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“Tech Merger&Acquisition Data: The Odds Favor Smaller Acquisitions”
By Tom Tierney                                                                   20 May 2012

With the Facebook IPO a couple days ago, I’m sure a lot of entrepreneurs are thinking about the pot of
gold at the end of their rainbow: will their company ultimately do an M&A exit or IPO?

Spoiler Alert! The likelihood of IPO for most companies is small. The ability to fund a company to a
successful IPO event is typically a long, difficult and expensive road. The odds favor an M&A transaction
rather than IPO, as a likely successful exit.

PricewaterhouseCoopers has released data over the years describing technology merger and acquisition
transactions, I’ve included a table here of the yearly average for the past four years (the individual data
for four years (2008->2011) is at the end of this note along with pointers to the PwC reports):

Tech M&A Yearly Deal Average 2008 -> 2011 (data from 1,001 M&A transactions):

M&A Deal Size          Deals       Total $M      Avg $ M       % of Deals
< $50M                  98          $2,820        $28.50        40%
$50M -> $100M           46          $3,181        $69.45        18%
$100M -> $250M          48          $7,571       $158.38        18%
$250M -> $500M          27          $9,200       $342.91        11%
$500M -> $1B            14          $9,927       $709.78         6%
>$1B                    17         $53,691      $3,304.36        7%

It’s interesting to note that the biggest grouping of M&A deals occurs below the $50M mark with an
average deal size of roughly $28M for companies exiting below $50M. In some ways this is not
surprising given a lot of larger tech companies buy small R&D pre-revenue companies as almost an
extension of their own R&D effort. Some large companies may even buy these small companies for
their R&D but also “talent”: it is an easier way for them to acquire a working team in a technology space
of interest.

It’s particularly interesting to note that more than 75% of M&A deals for technology companies occur
below the $250M deal size, the average in that range of < $160M. Although one hears of a lot of “mega
deals” in tech publications, the majority of these M&A transactions are much smaller than you would
think.

For angel investors, some of this data has been widely distributed by a Canadian angel investor named
Basil Peters (see http://www.early-exits.com/ or his book/eBook “Early Exits”). Basil has extensively
written about angel investors (and entrepreneurs) focusing on investments that, as a goal, target the
company exit to these higher odds, smaller M&A deals. Note this can work out to the advantage of the
angel investor and entrepreneur because little, or no, VC money may be required to get to a smaller
M&A exit and both parties (investor and entrepreneur) will be much less diluted at exit. Please see
Basil’s blog and book for more information, both highly recommended.

Am I saying a billion dollar exit is unattainable? No, but you need to recognize the time involved, the
amount of money that is required to build a sustainable business and what all this will cost you, the
entrepreneur, in dilution of your stake of the company. The odds do seem to favor smaller exits.
Tech M&A Deals 2011
M&A Deal Size                Deals             Total $M                Avg $ M           % of Deals
< $50M                       107                $3,042                  $28.43            35%
$50M -> $100M                 50                $3,548                  $70.96            16%
$100M -> $250M                61                $9,665                 $158.44            20%
$250M -> $500M                41               $13,953                 $340.32            13%
$500M -> $1B                  24               $16,310                 $679.58             8%
>$1B                          25               $78,594                $3,143.76            8%

Tech M&A Deals 2010
M&A Deal Size                Deals             Total $M                Avg $ M           % of Deals
< $50M                       154                $4,373                  $28.40            39%
$50M -> $100M                 75                $5,166                  $68.88            19%
$100M -> $250M                83               $12,761                 $153.75            21%
$250M -> $500M                36               $12,707                 $352.97             9%
$500M -> $1B                  19               $13,263                 $698.05             5%
>$1B                          23               $58,840                $2,558.26            6%

Tech M&A Deals 2009
M&A Deal Size                Deals             Total $M                Avg $ M           % of Deals
< $50M                        48                $1,206                  $25.13            44%
$50M -> $100M                 18                $1,234                  $68.56            17%
$100M -> $250M                15                $2,421                 $161.40            14%
$250M -> $500M                10                $3,427                 $342.70             9%
$500M -> $1B                   6                $4,134                 $689.00             6%
>$1B                          11               $23,912                $2,173.82            10%

Tech M&A Deals 2008
M&A Deal Size                Deals             Total $M                Avg $ M           % of Deals
< $50M                        83                $2,659                  $32.04            43%
$50M -> $100M                 40                $2,776                  $69.40            21%
$100M -> $250M                34                $5,438                 $159.94            17%
$250M -> $500M                20                $6,713                 $335.65            10%
$500M -> $1B                   8                $6,180                 $772.50             4%
>$1B                          10               $53,416                $5,341.60            5%

PricewaterhouseCoopers 2008/2009 [1] and 2010/2011 [2] data:
[1] http://www.pwc.com/us/en/transaction-services/publications/assets/PwC-US-technology-MA-insights-2010.pdf
[2] http://www.pwc.com/en_US/us/transaction-services/publications/assets/pwc-technology-mergers-acquisitions-q4-2011-outlook.pdf




Tom Tierney lives in Encinitas, CA and is a member of Tech Coast Angels (www.techcoastangels.com).
Also see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tech_coast_angels for more background information on the TCA.

