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6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011




          Cooperative Game Theory. Operations Research
             Games. Applications to Interval Games
            Lecture 7: How to Handle Interval Solutions for Cooperative
                                 Interval Games


                                Sırma Zeynep Alparslan G¨k
                                                        o
                               S¨leyman Demirel University
                                u
                              Faculty of Arts and Sciences
                                Department of Mathematics
                                     Isparta, Turkey
                             email:zeynepalparslan@yahoo.com



                                            August 13-16, 2011
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011




Outline

      Introduction

      Allocation rules

      The one-stage procedure

      The multi-stage procedure

      Final remarks

      References
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Introduction




Introduction


      This lecture is based on the paper

       How to handle interval solutions for cooperative interval games by
                       Branzei, Tijs and Alparslan G¨k,
                                                     o

      which was published in

                   International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and
                               Knowledge-based Systems.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Introduction




Motivation

              Uncertainty accompanies almost every situation in our lives
              and it influences our decisions.
              On many occasions uncertainty is so severe that we can only
              predict some upper and lower bounds for the outcome of our
              (collaborative) actions, i.e., payoffs lie in some intervals.
              Cooperative interval games have been proved useful for
              solving reward/cost sharing problems in situations with
              interval data in a cooperative environment (see Branzei et al.
              (2010) for a survey).
              A natural way to incorporate the uncertainty of coalition
              values into the solution of such reward/cost sharing problems
              is by using interval solution concepts.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Introduction




Related literature
      Many papers appeared on modeling economic and Operational
      Research situations with interval data by using game theory, in
      particular cooperative interval games, as a tool.
              Branzei, Dimitrov and Tijs (2003), Alparslan G¨k, Miquel and
                                                             o
              Tijs (2009), Alparslan G¨k (2009), Branzei et al. (2010),
                                      o
              Branzei, Mallozzi and Tijs (2010), Yanovskaya, Branzei and
              Tijs (2010).
              Kimms and Drechsel (2009).
              Bauso and Timmer (2009) introduce dynamics into the theory
              of cooperative interval games, whereas Mallozzi, Scalzo and
              Tijs (2011) extend some results from the theory of
              cooperative interval games by considering coalition values
              given by means of fuzzy intervals.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Introduction




Cooperative interval games


      < N, w >, N = {1, 2, . . . , n}: set of players
      w : 2N → I (R): characteristic function, w (∅) = [0, 0]
      w (S) = [w (S), w (S)]: worth (value) of S
      w (S) : the lower bound, w (S): the upper bound of the interval
      w (S)
              I (R): the set of all closed and bounded intervals in R
              I (R)N : set of all n-dimensional vectors with elements in I (R)
              IG N : the class of all interval games with player set N
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Introduction




Interval solution concepts
      An interval solution concept on IG N is a map assigning to each
      interval game w ∈ IG N a set of n-dimensional vectors whose
      components belong to I (R).
      The interval imputation set:

       I(w ) =         (I1 , . . . , In ) ∈ I (R)N |          Ii = w (N), Ii           w (i), ∀i ∈ N           .
                                                        i∈N
      The interval core:

          C(w ) =         (I1 , . . . , In ) ∈ I(w )|           Ii     w (S), ∀S ∈ 2N  {∅} .
                                                          i∈S

      The interval Shapley value Φ : SMIG N → I (R)N :
                       1
              Φ(w ) =            mσ (w ), for each w ∈ SMIG N .
                       n!
                                      σ∈Π(N)
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Introduction




Interval solution concepts
      The payoff vectors x = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN from the classical
      cooperative transferable utility (TU) game theory are replaced by
      n-dimensional vectors (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N , where Ji = [J i , J i ],
      i ∈ N.
      The players’ agreement on a particular interval allocation
      (J1 , . . . , Jn ) based on an interval solution concept merely says that
      the payoff xi that player i will receive when the outcome of the
      grand coalition is known belongs to the interval Ji .
      A procedure to transform an interval allocation
      J = (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N into a payoff vector
      x = (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN is therefore a basic ingredient of contracts
      that people or businesses have to sign when they cannot estimate
      with certainty the attainable coalition payoff(s).
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Allocation rules




Allocation rules
      Let N be a set of players that consider cooperation under interval
      uncertainty of coalition values, i.e. knowing what each group S of
      players (coalition) can obtain between two bounds, w (S) and
      w (S), via cooperation.
      If the players use cooperative game theory as a tool, they can
      choose an interval solution concept, say the value-type solution Ψ,
      that associates with the related cooperative interval game
      < N, w > the interval allocation Ψ(w ) = (J1 , . . . , Jn ) which
      guarantees for each player i ∈ N a final payoff within the interval
      Ji = [J i , J i ] when the value of the grand coalition is known.
      Clearly, w (N) = i∈N J i and w (N) = i∈N J i . For each i ∈ N
      the interval [J i , J i ] can be seen as the interval claim of i on the
      realization R of the payoff for the grand coalition N
      (w (N) ≤ R ≤ w (N)).
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Allocation rules




Allocation rules
      One should determine payoffs xi ∈ [J i , J i ], i ∈ N (the feasibility
      condition) such that i∈N xi = R (the efficiency condition).
      Notice that in the case R = w (N) the payoff vector x equals
      (J 1 , . . . , J n ), in the case R = w (N) we have x = (J 1 , . . . , J n ), but
      in the case w (N) < R < w (N) there are infinitely many ways to
      determine allocations (x1 , . . . , xn ) satisfying both the efficiency and
      the feasibility conditions.
      In the last case, we need suitable allocation rules to determine fair
      allocations (x1 , . . . , xn ) of R satisfying the above conditions.
      As players prefer as large payoffs as possible and the amount R to
      be divided between them is smaller than i∈N J i , the players are
      facing a bankruptcy-like situation, implying that bankruptcy rules
      are good candidates for transforming an interval allocation
      (J1 , . . . , Jn ) into a payoff vector (x1 , . . . , xn ).
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Allocation rules




