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Anthony Orji_2023 AGRODEP Annual Conference

AKADEMIYA2063
27. Mar 2023
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Anthony Orji_2023 AGRODEP Annual Conference

  1. STICKY FLOOR OR GLASS CEILING? INVESTIGATING GENDER WAGE GAP IN THE NIGERIAN LABOUR MARKET Emmanuel Nwosu Department of Economics, University of Nigeria and Anthony Orji
  2. ADRODEP Conference, Kigali, Rwanda STICKY FLOOR OR GLASS CEILING? INVESTIGATING GENDER WAGE GAP IN THE NIGERIAN LABOUR MARKET 21st -23rd March, 2023 by Emmanuel Nwosu and Anthony Orji Department of Economics, University of Nigeria, Nsukka
  3. Introduction and Motivations Interest in the magnitude, pattern and causes of gender wage gap has been growing both within and across countries and African countries are not left out (Ntuli & Kwenda, 2020 and Mohanty 2021).  While labour unions across the globe have continued to push for higher wages, the issue of gender differences in earnings (Metcalf, 2009; Mamiko, 2021) has continued to be of great interest.  The results of the analysis of gender disparity in labour markets in Africa is dominated by sharp contrasts and has remained a serious challenge in many countries (ILO, 2019).  Even though the number of women in paid employment and non-agricultural sectors in Africa has increased by more than 3.5% over the past decade, they still earn lower than men.  Female workers have been found to earn about twenty to thirty percent below their male colleagues (ILO, 2019).
  4. Introduction and Motivations Gender earnings differential could be higher in developing countries if in- depth analyses are carried out. There are concerns that the Nigerian labour market exhibits significant gender wage disparities (e.g. Temesgen, 2008 and Ajefu, 2019).  Though research exists to explain gender wage gap in Nigeria, the focus has mostly been on mean gap with very little done to explain wage inequality along the wage distribution by gender.  The issue of glass ceiling and/or sticky floor which are relevant to design of gender sensitive policies (Temesgen, 2008; Ajefu, 2019; among others) have also not be adequately addressed by existing literature in Nigeria. • Glass ceiling, for example, is a labour market condition whereby females are pushed down to the lower cadre of an organization and it seems difficult for women to attain the highest position in the organization while sticky floor is a discriminatory employment pattern that keeps workers, mainly women, in the lower ranks of the job scale, with low mobility and invisible barriers to career advancement.
  5. The Research Issue Existing literature on labour market studies in Nigeria has made attempts to explain gender wage discrepancies with particular focus on mean decompositions (Okpara, 2004, Oyelere, 2007,Onwudiokit, 2009, Agu and Evoh, 2011, Oginni et al,2014).  However, limited or no in-depth empirical study to the best of our knowledge has been carried out to determine if significant gender differences exists along the wage distribution in Nigerian and how individual attributes explain the disparity on various parts of the distribution.  We employ two waves of Living Standards and measurement Surveys (2003/2004 and 2018/2019) for an in-depth analysis of gender wage bias in wage employment and temporal explanations to the gap.
  6. Research Questions 1. Are there significant gender differences along the wage distribution in the Nigerian labour market? 2. How do individual characteristics explain gender wage gap at various points of the wage distribution? 3. How has gender wage gap and factors underpinning it in the Nigerian labour market changed over time?
  7. The Nigerian Labour Market  The labour market in Nigeria is characterised by both formal and informal sectors, private and public sectors, rural and urban sectors.  Available statistics from the NBS (2019) shows that the informal market has about 65% of Nigeria’s workforce who dominate most of the activities in the economy even though it is characterised by low wages. The Nigerian labour market is also characterized by high rate of unemployment and under employment.  Nigeria’s rate of unemployment rose to 22.6% in 2018 from 10.6 % in 2012. NBS (2021) report further shows that, for fully employed and underemployed labour force, females accounted for 40% and 45.9% respectively in 2020.  Furthermore, Nigerian labour force statistics as of 2019 show that out of the 62,447,230 labour force population, 45.57 percent (i.e 28,457,207) women make up the total, while 54.43% are men.  On the other hand, for the labour force with advanced education, the percentage of the male working-age population with advanced education is 74.76%, while that of the female population is 73.68%.
