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Chapter 19
The Keynesian Model
     in Action
  • Key Concepts
  • Summary
  • Practice Quiz
  • Internet Exercises
      ©2000 South-Western College Publishing
                                               1
In this chapter, you will
  learn to solve these
   economic puzzles:
Why does Keynes argue that
  Why did Keynes reject
   Can the Keynesian
  the government should
    the classical theory
adopt active policies,ice
   Model explain an rather
  that “supply creates its
        cream war?
  thanown demand”?
       allowing the price
     system to prevail?
                         2
What is the purpose
   of this chapter?
To complete the Keynesian
 model by adding the
 government and the foreign
 sector to our analysis
                          3
What percent of GDP is
 Government and the
   Foreign sector?
   About 17% of GDP


                      4
Why is Government
  spending considered an
Autonomous Expenditure?
 Government spending is
  primarily the result of a
  political decision made
  independent of the level
  of national output
                         5
Autonomous Government Spending

       Real Government spending
2.00

         Trillions of $ per year
1.75                                  Government Spending
1.50                                                              G1
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.50                                                              G2
                                      Government Spending
0.25                                                  Real GDP
                                               Trillions of $ per year
                1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
                                                                         6
Why is Net Exports
assumed to be Negative?
 For many years our
  spending for imports has
  exceeded the value of
  exports we have sold to
  foreigners.
                         7
2.00                               Autonomous Net Exports

       Trillions of $ per year
1.75     Real Net Exports        Positive Net Exports
1.50                                                         (X-M)2
1.25
1.00                                                          (X-M)
                                  Zero Net Exports
0.75
0.50                                                        (X-M)1
                                 Negative Net Exports
0.25                                              Real GDP
                                           Trillions of $ per year
                    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
                                                                     8
What does the term
Equilibrium mean?
In the Keynesian model,
 the equilibrium is the
 point toward which the
 economy tends
                          9
In the Keynesian Model,
where is the Equilibrium
     level of GDP?
It is where the total value of
  goods and services
  produced is precisely equal
  to the total spending for
  these goods and services
                            10
What can pull Aggregate
Expenditures higher or lower
  in Keynesian economics?
   Aggregate expenditures
    C + I + G + (X-M)

                         11
What affect do
 Aggregate Expenditures
  have on the economy?
Aggregate expenditures in
 Keynesian economics pull
 aggregate output either higher
 or lower toward equilibrium
                            12
What causes a
decrease in Real GDP
 and Employment?
Unplanned inventory
 investment accumulation



                       13
Why does Unplanned
 Inventory Investment
  Accumulation cause
   Unemployment?
Business firms will cut back
 production and lay off
 workers when they find
 themselves with surpluses
                          14
What causes an
increase in Real GDP
  and Employment?
Unplanned inventory
 investment depletion


                        15
Why does Unplanned
  Inventory Depletion
cause Economic Growth?
Business firms will
 increase production and
 higher more workers to
 meet the level of demand
 for their product
                            16
What is the Aggregate
 Expenditures-output
        Model?
The model that determines the
 equilibrium level of real
 GDP by the intersection of
 aggregate expenditures and
 aggregate output
                           17
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7   Inventory Accumulation      AE = Y
6
                     E            AE
5
4                     Full employment
3
                              +GDP gap
2       Inventory Depletion
1   Real GDP
    1   2   3   4    5    6   7    8   18
How can Full
Employment be reached
 in the previous graph?
 The aggregate expenditure
  curve must be shifted
  upward until the full-
  capacity output of $6
  trillion is reached
                         19
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7   Less than Full employment       AE2
6                                   AE1
5
4                     Full employment
3
2
1   Real GDP
    1   2   3    4   5    6     7    820
What is the
Keynesian Multiplier?
Any initial increase in
 spending will lead to a
 multiple increase in GDP

                        21
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7        .5 trillion dollars           AE2
6                                       AE1
5
4                         1 trillion dollars
3
2
1
    1   2 3        4    5       6   7    8
                  Real GDP                22
Larger
                            increase in
                             aggregate
                           expenditures