Bankruptcy rules

      A bankruptcy situation with set of claimants N is a pair (E , d),
      where E ≥ 0 is the estate to be divided and d ∈ RN is the vector
                                                          +
      of claims such that i∈N di ≥ E . We denote by BR N the set of
      bankruptcy situations with player set N.
      A bankruptcy rule is a function f : BR N → RN which assigns to
      each bankruptcy situation (E , d) ∈ BR N a payoff vector
      f (E , d) ∈ RN such that 0 ≤ f (E , d) ≤ d (reasonability) and
         i∈N fi (E , d) = E (efficiency).
      We only use three bankruptcy rules: the proportional rule (PROP),
      the constrained equal awards (CEA) rule and the constrained equal
      losses (CEL) rule.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Allocation rules




Bankruptcy rules
      The rule PROP is defined by
                                                                     di
                                      PROPi (E , d) =                          E
                                                                    j∈N   dj

      for each bankruptcy problem (E , d) and all i ∈ N.
      The rule CEA is defined by

                                      CEAi (E , d) = min {di , α} ,

      where α is determined by

                                                 CEAi (E , d) = E ,
                                           i∈N

      for each bankruptcy problem (E , d) and all i ∈ N.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Allocation rules




Bankruptcy rules
      The rule CEL is defined by

                                   CELi (E , d) = max {di − β, 0} ,

      where β is determined by

                                                 CELi (E , d) = E ,
                                           i∈N

      for each bankruptcy problem (E , d) and all i ∈ N.
      We introduce the notation F = {CEA, CEL, PROP} and let
      f ∈ F. The choice of one specific f ∈ F in a certain bankruptcy
      situation is based on the preference of the players involved in that
      situation; other bankruptcy rules could be also considered as
      elements of a larger F.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Allocation rules




Bankruptcy rules
      When the value of the grand coalition becomes known in multiple
      stages, i.e., updated estimates of the outcome of cooperation
      within the grand coalition are considered during an allocation
      process, more general division problems than bankruptcy problems
      may arise.
      We present the rights-egalitarian (f RE ) rule defined by
                           1
      fi RE (E , d) = di + n (E − i∈N di ), for each division problem (E , d)
      and all i ∈ N.
      The rights-egalitarian rule divides equally among the agents the
      difference between the total claim D = i∈N di and the available
      amount E , being suitable for all circumstances of division
      problems; in particular, the amount to be divided can be either
      positive or negative, the vector of claims d = (d1 , . . . , dn ) may
      have negative components, and the amount to be divided may
      exceed or fall short of the total claim D.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The one-stage procedure




The one-stage procedure
      Let (J1 , . . . , Jn ) be an interval allocation, with Ji = [J i , J i ], i ∈ N,
      satisfying i∈N J i = w (N) and i∈N J i = w (N), and let R be
      the realization of w (N).
      One can write R and J i , i ∈ N, as:

                                   R = w (N) + (R − w (N)), (1)

                                        J i = J i + (J i − J i ), (2)
      implying that the problem (R − w (N), (J i − J i )i∈N ) is a bankruptcy
      problem. Since R is the realization of w (N), one can expect that

                                        w (N) ≤ R ≤ w (N). (3)
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The one-stage procedure




The one-stage procedure
      Next we describe and illustrate a simple (one-stage) procedure to
      transform an interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N into a payoff
      vector x = (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN which satisfies

                                J i ≤ xi ≤ J i for each i ∈ N; (4)

                                                     xi = R. (5)
                                               i∈N


      The one-stage procedure (in the case when the value of the grand
      coalition becomes known at once) uses as input data an interval
      allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ), the realized value of the grand coalition, R,
      and function(s) specifying the division rule(s) for distributing the
      amount R over the players. It determines for each player i, i ∈ N,
      a payoff xi ∈ R such that J i ≤ xi ≤ J i , and i∈N xi = R.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The one-stage procedure




      Procedure One-Stage;
      Input data: n, (Ji )i=1,n , R;
      function f ;
      begin
      compute w (N) w (N) = i∈N J i ;
      for i = 1 to n do
      di = J i − J i
      {endfor}
      for i = 1 to n do
      pi = fi (R − w (N), (di )i=1,n )
      {endfor}
      for i = 1 to n do
      xi := J i + pi
      {endfor}
      Output data: x = (x1 , . . . , xn );
      {end procedure}.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The one-stage procedure




Example


      Let < N, w > be the three-person interval game with
      w (S) = [0, 0] if 3 ∈ S, w (∅) = w (3) = [0, 0], w (1, 3) = [20, 30]
                             /
      and w (N) = w (2, 3) = [50, 90]. We assume that the realization of
      w (N) is R = 60 and consider that cooperation within the grand
      coalition was settled based on the use of the interval Shapley
      value. Then, Φ(w ) = ([3 1 , 5], [18 1 , 35], [28 1 , 50]).
                                 3         3            3
      We determine individual uncertainty-free shares distributing the
      amount R − w (N) = 10 among the three agents. Note that we
      deal here with a classical bankruptcy problem (E , d) with E = 10,
      d = (1 2 , 16 3 , 21 2 ).
              3
                    2
                           3
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The one-stage procedure




Example continued

      Using the one-stage procedure three times with PROP, CEA and
      CEL in the role of f , respectively, we have

                     f PROP(E , d) CEA(E , d) CEL(E , d)
                                                                          1 .
                     p ( 12 , 4 1 , 5 12 ) (1 2 , 4 1 , 4 1 ) (0, 2 2 , 7 2 )
                         5
                                6
                                      5
                                              3     6     6
                                                                    1


      Then, we obtain x as (3 1 , 18 1 , 28 1 ) + f (10, (1 2 , 16 3 , 21 3 )),
                              3      3      3               3
                                                                   2      2

      f ∈ F, shown in the next table.

