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16
                         21 June 2012




SPECIAL REPORT
The Cypriot presidency of the EU
Times are diffi-                                                                                                                                                     ARCHIVE          it will boycott the presidency
                                                                                                                                                                                      in its entirety. The Turkish
cult, but success                                                                                                                                                                     Cypriots are largely ignoring
                                                                                                                                                                                      the presidency. But the dan-
is not beyond                                                                                                                                                                         ger remains that Cyprus’s
Cyprus’s reach as                                                                                                                                                                     non-relations with Turkey
                                                                                                                                                                                      will surface as a problem.
it takes over the                                                                                                                                                                        Any presidency’s inten-
                                                                                                                                                                                      tions can be blown off course
presidency of the                                                                                                                                                                     by unexpected challenges.
EU, writes                                                                                                                                                                            And Cyprus’s aspirations to
                                                                                                                                                                                      be an honest broker would
Andrew Gardner                                                                                                                                                                        mean little if it lacks the staff
                                                                                                                                                                                      to broker deals. For Cyprus,
Cyprus starts out on its pres-                                                                                                                                                        the challenge is all the greater
idency of the European                                                                                                                                                                because it is, geographically,
Union’s Council of Ministers                                                                                                                                                          the most remote presidency
knowing that expectations                                                                                                                                                             that there has ever been.
are low and apprehension is                                                                                                                                                              The national air carrier has
high. The intractable division                                                                                                                                                        responded by setting up six
of its Greek south and Turk-                                                                                                                                                          direct flights a week from
ish north has made Cyprus a                                                                                                                                                           Nicosia to Brussels for the
synonym for division. This                                                                                                                                                            duration of the presidency,
presidency will be adminis-                                                                                                                                                           but the main decision has
tered only by the Greek                                                                                                                                                               been to make this a Brussels-
Cypriot government, which                                                                                                                                                             based presidency. Informal
rules over a population of just                                                                                                                                                       ministerial meetings will be
800,000. The permanent                                                                                                                                                                held in a conference centre in



                                        Right place, wrong time?
representation to the EU                                                                                                                                                              Nicosia, newly revamped for
normally numbers just 80                                                                                                                                                              the presidency, but almost all
people.                                                                                                                                                                               other meetings will be held in
   Even in ordinary times,                                                                                                                                                            Brussels. The permanent
these handicaps would make                                                                                                                                                            representation in Brussels
the presidency a challenge.                                                                                                                                                           has been swollen to 230 peo-
But these are not the best of                                                                                                                                                         ple for a year, by re-deploying
times: the eurozone is in cri-     fective. Hungary’s Prime            ment points out that it has         tural or Fisheries Policies.        caused Cyprus not to recog-            civil servants who normally
sis, neighbouring Greece is        Minister Victor Orbán fo-           just one national priority, an      Cyprus contributes more             nise Kosovo as a state. It even        work in Nicosia.
in turmoil and, just half a        cused on his domestic inter-        integrated maritime strategy        than it receives from the EU’s      contributes to the closeness              This mobilisation, which
day’s boat trip away, Syria is     ests, and treated the presi-        (see opposite page). The rest       budget, which, politically,         of Cyprus’s relationship with          includes the creation of a post
in flames.                         dency as a responsibility to be     of its agenda is inherited, and     should make it easier to            Russia, which may this sum-            of minister of EU affairs
   That need not doom              left largely in the hands of the    its approach to the agenda is       achieve its aim of champi-          mer save it from an EU and             specifically for the presiden-
Cyprus’s presidency from the       civil service.                      to be an honest broker.             oning solidarity. It claims to      International       Monetary           cy, is a mark of an adminis-
outset. Other presidencies            The government says the                                              be a small country with few         Fund bail-out. The success of          tration that is being stretched
have also had ill-starred          Cypriot presidency (or              An honest broker                    irons in the fire.                  the presidency may depend              by its responsibility to the
starts. Within days of assum-      Cyprus presidency, as it in-        For a country of its size and          But the one big iron that        on whether the issue of                EU. Unsurprisingly, then, the
ing the presidency in 2011,        sists on calling it, in another     economic structure, the role        remains has caused many             Turkey can be anaesthetised            presidency is limiting its own
Hungary was caught in a po-        sign of community sensitivi-        of honest broker comes nat-         problems. The division of the       for the duration of the presi-         ambitions.
litical storm about its media      ties) is an opportunity – but       urally. The Cypriot popula-         island has retarded progress        dency.                                    Low expectations may
law, which continued to            for self-transformation and         tion depends on services,           in the EU’s relationship with          Cyprus itself does not in-          have a benefit for the presi-
thunder, yet the presidency        modernisation, rather than          rather than on money from           Turkey, complicated the EU’s        tend to raise issues related to        dency: it leaves room for wel-
was generally praised as ef-       self-projection. The govern-        the EU’s Common Agricul-            security ties with NATO, and        Turkey. Turkey has said that           come surprises.

                                                                                                                                                MIGRATION AND ASYLUM
Money worries and border battles                                                                                                                Cyprus lies in a difficult neighbourhood; Syria’s and Lebanon’s ports
                                                                                                                                                lie half a day’s boat trip away, and Turkey, its nearest neighbour, is the
                                                                                                                                                main transit country for migrants seeking to reach the EU. That is
                                                                       fated to lose. But the defini-      broker does not mean being a         why Cyprus worries about migration, especially illegal migration.
The euro and the Schengen area are                                     tion of loss and victory is not     neutral broker.
                                                                                                                                                  On a visit to Malta earlier this month, Demetris Christofias, the
                                                                                                                                                president of Cyprus, said that the two Mediterranean islands had
daunting challenges for the Cypriots,                                  whether Cyprus gets its way.            On some of the other big         “common worries and interests” over irregular immigration. “We’re
                                                                       Rather, says another diplo-         items for the EU – including         not racists but we must defend the rights of our countries,” he said.
writes Andrew Gardner                                                  mat, from a previous presi-         the Common Agricultural              Amnesty International, an advocacy group, said this month that
                                                                       dency, success means proving        Policy – it will not have much       Cyprus detained too many asylum-seekers and other migrants, often
The contours of Cyprus’s              The Cypriot analysis is that     to other member states that it      influence, but Cyprus’s envi-        in poor conditions, and pointed out various deficiencies in its laws.
presidency may be signifi-         “90% to 95% of the presiden-        has done everything it can –        ronmental agenda has prior-          The figures are low; but Cyprus feels vulnerable to the vagaries of
cantly adjusted just days be-      cy will be economic”, which is      showing that, if a deal is elu-     ities that are attainable –          migration flows.
fore the presidency starts,        why the presidency has              sive, it is because of national     agreements on trans-Euro-              This exposure could make it difficult for Cyprus to act, or be
                                                                                                                                                perceived, as an honest broker in the complex negotiations currently
when EU leaders meet in            brought more civil servants to      capitals.                           pean networks, on monitor-           under way between member states, and between member states and
Brussels on 28-29 June.            Brussels from the finance                                               ing greenhouse-gas emis-             the European Parliament, on the various elements of the Common
   The Cypriots are painfully      ministry in Nicosia than from       Technical issues                    sions, on water use, and a           European Asylum System, which is supposed to be launched by the
aware that the eurozone debt       the foreign ministry. One of        The Polish presidency in the        successor to the LIFE+ envi-         end of the year.
crisis is in flux. Its own econ-   these officials’ tasks will be to   second half of 2011 did “a very     ronment fund.
omy – otherwise largely de-        prepare meetings of finance         good job of clearing technical          Agreement on these issues
tached from Greece – is being      ministers, which the presi-         issues”, he says. Denmark has       would offer some consolation
                                                                                                                                                SCHENGEN
dragged down by Cypriot            dency argues will be easier for     been trying to push talks           if its own national priority – to    Another issue that will land in Cyprus’s lap is the EU’s Schengen area
banks’ exposure to Greece.         Cyprus than it was for the          ahead as far as possible with-      revive the notion of an inte-        of borderless travel. The European Parliament last week suspended
And the eurozone’s troubles        previous three presidencies –       out putting numbers on the          grated EU maritime policy –          co-operation on justice and home-affairs matters with Denmark, the
are not contained. “Two sym-       Denmark, Hungary and                table. The task that faces          proves too much of a chal-           current holder of the rotating presidency, because of a decision by
                                                                                                                                                member states to change the legal basis of a proposal for revised
bols of the EU itself are under    Poland – because Cyprus is a        Cyprus is to harness the “very,     lenge (see article overleaf).        rules on Schengen, in effect excluding MEPs from decision-making.
threat – the euro and the          member of the eurozone.             very strong need to agree”                                               Cyprus has so far escaped MEPs’ censure, but that may change once
Schengen zone,” says a presi-         The other daunting chal-         positions and to communi-           Syrian concerns                      it falls to Cypriot diplomats to represent the Council’s view in talks
dency spokesman, going on          lenge is negotiations on the        cate well enough to ensure          Syria is the likeliest external      with the Parliament.
to argue that the economic         EU’s spending for 2014-20,          the political ground is well        source of difficulties for the         The Dutch government is expected to drop its opposition to Bulgar-
crisis and the accompanying        the multiannual financial           prepared for a deal.                presidency. Cyprus’s proxim-         ia’s and Romania’s membership of the Schengen area following the
erosion of trust are encourag-     framework.                             Cyprus’s own position em-        ity to the Middle East will un-      Dutch parliamentary election in September. That would leave Cyprus
ing proponents of limits on           The long-term budget             phasises solidarity. It is one of   doubtedly make it sensitive to       as the only country in the EU apart from the UK and Ireland that
border-free travel and rein-       touches on every issue. “It is a    the 15 members of the               developments in the region           remains outside the Schengen area, because the recognised
                                                                                                                                                government does not control the entire territory of the island.
forcing opposition to sharing      litmus paper,” says a diplomat      Friends of the Cohesion Poli-       and, if foreign-policy initia-
the burden of coping with il-      from another member state,          cy trying to protect the policy     tives emerge during the pres-
legal migration, an important      and “without a good narrative       from cuts by the largest con-       idency, they might well relate      with both the Arab world and           kept its embassy in Tripoli
concern for Cyprus and other       on that, they will have lost”. If   tributors – an affiliation that     to that region. Cyprus likes to     Israel, and it has during the          open. These six months may
Mediterranean states.              so, a small country might be        demonstrates that an honest         talk up its friendly relations      Libyan crisis, like Hungary,           test the value of those ties.
THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU                                                                                                            21 June 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                                     17