              Operates
              through a
   Initial    multiplier
increase in
governmen
t spending
                                      23
How does the
    Multiplier work?
Any initial change in
 spending by the
 government, households, or
 firms creates a chain
 reaction of further spending
                            24
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7
6   MPC = .5                     AE
5
4                          2
3
2
1          4
    1   2 3      4   5 6     7      8
                Real GDP            25
What is the Marginal
Propensity to Consume?
 MPC is the change in
  consumption spending
  resulting form a given
  change in income
                           26
What is the Marginal
 Propensity to Save?
MPS is the fraction of any
 change in real disposable
 income that households save

                          27
How does the
Multiplier work?




                   28
Spending Multiplier Effect
    Round           Spending
        1            $500
        2            $250
        3            $125
        4             $63
All other rounds       ...
Total spending       $1,000
                                29
What is the relationship
between MPC and MPS?
   MPC + MPS = 1


                      30
What is the formula
for the Multiplier?
 1 / (1 – MPC)
       (or)
    1 / MPS
                      31
If the MPS is  what
                 ,
   is the Multiplier?
 1 / MPS = 1 / = 2


                    32
Relationship between MPC, MPS, and
       the Spending Multiplier
                         Spending
  MPC          MPS       Multiplier
   .90          .10         10
   .80          .20          5
   .75          .25          4
   .67          .33          3
   .50          .50         2
   .33          .67        1.5
                                  33
What is the GDP Gap?
The difference between
 full employment real
 GDP and actual real GDP


                       34
What is the
 Recessionary Gap?
The amount by which
 aggregate expenditures
 fall short of the amount
 required to achieve full
 employment equilibrium
                            35
The Keynesian Aggregate
8   Expenditures - Output Model
7                            E2       AE2
6                                     AE1
5                  E1
4                        Recessionary gap
3
                         Full employment
2
1                   + GDP gap

       1   2 3     4    5    6    7    8
                  Real GDP              36
What is the Keynesian
   remedy for a
 Recessionary Gap?
Increase autonomous
 spending by the amount
 of the recessionary gap

                           37
What can the
Government do to close
 a Recessionary Gap?
 • Increase government
   spending
 • Lower taxes
 • Raise transfer payments
                         38
What is an
 Inflationary Gap?
The amount by which
 aggregate expenditures
 exceed the amount
 required to achieve full
 employment equilibrium
                        39
The Keynesian Aggregate
8 Expenditures - Output Model
7                                AE1
                          E1
6                                AE2
5                E2
4                     Inflationary gap
3 Full employment
2
1                  GDP gap

     1    2   3    4   5     6   7   8
                  Real GDP           40
What is the Keynesian
   remedy for an
 Inflationary Gap?
Reduce autonomous
 spending by the amount
 of the inflationary gap

                           41
How can the Government
close an Inflationary Gap?
 • Cut government spending
 • Increase taxes
 • Reduce transfer payments

                              42
Key Concepts



               43
Key Concepts
• Why is Government spending considered
  an Autonomous Expenditure?
• What does the term Equilibrium mean?
• In the Keynesian Model, where is the
  Equilibrium level of GDP?
• What can pull Aggregate Expenditures
  higher or lower in Keynesian economics?
• What causes a decrease in Real GDP and
  Employment?
                                            44
Key Concepts cont.
• What causes an increase in Real GDP
  and Employment?
• What is the Aggregate Expenditures-
  output Model?
• What is the Keynesian Multiplier?
• What is the Marginal Propensity to
  Consume?
• What is the Marginal Propensity to Save?
                                         45
Key Concepts cont.
• What is the relationship between MPC
  and MPS?
• What is the formula for the Multiplier?
• What is the GDP Gap?
• What is the Recessionary Gap?
• What is the Keynesian remedy for a
  Recessionary Gap?
• What is an Inflationary Gap?
• What is the Keynesian remedy for an
  Inflationary Gap?
                                            46
Summary