                f      PROP(E , d)          CEA(E , d)         CEL(E , d)
                                                                                  .
                x     (3 4 , 22 2 , 33 4 ) (5, 22 2 , 32 2 ) (3 3 , 20 5 , 35 5 )
                         3      1      3          1      1      1
                                                                       6      6
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The one-stage procedure




Remark
      First, since R satisfies (3), one idea is to determine λ ∈ [0, 1] such
      that
                        R = λw (N) + (1 − λ)w (N), (6)
      and give to each i ∈ N the payoff

                                       xi = λJ i + (1 − λ)J i . (7)


      Note that J i ≤ xi ≤ J i and

              xi = λ           J i + (1 − λ)             J i = λw (N) + (1 − λ)w (N) = R.
        i∈N              i∈N                       i∈N

      So, x satisfies conditions (4) and (5).
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The one-stage procedure




Remark continued


      Now, we notice that we can also write x = J + (1 − λ)(J − J).
      So, the payoff for player i ∈ N can be obtained in the following
      manner: first each player i ∈ N is allocated the amount J i ; second,
      the amount R − i∈N J i is distributed over the players
      proportionally with J i − J i , i ∈ N, which is equivalent with using
      the bankruptcy rule PROP for a bankruptcy problem (E , d), where
      the estate E equals R − i∈N J i and the claims di are equal to
      J i − J i for each i ∈ N.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




The multi-stage procedure


      The multi-stage procedure (in the case when the value of the
      grand coalition becomes known in multiple stages, say T ) uses as
      input data an interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ), a related sequence of
      observed outcomes for the grand coalition, R (1) , . . . , R (T ) , and
      function(s) specifying the division rule(s) for distributing the
      amount R (t) − R (t−1) over the players at stage t, t = 1, . . . , T . It
      determines for each player i ∈ N a payoff xi ∈ R such that
      J i ≤ xi ≤ J i , and i∈N xi = R (T ) .
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




The multi-stage procedure

      In this section we introduce some dynamics in allocation processes
      for procedures to transform an interval allocation
      (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N into a payoff vector x ∈ RN satisfying
      conditions (4) and (5).
      We assume that a finite sequence of updated estimates of the
      outcome of the grand coalition, R (t) with t ∈ {1, 2, . . . , T }, is
      available because the value of the grand coalition is known in
      multiple stages, where

                     w (N) ≤ R (1) ≤ R (2) ≤ . . . ≤ R (T ) ≤ w (N). (8)
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




The multi-stage procedure


      At any stage t ∈ {1, 2, . . . , T } a budget of fixed size, R (t) − R (t−1) ,
      where R (0) = w (N), is distributed among the players.
      The decision as which portion of the budget each player will
      receive at that stage depends on the historical allocation and is
      specified by a predetermined allocation rule. As allocation rules at
      each stage we consider either a bankruptcy rule f (in the case
      when a bankruptcy problem arises) or a general division rule (for
      example f RE ) otherwise.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




The multi-stage procedure
      Procedure Multi-Stage;
      Input data: n, (Ji )i=1,n , T , (R (j) )j=1,T ;
      function f , g ;
      compute w (N) w (N) = i∈N J i ;
      begin
      R (0) := w (N);
      for i = 1 to n do
      di = J i − J i ; spi := 0
      {endfor}
      for t = 1 to T do
      begin
      D := 0;
      for i = 1 to n do
      D := D + di
      {endfor}
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




      if D > R (j) − R (j−1)
      then for i = 1 to n do pi = fi (R (j) − R (j−1) , (di )i=1,n ) {endfor}
      else for i = 1 to n do pi = gi (R (j) − R (j−1) , (di )i=1,n ) {endfor}
      {endif}
      for i = 1 to n do
      di := di − pi ;
      spi := spi + pi
      {endfor}
      {end}
      {endfor}
      for i = 1 to n do
      xi := J i + spi
      {endfor}
      Output data: x = (x1 , . . . , xn );
      {end procedure}.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




Remarks


      We notice that the One-Stage procedure appears as a special case
      of the Multi-Stage procedure where T = 1. At each stage
      t ∈ {1, . . . , T } of the allocation process the fixed amount
      R (t) − R (t−1) , where R (t) is the estimate of the payoff for the
      grand coalition at stage t, with R (0) = w (N) is distributed among
      the players’ by taking into account the players’ updated claims at
      the previous stage, di , i ∈ N, to determine the payoff portions, pi ,
      i ∈ N.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




Remarks continued

      The calculation of the individual payoff portions is done using the
      specified bankruptcy rule f when we deal with a bankruptcy
      problem, i.e. when the total claim D is greater than R (j) − R (j−1)
      (and all the individual claims are nonnegative).
      These payoff portions are used further to update both the
      aggregate portions spi and the individual claims di , i ∈ N.
      Notice that under the assumption (8) our procedure assures that
      all the individual claims are nonnegative as far as we apply a
      bankruptcy rule f . However, the condition D > R (j) − R (j−1) may
      be not satisfied requiring the use of a general division rule g like
      f RE .
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




Example

      Consider the interval game and the interval Shapley value as in the
      previous example. But, suppose there are 3 updated estimates of
      the realization of the payoff for the grand coalition:
      R (1) = 60; R (2) = 65 and R (3) = 80.
      We have R (0) = 50; d = (1 2 , 16 2 , 21 2 ); sp = (0, 0, 0);
                                   3    3      3
Stage 1. The amount R (1) − R (0) = 10 is distributed over agents in N
         according to the claims d = (1 2 , 16 2 , 21 3 ). Note that
                                              3     3
                                                         2

         D = 40 > 10, so the bankruptcy rule PROP can be applied at
         this stage yielding p = ( 12 , 4 1 , 5 12 ). Clearly,
                                       5
                                           6
                                                5
                 5     1     5
         sp = ( 12 , 4 6 , 5 12 ). The vector of claims becomes
         d = (1 4 , 12 2 , 16 1 ).
                 1      1
                               4
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  The multi-stage procedure




