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CFO BriefCasting
XEFFICIENCY CONSULTING LLP
FX Risk Management Research & Advisory
Market at a Glance
50
52
54
56
USDINR [2011−11−10/2013−03−23]
Last 54.4288
Nov 10
2011
Feb 01
2012
May 01
2012
Jul 01
2012
Sep 01
2012
Dec 01
2012
Mar 01
2013
1.25
1.30
1.35
EURUSD [2011−11−10/2013−03−23]
Last 1.2937
Nov 10
2011
Feb 01
2012
May 01
2012
Jul 01
2012
Sep 01
2012
Dec 01
2012
Mar 01
2013
4800
5000
5200
5400
5600
5800
6000
NIFTY [2012−03−13/2013−03−19]
Last 5745.95
Mar 13
2012
May 02
2012
Jul 02
2012
Sep 03
2012
Nov 01
2012
Jan 01
2013
Mar 01
2013
www.xefficiency.co.in
fxmonitoring@xefficiency.co.in
1 Global Economy
US Fed kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.25 per cent. Two out
of three major economic releases in US, were better than markets
expectation. However the real estate sector of US continued to
under perform and prices are far below
2 Currency
Euro, came off sharply to 1.28 facing the biggest consecutive daily
fall recorded since Jan 2012. The pressure will build up on Rupee
today. We continue to see the level of 54.50 as short term resis-
tance as mentioned in our Weekly Currency Report. We suggest
the imports to be hedged according to the upper confidence level
and exports according to the lower confidence level of the monthly
VaR (Value at Risk).
3 Equity
NSE (5,745.95) released 89 points yesterday. We may see some
buying to come today. EURO STOXX 50 (2671) lost 33 point
during the last trading day. S&P 500 (1548) came off marginally
by 3.7 percent. Better than expected Building Permit and Hous-
ing Starts statistical releases managed to reduce build up negative
investor sentiment created out of issues in Euro Area.
4 Interest rate
10Y GoI bonds yields increased marginally by 1 bps to 7.91 per
cent. 1M and 3M USD LIBOR remained stable at 0.20 per cent
and 0.28 per cent. German10Y bund yield came off to 1.35 per
cent (-6bps). Thus the 10Y US and German yield differential
stood at 55 bps.
Watchout Today (Time is in IST)
13:30 EUR German PPI (MoM) : 0.2 %(exp); 0.8 % (prev)
© 2012 XEFFICIENCY CONSULTING LLP. All rights reserved. For sales query: 91 8595422942

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Cfo briefcasting23mar2013

  • 1. CFO BriefCasting XEFFICIENCY CONSULTING LLP FX Risk Management Research & Advisory Market at a Glance 50 52 54 56 USDINR [2011−11−10/2013−03−23] Last 54.4288 Nov 10 2011 Feb 01 2012 May 01 2012 Jul 01 2012 Sep 01 2012 Dec 01 2012 Mar 01 2013 1.25 1.30 1.35 EURUSD [2011−11−10/2013−03−23] Last 1.2937 Nov 10 2011 Feb 01 2012 May 01 2012 Jul 01 2012 Sep 01 2012 Dec 01 2012 Mar 01 2013 4800 5000 5200 5400 5600 5800 6000 NIFTY [2012−03−13/2013−03−19] Last 5745.95 Mar 13 2012 May 02 2012 Jul 02 2012 Sep 03 2012 Nov 01 2012 Jan 01 2013 Mar 01 2013 www.xefficiency.co.in fxmonitoring@xefficiency.co.in 1 Global Economy US Fed kept its policy rate unchanged at 0.25 per cent. Two out of three major economic releases in US, were better than markets expectation. However the real estate sector of US continued to under perform and prices are far below 2 Currency Euro, came off sharply to 1.28 facing the biggest consecutive daily fall recorded since Jan 2012. The pressure will build up on Rupee today. We continue to see the level of 54.50 as short term resis- tance as mentioned in our Weekly Currency Report. We suggest the imports to be hedged according to the upper confidence level and exports according to the lower confidence level of the monthly VaR (Value at Risk). 3 Equity NSE (5,745.95) released 89 points yesterday. We may see some buying to come today. EURO STOXX 50 (2671) lost 33 point during the last trading day. S&P 500 (1548) came off marginally by 3.7 percent. Better than expected Building Permit and Hous- ing Starts statistical releases managed to reduce build up negative investor sentiment created out of issues in Euro Area. 4 Interest rate 10Y GoI bonds yields increased marginally by 1 bps to 7.91 per cent. 1M and 3M USD LIBOR remained stable at 0.20 per cent and 0.28 per cent. German10Y bund yield came off to 1.35 per cent (-6bps). Thus the 10Y US and German yield differential stood at 55 bps. Watchout Today (Time is in IST) 13:30 EUR German PPI (MoM) : 0.2 %(exp); 0.8 % (prev) © 2012 XEFFICIENCY CONSULTING LLP. All rights reserved. For sales query: 91 8595422942