          47
The Keynesian argues that the
economy is inherently unstable and
may require government intervention
to control aggregate expenditures and
restore full employment. If we assume
that real disposable income remains
the same high proportion of real GDP,
then we can substitute real GDP for
real disposable income in the
Keynesian model.
                                   48
Government spending and net
exports can be treated as autonomous
expenditures in the Keynesian model.
Net exports are the only component of
aggregate expenditures that changes
from a positive to a negative value as
real GDP rises. Both exports and
imports are determined by foreign or
domestic income, tastes, trade
restrictions, and exchange rates.
                                    49
Autonomous Government Spending

       Real Government spending
2.00

         Trillions of $ per year
1.75                                  Government Spending
1.50                                                              G1
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.50                                                              G2
                                      Government Spending
0.25                                                  Real GDP
                                               Trillions of $ per year
                1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
                                                                         50
2.00                               Autonomous Net Exports

       Trillions of $ per year
1.75     Real Net Exports        Positive Net Exports
1.50                                                         (X-M)2
1.25
1.00                                                          (X-M)
                                  Zero Net Exports
0.75
0.50                                                        (X-M)1
                                 Negative Net Exports
0.25                                              Real GDP
                                           Trillions of $ per year
                    1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
                                                                     51
The Keynesian aggregate
expenditures-output model
determines the equilibrium level of
real GDP by the intersection of the
aggregate expenditures and the
aggregate output and income
schedules. Each equilibrium level in
the economy is associated with a
level of employment and
corresponding unemployment rate.

                                   52
Aggregate expenditures and
real GDP are equal, graphically,
where the AE = C + I + G + (X-M)
line intersects the 45-degree line. At
any output greater or less than the
equilibrium real GDP, unintended
inventory investment pressures
businesses to alter aggregate output
and income until equilibrium at full-
employment real GDP is restored.

                                     53
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7   Inventory Accumulation      AE = Y
6
                     E            AE
5
4                     Full employment
3
                              +GDP gap
2       Inventory Depletion
1   Real GDP
    1   2   3   4    5    6   7    8   54
The spending multiplier is the
ratio of the change in equilibrium
output to the initial change in any of
the components of aggregate
expenditures. Algebraically, the
multiplier is the reciprocal of the
marginal propensity to save. The
multiplier effect causes the
equilibrium level of real GDP to
change by several times the initial
change in spending.
                                     55
A recessionary gap is the amount
by which aggregate expenditures fall
short of the amount necessary for the
economy to operate at full-employment
real GDP. To eliminate a positive GDP
gap, the Keynesian solution is to
increase autonomous spending by an
amount equal to the recessionary gap
and operate through the multiplier to
increase equilibrium output and
income.
                                   56
The Keynesian Aggregate
8   Expenditures - Output Model
7                            E2       AE2
6                                     AE1
5                  E1
4                        Recessionary gap
3
                         Full employment
2
1                   + GDP gap

       1   2 3     4    5    6    7    8
                  Real GDP              57
An inflationary gap is the amount
by which aggregate expenditures exceed
the amount necessary to establish full-
employment equilibrium and indicates
upward pressure on prices. To eliminate
a negative GDP gap, the Keynesian
solution is to decrease autonomous
spending by an amount equal to the
inflationary gap and operate through the
multiplier to decrease equilibrium
output and income .
                                     58
The Keynesian Aggregate
8 Expenditures - Output Model
7                                AE1
                          E1
6                                AE2
5                E2
4                     Inflationary gap
3 Full employment
2
1                  GDP gap

     1    2   3    4   5     6   7   8
                  Real GDP           59
Chapter 19 Quiz



   ©2000 South-Western College Publishing   60
1. The net exports line can be
    a. positive.
    b. negative.
    c. zero.
    d. any of the above.

D. Because net exports equals exports minus
 imports (X-M), the sign of net exports
 depends on the values of X and M.


                                              61
2. There will be unplanned inventory investment
  accumulation when
   a. aggregate output (real GDP) equals
     aggregate expenditures.
   b. aggregate output (real GDP) exceeds
     aggregate expenditures.
   c. aggregate expenditures exceed aggregate
     output (real GDP).
   d. firms increase output.