Example continued

Stage 2. The amount R (2) − R (1) = 5 is distributed over agents in N
         according to d = (1 1 , 12 1 , 16 1 ). Note that D = 30 > 5, so
                                    4  2    4
         the bankruptcy rule PROP can be applied yielding
         p = ( 24 , 2 12 , 2 17 ). Then the adjusted vector of claims is
               5      1
                             24
         d = (1 24 , 10 12 , 13 13 ) and sp equals now ( 5 , 6 1 , 8 1 ).
                 1         5
                                  24                     8     4     8
Stage 3. The amount R (3) − R (2) = 15 is distributed over agents in N
         according to d = (1 24 , 10 12 , 13 13 ). Since D = 24 5 > 15, we
                                   1    5
                                             24                     6
         can apply the bankruptcy rule PROP obtaining
         p = ( 5 , 6 4 , 8 8 ). Then we obtain sp = (1 4 , 12 1 , 16 4 ) (No
               8
                     1     1                           1
                                                              2
                                                                     1

         claims are further needed because T = 3).
      Finally, x = (3 3 + 1 1 , 18 1 + 12 2 , 28 1 + 16 4 ) = (4 12 , 30 5 , 44 12 ).
                      1
                            4      3
                                          1
                                                 3
                                                        1        7
                                                                         6
                                                                                7
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Final remarks




Final remarks
      In collaborative situations with interval data, to settle cooperation
      within the grand coalition using the cooperative game theory as a
      tool, the players should jointly choose:
        (i) An interval solution concept, for example a value-type interval
            solution Ψ, that captures the interval uncertainty with regard
            to the coalition values under the form of an interval allocation,
            say J = (J1 , . . . , Jn ), where Ji = Ψi (w ) for all i ∈ N;
       (ii) A procedure, specifying the allocation process and the
            allocation rule(s) to be used during the allocation process, in
            order to transform the interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) into a
            payoff vector (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN such that J i ≤ xi ≤ J i for
            each i ∈ N and i∈N xi = R, where R is the revenue for the
            grand coalition at the end of cooperation.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Final remarks




Final remarks


      The two procedures presented transform an interval allocation into
      a payoff vector, under the assumption that only the uncertainty
      with regard to the value of the grand coalition has been resolved.
      In both procedures the vector of computed payoff shares belongs to
      the core1 C (v ) of a selection2 < N, v > of the interval game
      < N, w >.




           1
            The core of a cooperative transferable utility game was introduced by
      Gillies (1959).
          2
            Let < N, w > be an interval game; then v : 2N → R is called a selection of
      w if v (S) ∈ w (S) for each S ∈ 2N (Alparslan G¨k, Miquel and Tijs (2009)).
                                                         o
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Final remarks




Final remarks


      In the sequel, we discuss two cases where besides the realization of
      w (N) also the realizations of w (S) for some or all S ⊂ N are
      known.
      First, suppose that the uncertainty on all outcomes is resolved,
      implying that a selection of the initial interval game is available.
      Then, we can use for this selection a suitable classical solution (for
      example the classical solution corresponding to the interval solution
      Ψ) to determine a posteriori uncertainty-free individual shares.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  Final remarks




Final remarks
      Secondly, suppose that only the uncertainty on some coalition
      values (including the payoff for the grand coalition) was resolved.
      In such situations, we propose to adjust the initial interval
      allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) using the same interval solution concept Ψ
      which generated it, but for the interval game < N, w > where
      w (S) = [RS , RS ] for all S ⊂ N whose worth realizations RS are
      known, w (N) = R, w (∅) = [0, 0], and w (S) = w (S) otherwise.
      Then, the obtained interval allocation for the game < N, w > will
      be transformed into an allocation x = (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ R N of R
      using our procedures.
      Finally, an alternative approach for designing one-stage procedures
      is to use taxation rules instead of bankruptcy rules by handing out
      first J i and then taking away with the aid of a taxation rule the
      deficit T = i∈N J i − R based on di = J i − J i for each i ∈ N.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  References




References

      [1]Alparslan G¨k S.Z., “Cooperative Interval Games: Theory and
                     o
      Applications”, Lambert Academic Publishing (LAP), Germany
      (2010) ISBN:978-3-8383-3430-1.
      [2]Alparslan G¨k S.Z., “Cooperative interval games”, PhD
                     o
      Dissertation Thesis, Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East
      Technical University (2009).
      [3]Alparslan G¨k S.Z., Miquel S. and Tijs S., “Cooperation under
                     o
      interval uncertainty”, Mathematical Methods of Operations
      Research, Vol. 69, no.1 (2009) 99-109.
      [4] Bauso D. and Timmer J.B., “Robust Dynamic Cooperative
      Games”, International Journal of Game Theory, Vol. 38, no. 1
      (2009) 23-36.
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  References




References
      [5] Branzei R., Branzei O., Alparslan G¨k S.Z., Tijs S.,
                                              o
      “Cooperative interval games: a survey”, Central European Journal
      of Operations Research (CEJOR), Vol.18, no.3 (2010) 397-411.
      [6]Branzei R., Tijs S., Alparslan G¨k S.Z., “How to handle interval
                                          o
      solutions for cooperative interval games”, International Journal of
      Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-based Systems, Vol.18,
      Issue 2 (2010) 123-132.
      [7] Branzei R., Dimitrov D. and Tijs S., “Shapley-like values for
      interval bankruptcy games”, Economics Bulletin Vol. 3 (2003) 1-8.
      [8]Branzei R., Mallozzi L. and Tijs S., “Peer group situations and
      games with interval uncertainty”, International Journal of
      Mathematics, Game Theory, and Algebra, Vol. 19, issues 5-6
      (2010).
6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011
  References




