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Lean Startups
Silicon Flatirons Crash Course
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/nateone/3768979925;
Zach Nies


            @zachnies
Why I care
about startups
Font Sampler




http://media.kelbymediagroup.com/layersmagazine/images/columns/artoftype/may06/glyph-set.jpg   http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Caslon-schriftmusterblatt.jpeg
2,500,000
         Customers

Revolutionized
 an industry
Amazing
team, culture,
 product, and
   process
One problem…
Bad business
Revolutionized
   nothing
Amazing
 team, culture,
product, process
I love to change
    industries
Apply new
  disciplines
to your startup
Become disciplined
   explorers…
who know how to
balance exploration
   and execution
Increase your
odds of success
What is a startup?
How do we navigate
 that uncertainty?
Explore     Execute
          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
When to explore vs
    execute?
Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
Where are you?
Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
What to do




Execute




    Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
What to do




   Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
What to do




   Big
Companies




     Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
Big
Companies
            h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/ironnickel/6076087519;
Startups

h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/elcapitan/2387917709;
What to do




Execute




    Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
Explore vs. Execute
30 years
of science
Unordered                    Ordered




Chaotic   Complex   Complicated Simple
Unordered                     Ordered


          Complex   Complicated
Chaotic                           Simple
Unordered                Ordered

      Complex    Complicated


       Chaotic     Simple
Unordered                                 Ordered
 Complex                                 Complicated
 Cause & Effect is only          Cause & Effect is not
 understandable in               obvious and requires
 retrospect, and is not          analysis or expertise
 repeatable


                                    Cause & Effect is
  Cause & Effect not                   obvious to all
  perceivable                       and is repeatable
 Chaotic                                       Simple
                       Cynefin
Music Industry in 2000 - Napster
 Complex                            Complicated
  Independent              Managing a large tour
  musicians self
  publishing online

                       Disorder
                 Managing a NIN tour


  Major label online              Major label CD
  distribution                      distribution
 Chaotic                                  Simple
Unordered                               Ordered
Unordered       Ordered
        E   E
        x   x
        p   e
        l   c
        o   u
        r   t
        e   e
Unordered       Ordered
        E   D
            e
        m   l
        e   i
        r   b
        g   e
        e   r
            a
        n   t
        t   e
Unordered       Ordered
        P
        r   P
        e
        p   l
        a   a
        r   n
        e
Unordered           Ordered
        E
        n
        t   G   M
        r   e   a
        e   n   n
        p   e   a
        r   r   g
        e   a   e
        n   l   r
        e
        u
        r
Ideal team sizes

Complex                          Complicated
 < 30 People                < 150 People




 < 7 People                 > 150 People
Chaotic                               Simple
Not Black and White
 Complex                                  Complicated
              Create              Create
            market buzz         sales comp
                                   plan
                                           Write
           Increase                      terms of
            signups                       service
                          Disorder

             Secure                  Order        ;
             hacked             office supplies
             server
 Chaotic                                              Simple
Unordered                                         Ordered
Market Dynamics
 Complex                         Complicated

            Product/market fit

                   Disorder




 Chaotic                              Simple
Unordered                           Ordered
What to do




Execute




    Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
Example – Rideorama
Brown,;Tim;(2009?09?16).;Change;by;Design;(Kindle;LocaPon;1984).;Harper;Collins,;Inc..;Kindle;EdiPon.;;
Market Dynamics
 Complex                      Complicated




 Chaotic                           Simple
Unordered                        Ordered
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/virtualeyesee/6107062655;
Create a plan to
predict the future
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/isaacmao/380257543;
Market research
               Product definition
            Product requirements
                    Detailed plan
                    Alpha release
                     Beta release
                     Final release
FIRST CONTACT WITH CUSTOMERS
Market research
               Product definition
            Product requirements
                    Detailed plan
                    Alpha release
                     Beta release
                     Final release
FIRST CONTACT WITH CUSTOMERS
Market research
               Product definition
            Product requirements
                    Detailed plan
                    Alpha release
                     Beta release
                     Final release
FIRST CONTACT WITH CUSTOMERS
Market research
               Product definition
            Product requirements
                    Detailed plan
                    Alpha release
                     Beta release
                     Final release
FIRST CONTACT WITH CUSTOMERS
Market research
               Product definition
            Product requirements
                    Detailed plan
                    Alpha release
                     Beta release
                     Final release
FIRST CONTACT WITH CUSTOMERS
Market research
               Product definition
            Product requirements
                    Detailed plan
                    Alpha release
                     Beta release
                     Final release
FIRST CONTACT WITH CUSTOMERS
Market research
               Product definition
            Product requirements
                    Detailed plan
                    Alpha release
                     Beta release
                     Final release
FIRST CONTACT WITH CUSTOMERS
HOW MANY GUESSES?
FIRST CONTACT WITH
POTENTIAL CUSTOMERS
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/oregondot/4132135156;
Create
   an environment
to discover the future
How?
Entrepreneurship

