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Geografi Penduduk
Geografi?
Penduduk?
Teba:
– Sejarah asal usul manusia
– pertumbuhan, kepadatan dan persebaran
  penduduk
– interaksi penduduk dengan sumberdaya
  alam
Pertumbuhan Penduduk Dunia
PERTUMBUHAN PENDUDUK
        DUNIA
Population Shift
World and Country Population
                 Totals
Distribution and Structure: 3/4 of people live on 5% of
  earth's surface!
Total: 6.8 billion on planet as of March 5, 2010
 Current World Population Counter from U.S Census Bureau
Five most populous regions and countries
  REGION      POPULATION COUNTRY           POPULATION
  East Asia 1.6 billion      China         1.3 billion
  South Asia1.5 billion      India         1.1 billion
  Europe    1 billion        U.S.          300 million
  SE Asia 600 million        Indonesia     250 million
  E N. America &
  Canada 275 million         Brazil        188 million
Overpopulation is when there are too many people relative
to available resources. Simple density is not the
determinant.
Rates of Natural Increase
Total Fertility Rate
Infant Mortality Rate – the number of deaths of children under the age
of one per thousand live births. The rate ranges from as low as 3
(Singapore, Iceland) to as much as 150 (Sierra Leone, Afghanistan). The
U.S. rate is just over 6. High infant mortality tends to result in higher
fertility rates as families seek “insurance” for the loss of children.
Total Fertility Rate - the average number of         Palestinian        Fertility

children a women will have in her                         Territories

                                                     1975-1980
                                                                              Rate

                                                                                 7.39

childbearing years. This rate varies from just       1980-1985

                                                     1985-1990
                                                                                 7.00

                                                                                 6.43

over 1 (Japan, Italy) to around 7 (Niger, Mali).     1990-1995                   6.46

                                                     1995-2000                   5.99

The U.S. rate is 2.                                  2000-2005                   5.57


                                                                  Total
   2.1 is generally regarded as the           U.K.                    fertility

   replacement rate (the rate at which a
                                                                      rate
                                              1975-1980                     1.72
   population neither grows nor shrinks) in   1980-1985                     1.80

   the developed world. In less developed     1985-1990                     1.81

   countries this rate should be higher to
                                              1990-1995                     1.78
                                              1995-2000                     1.70
   account for so many children not           2000-2005                     1.66

   reaching childbearing age.
                                                     Africa         Fertility
                                                                          Rate

                                                     1975-1980              6.60

                                                     1980-1985              6.45

                                                     1985-1990              6.11

                                                     1990-1995              5.67

                                                     1995-2000              5.26

                                                     2000-2005              4.97
Doubling Time
• How long will it take for a population
of a
given area to double in size?
• Doubling time assumes the
population will
grow at a given annual rate
• Approximated by dividing the annual
rate
of population increase into 70               Source: National Geographic Magazine

                                           Example: Bangladesh
World = 50                                 70 / R.N.I. => 70/2.09 = 33.5 years
U.S. = 35
                                           Bangladesh with a population of
MDC = 550                                  144.3 million people in 2005 will
LDC = 40                                   have approximately 288.6
Honduras = 22                              million people in 2038, if the
                                           population continues to grow at
Denmark = 700                              current rates.
Russia = never?
Life Expectancy
Life
Expectancy
      Rapid increase
      throughout world
      Infant mortality rate
      declining in most
      countries
      Antibiotics/immunization
Demographic Transition Model
Demographic Transition
                Model
Stage one (preindustrial/pre-agricultural)
– Crude birth/death rate high
– Fragile, but stable, population
Stage two (improved agriculture and medicine)
– Lower death rates
– Infant mortality rate falls
– Natural increase very high
Stage three (attitudes change)
– Indicative of richer developed countries
– Higher standards of living/education
– Crude birth rate finally falls
Stage four
– Crude birth/death rates low
– Population stable
– Populations aging
Problems with the
    Demographic Transition
            Model

• based on European experience, assumes all
countries will progress to complete
industrialization
• many countries reducing growth rate
dramatically without increase in wealth – TV
and family planning seem to be at work
• on the other hand, some countries “stuck”
in stage 2 or stage 3, particularly in Sub-
Saharan Africa and Middle East
When consumption of
Overpopulation   natural resources by
                 people outstrip the ability
                 of a natural region to
                 replace those natural
                 resources.
Thomas Malthus on
      Population
An Essay on the Principle of Population, 1798

Malthus, responding to
 Condorcet, predicted          300

 population would outrun       250

 food supply, leading to       200
 a decrease in food per        150
                                                               Population

 person.                       100
                                                               Food



                                50

Assumptions                     0

  Populations grow                   1     2     3      4


  exponentially.
  Food supply grows                       Food        Population
  arithmetically.                                 2            2
  Food shortages and chaos                        4            4
  inevitable.                                     8          16
                                                 16         256
Population and the
             Environment
               I = P x A x T
Impact = Population x Affluence x Technology
Population-influenced environmental problems:
• Global   Warming
• Habitat Loss / Endangered Species
• Resource Depletion
• Food Shortages? Not globally, but
regionally.
Population and Resource
     Consumption
Technology, Energy Consumption, and
       Environmental Impact
 There has been a dramatic increase in:
 • individual energy use over time: 3,000 kcal/person -
 300,000 kcal/person
 • the power of technology to change the environment:
 think stone axe versus bulldozer versus atomic bomb.
 • The scope and severity of environmental impacts.
Tamat

