCC)/C 8 151.2 Detailed results in excel
  • 50. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Matched Molecular Pair data A data B data C data D data E data F Chemical Transformations Δ data A B Δ data C D Δ data E F Chemical Transformations Δ data A B Δ data C D Δ data E F Δ data G H Δ data I J Δ data K L Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) enables SAR sharing Without sharing underlying structures and data Grand Rule Database Enumeration Rate-My-Idea GRD-Browser ChEMBL Tox database Toxophores MC- Biophore MCPairs
  • 51. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Key  findings:   •  Stereochemistry is important in Drug hunting •  There is a strong need powerful rules to understand med chem better and reduce compound numbers and costs How? •  Secure sharing of large scale ADMET knowledge between large Pharma is possible •  The collaboration generated great synergy •  Many findings are highly significant •  Matched Molecular Pair Analysis (MMPA) is a great tool for idea generation  •  The rules have been used in drug-discovery projects and generated meaningful results •  MMPA methodology can be extended to extract pharmacophores    
  • 52. MedChemica | Jan 2017 A Collaboration of the willing Craig Bruce OE John Cumming Roche David Cosgrove C4XD Andy Grant★ Martin Harrison Elixir Huw Jones Base360 Al Rabow Consulting David Riley AZ Graeme Robb AZ Attilla Ting AZ Howard Tucker retired Dan Warner Myjar Steve St-Galley Syngenta David Wood JDR Lauren Reid MedChemica Shane Monague MedChemica Jessica Stacey MedChemica Andy Barker Consulting Pat Barton AZ Andy Davis AZ Andrew Griffin Elixir Phil Jewsbury AZ Mike Snowden AZ Peter Sjo AZ Martin Packer AZ Manos Perros Entasis Therapeutics Nick Tomkinson AZ Martin Stahl Roche Jerome Hert Roche Martin Blapp Roche Torsten Schindler Roche Paula Petrone Roche Christian Kramer Roche Jeff Blaney Genentech Hao Zheng Genentech Slaton Lipscomb Genentech Alberto Gobbi Genentech
  • 53. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Appendix
  • 54. MedChemica | Jan 2017 References on Lean in R&D Sewing, A Drug Disco. Techno, 2009, DOI, 10.1016/j.ddtec,2008,12.002 Andersson S et al, Making medicinal chemistry more effective--application of Lean Sigma to improve processes, speed and quality. Drug Discov Today. 2009 Jun;14(11-12):598-604. Johnstone, C.; Pairaudeau, G.;Pettersson, J. A.; Creativity, innovation and lean sigma: a controversial combination? Drug Discov Today. 2011 Jan;16(1-2):50-7 Robb, G.R.; McKerrecher, D.;Newcombe, N.J.;Waring, M.J. A chemistry wiki to facilitate and enhance compound design in drug discovery. Drug Discov Today. 2013 Feb;18(3-4):141-7. Plowright, A.T.; Johnstone, C.; Kihlberg, J.; Pettersson, J.; Robb, G.; Thompson, R.A.; Hypothesis driven drug design: improving quality and effectiveness of the design-make-test-analyse cycle. Drug Discov Today. 2012 Jan;17(1-2):56-62 Baldwin, E.T., Metrics and the effective computational scientist: process, quality and communication. Drug Discov Today. 2012 Sep; 17(17-18):935-41. Cumming, J.G.; Winter, J.P.; Poirrette, A. Better compounds faster: the development and exploitation of a desktop predictive chemistry toolkit. Drug Discov Today. 2012 Sep;17(17-18):923-7. Baede, E.J.; Bekker, E.J.W.; Cronin, D.;Integrated project views: decision support platform for drug discovery project teams. J Chem Inf Model. 2012 Jun 25;52(6):1438-49. Contrast to:- MacDonald, J. F.; Smith, P. W. Lead Optimization in 12 months? True confession of a chemistry Team Drug Discovery Today, 2001, 6, 18, 947 •  Parallel Screening was an important outcome of the application of Lean Manufacturing •  Reducing the work in progress to avoid spreading chemistry effort was important •  The best results were achieved by encouraging team work and increasing CLARITY through effective COMMUNICATION
  • 55. MedChemica | Jan 2017 Human  Element  -­‐  Chemists  like  their  own  ideas…….   They  like  the  look  of  it   •   Asked  19  chemists  to  look   through  a  set  of  fragments  and   choose  what  they  considered  the   ‘best  ones’  to  follow  up     •   When  asked  how  they  choose   them  they  self  report  that  it  was   mul:-­‐factorial     •   Analysis  shows  they  were   chosen  on  Ring  topology  and   Func:onal  groups  (not  really  on   size  or  lipophilicity)     Kutchukian,  P.S.  et  al  ‘Inside  the  mind  of  the  Medicinal  Chemist’  PLOS  one  2012,  doi:  10.1371/journal.pone.0048476   See  also  Cheshire,  D.  R.  ‘How  well  do  Medicinal  Chemists  learn  from  Experience,  Drug  Discov.  Today,  2011,  16,  (17/18),   817.  Leeson,  P.D.;  Springthorpe,  B.  The  influence  of  drug-­‐like  concepts  on  decision-­‐making  in  med.  Chem.            Nat.  Rev.  Drug  Discov.  2007,  6,  881.    
  • 56. MedChemica | Jan 2017 But the literature says it’s lipophilicity Does it?   ‘The  focus  on  Ro5  is  oral   absorp:on  and  the  rule   neither  quan:fies  the  risk  of   failure  associated  with  non-­‐ compliance  nor  provides   guidance  as  to  how  sub-­‐ op:mal  characteris:cs  of   compliant  compounds  might   be  improved’     Kenny,  P.  W.;  Montanari,  C.  A.   J.  Comput  Aided  Mol  Des,   2013,  27,  1-­‐13.       See  also:   Carlson,  H.  A.  J.  Chem.Inf.Model,  2013,   dx.doi.org/10.1021/ci4004249