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Applied Materials
Going Solar!
New York
5 September 2006




                   External Use
Safe Harbor Statement
    This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including those relating to Applied’s business
    strategy, growth opportunities, served available market, strategy to reduce solar production costs,
    operational efficiencies, financial performance, product capabilities and technology leadership;
    customers’ plans; and the solar technology roadmap and industry outlook. These statements are
    subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ
    materially from those expressed or implied by such statements, including without limitation: (a)
    broadening of demand in the solar industry, which is subject to many factors, including global
    economic conditions, the cost-effectiveness and performance of photovoltaic (PV) products compared
    to conventional and other alternative energy sources, technological innovations, availability and cost
    of raw materials such as silicon, evolving industry standards, changing customer and end-user
    requirements, government subsidies and economic incentives for alternative energy development,
    and geopolitical uncertainties; (b) customers’ capacity requirements and timing, rate and amount of
    capital spending for new technology; (c) Applied’s ability to: accurately predict the characteristics of,
    and capitalize on opportunities in, the emerging PV market; successfully adapt its existing products
    and develop and commercialize new products that enable increased solar cell efficiency and
    performance at a lower cost; recruit, incent and retain key employees; obtain and protect intellectual
    property rights in key technologies; develop, deliver and support a broad range of products; integrate
    acquired businesses; maintain effective cost controls and timely align the company’s cost structure
    with business conditions, and effectively manage its resources and production capability; and other
    risks described in Applied Materials’ SEC filings. All forward-looking statements are based on
    management’s estimates, projections and assumptions as of September 5, 2006 and Applied
    undertakes no obligation to update any such statements.



2
                                                  External Use
3
    External Use
Applied Materials’ Strategy

                                  Extend Leadership in Core Business
                                        Differentiated systems
                                        and services
                                        Extend position in
                                        memory business

                                          Grow in New Markets
                                            Use core nanomanufacturing
                                            and global strengths
                                            Expand into related high
                                            growth opportunities


                                        Deliver World-Class Performance
                                         Enhance operational and
                                         financial efficiencies
                                         Drive performance initiatives to
                                         optimize financial results



4
                         External Use
Applied’s Available Opportunity
                                                                              ’08 SAM ‘06 - ’08
                       New Markets                                             $41.5B   1.5X
                       Flat Panel Display                                      $4B
                       Silicon System & Service                                $2.5B     2.0X


                                                                               $35B     1.3X
                                                  New Core: +$15B


                                                                               2005 – $20B



               2004                   2005     2006E      2007F       2008F

           Opportunity Expected to Double from ‘05 to ‘08 with CAGR ~25%
Source: Gartner DataQuest, Applied Materials
Note: New Markets includes Applied Films




  5
                                                       External Use
Extend Core Business
    Differentiated Products for Nanomanufacturing Technology™

     Performance
    Enhancements        Drive Moore’s Law

    Fab Productivity
     Enhancements       Amplify customers’ productivity

       Flat Panel
        Display         Driving down costs, enabling adoption


     New Markets        Solar and other emerging markets



                    Deliver World-Class Performance

6
                                   External Use
7
    External Use
Solar Electric is Fundamentally Familiar

             Silicon Wafers                                    Thin Film on Glass




     Higher efficiency, area constrained                  Lower efficiency, cost constrained




8
                                           External Use
9
    External Use
Solar Learning Curve Dynamics
                                100

                                                                                                           Historical

                                                                                                           Projected
                                               1980
                                             $21.83/W
               Module Cost ($/W)*




                                                          1985
                                                        $11.20/W
                                                                    1990
                                                                   $6.07/W    1995
                                    10                                       $4.90/W    2000
                                                                                       $3.89/W
                                                                                                  2005
                                                                                                 $2.70/W



                                                        INDUSTRY ACCELERATION


                                    1
                                         1       10       100           1,000                     10,000                1E5
                                                        Cumulative Volume (MW)


            Goal: Increase Rate of Learning
* 2002 Dollars
Source: Navigant Consulting



   10
                                                              External Use
World Electricity Production Forecast
                     (2000 – 2040)
              100,000
                                                                                                                                                        Equivalent
                                                                                               Production
                                                                             Total Electricity                                                          Solar GWp2

                     10,000                               Potential of Existing                                                                           ~5,000
                                                          US Rooftops (GWp)

                                                      US                     10% Total
                      1,000                           China                                                                                                ~500
         TWh1/Year




