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Feed-in tariffs – diffusion, design consideration and
       implementation in developing countries

                   Leonardo Webinar 12 January 2012

                          Dr. des. David Jacobs
               Director Renewable Energy, IFOK GmbH




Course on Regulation and Sustainable Energy in Developing Countries – Session 3
www.leonardo-energy.org/course-regulation-and-sustainable-energy-developing-
                                 countries
Countries with renewable energy targets




     Countries without targets

     Countries with targets




                 From 45 in 2005 to 85 in 2010
FIT Countries 1995




  Countries with state FIT policy

  Countries with national FIT policy




                                       Source: REN21, Renewables 2010 Global Status Report


                                                                                             3
FIT Countries 2000




 Countries with state FIT policy

 Countries with national FIT policy




                                      Source: REN21, Renewables 2010 Global Status Report


                                                                                            4
FIT Countries 2010




 Countries with state FIT policy

 Countries with national FIT policy




                                      Source: REN21, Renewables 2010 Global Status Report


                                                                                            5
World-wide installed capacity by incentive type (%)


                 Wind                          Solar
                 Market Tendering
   Trade &       based     1%                   Market
    quota         3%
     9%                                       based/off
                                           Tax -grid
                                        incentive 7%
                                           6%


        Tax
     incentive
                 194GW                          43GW
       23%
                           Feed-in
                            tariff                    Feed-in
                            64%                        tariff
                                                       87%




 Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
FITs in Europe

 Countries with FiTs




                                           Source: Klein et al. 2010




                       • 23 of 27 EU countries have FITs
                       • Feed-in tariffs in the EU have triggered
                       considerable share of investment:
                           • 100% PV
                           • 86% wind
                           • 68% biomass
Basic feed-in tariff design

• Purchase obligation
   •   “Independent” from power demand

• Fixed tariff payment based on the actual power generation costs
   •   Price setting will be discussed in session 4

• Long duration of tariff payment
Tariff payment duration

 • Formerly: short periods (logic of
  conventional electricity sector)

 • Nowadays: long payment durations
  (usually 15-25 years ~ lifetime of
  power plant)

 • Necessary because of special
  investment structure
Eligible RE Sources/Technology
• Definition of eligible producers (technologies?)
• Assessment of resource availability
• Start with a handful of technologies, for instance:
                                               Small
         Wind           Biomass                          Solar PV
                                            hydropower




      Plant size (maximum?)

      Territory (offshore?)
Eligible RE Sources/Technology

Assessment of other resource needed!



       Wind offshore?              Tidal?   Geothermal?
Number of eligible technologies




  Source: Jacobs 2012
More “advanced” FIT design

• Advanced feed-in tariff design options are primarily for countries who
 have already supported renewable electricity technologies for a
 number of years

• Advanced FIT design is taken into account by more and more
 developing countries

• Objectives:
   • Reduce windfall profits through differentiated tariffs
   • Facilitate system integration
Pro and cons of tariff differentiation

• Advantages of tariff differentiation:
   • Avoid windfall profits;
   • efficiency of system can be increased,
   • Additional costs for final consumer can be limited



• Disadvantages of tariff differentiation:
   • High degree of complexity (reduced transparency)
   • Overall efficiency might be reduced (e.g. better to construct two small
      plant)
   → Increase complexity over time (e.g. Germany: 1990: 4§; 2000: 13§; 2004:
      22§; 2009: 65§)
Technology specific support

• Technology specific support to avoid windfall profits for producers of mature
  technologies
• Size specific support
                                     Cost
• Location specific support

                                                WP




        PFITC
                                                                      C

                    PFITB
                             PFITA                      B

                                            A
                                                                            MP

                                                                                 Quantity




       Source: Jacobs 2005

                                                     Source: David Jacobs
Number of tariffs




  Source: Jacobs 2012
Size specific tariff payment
Size specific tariffs

• Tariff differentiation according to size
    • Economies of scale
    • Market entrance for small producers
    • According to typical installation sizes, e.g.