      B.

                                            62
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7   Inventory Accumulation      AE = Y
6
                     E            AE
5
4                     Full employment
3
                              +GDP gap
2       Inventory Depletion
1   Real GDP
    1   2   3   4    5    6   7    8   63
3. John Maynard Keynes proposed that the
  multiplier effect can correct an economic
  depression. Based on this theory, an increase in
  equilibrium output would be created by an
  initial
   a. increase in investment.
   b. increase in government spending.
   c. decrease in government spending.
   d. both (a) and (b).
   e. both (a) an (c) .
 D. A decrease in government spending is
    multiplied times the spending multiplier
    and decreases equilibrium output.
                                             64
4. The spending multiplier is defined as
   a. 1/(1 - marginal propensity to consume).
   b. 1/(marginal propensity to consume).
   c. 1/(1 - marginal propensity to save).
   d. 1/(marginal propensity to consume +
     marginal propensity to save).


A. The spending multiplier is also
 defined as 1/MPS.


                                           65
5. If the value of the marginal propensity
  to consume (MPC) is 0.50, the value of
  the spending multiplier is
   a. .5.
   b. 1.
   c. 2.
   d. 5.
C. Spending multiplier = 1/(1-MPC) =
1/(1-0.5) = 1/0.50 = 1/50/100 = 2.


                                             66
6. If the marginal propensity to consume
  (MPC) is 0.80, the value of the spending
  multiplier is
   a. 2.
   b. 5.
   c. 8.
   d. 10.

B. Spending multiplier = 1/(1-MPC =
1/(1-0.80) = 1/20/100 = 5.

                                             67
7. If the marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
  is 0.75, a $50 billion decrease in government
  spending would cause equilibrium output to
   a. increase by $50 billion.
   b. decrease by $50 billion.
   c. increase by $200 billion.
   d. decrease by $200 billion.
D. Change in equilibrium output (Y) =
 spending multiplier x change in
 government spending. Rewritten, Y =
 1/(1-0.75) x -$50 billion = $200 billion = 4 x -
 $50 billion.
                                              68
8. If the marginal propensity to consume (MPC)
  is 0.90, a $100 billion increase in planned
  investment expenditure, other things being
  equal, will cause an increase in equilibrium
  output of
   a. $90 billion.
   b. $100 billion.
   c. $900 billion.
   d. $1,000 billion.
  D. Change in equilibrium output (Y) =
   spending multiplier x change in
   government. Rewritten, Y = 1/(1-0.90) x
   $100 billion = 10 x $100 billion.
                                              69
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7   Less than Full employment       AE2
6                                   AE1
5
4                     Full employment
3
2
1   Real GDP
    1   2   3    4   5    6     7    870
9. Keynes’ criticism of the classical theory was
  that the Great Depression would not correct
  itself. The multiplier effect would restore an
  economy to full employment if
   a. government would follow a “least
     government is the best government” policy.
   b. government taxes were increased.
   c. government spending were increased.
   d. government spending were decreased.
 C. Keynes’ prescription to cure the Great
  Depression was for government to play an
  active role rather than depend on the
  classical theory that the price system will
  eventually restore full employment.         71
10. The equilibrium level of real GDP is
    $1,000 billion, the full employment level of
    real GDP is $1,250 billion, and the marginal
    propensity to consume (MPC) is 0.60. The
    full-employment target can be reached if
    government spending is
     a. increased by $60 billion.
     b. increased by $100 billion.
     c. increased by $250 billion.
     d. held constant.
B. Change in real GDP required = spending
  multiplier x change in government spending
  (G). Rewritten,
G = 1/(1 - 0.60) x ($1,250 - $1,000)
 G x 2.5 = $250
 G = $100 billion.
                                               72
The Keynesian Aggregate
8       Expenditures-Output Model
7
    MPC = .66                   AE
6
5
4                          2
3
2                    Full Employment
1   Real GDP
             3
    1   2 3      4   5 6      7     8
                                    73
11. In Exhibit 9, the spending multiplier for this
  economy is equal to
   a. 1.
   b. 2.
   c. 3 .
   d. 5 .


