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Dairy Farm Business Planning   Presented by: Tom Armstrong  BSc(Agr), DVM, MBA Simcoe County Ag Info Day, Barrie Ontario. January 20, 2006 “ How to take your dairy farm from where it is, to where you want it to be.”
Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
1. Herd Production and Health Status Should be > 8,000 L  sold  per cow (DHIA > 9,000) Higher the production more profitable the farm ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dry Matter Intake DMI - most important factor to profitable dairy production - should be > 23 kg - increase DMI by 1 kg = 2.5 - 3 L more milk - maintenance feed cost = $2.00/day - feed costs to produce 1 L of milk = 7 - 10 cents - l L of milk returns 65 cents
Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (8,000 litres/cow/year)
Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (8,000 litres/cow/year)
Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (9,000 litres/cow/year)
Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (9,000 litres/cow/year)
Factors Affecting DMI typical cow day - 10 to 14 hrs/day - resting - 1 additional hour lying = 1 kg milk - 5 to 6 hrs - eating - average 11 meals/day - 2 to 3 hrs - standing/walking/grooming/estrus - 1/2 hrs - drinking  - 21 - 22 hrs - total time needed  - 1.5 to 2.5 hrs - milking and holding area
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object]
Tie Stall Dimensions
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Free Stall Dimensions A  B  C  Width  milking  70  72  50  52 lact 1  68  70  48  48 dry  70  72  50  54
Free Stall Dimensions ,[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Factors Affecting DMI social behavior - separate heifers from cows - increase DMI 2.5 kg - cow movements - 2-5% decrease in milk production - over stocking - affect individuals not groups - increase competition - increase submissive cows - submissive cows - heifers, injured, new cows, fresh cows  - no change in high ranking cows - low ranking - decrease lying - increased lameness
Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI -  reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
Reproductive Status Average days in milk - 160 to 170 For every day greater than 160 days in milk production drops .08 litres/cow/day. Example - 100 cows milking - past 12 months ave days in milk 185 185 - 160 = 25 days 25 days x .08 litres/day x 365 days x 100 cows = 73,000 L 73,000 L x 65 cents/L = $47,450 in loss milk sales or 8,000 litres/cow/year - milk 9 less cows
Factors Affecting Reproduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status -  udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
Udder Health ,[object Object],Example - 100 cow herd - 8,000 L - average SCC 300,000 100 x 8,000 x 2.3% = 18,400 L 18,400 L x 65 cents = $11,960 or milk 2 less cows Subclinical Mastitis Losses SCC   % milk loss 150,000  0 200,000  .8% 250,000  1.5% 300,000  2.3% 400,000  3.8% 500,000  5.3%
Udder Health ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Example - 100 cow herd - 20% incidence per lactation (1.7/month) decreased to 10% incidence 10 cows x $165 = $1,650
Factors Affecting Udder Health ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health -  milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
Milking Frequency ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency -  genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
Genetics ,[object Object],[object Object]
Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
3. Facilities ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Commercial Break
Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
Financial Status of the Business Determining borrowing power ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Equity How much are you worth? Indicates how much collateral available to borrow additional funds. Equity = total assets (FMV) - total liabilities (*average $2,060,000) * taken from OFMAP Ontario Dairy Summary 2003
Liquidity Your ability to pay financial obligations as they come due. - cash for monthly payables, loan payments - safety cushion for unanticipated events - liquid cash for unanticipated opportunities Current ratio  =  current assets current liabilities vulnerable strong 1 2 (ave .98)
Solvency How much you owe vs. how much you own. - ability of the farm to pay off debt if sold tomorrow - indication of financial risk and borrowing capacity - .25 ratio means for every $1 of assets the bank  provides 25 cents and the farmer 75 cents Debt to equity ratio  =  total liabilities equity vulnerable strong 1.2 .4 (ave .25)
Debt Service Capacity How much you can afford to pay in loan payments. - indicates if the business can produce enough cash to pay  annual principal and interest loan payments - .81 coverage means for every $1 of principal and interest  payments the business generated 81 cents Debt service coverage ratio  =  net accrual income + interest + depreciation - living expense annual principal and interest payments vulnerable strong 1.1 1.4 (ave .81)
Profitability Return to assets (investment) - ave. rate of return on all investments since assets  composed of equity and debt capital (farm loans) - should be higher than interest rate on borrowed  money Return to assets = net income + interest total assets vulnerable strong 5% 2% (ave 4%)
Profitability Return to equity - ave. rate of return on owners investment in the business - compare to other investment opportunities Return to equity = net income equity vulnerable strong 7% 4% (ave 3.6%)
Financial Status of the Business Other Guidelines ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Dairy Farm Business Planning Where is your dairy farm business today? Where will it be tomorrow, next year, next generation? How will you get your business to where you want it to be?
Canadian Farm Business Advisory Services Helps to cover the cost of hiring a qualified consultant who can help you develop your business plan.
