1. Carbon fuel is the ultimate driver
for progress for billions of people
Doomsday has again been postponed
Erik Haugane, Det norske

2. Worrying, worrying, worrying!
2

3. The world is doing increasingly better
3
Gapminder.org

4. 2010 2020 2030
0
1
2
3
4
5
North America
Europe
Latin America
Asia-Pacific
Africa/Middle East
The standard of living keeps improving
4
Billionpeople
Source: McKinsey
1.8 (25%)
3.2
4.9 (55%)
Growing middle class
Shanghai 1980
Shanghai 2010
+270%

5. 5
½ second6 hours

6. Peak oil – nonsense
6

7. 7
Fantastic, but have
you considered the
consequences for
the climate?
Now, I have finally
figured out how to
tame the fire and
now we can cook
every day.

8. 8
Bio fuel
Fossil fuel

9. 9

10. Climate religion
10
Anthropogenic
greenhouse
effect
Natural
variations and
solar activity
Warming up:
It will be better,
alternatively
marginally worse
Climate
Warming up:
Hell’s gates are about
to open

11. Climate change,
faster than
expected?
11

12. Our glaciers have shortened, but when did it start?

13. Climate models and reality

15. Rhetoric and graphics
15
Why is the colour of the
temperature curve red after
1980?
We’re still living in the coldest
10% period of the last 10 000
years
We’re living in the coldest 5%
period of the last 100 mill. years
What is normal?
Any indications that something is
going in the wrong direction?
Or merely wishful thinking by
enthusiasts embracing
catastrophe scenarios?

16. 16
• The quest for better lives
requires abundant volumes of
cheap energy
• Fossil fuel has the smallest
footprint on the earth per kwh
created
• The effect of potential human
impact on climate change
does not impress people less
fortunate than the upper
middle class.
• Exploitation and use of fossil
energy needs to be more
effective and environmental
friendly
Fossil energy sources will dominate also the coming 50 years
BP2013