                                                      India                   1% Total
                                                                                 h)                            Est. CAGR% ’00 - ’40                         ~50
                       100
                                                                         n   (TW                            Total Electricity Production 2.5%
                                                                du   ctio                                      (increase of 25,400TWh)
                                                          ty Pro                                             Solar Energy Production 21%
                                               tri   ci
                        10                 lec                                                                  (increase of 6,000TWh)                      ~5
                                 la   rE
                              So                                                  California 1 Million Roofs
                                                                                                                                                        Current solar
                                                                                                                                                          capacity
                         1
                         2000                                 2010F                        2020F                      2030F                     2040F

1TWh = Terrawatt-hour = 1 Billion Kilowatt-hours                                                       = Consumption in labeled country / state
2GWp = Gigawatt-peak, assuming average hours or sunshine
Source: Solar Generation and IEA-PVPS




    11
                                                                                             External Use
PV Solar Supply Growth
                                                                     Solar PV Projections - Market Analysts
                                 12,000
                                                 Historical
                                                 Navigant, March 2006 - Low                                     Est. CAGR 25 - 45%
                                 10,000
                                                 CLSA (Solar Silicon Conf), 2006
            PV Shipments (MWp)




                                  8,000
                                             Top ten solar producers to add
                                                                                                                      Driving
                                             480MW in 2006E                                                           Faster Growth
                                  6,000
                                                 – 85% of all new capacity added                                       Productivity
                                                 – 25% of total resulting capacity worldwide                           Cost
                                                                                                                       Infrastructure
                                  4,000



                                  2,000



                                     0
                                          2002         2003          2004       2005        2006E   2007F   2008F   2009F    2010F


Source: Compilation analysts reports, Applied Materials, Photon International




   12
                                                                                   External Use
The Applied Materials Difference



                            World Class
                            Capabilities



                      R&D +                     Reputation
                     Financial                      +
                    Resources                   Experience



     Providing Leadership in Accelerating Solar Learning Curve

13
                                 External Use
VIDEO:
     "Learn about Solar Technology"
         hosted by Charles Gay




14
                  External Use
Technology Conditions – Why Solar Now?
      SCALE OF MANUFACTURING

      PRODUCT COST REDUCTION
      – Cost per m2
           Glass/display
            – Size
            – Process
      – Watts per m2
           Materials science
           Yield & control
           IC know-how & leverage

      THIN FILM OPPORTUNITY
      – Polysilicon supply constraint




15
                                        External Use
Scale to Enable Learning Curve
                                     100

                                                                                                                   Historical

                                                                                                                   Projected
                                                 1980
                                               $21.83/W
                Module Cost ($/W)*




                                                             1985
                                                           $11.20/W
                                                                        1990
                                     10                                $6.07/W    1995
                                                                                 $4.90/W      2000
                                                                                             $3.89/W
                                                                                                        2005
                                                                                                       $2.70/W




                                      1
                                           1          10      100                 1,000                  10,000                 1E5
                                                            Cumulative Volume (MW)

           Production line size                 0.5                                   5           50             100
           (Megawatts per Year):               (1980)                               (2000)      (2005)           (2010)
           Lines Per Factory                     2                                    3           4               10
* 2002 Dollars
Source: Navigant Consulting



   16
                                                                External Use
Technology Conditions – Why Solar Now?
      SCALE OF MANUFACTURING

      PRODUCT COST REDUCTION
      – Cost per m2
           Glass/display
            – Size                                                Cost / m2
            – Process                   $ Production / Watt   =
      – Watts per m2                                              Watt / m2
           Materials science
           Yield & control
           IC know-how & leverage

      THIN FILM OPPORTUNITY
      – Polysilicon supply constraint




17
                                        External Use
Experience Reducing Unit Production Costs

                                                                 Experience from LCD Manufacturing
                                                  10
                                                                              Substrate Area      Cost/Area

                                                   8                                                          5.2m2




                         Cost / Area (relative)
                                                                                                 4.4m2

      Cost / m2                                    6


                                                                                         2.8m2
      Watt /   m2                                  4


                                                                        1.4m2
                                                   2
                                                       0.7m2

                                                   0
                                                       Gen 4             Gen 5           Gen 6   Gen 7        Gen 8




     Gen 8: 60nm Uniformity Over 4x1018nm2 Area at 50 Substrates per Hour


18
                                                               External Use
Experience Enhancing Product Performance
     and Process Consistency

                                                                      c-Si


                                               Applied Materials

                 Production Quantity
                                                     technology
     Cost / m2
     Watt / m2                         Conventional
                                          approach




                                                  Cell Efficiency

                                           Tighter distribution and
                                           higher mean efficiency




19
                                                       External Use
Experience Enhancing Product Performance
     and Process Consistency

                                                                                                                Thin Film
                                                                    a-Si:H/μc-Si:H Cell Spectral Response




                                                                                                                                                Number of Sunlight Photons (m-2s-1micron-1) E+19
                                                                                                                                            5