                    0 kW < Tariff/Price ≤ 30 kW
                    30 kW < Tariff/Price ≤ 100 kW
                    100 kW < Tariff/Price < 2 MW
                    2 MW and above
Location specific tariff payment
Location specific tariffs

 • Mostly applied for wind energy (Germany and France)

 • Reduce accumulation of wind power plants in coastal areas (increases public
   acceptance); visual impact

 • Location specific tariffs in Germany depend on wind speed at a given location
   (measured during the first 10 years of operation)

 • First 10 years: flat rate

 • Final 5 years: depending on “quality” of site
Location specific tariffs - Germany




      Source: Klein et al. 2008
Location specific tariffs - Germany




      Source: Klein et al. 2008
Location specific tariffs - Germany
Location specific tariffs

• New French FIT for solar also includes location specific tariffs




                                                                Source:
                                        http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvgis/countries/europe.htm
Tariff degression
Tariff degression

• Tariff degression (automatic, annual reduction); because of technological
 learning, economies of scale, rationalization, innovation pressure

• Effects only new capacity, i.e. tariff for “old” plants remains stable over long
 period of time
• Most countries only use it for solar PV (Italy, Spain)




        Source: Klein et al. 2008
Tariff evolution solar PV in Germany

     8000                                                                                                         0.70

                                                                                                       7,407

                                             0.62
     7000
                                                       0.60                                                       0.60

                                                                 0.56

     6000                                                                  0.53
                                                                                     0.52
               0.51                                                                                               0.50
                         0.48
                                   0.46      0.46
     5000                                              0.43                                    0.43
                                                                 0.41
                                                                                                                  0.40
                                                                                                          0.39
                                                                           0.38                                          Added MW
     4000                                                                            0.35   3,806                        Upper Bound
                                                                                                0.32                     Lower Bound
                                                                                                                  0.30

     3000
                                                                                                           0.24

                                                                                                                  0.20
     2000                                                                         1,809

                                                                        1,271
                                                    951                                                           0.10
     1000                                                     843
                                          670

            110       110       139
       0                                                                                                          0.00
            2001      2002      2003      2004      2005      2006      2007      2008      2009       2010




       Source: Fulton et al. 2011
Tariff degression

• Tariff degression (automatic, annual reduction); because of
 technological learning, economies of scale, rationalization, innovation
 pressure




         Source: MBIPV 2010
Tariff degression - Germany

• Germany implemented tariff degression for all technologies
• Tariff degression rates in Germany (2009)

Renewable energy technology         Annual degression rate
Hydropower (more than 5 MW)         1 percent
Landfill gas                        1.5 percent
Sewage treatment gas                1.5 percent
Mine gas                            1.5 percent
Biomass                             1 percent
Geothermal                          1 percent
Wind power offshore                 5 percent (from 2015 onwards)
Wind power onshore                  1 percent
Solar PV                            8-10 percent
Inflation indexation
Inflation indexation

• Feed-in tariff schemes guarantee tariff payment for a long period
 of time (15-25 years)

• Indexation applies to existing and new power plants!

• Full or partial indexation (Spain)

• Indexation to other economic indicators (France: cost of labor)
Inflation indexation

• Some European countries do not explicitly index tariffs (e.g.
 Germany)

• However, these countries have relatively modest and predictable
 price increased which can be taken into account when calculating
 feed-in tariffs

• In the case of countries with high inflation rated, tariff payment for
 existing plants should be inflation indexed
Demand oriented tariff payment
Demand-oriented tariff payment

• Higher tariffs during peak demand

• Lower tariff during off-peak periods

• Should only apply to “non-fluctuating” technologies (e.g. not
 wind and solar)

• Differentiation: day or time of year
Demand-oriented tariff payment




     Source: Optres Final report 2007
Time-differentiated tariffs – hydro, France
                                        No differentiation         6.07 €cent/kWh
  Single-component tariff
  Two-component tariff                  Summer                     8.38 €cent/kWh
                                        Winter                     4.43 €cent/kWh