An island of alliances and divisions
                                                                                                                                                  EU officials will be relieved      International Crisis Group, a
                                                                                                                                               that the Czech scenario, of           think-tank. AKEL has not yet
                                                                                                                                               a government collapsing               chosen a candidate and is
                                                                                                                                               halfway through its turn at           non-committal about a possi-
                                                                                                                                               the helm of the EU’s Council          ble alliance with DIKO.
The Cypriot president will not contest                              AKEL, who came second. In            DIKO – which opposes ac-              of Ministers, is unlikely to be          DISY, the moderate, cen-
                                                                    the week that separated the          commodation with the Turk-            repeated. In any case, it is less     tre-right opposition party, will
the next election, and it is unclear who                            two rounds, DIKO swung its           ish Cypriot community –               of a problem for a Cypriot            send Nicos Anastassiades, its
                                                                    support behind Christofias,          ended up impeding the new             government to lack a parlia-          leader, into the race. Pope de-
his successor will be, writes Toby Vogel                            who won the presidency with          president’s ability to strike a       mentary majority than it              scribes Anastassiades as “a lit-
                                                                    53.4% to Kasoulides’s 46.6%.         deal in the reunification talks,      would be in other member              tle untested”, but says that he
The last presidential election        Kasoulides had cam-              The episode illustrates a         which he launched within a            states. “Patronage and lever-         has “one of the most positive
in Cyprus, on 17 February          paigned in favour of a United    point made by James Ker-             month of his victory.                 age is far more important             approaches to the Cyprus
2008, produced a surprise:         Nations settlement plan in       Lindsay, a research fellow at           Following DIKO’s depar-            than legislative work,” says          problem”. “He was brave
the incumbent, the right-          2004, Papadopoulos had           the European Institute of the        ture from the ruling coalition        Ker-Lindsay. The ability to           enough to say ‘Yes’ and cam-
wing nationalist Tassos Pa-        been against it. The plan,       London School of Economics           last year, after a blast at a navy    hand out jobs depends on              paign for the Annan plan in
padopoulos from the Demo-          named after the UN secre-        and Political Science. “Even         base knocked out more                 being in power, not on being          2004,” Pope says.
cratic Party (DIKO) failed to      tary-general of the time, Kofi   though Cyprus has a presi-           than half of the republic’s           effective in power.                      But the shift in voters’ at-
win enough votes to proceed        Annan, was rejected by the       dential system, politics is all      power-generation capacity,                                                  tention from the island’s divi-
to the second round, held one      Greek Cypriots in a referen-     about coalitions,” he says. “The     Christofias now heads a mi-           No frontrunner                        sion to the parlous state of its
week later. He was beaten by       dum just days before Cyprus      Cypriot president has more           nority government that in-            What might emerge from                economy has created a new
Ioannis Kasoulides from the        joined the EU. But Ka-           power than any other Euro-           cludes several technocrats.           February’s presidential elec-         dynamic in domestic politics
centre-right Democratic Ral-       soulides was fewer than          pean leader, but in order to get     But until his term in office          tion is unclear. “The race is         in Cyprus. How this might
ly (DISY), with 33.5% of the       1,000 votes ahead of             elected he needs to strike deals     ends in February, Christofias         wide open,” says Hugh Pope,           play out next February will
vote against Papadopoulos’s        Demetris Christofias, the        with other parties.”                 and his government are se-            a researcher on Cyprus and            become clearer during the
31.8%.                             candidate of the Communist          Christofias’s alliance with       cure.                                 Turkey in Istanbul with the           next six months.


Back from
the depths                                       CYPRUS:
In 2007, the Portuguese
presidency of the Council of
                                                 A Dynamic International Business                                                                                         CYPRUS
                                                                                                                                                                          INVEST WITH CONFIDENCE
Ministers spearheaded an
‘integrated maritime policy’                     and Financial Centre at the
that contained a great many
promises. The packed action
plan promised to establish a
                                                 Crossroads of Three Continents
network of “motorways of
the sea” throughout Europe,
eliminate illegal fishing, and
mitigate the effects of cli-                     “We are very happy to have selected
mate change on coasts.                           Cyprus as a base and aspire to maintain,
   Five years later, and there
is no integrated maritime                        lead   and    expand     our    operations
strategy. “There was a lot of                    from the island. Cyprus’ accession
discussion...but since then
we have not heard much                           to European Union has enhanced the
about it,” said Eleni Mari-                      country’s credit standing, transferring
anou, secretary-general of
the Conference of Peripher-                      the image of a low tax jurisdiction to
al Maritime Regions.
                                                 a serious regional trading and service
   Cyprus, as a maritime
island state, says reviving the                  hub. We also believe that the Euro
policy is one of the main
                                                 Zone entry upgrades the country’s
goals of its period at the head
of the EU. In October, an in-                    standing within the European Union.”
formal ministerial confer-
ence will be held in                                                  Mehran Eftekar, Director
Limassol with the aim of                                            Nest Investments Holdings
producing a ‘Limassol decla-
ration’ that sets out the pri-
orities for action.                                                                                    Cyprus is an attractive investment destination and a reputable international business
   Earlier this month,                                                                                 and financial centre that provides a gateway to Europe, the Middle East and North
Efthemios        Flourentzou,
                                                                                                       Africa. Cyprus provides a thriving market oriented economic system combined with low
Cyprus’s minister for com-
                                                                                                       cost and flexibility features along with:
munications and works,
said the declaration would
mark “a new drive for the                                                                                Lowest corporate tax regime in the EU of 10%
further development and                                                                                  A centre for Banking Excellence and an Alternative Funds jurisdiction
implementation of this in-                                                                               Effective and transparent tax system that is fully EU, OECD, FATF and FSF compliant
novative,        cross-cutting                                                                           Access to EU as a member state since 2004 and a member of the European Monetary
policy”.
                                                                                                         Union since 2008
                                                                                                         An extensive network of Double Tax Treaties with 43 countries
Progress report
The European Commission                                                                                  Relatively lower operating costs with high quality end-to-end business services
is expected to present a                                                                                 Highly qualified and well-trained professionals who provide expertise on all aspects of
progress report on the inte-                     If you are looking for                                  banking, legal, accounting and business services
grated maritime policy at                        a new business and                                      Advanced transport and telecommunications infrastructure with state-of-the-art high-speed
the October conference,                                                                                  internet and mobile telecommunications, two International airports and deep-sea ports
which will be attended by                        investment gateway, take
Maria Damanaki, the Euro-                        the time and consider                                 Cyprus offers ease of doing business in a professional environment and the
pean commissioner for fish-
eries and maritime affairs,                      Cyprus. Combining a                                   surroundings of a sophisticated culture and advanced quality of life. More than just
and José Manuel Barroso,                                                                               a holiday destination, Cyprus provides the ideal environment to set up your business
the president of the Com-
                                                 rewarding standard of                                 operations effectively and efficiently.
mission.                                         living in tune with nature
   The declaration will not
contain  plans, dates or dead-                   and Cypriot hospitality,
                                                                                                                      Cyprus has more than 30 years experience
lines. But it will indicate pol-                 Cyprus is a dynamic place                                        as an International Business and Financial Centre
icy areas that need to be
strengthened and ways in                         to live and work!
which maritime policies can
be better linked.                                                                                                                     P.O.Box 27032
                                                                                                                                      Lefkosia 1641, Cyprus
   The Cypriot government                                                                                                             Tel. + 357 22 441133
                                                                                                                                      Fax + 357 22 441134           The Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Tourism
hopes that this push for an                                                                                                           www.cipa.org.cy               Tel. + 357 22 867100, Fax + 357 22 375120
integrated policy will last                                                                                                           info@cipa.org.cy              www.mcit.gov.cy/ts, perm.sec@mcit.gov.cy

longer than its predecessor.
                   Dave Keating
18
                         21 June 2012       THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU


Cyprus’s movers and shakers
   DEMETRIS CHRISTOFIAS
   President
   Demetris Christofias, the president of the Republic of Cyprus, has always stood out among European leaders. He is the
   only Communist in a group dominated by the centre-right; he is the only president in the EU to head his country’s
   government; and he is one of just two presidents to hold real executive power (the other is the president of France).
     But, last month, Christofias announced that he would not seek re-election next February, when his current five-year term
   ends. The political career of the 66-year-old appears to be over, and he will leave the public stage a much-diminished
   figure. The Progressive Party for the Working People (AKEL), of which Christofias has been a member since the age of 18,
   has yet to choose a successor.
     When Christofias was elected president early in 2008, hopes were high that he might be the man to bring about the
   reunification of the island and reconciliation between its Greek and Turkish communities. Not since Turkey’s invasion and
   occupation of around one-third of the island in 1974 – in response to a coup attempt hatched by the military junta that
   then ruled Athens, and aimed at uniting Cyprus with Greece – had the conditions appeared so conducive to a settlement.
     Barely one month after his election, Christofias launched settlement talks with Mehmet Ali Talat, the centre-left leader
   of the Turkish-Cypriot community. But four years of negotiations have failed to break the deadlock, leaving Christofias,
   who had made achieving a settlement the prime objective of his presidency, with very little to show for his period in
   office.
     Talat was voted out as leader of the Turkish Cypriots in 2010, to be replaced by Dervis Eroglu, a far less conciliatory
                                                                                            ¸ ˇ
   figure from the centre-right. Christofias’s coalition with the centre-right Democratic Party (DIKO), which rejects accom-
   modation with the Turkish Cypriots, was a further complication. A deadly explosion at an ammunition dump last summer
   – for which the government was held responsible – prompted the DIKO to drop out of the coalition, forcing Christofias to
   form a largely technocratic government that lacks a strong majority in parliament.
     The dire state of Cyprus’s economy, with its massive exposure to Greek debt, has now replaced the division of the
   island as the dominant political issue. Christofias’s main legacy might well be that Greek Cypriot politics has taken a step
   towards normality, and away from a transfixing obsession with the problem of Turkey’s occupation.
                                                                                                                        Toby Vogel




