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Marcel Török-Oance, Rodica Török-Oance,
 Alexandru Onaca, Florina Ardelean, Mircea Voiculescu




This work was supported by CNCSIS – UEFISCSU, project number PNII – IDEI 1075/2009
             and by CNMP, project number PNII – GEOMORF 32-140/2008.
• The most massive and highest part of the
The Southern Carpathians   Romanian Carpathians
                           • 10 % of the mountain areas lies above 2000 m
                           • The maximum elevation is 2544 m
                           (Moldoveanu Peak, Făgăraş Mountains)
                                                   •The presence of the
                                                   vegetation levels:
                                                   - the alpine level
                                                    (> 2200 m)
                                                   - the subalpine level
                                                   (from treeline to 2200 m)
                                                   - the coniferous forest
                                                   level (from 1300-1400 m
                                                   to around 1800 m)
                                                   - the deciduous forest
                                                   level (< 1300-1400 m).
                                                   •The Carpathians are a
                                                   very old living space
                                                   with intense human
                                                   activity. The most
                                                   important activity which
                                                   affect the timberline area
                                                   is the grazing.
The Southern Carpathians have a temperate mountain climate.
- the mean annual air temperatures vary between 7°C and –2°C above
2100 m (-2.6°C at Omu Peak, 2505m).
-the mean annual precipitations values are between 700 mm and 1200 mm

                 o
             t
         C


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The variation of the
                 -1




         -1. 5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         mean annual air
                 -2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         temperature and of the
         -2. 5                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           mean annual
                 -3                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      precipitation at the
         -3. 5
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Omu meteorogical
                 -4
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         station (2505 m),
                      19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19    19      19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     2 0
          ani i


S t . V f . O mu
                      6 1


                      - 2
                            6 2


                            - 2
                                  6 3


                                  - 2
                                        6 4


                                        - 3
                                              6 5


                                              - 3
                                                    6 6


                                                    - 2
                                                          6 7


                                                          - 3
                                                                6 8


                                                                - 2
                                                                      6 9


                                                                      - 3
                                                                            7 0


                                                                            - 3
                                                                                  7 1


                                                                                  - 3
                                                                                        7 2


                                                                                        - 2
                                                                                              7 3


                                                                                              - 3
                                                                                                    7 4


                                                                                                    - 3
                                                                                                          7 5


                                                                                                          - 2
                                                                                                                7 6


                                                                                                                - 3
                                                                                                                      7 7


                                                                                                                      - 2
                                                                                                                            7 8


                                                                                                                            - 3
                                                                                                                                  7 9


                                                                                                                                  - 2
                                                                                                                                        8 0


                                                                                                                                        - 3
                                                                                                                                              8 1


                                                                                                                                              - 3
                                                                                                                                                     8 2


                                                                                                                                                      - 2
                                                                                                                                                            8 3


                                                                                                                                                             - 3
                                                                                                                                                                    8 4


                                                                                                                                                                    - 3
                                                                                                                                                                           8 5


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                                                                                                                                                                                 8 6


                                                                                                                                                                                  - 2
                                                                                                                                                                                         8 7


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                                                                                                                                                                                                8 8


                                                                                                                                                                                                - 3
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                                                                                                                                                                                                       - 2
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    0 0


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    - 2
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         1964-2006 interval
                                                                                                                                                    P p ( mm)
                                                                                                                                                     1800



                                                                                                                                                     1600



                                                                                                                                                     1400



                                                                                                                                                     1200



                                                                                                                                                     1000



                                                                                                                                                       800



                                                                                                                                                       600



                                                                                                                                                       400



                                                                                                                                                       200



                                                                                                                                                          0
                                                                                                                                                        a ni i     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19     19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   19   20
                                                                                                                                                                   61     62     63     64     65     66     67     68     69     70     71     72     73     74     75     76     77     78   79   80   81   82   83   84   85   86   87   88   89   90   91   92   93   94   95   96   97   98   99   00

                                                                                                                                         St . V f . O mu           127 132 102 105 101 165 115 130 143 159 135 134 157 126 119 129 147 112 103 884 981 678 740 585 404 636 521 652 509 475 102 654 835 961 108 815 944 826 847 440
The aim
• to detect the changes of the timberline/treeline using
remote sensing data, old vegetation maps and field data
during the last 50 years


 The data
 Old maps: 1:20,000 topogrpaphical maps (1930 - 1953 edition)
            1:25,000 topographic maps (1980 edition)
 Forestry cadastre maps (1:10,000)
 Airphotos: black and white airphotos (1956 and 1972)
              color airphotos (2005, 2008)
 Satelite images: Landsat TM/ETM+ images (1988, 2002 and 2006),
                  SPOT images (2008)
 Field data (including GPS data)
Methods
At regional scale:
- the supervised classification of the Landsat images in order to obtain Land
cover maps from different periods.
- the change detection method (Landsat TM/ETM+ scenes)
- the estimation of changes using Land Change Modeler tool (Idrisi Andes
software)


At local scale:
- both visual and GIS analysis based on old and recent cartographic
documents, airphotos and recent high resolution satellite images (SPOT).