  8. OVERVIEW OF THE LITERATURE  Theory Neoclassical theory of distribution and Becker Theory of Gender Gap in Labour Markets of Becker (1957 and 1965). Empirics Three are existing studies that related gender to labour market outcomes in Nigeria (See for example Aderemi, and Alley 2019, Abekah-Nkrumah, Asuming, and Yusif 2019; Kyoore and Sulemana, 2019; Akono 2018; Akekere and Yousuo, 2013; Fapohunda, 2013; Autor, et al, 2006; Bradley and Nguyen, 2004)
  9. Contributions to Knowledge Our paper contributes to the extant literature in three ways: • First, previous studies on the gender wage gap in Nigeria concentrated on measuring and decomposing the gender wage gap at the mean. • This study departs from analysis at the mean by considering the entire wage distribution using the extended decomposition approach proposed by Firpo et al. (2009). • Second, we attempt to provide temporal analysis of gender wage gap In Nigeria using waves of household surveys. • Third, this paper sheds light on the factors underpinning observed gender wage gaps in Nigeria by decomposing the gender wage gap into the ‘price’ and ‘composition effects’. • The composition effect also called the endowment effect shows how labour market characteristics of individuals influence the gender wage gap. The price or wage structure effect explains how pricing or utilization of individual characteristics affects the gender wage gap.
  10. METHODOLOGY Theoretical Framework and Model Specifications The theory which has been used by researchers for decades to explain wage determination is the Mincer (1974) model. In this framework, wage is expressed basically as a function of education and experience. However, the model has been extended by researchers to account for other covariates that are related to individual demographic characteristics, productivity and location (Bils and Klenow, 2000)
  11. METHODOLOGY Model Specifications Taking cognizance of the Nigerian context, we specify the wage equation in vector form as: where is the log wage expressed in natural logarithm.  The way labour market is structured in Nigeria is that except for labourers who are rewarded on daily or piece meal basis, majority are paid on monthly basis.
  12. METHODOLOGY Model Specifications the full specification of the wage equation we estimated is given by: ) 2 . 1 ..( .......... .......... .......... .......... South_West h South_Sout South_East North_West North_East others ing manufactur ted sales_rela ervices clerical_s tion administra al al_technic profession ndary above_seco secondary primary union widowed separated divorced married urban age lnwage 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 0 i i                                           which is estimated for two groups (g=male, and female) so that the contribution of each covariate to differences in the wage distributions of males and females can be divided into composition and wage structure effects. Wage growth can be affected by the characteristics of those in employment. For example, if the age of those in the workforce increases, average wages are likely to increase as older workers are on average paid more. These are known as 'compositional effects'.
  13. METHODOLOGY Decomposition of Wage Distribution We applied an extension of OB decomposition technique that relies on the re-centered influence function (RIF) regression in order to estimate the effects of covariates on the distribution of wages between males and females and over time. The distribution of interest are quantiles (Firpo, Fortin, and Lemieux 2009; 2011; and 2018).  The main attractive feature of using the RIF-regression approach to compute the Oaxaca-Blinder type decomposition is that it gives a linear approximation of highly non-linear functional such as the quantiles (which of interest to us to in this research).  We followed Firpo, Fortin, and Lemieux (2018) and applied unconditional quantiles in our decomposition of gender wage gap in Nigeria and what explains gap over time.