                   Relative External Quantum Efficiency, %
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Glass Substrate
                                                                        a-Si:H junction                            μc-Si:H junction
                                                                                                                                                                                                      Transparent Conductor
                                                             100
     Cost /   m2                                                                                                                            4

                                                             80                                                                                                                                         Amorphous Silicon
                                                                                                                                            3

     Watt / m2                                               60
                                                                                                                                            2
                                                             40                                                                                                                                          Microcrystalline
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Silicon
                                                                                                                                            1
                                                             20
                                                                                            AM 1.5 global spectrum
                                                              0                                                                             0
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Back Contact
                                                                  0.3     0.4    0.5      0.6   0.7       0.8    0.9   1.0   1.1      1.2
                                                                                       Wavelength, microns
                                                                                                                                                                                                    Tandem Junction
                                                                                                                                                                                                   Increases voltage,
                                                                                                                                                                                                   collects more light,
                                                                                                                                                                                                   enhances stability




20
                                                                                           External Use
Experience Enhancing Product Performance
     and Process Consistency

                                               Thin Film

                                                                  Glass Substrate

                                                               Transparent Conductor

     Cost /   m2
                                                                 Amorphous Silicon



     Watt / m2
                                                                  Microcrystalline
                                                                      Silicon




                                                                   Back Contact




                     Enhanced light                             Innovative
                   trapping increases                      technology improves
                      cell efficiency                      product performance




21
                                External Use
Technology Conditions – Why Solar Now?
                 SCALE OF MANUFACTURING

                 PRODUCT COST REDUCTION
                   – Cost per m2
                               Glass/display                           Polysilicon Supply and Demand
                                  – Size
                                  – Process
                   – Watts per m2
                               Materials science
                               Yield & control
                               IC know-how & leverage

                 THIN FILM OPPORTUNITY
                   – Polysilicon supply constraint




Source: Tor Hartmann, Solar Grade Silicon, 2005




   22
                                                        External Use
Delivering Compelling Photovoltaic
     Technology and Service Solutions




23
                    External Use
Applied’s Capabilities
                 Large Area Platforms                           Automation

     ATON™                              AKT50K PECVD




               MULTIWEB™
                                        Process Technology



                                                             Service & Support
             Integration




24
                                          External Use
Crystalline Silicon: ATON SiN PVD

                                                        Passivation
                       Wet Clean      Ion Doping                              Back
         Wafer                                            & ARC
                       & Texture      & Diffusion                            Reflector
                                                        Layer (SiN)


                                                         Bin & Sort;
                       Contact        Metrology &
                                                         Transfer to             Module
                       Metals         Inspection
                                                         Module Mfg



      SiN: biggest ‘pain’ point for                                    ATON
      c-Si manufacturers
      Flexible platform easily adaptable for
      production volumes from 25-100MW
                                                                 • Insert picture of AKT PECVD
      Increase yield: uniform appearance
      and high efficiency




25
                                         External Use
Crystalline Silicon: New ATON Applications

                                                        Passivation
                          Wet Clean   Ion Doping                              Back
         Wafer                                            & ARC
                          & Texture   & Diffusion                            Reflector
                                                        Layer (SiN)


                                                         Bin & Sort;
                          Contact     Metrology &
                                                         Transfer to             Module
                          Metals      Inspection
                                                         Module Mfg



      Expand sequential applications                                   ATON
      including
       – Back reflector
       – Contact metal
                                                                 • Insert picture of AKT PECVD
      Enables large scale automation
      of a significant part of
      manufacturing line




26
                                         External Use
Thin Film Silicon: New Aristo™ PVD

                                                                New Aristo
                              Glass Substrate

                                   TCO


                                                               • Insert picture of AKT PECVD

                                Amorphous
                                 Silicon




                               Back Contact




      Deposition of transparent conductors (TCO)
      100+ Aristos shipped for TCO, leading LCD color filter market
      High throughput in-line tool
      Ultra-low particle contamination


27
                                                External Use
Thin Film Silicon: AKT-PECVD System

                                                              AKT50K PECVD
                             Glass Substrate

                                  TCO




                               Amorphous
                                Silicon




                              Back Contact




      Large area PECVD
      500+ systems shipped for thin film silicon, leading LCD display market
      High throughput cluster tool
      Exceptional film uniformity over large areas


28
                                               External Use
Thin Film Silicon: ATON PVD System

                                                                 ATON
                              Glass Substrate

                                   TCO




                                Amorphous
                                 Silicon




                               Back Contact




      Deposition of back reflectors, metal contacts and transparent conductors
      Recently introduced for solar, derived from heritage of 150+ glass coaters
      High throughput in-line tool for either glass or silicon substrates
      Flexible process architecture, scalable to 100MW