 B. 1/(1-MPC) = 1/(1-3/5) = 1/2/5 = 5/2 = 2 1/2



                                               74
12. To close the recessionary gap and achieve
   full-employment real GDP as shown in
   Exhibit 9, the government should cut taxes
   by
    a. $3/5 trillion.
    b. $ 1 trillion.
    c. $2 trillion.
    d. $3 trillion.
C. Change in taxes (T) x tax multiplier = change in real
      GDP (Y)
       spending multiplier (SM) = 1/(1-MPC) = 1/(1-3/5) =
      1/2/5 = 5/2
      tax multiplier = (1-SM) = (1-5/2) = -3/2
      T x -3/2 = $3 trillion
      T = -2/3 x $3 trillion
      T = $2 trillion                                    75
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                                    76
END

      77

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Keynesian Model Explains Recessionary and Inflationary Gaps

  • 1. Chapter 19 The Keynesian Model in Action • Key Concepts • Summary • Practice Quiz • Internet Exercises ©2000 South-Western College Publishing 1
  • 2. In this chapter, you will learn to solve these economic puzzles: Why does Keynes argue that Why did Keynes reject Can the Keynesian the government should the classical theory adopt active policies,ice Model explain an rather that “supply creates its cream war? thanown demand”? allowing the price system to prevail? 2
  • 3. What is the purpose of this chapter? To complete the Keynesian model by adding the government and the foreign sector to our analysis 3
  • 4. What percent of GDP is Government and the Foreign sector? About 17% of GDP 4
  • 5. Why is Government spending considered an Autonomous Expenditure? Government spending is primarily the result of a political decision made independent of the level of national output 5
  • 6. Autonomous Government Spending Real Government spending 2.00 Trillions of $ per year 1.75 Government Spending 1.50 G1 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 G2 Government Spending 0.25 Real GDP Trillions of $ per year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 6
  • 7. Why is Net Exports assumed to be Negative? For many years our spending for imports has exceeded the value of exports we have sold to foreigners. 7
  • 8. 2.00 Autonomous Net Exports Trillions of $ per year 1.75 Real Net Exports Positive Net Exports 1.50 (X-M)2 1.25 1.00 (X-M) Zero Net Exports 0.75 0.50 (X-M)1 Negative Net Exports 0.25 Real GDP Trillions of $ per year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 8
  • 9. What does the term Equilibrium mean? In the Keynesian model, the equilibrium is the point toward which the economy tends 9
  • 10. In the Keynesian Model, where is the Equilibrium level of GDP? It is where the total value of goods and services produced is precisely equal to the total spending for these goods and services 10
  • 11. What can pull Aggregate Expenditures higher or lower in Keynesian economics? Aggregate expenditures C + I + G + (X-M) 11
  • 12. What affect do Aggregate Expenditures have on the economy? Aggregate expenditures in Keynesian economics pull aggregate output either higher or lower toward equilibrium 12
  • 13. What causes a decrease in Real GDP and Employment? Unplanned inventory investment accumulation 13
  • 14. Why does Unplanned Inventory Investment Accumulation cause Unemployment? Business firms will cut back production and lay off workers when they find themselves with surpluses 14
  • 15. What causes an increase in Real GDP and Employment? Unplanned inventory investment depletion 15
  • 16. Why does Unplanned Inventory Depletion cause Economic Growth? Business firms will increase production and higher more workers to meet the level of demand for their product 16
  • 17. What is the Aggregate Expenditures-output Model? The model that determines the equilibrium level of real GDP by the intersection of aggregate expenditures and aggregate output 17
  • 18. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7 Inventory Accumulation AE = Y 6 E AE 5 4 Full employment 3 +GDP gap 2 Inventory Depletion 1 Real GDP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 18
  • 19. How can Full Employment be reached in the previous graph? The aggregate expenditure curve must be shifted upward until the full- capacity output of $6 trillion is reached 19
