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Becoming Spacefarers
   Rescuing America’s
     Space Program
    published June 2012
   by Xlibris Corporation


   James A. Vedda, Ph.D.
Motivations for writing this book
              • U.S. space efforts are at a turning
                point
               – We’ve been saying this for
                 decades, but this time it’s really true
              • We’re doing a poor job of strategic
                decision-making at a critical time
               – Partisanship and parochialism distract
                 us from long-term vision and the
                 national interest
               – We’re still focusing human spaceflight
                 efforts on destinations rather than
                 capabilities and knowledge
               – We’re still arguing about the roles of
                 the public and private sectors, and the
                 extent of collaboration between them
              • The best approach to space
                development is receiving little
                attention
Reviews

•   In Becoming Spacefarers: Rescuing America’s Space Program, James A. Vedda, one of
    the most innovative space policy analysts working today, offers a no-nonsense account of
    the current doldrums of spaceflight in the United States and how the nation might deal with
    it. He makes clear that we are in a crisis, that business as usual will not enable us to
    overcome it, and that it is not sufficient to rest on past successes or to accept the present
    partisanship and parochialism. In addition to diagnosing the problems, Vedda also offers
    useful and in some cases provocative prescriptions for how Americans might untie the
    Gordian knot of current approaches to spaceflight. – Dr. Roger Launius, senior curator of
    space history at the National Air & Space Museum, Smithsonian Institution
•   Vedda offers us a well-written and well-argued case, drawing on his expert knowledge of
    the history of spaceflight and his vision for the future. If you want to understand what’s
    wrong with U.S. space policy and how to fix it – read this book! – Dr. James Clay Moltz,
    professor at the Naval Postgraduate School and author of The Politics of Space Security
    and Asia’s Space Race
•   Jim Vedda gives the reader a no-nonsense review of the on-going, albeit twisted trajectory
    of U.S. space program prowess. This is a well-reasoned and expertly researched book that
    is unique in its scope and issues tackled. For even the most hardened space cadet, my
    advice is to lift up your helmet visor and take a clear, close read about good, bad, and
    muddled decision-making in the past – but more importantly, what’s needed to create a
    sustainable space agenda for the future. – Leonard David, SPACE.com’s Insider Columnist
Main themes

• Three stages of space development: training
  ground, industrial park in Earth-Moon space, and
  settlement & expansion in the solar system
• Goals for the current era: reach stage two by
  building space infrastructure that creates economic
  value, societal benefits, and new knowledge
• Parallel development of multiple space
  infrastructure elements through strong public-
  private collaboration
• Making space activity mainstream: it needs to move
  beyond being a political pawn and a jobs program
Chapter 1



        Defining “spacefaring”
• Today, a “spacefaring society” is one that has
  some combination of capabilities in
  launch, scientific research, and space
  manufacturing
  - In the long run, the definition is a moving target
    that may come to include space settlement and
    wide-ranging commercial activity
• Societal acceptance of space applications
  has become widespread, but human space
  activity is still elite, exotic, futuristic
• Next steps in space require expansion and
  diversification of enduring infrastructure
  - As on Earth, that means a greater role for the
    private sector as investors and operators
Chapter 2


Resistance, doubt, and other realities

• Some discredit the notion that we’ll go any
  farther than we already have; others worry
  that space advances will bring more harm
  than good
• Proponents counter with an array of space
  visions, but many of these are premature or
  try to skip important steps



Space is a high-cost, high-risk, long-term activity, so
 it’s more important to get it right than to do it fast.
Chapter 3


 Hope, change, and the space program

• The Obama administration immediately
  directed its attention to the space program
  – More than expected, given the problems inherited in
    the economy, overseas conflict, etc.
  – Initiated interagency study; appointed the Augustine
    Committee; chose a new NASA administrator
• Shuttle flights would end during first
  term, severely impacting the space workforce
  – Current path was unsustainable, particularly in
    human spaceflight
• Augustine Committee report (October 2009)
  was not well received by Congress
Chapter 4


   2010: The year we made conflict

• Obama’s FY2011 budget proposal set a new
  path
   – Right direction, but inadequate vision and strategy
   – Lunar program (Constellation) cancelled, causing
     a firestorm of protest
• Everyone with a stake in the status quo
  objected loudly; opposition politicians cast the
  proposal in apocalyptic terms
• Many applauded the new direction, but
  partisan resistance and parochial interests
  forced substantial rollbacks in Obama’s plan
Chapters 5 & 6


       2011-12: The battle continues…
• Members of Congress maneuvered for advantage over the White
  House and each other
    – Partisan attacks on the president
    – Parochial schemes sought to gain (or prevent loss of) jobs in particular
      states and congressional districts
• Space on the presidential campaign trail
    – Generally not an issue, but the Republican primary in Florida brought
      brief exposure (mostly ridicule)
    – Newt Gingrich advocated a lunar base; the media and his opponents
      (especially Mitt Romney) belittled his ideas
• Contrary to conventional wisdom, the space program has always
  been buffeted by partisanship – but it’s become more visible recently
    – However, parochialism can trump political ideology when jobs are the
      hottest issue on the domestic agenda
    – Example: Many Republicans have favored big government space
      programs over commercial space development because they have
      NASA activity in their state or district
Chapter 7