29
                                                External Use
Largest Microcrystalline Solar Panel Structure




     Demonstrated 4 Times Larger Than Standard Solar Module (4.4m2)

30
                                External Use
Roadmap
                                                                                                            Other
                                                                                                     Real Time Feedback,    85% → 98% yield
                                                                                                      Fab MIS, Metrology



                                                                                                            CIS             10% → 14% efficient
                                                                                                     Contacts, Absorber
                                        CIS
                                      Contacts
                                                                                                           c-Si
                                                                                                   SiN, Back Reflector,
                                                                                                 Contacts, Surface Prep,    14% → 23% efficient
                                    c-Si
                             SiN, Back Reflector,                                                 Integrated Wiring, Adv
                                  Contacts                                                        Junctions, Automation

                                                                                                        TF-Si
                                   TF-Si                                                                                    6% → 11% efficient
                                                                                               TCO, PECVD, Contacts
                               TCO, PECVD,
                                                                                              Automation, High Efficiency
                            Contacts, Automation

                                         Now                                                                2010F
Note: Items listed in white will be new technologies and capabilities added by 2010




   31
                                                                                      External Use
Applied Materials: An Enabling Force

                Fastest solar power companies


                                          Applied Materials (US)     M.Setek (Japan)
                                               BP (UK)               Motech (Taiwan)
                                           Carmanah (Canada)        Q-Cells (Germany)
                                           Conergy (Germany)          REC (Norway)
                                            Ersol (Germany)           Sanyo (Japan)
                                          Evergreen Solar (US)        Sharp (Japan)
                                             First Solar (US)      SolarWorld (Germany)
                                              GT Solar (US)          SunPower (US)
                                             Hemlock (US)            Suntech (China)
                                            Kyocera (Japan)         Tokyuama (Japan)



Source: Photon International, July 2006




   32
   48
                                                External Use
Applied Materials: An Enabling Force

                Fastest solarcost per watt is what it’s all about. Having done this before in IC and
                 “Reducing production power companies
                   LCD, we’re excited to see what Applied Materials can do in solar. Q-Cells and the Industry
                   can benefit strongly from a player of the caliber and with the capabilities of Applied
                   Materials. We are excited to be working with them”          – Anton Milner
                                                      Applied Materials (US)Chief Executive Officer - Q-Cells
                                                                                     M.Setek (Japan)
                   “Looking at the growth opportunity ahead of us (UK) going to have to scale to meaningful
                                                             BP we’re                  Motech (Taiwan)
                    plant sizes and fast”              Carmanah (Canada) P.M. Pai
                                                                            –        Q-Cells (Germany)
                                                                                  Chief Operating Officer - SunPower
                                                       Conergy (Germany)                    REC (Norway)
                   “Like many in the industry we’ve beenErsol (Germany)
                                                            able to get to this point by creating our own machines
                                                                                              Sanyo (Japan)
                    to do the job. But this is not our core expertise … we’re looking forward to what Applied
                    Materials can bring to the table” Evergreen Solar (US) Dr. Chris Sharp (Japan)
                                                                                  –            Eberspacher
                                                          First Solar (US)        VP Engineering - NanoSolar
                                                                                      SolarWorld (Germany)
                   “Applied Materials has been a great partner Solar over the years. They have made(US)
                                                          GT for us (US)               SunPower the
                                                                                       Suntech (China)
                    investment to support us wherever we Hemlock – new products, new generation fabs,
                                                          need to be (US)
                    and on-going service and support”
                                                        Kyocera (Japan) – ChengTokyuama (Japan)
                                                                                      Yih Lin
                                                                                  Senior Vice President,
                                                                                  Member of Executive Board - AUO


Source: Photon International, July 2006




   32
                                                              External Use
Solar Product Business Group Footprint




                            Installed Systems
                            Technology and Global
                            Development Centers
                            First Thin Film Si Sale - Q-Cells




          Major Producing Countries                             Applications

             US            Japan
                                                      Cell technologies: c-Si, TF-Si, CiS
             Germany       Korea
                                                      Processes: TCO, SiN, contact metals,
             Belgium       India                      semiconductor precursors, a-Si/µc-Si
             Taiwan




     Three of Top 10 Producers Already Customers

33
                                                External Use
Applied Materials’ Solar
       Market Opportunity




34
               External Use
Current Solar Industry Landscape
                                                             Solar Cell Production (MWp)

                    Sharp

                   Q-Cells

                  Kyocera

                    Sanyo

        Mitsubishi Electric

            Deutsche Cell

              Schott Solar

                 BP Solar
                                                                                             2006 Planned Capacity
                  Suntech
                                                                                             2005 Actual Production
                   Motech

