4. Somalia
• Used to be functioning
– Up to 1950s – an Italian colony
– 1950s-80s – a dictatorship (but a
functioning one!)
• Status Quo
– UN/US forces pulled out in early
1990s (“Black Hawk Down”)
– several groups competing for
power
5. Pirates
• Many are former fishermen
– After state failed, had to turn to
piracy
– Part of moral blame is on
Western Fishing Corporations
• Wrongdoings
– Attacking civilians
– Hijacking Saudi oil tankers
– Kidnapping tourists from
neighboring countries
6. Al-Shabaab (“The Youth”)
• A militant Islamist group
• Goal: set up an Islamic state
with Sharia laws
• Has ties with Al-Qaeda
• Love-hate relationship with
pirates
– Cooperation against transitional
government
– But mutual blackmail and conflicts
8. Somaliland
• A de-facto independent state
– Secession after the collapse of
Somalia
• Established a decent
governance; maintains law &
peace
• Not recognized by any country
9. Motions
• THW invade Somalia
Proposition Opposition
Stop piracy Turn to guerilla war
Restore law & order Turn to religious war
Long-term economic growth Attract other Islamist
Smash Al-Shabaab (training militias
base of Al-Qaeda) Piracy “is morally
Functioning government acceptable”
CAN be built Western Fishing Companies
• THW covertly fund pirates & Al-Shabaab to fight each other
11. North Korea
• Split after WW2
• Nuclear weapons
– Not many, but exist
– However, launching capabilities
are extremely poor
• China sort of supports NK
12. Motions
• THW assassinate Kim Jong-un – and his family
Proposition Opposition
Entire regime based on a Army and generals will
family heritage struggle for power
Moral justification Civil war or NK vs. SK war
All are guilty
• THW allow North Korea to have nukes
Proposition Opposition
Control & transparency Very risky & unstable
Remove fear of invasion -> NK NK may invade SK / sell nuclear
less paranoid R&D to other bad countries
Balance of powers (US-CN-NK) Spiral of countries getting nukes
14. Iran
• 1979 – Islamic Revolution
• Ayatolla – religious leader
– Also adopts all the laws
– Elements of democracy
• Since 1980s – IR supports
foreign terrorist groups
• Status Quo
– “Arab spring” among urban youth
– Nukes; originally obtained
“because Iraq had them”
– Want to be dominant power;
counter Israel
15. Terrorist groups
• Currently Iran funds:
– Hezbollah (Lebanon)
Make Lebanon Islamic
– Hamas (Palestine)
Destroy Israel
• Possible reasons
– Genuinely anti-Israeli
– Use conflicts to distract attention
from Iran
– Provoke sanctions (by denying
Holocaust etc.) to profit from the
black market (e.g. satellite dishes)
16. Motions
• THW allow Iran to have nukes
• THW invade Iran
Proposition Opposition
Similar to Libya Religious insurgency
Opposition to regime Big country that hates NATO
• THW give Iran money / security technology
Proposition Opposition
Want security -> get it “Blame West” policy
Help incumbents’ vested
interests in the black market
18. Afghanistan
• Best times – kingdom up to 1980s
• 1979 – Soviet invasion; pretty
much destroyed the state
• Mujahedeen drove Soviets out –
but Somalia-style lawless little
states were created
• In the beginning the Taliban acted
against Mujahedeen
– Wanted to impose law & order
19. Status Quo
• NOT ideological war, rather Taliban insurgence
– Personal (clan) grievances
– Political factions
– Lack of centralized administration
• Pashtuns – majority of AF’s population; mountaineers
– Not everyone, but most of the Taliban is Pashtun
– No national identity, no will for central government
• NATO forces & Karzai regime – deeply corrupt
– Corruption is often the only way to control some provinces
20. Motions
• THW include the Taliban
Proposition Opposition
Different factions , each wants The new regime will impose many
peace & order things against Human Rights
Can buy them off Hard to negotiate – no clear leader
The only way for a valid Have to accept their ways to make
democracy money, i.e. poppies and heroin
• THW get (the hell) out of Afghanistan now
Proposition Opposition
Everyone failed ruling them Worse than SQ (poppies + Al-
Qaeda)
Extremely hard to fight Moral responsibility to current
Mountains allies
Tribal rules to help everyone Counter-plan: more intelligent
funding! (e.g. Soviets in 1980s)
22. Israel & Palestine
• Jewish migration began as early as in 1920s
– Zionists moving to British Mandate of Palestine
• 1948 – War of Independence
• 1973 – October War
• 1982 – peace agreement with Egypt
• 1987 and 2000 – Intifadas (internal
uprisings against Israel)
23. Status Quo
• Israel – Jewish state
• West Bank – 100+ Israeli settlements
– 300,000+ Israelis
– 1,000,000+ Arabs
• Jerusalem – a divided city
• Golan Heights – 20,000+ Israelis
• Gaza Strip – under blockade by IL army
– HAMAS opposes that
24. Motions
• THBT the West should stop ALL funding until they come to peace
Proposition Opposition
A huge part of IL budget, esp. Hamas is funded by IR; if it wins
military, is US-funded over Palestine, no more peace
Meanwhile, Palestine depends IL will develop a “siege mentality”
on US/EU support US/EU support is merely
helicopters etc. – IL still can
oppress others
• THW remove settlements
Proposition Opposition
IL as a whole is not quite legitimate
Territory captured in war Geneva convention’s aim was to
Under Geneva convention, a prevent ethnic cleansing
Removing settlers is ethnic
state is not allowed to settle cleansing
its citizens there People are already there, it is
intrinsically bad to drive them out
26. Pakistan
• Both PK and IN want Kashmir
• Problems with Islamist militants
• Both are nuclear nations
– Threat of nukes being stolen is real
• Pakistani intelligence has links
with Al-Qaeda
• North-West inhabited by Pushtuns
– Problems with AF