Driving Behavioral Change for Information Management through Data-Driven Gree...
Pat Kerpan's Talk at CloudCamp on 21 Jan 2010
1. Cohesive Flexible Technologies
2010 Cloud Predictions
Cloud Camp London
Patrick Kerpan, CTO CohesiveFT
Copyright CohesiveFT 2010 1
2. “POA” (plain old applications) becomes the dominant cloud story.
Up until now the cloud story has been
dominated by examples like Animoto and
UK Channel4 – variable, huge scale
stories.
These successes have confused plain old
IT folks, they hear these and think “I don't
need that, my applications don't scale,
don't need to scale”.
Enterprise IT lives out its life one business
topology at a time; topologies with 5 to 20
servers in them, tightly coupled, and don't
talk to other topologies. This is “plain old
applications”.
Copyright CohesiveFT 2009 2
3. Enterprise “early pragmatists” will begin moving to agile infrastructure
Enterprise reality is that Windows is the deep end of the pool
“Private cloud” based on Windows Server 2008 r2 with
Hyper-V will be a big part of the 2010 story (ironic numbering
situation)
Check your inbox! The push is on by MSFT, Dell and HP
This is the starting gun for next generation enterprise data
center (albeit - not the finish line)
Copyright CohesiveFT 2009 3
4. Another public, super scale cloud provider like Amazon
WILL NOT emerge
For Infrastructure as a Service, Amazon is the only super scale
player.
The big market participants with billions in capital will
announce more and more clouds and cloud services – but
there won't be a super scale infrastructure that gives you easy,
credit card based, no sales people, API-driven use of
containers.
Copyright CohesiveFT 2009 4
5. “Hello Hypervisor.....
Operating System is on the phone and he would like a word with you.”
Operating Systems are back and that means trouble for the
“thin layer of software” they call a hypervisor
All current Linux operating systems run virtual machines
compliments of KVM, and of course Windows Server 2008
runs virtual machines.
We have a lot of system admins who know how to handle
operating systems!
Copyright CohesiveFT 2009 5
6. “Cures for baldness” and other magical claims
will begin to be called into question
I understand positive spin, but spinning too hard can turn into
outright lies
Part of the cloud space intersects with systems management,
automation and provisioning. I find this part of the market
littered with uncertain cures to enterprise ills.
If vendors that offer “seamless provisioning”, “complete
agentless discovery”, or “automatic provisioning to any
environment” could provide what they claim, then there would
be NO SCREWED UP ENTERPRISE IT ENVIRONMENTS!
Copyright CohesiveFT 2009 6