                              0               100            200            300        400            500             600
                              Source: Photon International


       Thin Film Si Equipment Suppliers                                           C-Si Equipment Suppliers

       Applied Materials, Leybold Optics,                                   Applied Materials, Baccini, OTB,
       Ulvac, Unaxis, Von Ardenne                                           Centrotherm, GT Equipment, Manz
                                                                            Automation, Roth & Rau, Schmid, Spire



35
                                                             External Use
Multiple Technologies Driving Industry Growth

                            c-Si Annual New Capacity (MW)                                                   TF Annual New Capacity (MW)
             2,000                                                                               500
                                                                               1,860
                                                                                                                                      430

                           Est. CAGR = 23%                                                       400
             1,500                                                1,450
                                                                                                           Est. CAGR = 64%     340
                                                     1,200
                                                                                                 300

             1,000                       920                                                                            240
                            800
                                                                                                 200
                                                                                                                 150

                500
                                                                                                 100
                                                                                                          60


                    0                                                                                 0
                           '06E          '07F         '08F         '09F         '10F                      '06E   '07F   '08F   '09F   '10F


Source:
c-Si: Applied Materials analysis based on Solar Buzz, Maycock, customer forecasts
TF: Applied Materials analysis based on Navigant 2006, customer forecasts




  36
                                                                                       External Use
Significant and Growing Solar Market
                                                              c-Si + Thin Film PV Equipment Spending
                                                            (wafer, cell & module manufacturing equipment)
                 4
                                  Total Available Market
                                  Served Available Market
                 3

                                                                                                  28%
                                                                                  R=
                                                                              CAG
                                                                         Est.
          $ BN




                 2
                                                                                                                  %
                                                                                                             = 150
                                                                                              GR
                                                                                          . CA
                                                                                       Est
                 1



                 0
                                 '06E                            '07F                            '08F                            '09F       '10F

            Forecast to Aggressively Increase Each Year
Note: Based on forecast of 8.5 GW production output in FY10; there are significant service opportunities that are incremental to this TAM
Source: Applied Materials analysis based on Navigant 2006, CLSA (Solar Silicon Conference) 2006, Solar Buzz 2006, Manufacturer forecasts




  37
                                                                                        External Use
An Industry in Transition
     Exponential Market Growth Will Be Enabled By

      Production
         Cost
      Reduction
                      Rapid Scale
                          in
                     Manufacturing
                                                 Robust
                                                Equipment
                                                Solutions
                                                             Global
                                                            Capability




        Applied Materials is Uniquely Positioned to Enable
          the Solar Industry to Make these Transitions

38
                                 External Use
39
     External Use

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Solar_Launch Applied Materials 2006

