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Applications of the PMP

    Margin Calculations
Outline
• Introduction
• Possible models
• Possible impacts
Background: how the stocks are traded
               Buy on cash

  client       cash      securities


  full price
 broker        cash

  full price

               Stock Market
Background: how the stocks are traded
               Buy on margin

  client       cash       securities


  margin
 broker        cash

  full price

                Stock Market
Background: definitions
Margin – the amount of cash               Margin – the money that
that must be paid at the                  are lying without use
moment of a buy-sell
transaction
       Margin rate – percentage of the price that must be paid
       at the moment of a buy-sell transaction

                        Types of Securities


     Simple:                                    Derivatives:
     -shares                                    -options
     -bonds                                     -[futures]
     -etc.
Background: options
Option – a contract that gives its owner a right to buy/sell a
specified amount of specified stock within a specified time
period for a specified price (exercise price)




                call option         put option

                                                             good for
buyer            right to buy        right to sell        raising market



seller        obligation to sell   obligation to buy
                                                          good for falling
                                                             market
Background: options
• A profit-loss diagram (acquired call)

                                     critical
  PROFIT                              point




                                                market price of
              amount paid                       the underlying
  LOSS       for the option                     stock




                        exercise price
Background: options
acquired call    sold call




acquired put     sold put
Margining and risk management
Simple securities                            Spreads (combinations)
profit                 profit                  profit

            price               price                    price
loss                   loss                    loss



Options
profit                 profit                profit

          underlying            underlying              underlying
loss      price        loss        price     loss       price
Motivation: Euronext Amsterdam stock
               market
 average daily turnover of options in January 2009
  was 3,356,541 Euro
 average margin rate is 40%
 1,342,616 Euro were kept as margin daily




    more that 1 million Euro are kept away from
              investments every day
Motivation: World Crisis

  World                                 search of
economic             lack of
                                        additional
  crisis              funds              sources




                                …
       possible sources of monetary funds
Motivation: World Crisis

  World                                 search of
economic             lack of
                                        additional
  crisis              funds              sources




                    margins     …
       possible sources of monetary funds
Zero Margin Rate: Cure or Disaster?

For clients:
   • unlimited investments
For brokers:
   • attractive for clients
   • more money is lent −−> higher income

But:

Margining is the only mechanism that protects
  brokers from clients’ default!
Optimal pairing and the AP
AP = Assignment Problem


                   bullish side   bearish side

Securities that                                  Securities that
bring profit                                     bring profit
when the                                         when the
(underlying)                                     (underlying)
price goes up                                    price goes down
Optimal pairing and the AP
AP = Assignment Problem


                   bullish side   bearish side

Securities that                                  Securities that
bring profit                                     bring profit
when the                                         when the
(underlying)                                     (underlying)
price goes up                                    price goes down
Optimal pairing and the AP

bullish side bearish side
      I           J
                            s.t.




       - dummy stocks
N-tuples and the Multidimensional AP
            structure of the cost
                                              objective function
            matrix
pairs




                                      2D AP
triples




                                      3D AP
 N-tuples




                       …              MAP
                                    (ND AP)
MAP and PMP
MAP = Multidimensional AP                PMP = p-Median Problem

          MAP               clustering          PMP




  bounded number of                      bounded number of
components in a cluster                       clusters
        =N                                       =p
                                              no dummies !
Conclusions: a note on importance

• Existing tools use heuristic procedures and AP model
• Tools approved by stock exchanges can catch only two-
  component spreads

• Tools capable of catching spreads with more than four
  components do not exist

•   If the number of components in a spread is doubled, the
    margin is halved
Conclusions: impact
Euronext Amsterdam:
 average daily turnover of options in
  January 2009 was 3,356,541 Euro
 average margin rate is 40%
 1,342,616 Euro were kept as margin daily
                                                This amount
                                                exceeds Dutch
                                                Government gross
If 4-component spreads are considered:
                                                external debt in
 margin rate is halved                         2008
 671,308 Euro are set free daily
 additional ~200,000,000 Euro are available yearly
Conclusions
• A possible model based on the PMP
  – fast
  – flexible:
     • no limit on spread size
     • any margining rules can be “inserted”

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Applications of the PMP. Margin Calculations

  • 1. Applications of the PMP Margin Calculations
  • 2. Outline • Introduction • Possible models • Possible impacts
  • 3. Background: how the stocks are traded Buy on cash client cash securities full price broker cash full price Stock Market
  • 4. Background: how the stocks are traded Buy on margin client cash securities margin broker cash full price Stock Market
  • 5. Background: definitions Margin – the amount of cash Margin – the money that that must be paid at the are lying without use moment of a buy-sell transaction Margin rate – percentage of the price that must be paid at the moment of a buy-sell transaction Types of Securities Simple: Derivatives: -shares -options -bonds -[futures] -etc.
  • 6. Background: options Option – a contract that gives its owner a right to buy/sell a specified amount of specified stock within a specified time period for a specified price (exercise price) call option put option good for buyer right to buy right to sell raising market seller obligation to sell obligation to buy good for falling market
  • 7. Background: options • A profit-loss diagram (acquired call) critical PROFIT point market price of amount paid the underlying LOSS for the option stock exercise price
  • 8. Background: options acquired call sold call acquired put sold put
  • 9. Margining and risk management Simple securities Spreads (combinations) profit profit profit price price price loss loss loss Options profit profit profit underlying underlying underlying loss price loss price loss price
  • 10. Motivation: Euronext Amsterdam stock market  average daily turnover of options in January 2009 was 3,356,541 Euro  average margin rate is 40%  1,342,616 Euro were kept as margin daily more that 1 million Euro are kept away from investments every day
  • 11. Motivation: World Crisis World search of economic lack of additional crisis funds sources … possible sources of monetary funds
  • 12. Motivation: World Crisis World search of economic lack of additional crisis funds sources margins … possible sources of monetary funds
  • 13. Zero Margin Rate: Cure or Disaster? For clients: • unlimited investments For brokers: • attractive for clients • more money is lent −−> higher income But: Margining is the only mechanism that protects brokers from clients’ default!
  • 14. Optimal pairing and the AP AP = Assignment Problem bullish side bearish side Securities that Securities that bring profit bring profit when the when the (underlying) (underlying) price goes up price goes down
  • 15. Optimal pairing and the AP AP = Assignment Problem bullish side bearish side Securities that Securities that bring profit bring profit when the when the (underlying) (underlying) price goes up price goes down
  • 16. Optimal pairing and the AP bullish side bearish side I J s.t. - dummy stocks
  • 17. N-tuples and the Multidimensional AP structure of the cost objective function matrix pairs 2D AP triples 3D AP N-tuples … MAP (ND AP)
  • 18. MAP and PMP MAP = Multidimensional AP PMP = p-Median Problem MAP clustering PMP bounded number of bounded number of components in a cluster clusters =N =p no dummies !
  • 19. Conclusions: a note on importance • Existing tools use heuristic procedures and AP model • Tools approved by stock exchanges can catch only two- component spreads • Tools capable of catching spreads with more than four components do not exist • If the number of components in a spread is doubled, the margin is halved
  • 20. Conclusions: impact Euronext Amsterdam:  average daily turnover of options in January 2009 was 3,356,541 Euro  average margin rate is 40%  1,342,616 Euro were kept as margin daily This amount exceeds Dutch Government gross If 4-component spreads are considered: external debt in  margin rate is halved 2008  671,308 Euro are set free daily  additional ~200,000,000 Euro are available yearly
  • 21. Conclusions • A possible model based on the PMP – fast – flexible: • no limit on spread size • any margining rules can be “inserted”