Analysis of Carrying Capacity of Nigeria Tertiary Institutions

1. Carrying Capacity ofCarrying Capacity ofCarrying Capacity ofCarrying Capacity of
NigeriaNigeriaNigeriaNigeria TertiaryTertiaryTertiaryTertiary
InstitutionsInstitutionsInstitutionsInstitutions

2. As at today (April 27, 2013); admission to Nigerian
tertiary institutions is through the Joint Admission
and Matriculation Board (JAMB).
The Study is undertaken to review and possibly
proffer some solutions to the problem of access to
tertiary education in Nigeria.
Candidates are first tested by JAMB using the
Unified Tertiary Matriculations Examination
(UTME), following which individual institutions
conduct Post-UME in order to select candidates
that have chosen them for admission.

3. According to the UTME Brochure; candidates seek
admission into Nigerian tertiary institution listed
under the following categories:
Innovation Enterprise Institutions (IEIs) are institutions recently approved by the Federal
Government of Nigeria to provide a veritable alternative route to higher education. They
are private institutions that will offer vocational, technical, technology or professional
education and training at post-basic and tertiary levels to equip secondary school leavers
and working adults with vocational skills and knowledge to meet the increasing demand
for technical manpower by the various sectors of the nation's economy..
University
Polytechnic/Monotechnic
College of Education (COE)
Innovation Enterprise Institutions (IEIs)

4. Tertiary InstitutionsTertiary InstitutionsTertiary InstitutionsTertiary Institutions
UniversityUniversityUniversityUniversity Poly/MonoPoly/MonoPoly/MonoPoly/Mono COECOECOECOE IEIIEIIEIIEI
Federal (40)Federal (40)Federal (40)Federal (40)
State (38)State (38)State (38)State (38)
Private (50)Private (50)Private (50)Private (50)
128128128128
128128128128
117117117117
57575757
128 + 128 + 117 + 57 = 430128 + 128 + 117 + 57 = 430128 + 128 + 117 + 57 = 430128 + 128 + 117 + 57 = 430

5. NUC:NUC:NUC:NUC: National Universities Commission
NBTENBTENBTENBTE:::: National Board for Technical Education
NCCENCCENCCENCCE:::: National Council for Colleges of Education
No.No.No.No. Tertiary InstitutionTertiary InstitutionTertiary InstitutionTertiary Institution RegulatoryRegulatoryRegulatoryRegulatory BodyBodyBodyBody
1 University NUC
2
Polytechnic/Monotechnic,
IEIs
NBTE
3 College of Education NCCE
These bodies regulates the activities of the respective tertiary
institutions; one of which is determining the carrying
capacity of each institution.
Tertiary Institutions & Regulatory BodiesTertiary Institutions & Regulatory BodiesTertiary Institutions & Regulatory BodiesTertiary Institutions & Regulatory Bodies

6. By standard, these bodies are supposed to have all data of their
respective institutions; however, Data are not easy to come by.
See comment from World Bank:
Therefore, the data used here are best efforts gathered from different sources –
few from the regulatory bodies.

7. The regulatory bodies release Admission Quota per academic
session in order to guide each institution on the number of
Students to admit per course.
Carrying Capacity:Carrying Capacity:Carrying Capacity:Carrying Capacity:
carrying capacity of institutions refers to the maximum
number of students that the institution can sustain for
quality education available based on human and
material resources.
However, over-enrollment is a common practice. Most
institutions do not abide by their carrying capacity for
reasons best known to them. This is often the reason
why some students sit outside lecture halls and some
on windows in order to receive lectures.
Of a truth, our institutions are
overcrowded!

8. University, Applicant & Carrying CapacityUniversity, Applicant & Carrying CapacityUniversity, Applicant & Carrying CapacityUniversity, Applicant & Carrying Capacity
YearYearYearYear
UniversityUniversityUniversityUniversity
CumulativeCumulativeCumulativeCumulative
ApplicantApplicantApplicantApplicant
CarryingCarryingCarryingCarrying
CapacityCapacityCapacityCapacity
Capacity :Capacity :Capacity :Capacity :
ApplicantApplicantApplicantApplicant
2010/11 112 1,493,611 450,000 30.13%
2011/12 117 1,503,933 500,000 33.25%
2012/13 128 1,735,729 520,000 29.96%
With 112 Universities in 2010/2011; the carrying capacity of
Nigeria tertiary institutions was 450,000 with 1,493,611
applicants.
This means at best effort only 30303030....13131313%%%% of total applicants could
only be accommodated during that academic sessions.
However, this has dropped to 29.96% in 2012/2013 academic
sessions. Even though the carrying capacity has increased,
Applicants have increased more, this invariably has made the
increase in university capacity insignificant.