-Field data were used:
- to differentiate the training sites (more than 300 points for each satellite
scene)
- for the accuracy assessment of the supervised classification
- to identify the vegetation types, the geomorphological present-day
processes and the human impact on the timberline/treeline
The classification of the satellite images
        Landsat TM and ETM+ images:
                   For the Retezat – Godeanu Massif: August 1998- August 2006
                   For the Făgăraş Massif: August 1996- August 2004

 1. The mitigation of the topographic effect - the shadows generated by steep
 slopes exaggerate the difference in reflectance information coming from the same
 landcover type. Shading is the main problem in using satellite imagery for
 classification purposes in high mountain areas.

        Mitigation of the topographic effect based on DEM
                                                Landsat image - Band 4 (NIR)
       Landsat image - Band 4 (NIR)                 after the correction
                                                         The map of analytical hillshading

      Digital Elevation Model (DEM)



 Sun azimuth = 137.1989028 degrees
 Sun elevation angle = 61.8029487 degrees
The classification of the satellite images

 1. The creation of the spectral signatures for each landcover type
         - the differentiation of the spectral test areas (training sites)
         - the creation of the spectral signatures




 2. The classification of the
 satellite images with the
 maximum likelihood
 method
The validation of the classification demonstrated that the accuracy is
between 87 and 93%. The most errors were detected in the extreme
shadow areas.


        Because our study is focused only on the
        timberline/treeline area, we eliminated all the areas
        below 1400m and we grouped the landcover types in
        four classes: pastures, shrubs, forests and waters.
THE CHANGE DETECTION METHOD
    Change detection image = Earlier image – Later image

In all the change detection images we could observe that there are areas with
significant changes (the values of the pixels were beyond + 2SD or -2SD)
THE LAND CHANGE MODELER TOOL (Idrisi software)
- is based on cross-tabulation analysis that compares two
landcover images of the same area from different periods of time

      The gains and losses of the landcover types
       in Retezat – Godeanu Massif (1988-2004)
Net change of the landcover types
in Ţarcu and Godeanu Mountains
In the massifs where the pasturage was
very intense the natural boundaries of the
forest domain have changed.
The treeline ecoton has been destroyed by
burning of the subalpine shrubs and by
clearing
The intensity of the pasturage activity could be
expressed by the density of the sheepfolds in the
alpine area (numbers of sheepfolds/km2).
The Godeanu and the Cernei Mountains

                                1965




                                              (Emm. de Martonne, 1921


                                       2008
                                                                   2006




SPOT, 2.5 m resolution
2008




   2008
Gains and losses in forests in Tulişa Mountains




                                     Gains and losses in shrubs in Tulişa Mountains
Muntele Mic Massif
Areas with no evident changes




The Retezat Mountains -the
first national park in Romania
(1935).
There are no changes of the
timberline.
The treeline ecoton is present
and well preserved.
There is no advance of the
forest because the timberline
is mainly geomorphologicaly
determined.
The gains and losses of the
landcover types in Făgăraş
    Mountains (1986-2000)




The Northern                  The Southern
   Slope                         Slope
Avalanche paths that penetrate the forest on the northern slope
                  of the Făgăraş Mountains
                                         The map of the geomorphological risk in
                                                      Balea Valley
The comparison between the timberline in 1953 and in 2008 on the
                  northern slope of the Făgăraş Mountains




     1953




SPOT, 2008
The gains and losses of the landcover
    types on the southern slope of the
      Făgăraş Mountains (1988-2004)




SPOT, 2008
Comparison between the theoretical (climatic)
           timberline and the real timberline




                                        The Northern Slope




The Southern Slope
The Arjana Massif - the lowest area (1512 m) in Southern
              Carpathians where subalpine level was identified




                                                    1952



                                       1952




Airphoto, 2005
SPOT, 2008


                  1952




                 1.72 ha




Airphoto, 2005
CONCLUSIONS
• The human impact in the subalpine and alpine levels, especially the
grazing, has a great contribution in shaping the present day timberline
configuration.
• In almost all areas with intense pasturage activities the treeline ecoton
has been destroyed and the timberline is 300-400 m lower than the
theoretical (climatic) limit of the forest.
• In the areas with abandoned alpine pastures the dominant process is the
advance of the shrubs and spruce seedlings. In some cases we noticed
also the recover of the timberline. At low altitudes this process is more
intense i. e. Arjana Massif.
• In the protected areas (Retezat National Park) there are no significant
changes of the timberline. The treeline ecoton is also well preserved.
• In the areas where the timberline is a geomorpholgical one, there are
also no important changes (the northern slope of the Fagaraș Mountains
and the Retezat Mountains).