Farm Business Assessment For a $100 fee, eligible producers can receive up to 5 days of consultation services Farm Financial Assessment : 3 days - review farms past and current situation, discuss objectives and identify options to meet your business goals. Action Plan : 2 days - assess different options to increase profitability with projected cash flows and written business plan. Follow-up : one day consultation the following year to discuss progress.
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Dairy Farm Business Planning

  • 1. Dairy Farm Business Planning Presented by: Tom Armstrong BSc(Agr), DVM, MBA Simcoe County Ag Info Day, Barrie Ontario. January 20, 2006 “ How to take your dairy farm from where it is, to where you want it to be.”
  • 2. Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
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  • 4. Dry Matter Intake DMI - most important factor to profitable dairy production - should be > 23 kg - increase DMI by 1 kg = 2.5 - 3 L more milk - maintenance feed cost = $2.00/day - feed costs to produce 1 L of milk = 7 - 10 cents - l L of milk returns 65 cents
  • 5. Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (8,000 litres/cow/year)
  • 6. Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (8,000 litres/cow/year)
  • 7. Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (9,000 litres/cow/year)
  • 8. Quota Loan Cash Flow Analysis (9,000 litres/cow/year)
  • 9. Factors Affecting DMI typical cow day - 10 to 14 hrs/day - resting - 1 additional hour lying = 1 kg milk - 5 to 6 hrs - eating - average 11 meals/day - 2 to 3 hrs - standing/walking/grooming/estrus - 1/2 hrs - drinking - 21 - 22 hrs - total time needed - 1.5 to 2.5 hrs - milking and holding area
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  • 24. Free Stall Dimensions A B C Width milking 70 72 50 52 lact 1 68 70 48 48 dry 70 72 50 54
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  • 36. Factors Affecting DMI social behavior - separate heifers from cows - increase DMI 2.5 kg - cow movements - 2-5% decrease in milk production - over stocking - affect individuals not groups - increase competition - increase submissive cows - submissive cows - heifers, injured, new cows, fresh cows - no change in high ranking cows - low ranking - decrease lying - increased lameness
  • 37. Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
  • 38. Reproductive Status Average days in milk - 160 to 170 For every day greater than 160 days in milk production drops .08 litres/cow/day. Example - 100 cows milking - past 12 months ave days in milk 185 185 - 160 = 25 days 25 days x .08 litres/day x 365 days x 100 cows = 73,000 L 73,000 L x 65 cents/L = $47,450 in loss milk sales or 8,000 litres/cow/year - milk 9 less cows
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  • 40. Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
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  • 44. Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
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  • 46. Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
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  • 48. Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
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  • 51. Where Is Your Dairy Farm Business Today? Areas to measure, evaluate and improve 1. Herd Production and Health Status litres/cow determined by - DMI - reproductive status - udder health - milking frequency - genetics 2. Facilities 3. Financial Position
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  • 53. Equity How much are you worth? Indicates how much collateral available to borrow additional funds. Equity = total assets (FMV) - total liabilities (*average $2,060,000) * taken from OFMAP Ontario Dairy Summary 2003
  • 54. Liquidity Your ability to pay financial obligations as they come due. - cash for monthly payables, loan payments - safety cushion for unanticipated events - liquid cash for unanticipated opportunities Current ratio = current assets current liabilities vulnerable strong 1 2 (ave .98)
  • 55. Solvency How much you owe vs. how much you own. - ability of the farm to pay off debt if sold tomorrow - indication of financial risk and borrowing capacity - .25 ratio means for every $1 of assets the bank provides 25 cents and the farmer 75 cents Debt to equity ratio = total liabilities equity vulnerable strong 1.2 .4 (ave .25)
  • 56. Debt Service Capacity How much you can afford to pay in loan payments. - indicates if the business can produce enough cash to pay annual principal and interest loan payments - .81 coverage means for every $1 of principal and interest payments the business generated 81 cents Debt service coverage ratio = net accrual income + interest + depreciation - living expense annual principal and interest payments vulnerable strong 1.1 1.4 (ave .81)
  • 57. Profitability Return to assets (investment) - ave. rate of return on all investments since assets composed of equity and debt capital (farm loans) - should be higher than interest rate on borrowed money Return to assets = net income + interest total assets vulnerable strong 5% 2% (ave 4%)
  • 58. Profitability Return to equity - ave. rate of return on owners investment in the business - compare to other investment opportunities Return to equity = net income equity vulnerable strong 7% 4% (ave 3.6%)
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  • 60. Dairy Farm Business Planning Where is your dairy farm business today? Where will it be tomorrow, next year, next generation? How will you get your business to where you want it to be?
  • 61. Canadian Farm Business Advisory Services Helps to cover the cost of hiring a qualified consultant who can help you develop your business plan.
  • 62. Farm Business Assessment For a $100 fee, eligible producers can receive up to 5 days of consultation services Farm Financial Assessment : 3 days - review farms past and current situation, discuss objectives and identify options to meet your business goals. Action Plan : 2 days - assess different options to increase profitability with projected cash flows and written business plan. Follow-up : one day consultation the following year to discuss progress.