9. Some University & Their Admission QuotaSome University & Their Admission QuotaSome University & Their Admission QuotaSome University & Their Admission Quota
The Admission Quota for each University during the 2011/2012
academic sessions was released by the NUC; however, most of the
universities admitted more than allotted quota
FederalFederalFederalFederal InstitutionInstitutionInstitutionInstitution NUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC Quota AdmissionAdmissionAdmissionAdmission DifferenceDifferenceDifferenceDifference
ABU 6,688 7,397 ----709709709709
UNILAG 6,500 7,527 ----1,0271,0271,0271,027
UNN 5,970 8,267 ----2,2972,2972,2972,297
UI 5,720 2,989 2,731
UNIMAID 5,600 5,699 ----99999999
UNIPORT 5,522 3,820 1,702
UNILORIN 5,514 7,098 ----1,5841,5841,5841,584
FUA, Makurdi 2,133 3,350 ----1,2171,2171,2171,217
UMYU 1,600 1,996 ----396396396396
FULokoja 500 443 57
FUEbonyi 500 150 350
FUBayelsa 500 498 2
FUOye-ekiti 500 384 116
ABU, admitted 7,397 Students instead of the recommended 6,688.

10. StateStateStateState InstitutionInstitutionInstitutionInstitution NUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC Quota AdmissionAdmissionAdmissionAdmission DifferenceDifferenceDifferenceDifference
LASU 5,294 1,103 4,191
EKSI 3,500 1,300 2,200
ANSU 2,500 1,408 1,092
CRUTECH 2,500 2,778 ----278278278278
NSU 2,500 3,113 ----613613613613
KASU 1,400 1,591 ----191191191191
AISU 800 484 316
OSUSTECH 800 397 403
KWASU 725 1,257 ----532532532532
PrivatePrivatePrivatePrivate
InstitutionInstitutionInstitutionInstitution NUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC Quota AdmissionAdmissionAdmissionAdmission DifferenceDifferenceDifferenceDifference
TASUED 3,500 2,898 602
Covenant 2,500 2,162 338
Babcock 2,337 3,561 ----1,2241,2241,2241,224
Benson Idahosa 1,260 867 393
Afe Babalola 1,200 2,372 ----1,1721,1721,1721,172
Ajayi Crowther 1,000 474 526
Redeemers 800 1,290 ----490490490490

11. Deviation From Carrying CapacityDeviation From Carrying CapacityDeviation From Carrying CapacityDeviation From Carrying Capacity
Compliance with carrying capacity (measured(measured(measured(measured bybybyby thethethethe degreedegreedegreedegree ofofofof deviationdeviationdeviationdeviation
fromfromfromfrom carryingcarryingcarryingcarrying capacity)capacity)capacity)capacity): This indicator measures how well enrolment of
the university matches available human and material resources. It is
computed as
Deviation from Carrying CapacityDeviation from Carrying CapacityDeviation from Carrying CapacityDeviation from Carrying Capacity
Carrying CapacityCarrying CapacityCarrying CapacityCarrying Capacity
XXXX 100100100100%%%%
InstitutionInstitutionInstitutionInstitution NUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC QuotaNUC Quota AdmissionAdmissionAdmissionAdmission DifferenceDifferenceDifferenceDifference DeviationDeviationDeviationDeviation
Afe Babalola 1,200 2,372 1,172 97.67%
KWASU 725 1,257 532 73.38%
Redeemers 800 1,290 490 61.25%
FUA, Makurdi 2,133 3,350 1,217 57.06%
Babcock 2,337 3,561 1,224 52.37%
UNN 5,970 8,267 2,297 38.48%
UNILORIN 5,514 7,098 1,584 28.73%
UMYU 1,600 1,996 396 24.75%
NSU 2,500 3,113 613 24.52%
UNILAG 6,500 7,527 1,027 15.80%
KASU 1,400 1,591 191 13.64%
CRUTECH 2,500 2,778 278 11.12%
ABU 6,688 7,397 709 10.60%
UNIMAID 5,600 5,699 99 1.77%

12. While it is an established fact that most institutions
exceed recommended quota; it is also evident that
over 70% of candidates are denied admission yearly,
even though they are qualified, there are just not
enough space to accommodate them.
For this 2012/2013 academic sessions where
1.7million jostle for 520,000 admission spaces; over
1.2million will be denied admission again.
In reality, this is discouraging to Candidates, Parents and
younger ones. While Governments (Federal & States)
have made giant strides in creating Schools, it is also
very important to increase the capacity and equip
already existing ones.

13. Freely share use and acknowledge the source – © Wale Micaiah
Data source:
- JAMB
- NUC
- Professor Peter Okebukola
Nigerian Universities and
World Ranking: Issues,
Strategies and Forward
Planning (2011
Analysis by: WaleWaleWaleWale MicaiahMicaiahMicaiahMicaiah
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