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Aging	
  2.0	
  |	
  NYC	
  |	
  28	
  August	
  2012	
  –	
  Tim	
  Jones	
  –	
  Future	
  Agenda	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
                                                                          Aging	
  2.0	
  




          The	
  Future	
  Agenda	
  is	
  the	
  world’s	
  largest	
  open	
  foresight	
  
             programme	
  that	
  engaged	
  expert	
  input	
  from	
  over	
            	
  
               1500	
  organiza=ons	
  to	
  gain	
  a	
  unique	
  global	
  view   	
  
Context	
                                                                                Core	
  Insights
                                                                                                        	
  




     From	
  this	
  first	
  programme,	
  we	
  highlighted	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  core	
  
     insights	
  which	
  give	
  us	
  a	
  view	
  on	
  emerging	
  drivers	
  of	
  change	
  
                                                                                              	
  
                 and	
  help	
  to	
  challenge	
  exis=ng	
  perspec=ves	
        	
  
Imbalanced	
  Popula=on	
  Growth	
                                                          Aging	
  2.0	
  




    By	
  2020	
  we	
  will	
  add	
  another	
  750m	
  people	
  to	
  the	
  planet,	
  
                                                                                           	
  
most	
  in	
  places	
  least	
  	
  able	
  to	
  accommodate	
  them	
  –	
  The	
  change	
  in	
  
 the	
  demographic	
  profile	
  is	
  a	
  bigger	
  challenge	
  than	
  net	
  growth         	
  
Migra=on	
  Magnets	
                                                               Aging	
  2.0	
  




     Immigra=on	
  is	
  increasingly	
  key	
  in	
  economic	
  development	
  
    strategies	
  and,	
  especially	
  in	
  low	
  fer=lity	
  economies,	
  na=ons	
  
                 posi=on	
  themselves	
  to	
  aNract	
  migrants      	
  
Developing	
  World	
  Mobility	
                                                           Aging	
  2.0	
  




        By	
  2015,	
  32	
  people	
  an	
  hour	
  will	
  be	
  moving	
  into	
  Shanghai, 	
  
  	
  39	
  into	
  Kinshasa	
  and	
  Jakarta,	
  42	
  into	
  Mumbai	
  and	
  Karachi,	
  50	
  
                into	
  Dhaka	
  and	
  58	
  into	
  Lagos	
  –	
  mostly	
  the	
  young	
  
                                                                                          	
  
China’s	
  Demographic	
                                                                        Aging	
  2.0	
  




  India	
  believes	
  that	
  within	
  30	
  years	
  it	
  will	
  gain	
  a	
  ‘demographic	
  
dividend’	
  over	
  China	
  as	
  the	
  one-­‐child	
  policy	
  impacts	
  the	
  economic	
  
balance	
  of	
  Chinese	
  society	
  which	
  aims	
  to	
  be	
  rich	
  before	
  it	
  gets	
  old	
  
Ac=ve	
  Elderly	
                                                                Aging	
  2.0	
  




    Globally,	
  a	
  wealthier,	
  healthier	
  older	
  genera=on	
  increasingly	
  
                                                                                    	
  
       engage	
  in	
  more	
  ac=ve	
  lives,	
  having	
  extended	
  careers	
  
                                                                               	
  
                     and	
  becoming	
  more	
  poli=cally	
  involved  	
  
Over	
  50	
  Engagement	
                                                              Aging	
  2.0	
  




More	
  companies	
  are	
  recognizing	
  that	
  a	
  focus	
  of	
  ac=vi=es	
  on	
  the	
  
 over	
  50s	
  is	
  a	
  major	
  growth	
  pla^orm	
  and	
  are	
  shi_ing	
  priori=es	
  
  from	
  targe=ng	
  the	
  majority	
  of	
  adver=sing	
  at	
  the	
  under	
  30s    	
  
Mega	
  City	
  States	
                                                                      Aging	
  2.0	
  




     As	
  mayors	
  lead	
  bold	
  ini=a=ves	
  to	
  place	
  their	
  ci=es	
  at	
  the	
  
    forefront	
  of	
  the	
  global	
  stage,	
  many	
  expect	
  that	
  the	
  pivotal	
  
  changes	
  in	
  policy	
  and	
  innova=on	
  will	
  emerge	
  in	
  key	
  megaci=es        	
  
The	
  world’s	
  leading	
  open	
  foresight	
  program	
  




Dr	
  Tim	
  Jones	
  
Programme	
  Director	
  
Future	
  Agenda	
  
84	
  Brook	
  Street	
  
London	
  
W1K	
  5EH	
  

Am.jones@futureagenda.org	
  
futureagenda.org	
  
#futureagenda	
  
hHp://www.slideshare.net/Amjones72	
  	
  

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Aging 2.0 New York - 28 August 2012

  • 1. Aging  2.0  |  NYC  |  28  August  2012  –  Tim  Jones  –  Future  Agenda  
  • 2. Future  Agenda   Aging  2.0   The  Future  Agenda  is  the  world’s  largest  open  foresight   programme  that  engaged  expert  input  from  over     1500  organiza=ons  to  gain  a  unique  global  view  
  • 3. Context   Core  Insights   From  this  first  programme,  we  highlighted  a  number  of  core   insights  which  give  us  a  view  on  emerging  drivers  of  change     and  help  to  challenge  exis=ng  perspec=ves    
  • 4. Imbalanced  Popula=on  Growth   Aging  2.0   By  2020  we  will  add  another  750m  people  to  the  planet,     most  in  places  least    able  to  accommodate  them  –  The  change  in   the  demographic  profile  is  a  bigger  challenge  than  net  growth  
  • 5. Migra=on  Magnets   Aging  2.0   Immigra=on  is  increasingly  key  in  economic  development   strategies  and,  especially  in  low  fer=lity  economies,  na=ons   posi=on  themselves  to  aNract  migrants  
  • 6. Developing  World  Mobility   Aging  2.0   By  2015,  32  people  an  hour  will  be  moving  into  Shanghai,    39  into  Kinshasa  and  Jakarta,  42  into  Mumbai  and  Karachi,  50   into  Dhaka  and  58  into  Lagos  –  mostly  the  young    
  • 7. China’s  Demographic   Aging  2.0   India  believes  that  within  30  years  it  will  gain  a  ‘demographic   dividend’  over  China  as  the  one-­‐child  policy  impacts  the  economic   balance  of  Chinese  society  which  aims  to  be  rich  before  it  gets  old  
  • 8. Ac=ve  Elderly   Aging  2.0   Globally,  a  wealthier,  healthier  older  genera=on  increasingly     engage  in  more  ac=ve  lives,  having  extended  careers     and  becoming  more  poli=cally  involved  
  • 9. Over  50  Engagement   Aging  2.0   More  companies  are  recognizing  that  a  focus  of  ac=vi=es  on  the   over  50s  is  a  major  growth  pla^orm  and  are  shi_ing  priori=es   from  targe=ng  the  majority  of  adver=sing  at  the  under  30s  
  • 10. Mega  City  States   Aging  2.0   As  mayors  lead  bold  ini=a=ves  to  place  their  ci=es  at  the   forefront  of  the  global  stage,  many  expect  that  the  pivotal   changes  in  policy  and  innova=on  will  emerge  in  key  megaci=es  
  • 11. The  world’s  leading  open  foresight  program   Dr  Tim  Jones   Programme  Director   Future  Agenda   84  Brook  Street   London   W1K  5EH   Am.jones@futureagenda.org   futureagenda.org   #futureagenda   hHp://www.slideshare.net/Amjones72