  • 1. Applied Materials Going Solar! New York 5 September 2006 External Use
  • 2. Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including those relating to Applied’s business strategy, growth opportunities, served available market, strategy to reduce solar production costs, operational efficiencies, financial performance, product capabilities and technology leadership; customers’ plans; and the solar technology roadmap and industry outlook. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such statements, including without limitation: (a) broadening of demand in the solar industry, which is subject to many factors, including global economic conditions, the cost-effectiveness and performance of photovoltaic (PV) products compared to conventional and other alternative energy sources, technological innovations, availability and cost of raw materials such as silicon, evolving industry standards, changing customer and end-user requirements, government subsidies and economic incentives for alternative energy development, and geopolitical uncertainties; (b) customers’ capacity requirements and timing, rate and amount of capital spending for new technology; (c) Applied’s ability to: accurately predict the characteristics of, and capitalize on opportunities in, the emerging PV market; successfully adapt its existing products and develop and commercialize new products that enable increased solar cell efficiency and performance at a lower cost; recruit, incent and retain key employees; obtain and protect intellectual property rights in key technologies; develop, deliver and support a broad range of products; integrate acquired businesses; maintain effective cost controls and timely align the company’s cost structure with business conditions, and effectively manage its resources and production capability; and other risks described in Applied Materials’ SEC filings. All forward-looking statements are based on management’s estimates, projections and assumptions as of September 5, 2006 and Applied undertakes no obligation to update any such statements. 2 External Use
  • 3. 3 External Use
  • 4. Applied Materials’ Strategy Extend Leadership in Core Business Differentiated systems and services Extend position in memory business Grow in New Markets Use core nanomanufacturing and global strengths Expand into related high growth opportunities Deliver World-Class Performance Enhance operational and financial efficiencies Drive performance initiatives to optimize financial results 4 External Use
  • 5. Applied’s Available Opportunity ’08 SAM ‘06 - ’08 New Markets $41.5B 1.5X Flat Panel Display $4B Silicon System & Service $2.5B 2.0X $35B 1.3X New Core: +$15B 2005 – $20B 2004 2005 2006E 2007F 2008F Opportunity Expected to Double from ‘05 to ‘08 with CAGR ~25% Source: Gartner DataQuest, Applied Materials Note: New Markets includes Applied Films 5 External Use
  • 6. Extend Core Business Differentiated Products for Nanomanufacturing Technology™ Performance Enhancements Drive Moore’s Law Fab Productivity Enhancements Amplify customers’ productivity Flat Panel Display Driving down costs, enabling adoption New Markets Solar and other emerging markets Deliver World-Class Performance 6 External Use
  • 7. 7 External Use
  • 8. Solar Electric is Fundamentally Familiar Silicon Wafers Thin Film on Glass Higher efficiency, area constrained Lower efficiency, cost constrained 8 External Use
  • 9. 9 External Use
  • 10. Solar Learning Curve Dynamics 100 Historical Projected 1980 $21.83/W Module Cost ($/W)* 1985 $11.20/W 1990 $6.07/W 1995 10 $4.90/W 2000 $3.89/W 2005 $2.70/W INDUSTRY ACCELERATION 1 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 1E5 Cumulative Volume (MW) Goal: Increase Rate of Learning * 2002 Dollars Source: Navigant Consulting 10 External Use
  • 11. World Electricity Production Forecast (2000 – 2040) 100,000 Equivalent Production Total Electricity Solar GWp2 10,000 Potential of Existing ~5,000 US Rooftops (GWp) US 10% Total 1,000 China ~500 TWh1/Year India 1% Total h) Est. CAGR% ’00 - ’40 ~50 100 n (TW Total Electricity Production 2.5% du ctio (increase of 25,400TWh) ty Pro Solar Energy Production 21% tri ci 10 lec (increase of 6,000TWh) ~5 la rE So California 1 Million Roofs Current solar capacity 1 2000 2010F 2020F 2030F 2040F 1TWh = Terrawatt-hour = 1 Billion Kilowatt-hours = Consumption in labeled country / state 2GWp = Gigawatt-peak, assuming average hours or sunshine Source: Solar Generation and IEA-PVPS 11 External Use
  • 12. PV Solar Supply Growth Solar PV Projections - Market Analysts 12,000 Historical Navigant, March 2006 - Low Est. CAGR 25 - 45% 10,000 CLSA (Solar Silicon Conf), 2006 PV Shipments (MWp) 8,000 Top ten solar producers to add Driving 480MW in 2006E Faster Growth 6,000 – 85% of all new capacity added Productivity – 25% of total resulting capacity worldwide Cost Infrastructure 4,000 2,000 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006E 2007F 2008F 2009F 2010F Source: Compilation analysts reports, Applied Materials, Photon International 12 External Use