  Four-component tariff                 Winter, normal demand     10.19 €cent/kWh
                                        Winter, off-peak demand    5.95 €cent/kWh

                                        Summer, normal demand      4.55 €cent/kWh

                                        Summer, off-peak demand    4.25 €cent/kWh

  Five-component tariff                 Winter, peak demand       17.72 €cent/kWh
                                        Winter, normal demand      8.92 €cent/kWh

                                        Winter, off-peak demand    5.95 €cent/kWh

                                        Summer, normal demand      4.55 €cent/kWh

                                        Summer, off-peak demand    4.25 €cent/kWh

 Source: Author based on J.O. (2007a)
Assessment report
Assessment report and amendments

 • Frequently review the FIT scheme and amend it, if necessary
      •   Germany and Spain: Review every 3 or 4 years
      • New FIT countries: 1 or 2 years after first implementation, from there on
          every four years




Source: Meister Consultants Group, DBCCA Analysis, 2011.
Assessment report and amendments

• Assessment report should include:

   • analysis of growth rates and average production costs of the eligible
      technologies

   • progress towards the achievement of targets

   • economic, social and environmental benefits of the law (such as the
      amount of investment and export trade, the number of jobs created and
      the amount of carbon dioxide emissions avoided)

   • additional costs for the consumer




                                      Source: David Jacobs
Conclusion
Advantages of Feed-in tariffs
 High level of investment security

 New actors are entering the power market (competition)

 PV price reduction and innovation triggered by degressive feed-in tariffs
 > Investments are not postponed

 Allows for technology specific support




                                     Source: David Jacobs
Disadvantages of Feed-in tariffs

 „uncontrolled“ market growth in case of tariffs that are too high
 (flexible degression)
 The costs are growing continuously until the payment period of the
 first plants ends
 Difficulty to anticipate technological development (progress reports
 and monitoring necessary)




                                        Source: David Jacobs
Preview of session 4 – Case studies on feed-in tariff
implementation

 More detailed case studies from developed and developing
 countries (implementation steps, effectiveness and efficiency,
 critical path issues, etc).
 Assessment of costs related to feed-in tariff mechanisms and design
 for cost control
 Assessment of tariff calculation methodologies (how to get the tariff
 level right)
Further reading

 Mendonça, M., Jacobs, D.; Sovacool, B. 2009b. Powering the green economy – The feed-in tariff handbook.
Earthscan: London. http://www.earthscan.co.uk/?tabid=92822



  Klein, A., Pfluger, B., Held, A., Ragwitz, M., Resch, G., Faber, T. 2008. Evaluation of different feed-in tariff
  design options – Best practise paper for the international Feed-in Cooperation, Second edition, October 2008.
  Available from http://www.feed-in-cooperation.org/images/files/best_practice_paper_2nd_edition_final.pdf



  Couture, T., Cory, K., Kreycik, C., Williams, E., 2010. Policymakers’ Guide to Feed-in Tariff Policy Design.
  NREL, Technical Report, July 2010. Golden (CO): National Renewable Energy Laboratory.
  http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/44849.pdf
Further reading

 DB Climate Change Advisors 2009. Paying for renewable energy: TLC at the right price - Achieving scale
 through efficient policy design. New York, NY: The Deutsche Bank Group.
 http://www.dbcca.com/dbcca/EN/investment_research.jsp



 EU Commission 2008a.The support of electricity from renewable energy sources, Commission staff working
 document, accompanying document to the proposal for directive of the European Parliament and of the Council
 on the promotion of the use energy from renewable sources, SEC(2008) 57, 23 January 2008, Brussels.
 http://ec.europa.eu/energy/climate_actions/doc/2008_res_working_document_en.pdf



 Jacobs, D. and Kiene A. 2009. Renewable energy policies for sustainable African development, World Future
 Council, April 2009.
 http://www.worldfuturecouncil.org/fileadmin/user_upload/PDF/World_Future_Council_Renewable_Energy_Polic
 y_Africa_June09.pdf
Thank you for your attention!!!