  • 20. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7 Less than Full employment AE2 6 AE1 5 4 Full employment 3 2 1 Real GDP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 820
  • 21. What is the Keynesian Multiplier? Any initial increase in spending will lead to a multiple increase in GDP 21
  • 22. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7  .5 trillion dollars AE2 6 AE1 5 4  1 trillion dollars 3 2 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Real GDP 22
  • 23. Larger increase in aggregate expenditures Operates through a Initial multiplier increase in governmen t spending 23
  • 24. How does the Multiplier work? Any initial change in spending by the government, households, or firms creates a chain reaction of further spending 24
  • 25. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7 6 MPC = .5 AE 5 4 2 3 2 1 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Real GDP 25
  • 26. What is the Marginal Propensity to Consume? MPC is the change in consumption spending resulting form a given change in income 26
  • 27. What is the Marginal Propensity to Save? MPS is the fraction of any change in real disposable income that households save 27
  • 29. Spending Multiplier Effect Round  Spending 1 $500 2 $250 3 $125 4 $63 All other rounds ... Total spending $1,000 29
  • 30. What is the relationship between MPC and MPS? MPC + MPS = 1 30
  • 31. What is the formula for the Multiplier? 1 / (1 – MPC) (or) 1 / MPS 31
  • 32. If the MPS is  what , is the Multiplier? 1 / MPS = 1 / = 2 32
  • 33. Relationship between MPC, MPS, and the Spending Multiplier Spending MPC MPS Multiplier .90 .10 10 .80 .20 5 .75 .25 4 .67 .33 3 .50 .50 2 .33 .67 1.5 33
  • 34. What is the GDP Gap? The difference between full employment real GDP and actual real GDP 34
  • 35. What is the Recessionary Gap? The amount by which aggregate expenditures fall short of the amount required to achieve full employment equilibrium 35
  • 36. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures - Output Model 7 E2 AE2 6 AE1 5 E1 4 Recessionary gap 3 Full employment 2 1 + GDP gap 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Real GDP 36
  • 37. What is the Keynesian remedy for a Recessionary Gap? Increase autonomous spending by the amount of the recessionary gap 37
  • 38. What can the Government do to close a Recessionary Gap? • Increase government spending • Lower taxes • Raise transfer payments 38
  • 39. What is an Inflationary Gap? The amount by which aggregate expenditures exceed the amount required to achieve full employment equilibrium 39
  • 40. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures - Output Model 7 AE1 E1 6 AE2 5 E2 4 Inflationary gap 3 Full employment 2 1  GDP gap 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Real GDP 40
  • 41. What is the Keynesian remedy for an Inflationary Gap? Reduce autonomous spending by the amount of the inflationary gap 41
  • 42. How can the Government close an Inflationary Gap? • Cut government spending • Increase taxes • Reduce transfer payments 42
  • 44. Key Concepts • Why is Government spending considered an Autonomous Expenditure? • What does the term Equilibrium mean? • In the Keynesian Model, where is the Equilibrium level of GDP? • What can pull Aggregate Expenditures higher or lower in Keynesian economics? • What causes a decrease in Real GDP and Employment? 44
  • 45. Key Concepts cont. • What causes an increase in Real GDP and Employment? • What is the Aggregate Expenditures- output Model? • What is the Keynesian Multiplier? • What is the Marginal Propensity to Consume? • What is the Marginal Propensity to Save? 45
  • 46. Key Concepts cont. • What is the relationship between MPC and MPS? • What is the formula for the Multiplier? • What is the GDP Gap? • What is the Recessionary Gap? • What is the Keynesian remedy for a Recessionary Gap? • What is an Inflationary Gap? • What is the Keynesian remedy for an Inflationary Gap? 46
  • 47. Summary 47
  • 48. The Keynesian argues that the economy is inherently unstable and may require government intervention to control aggregate expenditures and restore full employment. If we assume that real disposable income remains the same high proportion of real GDP, then we can substitute real GDP for real disposable income in the Keynesian model. 48