  14. Following from FFL (2018), the th   quantile of the distribution F is define as the functional of the form: . q or ) ) ( | inf( ) , (      y F y F Q and its influence function can be written as: ) ( } { ) , ; (      q f q y F q y IF     As demonstrated by FFL (2018, 2009), the recentered influence function of the th  quantile is given by: 7 . 1 .. .......... .......... ] | Pr[ . ] | ) , q E[RIF(Y; way, In this . q at evaluated Y of density the is ) ( f and ), 1 .( c ), ( 1 c where } { . ) , , ( ) , ; ( , 2 , 1 Y , 1 2, 1, , 2 , 1 r Y c x X q Y c x X F q c q q F c q y c F q y IF q F q y RIF                                 Our Approach: Decomposition of Wage Distribution
  15. The decomposition of (unconditional) quantiles follows the same approach as mean decomposition. In stage one, the estimation of 1,0 g ,  g q and C q ˆ are obtained by reweighting as: ) ( . ) , ( ˆ min arg ˆ and , ), ( . ) ( ˆ min arg ˆ 1 1 q Y p X T q w m g q Y p T q i N i i i C q g i N i i g q g                Software packages such as Stata can easily compute g q ˆ and C q with appropriate reweighting factor. Hence, the gaps can be calculated as: 8 . 1 ....... .......... ˆ ˆ ˆ and ˆ ˆ ; ˆ ˆ ˆ 0 q X 1 S 0 1 0 q r rC rC r r r q q q q q q q              Our Approach: Decomposition of Wage Distribution
  16. In stage two, the linear RIF-regressions will be estimated and this can be done for each observation by inserting the sample estimate of the quantile, r q̂ , and using it to estimate the density of the quantile, ). ˆ ( ˆ  q f For example if , 1 | 1  T Y the RIF-regressions can be estimated by substituting the usual dependent variable, Y, with the estimated value of ) , ; ( ˆ 1 F q y F I R  which can also be done with standard software packages such as Stata. The estimated coefficients will therefore be: 0 . 2 ....... .......... ) , ; ( ˆ ) , ( ˆ . ) ) , ( ˆ ( ˆ 1.9 .......... 0.1....... g , ) , ; ( ˆ ) ( ˆ . ) ) ( ˆ ( ˆ 1 1 1 ' 1 1 1              N i C C i i i i C N i i i i i C q C N i g g i i i g N i i i i g q g F q Y F I R X X T X X X T F q Y F I R X T X X T           This can be decomposed as in the case of mean gap as follows: 2 . 2 ..... )......... ˆ ˆ ( ] 1 | [ ˆ ) ] 0 | [ ] 1 | [ ( ˆ 1 . 2 ..... .......... .......... .......... ),........ ˆ ˆ ( ] 1 , [ ˆ 0 1             q C q C q q X q C q q S T X E T X E T X E T X E                Our Approach: Decomposition of Wage Distribution
  17. DATA We used the 2003/2004; and the 2018/2019 Nigeria Living Standards Surveys (NLSS). In the 2003/2004 survey, the number of households sampled was 21,900 while a total of 18, 861 was used for the final analysis. The most recent household survey is the 2018/2019 survey which was published by the National Bureau of Statistics of Nigeria in 2020. In this survey, the total number of households captured was 22,110 out of the 22,200 originally proposed.  A total of 116,320 individuals were sampled and our tabulations show that about 49,780 the individuals captured were in paid employment.
  18. DATA  For the key variable earnings, respondents indicated the frequency of payment i.e. daily, weekly, biweekly, monthly, quarterly and annually. To facilitate comparability, we converted all earnings to reflect monthly income. This is consistent with the structure of labour market Nigeria where, except for labourers who are rewarded on daily or piece meal basis, majority are paid on monthly basis.  We converted these earnings to natural logarithm for the analysis and plotted the kernel densities presented in Figures 1 for the two surveys. The density function for log of wage in 2003/2004 and that of 2018/2019 are approximately normally distributed.  However, while the density function is left skewed in the 2003/2004 compared to that of 2018/2019 suggesting that the mean is less than that of 2018/2019 (in nominal terns anyway).  However, in order to further facilitate comparison earnings over time and using 2009 as the base year, we deflated the nominal wages by the consumer price index in order to obtain real wages for both males and females as reported in the descriptive statistics table.
  19. Descriptive Statistics Table 1 shows the descriptive statistics, it can be seen that average for males was higher than that of females in the two periods. For example, in 2003/4 and 2018/19, average wage for males were N16,698.1 and N42,822.29 respectively. The average wage for females over the two periods were NN11,249.51 and N33,453.74 respectively. The wage gap between them was N 5448.59 in 2003/4 and the by 2018/19 the average wage gap was N 9368.58. The ratio of male nominal wage income to that of female workers that was 1.48 in 2003/4 had dropped to 1.28 (or dropped by 1.22 in real wages) in 2019/18. This seems to suggest a reduction in relative gender wage gap over the two periods.