• Although there is an obvious trend of the temperature to increase we
could not established if the process of the forest recover is a consequence
of the climatic change
In the further studies:
- to improve the method for the reducing the topographic effect
- to use satellite images with very high resolution
- to establish representative test areas for the monitorization of the
vegetation changes
- to collect climatic data from the timberline area using data loggers




                          THANK YOU !

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Recent changes of the timberline and treeline in the Southern Carpathians [Marcel Török-Oance]

  • 1. Marcel Török-Oance, Rodica Török-Oance, Alexandru Onaca, Florina Ardelean, Mircea Voiculescu This work was supported by CNCSIS – UEFISCSU, project number PNII – IDEI 1075/2009 and by CNMP, project number PNII – GEOMORF 32-140/2008.
  • 2. • The most massive and highest part of the The Southern Carpathians Romanian Carpathians • 10 % of the mountain areas lies above 2000 m • The maximum elevation is 2544 m (Moldoveanu Peak, Făgăraş Mountains) •The presence of the vegetation levels: - the alpine level (> 2200 m) - the subalpine level (from treeline to 2200 m) - the coniferous forest level (from 1300-1400 m to around 1800 m) - the deciduous forest level (< 1300-1400 m). •The Carpathians are a very old living space with intense human activity. The most important activity which affect the timberline area is the grazing.
  • 3. The Southern Carpathians have a temperate mountain climate. - the mean annual air temperatures vary between 7°C and –2°C above 2100 m (-2.6°C at Omu Peak, 2505m). -the mean annual precipitations values are between 700 mm and 1200 mm o t C The variation of the -1 -1. 5 mean annual air -2 temperature and of the -2. 5 mean annual -3 precipitation at the -3. 5 Omu meteorogical -4 station (2505 m), 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 2 0 ani i S t . V f . O mu 6 1 - 2 6 2 - 2 6 3 - 2 6 4 - 3 6 5 - 3 6 6 - 2 6 7 - 3 6 8 - 2 6 9 - 3 7 0 - 3 7 1 - 3 7 2 - 2 7 3 - 3 7 4 - 3 7 5 - 2 7 6 - 3 7 7 - 2 7 8 - 3 7 9 - 2 8 0 - 3 8 1 - 3 8 2 - 2 8 3 - 3 8 4 - 3 8 5 - 3 8 6 - 2 8 7 - 4 8 8 - 3 8 9 - 2 9 0 - 2 9 1 - 3 9 2 - 3 9 3 - 2 9 4 - 1 9 5 - 3 9 6 - 3 9 7 - 3 9 8 - 2 9 9 - 2 0 0 - 2 1964-2006 interval P p ( mm) 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 a ni i 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 19 20 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 St . V f . O mu 127 132 102 105 101 165 115 130 143 159 135 134 157 126 119 129 147 112 103 884 981 678 740 585 404 636 521 652 509 475 102 654 835 961 108 815 944 826 847 440
  • 4. The aim • to detect the changes of the timberline/treeline using remote sensing data, old vegetation maps and field data during the last 50 years The data Old maps: 1:20,000 topogrpaphical maps (1930 - 1953 edition) 1:25,000 topographic maps (1980 edition) Forestry cadastre maps (1:10,000) Airphotos: black and white airphotos (1956 and 1972) color airphotos (2005, 2008) Satelite images: Landsat TM/ETM+ images (1988, 2002 and 2006), SPOT images (2008) Field data (including GPS data)
  • 5. Methods At regional scale: - the supervised classification of the Landsat images in order to obtain Land cover maps from different periods. - the change detection method (Landsat TM/ETM+ scenes) - the estimation of changes using Land Change Modeler tool (Idrisi Andes software) At local scale: - both visual and GIS analysis based on old and recent cartographic documents, airphotos and recent high resolution satellite images (SPOT). -Field data were used: - to differentiate the training sites (more than 300 points for each satellite scene) - for the accuracy assessment of the supervised classification - to identify the vegetation types, the geomorphological present-day processes and the human impact on the timberline/treeline
  • 6. The classification of the satellite images Landsat TM and ETM+ images: For the Retezat – Godeanu Massif: August 1998- August 2006 For the Făgăraş Massif: August 1996- August 2004 1. The mitigation of the topographic effect - the shadows generated by steep slopes exaggerate the difference in reflectance information coming from the same landcover type. Shading is the main problem in using satellite imagery for classification purposes in high mountain areas. Mitigation of the topographic effect based on DEM Landsat image - Band 4 (NIR) Landsat image - Band 4 (NIR) after the correction The map of analytical hillshading Digital Elevation Model (DEM) Sun azimuth = 137.1989028 degrees Sun elevation angle = 61.8029487 degrees
