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Future	
  of	
  Innova-on	
  and	
  Intellectual	
  Property	
  
	
  28	
  November	
  2013	
  |	
  Tim	
  Jones	
  
	
  
Innova-on	
  and	
  Intellectual	
  Property	
  
Innova6on	
  is	
  increasingly	
  moving	
  beyond	
  the	
  established	
  arenas	
  of	
  
product	
  and	
  technology	
  development	
  where	
  IP	
  has	
  tradi6onally	
  had	
  a	
  
major	
  role	
  to	
  play	
  -­‐	
  we	
  need	
  to	
  understand	
  poten6al	
  future	
  impact.	
  
Looking	
  Forwards	
  
Organisa6ons	
  increasingly	
  want	
  to	
  iden6fy	
  and	
  understand	
  both	
  the	
  
an6cipated	
  and	
  unexpected	
  changes	
  from	
  within	
  and	
  outside	
  their	
  
sector	
  so	
  that	
  they	
  can	
  be	
  beHer	
  prepared	
  for	
  the	
  future	
  
Looking	
  Back	
  	
  
Ten	
  years	
  ago	
  some	
  saw	
  the	
  emerging	
  shiIs	
  that	
  might	
  have	
  impact	
  to	
  
include	
  the	
  resurgence	
  of	
  patent	
  pools,	
  IP	
  development	
  companies	
  	
  
and	
  new	
  financial	
  strategies	
  such	
  as	
  Asset	
  Backed	
  Securi6za6on	
  
#	
  US	
  Patents	
  
Granted	
  
(USPTO)	
  

1400	
  
1200	
  
1000	
  
800	
  

Amazon	
  

600	
  

Google	
  

400	
  
200	
  
0	
  
2001	
   2002	
   2003	
   2004	
   2005	
   2006	
   2007	
   2008	
   2009	
   2010	
   2011	
   2012	
  

Companies	
  of	
  Note	
  
Over	
  the	
  past	
  decade	
  many	
  have	
  been	
  surprised	
  by	
  shiIs	
  such	
  as	
  	
  
the	
  success	
  of	
  ARM’s	
  licensing	
  business	
  model	
  and	
  the	
  ways	
  in	
  which	
  
Amazon	
  and	
  Google	
  have	
  built	
  and	
  exploited	
  their	
  IP	
  porUolios	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  
The	
  Future	
  Agenda	
  is	
  the	
  world’s	
  largest	
  open	
  foresight	
  	
  
programme	
  that	
  engages	
  expert	
  input	
  from	
  over	
  1500	
  	
  
organisa6ons	
  to	
  beHer	
  understand	
  the	
  next	
  decade	
  
1. 
2. 
3. 
4. 
5. 
6. 
7. 

Differen6ated	
  Knowledge	
  	
  
The	
  End	
  of	
  IP	
  	
  
Failed	
  Drugs	
  	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Open	
  Innova6on	
  	
  
Corporate	
  LEGO	
  	
  
Projects	
  Worth	
  Working	
  For	
  	
  
Big	
  Collabora6on	
  	
  

We	
  see	
  seven	
  issues	
  that	
  may	
  have	
  significant	
  future	
  impact	
  
Differen-ated	
  Knowledge	
  
As	
  informa6on	
  is	
  shared	
  globally	
  and	
  insight	
  is	
  commodi6zed,	
  
	
  the	
  best	
  returns	
  go	
  to	
  those	
  who	
  can	
  produce	
  	
  
non-­‐standard,	
  differen6ated	
  knowledge.	
  	
  	
  
The	
  End	
  of	
  IP	
  
Following	
  change	
  in	
  the	
  music	
  industry,	
  technologies	
  such	
  as	
  	
  
3D	
  prin6ng	
  are	
  decoupling	
  the	
  produc6on	
  of	
  content	
  from	
  	
  
the	
  original	
  creator	
  and,	
  in	
  doing	
  so,	
  IP	
  is	
  becoming	
  irrelevant.	
  
Failed	
  Drugs	
  	
  
With	
  pressure	
  on	
  ‘big	
  pharma’	
  to	
  deliver	
  more	
  effec6ve	
  R&D,	
  	
  
the	
  IP	
  associated	
  with	
  drugs	
  that	
  fail	
  in	
  clinical	
  trials	
  is	
  being	
  	
  
more	
  openly	
  shared	
  for	
  others	
  to	
  find	
  beneficial	
  applica6ons.	
  
Business	
  Model	
  Open	
  Innova-on	
  
Increasing	
  sector-­‐to-­‐sector	
  transfer	
  of	
  know-­‐how	
  independent	
  	
  
of	
  IP	
  enables	
  successful	
  approaches	
  to	
  be	
  adopted	
  and	
  	
  
adapted	
  without	
  value	
  transfer	
  between	
  par6es.	
  
Corporate	
  LEGO	
  	
  
With	
  more	
  free	
  agents	
  and	
  outsourcing,	
  more	
  func6ons	
  	
  
within	
  organiza6ons	
  are	
  interchangeable	
  and	
  easily	
  rebuilt	
  	
  
around	
  new	
  value-­‐crea6ng	
  units.	
  
Projects	
  Worth	
  Working	
  For	
  	
  
In	
  a	
  world	
  where	
  innova6on	
  talent	
  is	
  global,	
  fluid	
  and	
  aHracted	
  by	
  	
  
the	
  challenge	
  or	
  reputa6on	
  more	
  than	
  the	
  paycheck,	
  the	
  winners	
  will	
  	
  
be	
  the	
  organiza6ons	
  that	
  provide	
  the	
  most	
  interes6ng	
  projects.	
  