References
      [9] Gillies D.B., Solutions to general non-zero-sum games. In:
      Tucker, A.W. and Luce, R.D. (Eds.), Contributions to theory of
      games IV, Annals of Mathematical Studies, Vol. 40. Princeton
      University Press, Princeton (1959) pp. 47-85.
      [10] Kimms A and Drechsel J., “Cost sharing under uncertainty: an
      algorithmic approach to cooperative interval-valued games”, BuR -
      Business Research, Vol. 2 (urn:nbn:de:0009-20-21721) (2009).
      [11] Mallozzi L., Scalzo V. and Tijs S., “Fuzzy interval cooperative
      games”, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 165 (2011) pp.98-105.
      [12] Yanovskaya E., Branzei R. and Tijs S., “Monotonicity
      Properties of Interval Solutions and the Dutta-Ray Solution for
      Convex Interval Games”, Chapter 16 in “Collective Decision
      Making: Views from Social Choice and Game Theory”, series
      Theory and Decision Library C, Springer Verlag Berlin/ Heidelberg
      (2010).

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How to Handle Interval Solutions for Cooperative Interval Games

  • 1. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Cooperative Game Theory. Operations Research Games. Applications to Interval Games Lecture 7: How to Handle Interval Solutions for Cooperative Interval Games Sırma Zeynep Alparslan G¨k o S¨leyman Demirel University u Faculty of Arts and Sciences Department of Mathematics Isparta, Turkey email:zeynepalparslan@yahoo.com August 13-16, 2011
  • 2. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Outline Introduction Allocation rules The one-stage procedure The multi-stage procedure Final remarks References
  • 3. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Introduction Introduction This lecture is based on the paper How to handle interval solutions for cooperative interval games by Branzei, Tijs and Alparslan G¨k, o which was published in International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-based Systems.
  • 4. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Introduction Motivation Uncertainty accompanies almost every situation in our lives and it influences our decisions. On many occasions uncertainty is so severe that we can only predict some upper and lower bounds for the outcome of our (collaborative) actions, i.e., payoffs lie in some intervals. Cooperative interval games have been proved useful for solving reward/cost sharing problems in situations with interval data in a cooperative environment (see Branzei et al. (2010) for a survey). A natural way to incorporate the uncertainty of coalition values into the solution of such reward/cost sharing problems is by using interval solution concepts.
  • 5. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Introduction Related literature Many papers appeared on modeling economic and Operational Research situations with interval data by using game theory, in particular cooperative interval games, as a tool. Branzei, Dimitrov and Tijs (2003), Alparslan G¨k, Miquel and o Tijs (2009), Alparslan G¨k (2009), Branzei et al. (2010), o Branzei, Mallozzi and Tijs (2010), Yanovskaya, Branzei and Tijs (2010). Kimms and Drechsel (2009). Bauso and Timmer (2009) introduce dynamics into the theory of cooperative interval games, whereas Mallozzi, Scalzo and Tijs (2011) extend some results from the theory of cooperative interval games by considering coalition values given by means of fuzzy intervals.
  • 6. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Introduction Cooperative interval games < N, w >, N = {1, 2, . . . , n}: set of players w : 2N → I (R): characteristic function, w (∅) = [0, 0] w (S) = [w (S), w (S)]: worth (value) of S w (S) : the lower bound, w (S): the upper bound of the interval w (S) I (R): the set of all closed and bounded intervals in R I (R)N : set of all n-dimensional vectors with elements in I (R) IG N : the class of all interval games with player set N
  • 7. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Introduction Interval solution concepts An interval solution concept on IG N is a map assigning to each interval game w ∈ IG N a set of n-dimensional vectors whose components belong to I (R). The interval imputation set: I(w ) = (I1 , . . . , In ) ∈ I (R)N | Ii = w (N), Ii w (i), ∀i ∈ N . i∈N The interval core: C(w ) = (I1 , . . . , In ) ∈ I(w )| Ii w (S), ∀S ∈ 2N {∅} . i∈S The interval Shapley value Φ : SMIG N → I (R)N : 1 Φ(w ) = mσ (w ), for each w ∈ SMIG N . n! σ∈Π(N)
  • 8. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Introduction Interval solution concepts The payoff vectors x = (x1 , x2 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN from the classical cooperative transferable utility (TU) game theory are replaced by n-dimensional vectors (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N , where Ji = [J i , J i ], i ∈ N. The players’ agreement on a particular interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) based on an interval solution concept merely says that the payoff xi that player i will receive when the outcome of the grand coalition is known belongs to the interval Ji . A procedure to transform an interval allocation J = (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N into a payoff vector x = (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN is therefore a basic ingredient of contracts that people or businesses have to sign when they cannot estimate with certainty the attainable coalition payoff(s).
  • 9. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Allocation rules Allocation rules Let N be a set of players that consider cooperation under interval uncertainty of coalition values, i.e. knowing what each group S of players (coalition) can obtain between two bounds, w (S) and w (S), via cooperation. If the players use cooperative game theory as a tool, they can choose an interval solution concept, say the value-type solution Ψ, that associates with the related cooperative interval game < N, w > the interval allocation Ψ(w ) = (J1 , . . . , Jn ) which guarantees for each player i ∈ N a final payoff within the interval Ji = [J i , J i ] when the value of the grand coalition is known. Clearly, w (N) = i∈N J i and w (N) = i∈N J i . For each i ∈ N the interval [J i , J i ] can be seen as the interval claim of i on the realization R of the payoff for the grand coalition N (w (N) ≤ R ≤ w (N)).