  • 13. The Applied Materials Difference World Class Capabilities R&D + Reputation Financial + Resources Experience Providing Leadership in Accelerating Solar Learning Curve 13 External Use
  • 14. VIDEO: "Learn about Solar Technology" hosted by Charles Gay 14 External Use
  • 15. Technology Conditions – Why Solar Now? SCALE OF MANUFACTURING PRODUCT COST REDUCTION – Cost per m2 Glass/display – Size – Process – Watts per m2 Materials science Yield & control IC know-how & leverage THIN FILM OPPORTUNITY – Polysilicon supply constraint 15 External Use
  • 16. Scale to Enable Learning Curve 100 Historical Projected 1980 $21.83/W Module Cost ($/W)* 1985 $11.20/W 1990 10 $6.07/W 1995 $4.90/W 2000 $3.89/W 2005 $2.70/W 1 1 10 100 1,000 10,000 1E5 Cumulative Volume (MW) Production line size 0.5 5 50 100 (Megawatts per Year): (1980) (2000) (2005) (2010) Lines Per Factory 2 3 4 10 * 2002 Dollars Source: Navigant Consulting 16 External Use
  • 17. Technology Conditions – Why Solar Now? SCALE OF MANUFACTURING PRODUCT COST REDUCTION – Cost per m2 Glass/display – Size Cost / m2 – Process $ Production / Watt = – Watts per m2 Watt / m2 Materials science Yield & control IC know-how & leverage THIN FILM OPPORTUNITY – Polysilicon supply constraint 17 External Use
  • 18. Experience Reducing Unit Production Costs Experience from LCD Manufacturing 10 Substrate Area Cost/Area 8 5.2m2 Cost / Area (relative) 4.4m2 Cost / m2 6 2.8m2 Watt / m2 4 1.4m2 2 0.7m2 0 Gen 4 Gen 5 Gen 6 Gen 7 Gen 8 Gen 8: 60nm Uniformity Over 4x1018nm2 Area at 50 Substrates per Hour 18 External Use
  • 19. Experience Enhancing Product Performance and Process Consistency c-Si Applied Materials Production Quantity technology Cost / m2 Watt / m2 Conventional approach Cell Efficiency Tighter distribution and higher mean efficiency 19 External Use
  • 20. Experience Enhancing Product Performance and Process Consistency Thin Film a-Si:H/μc-Si:H Cell Spectral Response Number of Sunlight Photons (m-2s-1micron-1) E+19 5 Relative External Quantum Efficiency, % Glass Substrate a-Si:H junction μc-Si:H junction Transparent Conductor 100 Cost / m2 4 80 Amorphous Silicon 3 Watt / m2 60 2 40 Microcrystalline Silicon 1 20 AM 1.5 global spectrum 0 0 Back Contact 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 Wavelength, microns Tandem Junction Increases voltage, collects more light, enhances stability 20 External Use
  • 21. Experience Enhancing Product Performance and Process Consistency Thin Film Glass Substrate Transparent Conductor Cost / m2 Amorphous Silicon Watt / m2 Microcrystalline Silicon Back Contact Enhanced light Innovative trapping increases technology improves cell efficiency product performance 21 External Use
  • 22. Technology Conditions – Why Solar Now? SCALE OF MANUFACTURING PRODUCT COST REDUCTION – Cost per m2 Glass/display Polysilicon Supply and Demand – Size – Process – Watts per m2 Materials science Yield & control IC know-how & leverage THIN FILM OPPORTUNITY – Polysilicon supply constraint Source: Tor Hartmann, Solar Grade Silicon, 2005 22 External Use
  • 23. Delivering Compelling Photovoltaic Technology and Service Solutions 23 External Use
  • 24. Applied’s Capabilities Large Area Platforms Automation ATON™ AKT50K PECVD MULTIWEB™ Process Technology Service & Support Integration 24 External Use
  • 25. Crystalline Silicon: ATON SiN PVD Passivation Wet Clean Ion Doping Back Wafer & ARC & Texture & Diffusion Reflector Layer (SiN) Bin & Sort; Contact Metrology & Transfer to Module Metals Inspection Module Mfg SiN: biggest ‘pain’ point for ATON c-Si manufacturers Flexible platform easily adaptable for production volumes from 25-100MW • Insert picture of AKT PECVD Increase yield: uniform appearance and high efficiency 25 External Use
  • 26. Crystalline Silicon: New ATON Applications Passivation Wet Clean Ion Doping Back Wafer & ARC & Texture & Diffusion Reflector Layer (SiN) Bin & Sort; Contact Metrology & Transfer to Module Metals Inspection Module Mfg Expand sequential applications ATON including – Back reflector – Contact metal • Insert picture of AKT PECVD Enables large scale automation of a significant part of manufacturing line 26 External Use
  • 27. Thin Film Silicon: New Aristo™ PVD New Aristo Glass Substrate TCO • Insert picture of AKT PECVD Amorphous Silicon Back Contact Deposition of transparent conductors (TCO) 100+ Aristos shipped for TCO, leading LCD color filter market High throughput in-line tool Ultra-low particle contamination 27 External Use
  • 28. Thin Film Silicon: AKT-PECVD System AKT50K PECVD Glass Substrate TCO Amorphous Silicon Back Contact Large area PECVD 500+ systems shipped for thin film silicon, leading LCD display market High throughput cluster tool Exceptional film uniformity over large areas 28 External Use
  • 29. Thin Film Silicon: ATON PVD System ATON Glass Substrate TCO Amorphous Silicon Back Contact Deposition of back reflectors, metal contacts and transparent conductors Recently introduced for solar, derived from heritage of 150+ glass coaters High throughput in-line tool for either glass or silicon substrates Flexible process architecture, scalable to 100MW 29 External Use