Dr. des. David Jacobs I Director Renewable Energy
IFOK GmbH
Reinhardtstraße 58
10117 Berlin


Tel.: +49 30 536077-27
E-Mail: david.jacobs@ifok.de
www.ifok.de




© 2010, IFOK GmbH
IFOK behält sich alle Urheber-, Marken-, Leistungsschutz- sowie sonstigen Rechte an den Inhalten der Präsentation vor. Ohne schriftliche
Einwilligung durch IFOK dürfen diese Inhalte oder Teile davon weder bearbeitet oder verwertet noch Dritten zugänglich gemacht werden.


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Course on Regulation and Sustainable Energy in Developing Countries - Session 3

  • 1. Feed-in tariffs – diffusion, design consideration and implementation in developing countries Leonardo Webinar 12 January 2012 Dr. des. David Jacobs Director Renewable Energy, IFOK GmbH Course on Regulation and Sustainable Energy in Developing Countries – Session 3 www.leonardo-energy.org/course-regulation-and-sustainable-energy-developing- countries
  • 2. Countries with renewable energy targets Countries without targets Countries with targets From 45 in 2005 to 85 in 2010
  • 3. FIT Countries 1995 Countries with state FIT policy Countries with national FIT policy Source: REN21, Renewables 2010 Global Status Report 3
  • 4. FIT Countries 2000 Countries with state FIT policy Countries with national FIT policy Source: REN21, Renewables 2010 Global Status Report 4
  • 5. FIT Countries 2010 Countries with state FIT policy Countries with national FIT policy Source: REN21, Renewables 2010 Global Status Report 5
  • 6. World-wide installed capacity by incentive type (%) Wind Solar Market Tendering Trade & based 1% Market quota 3% 9% based/off Tax -grid incentive 7% 6% Tax incentive 194GW 43GW 23% Feed-in tariff Feed-in 64% tariff 87% Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance
  • 7. FITs in Europe Countries with FiTs Source: Klein et al. 2010 • 23 of 27 EU countries have FITs • Feed-in tariffs in the EU have triggered considerable share of investment: • 100% PV • 86% wind • 68% biomass
  • 8. Basic feed-in tariff design • Purchase obligation • “Independent” from power demand • Fixed tariff payment based on the actual power generation costs • Price setting will be discussed in session 4 • Long duration of tariff payment
  • 9. Tariff payment duration • Formerly: short periods (logic of conventional electricity sector) • Nowadays: long payment durations (usually 15-25 years ~ lifetime of power plant) • Necessary because of special investment structure
  • 10. Eligible RE Sources/Technology • Definition of eligible producers (technologies?) • Assessment of resource availability • Start with a handful of technologies, for instance: Small Wind Biomass Solar PV hydropower  Plant size (maximum?)  Territory (offshore?)
  • 11. Eligible RE Sources/Technology Assessment of other resource needed! Wind offshore? Tidal? Geothermal?
  • 12. Number of eligible technologies Source: Jacobs 2012
  • 13. More “advanced” FIT design • Advanced feed-in tariff design options are primarily for countries who have already supported renewable electricity technologies for a number of years • Advanced FIT design is taken into account by more and more developing countries • Objectives: • Reduce windfall profits through differentiated tariffs • Facilitate system integration
  • 14. Pro and cons of tariff differentiation • Advantages of tariff differentiation: • Avoid windfall profits; • efficiency of system can be increased, • Additional costs for final consumer can be limited • Disadvantages of tariff differentiation: • High degree of complexity (reduced transparency) • Overall efficiency might be reduced (e.g. better to construct two small plant) → Increase complexity over time (e.g. Germany: 1990: 4§; 2000: 13§; 2004: 22§; 2009: 65§)
  • 15. Technology specific support • Technology specific support to avoid windfall profits for producers of mature technologies • Size specific support Cost • Location specific support WP PFITC C PFITB PFITA B A MP Quantity Source: Jacobs 2005 Source: David Jacobs