  20. Table 1: Descriptive Statistics of the Variables by Gender and Time Period 2003/2004 2018/2019 male female Male Female variable mean sd mean sd mean sd mean sd wage 16,698.1 37449.9 11,249.5 31917.3 42,822.3 31293.4 33,453.7 30890.3 Real wage (2009 base year) 25,795.0 59336.3 17,500.7 50527.7 15,760.7 25663.1 12,878.0 15960.3 lnrealwage 9.2287 1.4240 8.7123 1.4287 8.8495 1.5087 8.7962 1.3775 Demographics/location age 37 14.12 34 12.830 33 14.18 33 13.49 urban 0.230 0.421 0.222 0.415 0.303 0.459 0.296 0.457 never married 0.310 0.462 0.153 0.360 0.465 0.499 0.269 0.443 married 0.652 0.476 0.748 0.434 0.512 0.500 0.634 0.482 divorced 0.007 0.084 0.008 0.087 0.005 0.068 0.010 0.098 separated 0.016 0.125 0.018 0.133 0.010 0.099 0.017 0.131 widowed 0.015 0.123 0.073 0.261 0.008 0.086 0.070 0.256 wage_emp 0.392 0.488 0.245 0.430 0.149 0.356 0.062 0.241 union 0.059 0.236 0.023 0.151 0.055 0.229 0.024 0.154 Education none 0.126 0.332 0.171 0.376 0.171 0.377 0.233 0.423 primary 0.365 0.481 0.400 0.490 0.188 0.391 0.208 0.406 secondary 0.369 0.483 0.336 0.472 0.492 0.500 0.451 0.498 above_secoondary 0.140 0.347 0.093 0.291 0.149 0.356 0.108 0.310 Occupation Professional or technical 0.055 0.228 0.035 0.184 0.253 0.435 0.556 0.497 Administration 0.010 0.099 0.005 0.071 0.148 0.355 0.115 0.319 Clerical/services and related 0.089 0.284 0.249 0.433 0.145 0.352 0.127 0.333 Sales and related 0.077 0.267 0.199 0.399 0.040 0.197 0.047 0.213 agriculture 0.686 0.464 0.463 0.499 0.128 0.334 0.088 0.284 Manufacturing/processing/ 0.060 0.238 0.046 0.210 0.256 0.436 0.052 0.222 agriculture 0.686 0.464 0.463 0.499 0.509 0.500 0.343 0.475 others 0.022 0.147 0.003 0.052 0.030 0.170 0.015 0.121 Number of observations 18,063 17,262 29,193 31,563 Descriptive Statistics
  21. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON FINDINGS Table 2 shows that there is a significant gender mean wage gap in Nigerian and also at all points of wage distribution. Thus, women earn less than men and this result is consistent over time though not in the same magnitude. This is in line with the finding by Aderemi, and Alley (2019) who shows wide variation in the wages of males and females in favour of male workers in private and public sectors in Nigeria. The total gaps show an inverted U-shape. This implies that gender wage gap was wider at the middle income, but as wage increases, the gap becomes narrower beginning from the 50th quantile.
  22. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON FINDINGS 2003/2004 2018/2019 Total Difference Total Explained total Unexplained Total Difference Total Explained total Unexplained Mean 0.485*** -0.0255 0.510*** 0.357*** -0.0115 0.369*** (0.000) (0.349) (0.000) (0.000) (0.491) (0.000) q10 0.445*** -0.0311 0.476*** 0.433*** -0.0105 0.443*** (0.000) (0.572) (0.000) (0.000) (0.765) (0.000) q20 0.477*** -0.0150 0.492*** 0.538*** -0.0259 0.564*** (0.000) (0.759) (0.000) (0.000) (0.282) (0.000) q30 0.567*** -0.0232 0.590*** 0.384*** -0.132*** 0.516*** (0.000) (0.474) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) q40 0.571*** 0.00204 0.569*** 0.494*** -0.0454* 0.540*** (0.000) (0.937) (0.000) (0.000) (0.025) (0.000) q50 0.575*** 0.000466 0.575*** 0.359*** -0.00717 0.366*** (0.000) (0.984) (0.000) (0.000) (0.725) (0.000) q60 0.523*** 0.0131 0.509*** 0.285*** 0.0445* 0.240*** (0.000) (0.568) (0.000) (0.000) (0.035) (0.000) q70 0.437*** -0.00854 0.445*** 0.229*** -0.00208 0.231*** (0.000) (0.731) (0.000) (0.000) (0.925) (0.000) q80 0.408*** -0.0586* 0.467*** 0.205*** -0.00397 0.209*** (0.000) (0.030) (0.000) (0.000) (0.863) (0.000) q90 0.368*** -0.0954* 0.463*** 0.122*** -0.0119 0.134*** (0.000) (0.022) (0.000) (0.001) (0.644) (0.000) N: Males Female 5191 2783 3978 1807 p-values in parentheses Table 2: Decomposition Results for Total, Composition and Wage Structure Effects for the 2003/2004 and 2018/2019 Surveys p-values in parentheses "* p<0.05 ** p<0.01 *** p<0.001"
