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By:
Zulfiqar Ali
aliwali713@yahoo.com
The Economy of USA
New York City, financial center of the United States
Area
Rank
9,826,675 km²
1st (nominal) / 1st (PPP)
Currency US$ (USD)
Fiscal year October 1 – September 30
Statistics
GDP $16.8 trillion (September 2012)
GDP growth 1.9% (September 2012–September 2013)
GDP per capita $53,101 (2013) (9th, nominal; 6th, PPP)
GDP by sector Agriculture: 1.2%, industry: 19.2%, services: 79.6% (2012 est.)
Inflation (CPI) 1.5% (September 2012–September 2013)
Population
below poverty line
15.1% (2012)
Gini coefficient 0.48
Labor force 156 million (includes 12.088 mil. unemployed, September 2013)
Labor force
by occupation
farming, forestry, and fishing: 0.7% manufacturing, extraction,
transportation, and crafts: 20.3% managerial, professional, and
technical: 37.3% sales and office: 24.2% other services: 17.6%
Unemployment 6.3% (September 2013)
Average gross salary $49,000 (December 2013)
Main industries
highly diversified, world leading, high-technology innovator, second
largest industrial output in world; petroleum, steel, motor
vehicles, aerospace, telecommunications, chemicals,
electronics, food processing, consumer goods, lumber, mining
Ease of Doing Business
Rank
4th
External
Exports $1.57 trillion (2013 est.)
Export goods agricultural products (soybeans, fruit, corn) 9.2%, industrial supplies
(organic chemicals) 26.8%, capital goods (transistors, aircraft, motor
vehicle parts, computers, telecommunications equipment) 49.0%,
consumer goods (automobiles, medicines) 15.0%
Main export partners Canada 19%, Mexico 13.3%, China 7%, Japan 4.5% (2012)
Imports $2.30 trillion (2013 est.)
Import goods Agricultural products 4.9%, industrial supplies 32.9% (crude oil
8.2%), capital goods 30.4% (computers, telecommunications
equipment, motor vehicle parts, office machines, electric power
machinery), consumer goods 31.8% (automobiles, clothing,
medicines, furniture, toys)
Main import partners China 19.3%, Canada 14.24%, Mexico 11.12%, Japan 6.14%,
Germany 4.3% (2012)
Gross domestic product (GDP)
Market value of all officially recognized final goods and services
produced within a country in a given period.
Gross domestic product (GDP)
10.59 11.09
11.80
12.56
13.31
13.96 14.22 13.86
14.45
15.09
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
GDPinTrillions
Year
GDP of USA
Gross domestic product (GDP) Growth Rate
1.83%
2.55%
3.48%
3.08%
2.66%
1.91%
-0.36%
-3.53%
3.02%
1.70%
-4.00%
-3.00%
-2.00%
-1.00%
0.00%
1.00%
2.00%
3.00%
4.00%
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
GDPGrowthRate
Year
GDP Growth Rate of USA
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP)
Total income earned by the nation’s factors of production, regardless of
where located
GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP)
10.66 11.14
11.91
12.76
13.63 14.10 14.39 13.94
14.64
15.23
0.00
2.00
4.00
6.00
8.00
10.00
12.00
14.00
16.00
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
GNPinTrillions
Year
GNP of USA
GDP COMPARISON
US
22%
China
11%
India
3%Japan
8%
Others
65%
GDP(2012)
US
32%
China
3%
India
1%
Others
51%
Japan
13%
GDP (2001)
INFLATION RATE
1.6
2.3
2.7
3.4
3.2
2.8
3.8
-0.4
1.6
3.2
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
InflationRate%
Year
Inflation Rate in USA
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
5.8 6
5.5 5.1
4.6 4.6
5.8
9.3 9.6
9
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
UnemploymentRate%
Year
Unemployment Rate in USA
WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX (WPI)
127.73
117.37
109.85
120.45
109.69 104.67 100
93.18
87.75 83.3 85.26 84.32
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