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Tech merger&acquistion data 2008 2011

  • 1. “Tech Merger&Acquisition Data: The Odds Favor Smaller Acquisitions” By Tom Tierney 20 May 2012 With the Facebook IPO a couple days ago, I’m sure a lot of entrepreneurs are thinking about the pot of gold at the end of their rainbow: will their company ultimately do an M&A exit or IPO? Spoiler Alert! The likelihood of IPO for most companies is small. The ability to fund a company to a successful IPO event is typically a long, difficult and expensive road. The odds favor an M&A transaction rather than IPO, as a likely successful exit. PricewaterhouseCoopers has released data over the years describing technology merger and acquisition transactions, I’ve included a table here of the yearly average for the past four years (the individual data for four years (2008->2011) is at the end of this note along with pointers to the PwC reports): Tech M&A Yearly Deal Average 2008 -> 2011 (data from 1,001 M&A transactions): M&A Deal Size Deals Total $M Avg $ M % of Deals < $50M 98 $2,820 $28.50 40% $50M -> $100M 46 $3,181 $69.45 18% $100M -> $250M 48 $7,571 $158.38 18% $250M -> $500M 27 $9,200 $342.91 11% $500M -> $1B 14 $9,927 $709.78 6% >$1B 17 $53,691 $3,304.36 7% It’s interesting to note that the biggest grouping of M&A deals occurs below the $50M mark with an average deal size of roughly $28M for companies exiting below $50M. In some ways this is not surprising given a lot of larger tech companies buy small R&D pre-revenue companies as almost an extension of their own R&D effort. Some large companies may even buy these small companies for their R&D but also “talent”: it is an easier way for them to acquire a working team in a technology space of interest. It’s particularly interesting to note that more than 75% of M&A deals for technology companies occur below the $250M deal size, the average in that range of < $160M. Although one hears of a lot of “mega deals” in tech publications, the majority of these M&A transactions are much smaller than you would think. For angel investors, some of this data has been widely distributed by a Canadian angel investor named Basil Peters (see http://www.early-exits.com/ or his book/eBook “Early Exits”). Basil has extensively written about angel investors (and entrepreneurs) focusing on investments that, as a goal, target the company exit to these higher odds, smaller M&A deals. Note this can work out to the advantage of the angel investor and entrepreneur because little, or no, VC money may be required to get to a smaller M&A exit and both parties (investor and entrepreneur) will be much less diluted at exit. Please see Basil’s blog and book for more information, both highly recommended. Am I saying a billion dollar exit is unattainable? No, but you need to recognize the time involved, the amount of money that is required to build a sustainable business and what all this will cost you, the entrepreneur, in dilution of your stake of the company. The odds do seem to favor smaller exits.
  • 2. Tech M&A Deals 2011 M&A Deal Size Deals Total $M Avg $ M % of Deals < $50M 107 $3,042 $28.43 35% $50M -> $100M 50 $3,548 $70.96 16% $100M -> $250M 61 $9,665 $158.44 20% $250M -> $500M 41 $13,953 $340.32 13% $500M -> $1B 24 $16,310 $679.58 8% >$1B 25 $78,594 $3,143.76 8% Tech M&A Deals 2010 M&A Deal Size Deals Total $M Avg $ M % of Deals < $50M 154 $4,373 $28.40 39% $50M -> $100M 75 $5,166 $68.88 19% $100M -> $250M 83 $12,761 $153.75 21% $250M -> $500M 36 $12,707 $352.97 9% $500M -> $1B 19 $13,263 $698.05 5% >$1B 23 $58,840 $2,558.26 6% Tech M&A Deals 2009 M&A Deal Size Deals Total $M Avg $ M % of Deals < $50M 48 $1,206 $25.13 44% $50M -> $100M 18 $1,234 $68.56 17% $100M -> $250M 15 $2,421 $161.40 14% $250M -> $500M 10 $3,427 $342.70 9% $500M -> $1B 6 $4,134 $689.00 6% >$1B 11 $23,912 $2,173.82 10% Tech M&A Deals 2008 M&A Deal Size Deals Total $M Avg $ M % of Deals < $50M 83 $2,659 $32.04 43% $50M -> $100M 40 $2,776 $69.40 21% $100M -> $250M 34 $5,438 $159.94 17% $250M -> $500M 20 $6,713 $335.65 10% $500M -> $1B 8 $6,180 $772.50 4% >$1B 10 $53,416 $5,341.60 5% PricewaterhouseCoopers 2008/2009 [1] and 2010/2011 [2] data: [1] http://www.pwc.com/us/en/transaction-services/publications/assets/PwC-US-technology-MA-insights-2010.pdf [2] http://www.pwc.com/en_US/us/transaction-services/publications/assets/pwc-technology-mergers-acquisitions-q4-2011-outlook.pdf Tom Tierney lives in Encinitas, CA and is a member of Tech Coast Angels (www.techcoastangels.com). Also see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tech_coast_angels for more background information on the TCA.