  • 10. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Allocation rules Allocation rules One should determine payoffs xi ∈ [J i , J i ], i ∈ N (the feasibility condition) such that i∈N xi = R (the efficiency condition). Notice that in the case R = w (N) the payoff vector x equals (J 1 , . . . , J n ), in the case R = w (N) we have x = (J 1 , . . . , J n ), but in the case w (N) < R < w (N) there are infinitely many ways to determine allocations (x1 , . . . , xn ) satisfying both the efficiency and the feasibility conditions. In the last case, we need suitable allocation rules to determine fair allocations (x1 , . . . , xn ) of R satisfying the above conditions. As players prefer as large payoffs as possible and the amount R to be divided between them is smaller than i∈N J i , the players are facing a bankruptcy-like situation, implying that bankruptcy rules are good candidates for transforming an interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) into a payoff vector (x1 , . . . , xn ).
  • 11. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Allocation rules Bankruptcy rules A bankruptcy situation with set of claimants N is a pair (E , d), where E ≥ 0 is the estate to be divided and d ∈ RN is the vector + of claims such that i∈N di ≥ E . We denote by BR N the set of bankruptcy situations with player set N. A bankruptcy rule is a function f : BR N → RN which assigns to each bankruptcy situation (E , d) ∈ BR N a payoff vector f (E , d) ∈ RN such that 0 ≤ f (E , d) ≤ d (reasonability) and i∈N fi (E , d) = E (efficiency). We only use three bankruptcy rules: the proportional rule (PROP), the constrained equal awards (CEA) rule and the constrained equal losses (CEL) rule.
  • 12. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Allocation rules Bankruptcy rules The rule PROP is defined by di PROPi (E , d) = E j∈N dj for each bankruptcy problem (E , d) and all i ∈ N. The rule CEA is defined by CEAi (E , d) = min {di , α} , where α is determined by CEAi (E , d) = E , i∈N for each bankruptcy problem (E , d) and all i ∈ N.
  • 13. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Allocation rules Bankruptcy rules The rule CEL is defined by CELi (E , d) = max {di − β, 0} , where β is determined by CELi (E , d) = E , i∈N for each bankruptcy problem (E , d) and all i ∈ N. We introduce the notation F = {CEA, CEL, PROP} and let f ∈ F. The choice of one specific f ∈ F in a certain bankruptcy situation is based on the preference of the players involved in that situation; other bankruptcy rules could be also considered as elements of a larger F.
  • 14. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Allocation rules Bankruptcy rules When the value of the grand coalition becomes known in multiple stages, i.e., updated estimates of the outcome of cooperation within the grand coalition are considered during an allocation process, more general division problems than bankruptcy problems may arise. We present the rights-egalitarian (f RE ) rule defined by 1 fi RE (E , d) = di + n (E − i∈N di ), for each division problem (E , d) and all i ∈ N. The rights-egalitarian rule divides equally among the agents the difference between the total claim D = i∈N di and the available amount E , being suitable for all circumstances of division problems; in particular, the amount to be divided can be either positive or negative, the vector of claims d = (d1 , . . . , dn ) may have negative components, and the amount to be divided may exceed or fall short of the total claim D.
  • 15. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The one-stage procedure The one-stage procedure Let (J1 , . . . , Jn ) be an interval allocation, with Ji = [J i , J i ], i ∈ N, satisfying i∈N J i = w (N) and i∈N J i = w (N), and let R be the realization of w (N). One can write R and J i , i ∈ N, as: R = w (N) + (R − w (N)), (1) J i = J i + (J i − J i ), (2) implying that the problem (R − w (N), (J i − J i )i∈N ) is a bankruptcy problem. Since R is the realization of w (N), one can expect that w (N) ≤ R ≤ w (N). (3)
  • 16. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The one-stage procedure The one-stage procedure Next we describe and illustrate a simple (one-stage) procedure to transform an interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N into a payoff vector x = (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN which satisfies J i ≤ xi ≤ J i for each i ∈ N; (4) xi = R. (5) i∈N The one-stage procedure (in the case when the value of the grand coalition becomes known at once) uses as input data an interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ), the realized value of the grand coalition, R, and function(s) specifying the division rule(s) for distributing the amount R over the players. It determines for each player i, i ∈ N, a payoff xi ∈ R such that J i ≤ xi ≤ J i , and i∈N xi = R.
  • 17. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The one-stage procedure Procedure One-Stage; Input data: n, (Ji )i=1,n , R; function f ; begin compute w (N) w (N) = i∈N J i ; for i = 1 to n do di = J i − J i {endfor} for i = 1 to n do pi = fi (R − w (N), (di )i=1,n ) {endfor} for i = 1 to n do xi := J i + pi {endfor} Output data: x = (x1 , . . . , xn ); {end procedure}.
  • 18. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The one-stage procedure Example Let < N, w > be the three-person interval game with w (S) = [0, 0] if 3 ∈ S, w (∅) = w (3) = [0, 0], w (1, 3) = [20, 30] / and w (N) = w (2, 3) = [50, 90]. We assume that the realization of w (N) is R = 60 and consider that cooperation within the grand coalition was settled based on the use of the interval Shapley value. Then, Φ(w ) = ([3 1 , 5], [18 1 , 35], [28 1 , 50]). 3 3 3 We determine individual uncertainty-free shares distributing the amount R − w (N) = 10 among the three agents. Note that we deal here with a classical bankruptcy problem (E , d) with E = 10, d = (1 2 , 16 3 , 21 2 ). 3 2 3