ERATO KOZAKOU-MARCOULLIS                                                                                     VASSOS SHIARLY
Foreign minister                                                                                             Finance minister

Given the vagaries of ministerial appointments in                                                            The man who will occupy arguably the hottest
Cyprus – horse-trading can sometimes hamper                                                                  seat during the Cyprus presidency is a respected
the island’s international agenda – many in                                                                  banker rather than a politician. Appointed finance
Cyprus were reassured when Erato Kozakou-                                                                    minister just three months ago, Vassos Shiarly is
Marcoullis, an experienced career diplomat, was                                                              the third person to hold the post in just over four
put in charge of the foreign ministry in August                                                              years, following his predecessor’s resignation after
2011. Kozakou-Marcoullis, 63, had been minister                                                              six months, for health reasons.
of communications and works since March 2010,                                                                  Christofias has not been the ideal boss for
having served as foreign minister for seven                                                                  finance ministers; he has habit of publicly dis-
months under Tassos Papadopoulos, Christofias’s predecessor as president.                                    agreeing with or even disowning measures to
  Kozakou-Marcoullis has a reputation for hard work and is very ready to give face-to-face                   reduce the budget deficit.
interviews to explain the complexities of the divided island – the primary task of any Cypriot                 Shiarly, 64, will have to draw on all his experience to negotiate the challenges of the next
foreign minister. She is also proud of her heritage and traditions, on one occasion donning                  six months. First there is overseeing the negotiations on the 2014-20 multiannual financial
national dress to meet former US president Bill Clinton in Washington, DC.                                   framework. Then – unless Cyprus finds a bilateral lender (a €4 billion loan by Russia is being
  After gaining two law degrees in Athens, in 1979 Kozakou-Marcoullis completed a PhD in so-                 talked about) – it is likely that he will be chairing meetings of finance ministers while the
ciology and political science at the University of Helsinki. When her husband took a job in                  Eurogroup of eurozone finance ministers considers a request from Cyprus for an international
medical research in New York, she became part of the permanent mission of Cyprus to the                      bail-out.
United Nations from 1980 to 1988.                                                                              Shiarly is widely regarded as having the tools to succeed: a hard worker who achieves his
  From 1996 to 1998, she served as ambassador to Sweden, with responsibility for the other                   aims quietly and with determination, someone who considers his words carefully. After 18 years
Nordic countries and the three Baltic states. She spent the next five years as ambassador to                 in accounting in the United Kingdom, he left a senior position with Coopers & Lybrand to return
the United States, and was also Cyprus’s link to to the World Bank, the International Monetary               to Cyprus in 1985, where he joined the Bank of Cyprus, rising to group chief general manager in
Fund, the International Civil Aviation Organization and the Organization of American States.                 2010.
Later, while serving as a director at the foreign ministry in Nicosia, she was ambassador to                   He has already set an example when it comes to cutting costs – after waiving his minister’s
Lebanon and Jordan.                                                                                          salary, Shiarly travelled economy class on a recent trip to Malta with Christofias. The
  As well as representing Cyprus at international bodies, Kozakou-Marcoullis has                             crucial question is whether he will be allowed to deliver the budget cuts that have been
published academic studies, and lectured in universities and to think-tanks worldwide.                       promised.
                                                                              Charles Charalambous                                                                                        Charles Charalambous



ELENI MAVROU                                          first female interior minister was the latest          She was not, however, an overnight success.
Interior minister                                     milestone in a lengthy political career that         Mavrou, 51, has been politically active since her
                                                      includes five years as the first female mayor of     student days, when she studied for a degree in
Eleni Mavrou is an exception in Cypriot politics.     the capital, Nicosia.                                politics and international relations at the Uni-
She is well-grounded in the local left-wing             When she began her term as mayor in 2006,          versity of London. Already a member of the
tradition, which at national level tends to           Mavrou emphasised that while tackling the            central committee of the Progressive Party of
favour male politicians with largely predictable      major challenges – modernising infrastructure,       Working People (AKEL), with responsibility for
profiles and performances to match. But she           reviving the city’s historic centre, restructuring   local government, she served two terms as a
also fits easily into the familiar European leftist   council services, cutting bureaucracy, getting       Nicosia municipal councillor in 1986-96.
mould: a successful female politician who is          access to European funding – she would aim to          In 2001, she was elected as an MP for             because she could have a direct impact on
articulate in more than one language and              encourage greater participation by citizens in       Nicosia, and from 2003 also served as an            people’s lives. It will be interesting to see how
regarded as accessible, hard-working and              social and cultural affairs. In particular, she      observer at the European Parliament. But after      she applies her experience to her wide-ranging
down-to-earth.                                        thought her success would encourage more             being re-elected as an MP she stood for mayor       duties as interior minister.
  Her appointment in March as the country’s           women to become involved in politics.                of Nicosia, regarding it as a bigger challenge                                 Charles Charalambous
THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU                                                                                                       21 June 2012
                                                                                                                                                                                                       19




ANDREAS MAVROYIANNIS                                                                                   KORNELIOS KORNELIOU
Deputy minister for European affairs                                                                   Permanent representative to the EU

When the preparations for the EU presidency                                                            Cyprus’s preparations for its presidency of the
became mired in controversy and accusations of                                                         Council of Ministers began badly. The head of the
nepotism in October 2011, the man chosen by                                                            EU secretariat in Nicosia, Andreas Moleskis,
Christofias to get things back on track seemed                                                         resigned in mid-2011 amid complaints about nepo-
ideal for the job.                                                                                     tism in recruitment practices. There was a three-
  At that point, career diplomat Mavroyiannis, 55, had spent three years in Brussels as Cyprus’s       month hiatus before a successor was appointed,
ambassador and permanent representative to the European Union, and so was very familiar                Andreas Mavroyiannis, who was Cyprus’s perma-
with the European approach to consensus-building and problem-solving, and in particular with           nent representative to the EU. In turn, that left a
the challenges associated with the presidency of the Council of Ministers.                             significant vacancy in Brussels, which was filled by
  In contrast to the bombast, short-termism and opportunism that often characterise                    the appointment of Kornelios Korneliou, who took over in October.
domestic politics in Cyprus, the presidency will require political vision and leadership on a            The 48-year-old Korneliou has sufficient experience to steady the boat. He was Cyprus’s
wider scale, something that Mavroyiannis is well aware of. It will also demand coherence and           deputy ambassador to the EU between 2000 and 2007 – and has spent years in some of the
consistency in acting on behalf of the Council with other institutions. Another cultural               most senior positions in Cypriot diplomacy, including ambassadorships in Paris (from where he
challenge – in political terms – will be to deal with the massive organisational demands in a          was re-assigned to his current post) and Vienna, a position that also involved representing
timely and effective way. Mavroyiannis appears to have the skills and experience. After a brief        Cyprus’s interests to the Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe and the UN’s
academic career in law – he obtained his postgraduate qualification and doctorate in France –          organisations. He was also, in 2008-10, the chief of staff of the then foreign minister Markos
he joined the Cypriot diplomatic service in 1987. Since then, he has served as ambassador to           Kyprianou, who had previously served as Cyprus’s first European commissioner.
Ireland (1997-99), France (1999-2002) and the UN (2003-8), and in various other foreign min-             Korneliou is said to be good with staff, an asset that is particularly important since his team has
istry posts. Drawing on his time as an expert on EU affairs at the Civil Service College of Lon-       been almost quadrupled for the duration of the presidency. Another challenge will be managing
don (1994), the soft-spoken Mavroyiannis has been putting senior civil servants through a              relations with other member states, but he can already boast familiarity with Germany. He was
crash-course in EU affairs. His task was made harder by the reshuffling of three of the 11 minis-      for five years a political-science student in Munich (where he wrote a thesis on the impact of EU
terial posts in March, but despite such setbacks, he is satisfied that his team is more confident      membership on Greece) and spent five of his early years in diplomacy in Berlin.
and prepared for the task in hand than last October.                                                                                                                                       Andrew Gardner
                                                                            Charles Charalambous