  23. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON FINDINGS  Furthermore, there appears to be double inverted U-shape for the raw gap over the 2018/2019 period. The non-overlapping confidence intervals at all the quantile points show pictorially the significance of gender wage gap in Nigeria both across time and space (see figure 3).  First, both in the 2003/4 and 2018/19 periods, the total gap increased along the distribution up to the 50th quantile and began to decline consistently up to the 90th quantile but the decline at the top quantile was more rapid since 2018/19. During this period, most of the quantile-specific gender pay gaps were accounted for by the wage structure effect  For the 2018/19, the gaps were also larger at the bottom than at the top of the income distribution while for the 2003/04 period the gaps were lower at the bottom and top end of wage distribution and are found to be statistically different from zero overall.
  24. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON FINDINGS  Moreover, at the top of wage income the composition effect was significant for the 2003/04 period while it was significant at the middle of wage income in the 2018/19 period.  In any case the composition effect works to reduce gender wage gap (see Figure 2. This suggests that if certain female characteristics approach that of males, gender wage gap in Nigeria would decline significantly).  These findings overall suggest that wage structure effect has been dominant in explaining gender wage gap in Nigeria since the 2003/2004 period.  This is shown pictorially in Figure 3 by the non-overlapping confidence intervals for the wage structure effect component of the gap decomposition.
  25. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON FINDINGS Figure 2: Decomposition results – Raw Wage Gap
  26. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON FINDINGS  Figure 3: Decomposition results – composition and Wage Structure effects
  27. RESULTS AND DISCUSSION ON FINDINGS  The findings further show that demographic characteristics, human capita (education level), occupational factors and location explain the composition effect of wage gap as well as the wage structure effect. Example:  Age:  Marital status:  Urban/rural location:  Unionisation:  Education:  Occupation:  As a general note and in corroboration with the findings by FFL (2018), no single factor appears to be able to fully explain the polarization of the wage distribution over time.
  28. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS  The findings in general suggest that the pricing of labour in terms of the attributes act to reduce gender wage gap to the advantage of women at higher wages; while at lower wages, these characteristics do not reduce the gap as much.  The findings further show that raw gaps for the two surveys appear to show inverted U-shape suggesting evidence of both sticky floor and glass ceiling effect in both periods in the Nigeria labour market.  In terms of the contributions of individual covariates on gender pay gap in Nigeria, we found that urban residence, unionization, education (human capital variables) and occupation variables exhibit major influence, and some of them such as urban residence, marital status, higher education, and union membership have remained consistent over time how the affect gender wage gap especially through the wage structure effect.
  29. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS  This suggest that for wage gap to be reduced over time, education level above secondary for girls and women should be taken seriously.  Efforts should be geared towards promoting higher educational qualifications for women even when they are already in the labour market  Women should be given more opportunity in urban employment where wages are higher and the gap is lower.  Invariably, there is the need to promote policies that would reduce urban unemployment for women since urban residence appears to favour women by reducing wage gap than in rural employment
  30. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS  Urbanization of labour tends to cause higher pay gap at the top of wage distribution. Therefore, policy makers should design mechanisms to ensure that urban wage gap is reduced especially in top positions where women should get equal pay with men.  Women are also encouraged to unionize though not radically in order to benefit from the influence of unions especially in securing higher wages where necessary.  Finally, policies to address gender wage gap can be focused on specific occupations or sub-sectors where women are disadvantaged.
  31. THANK YOU Acknowledgements We wish to express our deep appreciation to African Economic Research Consortium (AERC) for the financial support to carry out this research
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