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ECB.com: Customer
Profiling and
Segmentation
Dr. Debra Zahay-Blatz
Aurora University
Dr. Blodwen Tarter
Golden Gate University
Jacobs and Clevenger Casewriter’s
Competition Presentation, McCormick Place
10/12/2013

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
We Know Customer Information
Management Breeds Success

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Problem: How can we teach
undergraduates/graduates the
fundamentals of data analysis?

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
ECB.com Business Model
• Sells coupons directly to consumers online
(formerly a print service)
• Coupons are used directly for types of
entertainment
• $25 coupon for a restaurant (the data used here)
is only $10.

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Problem Setup:
• Data analytics team ponders segmentation
• Points of view: two junior analysts
• Existing customer segmentation: New, Engaged,
Lapsed, Inactive (RFM)
• Can we ‘beat the control’?
• Are there other insights?

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Student Goals
•Understand how to read and interpret a data dictionary for a
customer database.
•Be able to run basic descriptive analysis on customer data and analyze
it.
•Be able to create a case summary report using a grouping variable,
such as cluster membership.
•Be able to use a TwoStep Cluster Analysis to create customer
segments in SPSS and interpret the results.
•Understand the basic principles of an outside segmentation scheme
created by a data vendor and what the segments might look like.
•(Optional): Be able to determine the effects of missing data in a
customer database.
•Understand the basics of what a Marketing Data Analyst does in
his/her job.
Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Case Approaches
• All or part of the case
• Analysis or interpretation
• Data vs. strategy
• SPSS vs. Excel vs. just interpretation

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Understanding a Data Dictionary
is a Stand-Alone Lesson
DATA DICTIONARY
Variable Name
Unique ID
Transaction/Segment
Data
# days since last order
# of Orders
# of Certificates
Revenue
Tenure (in days)
Lifecycletenurerecovery

Average Order Value
Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013

Description
Unique Identifier for Customer

# of days since last order (recency) in the last 3
years
# of Orders in the last 3 years
# of Certificates in the last 3 years
Revenue in the last 3 years
# of days since first order with ECB
New = First order with ECB in the last 3 months
Engaged = Last order was within the last 6
months (and not new)
Lapsed = Last order was 6 - 12 months ago
Inactive = Last order was over 12 months ago
Revenue / # of Orders in the last 3 years
Q1: Typical Customer from
Descriptives
Descriptive Statistics
Days since Last order

N
Minimum Maximum
60000
1
1095

No. of Orders

60000

1

961

2.75

5.373

No. of Certificats

60000

1

1043

8.45

13.629

Revenue

60000

$.00

$5,193.90

$26.1003

$41.53822

Tenure in Days

60000

10

2612

589.10

446.789

Avg. Order Value

60000

$.00

$920.00

$11.7441

$13.93730

No. of orders
w/promotion
No. of orders w/o
promotion

60000

0

409

2.47

4.010

60000

0

44

.44

1.049

No. of orders w/ 80
percent off promotion

60000

0

156

1.53

2.530

No. of orders w/ 90
percent off promotion
Valid N (listwise)

60000

0

15

.16

.501

60000

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013

Mean
Std. Deviation
386.57
295.136
Q2: Segment Behavior from
Case Summary
Case Summaries

lifecycletenurerecovery
Engaged
N

Dayssincelast Numberoford
order
ers
13521
13521

avgordervalu
e
Revenue
13521
13521

Mean
N

26177

26177

26177

26177

673.87

1.81

$19.7037

$12.4295

N

15610

15610

15610

15610

263.46

2.62

$25.6383

$11.7408

N

4692

4692

4692

4692

41.93

1.38

$17.5838

$13.4102

N

60000

60000

60000

60000

Mean

Total

$9.8431

Mean

New

$41.9729

Mean

Lapsed

5.19

Mean

Inactive

92.07

386.57

2.75

$26.1003

$11.7441

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Q2: Try to “beat the control”

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Q2: Use the exercise to explain
clustering procedures

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Q3: Data Vendors
• Nielsen PRIZM (formerly Claritas)
• Experian
• Axciom
• ESRI Tapestry

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
Bonus: 80/20 Rule
Case Summaries: Current Segmentation Scheme, about 42% of
revenue in last three years comes from Engaged and New
Customers (30%, (13521+4692)/60000) under the old
Segmentation Scheme

Revenue
lifecycletenurereco
very
Engaged

% of Total
Sum
N
Mean
Sum
13521 $41.9729 $567,515.84
36.2%

Inactive

26177 $19.7037 $515,782.78

32.9%

Lapsed

15610 $25.6383 $400,214.35

25.6%

4692 $17.5838 $82,502.97

5.3%

New
Total
Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013

60000 $26.1003

$1.57E6

100.0%
Contact information
• Dr. Debra Zahay-Blatz
• dzahayblatz@aurora.edu
• Cell 630-300-8838
• Work 630-844-3825

• Dr. Blodwen Tarter
• btarter@ggu.edu
• Work 415-442-6587

Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013

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Teaching Descriptive Analytics, Customer Profiling and Clustering

