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- 1. CFO BriefCasting
XEFFICIENCY CONSULTING LLP
FX Risk Management Research & Advisory
Market at a Glance
50
52
54
56
USDINR [2011−11−10/2013−03−23]
Last 54.4288
Nov 10
2011
Feb 01
2012
May 01
2012
Jul 01
2012
Sep 01
2012
Dec 01
2012
Mar 01
2013
1.25
1.30
1.35
EURUSD [2011−11−10/2013−03−23]
Last 1.2937
Nov 10
2011
Feb 01
2012
May 01
2012
Jul 01
2012
Sep 01
2012
Dec 01
2012
Mar 01
2013
4800
5000
5200
5400
5600
5800
6000
NIFTY [2012−03−13/2013−03−19]
Last 5745.95
Mar 13
2012
May 02
2012
Jul 02
2012
Sep 03
2012
Nov 01
2012
Jan 01
2013
Mar 01
2013
www.xefficiency.co.in
fxmonitoring@xefficiency.co.in
1 Global Economy
US Fed kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.25 per cent. Two out
of three major economic releases in US, were better than markets
expectation. However the real estate sector of US continued to
under perform and prices are far below
2 Currency
Euro, came off sharply to 1.28 facing the biggest consecutive daily
fall recorded since Jan 2012. The pressure will build up on Rupee
today. We continue to see the level of 54.50 as short term resis-
tance as mentioned in our Weekly Currency Report. We suggest
the imports to be hedged according to the upper confidence level
and exports according to the lower confidence level of the monthly
VaR (Value at Risk).
3 Equity
NSE (5,745.95) released 89 points yesterday. We may see some
buying to come today. EURO STOXX 50 (2671) lost 33 point
during the last trading day. S&P 500 (1548) came off marginally
by 3.7 percent. Better than expected Building Permit and Hous-
ing Starts statistical releases managed to reduce build up negative
investor sentiment created out of issues in Euro Area.
4 Interest rate
10Y GoI bonds yields increased marginally by 1 bps to 7.91 per
cent. 1M and 3M USD LIBOR remained stable at 0.20 per cent
and 0.28 per cent. German10Y bund yield came off to 1.35 per
cent (-6bps). Thus the 10Y US and German yield differential
stood at 55 bps.
Watchout Today (Time is in IST)
13:30 EUR German PPI (MoM) : 0.2 %(exp); 0.8 % (prev)
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