NEOKLIS SYLIKIOTIS                                                                                     WHO CHAIRS WHICH COUNCIL                                  IMPORTANT DATES
Commerce, industry and tourism minister                                                                General affairs: Andreas Mavroyiannis                     5-6 July: European Commission visits Cyprus
                                                                                                       Economic and financial affairs: Vassos Shiarly            7-8 July: Informal meeting of environment
                                                                                                       Justice and home affairs: Eleni Mavrou (home affairs),    ministers
After it was confirmed early this year that Cyprus                                                                                Loucas Louca (justice and      7-8 September: Informal meeting of foreign
was sitting on substantial offshore reserves of natu-                                                                            public order)                   ministers
ral gas, few were surprised when Neoklis Sylikiotis                                                    Employment and social affairs: Sotiroula Charalambous     14-15 September: Informal meeting of
                                                                                                       Health: Stavros Malas                                     finance ministers
was moved from the interior ministry to manage a                                                       Science and research: Stavros Malas                       18-19 October: European Council meets,
process that will play a crucial role in determining                                                   Agriculture and fisheries: Sofoclis Aletraris             Brussels
Cyprus’s economic future.                                                                              Environment: Sofoclis Aletraris                           26 November-7 December: UN summit on
                                                                                                       Education, culture and sport: Giorgos Demosthenous        climate change, Doha, Qatar
  Seen as a safe pair of hands by Christofias,                                                         Transport, telecommunications: Efthymios Flourentzou      13-14 December: European Council meets,
Sylikiotis has been a committed member of the                                                          Energy: Neoklis Sylikiotis                                Brussels
ruling AKEL party since his student days in the mid-                                                   Competitiveness, internal market: Neoklis Sylikiotis      A draft calendar has been posted on the
                                                                                                                                                                 temporary website: www.cy2012eu.gov.cy
1980s, holding a range of party positions. The minister is acknowledged, even by his political                                                                   The presidency website, cy2012.eu, is to go
opponents, as someone who gets the job done. He has a reputation for working hard – some                                                                         live this week.
jokingly say that he never sleeps – and for being strong-willed and, occasionally, “a bit intense”.
  Sylikiotis, 53, is one of only two ministers to survive from the first cabinet appointed by
Christofias in February 2008, having served as interior minister for ten months in the previous
coalition government. During his time in charge of the interior portfolio, Sylikiotis backed a range
of policies that tackled overly-bureaucratic government processes, including a radical reform of
local government and legislation to untangle the town-planning process. He also earned the
respect of his European peers for work on the Common European Asylum System and migration
policy along the EU’s Mediterranean borders. Sylikiotis’s commitment to the plight of asylum-
seekers is rooted in his own past. He has talked openly about the xenophobia he encountered as
a mechanical engineering student in Germany. In 2007, having resigned from the cabinet when
AKEL left the government coalition, he attended a demonstration in support of asylum-seekers –
this at a time when Cypriots very rarely took the streets.
                                                                              Charles Charalambous


SOTIROULA CHARALAMBOUS
Labour and social insurance minister

Sometimes, the measure of a government
minister’s success is an absence of newspaper
headlines. That was the case until recently for
Sotiroula Charalambous, but with the Cypriot econ-
omy suffering, it is likely to change.
 A political sciences graduate of the Sofia Academy
of Social Science and Social Administration, a
former official for the PEO, a trades union federa-
tion linked to the left-wing ruling party, and an MP
since 2001, Charalambous’s approach to carrying out her duties as labour minister has held no
ideological surprises in terms of dealing with the social partners.
  When Christofias appointed her to his cabinet in February 2008, the national budget was still
in surplus and the effects of the global crisis had not yet reached Cyprus, so labour relations
were peaceful. Today, the picture is very different. Against a background of a budget deficit and
a growing public debt that has been condemned to ‘junk’ status by credit-rating agencies,
unemployment has passed the 10% mark and is on an upward trend. It is the worst jobless rate
in decades, especially in the construction, trade and manufacturing sectors, with more than a
quarter of all under-25s out of work.
  Charalambous, 49, has a reputation for keeping on top of her policy issues, holding her own in
negotiations, and not shying away from a fight with the opposition. Now she is facing the
prospect of a hard sell to her traditional constituency, in terms of the structural economic
changes likely to be set as conditions of a possible bail-out.
                                                                              Charles Charalambous
20
                        21 June 2012     THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU

On the edge of a bail-out                                                                               GOOD NEIGHBOURS
                                                                                                        Demetris Christofias and
                                                                                                        Benjamin Netanyahu.
                                                                                                        REUTERS

 ON BORROWED TIME
 Cyprus Popular (Laiki)
 Bank. REUTERS




                                                                                                      With friends like these...
                                                                                                                                                                         count on Israel,” he says.
                                                                                                      Closer ties with Israel may benefit                                “Turkey-Israel is a much

                                                                    most notably Nicolas
                                                                                                      Cyprus in the short-term, but it could                             bigger story than anything
                                                                                                                                                                         to do with Cyprus.”
Cyprus will almost certainly need                                   Sarkozy, the then president       eventually find itself isolated in the                               Should there be a recon-
international financial assistance,                                 of France, to raise its corpo-
                                                                                                      region, writes Toby Vogel                                          ciliation between Ankara
                                                                    ration tax rate, also one of                                                                         and Tel Aviv, Cyprus would
but that may not come from the                                      the EU’s lowest, when it re-                                                                         again find itself isolated
eurozone, writes Ian Wishart                                        quested a bail-out. Ireland       Over the past few years,          agreements on defence            in the eastern Mediter-
                                                                    succeeded in preventing any       the strategic environment         co-operation, on the ex-         ranean.
Cyprus’s banking sector has       a loan to the Eurogroup of        change, but the issue did not     in the eastern Mediter-           change of intelligence, and
taken a massive hit because       eurozone finance ministers,       help in its negotiations to get   ranean has changed radi-          on search and rescue mis-        Frustrating talks
of its exposure to Greece.        an EU official said on Tues-      a better deal, particularly in    cally. Israel’s raid in May       sions.                           The one development that
   One senior EU official, re-    day.                              the interest rate it paid on      2010 on a Turkish vessel             However, the new              would dramatically alter
viewing Cyprus’s economic            Cyprus last year avoided a     the bail-out loans.               seeking to deliver aid to         Israel-Cyprus alliance has       this, of course, is the reuni-
situation, said this week that    eurozone bail-out by negoti-         On the other hand,             the Gaza strip provoked a         its limits, and the realign-     fication of the divided is-
it had “heavily depleted ac-      ating a loan of €2.5bn from       Cyprus’s government will be       fall-out between the two          ment may turn out to be          land and the withdrawal of
cess” to financial markets.       Russia and may do so again.       wary of looking too deeply        countries, the region’s clos-     short-lived. “Let’s not fool     the Turkish troops that
Cypriot banks suffered “in-          “We are optimistic we will     reliant on funding from Rus-      est allies. The discovery         ourselves: Israel is not         have been occupying one-
ordinately” when the private      get the financing we need to      sia just as it takes over the     late in 2011 of gas reserves      going to defend anyone           third of its territory since
sector agreed to take hair-       recapitalise the banks,           presidency of the Council of      off Cyprus’s coast – adja-        but itself,” says Ioannis        1974. But after four years
cuts as part of Greece’s bail-    whether that will be through      Ministers.                        cent to Israel’s massive          Kasoulides, a centre-right       of fruitless talks, with
out, with huge Greek debts        a bilateral agreement, or            Cyprus’s influence in shap-    Leviathan field – by Noble        MEP who was Cyprus’s             United Nations facilita-
written off.                      through the mechanism, the        ing the response to the euro-     Energy, an American firm          foreign minister from            tion, prospects for a settle-
   It means that Cyprus           EFSF,” Vassos Shiarly,            zone’s sovereign debt and         part-owned by Israeli in-         1997-2003. Nevertheless,         ment have receded. “I
might be obliged to become        Cyprus’s finance minister,        banking crisis will be limited.   vestors, generated excite-        Kasoulides, from the op-         don’t believe now what I
the fifth eurozone country to     said on Tuesday.                  Most policy is being shaped       ment among the Greek              position Democratic Rally        used to believe six months
call upon the European Fi-                                          in national capitals, between     Cypriots; and displeasure         (DISY), says the Cypriot         ago,” says Kasoulides,
nancial Stability Facility        Corporation tax                   the leaders of the eurozone’s     in Turkey and among the           government has every             “that these talks will go
(EFSF), the currency bloc’s       Cyprus sees advantages in         largest economies, France,        Turkish Cypriots, who say         right to exploit its hydro-      anywhere.” Technical talks
rescue fund. However, it          getting the money from out-       Germany, Italy and Spain,         that the island’s energy          carbon resources. “I don’t       will continue, but that is
might yet go down a differ-       side the EU because it would      and by the team working for       wealth does not belong just       think mankind can sit on         not the level at which a so-
ent route from Greece, Ire-       not have to submit to the aus-    Herman Van Rompuy, the            to the internationally-           trillions of tons of natural     lution will emerge.
land, Portugal and Spain,         terity and structural reform      president of the European         recognised Republic of            gas and wait for the Cypri-         In     the      meantime,
and instead take a bilateral      conditions that the eurozone      Council.                          Cyprus but to all inhabi-         ots to solve their prob-         Cyprus’s exposure to Greek
loan from a country outside       places on bail-outs. Such            However, as the first coun-    tants of the island.              lems,” he says.                  debt has deepened tradi-
the EU.                           conditions might well bring       try to take over the presiden-       In February, Benjamin             Hugh Pope, a Cyprus           tionally close ties with Rus-
   Cyprus faces a deadline of     into the spotlight its corpo-     cy while itself experiencing      Netanyahu became the              and Turkey analyst with          sia. Last year, Cyprus se-
30 June to recapitalise its       ration tax rate, which at 10%     the full force of the eurozone    first Israeli prime minister      the International Crisis         cured a €2.5bn loan from
second biggest bank, Cyprus       is the lowest in the EU.          storm, it will add a unique       to visit Cyprus, a 20-            Group, a think-tank, is          Russia at below-market
Popular, to the tune of              Last year, Ireland was put     perspective – as long as it can   minute flight from Tel            also sceptical about the         rates (see left), and might in
€1.8bn. But it has not yet        under pressure by the lead-       deal with problems in its own     Aviv. At the same time,           durability of the new            future prefer Russian aid to
submitted an application for      ers of some other EU states,      backyard first.                   Israel and Cyprus signed          alliance. “Cyprus can’t          a eurozone bail-out.




