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How brave are you about
       legacies?
UK legacy „market‟ at a glance

•   In 2009 the legacy market was worth almost £2bn


•   That‟s almost15% of all voluntary income...


•   ... and 6% of all incoming resources


•   Just 7% of all people leave a bequest...


•   ... representing 3% of all money left in estates
Huge change in wealth
Single (childless) people account for over half of the
                   charitable legacy pot
                  Value of charitable legacies by gender and marital status



                                                               Married females
                                               Married males         1%
                                                                           Widowed/divorced
                                                     1%
                                                                                males
                                                                                 9%
                              Single females
                                   31%




People with no „natural heirs‟
                                                                                      Widowed/divorced
are the most likely to leave                                                              females
residual bequests                                                                           34%




                                         Single males
                                             24%



Source: Inland Revenue, based on a sample of 1000 deaths in 2000/01
Residual legacies account for 85% of
Consortium income
Consortium income and notifications by bequest type, 2009




                                            Smaller Residual   Large Residual
                                Pecuniary                                       Other
                                             (<ÂŁ100,000)        (>ÂŁ100,000)



      % of bequests                52%            34%               5%           9%

       % of income                  8%            36%               49%          7%




Source: Legacy Monitor Consortium 2010
In 2007/8, only 4,200 charities received any legacy income
          The legacy market by charity size, 2007/8



                  Size band                No charities     Legacy    % of total
                                                          income ÂŁm

                  Micro                      80,608           2.5         0.1
                  Small                      53,971           5.7         0.3
                  Medium                     21,470         175.2         9
                  Large                        4,128        350.1        18
                  Major                         438        1,468.2       74
                  All                       160,615        2,001.7       100



Source : NCVO Civil Society Almanac 2010
The top 10 players account for 30% of all income
                                    Legacy income in 2008/9 (ÂŁm)



                  157
       160

       140                          Cancer Research UK for 8%!
       120

       100                   95

         80
                                     66
         60                                  50
                                                   45          44               43
                                                                                                 37     36
         40                                                                                                          32

         20

          0
                             RNLI



                                     RSPCA




                                                   Macmillan




                                                                                                 PDSA
                                             BHF




                                                                                                                     RNIB
                                                                                                        Guide Dogs
                   CR - UK




                                                                                National Trust
                                                               Salvation Army




Source: Caritas database
Medium-sized legacy charities are growing fastest
         Growth in legacy income by size of charity,% pa, 2004/5 – 2008/9



                    8


                    7


                    6


                    5


                    4


                    3


                    2


                    1


                    0
                          Extra large ÂŁ20m+               Large ÂŁ8-20m   Medium ÂŁ1-8m   Small ÂŁ0.3k - ÂŁ1m


Source: Legacy Foresight analysis of Caritas data, 2010
But the legacy „super-brands‟
       still get the biggest residuals
                    Average residual value by size of charity, ÂŁ000, 2009
               60


               50                54.6

                                               47.1
               40
                                                                  42.9

               30


               20


               10


                0
                              Extra large      Large             Medium


Source: Legacy Monitor 2010
Health and animal
                  charities dominate
                         Legacy market by sector, 2008/9
                                                  Other, 17.2




                             Children, 3.9

                                                                                Health, 42.6
                      Development, 5.5




                        Conservation, 8.3




                                       Disability, 8.1

                                                                Animals, 14.3


Source: Legacy Foresight analysis of Caritas data, 2010
But new sectors are gaining
                     ground
                           Winning and losing sectors, 2004/5 – 2008/9
      < Slowest growth                                                                  Fastest growth >

      Blindness             Religious                 Overseas development       Wildlife trusts


      Children              Domestic poverty relief   Cancer                     Armed services


      Deafness              Old People                Animal welfare             Arts

      Learning
                            Blindness                 Medical conditions         Education
      Disabilities


      Heritage                                        Environmental protection   Hospices


                                                      Mental health              NHS Trusts

                                                      Saving lives

                                                      Heart



Source: Legacy Foresight
The legacy market quadrupled in
             20 years
                   Total legacy income, (1988-2009), ÂŁbn, current prices
                                                   Average annual growth = 7.3% pa




                                                                                     Long period of expansion,
                                                                                     driven by continually rising
                                                                                     house prices




                            Early 90‟s recession




Sources: Smee & Ford, NCVO, Legacy Foresight
But the outlook for the next five years is muted
 Real annual growth in legacy income, % pa


Late 1980s       Boom              +11.0%

1990 – 1995      Recession          -0.5%

1996 – 2007      Boom               +5.5%

2008 – 2010      Recession          -1.8%

2011 – 2015      Recovery           +1.2%
In the long term, prospects are good
                                       Number of deaths, UK, 1986 - 2060



              750




              700




              650




              600




              550




              500
                 1991      1996    2001     2006    2011     2016     2021   2026   2031   2036   2041   2046   2051   2056

Source: Office for National Statistics, Government Actuary's Department
The boomers are coming!
... And a new generation of childless women
“I‟ve never really thought
  about it...”