  • 7. The classification of the satellite images 1. The creation of the spectral signatures for each landcover type - the differentiation of the spectral test areas (training sites) - the creation of the spectral signatures 2. The classification of the satellite images with the maximum likelihood method
  • 8. The validation of the classification demonstrated that the accuracy is between 87 and 93%. The most errors were detected in the extreme shadow areas. Because our study is focused only on the timberline/treeline area, we eliminated all the areas below 1400m and we grouped the landcover types in four classes: pastures, shrubs, forests and waters.
  • 9. THE CHANGE DETECTION METHOD Change detection image = Earlier image – Later image In all the change detection images we could observe that there are areas with significant changes (the values of the pixels were beyond + 2SD or -2SD)
  • 10. THE LAND CHANGE MODELER TOOL (Idrisi software) - is based on cross-tabulation analysis that compares two landcover images of the same area from different periods of time The gains and losses of the landcover types in Retezat – Godeanu Massif (1988-2004)
  • 11. Net change of the landcover types in Ţarcu and Godeanu Mountains
  • 12. In the massifs where the pasturage was very intense the natural boundaries of the forest domain have changed. The treeline ecoton has been destroyed by burning of the subalpine shrubs and by clearing
  • 13. The intensity of the pasturage activity could be expressed by the density of the sheepfolds in the alpine area (numbers of sheepfolds/km2).
  • 14. The Godeanu and the Cernei Mountains 1965 (Emm. de Martonne, 1921 2008 2006 SPOT, 2.5 m resolution
  • 15. 2008 2008
  • 16. Gains and losses in forests in Tulişa Mountains Gains and losses in shrubs in Tulişa Mountains
  • 18. Areas with no evident changes The Retezat Mountains -the first national park in Romania (1935). There are no changes of the timberline. The treeline ecoton is present and well preserved. There is no advance of the forest because the timberline is mainly geomorphologicaly determined.
  • 19. The gains and losses of the landcover types in Făgăraş Mountains (1986-2000) The Northern The Southern Slope Slope
  • 20. Avalanche paths that penetrate the forest on the northern slope of the Făgăraş Mountains The map of the geomorphological risk in Balea Valley
  • 21.
  • 22. The comparison between the timberline in 1953 and in 2008 on the northern slope of the Făgăraş Mountains 1953 SPOT, 2008
  • 23. The gains and losses of the landcover types on the southern slope of the Făgăraş Mountains (1988-2004) SPOT, 2008
  • 24. Comparison between the theoretical (climatic) timberline and the real timberline The Northern Slope The Southern Slope
  • 25. The Arjana Massif - the lowest area (1512 m) in Southern Carpathians where subalpine level was identified 1952 1952 Airphoto, 2005
  • 26. SPOT, 2008 1952 1.72 ha Airphoto, 2005
  • 27. CONCLUSIONS • The human impact in the subalpine and alpine levels, especially the grazing, has a great contribution in shaping the present day timberline configuration. • In almost all areas with intense pasturage activities the treeline ecoton has been destroyed and the timberline is 300-400 m lower than the theoretical (climatic) limit of the forest. • In the areas with abandoned alpine pastures the dominant process is the advance of the shrubs and spruce seedlings. In some cases we noticed also the recover of the timberline. At low altitudes this process is more intense i. e. Arjana Massif. • In the protected areas (Retezat National Park) there are no significant changes of the timberline. The treeline ecoton is also well preserved. • In the areas where the timberline is a geomorpholgical one, there are also no important changes (the northern slope of the Fagaraș Mountains and the Retezat Mountains). • Although there is an obvious trend of the temperature to increase we could not established if the process of the forest recover is a consequence of the climatic change
  • 28. In the further studies: - to improve the method for the reducing the topographic effect - to use satellite images with very high resolution - to establish representative test areas for the monitorization of the vegetation changes - to collect climatic data from the timberline area using data loggers THANK YOU !