Cyprus’s chance to win over the doubters
The small size and major political                                  cerns of doubters, among          cal momentum for deals is a          For the presidency of a       and Democrats.
                                                                    them Graham Watson, a             task that requires touring        small country to notch up in-       For Cyprus to achieve its
problems of Cyprus are creating low                                 British Liberal MEP. Speak-       national capitals, not just       dividual successes, says a       broader goal – to ensure that
                                                                    ing on Monday (18 June)           visiting Brussels. That is a      diplomat from a previous         solidarity is a major element
expectations, writes Andrew Gardner                                 about the possibility of a deal   challenge amplified by the        presidency, it must get into     in the long-term budget –
                                                                    on the long-term budget, he       small size of Cyprus’s gov-       the triangle between the         will require a shift in politi-
In the hope of achieving          skill and care needed to han-     wondered “how you’re going        ernment: it has just 11 min-      European Parliament, the         cal debate. There is now less
what at best is likely to be a    dle gritty issues, and            to achieve that under a pres-     isters.                           Council of Ministers, and        talk of austerity and more of
modest presidency, Cyprus         whether it will do as much as     idency led by Cyprus with an         Still, the ministers will be   Herman Van Rompuy, the           growth, but the debate has
has mobilised itself, de-         a small presidency can to         end-of-term, enfeebled gov-       relatively comfortable with       president of the European        yet to embrace the argument
camping a sizeable part of its    fashion deals.                    ernment living on a lifeline      their portfolios and on the in-   Council. And Van Rompuy is       of the Friends of the Cohe-
administration to Brussels.          There are reasons for anx-     from Moscow, unable to deal       ternational stage. A large        seen as essential: a small       sion Policy – that solidarity
It is doing several of the        iety. The Cypriot banking         with the problems they have       number have technocratic          presidency “can’t live without   can be seen as a stimulus for
things that a presidency vet-     sector is in crisis. Moving a     on the island”. His conclu-       and international back-           him”. But the Belgian Chris-     the European economy.
eran suggests are essential:      large part of the government      sion: “It seems to us [Liber-     grounds (in diplomacy and         tian Democrat is not a natu-     Winning more attention for
to focus on a few priorities,     administration to Brussels is     als] unlikely to be able to run   finance, for example). Be-        ral soulmate for Demetris        that position would be an
while making sure that            a gamble. And Cyprus has          a decisive presidency of the      cause the Greek Cypriots had      Christofias, the Cypriot pres-   achievement.
bread-and-butter        issues    presidential elections next       European Union.”                  no university until 1989, they    ident, who is a Communist.          For Cyprus itself, the
move forward.                     year. This is not the best time                                     tend to have studied abroad,         It may also prove a handi-    greatest success might sim-
  On the eve of Cyprus’s          – politically or administra-      A need for commitment             in countries ranging from         cap that the ruling party –      ply be to change the narra-
presidency, the questions         tively – to have a twin focus,    If they are to dispel such        Bulgaria to the UK. The for-      the Communists – is not          tive about Cyprus, to ensure
that linger are whether it will   on both domestic and EU af-       scepticism, Cyprus’s politi-      eign minister, Erato Kozak-       a member of the largest          that the next time that it
have the capacity to deal         fairs.                            cians will need to show com-      ou-Marcoullis, even knows         left-wing group in the           holds the presidency, expec-
with the unexpected, the             Those are among the con-       mitment. To generate politi-      some Finnish.                     Parliament, the Socialists       tations are not so low.

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Better policies for a competitive and fair Europe