  • 49. Government spending and net exports can be treated as autonomous expenditures in the Keynesian model. Net exports are the only component of aggregate expenditures that changes from a positive to a negative value as real GDP rises. Both exports and imports are determined by foreign or domestic income, tastes, trade restrictions, and exchange rates. 49
  • 50. Autonomous Government Spending Real Government spending 2.00 Trillions of $ per year 1.75 Government Spending 1.50 G1 1.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 G2 Government Spending 0.25 Real GDP Trillions of $ per year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 50
  • 51. 2.00 Autonomous Net Exports Trillions of $ per year 1.75 Real Net Exports Positive Net Exports 1.50 (X-M)2 1.25 1.00 (X-M) Zero Net Exports 0.75 0.50 (X-M)1 Negative Net Exports 0.25 Real GDP Trillions of $ per year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 51
  • 52. The Keynesian aggregate expenditures-output model determines the equilibrium level of real GDP by the intersection of the aggregate expenditures and the aggregate output and income schedules. Each equilibrium level in the economy is associated with a level of employment and corresponding unemployment rate. 52
  • 53. Aggregate expenditures and real GDP are equal, graphically, where the AE = C + I + G + (X-M) line intersects the 45-degree line. At any output greater or less than the equilibrium real GDP, unintended inventory investment pressures businesses to alter aggregate output and income until equilibrium at full- employment real GDP is restored. 53
  • 54. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7 Inventory Accumulation AE = Y 6 E AE 5 4 Full employment 3 +GDP gap 2 Inventory Depletion 1 Real GDP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 54
  • 55. The spending multiplier is the ratio of the change in equilibrium output to the initial change in any of the components of aggregate expenditures. Algebraically, the multiplier is the reciprocal of the marginal propensity to save. The multiplier effect causes the equilibrium level of real GDP to change by several times the initial change in spending. 55
  • 56. A recessionary gap is the amount by which aggregate expenditures fall short of the amount necessary for the economy to operate at full-employment real GDP. To eliminate a positive GDP gap, the Keynesian solution is to increase autonomous spending by an amount equal to the recessionary gap and operate through the multiplier to increase equilibrium output and income. 56
  • 57. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures - Output Model 7 E2 AE2 6 AE1 5 E1 4 Recessionary gap 3 Full employment 2 1 + GDP gap 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Real GDP 57
  • 58. An inflationary gap is the amount by which aggregate expenditures exceed the amount necessary to establish full- employment equilibrium and indicates upward pressure on prices. To eliminate a negative GDP gap, the Keynesian solution is to decrease autonomous spending by an amount equal to the inflationary gap and operate through the multiplier to decrease equilibrium output and income . 58
  • 59. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures - Output Model 7 AE1 E1 6 AE2 5 E2 4 Inflationary gap 3 Full employment 2 1  GDP gap 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Real GDP 59
  • 60. Chapter 19 Quiz ©2000 South-Western College Publishing 60
  • 61. 1. The net exports line can be a. positive. b. negative. c. zero. d. any of the above. D. Because net exports equals exports minus imports (X-M), the sign of net exports depends on the values of X and M. 61
  • 62. 2. There will be unplanned inventory investment accumulation when a. aggregate output (real GDP) equals aggregate expenditures. b. aggregate output (real GDP) exceeds aggregate expenditures. c. aggregate expenditures exceed aggregate output (real GDP). d. firms increase output. B. 62
  • 63. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7 Inventory Accumulation AE = Y 6 E AE 5 4 Full employment 3 +GDP gap 2 Inventory Depletion 1 Real GDP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 63