               History tells us…

• Big infrastructure projects always involve
  collaboration between the public and private
  sectors – and space will be no different
  – Common requirements: research, risk management,
    large up-front investment, need for an anchor customer
    (at least initially), public safety, product quality
• Analogies in U.S. transportation industries over
  the past two centuries
  – Many lessons to be learned from development,
    operation, and regulation of maritime, rail, road, and
    aviation industries
Chapters 8 & 9


    Space must become mainstream

• The Apollo approach is no longer valid, but what do
  we replace it with?
   – Destination-driven crash programs are unsustainable and lack
     a lasting purpose
   – Difficult to find the right balance
      • Specific missions demand specific solutions, providing technical
        focus and deadlines, but hindering broad, lasting utility
      • Investment in a broad range of technologies can have multiple
        applications, but lacks focus and milestones
• Government investment in research must continue,
  but operations need to move out of NASA as soon as
  possible
• Infrastructure should aim to serve multiple purposes
  over an extended period, not isolated missions
Chapter 10


            The Next Great Thing

• To become mainstream, space activities must develop
  functionality similar to terrestrial activities
 – Repair, refuel, and reposition orbiting assets
 – Clean up debris hazards
 – Protect against natural hazards (e.g., radiation, incoming
   asteroids)
 – Use nearby (i.e., extraterrestrial) materials and energy sources
• Key to all of this is proximity operations
 – Today’s space applications simply send electrons back and
   forth for communications, navigation, and remote sensing
 – There are options for addressing treaty and security concerns
Chapters 11 & 12



 Big questions and strategic roadmaps
• Agreement on the “big questions” for human spaceflight
  has been more elusive than for space science
   – But it boils down to: Can humans “live off the land” in space, and
     can they consistently create value that justifies the cost and risk?
• National and global efforts are formulating technical and
  mission roadmaps (e.g., NASA, National Research
  Council, and the Global Exploration Roadmap)
   – Some promising approaches, but still some outdated destination-
     driven ideas
   – Global effort proposes two alternatives, both ultimately aimed at
     Mars: Moon-Next and Asteroid-Next

  Proposed alternative: Cislunar-Next, which would
 address the “big questions” close to home and build
the fundamentals for the exploration and development
                      to follow.
Find Becoming Spacefarers at:
• Amazon
  http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1477130918/ref=
  olp_product_details?ie=UTF8&me=&seller=
• Barnes & Noble
  http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/becoming-
  spacefarers-james-a-
  vedda/1111766868?ean=9781477130919

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Becoming Spacefarers: Rescuing the American Space Program