  • 1. 16 21 June 2012 SPECIAL REPORT The Cypriot presidency of the EU Times are diffi- ARCHIVE it will boycott the presidency in its entirety. The Turkish cult, but success Cypriots are largely ignoring the presidency. But the dan- is not beyond ger remains that Cyprus’s Cyprus’s reach as non-relations with Turkey will surface as a problem. it takes over the Any presidency’s inten- tions can be blown off course presidency of the by unexpected challenges. EU, writes And Cyprus’s aspirations to be an honest broker would Andrew Gardner mean little if it lacks the staff to broker deals. For Cyprus, Cyprus starts out on its pres- the challenge is all the greater idency of the European because it is, geographically, Union’s Council of Ministers the most remote presidency knowing that expectations that there has ever been. are low and apprehension is The national air carrier has high. The intractable division responded by setting up six of its Greek south and Turk- direct flights a week from ish north has made Cyprus a Nicosia to Brussels for the synonym for division. This duration of the presidency, presidency will be adminis- but the main decision has tered only by the Greek been to make this a Brussels- Cypriot government, which based presidency. Informal rules over a population of just ministerial meetings will be 800,000. The permanent held in a conference centre in Right place, wrong time? representation to the EU Nicosia, newly revamped for normally numbers just 80 the presidency, but almost all people. other meetings will be held in Even in ordinary times, Brussels. The permanent these handicaps would make representation in Brussels the presidency a challenge. has been swollen to 230 peo- But these are not the best of ple for a year, by re-deploying times: the eurozone is in cri- fective. Hungary’s Prime ment points out that it has tural or Fisheries Policies. caused Cyprus not to recog- civil servants who normally sis, neighbouring Greece is Minister Victor Orbán fo- just one national priority, an Cyprus contributes more nise Kosovo as a state. It even work in Nicosia. in turmoil and, just half a cused on his domestic inter- integrated maritime strategy than it receives from the EU’s contributes to the closeness This mobilisation, which day’s boat trip away, Syria is ests, and treated the presi- (see opposite page). The rest budget, which, politically, of Cyprus’s relationship with includes the creation of a post in flames. dency as a responsibility to be of its agenda is inherited, and should make it easier to Russia, which may this sum- of minister of EU affairs That need not doom left largely in the hands of the its approach to the agenda is achieve its aim of champi- mer save it from an EU and specifically for the presiden- Cyprus’s presidency from the civil service. to be an honest broker. oning solidarity. It claims to International Monetary cy, is a mark of an adminis- outset. Other presidencies The government says the be a small country with few Fund bail-out. The success of tration that is being stretched have also had ill-starred Cypriot presidency (or An honest broker irons in the fire. the presidency may depend by its responsibility to the starts. Within days of assum- Cyprus presidency, as it in- For a country of its size and But the one big iron that on whether the issue of EU. Unsurprisingly, then, the ing the presidency in 2011, sists on calling it, in another economic structure, the role remains has caused many Turkey can be anaesthetised presidency is limiting its own Hungary was caught in a po- sign of community sensitivi- of honest broker comes nat- problems. The division of the for the duration of the presi- ambitions. litical storm about its media ties) is an opportunity – but urally. The Cypriot popula- island has retarded progress dency. Low expectations may law, which continued to for self-transformation and tion depends on services, in the EU’s relationship with Cyprus itself does not in- have a benefit for the presi- thunder, yet the presidency modernisation, rather than rather than on money from Turkey, complicated the EU’s tend to raise issues related to dency: it leaves room for wel- was generally praised as ef- self-projection. The govern- the EU’s Common Agricul- security ties with NATO, and Turkey. Turkey has said that come surprises. MIGRATION AND ASYLUM Money worries and border battles Cyprus lies in a difficult neighbourhood; Syria’s and Lebanon’s ports lie half a day’s boat trip away, and Turkey, its nearest neighbour, is the main transit country for migrants seeking to reach the EU. That is fated to lose. But the defini- broker does not mean being a why Cyprus worries about migration, especially illegal migration. The euro and the Schengen area are tion of loss and victory is not neutral broker. On a visit to Malta earlier this month, Demetris Christofias, the president of Cyprus, said that the two Mediterranean islands had daunting challenges for the Cypriots, whether Cyprus gets its way. On some of the other big “common worries and interests” over irregular immigration. “We’re Rather, says another diplo- items for the EU – including not racists but we must defend the rights of our countries,” he said. writes Andrew Gardner mat, from a previous presi- the Common Agricultural Amnesty International, an advocacy group, said this month that dency, success means proving Policy – it will not have much Cyprus detained too many asylum-seekers and other migrants, often The contours of Cyprus’s The Cypriot analysis is that to other member states that it influence, but Cyprus’s envi- in poor conditions, and pointed out various deficiencies in its laws. presidency may be signifi- “90% to 95% of the presiden- has done everything it can – ronmental agenda has prior- The figures are low; but Cyprus feels vulnerable to the vagaries of cantly adjusted just days be- cy will be economic”, which is showing that, if a deal is elu- ities that are attainable – migration flows. fore the presidency starts, why the presidency has sive, it is because of national agreements on trans-Euro- This exposure could make it difficult for Cyprus to act, or be perceived, as an honest broker in the complex negotiations currently when EU leaders meet in brought more civil servants to capitals. pean networks, on monitor- under way between member states, and between member states and Brussels on 28-29 June. Brussels from the finance ing greenhouse-gas emis- the European Parliament, on the various elements of the Common The Cypriots are painfully ministry in Nicosia than from Technical issues sions, on water use, and a European Asylum System, which is supposed to be launched by the aware that the eurozone debt the foreign ministry. One of The Polish presidency in the successor to the LIFE+ envi- end of the year. crisis is in flux. Its own econ- these officials’ tasks will be to second half of 2011 did “a very ronment fund. omy – otherwise largely de- prepare meetings of finance good job of clearing technical Agreement on these issues tached from Greece – is being ministers, which the presi- issues”, he says. Denmark has would offer some consolation SCHENGEN dragged down by Cypriot dency argues will be easier for been trying to push talks if its own national priority – to Another issue that will land in Cyprus’s lap is the EU’s Schengen area banks’ exposure to Greece. Cyprus than it was for the ahead as far as possible with- revive the notion of an inte- of borderless travel. The European Parliament last week suspended And the eurozone’s troubles previous three presidencies – out putting numbers on the grated EU maritime policy – co-operation on justice and home-affairs matters with Denmark, the are not contained. “Two sym- Denmark, Hungary and table. The task that faces proves too much of a chal- current holder of the rotating presidency, because of a decision by member states to change the legal basis of a proposal for revised bols of the EU itself are under Poland – because Cyprus is a Cyprus is to harness the “very, lenge (see article overleaf). rules on Schengen, in effect excluding MEPs from decision-making. threat – the euro and the member of the eurozone. very strong need to agree” Cyprus has so far escaped MEPs’ censure, but that may change once Schengen zone,” says a presi- The other daunting chal- positions and to communi- Syrian concerns it falls to Cypriot diplomats to represent the Council’s view in talks dency spokesman, going on lenge is negotiations on the cate well enough to ensure Syria is the likeliest external with the Parliament. to argue that the economic EU’s spending for 2014-20, the political ground is well source of difficulties for the The Dutch government is expected to drop its opposition to Bulgar- crisis and the accompanying the multiannual financial prepared for a deal. presidency. Cyprus’s proxim- ia’s and Romania’s membership of the Schengen area following the erosion of trust are encourag- framework. Cyprus’s own position em- ity to the Middle East will un- Dutch parliamentary election in September. That would leave Cyprus ing proponents of limits on The long-term budget phasises solidarity. It is one of doubtedly make it sensitive to as the only country in the EU apart from the UK and Ireland that border-free travel and rein- touches on every issue. “It is a the 15 members of the developments in the region remains outside the Schengen area, because the recognised government does not control the entire territory of the island. forcing opposition to sharing litmus paper,” says a diplomat Friends of the Cohesion Poli- and, if foreign-policy initia- the burden of coping with il- from another member state, cy trying to protect the policy tives emerge during the pres- legal migration, an important and “without a good narrative from cuts by the largest con- idency, they might well relate with both the Arab world and kept its embassy in Tripoli concern for Cyprus and other on that, they will have lost”. If tributors – an affiliation that to that region. Cyprus likes to Israel, and it has during the open. These six months may Mediterranean states. so, a small country might be demonstrates that an honest talk up its friendly relations Libyan crisis, like Hungary, test the value of those ties.
  • 2. THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU 21 June 2012 17 An island of alliances and divisions EU officials will be relieved International Crisis Group, a that the Czech scenario, of think-tank. AKEL has not yet a government collapsing chosen a candidate and is halfway through its turn at non-committal about a possi- the helm of the EU’s Council ble alliance with DIKO. The Cypriot president will not contest AKEL, who came second. In DIKO – which opposes ac- of Ministers, is unlikely to be DISY, the moderate, cen- the week that separated the commodation with the Turk- repeated. In any case, it is less tre-right opposition party, will the next election, and it is unclear who two rounds, DIKO swung its ish Cypriot community – of a problem for a Cypriot send Nicos Anastassiades, its support behind Christofias, ended up impeding the new government to lack a parlia- leader, into the race. Pope de- his successor will be, writes Toby Vogel who won the presidency with president’s ability to strike a mentary majority than it scribes Anastassiades as “a lit- 53.4% to Kasoulides’s 46.6%. deal in the reunification talks, would be in other member tle untested”, but says that he The last presidential election Kasoulides had cam- The episode illustrates a which he launched within a states. “Patronage and lever- has “one of the most positive in Cyprus, on 17 February paigned in favour of a United point made by James Ker- month of his victory. age is far more important approaches to the Cyprus 2008, produced a surprise: Nations settlement plan in Lindsay, a research fellow at Following DIKO’s depar- than legislative work,” says problem”. “He was brave the incumbent, the right- 2004, Papadopoulos had the European Institute of the ture from the ruling coalition Ker-Lindsay. The ability to enough to say ‘Yes’ and cam- wing nationalist Tassos Pa- been against it. The plan, London School of Economics last year, after a blast at a navy hand out jobs depends on paign for the Annan plan in padopoulos from the Demo- named after the UN secre- and Political Science. “Even base knocked out more being in power, not on being 2004,” Pope says. cratic Party (DIKO) failed to tary-general of the time, Kofi though Cyprus has a presi- than half of the republic’s effective in power. But the shift in voters’ at- win enough votes to proceed Annan, was rejected by the dential system, politics is all power-generation capacity, tention from the island’s divi- to the second round, held one Greek Cypriots in a referen- about coalitions,” he says. “The Christofias now heads a mi- No frontrunner sion to the parlous state of its week later. He was beaten by dum just days before Cyprus Cypriot president has more nority government that in- What might emerge from economy has created a new Ioannis Kasoulides from the joined the EU. But Ka- power than any other Euro- cludes several technocrats. February’s presidential elec- dynamic in domestic politics centre-right Democratic Ral- soulides was fewer than pean leader, but in order to get But until his term in office tion is unclear. “The race is in Cyprus. How this might ly (DISY), with 33.5% of the 1,000 votes ahead of elected he needs to strike deals ends in February, Christofias wide open,” says Hugh Pope, play out next February will vote against Papadopoulos’s Demetris Christofias, the with other parties.” and his government are se- a researcher on Cyprus and become clearer during the 31.8%. candidate of the Communist Christofias’s alliance with cure. Turkey in Istanbul with the next six months. Back from the depths CYPRUS: In 2007, the Portuguese presidency of the Council of A Dynamic International Business CYPRUS INVEST WITH CONFIDENCE Ministers spearheaded an ‘integrated maritime policy’ and Financial Centre at the that contained a great many promises. The packed action plan promised to establish a Crossroads of Three Continents network of “motorways of the sea” throughout Europe, eliminate illegal fishing, and mitigate the effects of cli- “We are very happy to have selected mate change on coasts. Cyprus as a base and aspire to maintain, Five years later, and there is no integrated maritime lead and expand our operations strategy. “There was a lot of from the island. Cyprus’ accession discussion...but since then we have not heard much to European Union has enhanced the about