WPI
YEAR
WPI of USA
INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION (IIP)
-4,030,250
-2,473,599
-2,321,770
-3,260,158
-1,796,005
-2,191,653
-1,932,149
-2,253,026
-2,093,794-2,044,631
-1,875,032
-1,337,014
-4,500,000
-4,000,000
-3,500,000
-3,000,000
-2,500,000
-2,000,000
-1,500,000
-1,000,000
-500,000
0
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
IIP
YEAR
IIP of USA
PPI
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI)
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI)
Human Development Index for USA
Year
Human
Development
Index (HDI)
Life
expectancy at
birth
Mean years
of schooling
Expected
years of
schooling
Gross
National
Income (GNI)
per capita
GNI per
capita rank
minus HDI
rank
Non Income
HDI
2012 0.910 78.5 12.4 16.0 43,017 6 0.931
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI)
0.897
0.902
0.904
0.905
0.907
0.906
0.908
0.91
0.89
0.895
0.9
0.905
0.91
0.915
2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
HDI
Year
HDI for USA
Exports
Imports
Balance of Trade
Fiscal Deficit
$1.3 Trillion
Fiscal Deficit
More than 8%
of GDP
Fiscal Deficit
Close to the
1930’s Deficit
US Borrowings
From Bank And Investors
From Foreign Governments
From World Bank
US Borrowings 98% of GDP ($17.3 tril)
Revenues $2.77 trillion (individual income tax, 47.4%; social insurance,
34.2%; corporate taxes, 9.9%; other, 8.5% – 2013)
Expenses $3.45 trillion (Social Security, 23.2%; defence, 17.6%; Medicare,
14.3%;Medicaid, 7.7%; interest, 7.5%; unemployment, 2.0%;
education, 2.0%; other, 25.7% – 2013)
33
SUMMARY THOUGHTS
•Economic growth signals are still positive and
consumption is apparently rebounding, while
corporate earnings are strong.GOOD
BAD
UGLY
Unemployment, Housing, Interest Rates, and Oil all
loom as potential caution flags that could reverse
the good news story
Government debt and overall debt are not going away
as major issues that could reduce long term growth and
lead to unpleasant outcomes
34
Thank You

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Economy of USA 2013-2014

  • 2. The Economy of USA New York City, financial center of the United States Area Rank 9,826,675 km² 1st (nominal) / 1st (PPP) Currency US$ (USD) Fiscal year October 1 – September 30
  • 3. Statistics GDP $16.8 trillion (September 2012) GDP growth 1.9% (September 2012–September 2013) GDP per capita $53,101 (2013) (9th, nominal; 6th, PPP) GDP by sector Agriculture: 1.2%, industry: 19.2%, services: 79.6% (2012 est.) Inflation (CPI) 1.5% (September 2012–September 2013) Population below poverty line 15.1% (2012) Gini coefficient 0.48
  • 4. Labor force 156 million (includes 12.088 mil. unemployed, September 2013) Labor force by occupation farming, forestry, and fishing: 0.7% manufacturing, extraction, transportation, and crafts: 20.3% managerial, professional, and technical: 37.3% sales and office: 24.2% other services: 17.6% Unemployment 6.3% (September 2013) Average gross salary $49,000 (December 2013) Main industries highly diversified, world leading, high-technology innovator, second largest industrial output in world; petroleum, steel, motor vehicles, aerospace, telecommunications, chemicals, electronics, food processing, consumer goods, lumber, mining Ease of Doing Business Rank 4th
  • 5. External Exports $1.57 trillion (2013 est.) Export goods agricultural products (soybeans, fruit, corn) 9.2%, industrial supplies (organic chemicals) 26.8%, capital goods (transistors, aircraft, motor vehicle parts, computers, telecommunications equipment) 49.0%, consumer goods (automobiles, medicines) 15.0% Main export partners Canada 19%, Mexico 13.3%, China 7%, Japan 4.5% (2012) Imports $2.30 trillion (2013 est.)