  • 1. Becoming Spacefarers Rescuing America’s Space Program published June 2012 by Xlibris Corporation James A. Vedda, Ph.D.
  • 2. Motivations for writing this book • U.S. space efforts are at a turning point – We’ve been saying this for decades, but this time it’s really true • We’re doing a poor job of strategic decision-making at a critical time – Partisanship and parochialism distract us from long-term vision and the national interest – We’re still focusing human spaceflight efforts on destinations rather than capabilities and knowledge – We’re still arguing about the roles of the public and private sectors, and the extent of collaboration between them • The best approach to space development is receiving little attention
  • 3. Reviews • In Becoming Spacefarers: Rescuing America’s Space Program, James A. Vedda, one of the most innovative space policy analysts working today, offers a no-nonsense account of the current doldrums of spaceflight in the United States and how the nation might deal with it. He makes clear that we are in a crisis, that business as usual will not enable us to overcome it, and that it is not sufficient to rest on past successes or to accept the present partisanship and parochialism. In addition to diagnosing the problems, Vedda also offers useful and in some cases provocative prescriptions for how Americans might untie the Gordian knot of current approaches to spaceflight. – Dr. Roger Launius, senior curator of space history at the National Air & Space Museum, Smithsonian Institution • Vedda offers us a well-written and well-argued case, drawing on his expert knowledge of the history of spaceflight and his vision for the future. If you want to understand what’s wrong with U.S. space policy and how to fix it – read this book! – Dr. James Clay Moltz, professor at the Naval Postgraduate School and author of The Politics of Space Security and Asia’s Space Race • Jim Vedda gives the reader a no-nonsense review of the on-going, albeit twisted trajectory of U.S. space program prowess. This is a well-reasoned and expertly researched book that is unique in its scope and issues tackled. For even the most hardened space cadet, my advice is to lift up your helmet visor and take a clear, close read about good, bad, and muddled decision-making in the past – but more importantly, what’s needed to create a sustainable space agenda for the future. – Leonard David, SPACE.com’s Insider Columnist
  • 4. Main themes • Three stages of space development: training ground, industrial park in Earth-Moon space, and settlement & expansion in the solar system • Goals for the current era: reach stage two by building space infrastructure that creates economic value, societal benefits, and new knowledge • Parallel development of multiple space infrastructure elements through strong public- private collaboration • Making space activity mainstream: it needs to move beyond being a political pawn and a jobs program
  • 5. Chapter 1 Defining “spacefaring” • Today, a “spacefaring society” is one that has some combination of capabilities in launch, scientific research, and space manufacturing - In the long run, the definition is a moving target that may come to include space settlement and wide-ranging commercial activity • Societal acceptance of space applications has become widespread, but human space activity is still elite, exotic, futuristic • Next steps in space require expansion and diversification of enduring infrastructure - As on Earth, that means a greater role for the private sector as investors and operators
  • 6. Chapter 2 Resistance, doubt, and other realities • Some discredit the notion that we’ll go any farther than we already have; others worry that space advances will bring more harm than good • Proponents counter with an array of space visions, but many of these are premature or try to skip important steps Space is a high-cost, high-risk, long-term activity, so it’s more important to get it right than to do it fast.
  • 7. Chapter 3 Hope, change, and the space program • The Obama administration immediately directed its attention to the space program – More than expected, given the problems inherited in the economy, overseas conflict, etc. – Initiated interagency study; appointed the Augustine Committee; chose a new NASA administrator • Shuttle flights would end during first term, severely impacting the space workforce – Current path was unsustainable, particularly in human spaceflight • Augustine Committee report (October 2009) was not well received by Congress
  • 8. Chapter 4 2010: The year we made conflict • Obama’s FY2011 budget proposal set a new path – Right direction, but inadequate vision and strategy – Lunar program (Constellation) cancelled, causing a firestorm of protest • Everyone with a stake in the status quo objected loudly; opposition politicians cast the proposal in apocalyptic terms • Many applauded the new direction, but partisan resistance and parochial interests forced substantial rollbacks in Obama’s plan
  • 9. Chapters 5 & 6 2011-12: The battle continues… • Members of Congress maneuvered for advantage over the White House and each other – Partisan attacks on the president – Parochial schemes sought to gain (or prevent loss of) jobs in particular states and congressional districts • Space on the presidential campaign trail – Generally not an issue, but the Republican primary in Florida brought brief exposure (mostly ridicule) – Newt Gingrich advocated a lunar base; the media and his opponents (especially Mitt Romney) belittled his ideas • Contrary to conventional wisdom, the space program has always been buffeted by partisanship – but it’s become more visible recently – However, parochialism can trump political ideology when jobs are the hottest issue on the domestic agenda – Example: Many Republicans have favored big government space programs over commercial space development because they have NASA activity in their state or district
  • 10. Chapter 7 History tells us… • Big infrastructure projects always involve collaboration between the public and private sectors – and space will be no different – Common requirements: research, risk management, large up-front investment, need for an anchor customer (at least initially), public safety, product quality • Analogies in U.S. transportation industries over the past two centuries – Many lessons to be learned from development, operation, and regulation of maritime, rail, road, and aviation industries
  • 11. Chapters 8 & 9 Space must become mainstream • The Apollo approach is no longer valid, but what do we replace it with? – Destination-driven crash programs are unsustainable and lack a lasting purpose – Difficult to find the right balance • Specific missions demand specific solutions, providing technical focus and deadlines, but hindering broad, lasting utility • Investment in a broad range of technologies can have multiple applications, but lacks focus and milestones • Government investment in research must continue, but operations need to move out of NASA as soon as possible • Infrastructure should aim to serve multiple purposes over an extended period, not isolated missions
  • 12. Chapter 10 The Next Great Thing • To become mainstream, space activities must develop functionality similar to terrestrial activities – Repair, refuel, and reposition orbiting assets – Clean up debris hazards – Protect against natural hazards (e.g., radiation, incoming asteroids) – Use nearby (i.e., extraterrestrial) materials and energy sources • Key to all of this is proximity operations – Today’s space applications simply send electrons back and forth for communications, navigation, and remote sensing – There are options for addressing treaty and security concerns
  • 13. Chapters 11 & 12 Big questions and strategic roadmaps • Agreement on the “big questions” for human spaceflight has been more elusive than for space science – But it boils down to: Can humans “live off the land” in space, and can they consistently create value that justifies the cost and risk? • National and global efforts are formulating technical and mission roadmaps (e.g., NASA, National Research Council, and the Global Exploration Roadmap) – Some promising approaches, but still some outdated destination- driven ideas – Global effort proposes two alternatives, both ultimately aimed at Mars: Moon-Next and Asteroid-Next Proposed alternative: Cislunar-Next, which would address the “big questions” close to home and build the fundamentals for the exploration and development to follow.
  • 14. Find Becoming Spacefarers at: • Amazon http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1477130918/ref= olp_product_details?ie=UTF8&me=&seller= • Barnes & Noble http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/becoming- spacefarers-james-a- vedda/1111766868?ean=9781477130919