  • 64. 3. John Maynard Keynes proposed that the multiplier effect can correct an economic depression. Based on this theory, an increase in equilibrium output would be created by an initial a. increase in investment. b. increase in government spending. c. decrease in government spending. d. both (a) and (b). e. both (a) an (c) . D. A decrease in government spending is multiplied times the spending multiplier and decreases equilibrium output. 64
  • 65. 4. The spending multiplier is defined as a. 1/(1 - marginal propensity to consume). b. 1/(marginal propensity to consume). c. 1/(1 - marginal propensity to save). d. 1/(marginal propensity to consume + marginal propensity to save). A. The spending multiplier is also defined as 1/MPS. 65
  • 66. 5. If the value of the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is 0.50, the value of the spending multiplier is a. .5. b. 1. c. 2. d. 5. C. Spending multiplier = 1/(1-MPC) = 1/(1-0.5) = 1/0.50 = 1/50/100 = 2. 66
  • 67. 6. If the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is 0.80, the value of the spending multiplier is a. 2. b. 5. c. 8. d. 10. B. Spending multiplier = 1/(1-MPC = 1/(1-0.80) = 1/20/100 = 5. 67
  • 68. 7. If the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is 0.75, a $50 billion decrease in government spending would cause equilibrium output to a. increase by $50 billion. b. decrease by $50 billion. c. increase by $200 billion. d. decrease by $200 billion. D. Change in equilibrium output (Y) = spending multiplier x change in government spending. Rewritten, Y = 1/(1-0.75) x -$50 billion = $200 billion = 4 x - $50 billion. 68
  • 69. 8. If the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is 0.90, a $100 billion increase in planned investment expenditure, other things being equal, will cause an increase in equilibrium output of a. $90 billion. b. $100 billion. c. $900 billion. d. $1,000 billion. D. Change in equilibrium output (Y) = spending multiplier x change in government. Rewritten, Y = 1/(1-0.90) x $100 billion = 10 x $100 billion. 69
  • 70. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7 Less than Full employment AE2 6 AE1 5 4 Full employment 3 2 1 Real GDP 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 870
  • 71. 9. Keynes’ criticism of the classical theory was that the Great Depression would not correct itself. The multiplier effect would restore an economy to full employment if a. government would follow a “least government is the best government” policy. b. government taxes were increased. c. government spending were increased. d. government spending were decreased. C. Keynes’ prescription to cure the Great Depression was for government to play an active role rather than depend on the classical theory that the price system will eventually restore full employment. 71
  • 72. 10. The equilibrium level of real GDP is $1,000 billion, the full employment level of real GDP is $1,250 billion, and the marginal propensity to consume (MPC) is 0.60. The full-employment target can be reached if government spending is a. increased by $60 billion. b. increased by $100 billion. c. increased by $250 billion. d. held constant. B. Change in real GDP required = spending multiplier x change in government spending (G). Rewritten, G = 1/(1 - 0.60) x ($1,250 - $1,000) G x 2.5 = $250 G = $100 billion. 72
  • 73. The Keynesian Aggregate 8 Expenditures-Output Model 7 MPC = .66 AE 6 5 4 2 3 2 Full Employment 1 Real GDP 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 73
  • 74. 11. In Exhibit 9, the spending multiplier for this economy is equal to a. 1. b. 2. c. 3 . d. 5 . B. 1/(1-MPC) = 1/(1-3/5) = 1/2/5 = 5/2 = 2 1/2 74
  • 75. 12. To close the recessionary gap and achieve full-employment real GDP as shown in Exhibit 9, the government should cut taxes by a. $3/5 trillion. b. $ 1 trillion. c. $2 trillion. d. $3 trillion. C. Change in taxes (T) x tax multiplier = change in real GDP (Y) spending multiplier (SM) = 1/(1-MPC) = 1/(1-3/5) = 1/2/5 = 5/2 tax multiplier = (1-SM) = (1-5/2) = -3/2 T x -3/2 = $3 trillion T = -2/3 x $3 trillion T = $2 trillion 75
  • 76. Internet Exercises Click on the picture of the book, choose updates by chapter for the latest internet exercises 76
  • 77. END 77