it,” said Eleni Mari- country’s credit standing, transferring anou, secretary-general of the Conference of Peripher- the image of a low tax jurisdiction to al Maritime Regions. a serious regional trading and service Cyprus, as a maritime island state, says reviving the hub. We also believe that the Euro policy is one of the main Zone entry upgrades the country’s goals of its period at the head of the EU. In October, an in- standing within the European Union.” formal ministerial confer- ence will be held in Mehran Eftekar, Director Limassol with the aim of Nest Investments Holdings producing a ‘Limassol decla- ration’ that sets out the pri- orities for action. Cyprus is an attractive investment destination and a reputable international business Earlier this month, and financial centre that provides a gateway to Europe, the Middle East and North Efthemios Flourentzou, Africa. Cyprus provides a thriving market oriented economic system combined with low Cyprus’s minister for com- cost and flexibility features along with: munications and works, said the declaration would mark “a new drive for the Lowest corporate tax regime in the EU of 10% further development and A centre for Banking Excellence and an Alternative Funds jurisdiction implementation of this in- Effective and transparent tax system that is fully EU, OECD, FATF and FSF compliant novative, cross-cutting Access to EU as a member state since 2004 and a member of the European Monetary policy”. Union since 2008 An extensive network of Double Tax Treaties with 43 countries Progress report The European Commission Relatively lower operating costs with high quality end-to-end business services is expected to present a Highly qualified and well-trained professionals who provide expertise on all aspects of progress report on the inte- If you are looking for banking, legal, accounting and business services grated maritime policy at a new business and Advanced transport and telecommunications infrastructure with state-of-the-art high-speed the October conference, internet and mobile telecommunications, two International airports and deep-sea ports which will be attended by investment gateway, take Maria Damanaki, the Euro- the time and consider Cyprus offers ease of doing business in a professional environment and the pean commissioner for fish- eries and maritime affairs, Cyprus. Combining a surroundings of a sophisticated culture and advanced quality of life. More than just and José Manuel Barroso, a holiday destination, Cyprus provides the ideal environment to set up your business the president of the Com- rewarding standard of operations effectively and efficiently. mission. living in tune with nature The declaration will not contain  plans, dates or dead- and Cypriot hospitality, Cyprus has more than 30 years experience lines. But it will indicate pol- Cyprus is a dynamic place as an International Business and Financial Centre icy areas that need to be strengthened and ways in to live and work! which maritime policies can be better linked. P.O.Box 27032 Lefkosia 1641, Cyprus The Cypriot government Tel. + 357 22 441133 Fax + 357 22 441134 The Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Tourism hopes that this push for an www.cipa.org.cy Tel. + 357 22 867100, Fax + 357 22 375120 integrated policy will last info@cipa.org.cy www.mcit.gov.cy/ts, perm.sec@mcit.gov.cy longer than its predecessor. Dave Keating
  • 3. 18 21 June 2012 THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU Cyprus’s movers and shakers DEMETRIS CHRISTOFIAS President Demetris Christofias, the president of the Republic of Cyprus, has always stood out among European leaders. He is the only Communist in a group dominated by the centre-right; he is the only president in the EU to head his country’s government; and he is one of just two presidents to hold real executive power (the other is the president of France). But, last month, Christofias announced that he would not seek re-election next February, when his current five-year term ends. The political career of the 66-year-old appears to be over, and he will leave the public stage a much-diminished figure. The Progressive Party for the Working People (AKEL), of which Christofias has been a member since the age of 18, has yet to choose a successor. When Christofias was elected president early in 2008, hopes were high that he might be the man to bring about the reunification of the island and reconciliation between its Greek and Turkish communities. Not since Turkey’s invasion and occupation of around one-third of the island in 1974 – in response to a coup attempt hatched by the military junta that then ruled Athens, and aimed at uniting Cyprus with Greece – had the conditions appeared so conducive to a settlement. Barely one month after his election, Christofias launched settlement talks with Mehmet Ali Talat, the centre-left leader of the Turkish-Cypriot community. But four years of negotiations have failed to break the deadlock, leaving Christofias, who had made achieving a settlement the prime objective of his presidency, with very little to show for his period in office. Talat was voted out as leader of the Turkish Cypriots in 2010, to be replaced by Dervis Eroglu, a far less conciliatory ¸ ˇ figure from the centre-right. Christofias’s coalition with the centre-right Democratic Party (DIKO), which rejects accom- modation with the Turkish Cypriots, was a further complication. A deadly explosion at an ammunition dump last summer – for which the government was held responsible – prompted the DIKO to drop out of the coalition, forcing Christofias to form a largely technocratic government that lacks a strong majority in parliament. The dire state of Cyprus’s economy, with its massive exposure to Greek debt, has now replaced the division of the island as the dominant political issue. Christofias’s main legacy might well be that Greek Cypriot politics has taken a step towards normality, and away from a transfixing obsession with the problem of Turkey’s occupation. Toby Vogel ERATO KOZAKOU-MARCOULLIS VASSOS SHIARLY Foreign minister Finance minister Given the vagaries of ministerial appointments in The man who will occupy arguably the hottest Cyprus – horse-trading can sometimes hamper seat during the Cyprus presidency is a respected the island’s international agenda – many in banker rather than a politician. Appointed finance Cyprus were reassured when Erato Kozakou- minister just three months ago, Vassos Shiarly is Marcoullis, an experienced career diplomat, was the third person to hold the post in just over four put in charge of the foreign ministry in August years, following his predecessor’s resignation after 2011. Kozakou-Marcoullis, 63, had been minister six months, for health reasons. of communications and works since March 2010, Christofias has not been the ideal boss for having served as foreign minister for seven finance ministers; he has habit of publicly dis- months under Tassos Papadopoulos, Christofias’s predecessor as president. agreeing with or even disowning measures to Kozakou-Marcoullis has a reputation for hard work and is very ready to give face-to-face reduce the budget deficit. interviews to explain the complexities of the divided island – the primary task of any Cypriot Shiarly, 64, will have to draw on all his experience to negotiate the challenges of the next foreign minister. She is also proud of her heritage and traditions, on one occasion donning six months. First there is overseeing the negotiations on the 2014-20 multiannual financial national dress to meet former US president Bill Clinton in Washington, DC. framework. Then – unless Cyprus finds a bilateral lender (a €4 billion loan by Russia is being After gaining two law degrees in Athens, in 1979 Kozakou-Marcoullis completed a PhD in so- talked about) – it is likely that he will be chairing meetings of finance ministers while the ciology and political science at the University of Helsinki. When her husband took a job in Eurogroup of eurozone finance ministers considers a request from Cyprus for an international medical research in New York, she became part of the permanent mission of Cyprus to the bail-out. United Nations from 1980 to 1988. Shiarly is widely regarded as having the tools to succeed: a hard worker who achieves his From 1996 to 1998, she served as ambassador to Sweden, with responsibility for the other aims quietly and with determination, someone who considers his words carefully. After 18 years Nordic countries and the three Baltic states. She spent the next five years as ambassador to in accounting in the United Kingdom, he left a senior position with Coopers & Lybrand to return the United States, and was also Cyprus’s link to to the World Bank, the International Monetary to Cyprus in 1985, where he joined the Bank of Cyprus, rising to group chief general manager in Fund, the International Civil Aviation Organization and the Organization of American States. 2010. Later, while serving as a director at the foreign ministry in Nicosia, she was ambassador to He has already set an example when it comes to cutting costs – after waiving his minister’s Lebanon and Jordan. salary, Shiarly travelled economy class on a recent trip to Malta with Christofias. The As well as representing Cyprus at international bodies, Kozakou-Marcoullis has crucial question is whether he will be allowed to deliver the budget cuts that have been published academic studies, and lectured in universities and to think-tanks worldwide. promised. Charles Charalambous Charles Charalambous ELENI MAVROU first female interior minister was the latest She was not, however, an overnight success. Interior minister milestone in a lengthy political career that Mavrou, 51, has been politically active since her includes five years as the first female mayor of student days, when she studied for a degree in Eleni Mavrou is an exception in Cypriot politics. the capital, Nicosia. politics and international relations at the Uni- She is well-grounded in the local left-wing When she began her term as mayor in 2006, versity of London. Already a member of the tradition, which at national level tends to Mavrou emphasised that while tackling the central committee of the Progressive Party of favour male politicians with largely predictable major challenges – modernising infrastructure, Working People (AKEL), with responsibility for profiles and performances to match. But she reviving the city’s historic centre, restructuring local government, she served two terms as a also fits easily into the familiar European leftist council services, cutting bureaucracy, getting Nicosia municipal councillor in 1986-96. mould: a successful female politician who is access to European funding – she would aim to In 2001, she was elected as an MP for because she could have a direct impact on articulate in more than one language and encourage greater participation by citizens in Nicosia, and from 2003 also served as an people’s lives. It will be interesting to see how regarded as accessible, hard-working and social and cultural affairs. In particular, she observer at the European Parliament. But after she applies her experience to her wide-ranging down-to-earth. thought her success would encourage more being re-elected as an MP she stood for mayor duties as interior minister. Her appointment in March as the country’s women to become involved in politics. of Nicosia, regarding it as a bigger challenge Charles Charalambous
  • 4. THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU 21 June 2012 19 ANDREAS MAVROYIANNIS KORNELIOS KORNELIOU Deputy minister for European affairs Permanent representative to the EU When the preparations for the EU presidency Cyprus’s preparations for its presidency of the became mired in controversy and accusations of Council of Ministers began badly. The head of the nepotism in October 2011, the man chosen by EU secretariat in Nicosia, Andreas Moleskis, Christofias to get things back on track seemed resigned in mid-2011 amid complaints about nepo- ideal for the job. tism in recruitment practices. There was a three- At that point, career diplomat Mavroyiannis, 55, had spent three years in Brussels as Cyprus’s month hiatus before a successor was appointed, ambassador and permanent representative to the European Union, and so was very familiar Andreas Mavroyiannis, who was Cyprus’s perma- with the European approach to consensus-building and problem-solving, and in particular with nent representative to the EU. In turn, that left a the challenges associated with the presidency of the Council of Ministers. significant vacancy in Brussels, which was filled by In contrast to the bombast, short-termism and opportunism that often characterise the appointment of Kornelios Korneliou, who took over in October. domestic politics in Cyprus, the presidency will require political vision and leadership on a The 48-year-old Korneliou has sufficient experience to steady the boat. He was Cyprus’s wider scale, something that Mavroyiannis is well aware of. It will also demand coherence and deputy ambassador to the EU between 2000 and 2007 – and has spent years in some of the consistency in acting on behalf of the Council with other institutions. Another cultural most senior positions in Cypriot diplomacy, including ambassadorships in Paris (from where he challenge – in political terms – will be to deal with the massive organisational demands in a was re-assigned to his current post) and Vienna, a position that also involved representing timely and effective way. Mavroyiannis appears to have the skills and experience. After a brief Cyprus’s interests to the Organisation for Security and Co-operation in Europe and the UN’s academic career in law – he obtained his postgraduate qualification and doctorate in France – organisations. He was also, in 2008-10, the chief of staff of the then foreign minister Markos he joined the Cypriot diplomatic service in 1987. Since then, he has served as ambassador to Kyprianou, who had previously served as Cyprus’s first European commissioner. Ireland (1997-99), France (1999-2002) and the UN (2003-8), and in various other foreign min- Korneliou is said to be good with staff, an asset that is particularly important since his team has istry posts. Drawing on his time as an expert on EU affairs at the Civil Service College of Lon- been almost quadrupled for the duration of the presidency. Another challenge will be managing don (1994), the soft-spoken Mavroyiannis has been putting senior civil servants through a relations with other member states, but he can already boast familiarity with