“It‟s when you‟re dead and
  you don‟t want to think
  about dying...”
Window vinyls were used in charity shops, offices and museums to
bring the campaign to the high street.
Starting the legacy conversation…
Task Groups
Website traffic
Remember A Charity Week generates significant heightened
awareness and action among the public
20%
Thank you

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Good Bites...on legacies 14_09_2011: Rob Cope presentation

  • 1. How brave are you about legacies?
  • 2.
  • 3. UK legacy „market‟ at a glance • In 2009 the legacy market was worth almost ÂŁ2bn • That‟s almost15% of all voluntary income... • ... and 6% of all incoming resources • Just 7% of all people leave a bequest... • ... representing 3% of all money left in estates
  • 4. Huge change in wealth
  • 5. Single (childless) people account for over half of the charitable legacy pot Value of charitable legacies by gender and marital status Married females Married males 1% Widowed/divorced 1% males 9% Single females 31% People with no „natural heirs‟ Widowed/divorced are the most likely to leave females residual bequests 34% Single males 24% Source: Inland Revenue, based on a sample of 1000 deaths in 2000/01
  • 6. Residual legacies account for 85% of Consortium income Consortium income and notifications by bequest type, 2009 Smaller Residual Large Residual Pecuniary Other (<ÂŁ100,000) (>ÂŁ100,000) % of bequests 52% 34% 5% 9% % of income 8% 36% 49% 7% Source: Legacy Monitor Consortium 2010
  • 7. In 2007/8, only 4,200 charities received any legacy income The legacy market by charity size, 2007/8 Size band No charities Legacy % of total income ÂŁm Micro 80,608 2.5 0.1 Small 53,971 5.7 0.3 Medium 21,470 175.2 9 Large 4,128 350.1 18 Major 438 1,468.2 74 All 160,615 2,001.7 100 Source : NCVO Civil Society Almanac 2010
  • 8. The top 10 players account for 30% of all income Legacy income in 2008/9 (ÂŁm) 157 160 140 Cancer Research UK for 8%! 120 100 95 80 66 60 50 45 44 43 37 36 40 32 20 0 RNLI RSPCA Macmillan PDSA BHF RNIB Guide Dogs CR - UK National Trust Salvation Army Source: Caritas database
  • 9. Medium-sized legacy charities are growing fastest Growth in legacy income by size of charity,% pa, 2004/5 – 2008/9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Extra large ÂŁ20m+ Large ÂŁ8-20m Medium ÂŁ1-8m Small ÂŁ0.3k - ÂŁ1m Source: Legacy Foresight analysis of Caritas data, 2010
  • 10. But the legacy „super-brands‟ still get the biggest residuals Average residual value by size of charity, ÂŁ000, 2009 60 50 54.6 47.1 40 42.9 30 20 10 0 Extra large Large Medium Source: Legacy Monitor 2010
  • 11. Health and animal charities dominate Legacy market by sector, 2008/9 Other, 17.2 Children, 3.9 Health, 42.6 Development, 5.5 Conservation, 8.3 Disability, 8.1 Animals, 14.3 Source: Legacy Foresight analysis of Caritas data, 2010
  • 12. But new sectors are gaining ground Winning and losing sectors, 2004/5 – 2008/9 < Slowest growth Fastest growth > Blindness Religious Overseas development Wildlife trusts Children Domestic poverty relief Cancer Armed services Deafness Old People Animal welfare Arts Learning Blindness Medical conditions Education Disabilities Heritage Environmental protection Hospices Mental health NHS Trusts Saving lives Heart Source: Legacy Foresight
  • 13. The legacy market quadrupled in 20 years Total legacy income, (1988-2009), ÂŁbn, current prices Average annual growth = 7.3% pa Long period of expansion, driven by continually rising house prices Early 90‟s recession Sources: Smee & Ford, NCVO, Legacy Foresight
  • 14. But the outlook for the next five years is muted Real annual growth in legacy income, % pa Late 1980s Boom +11.0% 1990 – 1995 Recession -0.5% 1996 – 2007 Boom +5.5% 2008 – 2010 Recession -1.8% 2011 – 2015 Recovery +1.2%
  • 15. In the long term, prospects are good Number of deaths, UK, 1986 - 2060 750 700 650 600 550 500 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041 2046 2051 2056 Source: Office for National Statistics, Government Actuary's Department
  • 16. The boomers are coming!
  • 17. ... And a new generation of childless women
  • 18.
  • 19. “I‟ve never really thought about it...” “It‟s when you‟re dead and you don‟t want to think about dying...”
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Window vinyls were used in charity shops, offices and museums to bring the campaign to the high street.
  • 26. Starting the legacy conversation…
  • 28. Website traffic Remember A Charity Week generates significant heightened awareness and action among the public
  • 29. 20%
  • 30.
  • 31.