  • 1. ECB.com: Customer Profiling and Segmentation Dr. Debra Zahay-Blatz Aurora University Dr. Blodwen Tarter Golden Gate University Jacobs and Clevenger Casewriter’s Competition Presentation, McCormick Place 10/12/2013 Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 2. We Know Customer Information Management Breeds Success Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 3. Problem: How can we teach undergraduates/graduates the fundamentals of data analysis? Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 4. ECB.com Business Model • Sells coupons directly to consumers online (formerly a print service) • Coupons are used directly for types of entertainment • $25 coupon for a restaurant (the data used here) is only $10. Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 5. Problem Setup: • Data analytics team ponders segmentation • Points of view: two junior analysts • Existing customer segmentation: New, Engaged, Lapsed, Inactive (RFM) • Can we ‘beat the control’? • Are there other insights? Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 6. Student Goals •Understand how to read and interpret a data dictionary for a customer database. •Be able to run basic descriptive analysis on customer data and analyze it. •Be able to create a case summary report using a grouping variable, such as cluster membership. •Be able to use a TwoStep Cluster Analysis to create customer segments in SPSS and interpret the results. •Understand the basic principles of an outside segmentation scheme created by a data vendor and what the segments might look like. •(Optional): Be able to determine the effects of missing data in a customer database. •Understand the basics of what a Marketing Data Analyst does in his/her job. Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 7. Case Approaches • All or part of the case • Analysis or interpretation • Data vs. strategy • SPSS vs. Excel vs. just interpretation Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 8. Understanding a Data Dictionary is a Stand-Alone Lesson DATA DICTIONARY Variable Name Unique ID Transaction/Segment Data # days since last order # of Orders # of Certificates Revenue Tenure (in days) Lifecycletenurerecovery Average Order Value Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013 Description Unique Identifier for Customer # of days since last order (recency) in the last 3 years # of Orders in the last 3 years # of Certificates in the last 3 years Revenue in the last 3 years # of days since first order with ECB New = First order with ECB in the last 3 months Engaged = Last order was within the last 6 months (and not new) Lapsed = Last order was 6 - 12 months ago Inactive = Last order was over 12 months ago Revenue / # of Orders in the last 3 years
  • 9. Q1: Typical Customer from Descriptives Descriptive Statistics Days since Last order N Minimum Maximum 60000 1 1095 No. of Orders 60000 1 961 2.75 5.373 No. of Certificats 60000 1 1043 8.45 13.629 Revenue 60000 $.00 $5,193.90 $26.1003 $41.53822 Tenure in Days 60000 10 2612 589.10 446.789 Avg. Order Value 60000 $.00 $920.00 $11.7441 $13.93730 No. of orders w/promotion No. of orders w/o promotion 60000 0 409 2.47 4.010 60000 0 44 .44 1.049 No. of orders w/ 80 percent off promotion 60000 0 156 1.53 2.530 No. of orders w/ 90 percent off promotion Valid N (listwise) 60000 0 15 .16 .501 60000 Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013 Mean Std. Deviation 386.57 295.136
  • 10. Q2: Segment Behavior from Case Summary Case Summaries lifecycletenurerecovery Engaged N Dayssincelast Numberoford order ers 13521 13521 avgordervalu e Revenue 13521 13521 Mean N 26177 26177 26177 26177 673.87 1.81 $19.7037 $12.4295 N 15610 15610 15610 15610 263.46 2.62 $25.6383 $11.7408 N 4692 4692 4692 4692 41.93 1.38 $17.5838 $13.4102 N 60000 60000 60000 60000 Mean Total $9.8431 Mean New $41.9729 Mean Lapsed 5.19 Mean Inactive 92.07 386.57 2.75 $26.1003 $11.7441 Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 11. Q2: Try to “beat the control” Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 12. Q2: Use the exercise to explain clustering procedures Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 13. Q3: Data Vendors • Nielsen PRIZM (formerly Claritas) • Experian • Axciom • ESRI Tapestry Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013
  • 14. Bonus: 80/20 Rule Case Summaries: Current Segmentation Scheme, about 42% of revenue in last three years comes from Engaged and New Customers (30%, (13521+4692)/60000) under the old Segmentation Scheme Revenue lifecycletenurereco very Engaged % of Total Sum N Mean Sum 13521 $41.9729 $567,515.84 36.2% Inactive 26177 $19.7037 $515,782.78 32.9% Lapsed 15610 $25.6383 $400,214.35 25.6% 4692 $17.5838 $82,502.97 5.3% New Total Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013 60000 $26.1003 $1.57E6 100.0%
  • 15. Contact information • Dr. Debra Zahay-Blatz • dzahayblatz@aurora.edu • Cell 630-300-8838 • Work 630-844-3825 • Dr. Blodwen Tarter • btarter@ggu.edu • Work 415-442-6587 Copyright by Debra Zahay-Blatz and Blodwen Tarter 2013

Hinweis der Redaktion

  1. Students know information mangement breeds success but not the techniques to do so