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World Forum Innovation Exchange Slides Simon Mauger 05.01.2010
- 1. Learning and Technology World Forum Innovation Exchange Exchange 2 - Preparing for the Future Simon Mauger Programme Director, NIACE
- 2. Futures Thinking and Horizon Scanning in educational practice and lifelong learning
- 3. Horizon scanning is…… Looking ahead – beyond usual timescales Looking across – beyond usual sources Looking back – Re-examing assumptions beyond a ‘single expected future’ to a ‘range of possible futures’ to consider implications for today’s decisions and directions … . and the educational point is - resilience and adaptability
- 4. ‘ Thinking about the future of lifelong learning - what are the changes you foresee in physical learning environments, technologies and people's behaviour?’ Let the ‘future’ be 2025
- 5. With about 200 people - Sector Post-compulsory Education 46 % Culture & Arts 10 % Architecture & Planning 6 % Schools 1 % Business & Technology Entrepreneurs 6 % Government & Regional Agencies 7 % Learner Organisations 8 % Other 15 % Media 2 %
- 6. Your particular expertise/interest % Arts/Culture 16 % Architecture 9 % Business Development 9 % Business Management 11 % Community Development 19 % Design 6 % Economics 2 % Education Delivery 36 % Education Policy 41 % Media Production 3 % Media Policy 4 % Politics 8 % Technology 18 % Other 14 %
- 11. TOP 25 key-words in Phase 1 contributions = What respondents are thinking about spontaneously (excluded question words: learning, environment, people, technology) Presence of issue in all received comments
- 12. Relations between key words in phase 1 material (excluded question words: learning, environment, people, technology) Numbers between boxes indicate amount of connections
- 13. All collected Ideas were analysed in terms of ’gathering’ into Categories Design Environment Inequality Lifelong Mobility Quality Resourcesn Behaviour Capability Change Services Cost Society Teaching Technology Unknown
- 18. Significance by Category level Higher Ranking Lower Higher Agreement Lower
- 20. The nature of change : About new technological development in itself or the influence on or creation of ‘behaviours’? Amplifying existing behaviour - ‘status quo +’ Fundamentally altering existing behaviour - ‘disruptive’
- 24. And we wrote a series of scenario ‘vignettes’ to suggest ‘narratives’ around the uncertainties, possibilities and viewpoints.
- 28. Simon Mauger Simon Mauger
Editor's Notes
- Which I believe has not helped our thinking in relation to technology and change and its influence on how we learn, often seeing technology as simply gearing up existing practice: we have, for a whole raft of other reasons too, tended to think that it is all about the technology as opposed to the nature of its adoption - look at SMS.