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Geografi Penduduk

  • 1. Geografi Penduduk Geografi? Penduduk? Teba: – Sejarah asal usul manusia – pertumbuhan, kepadatan dan persebaran penduduk – interaksi penduduk dengan sumberdaya alam
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  • 8. World and Country Population Totals Distribution and Structure: 3/4 of people live on 5% of earth's surface! Total: 6.8 billion on planet as of March 5, 2010 Current World Population Counter from U.S Census Bureau Five most populous regions and countries REGION POPULATION COUNTRY POPULATION East Asia 1.6 billion China 1.3 billion South Asia1.5 billion India 1.1 billion Europe 1 billion U.S. 300 million SE Asia 600 million Indonesia 250 million E N. America & Canada 275 million Brazil 188 million
  • 9. Overpopulation is when there are too many people relative to available resources. Simple density is not the determinant.
  • 10. Rates of Natural Increase
  • 12. Infant Mortality Rate – the number of deaths of children under the age of one per thousand live births. The rate ranges from as low as 3 (Singapore, Iceland) to as much as 150 (Sierra Leone, Afghanistan). The U.S. rate is just over 6. High infant mortality tends to result in higher fertility rates as families seek “insurance” for the loss of children.
  • 13. Total Fertility Rate - the average number of Palestinian Fertility children a women will have in her Territories 1975-1980 Rate 7.39 childbearing years. This rate varies from just 1980-1985 1985-1990 7.00 6.43 over 1 (Japan, Italy) to around 7 (Niger, Mali). 1990-1995 6.46 1995-2000 5.99 The U.S. rate is 2. 2000-2005 5.57 Total 2.1 is generally regarded as the U.K. fertility replacement rate (the rate at which a rate 1975-1980 1.72 population neither grows nor shrinks) in 1980-1985 1.80 the developed world. In less developed 1985-1990 1.81 countries this rate should be higher to 1990-1995 1.78 1995-2000 1.70 account for so many children not 2000-2005 1.66 reaching childbearing age. Africa Fertility Rate 1975-1980 6.60 1980-1985 6.45 1985-1990 6.11 1990-1995 5.67 1995-2000 5.26 2000-2005 4.97
  • 14. Doubling Time • How long will it take for a population of a given area to double in size? • Doubling time assumes the population will grow at a given annual rate • Approximated by dividing the annual rate of population increase into 70 Source: National Geographic Magazine Example: Bangladesh World = 50 70 / R.N.I. => 70/2.09 = 33.5 years U.S. = 35 Bangladesh with a population of MDC = 550 144.3 million people in 2005 will LDC = 40 have approximately 288.6 Honduras = 22 million people in 2038, if the population continues to grow at Denmark = 700 current rates. Russia = never?
  • 16. Life Expectancy Rapid increase throughout world Infant mortality rate declining in most countries Antibiotics/immunization
  • 18. Demographic Transition Model Stage one (preindustrial/pre-agricultural) – Crude birth/death rate high – Fragile, but stable, population Stage two (improved agriculture and medicine) – Lower death rates – Infant mortality rate falls – Natural increase very high Stage three (attitudes change) – Indicative of richer developed countries – Higher standards of living/education – Crude birth rate finally falls Stage four – Crude birth/death rates low – Population stable – Populations aging
  • 19. Problems with the Demographic Transition Model • based on European experience, assumes all countries will progress to complete industrialization • many countries reducing growth rate dramatically without increase in wealth – TV and family planning seem to be at work • on the other hand, some countries “stuck” in stage 2 or stage 3, particularly in Sub- Saharan Africa and Middle East
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  • 26. When consumption of Overpopulation natural resources by people outstrip the ability of a natural region to replace those natural resources.
  • 27. Thomas Malthus on Population An Essay on the Principle of Population, 1798 Malthus, responding to Condorcet, predicted 300 population would outrun 250 food supply, leading to 200 a decrease in food per 150 Population person. 100 Food 50 Assumptions 0 Populations grow 1 2 3 4 exponentially. Food supply grows Food Population arithmetically. 2 2 Food shortages and chaos 4 4 inevitable. 8 16 16 256
  • 28. Population and the Environment I = P x A x T Impact = Population x Affluence x Technology Population-influenced environmental problems: • Global Warming • Habitat Loss / Endangered Species • Resource Depletion • Food Shortages? Not globally, but regionally.
  • 29. Population and Resource Consumption
  • 30. Technology, Energy Consumption, and Environmental Impact There has been a dramatic increase in: • individual energy use over time: 3,000 kcal/person - 300,000 kcal/person • the power of technology to change the environment: think stone axe versus bulldozer versus atomic bomb. • The scope and severity of environmental impacts.
  • 31. Tamat