                    Vision;                                                                Culture
                                                    Business;Model;
            Frame                              Frame                              Frame                              Frame
                         Build & Ship




                                                            Build & Ship




                                                                                               Build & Ship




                                                                                                                                  Build & Ship
Learn




                                   Learn




                                                                      Learn




                                                                                                         Learn
        Test & Measure                     Test & Measure                     Test & Measure                     Test & Measure
Disciplined way to
turn all these guesses
   into knowledge
h"p://www.richard?feynman.net/gallery.htm;
TAKE EACH MAJOR GUESS
RUN AN EXPERIMENT
h"p://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iyjs3zeoSrM;
How do I run
 meaningful
experiments?
Maximize learning – Don Reinertsen




http://jchyip.blogspot.com/2010/05/lean-software-and-systems-conference.html
What could go wrong
    with that?
Vision




h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/klearchos/4541072707;
Lean Startup

Customer Development
Explore     Execute
          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Explore
          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Frame                                       Frame




                                                                                      Build & Ship
                         Build & Ship


                                        Learn
Learn




        Test & Measure                          Test & Measure




                 Explore                          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Startups are NOT
 smaller versions
of big companies
Discover and solve
customer’s problem
“Get out of
the building!”
Steve Blank
“Meaning
emerges through
  interaction”
        Dave Snowden
Explore
          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Business Model
Example – iPod
+                    Margin & Profit

                                                       Walkman for
                                                      the digital age

                           Design, Manufacturing,
                            Marketing, Support




h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/mrmonochrome/93535053;                       h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/75001512@N00/4683351383;
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/virtualeyesee/6107062655;
First big guess:

We understand the
problem a customer
   wants solved
Who is
feeling the pain?
What pain
are they feeling?
How do they make
that pain go away
      today?
“Customers don’t care
 about your solution.
 They care about their
 problems.
                  Dave McClure
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/adacPo/2535502416;
Typical
market research:

   Customer
   attributes
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/serpicolugnut/172616929;
Innovation
market research:

    Customer
 circumstances
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/serpicolugnut/172616929;
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/indigoprime/2481346616;
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/twostoutmonks/664314897;
Milkshake Test



    What job is
your solution being
 hired to perform?
Problem Interview Overview




Running Lean by Ash Maurya, page 118.
Example - Iridium
1987
1987            1999
       $5.2 B
1987            1999
       $5.2 B
   30,000 not 42M
1987                   1999
          $5.2 B
   30,000 not 42M

       Sold for $25M
Next big guess:

     Our product
solves the customer’s
    job to be done
Test your
low fidelity Minimum
   Viable Product
Solution Interview Overview




Running Lean by Ash Maurya, page 142.
Limited access
to a rough prototype
Example - $40 MVP
Next big guess:

Our business model
 can be profitable
Explore
          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Explore
          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Next big guess:

We can sell our offer
        or
  We can acquire
 and retain users
Sell to
Earlyvangelists
Next guess:

  We know how to
position our product
Product Positioning

For (target customers)
Who (have the following problem)
The (product name) is a (describe the
product or solution)
That provides (key benefit)
Unlike (reference competition),
The product/solution (describe the key
point of competitive differentiation)
Next guess:

We have the right tools
 to close customers
Next guess:

We can acquire and
activate customers
Sales Funnel




h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/carlagates247/5524789016;
Activation Funnel




h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/500hats/577630547;
Activation Funnel




h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/500hats/577630651;
Product Roadmap

       8/31/10;                10/30/10;                   1/?/11;                   3/?/11;


       Release 1                Release 2                 Release 3                 Release 4


Theme: UI                Theme: Reporting          Theme: Dashboards         Theme: Admin

For X, this UI release   For <who>, this release   For <who>, this release   For <who>, this release
provides <what value>    provides <what value>     provides <what value>     provides <what value>




Key Features:            Key Features:             Key Features:             Key Features:
    1. Feature A             4. Feature B’             7. Feature B’’            10. Feature F
    2. Feature B             5. Feature C’             8. Feature D’             11. Feature G
    3. Feature C             6. Feature D              9. Feature E
Next guess:

   We have a
valuable product
Get out and sell
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/Pnfoilraccoon/5555060858;
Pivot
    or
Persevere?
Execute
h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Explore     Execute
          h"p://www.slideshare.net/sblank/the?startup?owners?manual?sxsw?11954724;
Culture
Democratize data
Distribute
decision making
Diversity
  Independence
Decentralization
    Aggregation
No blame or shame
Example
Don’t squander
  your time
building
the wrong business
Do what you love
Love what you do
Books that informed this talk
People who informed this talk




 David      Max        Ash       Clayton
Snowden    Boisot     Maurya   Christensen




           Frank H.    Eric
            Knight     Ries
Geoffrey                          Steve
 Moore                            Blank
h"p://www.flickr.com/photos/fla"op341/224597838;
@zachnies

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