  • 19. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The one-stage procedure Example continued Using the one-stage procedure three times with PROP, CEA and CEL in the role of f , respectively, we have f PROP(E , d) CEA(E , d) CEL(E , d) 1 . p ( 12 , 4 1 , 5 12 ) (1 2 , 4 1 , 4 1 ) (0, 2 2 , 7 2 ) 5 6 5 3 6 6 1 Then, we obtain x as (3 1 , 18 1 , 28 1 ) + f (10, (1 2 , 16 3 , 21 3 )), 3 3 3 3 2 2 f ∈ F, shown in the next table. f PROP(E , d) CEA(E , d) CEL(E , d) . x (3 4 , 22 2 , 33 4 ) (5, 22 2 , 32 2 ) (3 3 , 20 5 , 35 5 ) 3 1 3 1 1 1 6 6
  • 20. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The one-stage procedure Remark First, since R satisfies (3), one idea is to determine λ ∈ [0, 1] such that R = λw (N) + (1 − λ)w (N), (6) and give to each i ∈ N the payoff xi = λJ i + (1 − λ)J i . (7) Note that J i ≤ xi ≤ J i and xi = λ J i + (1 − λ) J i = λw (N) + (1 − λ)w (N) = R. i∈N i∈N i∈N So, x satisfies conditions (4) and (5).
  • 21. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The one-stage procedure Remark continued Now, we notice that we can also write x = J + (1 − λ)(J − J). So, the payoff for player i ∈ N can be obtained in the following manner: first each player i ∈ N is allocated the amount J i ; second, the amount R − i∈N J i is distributed over the players proportionally with J i − J i , i ∈ N, which is equivalent with using the bankruptcy rule PROP for a bankruptcy problem (E , d), where the estate E equals R − i∈N J i and the claims di are equal to J i − J i for each i ∈ N.
  • 22. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure The multi-stage procedure The multi-stage procedure (in the case when the value of the grand coalition becomes known in multiple stages, say T ) uses as input data an interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ), a related sequence of observed outcomes for the grand coalition, R (1) , . . . , R (T ) , and function(s) specifying the division rule(s) for distributing the amount R (t) − R (t−1) over the players at stage t, t = 1, . . . , T . It determines for each player i ∈ N a payoff xi ∈ R such that J i ≤ xi ≤ J i , and i∈N xi = R (T ) .
  • 23. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure The multi-stage procedure In this section we introduce some dynamics in allocation processes for procedures to transform an interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) ∈ I (R)N into a payoff vector x ∈ RN satisfying conditions (4) and (5). We assume that a finite sequence of updated estimates of the outcome of the grand coalition, R (t) with t ∈ {1, 2, . . . , T }, is available because the value of the grand coalition is known in multiple stages, where w (N) ≤ R (1) ≤ R (2) ≤ . . . ≤ R (T ) ≤ w (N). (8)
  • 24. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure The multi-stage procedure At any stage t ∈ {1, 2, . . . , T } a budget of fixed size, R (t) − R (t−1) , where R (0) = w (N), is distributed among the players. The decision as which portion of the budget each player will receive at that stage depends on the historical allocation and is specified by a predetermined allocation rule. As allocation rules at each stage we consider either a bankruptcy rule f (in the case when a bankruptcy problem arises) or a general division rule (for example f RE ) otherwise.
  • 25. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure The multi-stage procedure Procedure Multi-Stage; Input data: n, (Ji )i=1,n , T , (R (j) )j=1,T ; function f , g ; compute w (N) w (N) = i∈N J i ; begin R (0) := w (N); for i = 1 to n do di = J i − J i ; spi := 0 {endfor} for t = 1 to T do begin D := 0; for i = 1 to n do D := D + di {endfor}
  • 26. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure if D > R (j) − R (j−1) then for i = 1 to n do pi = fi (R (j) − R (j−1) , (di )i=1,n ) {endfor} else for i = 1 to n do pi = gi (R (j) − R (j−1) , (di )i=1,n ) {endfor} {endif} for i = 1 to n do di := di − pi ; spi := spi + pi {endfor} {end} {endfor} for i = 1 to n do xi := J i + spi {endfor} Output data: x = (x1 , . . . , xn ); {end procedure}.
  • 27. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure Remarks We notice that the One-Stage procedure appears as a special case of the Multi-Stage procedure where T = 1. At each stage t ∈ {1, . . . , T } of the allocation process the fixed amount R (t) − R (t−1) , where R (t) is the estimate of the payoff for the grand coalition at stage t, with R (0) = w (N) is distributed among the players’ by taking into account the players’ updated claims at the previous stage, di , i ∈ N, to determine the payoff portions, pi , i ∈ N.
  • 28. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure Remarks continued The calculation of the individual payoff portions is done using the specified bankruptcy rule f when we deal with a bankruptcy problem, i.e. when the total claim D is greater than R (j) − R (j−1) (and all the individual claims are nonnegative). These payoff portions are used further to update both the aggregate portions spi and the individual claims di , i ∈ N. Notice that under the assumption (8) our procedure assures that all the individual claims are nonnegative as far as we apply a bankruptcy rule f . However, the condition D > R (j) − R (j−1) may be not satisfied requiring the use of a general division rule g like f RE .
  • 29. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure Example Consider the interval game and the interval Shapley value as in the previous example. But, suppose there are 3 updated estimates of the realization of the payoff for the grand coalition: R (1) = 60; R (2) = 65 and R (3) = 80. We have R (0) = 50; d = (1 2 , 16 2 , 21 2 ); sp = (0, 0, 0); 3 3 3 Stage 1. The amount R (1) − R (0) = 10 is distributed over agents in N according to the claims d = (1 2 , 16 2 , 21 3 ). Note that 3 3 2 D = 40 > 10, so the bankruptcy rule PROP can be applied at this stage yielding p = ( 12 , 4 1 , 5 12 ). Clearly, 5 6 5 5 1 5 sp = ( 12 , 4 6 , 5 12 ). The vector of claims becomes d = (1 4 , 12 2 , 16 1 ). 1 1 4