  • 30. Largest Microcrystalline Solar Panel Structure Demonstrated 4 Times Larger Than Standard Solar Module (4.4m2) 30 External Use
  • 31. Roadmap Other Real Time Feedback, 85% → 98% yield Fab MIS, Metrology CIS 10% → 14% efficient Contacts, Absorber CIS Contacts c-Si SiN, Back Reflector, Contacts, Surface Prep, 14% → 23% efficient c-Si SiN, Back Reflector, Integrated Wiring, Adv Contacts Junctions, Automation TF-Si TF-Si 6% → 11% efficient TCO, PECVD, Contacts TCO, PECVD, Automation, High Efficiency Contacts, Automation Now 2010F Note: Items listed in white will be new technologies and capabilities added by 2010 31 External Use
  • 32. Applied Materials: An Enabling Force Fastest solar power companies Applied Materials (US) M.Setek (Japan) BP (UK) Motech (Taiwan) Carmanah (Canada) Q-Cells (Germany) Conergy (Germany) REC (Norway) Ersol (Germany) Sanyo (Japan) Evergreen Solar (US) Sharp (Japan) First Solar (US) SolarWorld (Germany) GT Solar (US) SunPower (US) Hemlock (US) Suntech (China) Kyocera (Japan) Tokyuama (Japan) Source: Photon International, July 2006 32 48 External Use
  • 33. Applied Materials: An Enabling Force Fastest solarcost per watt is what it’s all about. Having done this before in IC and “Reducing production power companies LCD, we’re excited to see what Applied Materials can do in solar. Q-Cells and the Industry can benefit strongly from a player of the caliber and with the capabilities of Applied Materials. We are excited to be working with them” – Anton Milner Applied Materials (US)Chief Executive Officer - Q-Cells M.Setek (Japan) “Looking at the growth opportunity ahead of us (UK) going to have to scale to meaningful BP we’re Motech (Taiwan) plant sizes and fast” Carmanah (Canada) P.M. Pai – Q-Cells (Germany) Chief Operating Officer - SunPower Conergy (Germany) REC (Norway) “Like many in the industry we’ve beenErsol (Germany) able to get to this point by creating our own machines Sanyo (Japan) to do the job. But this is not our core expertise … we’re looking forward to what Applied Materials can bring to the table” Evergreen Solar (US) Dr. Chris Sharp (Japan) – Eberspacher First Solar (US) VP Engineering - NanoSolar SolarWorld (Germany) “Applied Materials has been a great partner Solar over the years. They have made(US) GT for us (US) SunPower the Suntech (China) investment to support us wherever we Hemlock – new products, new generation fabs, need to be (US) and on-going service and support” Kyocera (Japan) – ChengTokyuama (Japan) Yih Lin Senior Vice President, Member of Executive Board - AUO Source: Photon International, July 2006 32 External Use
  • 34. Solar Product Business Group Footprint Installed Systems Technology and Global Development Centers First Thin Film Si Sale - Q-Cells Major Producing Countries Applications US Japan Cell technologies: c-Si, TF-Si, CiS Germany Korea Processes: TCO, SiN, contact metals, Belgium India semiconductor precursors, a-Si/µc-Si Taiwan Three of Top 10 Producers Already Customers 33 External Use
  • 35. Applied Materials’ Solar Market Opportunity 34 External Use
  • 36. Current Solar Industry Landscape Solar Cell Production (MWp) Sharp Q-Cells Kyocera Sanyo Mitsubishi Electric Deutsche Cell Schott Solar BP Solar 2006 Planned Capacity Suntech 2005 Actual Production Motech 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Source: Photon International Thin Film Si Equipment Suppliers C-Si Equipment Suppliers Applied Materials, Leybold Optics, Applied Materials, Baccini, OTB, Ulvac, Unaxis, Von Ardenne Centrotherm, GT Equipment, Manz Automation, Roth & Rau, Schmid, Spire 35 External Use
  • 37. Multiple Technologies Driving Industry Growth c-Si Annual New Capacity (MW) TF Annual New Capacity (MW) 2,000 500 1,860 430 Est. CAGR = 23% 400 1,500 1,450 Est. CAGR = 64% 340 1,200 300 1,000 920 240 800 200 150 500 100 60 0 0 '06E '07F '08F '09F '10F '06E '07F '08F '09F '10F Source: c-Si: Applied Materials analysis based on Solar Buzz, Maycock, customer forecasts TF: Applied Materials analysis based on Navigant 2006, customer forecasts 36 External Use
  • 38. Significant and Growing Solar Market c-Si + Thin Film PV Equipment Spending (wafer, cell & module manufacturing equipment) 4 Total Available Market Served Available Market 3 28% R= CAG Est. $ BN 2 % = 150 GR . CA Est 1 0 '06E '07F '08F '09F '10F Forecast to Aggressively Increase Each Year Note: Based on forecast of 8.5 GW production output in FY10; there are significant service opportunities that are incremental to this TAM Source: Applied Materials analysis based on Navigant 2006, CLSA (Solar Silicon Conference) 2006, Solar Buzz 2006, Manufacturer forecasts 37 External Use
  • 39. An Industry in Transition Exponential Market Growth Will Be Enabled By Production Cost Reduction Rapid Scale in Manufacturing Robust Equipment Solutions Global Capability Applied Materials is Uniquely Positioned to Enable the Solar Industry to Make these Transitions 38 External Use
  • 40. 39 External Use