  • 6. Import goods Agricultural products 4.9%, industrial supplies 32.9% (crude oil 8.2%), capital goods 30.4% (computers, telecommunications equipment, motor vehicle parts, office machines, electric power machinery), consumer goods 31.8% (automobiles, clothing, medicines, furniture, toys) Main import partners China 19.3%, Canada 14.24%, Mexico 11.12%, Japan 6.14%, Germany 4.3% (2012)
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Gross domestic product (GDP) Market value of all officially recognized final goods and services produced within a country in a given period.
  • 10. Gross domestic product (GDP) 10.59 11.09 11.80 12.56 13.31 13.96 14.22 13.86 14.45 15.09 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 GDPinTrillions Year GDP of USA
  • 11. Gross domestic product (GDP) Growth Rate 1.83% 2.55% 3.48% 3.08% 2.66% 1.91% -0.36% -3.53% 3.02% 1.70% -4.00% -3.00% -2.00% -1.00% 0.00% 1.00% 2.00% 3.00% 4.00% 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 GDPGrowthRate Year GDP Growth Rate of USA
  • 12. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP) Total income earned by the nation’s factors of production, regardless of where located
  • 13. GROSS NATIONAL PRODUCT (GNP) 10.66 11.14 11.91 12.76 13.63 14.10 14.39 13.94 14.64 15.23 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 GNPinTrillions Year GNP of USA
  • 15. INFLATION RATE 1.6 2.3 2.7 3.4 3.2 2.8 3.8 -0.4 1.6 3.2 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 InflationRate% Year Inflation Rate in USA
  • 16. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 5.8 6 5.5 5.1 4.6 4.6 5.8 9.3 9.6 9 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 UnemploymentRate% Year Unemployment Rate in USA
  • 17. WHOLESALE PRICE INDEX (WPI) 127.73 117.37 109.85 120.45 109.69 104.67 100 93.18 87.75 83.3 85.26 84.32 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 WPI YEAR WPI of USA
  • 18. INTERNATIONAL INVESTMENT POSITION (IIP) -4,030,250 -2,473,599 -2,321,770 -3,260,158 -1,796,005 -2,191,653 -1,932,149 -2,253,026 -2,093,794-2,044,631 -1,875,032 -1,337,014 -4,500,000 -4,000,000 -3,500,000 -3,000,000 -2,500,000 -2,000,000 -1,500,000 -1,000,000 -500,000 0 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 IIP YEAR IIP of USA
  • 19. PPI
  • 21. HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI) Human Development Index for USA Year Human Development Index (HDI) Life expectancy at birth Mean years of schooling Expected years of schooling Gross National Income (GNI) per capita GNI per capita rank minus HDI rank Non Income HDI 2012 0.910 78.5 12.4 16.0 43,017 6 0.931
  • 22. HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX (HDI) 0.897 0.902 0.904 0.905 0.907 0.906 0.908 0.91 0.89 0.895 0.9 0.905 0.91 0.915 2000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 HDI Year HDI for USA
  • 26.
  • 29. Fiscal Deficit Close to the 1930’s Deficit
  • 30. US Borrowings From Bank And Investors From Foreign Governments From World Bank
  • 31. US Borrowings 98% of GDP ($17.3 tril)
  • 32. Revenues $2.77 trillion (individual income tax, 47.4%; social insurance, 34.2%; corporate taxes, 9.9%; other, 8.5% – 2013) Expenses $3.45 trillion (Social Security, 23.2%; defence, 17.6%; Medicare, 14.3%;Medicaid, 7.7%; interest, 7.5%; unemployment, 2.0%; education, 2.0%; other, 25.7% – 2013)
  • 33. 33 SUMMARY THOUGHTS •Economic growth signals are still positive and consumption is apparently rebounding, while corporate earnings are strong.GOOD BAD UGLY Unemployment, Housing, Interest Rates, and Oil all loom as potential caution flags that could reverse the good news story Government debt and overall debt are not going away as major issues that could reduce long term growth and lead to unpleasant outcomes