Germany. He was crash-course in EU affairs. His task was made harder by the reshuffling of three of the 11 minis- for five years a political-science student in Munich (where he wrote a thesis on the impact of EU terial posts in March, but despite such setbacks, he is satisfied that his team is more confident membership on Greece) and spent five of his early years in diplomacy in Berlin. and prepared for the task in hand than last October. Andrew Gardner Charles Charalambous NEOKLIS SYLIKIOTIS WHO CHAIRS WHICH COUNCIL IMPORTANT DATES Commerce, industry and tourism minister General affairs: Andreas Mavroyiannis 5-6 July: European Commission visits Cyprus Economic and financial affairs: Vassos Shiarly 7-8 July: Informal meeting of environment Justice and home affairs: Eleni Mavrou (home affairs), ministers After it was confirmed early this year that Cyprus Loucas Louca (justice and 7-8 September: Informal meeting of foreign was sitting on substantial offshore reserves of natu- public order) ministers ral gas, few were surprised when Neoklis Sylikiotis Employment and social affairs: Sotiroula Charalambous 14-15 September: Informal meeting of Health: Stavros Malas finance ministers was moved from the interior ministry to manage a Science and research: Stavros Malas 18-19 October: European Council meets, process that will play a crucial role in determining Agriculture and fisheries: Sofoclis Aletraris Brussels Cyprus’s economic future. Environment: Sofoclis Aletraris 26 November-7 December: UN summit on Education, culture and sport: Giorgos Demosthenous climate change, Doha, Qatar Seen as a safe pair of hands by Christofias, Transport, telecommunications: Efthymios Flourentzou 13-14 December: European Council meets, Sylikiotis has been a committed member of the Energy: Neoklis Sylikiotis Brussels ruling AKEL party since his student days in the mid- Competitiveness, internal market: Neoklis Sylikiotis A draft calendar has been posted on the temporary website: www.cy2012eu.gov.cy 1980s, holding a range of party positions. The minister is acknowledged, even by his political The presidency website, cy2012.eu, is to go opponents, as someone who gets the job done. He has a reputation for working hard – some live this week. jokingly say that he never sleeps – and for being strong-willed and, occasionally, “a bit intense”. Sylikiotis, 53, is one of only two ministers to survive from the first cabinet appointed by Christofias in February 2008, having served as interior minister for ten months in the previous coalition government. During his time in charge of the interior portfolio, Sylikiotis backed a range of policies that tackled overly-bureaucratic government processes, including a radical reform of local government and legislation to untangle the town-planning process. He also earned the respect of his European peers for work on the Common European Asylum System and migration policy along the EU’s Mediterranean borders. Sylikiotis’s commitment to the plight of asylum- seekers is rooted in his own past. He has talked openly about the xenophobia he encountered as a mechanical engineering student in Germany. In 2007, having resigned from the cabinet when AKEL left the government coalition, he attended a demonstration in support of asylum-seekers – this at a time when Cypriots very rarely took the streets. Charles Charalambous SOTIROULA CHARALAMBOUS Labour and social insurance minister Sometimes, the measure of a government minister’s success is an absence of newspaper headlines. That was the case until recently for Sotiroula Charalambous, but with the Cypriot econ- omy suffering, it is likely to change. A political sciences graduate of the Sofia Academy of Social Science and Social Administration, a former official for the PEO, a trades union federa- tion linked to the left-wing ruling party, and an MP since 2001, Charalambous’s approach to carrying out her duties as labour minister has held no ideological surprises in terms of dealing with the social partners. When Christofias appointed her to his cabinet in February 2008, the national budget was still in surplus and the effects of the global crisis had not yet reached Cyprus, so labour relations were peaceful. Today, the picture is very different. Against a background of a budget deficit and a growing public debt that has been condemned to ‘junk’ status by credit-rating agencies, unemployment has passed the 10% mark and is on an upward trend. It is the worst jobless rate in decades, especially in the construction, trade and manufacturing sectors, with more than a quarter of all under-25s out of work. Charalambous, 49, has a reputation for keeping on top of her policy issues, holding her own in negotiations, and not shying away from a fight with the opposition. Now she is facing the prospect of a hard sell to her traditional constituency, in terms of the structural economic changes likely to be set as conditions of a possible bail-out. Charles Charalambous
  • 5. 20 21 June 2012 THE CYPRIOT PRESIDENCY OF THE EU On the edge of a bail-out GOOD NEIGHBOURS Demetris Christofias and Benjamin Netanyahu. REUTERS ON BORROWED TIME Cyprus Popular (Laiki) Bank. REUTERS With friends like these... count on Israel,” he says. Closer ties with Israel may benefit “Turkey-Israel is a much most notably Nicolas Cyprus in the short-term, but it could bigger story than anything to do with Cyprus.” Cyprus will almost certainly need Sarkozy, the then president eventually find itself isolated in the Should there be a recon- international financial assistance, of France, to raise its corpo- region, writes Toby Vogel ciliation between Ankara ration tax rate, also one of and Tel Aviv, Cyprus would but that may not come from the the EU’s lowest, when it re- again find itself isolated eurozone, writes Ian Wishart quested a bail-out. Ireland Over the past few years, agreements on defence in the eastern Mediter- succeeded in preventing any the strategic environment co-operation, on the ex- ranean. Cyprus’s banking sector has a loan to the Eurogroup of change, but the issue did not in the eastern Mediter- change of intelligence, and taken a massive hit because eurozone finance ministers, help in its negotiations to get ranean has changed radi- on search and rescue mis- Frustrating talks of its exposure to Greece. an EU official said on Tues- a better deal, particularly in cally. Israel’s raid in May sions. The one development that One senior EU official, re- day. the interest rate it paid on 2010 on a Turkish vessel However, the new would dramatically alter viewing Cyprus’s economic Cyprus last year avoided a the bail-out loans. seeking to deliver aid to Israel-Cyprus alliance has this, of course, is the reuni- situation, said this week that eurozone bail-out by negoti- On the other hand, the Gaza strip provoked a its limits, and the realign- fication of the divided is- it had “heavily depleted ac- ating a loan of €2.5bn from Cyprus’s government will be fall-out between the two ment may turn out to be land and the withdrawal of cess” to financial markets. Russia and may do so again. wary of looking too deeply countries, the region’s clos- short-lived. “Let’s not fool the Turkish troops that Cypriot banks suffered “in- “We are optimistic we will reliant on funding from Rus- est allies. The discovery ourselves: Israel is not have been occupying one- ordinately” when the private get the financing we need to sia just as it takes over the late in 2011 of gas reserves going to defend anyone third of its territory since sector agreed to take hair- recapitalise the banks, presidency of the Council of off Cyprus’s coast – adja- but itself,” says Ioannis 1974. But after four years cuts as part of Greece’s bail- whether that will be through Ministers. cent to Israel’s massive Kasoulides, a centre-right of fruitless talks, with out, with huge Greek debts a bilateral agreement, or Cyprus’s influence in shap- Leviathan field – by Noble MEP who was Cyprus’s United Nations facilita- written off. through the mechanism, the ing the response to the euro- Energy, an American firm foreign minister from tion, prospects for a settle- It means that Cyprus EFSF,” Vassos Shiarly, zone’s sovereign debt and part-owned by Israeli in- 1997-2003. Nevertheless, ment have receded. “I might be obliged to become Cyprus’s finance minister, banking crisis will be limited. vestors, generated excite- Kasoulides, from the op- don’t believe now what I the fifth eurozone country to said on Tuesday. Most policy is being shaped ment among the Greek position Democratic Rally used to believe six months call upon the European Fi- in national capitals, between Cypriots; and displeasure (DISY), says the Cypriot ago,” says Kasoulides, nancial Stability Facility Corporation tax the leaders of the eurozone’s in Turkey and among the government has every “that these talks will go (EFSF), the currency bloc’s Cyprus sees advantages in largest economies, France, Turkish Cypriots, who say right to exploit its hydro- anywhere.” Technical talks rescue fund. However, it getting the money from out- Germany, Italy and Spain, that the island’s energy carbon resources. “I don’t will continue, but that is might yet go down a differ- side the EU because it would and by the team working for wealth does not belong just think mankind can sit on not the level at which a so- ent route from Greece, Ire- not have to submit to the aus- Herman Van Rompuy, the to the internationally- trillions of tons of natural lution will emerge. land, Portugal and Spain, terity and structural reform president of the European recognised Republic of gas and wait for the Cypri- In the meantime, and instead take a bilateral conditions that the eurozone Council. Cyprus but to all inhabi- ots to solve their prob- Cyprus’s exposure to Greek loan from a country outside places on bail-outs. Such However, as the first coun- tants of the island. lems,” he says. debt has deepened tradi- the EU. conditions might well bring try to take over the presiden- In February, Benjamin Hugh Pope, a Cyprus tionally close ties with Rus- Cyprus faces a deadline of into the spotlight its corpo- cy while itself experiencing Netanyahu became the and Turkey analyst with sia. Last year, Cyprus se- 30 June to recapitalise its ration tax rate, which at 10% the full force of the eurozone first Israeli prime minister the International Crisis cured a €2.5bn loan from second biggest bank, Cyprus is the lowest in the EU. storm, it will add a unique to visit Cyprus, a 20- Group, a think-tank, is Russia at below-market Popular, to the tune of Last year, Ireland was put perspective – as long as it can minute flight from Tel also sceptical about the rates (see left), and might in €1.8bn. But it has not yet under pressure by the lead- deal with problems in its own Aviv. At the same time, durability of the new future prefer Russian aid to submitted an application for ers of some other EU states, backyard first. Israel and Cyprus signed alliance. “Cyprus can’t a eurozone bail-out. Cyprus’s chance to win over the doubters The small size and major political cerns of doubters, among cal momentum for deals is a For the presidency of a and Democrats. them Graham Watson, a task that requires touring small country to notch up in- For Cyprus to achieve its problems of Cyprus are creating low British Liberal MEP. Speak- national capitals, not just dividual successes, says a broader goal – to ensure that ing on Monday (18 June) visiting Brussels. That is a diplomat from a previous solidarity is a major element expectations, writes Andrew Gardner about the possibility of a deal challenge amplified by the presidency, it must get into in the long-term budget – on the long-term budget, he small size of Cyprus’s gov- the triangle between the will require a shift in politi- In the hope of achieving skill and care needed to han- wondered “how you’re going ernment: it has just 11 min- European Parliament, the cal debate. There is now less what at best is likely to be a dle gritty issues, and to achieve that under a pres- isters. Council of Ministers, and talk of austerity and more of modest presidency, Cyprus whether it will do as much as idency led by Cyprus with an Still, the ministers will be Herman Van Rompuy, the growth, but the debate has has mobilised itself, de- a small presidency can to end-of-term, enfeebled gov- relatively comfortable with president of the European yet to embrace the argument camping a sizeable part of its fashion deals. ernment living on a lifeline their portfolios and on the in- Council. And Van Rompuy is of the Friends of the Cohe- administration to Brussels. There are reasons for anx- from Moscow, unable to deal ternational stage. A large seen as essential: a small sion Policy – that solidarity It is doing several of the iety. The Cypriot banking with the problems they have number have technocratic presidency “can’t live without can be seen as a stimulus for things that a presidency vet- sector is in crisis. Moving a on the island”. His conclu- and international back- him”. But the Belgian Chris- the European economy. eran suggests are essential: large part of the government sion: “It seems to us [Liber- grounds (in diplomacy and tian Democrat is not a natu- Winning more attention for to focus on a few priorities, administration to Brussels is als] unlikely to be able to run finance, for example). Be- ral soulmate for Demetris that position would be an while making sure that a gamble. And Cyprus has a decisive presidency of the cause the Greek Cypriots had Christofias, the Cypriot pres- achievement. bread-and-butter issues presidential elections next European Union.” no university until 1989, they ident, who is a Communist. For Cyprus itself, the move forward. year. This is not the best time tend to have studied abroad, It may also prove a handi- greatest success might sim- On the eve of Cyprus’s – politically or administra- A need for commitment in countries ranging from cap that the ruling party – ply be to change the narra- presidency, the questions tively – to have a twin focus, If they are to dispel such Bulgaria to the UK. The for- the Communists – is not tive about Cyprus, to ensure that linger are whether it will on both domestic and EU af- scepticism, Cyprus’s politi- eign minister, Erato Kozak- a member of the largest that the next time that it have the capacity to deal fairs. cians will need to show com- ou-Marcoullis, even knows left-wing group in the holds the presidency, expec- with the unexpected, the Those are among the con- mitment. To generate politi- some Finnish. Parliament, the Socialists tations are not so low.