  • 16. Number of tariffs Source: Jacobs 2012
  • 18. Size specific tariffs • Tariff differentiation according to size • Economies of scale • Market entrance for small producers • According to typical installation sizes, e.g. 0 kW < Tariff/Price ≤ 30 kW 30 kW < Tariff/Price ≤ 100 kW 100 kW < Tariff/Price < 2 MW 2 MW and above
  • 20. Location specific tariffs • Mostly applied for wind energy (Germany and France) • Reduce accumulation of wind power plants in coastal areas (increases public acceptance); visual impact • Location specific tariffs in Germany depend on wind speed at a given location (measured during the first 10 years of operation) • First 10 years: flat rate • Final 5 years: depending on “quality” of site
  • 21. Location specific tariffs - Germany Source: Klein et al. 2008
  • 22. Location specific tariffs - Germany Source: Klein et al. 2008
  • 24. Location specific tariffs • New French FIT for solar also includes location specific tariffs Source: http://re.jrc.ec.europa.eu/pvgis/countries/europe.htm
  • 26. Tariff degression • Tariff degression (automatic, annual reduction); because of technological learning, economies of scale, rationalization, innovation pressure • Effects only new capacity, i.e. tariff for “old” plants remains stable over long period of time • Most countries only use it for solar PV (Italy, Spain) Source: Klein et al. 2008
  • 27. Tariff evolution solar PV in Germany 8000 0.70 7,407 0.62 7000 0.60 0.60 0.56 6000 0.53 0.52 0.51 0.50 0.48 0.46 0.46 5000 0.43 0.43 0.41 0.40 0.39 0.38 Added MW 4000 0.35 3,806 Upper Bound 0.32 Lower Bound 0.30 3000 0.24 0.20 2000 1,809 1,271 951 0.10 1000 843 670 110 110 139 0 0.00 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: Fulton et al. 2011
  • 28. Tariff degression • Tariff degression (automatic, annual reduction); because of technological learning, economies of scale, rationalization, innovation pressure Source: MBIPV 2010
  • 29. Tariff degression - Germany • Germany implemented tariff degression for all technologies • Tariff degression rates in Germany (2009) Renewable energy technology Annual degression rate Hydropower (more than 5 MW) 1 percent Landfill gas 1.5 percent Sewage treatment gas 1.5 percent Mine gas 1.5 percent Biomass 1 percent Geothermal 1 percent Wind power offshore 5 percent (from 2015 onwards) Wind power onshore 1 percent Solar PV 8-10 percent
  • 31. Inflation indexation • Feed-in tariff schemes guarantee tariff payment for a long period of time (15-25 years) • Indexation applies to existing and new power plants! • Full or partial indexation (Spain) • Indexation to other economic indicators (France: cost of labor)
  • 32. Inflation indexation • Some European countries do not explicitly index tariffs (e.g. Germany) • However, these countries have relatively modest and predictable price increased which can be taken into account when calculating feed-in tariffs • In the case of countries with high inflation rated, tariff payment for existing plants should be inflation indexed
  • 34. Demand-oriented tariff payment • Higher tariffs during peak demand • Lower tariff during off-peak periods • Should only apply to “non-fluctuating” technologies (e.g. not wind and solar) • Differentiation: day or time of year
  • 35. Demand-oriented tariff payment Source: Optres Final report 2007
  • 36. Time-differentiated tariffs – hydro, France No differentiation 6.07 €cent/kWh Single-component tariff Two-component tariff Summer 8.38 €cent/kWh Winter 4.43 €cent/kWh Four-component tariff Winter, normal demand 10.19 €cent/kWh Winter, off-peak demand 5.95 €cent/kWh Summer, normal demand 4.55 €cent/kWh Summer, off-peak demand 4.25 €cent/kWh Five-component tariff Winter, peak demand 17.72 €cent/kWh Winter, normal demand 8.92 €cent/kWh Winter, off-peak demand 5.95 €cent/kWh Summer, normal demand 4.55 €cent/kWh Summer, off-peak demand 4.25 €cent/kWh Source: Author based on J.O. (2007a)