Big	
  Collabora-on	
  	
  
Addressing	
  future	
  major	
  challenges	
  relies	
  on	
  deeper	
  and	
  	
  
wider	
  collabora6on	
  between	
  organiza6ons	
  with	
  no	
  lead	
  	
  
company	
  and	
  IP	
  value	
  crea6on	
  replaced	
  by	
  new	
  recogni6on.	
  
Intellectual	
  Property	
  Valua-on	
  and	
  Innova-on	
  
Edited	
  by	
  Ruth	
  Taplin	
  
Hardcover:	
  208	
  pages	
  
Publisher:	
  Routledge	
  (21	
  Oct	
  2013)	
  
ISBN-­‐10:	
  0415532159	
  
ISBN-­‐13:	
  978-­‐0415532150	
  
hHp://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/0415532159	
  	
  

More	
  Informa-on	
  
For	
  more	
  details	
  on	
  these	
  thoughts	
  please	
  see	
  the	
  futureagenda	
  	
  
website	
  and	
  the	
  second	
  chapter	
  in	
  “Intellectual	
  Property	
  Valua6on	
  	
  
and	
  Innova6on”	
  recently	
  published	
  by	
  Routledge.	
  
The	
  world’s	
  leading	
  open	
  foresight	
  program	
  

Future	
  Agenda	
  
84	
  Brook	
  Street	
  
London	
  
W1K	
  5EH	
  
+44	
  203	
  0088	
  141	
  
futureagenda.org	
  
6m.jones@futureagenda.org	
  

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Future of Innovation and Intellectual Property 28 Nov 2013

  • 1. Future  of  Innova-on  and  Intellectual  Property    28  November  2013  |  Tim  Jones    
  • 2. Innova-on  and  Intellectual  Property   Innova6on  is  increasingly  moving  beyond  the  established  arenas  of   product  and  technology  development  where  IP  has  tradi6onally  had  a   major  role  to  play  -­‐  we  need  to  understand  poten6al  future  impact.  
  • 3. Looking  Forwards   Organisa6ons  increasingly  want  to  iden6fy  and  understand  both  the   an6cipated  and  unexpected  changes  from  within  and  outside  their   sector  so  that  they  can  be  beHer  prepared  for  the  future  
  • 4. Looking  Back     Ten  years  ago  some  saw  the  emerging  shiIs  that  might  have  impact  to   include  the  resurgence  of  patent  pools,  IP  development  companies     and  new  financial  strategies  such  as  Asset  Backed  Securi6za6on  
  • 5. #  US  Patents   Granted   (USPTO)   1400   1200   1000   800   Amazon   600   Google   400   200   0   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2012   Companies  of  Note   Over  the  past  decade  many  have  been  surprised  by  shiIs  such  as     the  success  of  ARM’s  licensing  business  model  and  the  ways  in  which   Amazon  and  Google  have  built  and  exploited  their  IP  porUolios  
  • 6. Future  Agenda   The  Future  Agenda  is  the  world’s  largest  open  foresight     programme  that  engages  expert  input  from  over  1500     organisa6ons  to  beHer  understand  the  next  decade  
  • 7. 1.  2.  3.  4.  5.  6.  7.  Differen6ated  Knowledge     The  End  of  IP     Failed  Drugs     Business  Model  Open  Innova6on     Corporate  LEGO     Projects  Worth  Working  For     Big  Collabora6on     We  see  seven  issues  that  may  have  significant  future  impact  
  • 8. Differen-ated  Knowledge   As  informa6on  is  shared  globally  and  insight  is  commodi6zed,    the  best  returns  go  to  those  who  can  produce     non-­‐standard,  differen6ated  knowledge.      
  • 9. The  End  of  IP   Following  change  in  the  music  industry,  technologies  such  as     3D  prin6ng  are  decoupling  the  produc6on  of  content  from     the  original  creator  and,  in  doing  so,  IP  is  becoming  irrelevant.  
  • 10. Failed  Drugs     With  pressure  on  ‘big  pharma’  to  deliver  more  effec6ve  R&D,     the  IP  associated  with  drugs  that  fail  in  clinical  trials  is  being     more  openly  shared  for  others  to  find  beneficial  applica6ons.  
  • 11. Business  Model  Open  Innova-on   Increasing  sector-­‐to-­‐sector  transfer  of  know-­‐how  independent     of  IP  enables  successful  approaches  to  be  adopted  and     adapted  without  value  transfer  between  par6es.  
  • 12. Corporate  LEGO     With  more  free  agents  and  outsourcing,  more  func6ons     within  organiza6ons  are  interchangeable  and  easily  rebuilt     around  new  value-­‐crea6ng  units.  
  • 13. Projects  Worth  Working  For     In  a  world  where  innova6on  talent  is  global,  fluid  and  aHracted  by     the  challenge  or  reputa6on  more  than  the  paycheck,  the  winners  will     be  the  organiza6ons  that  provide  the  most  interes6ng  projects.  
  • 14. Big  Collabora-on     Addressing  future  major  challenges  relies  on  deeper  and     wider  collabora6on  between  organiza6ons  with  no  lead     company  and  IP  value  crea6on  replaced  by  new  recogni6on.  
  • 15. Intellectual  Property  Valua-on  and  Innova-on   Edited  by  Ruth  Taplin   Hardcover:  208  pages   Publisher:  Routledge  (21  Oct  2013)   ISBN-­‐10:  0415532159   ISBN-­‐13:  978-­‐0415532150   hHp://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/0415532159     More  Informa-on   For  more  details  on  these  thoughts  please  see  the  futureagenda     website  and  the  second  chapter  in  “Intellectual  Property  Valua6on     and  Innova6on”  recently  published  by  Routledge.  
  • 16. The  world’s  leading  open  foresight  program   Future  Agenda   84  Brook  Street   London   W1K  5EH   +44  203  0088  141   futureagenda.org   6m.jones@futureagenda.org