  • 30. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 The multi-stage procedure Example continued Stage 2. The amount R (2) − R (1) = 5 is distributed over agents in N according to d = (1 1 , 12 1 , 16 1 ). Note that D = 30 > 5, so 4 2 4 the bankruptcy rule PROP can be applied yielding p = ( 24 , 2 12 , 2 17 ). Then the adjusted vector of claims is 5 1 24 d = (1 24 , 10 12 , 13 13 ) and sp equals now ( 5 , 6 1 , 8 1 ). 1 5 24 8 4 8 Stage 3. The amount R (3) − R (2) = 15 is distributed over agents in N according to d = (1 24 , 10 12 , 13 13 ). Since D = 24 5 > 15, we 1 5 24 6 can apply the bankruptcy rule PROP obtaining p = ( 5 , 6 4 , 8 8 ). Then we obtain sp = (1 4 , 12 1 , 16 4 ) (No 8 1 1 1 2 1 claims are further needed because T = 3). Finally, x = (3 3 + 1 1 , 18 1 + 12 2 , 28 1 + 16 4 ) = (4 12 , 30 5 , 44 12 ). 1 4 3 1 3 1 7 6 7
  • 31. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Final remarks Final remarks In collaborative situations with interval data, to settle cooperation within the grand coalition using the cooperative game theory as a tool, the players should jointly choose: (i) An interval solution concept, for example a value-type interval solution Ψ, that captures the interval uncertainty with regard to the coalition values under the form of an interval allocation, say J = (J1 , . . . , Jn ), where Ji = Ψi (w ) for all i ∈ N; (ii) A procedure, specifying the allocation process and the allocation rule(s) to be used during the allocation process, in order to transform the interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) into a payoff vector (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ RN such that J i ≤ xi ≤ J i for each i ∈ N and i∈N xi = R, where R is the revenue for the grand coalition at the end of cooperation.
  • 32. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Final remarks Final remarks The two procedures presented transform an interval allocation into a payoff vector, under the assumption that only the uncertainty with regard to the value of the grand coalition has been resolved. In both procedures the vector of computed payoff shares belongs to the core1 C (v ) of a selection2 < N, v > of the interval game < N, w >. 1 The core of a cooperative transferable utility game was introduced by Gillies (1959). 2 Let < N, w > be an interval game; then v : 2N → R is called a selection of w if v (S) ∈ w (S) for each S ∈ 2N (Alparslan G¨k, Miquel and Tijs (2009)). o
  • 33. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Final remarks Final remarks In the sequel, we discuss two cases where besides the realization of w (N) also the realizations of w (S) for some or all S ⊂ N are known. First, suppose that the uncertainty on all outcomes is resolved, implying that a selection of the initial interval game is available. Then, we can use for this selection a suitable classical solution (for example the classical solution corresponding to the interval solution Ψ) to determine a posteriori uncertainty-free individual shares.
  • 34. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 Final remarks Final remarks Secondly, suppose that only the uncertainty on some coalition values (including the payoff for the grand coalition) was resolved. In such situations, we propose to adjust the initial interval allocation (J1 , . . . , Jn ) using the same interval solution concept Ψ which generated it, but for the interval game < N, w > where w (S) = [RS , RS ] for all S ⊂ N whose worth realizations RS are known, w (N) = R, w (∅) = [0, 0], and w (S) = w (S) otherwise. Then, the obtained interval allocation for the game < N, w > will be transformed into an allocation x = (x1 , . . . , xn ) ∈ R N of R using our procedures. Finally, an alternative approach for designing one-stage procedures is to use taxation rules instead of bankruptcy rules by handing out first J i and then taking away with the aid of a taxation rule the deficit T = i∈N J i − R based on di = J i − J i for each i ∈ N.
  • 35. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 References References [1]Alparslan G¨k S.Z., “Cooperative Interval Games: Theory and o Applications”, Lambert Academic Publishing (LAP), Germany (2010) ISBN:978-3-8383-3430-1. [2]Alparslan G¨k S.Z., “Cooperative interval games”, PhD o Dissertation Thesis, Institute of Applied Mathematics, Middle East Technical University (2009). [3]Alparslan G¨k S.Z., Miquel S. and Tijs S., “Cooperation under o interval uncertainty”, Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, Vol. 69, no.1 (2009) 99-109. [4] Bauso D. and Timmer J.B., “Robust Dynamic Cooperative Games”, International Journal of Game Theory, Vol. 38, no. 1 (2009) 23-36.
  • 36. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 References References [5] Branzei R., Branzei O., Alparslan G¨k S.Z., Tijs S., o “Cooperative interval games: a survey”, Central European Journal of Operations Research (CEJOR), Vol.18, no.3 (2010) 397-411. [6]Branzei R., Tijs S., Alparslan G¨k S.Z., “How to handle interval o solutions for cooperative interval games”, International Journal of Uncertainty, Fuzziness and Knowledge-based Systems, Vol.18, Issue 2 (2010) 123-132. [7] Branzei R., Dimitrov D. and Tijs S., “Shapley-like values for interval bankruptcy games”, Economics Bulletin Vol. 3 (2003) 1-8. [8]Branzei R., Mallozzi L. and Tijs S., “Peer group situations and games with interval uncertainty”, International Journal of Mathematics, Game Theory, and Algebra, Vol. 19, issues 5-6 (2010).
  • 37. 6th Summer School AACIMP - Kyiv Polytechnic Institute (KPI) - National Technical University of Ukraine, 8-20 August 2011 References References [9] Gillies D.B., Solutions to general non-zero-sum games. In: Tucker, A.W. and Luce, R.D. (Eds.), Contributions to theory of games IV, Annals of Mathematical Studies, Vol. 40. Princeton University Press, Princeton (1959) pp. 47-85. [10] Kimms A and Drechsel J., “Cost sharing under uncertainty: an algorithmic approach to cooperative interval-valued games”, BuR - Business Research, Vol. 2 (urn:nbn:de:0009-20-21721) (2009). [11] Mallozzi L., Scalzo V. and Tijs S., “Fuzzy interval cooperative games”, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 165 (2011) pp.98-105. [12] Yanovskaya E., Branzei R. and Tijs S., “Monotonicity Properties of Interval Solutions and the Dutta-Ray Solution for Convex Interval Games”, Chapter 16 in “Collective Decision Making: Views from Social Choice and Game Theory”, series Theory and Decision Library C, Springer Verlag Berlin/ Heidelberg (2010).