  • 38. Assessment report and amendments • Frequently review the FIT scheme and amend it, if necessary • Germany and Spain: Review every 3 or 4 years • New FIT countries: 1 or 2 years after first implementation, from there on every four years Source: Meister Consultants Group, DBCCA Analysis, 2011.
  • 39. Assessment report and amendments • Assessment report should include: • analysis of growth rates and average production costs of the eligible technologies • progress towards the achievement of targets • economic, social and environmental benefits of the law (such as the amount of investment and export trade, the number of jobs created and the amount of carbon dioxide emissions avoided) • additional costs for the consumer Source: David Jacobs
  • 41. Advantages of Feed-in tariffs High level of investment security New actors are entering the power market (competition) PV price reduction and innovation triggered by degressive feed-in tariffs > Investments are not postponed Allows for technology specific support Source: David Jacobs
  • 42. Disadvantages of Feed-in tariffs „uncontrolled“ market growth in case of tariffs that are too high (flexible degression) The costs are growing continuously until the payment period of the first plants ends Difficulty to anticipate technological development (progress reports and monitoring necessary) Source: David Jacobs
  • 43. Preview of session 4 – Case studies on feed-in tariff implementation More detailed case studies from developed and developing countries (implementation steps, effectiveness and efficiency, critical path issues, etc). Assessment of costs related to feed-in tariff mechanisms and design for cost control Assessment of tariff calculation methodologies (how to get the tariff level right)
  • 44. Further reading Mendonça, M., Jacobs, D.; Sovacool, B. 2009b. Powering the green economy – The feed-in tariff handbook. Earthscan: London. http://www.earthscan.co.uk/?tabid=92822 Klein, A., Pfluger, B., Held, A., Ragwitz, M., Resch, G., Faber, T. 2008. Evaluation of different feed-in tariff design options – Best practise paper for the international Feed-in Cooperation, Second edition, October 2008. Available from http://www.feed-in-cooperation.org/images/files/best_practice_paper_2nd_edition_final.pdf Couture, T., Cory, K., Kreycik, C., Williams, E., 2010. Policymakers’ Guide to Feed-in Tariff Policy Design. NREL, Technical Report, July 2010. Golden (CO): National Renewable Energy Laboratory. http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy10osti/44849.pdf
  • 45. Further reading DB Climate Change Advisors 2009. Paying for renewable energy: TLC at the right price - Achieving scale through efficient policy design. New York, NY: The Deutsche Bank Group. http://www.dbcca.com/dbcca/EN/investment_research.jsp EU Commission 2008a.The support of electricity from renewable energy sources, Commission staff working document, accompanying document to the proposal for directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on the promotion of the use energy from renewable sources, SEC(2008) 57, 23 January 2008, Brussels. http://ec.europa.eu/energy/climate_actions/doc/2008_res_working_document_en.pdf Jacobs, D. and Kiene A. 2009. Renewable energy policies for sustainable African development, World Future Council, April 2009. http://www.worldfuturecouncil.org/fileadmin/user_upload/PDF/World_Future_Council_Renewable_Energy_Polic y_Africa_June09.pdf
  • 46. Thank you for your attention!!! Dr. des. David Jacobs I Director Renewable Energy IFOK GmbH Reinhardtstraße 58 10117 Berlin Tel.: +49 30 536077-27 E-Mail: david.jacobs@ifok.de www.ifok.de © 2010, IFOK GmbH IFOK behält sich alle Urheber-, Marken-, Leistungsschutz- sowie sonstigen Rechte an den Inhalten der Präsentation vor. Ohne schriftliche Einwilligung durch IFOK dürfen diese Inhalte oder Teile davon weder bearbeitet oder verwertet noch Dritten zugänglich gemacht werden. Titel Seite 46